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NASA NTRS2010

Optimal Tuner Selection for Kalman Filter-Based Aircraft Engine Performance Estimation

A linear point design methodology for minimizing the error in on-line Kalman filter-based aircraft engine performance estimation applications is presented. This technique specifically addresses the underdetermined estimation problem, where there are more unknown parameters than available sensor measurements. A systematic approach is applied to produce a model tuning parameter vector of appropriate dimension to enable estimation by a Kalman filter, while minimizing the estimation error in the parameters of interest. Tuning parameter selection is performed using a multi-variable iterative search routine which seeks to minimize the theoretical mean-squared estimation error. This paper derives theoretical Kalman filter estimation error bias and variance values at steady-state operating conditions, and presents the tuner selection routine applied to minimize these values. Results from the application of the technique to an aircraft engine simulation are presented and compared to the conventional approach of tuner selection. Experimental simulation results are found to be in agreement with theoretical predictions. The new methodology is shown to yield a significant improvement in on-line engine performance estimation accuracy

Simon, Donald L.↗

NASA NTRS2013

Optimized tuner selection for engine performance estimation

A methodology for minimizing the error in on-line Kalman filter-based aircraft engine performance estimation applications is presented. This technique specifically addresses the underdetermined estimation problem, where there are more unknown parameters than available sensor measurements. A systematic approach is applied to produce a model tuning parameter vector of appropriate dimension to enable estimation by a Kalman filter, while minimizing the estimation error in the parameters of interest. Tuning parameter selection is performed using a multi-variable iterative search routine which seeks to minimize the theoretical mean-squared estimation error. Theoretical Kalman filter estimation error bias and variance values are derived at steady-state operating conditions, and the tuner selection routine is applied to minimize these values. The new methodology yields an improvement in on-line engine performance estimation accuracy.

Simon, Donald L.↗

NASA NTRS1995

Analysis of filter tuning techniques for sequential orbit determination

This paper examines filter tuning techniques for a sequential orbit determination (OD) covariance analysis. Recently, there has been a renewed interest in sequential OD, primarily due to the successful flight qualification of the Tracking and Data Relay Satellite System (TDRSS) Onboard Navigation System (TONS) using Doppler data extracted onboard the Extreme Ultraviolet Explorer (EUVE) spacecraft. TONS computes highly accurate orbit solutions onboard the spacecraft in realtime using a sequential filter. As the result of the successful TONS-EUVE flight qualification experiment, the Earth Observing System (EOS) AM-1 Project has selected TONS as the prime navigation system. In addition, sequential OD methods can be used successfully for ground OD. Whether data are processed onboard or on the ground, a sequential OD procedure is generally favored over a batch technique when a realtime automated OD system is desired. Recently, OD covariance analyses were performed for the TONS-EUVE and TONS-EOS missions using the sequential processing options of the Orbit Determination Error Analysis System (ODEAS). ODEAS is the primary covariance analysis system used by the Goddard Space Flight Center (GSFC) Flight Dynamics Division (FDD). The results of these analyses revealed a high sensitivity of the OD solutions to the state process noise filter tuning parameters. The covariance analysis results show that the state estimate error contributions from measurement-related error sources, especially those due to the random noise and satellite-to-satellite ionospheric refraction correction errors, increase rapidly as the state process noise increases. These results prompted an in-depth investigation of the role of the filter tuning parameters in sequential OD covariance analysis. This paper analyzes how the spacecraft state estimate errors due to dynamic and measurement-related error sources are affected by the process noise level used. This information is then used to establish guidelines for determining optimal filter tuning parameters in a given sequential OD scenario for both covariance analysis and actual OD. Comparisons are also made with corresponding definitive OD results available from the TONS-EUVE analysis.

