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Search indexed NASA NTRS and DOE OSTI research on propulsion, heat transfer, battery materials and energy systems. Follow report and document links to the original sources.

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At least 37 records · Page 2

Machine learning models for estimating contamination across different curbside collection strategies

Contaminated recyclables, which are frequently discarded as waste, pose a significant challenge to the implementation of a circular economy. These contaminated recyclables impede the circulation of resources, resulting in higher processing costs at material recovery facilities (MRFs). Over the past few decades, machine learning (ML) models such as linear regression (LR), support vector machine (SVM), and random forest (RF) have evolved to provide new methods for predicting inbound contamination rates in addition to traditional statistical models. In this study, we applied ML models to predict inbound contamination rates using demographic features from 15 counties in the U.S. with different curbside collection strategies. In general, we found that ML models outperformed linear mixed models. Specifically, SVM models had the highest performance (R 2 = 0.75; mean absolute error (MAE) = 0.06), which may be due to their ability to model nonlinear relationships between features and inbound contamination rates. Further, the key predictor was population, with poverty rate being positively correlated and median age negatively correlated with inbound contamination rates. To improve the management of contamination and enhance the implementation of a circular economy, better models are needed to understand and estimate inbound contamination rates as well as identify critical factors in the present and future.

54 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES↗

An ion specific continuum model on ionic surfactant's binary phase diagram in aqueous solution

Here, a continuum aggregation model is proposed to account for specific ion effects, enabling accurate phase diagrams calculations for the micellar, cylindrical and lamellar aggregates of sodium/potassium carboxylate surfactants in aqueous solution across a range of temperatures. Three groups of concentrations at distinctive temperatures are fitted to build empirical temperature dependence given the limited availability of relevant experimental measurements. The specific ion effects are manifested in the aggregates' surface tension as well as in the distributions of counter-ions' concentrations in the vicinity of the aggregates. The aggregates' geometric sizes are well-reproduced. The differential evolution algorithm is applied to address boundary conditions of the electrostatic potential, aggregate size optimization as well as the equilibrium of monomers transferring between the aggregate and aqueous region.

37 INORGANIC, ORGANIC, PHYSICAL, AND ANALYTICAL CH↗

The FastEddy® Resident-GPU Accelerated Large-Eddy Simulation Framework: Moist Dynamics Extension, Validation and Sensitivities of Modeling Non-Precipitating Shallow Cumulus Clouds

Herein we describe the moist dynamics formulation implemented within the graphics processing unit-resident large-eddy simulation FastEddy® model, which includes a simple saturation adjustment scheme for condensation and evaporation processes. Two LES model intercomparison exercises for non-precipitating shallow cumulus clouds are simulated in order to validate this model extension, including a static forcing and a time-dependent forcing case. Overall, we find our dynamical, thermodynamical and microphysical quantities, along with turbulence variability and fluxes, to be commensurate with the corresponding model intercomparison results. In addition, sensitivities to specific model settings are investigated. Among these settings, it is shown that boundary layer and cloud layer structure and characteristics are sensitive to use of higher-order advection schemes impacting the vertical distribution of cloud content and associated turbulence statistics. Increasing the timescale of the saturation scheme leads to enhanced liquid water presence and decreases vertical velocity variance within the cloud deck. In some cases, these sensitivities agree with the model-to-model variability reported in the intercomparison exercises, highlighting the important role of specific model implementation choices in the context of shallow cumulus convection simulations. These analyses and findings also provide the basis for future extensions and applications of FastEddy® for modeling moist convection and precipitation scenarios.

54 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES↗

Superconductivity out of a non-Fermi liquid: Free energy analysis

In this paper, we present an in-depth analysis of the condensation energy E c for a superconductor in a situation when superconductivity emerges out of a non-Fermi liquid due to pairing mediated by a massless boson. This is the case for electronic-mediated pairing near a quantum-critical point in metal, for pairing in SYK-type models, and for phonon-mediated pairing in the properly defined limit, when the dressed Debye frequency vanishes. We consider a subset of these quantum-critical models, in which the pairing in a channel with a proper spatial symmetry is described by an effective 0 + 1 dimensional model with the effective dynamical interaction V(Ω m ) = g¯ γ /|Ω m | γ , where γ is model-specific (the γ model). In previous papers, we argued that the pairing in the γ model is qualitatively different from that in a Fermi liquid, and the gap equation at T = 0 has an infinite number of topologically distinct solutions, Δ n (ω m ), where an integer n, running between 0 and infinity, is the number of zeros of Δ n (ω m ) on the positive Matsubara axis. This gives rise to the set of extrema of E c at E c,n , of which E c,0 is the global minimum. Here, the spectrum E c,n is discrete for a generic γ < 2 but becomes continuous at γ = 2–0. Here, we discuss in more detail the profile of the condensation energy near each E c,n and the transformation from a discrete to a continuous spectrum at γ → 2. We also discuss the free energy and the specific heat of the γ model in the normal state.

