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Updated uranium reference material 231 Pa/ 235 U consensus model ages for nuclear forensics

Radiochronometry provides the model age of nuclear materials, which is useful for understanding the production history of materials found outside of regulatory control. Certified reference materials (CRMs) are important for radiochronometry to increase confidence in measurement quality; however, the absence of 231 Pa/ 235 U CRMs necessitates that nuclear forensic laboratories measure the 231 Pa/ 235 U model ages of preexisting uranium reference materials. Here, in this work, new consensus 231 Pa/ 235 U model ages are reported from three nuclear forensic laboratories for three reference materials using current analytical methods. These updated consensus values can be used for quality control of 231 Pa/ 235 U model age measurements.

11 NUCLEAR FUEL CYCLE AND FUEL MATERIALS↗

National nuclear forensics libraries: a case study on benefits and possibilities for identification of sealed radioactive sources

A National Nuclear Forensic Library (NNFL) is a useful nuclear forensics tool which consists of information and subject matter expertise on radioactive and nuclear (RN) materials produced, used or stored within a State. If RN material is found out of regulatory control the NNFL can be used as part of a nuclear forensics investigation to help identify whether or not the material is consistent with a country’s national holdings. In previous work, a number of signatures which can be useful to identify sealed sources of 241 Am were investigated. To validate the measurement results, an official query concerning information about two of the previously investigated 241 Am sources was sent to the United States Department of State, the international point-of-contact (POC) for the U.S. NNFL. The aim of this work is to show how data obtained in a characterization of a radioactive source can be used in conjunction with an NNFL to investigate the history of a source out of regulatory control.

38 RADIATION CHEMISTRY, RADIOCHEMISTRY, AND NUCLEA↗

Leveraging Machine Learning Capabilities for the Characterization of Irradiated Uranium: A Case Study of Analysis Methods for Nuclear Safeguards and Nuclear Forensics

Nondestructively determining the initial enrichment of irradiated uranium is a complex and laborious multivariable problem due to the presence of fission products. This work demonstrates the capabilities of machine learning to analyze gamma-ray spectral data to determine initial enrichment without knowledge of the decay time of the sample. The approach developed is agnostic to the particular scenario and is applicable to a wide variety of applications in nuclear forensics and nuclear safeguards. We irradiated 5 mg uranium standard reference materials at discrete enrichment values ranging from 0.02% to 97% 235 U (weight percent) in UT Austin’s Nuclear Engineering Teaching Laboratory TRIGA Mark II 1.1 MW research reactor, allowed each to decay for 8 hours, and then measured each sample via gamma-ray spectrometry for 50 hours post-irradiation yielding 1,400 individual gamma-ray spectra discretized into 8,192 energy bins. We then trained decision trees models to analyze individual gamma-ray spectra and estimate the associated initial enrichment without knowledge of the time since end of irradiation. We evaluated the performance of the models with a reserved test set not used for training or calibrating the model. A decision tree model constructed with this procedure achieved a mean absolute error in initial enrichment determination of 2.3% (weight percent 235 U). Next, we implemented a principal component analysis pre-processing routine of the gamma-ray spectrometry data to reduce the dimensionality of the dataset from 8,192 channels in the spectrum to 10 principal components while retaining over 99% of the inherent variance in the data. Decision tree models constructed with these data demonstrated decreased mean absolute error in enrichment determination, reduced computational time, and decreased complexity. A single decision tree model constructed with this procedure achieved a mean absolute error in initial enrichment determination of 0.05% (weight percent 235 U). Furthermore, we analyzed these models with learning curves to ensure that overfitting did not occur. The capabilities provided by these models can be naturally extended to other application-focused measurements in the fields of nuclear safeguards, nuclear forensics, and nuclear non-proliferation.

Drescher, Adam↗

Nuclear Forensics in Support of National Response Plans [Slides]

Become familiar with nuclear forensics methodologies in support of nuclear security investigations and how Los Alamos National Laboratory supports the development of sustainable global nuclear forensics capacities.

98 NUCLEAR DISARMAMENT, SAFEGUARDS, AND PHYSICAL P↗

An interlaboratory collaboration to determine consensus 231 Pa/ 235 U model ages of a uranium certified reference material for nuclear forensics

Application of the 231 Pa/ 235 U radiochronometer for nuclear forensic investigations is challenged by a lack of certified reference materials with 231 Pa/ 235 U model purification dates. The Japan Atomic Energy Agency, Los Alamos National Laboratory, and Lawrence Livermore National Laboratory completed an interlaboratory study measuring 231 Pa/ 235 U model ages of New Brunswick Laboratory CRM U100. Results from independent laboratories were combined to calculate a consensus 231 Pa/ 235 U model purification date for CRM U100 of March 26, 1959 ± 237 days. This 231 Pa/ 235 U consensus date for CRM U100 may be used by the nuclear forensic community for quality control of 231 Pa/ 235 U radiochronometry measurements of unknown materials.