Lee, T.↗

DOE OSTI2024

Robust wind farm layout optimization

Wake interactions in wind farms cause losses in annual energy production (AEP) on the order of 10%. Wind farm designers optimize the layout of the farm to mitigate wake losses, especially in the dominant site-specific wind directions. As wind turbines and wind farms grow in scale, optimization becomes more complex. Offshore wind farms regularly comprise more than 100 wind turbines and are characterized by complex boundaries due to shipping lanes, neighboring wind farms, and other constraints. Layout optimization methods are broadly split between gradient-based and gradient-free approaches. Gradient-based approaches can converge quickly and perform well for smaller, academic problems but are often sensitive to initial conditions and tuning parameters and require expert knowledge to use. On the other hand, gradient-free approaches can be more robust to problem complexities. We present a robust layout optimization approach based on a random search algorithm. The algorithm is intended for those who are not optimization experts and has few tuning parameters that need specification to achieve satisfactory results. Unlike off-the-shelf methods, which use generally available, non-domain-specific optimization routines that accept as inputs an optimization function and constraint definitions, this approach takes advantage of the relative computational costs of the different evaluations by evaluating cheaper computations first (boundary and minimum distance constraints) and running expensive AEP evaluations only if all other checks pass. Moreover, an outer genetic algorithm allows multiple solutions to evolve in parallel, enabling rapid solution development on high-performance computers. We discuss the relative ease of selecting necessary tuning parameters and demonstrate the efficacy of the genetic random search on a complex layout problem consisting of placing 70 turbines in a nonconvex and unconnected boundary region.

17 WIND ENERGY↗

DOE OSTI2025

GCAM Regional Tuning: A framework to tune GCAM parameters

GCAM assumptions typically generate scenarios that are designed to be internally consistent and globally coherent. The gcamdata tool which facilitates the compilation of data sets and user assumptions is not well suited to tailoring to specific country or regional realities, sponsor requirements, or perform harmonization for model intercomparison needs. As described in this report, the GCAM Regional Tuning project develops a computational framework that enables users to adjust GCAM parameters, so model outputs match targeted outcomes at user-defined spatial, temporal, and sectoral resolutions. The framework integrates GCAM, gcamdata, and gcamwrapper with a set of flexible “tuning directives” and an iterative numerical solver. Users can define targets (e.g., technology shares in power generation, BEV uptake, sectoral service demands), select tuners that manipulate relevant GCAM parameters (e.g., share weights, cost adders, elasticities), and export tuned parameters as reusable GCAM XML inputs for future runs. We demonstrate the approach and document usage, diagnostics, and known limitations, and we outline potential future directions.

97 MATHEMATICS AND COMPUTING↗

DOE OSTI2025

Insights from Optimizing HPL Performance on Exascale Systems: A Comparative Analysis of Panel Factorization

High performance LINPACK (HPL) remains the primary benchmark for evaluating supercomputing performance. It includes many parts with substantial internal complexity, and its performance is affected by a large number of parameters that interact in ways that are difficult to predict on large-scale heterogeneous supercomputer systems. We present a comprehensive performance analysis of HPL on Frontier, the world’s first exascale supercomputer, which achieved HPL performance of 1.35 exaflops. Through empirical parameter tuning, detailed modeling, and comparative evaluation, we uncover critical performance insights, share lessons learned, and outline best practices for effective parameter tuning on exascale systems. We introduce and evaluate two novel PDFACT strategies: a dedicated-thread (DT) variant and a GPU-based variant (GPUPDFACT) implementation using HIP cooperative groups, demonstrating that GPU-based factorization outperforms conventional CPU-based PDFACT on Frontier’s architecture. Our findings establish key performance factors for HPL on exascale systems and offer valuable guidance for future high-performance computing and benchmarking efforts.

Lu, Hao [ORNL] (ORCID:000000018941870X)↗

NASA NTRS2010

A Systematic Approach for Model-Based Aircraft Engine Performance Estimation

A requirement for effective aircraft engine performance estimation is the ability to account for engine degradation, generally described in terms of unmeasurable health parameters such as efficiencies and flow capacities related to each major engine module. This paper presents a linear point design methodology for minimizing the degradation-induced error in model-based aircraft engine performance estimation applications. The technique specifically focuses on the underdetermined estimation problem, where there are more unknown health parameters than available sensor measurements. A condition for Kalman filter-based estimation is that the number of health parameters estimated cannot exceed the number of sensed measurements. In this paper, the estimated health parameter vector will be replaced by a reduced order tuner vector whose dimension is equivalent to the sensed measurement vector. The reduced order tuner vector is systematically selected to minimize the theoretical mean squared estimation error of a maximum a posteriori estimator formulation. This paper derives theoretical estimation errors at steady-state operating conditions, and presents the tuner selection routine applied to minimize these values. Results from the application of the technique to an aircraft engine simulation are presented and compared to the estimation accuracy achieved through conventional maximum a posteriori and Kalman filter estimation approaches. Maximum a posteriori estimation results demonstrate that reduced order tuning parameter vectors can be found that approximate the accuracy of estimating all health parameters directly. Kalman filter estimation results based on the same reduced order tuning parameter vectors demonstrate that significantly improved estimation accuracy can be achieved over the conventional approach of selecting a subset of health parameters to serve as the tuner vector. However, additional development is necessary to fully extend the methodology to Kalman filter-based estimation applications.