12 MANAGEMENT OF RADIOACTIVE AND NON-RADIOACTIVE W↗

An age- and sex-specific biokinetic model for radon *

Publication 137 of the International Commission on Radiological Protection (ICRP) describes a biokinetic model for radon used to derive dose coefficients for occupational intake of radon isotopes. The model depicts transfer of inhaled or ingested radon to blood, exchange of radon between blood and tissues, and gradual loss of radon from the body based on physical laws governing transfer of a non-reactive and soluble gas between materials. Here, this paper describes an age- and sex-specific variation of that model developed for use in an upcoming ICRP series of reports on environmental intake of radionuclides by members of the public titled ‘Dose Coefficients for Intakes of Radionuclides by Members of the Public’. The proposed model modifies the model structure and transfer coefficients presented in Publication 137 to allow more realistic dosimetric treatment of bone marrow and breast and expands the model to address pre-adult ages, based on the physical principles used in the development of the model of Publication 137 together with anatomical and physiological changes occurring during human development.

61 RADIATION PROTECTION AND DOSIMETRY↗

Tracing and Forecasting Metabolic Indices of Cancer Patients Using Patient-Specific Deep Learning Models

We develop a patient-specific dynamical system model from the time series data of the cancer patient’s metabolic panel taken during the period of cancer treatment and recovery. The model consists of a pair of stacked long short-term memory (LSTM) recurrent neural networks and a fully connected neural network in each unit. It is intended to be used by physicians to trace back and look forward at the patient’s metabolic indices, to identify potential adverse events, and to make short-term predictions. When the model is used in making short-term predictions, the relative error in every index is less than 10% in the L ∞ norm and less than 6.3% in the L 1 norm in the validation process. Once a master model is built, the patient-specific model can be calibrated through transfer learning. As an example, we obtain patient-specific models for four more cancer patients through transfer learning, which all exhibit reduced training time and a comparable level of accuracy. This study demonstrates that this modeling approach is reliable and can deliver clinically acceptable physiological models for tracking and forecasting patients’ metabolic indices.

60 APPLIED LIFE SCIENCES↗

Advancing earth system model calibration: a diffusion-based method

Understanding of climate impact on ecosystems globally requires site-specific model calibration. Here we introduce a novel diffusion-based uncertainty quantification (DBUQ) method for efficient model calibration. DBUQ is a score-based diffusion model that leverages Monte Carlo simulation to estimate the score function and evaluates a simple neural network to quickly generate samples for approximating parameter posterior distributions. DBUQ is stable, efficient, and can effectively calibrate the model given diverse observations, thereby enabling rapid and site-specific model calibration on a global scale. This capability significantly advances Earth system modeling and our understanding of climate impacts on Earth systems. We demonstrate DBUQ's capability in E3SM land model calibration at the Missouri Ozark AmeriFlux forest site. Both synthetic and real-data applications indicate that DBUQ produces accurate parameter posterior distributions similar to those generated by Markov Chain Monte Carlo sampling but with 30X less computing time. This efficiency marks a significant stride in model calibration, paving the way for more effective and timely climate impact analyses.

Liu, Yanfang↗

High-Performance Computing for Earth System Modeling

High-performance computing (HPC) plays an important role during the development of Earth system models. This chapter reviews HPC efforts related to Earth system models, including community Earth system models and energy exascale Earth system models. Specifically, this chapter evaluates computational and software design issues, analyzes several current HPC-related model developments, and provides an outlook for some promising areas within Earth system modeling in the era of exascale computing.

Wang, Dali↗

Hydrodynamic Modelling for Tidal Energy Kites: Cooperative Research and Development Final Report, CRADA Number CRD-24-30123

The primary goal of the work is to improve accuracy of hydrodynamic loads acting on the lifting surface of the kite turbine due to complex air-water-lifting body interaction in a low-order numerical model using high-fidelity numerical input. The result of this study will help the Participant better design control algorithms for the kite turbine so that the turbine can harvest more energy while maintaining stability of the platform as well as its reliability. The use of hydrodynamic coefficients/load components from computational fluid dynamic simulation will inform better inputs for a medium-fidelity dynamic model (specifically an OrcaFlex model) which is intended for use in rapid design iterations in the design process.