38 RADIATION CHEMISTRY, RADIOCHEMISTRY, AND NUCLEA↗

Morphology and particle size (MaPS) exercise: testing the applications of image analysis and morphology descriptions for nuclear forensics

Image analysis techniques have been applied and shown to be a valuable tool in nuclear forensics analysis. The interlaboratory exercise reported here has tested quantitative and qualitative approaches for characterizing nuclear materials. Particle size, surface features and morphology descriptions were compared by four laboratories on a common image set generated by Scanning Electron Microscopy and Digital Light Microscopy. Quantitative analysis of the image sets through the Morphological Analysis for MAterials software highlighted the strength of image analysis, but also that the application of the software alone can introduce significant bias in the analysis. Qualitative morphology descriptions following the process outlined by Tamasi et al. (J Radioanal Nuclear Chem 307:1611–1619, 2015) were compared with a discussion on the robustness and reproducibility of the results. Finally, future work should continue to focus on proficiency and standardization of image analysis through continued exercises within the extended nuclear forensics community.

11 NUCLEAR FUEL CYCLE AND FUEL MATERIALS↗

Actinide Science for Post Detonation Nuclear Forensic Analyses

Actinide and fission product separations, analyses, and solid material syntheses are key to supporting the development and testing of new nuclear forensic science technologies and for training nuclear emergency responders to effectively respond to nuclear emergency events. In this presentation, nuclear forensic scientist Dr. Mathew Snow will discuss a variety of technologies developed at Idaho National Laboratory (INL) and around the world for these applications. The presentation will include discussions of new approaches to rapid, high-efficiency chemical separations, sample preparation and analysis techniques for field-deployable actinide analyses, and techniques recently developed at INL for producing solid nuclear fallout simulant materials. An overview of the challenges confronting researchers in these area, along with possible opportunities, will also be provided.

Nuclear Forensics↗

Joint Sample Analyses of Nuclear Forensic Materials Provided by the Republic of Kazakhstan: U. S. Laboratory Results

This document serves as an interim report to summarize sample analyses performed by Lawrence Livermore National Laboratory (LLNL) and Los Alamos National Laboratory (LANL) on a series of five nuclear forensics samples provided by the Institute of Nuclear Physics (INP) in the Republic of Kazakhstan. The sample set contains four uranium oxide powders and one low-enriched uranium fuel pellet. The samples were provided as part of a broader collaboration that involved a set of joint sample analyses conducted by INP and the US National Laboratories. The joint analyses are being conducted using well-developed analytical plans. These activities are designed to support the advancement of nuclear forensic science and capacity building in all three institutes in both countries. This report builds upon an earlier preliminary summary of the joint interactions and will be augmented by a final report. The final report will summarize the results and value of all sample analyses performed at the three institutes (INP, LLNL, and LANL). The final report will also provide an intercomparison of the results, analytical methods and best practices employed, as well as outline future collaborative nuclear forensics activities that are being developed in the Kazakhstan region.

and nuclear chemistry↗

Cumulative short-lived photofission product yields for nuclear forensic application