Simon, Donald L.↗

NASA NTRS2011

A Tuned Single Parameter for Representing Conjunction Risk

Satellite conjunction assessment risk analysis is a subjective enterprise that can benefit from quantitative aids and, to this end, NASA/GSFC has developed a fuzzy logic construct - called the F-value - to attempt to provide a statement of conjunction risk that amalgamates multiple indices and yields a more stable intra-event assessment. This construct has now sustained an extended tuning procedure against heuristic analyst assessment of event risk. The tuning effort has resulted in modifications to the calculation procedure and the adjustment of tuning coefficients, producing a construct with both more predictive force and a better statement of its error.

Plakaloic, D.↗

NASA NTRS2001

Multiresolution Wavelet Based Adaptive Numerical Dissipation Control for Shock-Turbulence Computations

The recently developed essentially fourth-order or higher low dissipative shock-capturing scheme of Yee, Sandham and Djomehri (1999) aimed at minimizing nu- merical dissipations for high speed compressible viscous flows containing shocks, shears and turbulence. To detect non smooth behavior and control the amount of numerical dissipation to be added, Yee et al. employed an artificial compression method (ACM) of Harten (1978) but utilize it in an entirely different context than Harten originally intended. The ACM sensor consists of two tuning parameters and is highly physical problem dependent. To minimize the tuning of parameters and physical problem dependence, new sensors with improved detection properties are proposed. The new sensors are derived from utilizing appropriate non-orthogonal wavelet basis functions and they can be used to completely switch to the extra numerical dissipation outside shock layers. The non-dissipative spatial base scheme of arbitrarily high order of accuracy can be maintained without compromising its stability at all parts of the domain where the solution is smooth. Two types of redundant non-orthogonal wavelet basis functions are considered. One is the B-spline wavelet (Mallat & Zhong 1992) used by Gerritsen and Olsson (1996) in an adaptive mesh refinement method, to determine regions where re nement should be done. The other is the modification of the multiresolution method of Harten (1995) by converting it to a new, redundant, non-orthogonal wavelet. The wavelet sensor is then obtained by computing the estimated Lipschitz exponent of a chosen physical quantity (or vector) to be sensed on a chosen wavelet basis function. Both wavelet sensors can be viewed as dual purpose adaptive methods leading to dynamic numerical dissipation control and improved grid adaptation indicators. Consequently, they are useful not only for shock-turbulence computations but also for computational aeroacoustics and numerical combustion. In addition, these sensors are scheme independent and can be stand alone options for numerical algorithm other than the Yee et al. scheme.

Sjoegreen, B.↗

DOE OSTI2026

Analytical small-signal stability analysis of low-inertia power system frequency response considering secondary frequency regulation

Modern power systems are increasingly vulnerable to frequency instability as inverter-based resources (IBRs) replace synchronous machines and reduce system rotational inertia. Existing small-signal frequency stability assessment methods are either computationally intensive, relying on simulation-driven approaches, or lack analytical stability regions that explicitly account for secondary frequency response (SFR). This paper introduces new analytical frameworks that enable evaluation small-signal frequency stability while explicitly incorporating tunable IBR and SFR parameters. Using Kharitonov’s theorem with an overbounding approach, explicit small-signal stability criteria are derived. In addition, based on Białas’ criterion and Hurwitz matrix, analytical stability regions are established to reveal feasible design spaces for SFR and IBR parameters tuning. Extensive Matlab/Simulink-based simulations validate the accuracy and computational efficiency of the proposed methods, demonstrating that coordinated tuning of SFR and IBR parameters can substantially enhance system resilience. By bridging analytical rigor with practical tunability, this work provides an analytical framework for assessing small-signal frequency stability in low-inertia grids, supporting the real-time, scalable, and resilient operation of sustainable power systems.