16 TIDAL AND WAVE POWER↗

Generic Photovoltaic Inverter Model in an Electromagnetic Transients Simulator for Transmission Connected Plants

This report proposes a generic model specification of a photovoltaic inverter applied in transmission-connected plants for implementation in an electromagnetic transients simulator. The model specification contains the necessary control loops to meet the fault ride-through performance requirements in the IEEE 2800-2022 standard. The report details the implementation and example parameterization of the model in PSCAD™. Simulation results verify the model meets the performance requirements. Comparisons of the model’s response to laboratory test measurements of a commercial 2.2 MVA storage inverter show the model can reasonably predict the response of commercial equipment.

14 SOLAR ENERGY↗

Quantification of early nonpharmaceutical interventions aimed at slowing transmission of Coronavirus Disease 2019 in the Navajo Nation and surrounding states (Arizona, Colorado, New Mexico, and Utah)

During an early period of the Coronavirus Disease 2019 (COVID-19) pandemic, the Navajo Nation, much like New York City, experienced a relatively high rate of disease transmission. Yet, between January and October 2020, it experienced only a single period of growth in new COVID-19 cases, which ended when cases peaked in May 2020. The daily number of new cases slowly decayed in the summer of 2020 until late September 2020. In contrast, the surrounding states of Arizona, Colorado, New Mexico, and Utah all experienced at least two periods of growth in the same time frame, with second surges beginning in late May to early June. Here, we investigated these differences in disease transmission dynamics with the objective of quantifying the contributions of non-pharmaceutical interventions (NPIs) (e.g., behaviors that limit disease transmission). We considered a compartmental model accounting for distinct periods of NPIs to analyze the epidemic in each of the five regions. We used Bayesian inference to estimate region-specific model parameters from regional surveillance data (daily reports of new COVID-19 cases) and to quantify uncertainty in parameter estimates and model predictions. Our results suggest that NPIs in the Navajo Nation were sustained over the period of interest, whereas in the surrounding states, NPIs were relaxed, which allowed for subsequent surges in cases. Our region-specific model parameterizations allow us to quantify the impacts of NPIs on disease incidence in the regions of interest.

60 APPLIED LIFE SCIENCES↗

IDAC-Bio, A Software for Internal Dosimetry Based on the New ICRP Biokinetic Models and Specific Absorbed Fractions

Radiation dosimetry is central to virtually all radiation safety applications, optimization, and research. It relates to various individuals and population groups and to miscellaneous exposure situations—including planned, existing, and emergency situations. The International Commission on Radiological Protection (ICRP) has developed a new computational framework for internal dose estimations. Important components are more detailed and improved anatomical models and more realistic biokinetic models than before. The ICRP is currently producing new organ dose and effective dose coefficients for occupational intakes of radionuclides (OIR) and environmental intakes of radionuclides (EIR), which supersede the earlier dose coefficients in Publication 68 and the Publication 72 series, respectively. However, the ICRP only publishes dose coefficients for a single acute intake of a radionuclide and for an integration period of 50 years for intake by adults and to age 70 years for intakes by pre-adults. The new software, IDAC-Bio, performs committed absorbed dose and effective dose calculations for a selectable intake scenario, e.g., for a continuous intake or an intake during x hours per day and y days per week, and for any selected integration time. The software uses the primary data and models of the ICRP biokinetic models and numerically solves the biokinetic model and calculates the absorbed doses to organs and tissues in the ICRP reference human phantoms. The software calculates absorbed dose using the nuclear decay data in ICRP publication 107. IDAC-Bio is a further development and an important addition to the internal dosimetry program IDAC-Dose2.1. Here, the results generated by the software were validated against published ICRP dose coefficients. The potential of the software is illustrated by dose calculations for a nuclear power plant worker who had been exposed to varying levels of 60 Co and who had undergone repeated whole-body measurements, and for a hypothetical member of the public subject to future releases of 148 Gd from neutron spallation in tungsten at the European Spallation Source.