Experiments have long been carried out with linear accelerator (linac) produced bremsstrahlung X-rays to study high-energy photon-induced fission, known as “photofission”. One benefit of photofission, when compared with neutron-induced fission, is the ability to investigate fundamental physics of fission at excitation energies lower than what is possible with neutrons [1]. Absorption of an incident neutron results in a compound nucleus with an excitation energy at least equal to the neutron binding energy; thus, the lowest energy region of the fission barrier cannot be studied. Fission product yield distributions are dependent on the incident particle energy and the target nucleus mass. They are generally represented by a double-humped curve, with low and high mass “peaks” and an intermediate mass “valley”. As incident particle energy increases, the excitation energy of the nucleus increases, thereby increasing the overall yield of isotopes in the valley with respect to the two maxima or peaks of the fission product curve [3]. Photofission is most probable for incident photons around 14 MeV due to the giant dipole resonance. Induced photofission around this energy results in a fission product yield distribution that resembles 14 MeV DT neutron fission more than thermal or fast (500 keV) neutron fission. In post-detonation nuclear forensics, the peak-to-valley ratio of the fission product yield curve could be used for characterizing device type by providing an indication of the neutron energy spectrum that had induced fission (e.g., 500 keV vs. 14 MeV). The goal of this work is to improve nuclear data for isotopes of interest in nuclear forensics and special nuclear material (SNM) detection, specifically the fission product yield data via photofission experiments for the isotopes of 238U and 232Th. Photofission has been proposed as a less costly and more flexible production method for the valley isotopes that are representative of DT neutron fission product yield distributions, which would benefit nuclear forensics exercises in testing for analysis techniques. Natural uranium and thorium targets were irradiated with bremsstrahlung photons (nominal endpoint energies of 8, 14, and 20 MeV), generated via impingement of high-energy electrons on a tungsten electron-to-photon radiator. Gamma-ray spectroscopy was used to observe and identify the decay of the resulting fission products. The photofission yields of 102 fission products were measured for the set of the 238U and 232Th targets at the three bremsstrahlung X-ray endpoint energies 8, 14, and 20 MeV. These fragments included masses ranging from A=84 to A=144, with half-lives as short as 1.07 seconds.

07 ISOTOPE AND RADIATION SOURCES↗

Adapting Nuclear Forensics from Light Water to Molten Salt Reactors: A Survey of Emerging Needs

Rising interest in molten salt reactors for commercial power production presents an opportunity to evaluate the techniques used to characterize materials of nuclear forensic interest. Since extensive research has been performed to identify and develop signatures of light water reactor (LWR) materials (e.g. uranium ore concentrates and uranium dioxide fuel pellets), we use this as a basis to explore possibilities for molten salt signature development. Through this comparative method, nuclear forensic signatures used today to identify the provenance of nuclear materials found out of regulatory control are adapted to molten salt reactor (MSR) fuel cycle materials. Radiological, elemental composition, isotopic composition, and model age signatures will likely not need large adaptations before being applied to MSR materials but may need to expand to be applicable to both thorium- and uranium-fueled systems. The liquid nature of molten salt fuel may erase signatures related to production and irradiation history that are informative for typical LWR materials. However, it may also lead to opportunities for new signatures, such as cooling rate–controlled morphology. Targets identified for further research include radiological attributes of fuel salts; elemental, chemical, and isotopic analysis of salts with differing production routes; morphological effects of various thermodynamic environments; and relevant fuel cycle radiochronometers. Additionally, the comparative nature of the proposed signatures implies a need for MSR-relevant databases and the production of salt standard reference materials.

11 NUCLEAR FUEL CYCLE AND FUEL MATERIALS↗

An introduction to the significance of sample size in particle analyses for nuclear forensics and radiological investigations

Particulate isotopic analysis in nuclear forensics has developed rapidly during the past two decades due to technical advances in determining the isotopic composition of individual particles. This paper introduces basic statistical concepts that can be applied by analysts to understand the importance of statistical adequacy when interpretating particle data. While these basic statistical methods provide a useful point-of-entry to particle data analysis, more sophisticated statistical and modeling approaches are needed to extract maximal information from such datasets in the future.

38 RADIATION CHEMISTRY, RADIOCHEMISTRY, AND NUCLEA↗

Overview of Algorithms for Using Particle Morphology in Pre-Detonation Nuclear Forensics

A major goal in pre-detonation nuclear forensics is to infer the processing conditions and/or facility type that produced radiological material. This review paper focuses on analyses of particle size, shape, texture (“morphology”) signatures that could provide information on the provenance of interdicted materials. For example, uranium ore concentrates (UOC or yellowcake) include ammonium diuranate (ADU), ammonium uranyl carbonate (AUC), sodium diuranate (SDU), magnesium diuranate (MDU), and others, each prepared using different salts to precipitate U from solution. Once precipitated, UOCs are often dried and calcined to remove adsorbed water. The products can be allowed to react further, forming uranium oxides UO3, U3O8, or UO2 powders, whose surface morphology can be indicative of precipitation and/or calcination conditions used in their production. This review paper describes statistical issues and approaches in using quantitative analyses of measurements such as particle size and shape to infer production conditions. Statistical topics include multivariate t tests (Hotelling’s T 2 ), design of experiments, and several machine learning (ML) options including decision trees, learning vector quantization neural networks, mixture discriminant analysis, and approximate Bayesian computation (ABC). ABC is emphasized as an attractive option to include the effects of model uncertainty in the selected and fitted forward model used for inferring processing conditions.