61 RADIATION PROTECTION AND DOSIMETRY↗

Comparison of three state-of-the-art crystal plasticity based deformation twinning models for magnesium alloys

In magnesium alloys, deformation twinning and its interactions with dislocation slip are responsible for a sigmoidal shape stress–strain behavior and an asymmetrical tension–compression yield strength in magnesium alloys. The sensitivity of twinning to the underlying microstructure renders the crystal plasticity method the most commonly adopted modeling approach for magnesium-twinning. This paper compares three state-of-the-art crystal plasticity-based twinning models from the literature, namely the elastic-viscoplastic self-consistent twinning-detwinning (EVPSC-TDT) model, crystal plasticity finite element model based on enhanced predominate twin reorientation approach (CPFE-ePTR), and the crystal plasticity finite element model based on “discrete twinning” approach (CPFE-DT). A polycrystalline microstructure is simulated with all three methods to compare the resulting stress–strain curves and lattice strains to those from the experimentally measured data. All three methods showed the capability of capturing the experimental results with different levels of accuracy. Additionally, the EVPSC-TDT method avoids solving the finite element matrices and showed the highest computational efficiency. The CPFE-ePTR model shows a higher accuracy in capturing the lattice strain. The CPFE-DT relies on high-resolution finite element mesh and is much slower than the other two methods, but it captured the local deformation concentration and stress reversal phenomena near the twin band, which was not possible with the other two methods. Based on the comparison, guidance for the selection of the appropriate model based on the specific modeling target is provided in this paper.

36 MATERIALS SCIENCE↗

ZND Verification Tests for Reactive Burn Models in FLAG

The ZND theory, named after Zeldovich, von Neumann, and Doering, provides a simple model for one-dimensional ideal steady-state detonation. It assumes that the detonation wave front starts with a shock that is a discontinuous jump and is followed by a finite-length reaction zone. Reactive burn (also called reactive flow) models are based on ZND theory, as they model the shock initiation and detonation process with a finite reaction rate. The ZND wave propagation test is essentially the only available test case where an analytic solution exists for verification of reactive burn models in numerical codes. However, there are extensions and variants of the ZND test that have been devised for verification of multidimensional flows. The objective of this work is to provide verification of the reactive burn models currently implemented in the Lagrangian hydrocode FLAG and investigate the influence of mesh resolution, artificial viscosity models, and the Arbitrary Lagrangian-Eulerian (ALE) Euler relaxer on the simulation results. The burn models of interest are the Wescott-Stewart-Davis (WSD) model, the Scaled Uniform Reactive Flow (SURF) model (specifically with the SURFplus model extension), and the Arrhenius shock temperature state dependent WSD (AWSD) model. Previously, Ralph Menikoff has used ZND tests for verification of the SURF and SURFplus models in the Eulerian hydrocode xRAGE. The ZND tests here are somewhat different than the approach by Menikoff. In particular, we use a piston-driven ZND detonation wave (via a prescribed constant velocity boundary condition) in a Lagrangian framework whereas Menikoff had a ZND wave followed by a invariant rarefaction wave. The xRAGE simulations were carried out on uniform grids and adaptive mesh refinement (AMR) grids. Although AMR was recently implemented in FLAG and now fully functional for 2D simulations, it will not be evaluated with ZND tests at this time. Some work has been done previously for validating the reactive burn models in FLAG. For example, the validation studies of SURF with shock-to-detonation (SDT) tests, cylinder tests, and gap-stick tests. Further validation of the AWSD, WSD, and SURF models is described in for SDT, multi-shock, cylinder, and corner-turning tests. Recently, a large parameter study with approximately twenty SDT tests was performed to validate the AWSD, WSD, SURF, and SURFplus models while also investigating mesh resolution and artificial viscosity settings. To the best of our knowledge, the current work represents the first documented verification of these burn models in FLAG. The reader should note that many of the tables and figures in this report use units of cm/g/µs, which are the default units for FLAG. However, some lengths and velocities are expressed in µm and mm/µs, respectively, which are typical units for detonation analyses.

45 MILITARY TECHNOLOGY, WEAPONRY, AND NATIONAL DEF↗

FY24: LEMMs: Long-term, Electrochemical Materials degradation Models

FY24 progress for LEMMs: Long-term, Electrochemical Materials degradation Models LDRD project are presented. Significant progress toward creating validated corrosion models was made in this FY paving success in future FY’s for success with battery model development and validation. Specifically, models for various forms of corrosion were probed for sensitivities showing a significant influence of reactive transport parameters for hydroxide species on the run time of the models. Further, cryo-genic time-of-flight secondary ion mass spectroscopy was utilized to map ions in a frozen corrosion droplet showing the precipitates/precipitate species near corroding locations. Additionally, a realistic corrosion droplet was created that accounted for evaporation and condensation coupled with corrosion. This pushes the boundary of corrosion modeling and will be validated in future FY’s.

36 MATERIALS SCIENCE↗