98 NUCLEAR DISARMAMENT, SAFEGUARDS, AND PHYSICAL P↗

Twenty Years of Collaborative Materials Exercises by the Nuclear Forensics International Technical Working Group

The Collaborative Materials Exercise (CMX) series are a critical mechanism used to advance the ITWG's mission of identifying, developing and promoting the best practices of nuclear forensics. These exercises are not designed to test laboratory performance, but as learning experiences that provide opportunities for participants to test and demonstrate state-of-the-practice to the global scientific and law enforcement communities. They are run as mock nuclear forensic investigations under realistic scenarios, with timelines and conditions designed to mimic actual operations. These situations provide the relatively unique opportunity for the appropriate governmental agencies to exercise their collective response to a nuclear security incident. Utilizing well-characterized materials of a known history and origin that are taken from specific process locations within the nuclear fuel cycle, these 'real world' materials are used to fully consider the potential significance of process-derived heterogeneities and characteristics that might be used by investigators to derive useful information such as intended use, point of loss of control, process history or origin. While individual laboratory results are kept confidential, a summary of the major outcomes of each exercise is published in the open literature. The ITWG has carried out six CMXs since 1999. The sixth (CMX-6) and largest (21 participants) was completed in June 2019. Each CMX has contributed demonstrably to advancements in the state of practice and the emergence of novel techniques in nuclear forensic science.

Schwantes, Jon M.↗

β- and γ-Counting for Pre-detonation Nuclear Forensics on Eu-155

Post-detonation nuclear forensics was performed at Los Alamos National Laboratory (LANL) on 155Eu, a fission product on the wing of the fission product production curve whose yield is sensitive to fission fuel and neutron energy. With a half-life of 4.753 years, 155Eu provides a longer-lived option for these measurements than other fission products with similar mass numbers. The Chemistry Division Group - Nuclear and Radiochemistry, at LANL routinely measures a suite of fission products from 235U fissions in thermal neutron flux experiments known as thermal calibration exercises, using a mixture of gas proportional β-decay counting and γ-spectrometry on HPGe detectors. The fission products of interest are reported relative to a high-yield reference fission product from the same sample to create a running average ratio specific to neutron energy and fuel type; Equation 1 below shows the ratio-of-ratios R-value measured fission products are reported in: R i x = [A( i X)/A( 99 Mo)] unknown [A( i X)/A( 99 Mo)] 235 U n,th where A denotes activity, i X is the nuclide of interest, and 235 U n,th denotes irradiations of 235 U with thermal neutrons. Measurements of unknown fission spectra are ratioed to a running-average of thermal calibration results, and the resulting R-value can be referred to as against a library of irradiation conditions.

73 NUCLEAR PHYSICS AND RADIATION PHYSICS↗

Short-lived photofission product yields from 238 U and 232 Th at Bremsstrahlung X-ray endpoint energies of 8, 14, and 20 MeV for nuclear forensics isotope production applications

The existing photofission product yield data sets are often based on nuclear models, and limited experimental measurements of these fission product yields have been performed. These experiments resulted in measured cumulative fission product yields (CFPYs) for 238 U and 232 Th for the bremsstrahlung X-ray endpoint energies of 8, 14, and 20 MeV. The half-lives of the reported fission products range from 1.07–40.8 s. This work is motivated by a demonstrated need for novel isotope production methods for nuclear forensics and improved nuclear data to support the nonproliferation community. A high-purity germanium detector and a pneumatic transfer system were employed for measurements of short-lived fission products, collecting data between cycles of accelerator irradiation and measurement.

07 ISOTOPE AND RADIATION SOURCES↗

𝛾-ray spectroscopy of 140 La decay for nuclear forensics applications

140 La is an important isotope in nuclear forensics. It is typically paired with 140 Ba as a chronometer for dating nuclear events. Here, in this work, we report the results of two measurements performed to fully characterize the decay scheme of 140 La. The experiments were performed using the Gammasphere array at Argonne National Laboratory and the CLARION2 array at Florida State University. Sources of 140 La were produced through neutron irradiation of natural lanthanum (99.9% 139 La) in the University of Massachusetts Lowell research reactor. We identify a total of 40 transitions, three of which were not previously reported. An angular correlation analysis was conducted confirming current literature 𝐽 assignments and mixing ratios. By considering all data available in the literature, we provide new recommended values for the intensities of the strongest transitions commonly used in applications.

73 NUCLEAR PHYSICS AND RADIATION PHYSICS↗