14 SOLAR ENERGY↗

DOE OSTI2025

A Scientist-in-the-Loop Data Analytics Framework for Intelligent Simulation Model Tuning and Validation

This project developed a scientist-in-the-loop data analytics framework for intelligent simulation model tuning and validation, targeting the Weather Research and Forecasting (WRF) model and its solar energy variant, WRF-Solar-BNL. Domain experts, such as climate scientists, depend on large-scale numerical simulations for knowledge discovery and decision-making, yet the complexity of parameter tuning and the disconnect between automated optimization and domain expertise pose significant challenges. We extended an interactive visual analytics framework that enables domain experts to observe and intervene in the computational steering process by identifying disagreements between the simulation model, surrogate model, and the expert’s domain knowledge. Using Bayesian Optimization with Gaussian Process Regression as the surrogate model, our system allows users to probe parameter relationships, analyze correlation patterns, and adjust tuning parameters in real time. We developed use cases for solar irradiance forecasting through sustained collaboration with Brookhaven National Laboratory, resolving critical model configuration challenges and achieving meaningful reductions in prediction error. The project supported one PhD student, one MS student, and eight undergraduate students across three Data Science Capstone projects, resulting in one master’s thesis.

Dasgupta, Aritra [New Jersey Institute of Technolo↗

DOE OSTI2025

End-to-end deep learning pipeline for real-time Bragg peak segmentation: from training to large-scale deployment

X-ray crystallography reconstruction, which transforms discrete X-ray diffraction patterns into three-dimensional molecular structures, relies critically on accurate Bragg peak finding for structure determination. As X-ray free electron laser (XFEL) facilities advance toward MHz data rates (1 million images per second), traditional peak finding algorithms that require manual parameter tuning or exhaustive grid searches across multiple experiments become increasingly impractical. While deep learning approaches offer promising solutions, their deployment in high-throughput environments presents significant challenges in automated dataset labeling, model scalability, edge deployment efficiency, and distributed inference capabilities. We present an end-to-end deep learning pipeline with three key components: (1) a data engine that combines traditional algorithms with our peak matching algorithm to generate high-quality training data at scale, (2) a modular architecture that scales from a few million to hundreds of million parameters, enabling us to train large expert-level models offline while deploying smaller, distilled models at the edge, and (3) a decoupled producer-consumer architecture that separates specialized data source layer from model inference, enabling flexible deployment across diverse computing environments. Using this integrated approach, our pipeline achieves accuracy comparable to traditional methods tuned by human experts while eliminating the need for experiment-specific parameter tuning. Although current throughput requires optimization for MHz facilities, our system's scalable architecture and demonstrated model compression capabilities provide a foundation for future high-throughput XFEL deployments.

Wang, Cong↗

DOE OSTI2025

Automated shaker placement and regularized input estimation for MIMO testing.

Multi-input, multi-output (MIMO) testing is used in component qualification to reproduce operational responses in the laboratory. It is often preferred to single-input and base-shake testing because of the potential for equivalent or better tests using smaller actuators and shorter test suites. Given a target response, two key steps in MIMO test design are selecting actuator locations and solving for input loads. Actuator locations are often manually selected using expert judgment. If an automatic method is used, locations are usually determined by simulating the vibration control problem and minimizing a combination of the input energy and control residuals. To select a configuration, the relative importance of input energy and residuals must be specified. Specifying relative weights is, in general, a manual and subjective process. This paper develops an objective function that compares actuator configurations based on control accuracy and required input energy without any manual parameter tuning. The objective function uses an optimally selected tradeoff parameter for each candidate configuration. To choose actuator locations using the new objective function, a pivoting algorithm for integer programming problems is developed. Starting with an initial configuration (such as the one generated by a greedy algorithm), the pivoting algorithm guarantees an objective function decrease in each iteration until convergence is reached. In a simulation featuring a structure excited by a diffuse acoustic field, electrodynamic shaker locations and regularized inputs are solved for without any analyst-specified parameters. Simulations are performed in MIMO configurations where the number of target responses is less than, equal to, and greater than the number of actuators.

Multi-input multi-output↗

DOE OSTI2026

Critical structural parameter determining magnetic phases in the F⁡e 2 ⁢M⁢o 3 ⁢O 8 altermagnet system

A systematic structural investigation of F⁡e 2 ⁢M⁢o 3⁢ O 8 as a function of pressure, temperature, and magnetic field reveals that the 𝑃⁢6 3 ⁢𝑚⁢𝑐 space group remains robust over a wide range of conditions. No changes in the long-range crystal structure are observed for pressures up to 10 GPa, temperatures between 11 K and 300 K, and magnetic fields up to 9 T. The magnetostructural response, quantified by Δ⁢𝑐/𝑐, is determined for magnetic fields applied transverse to the crystallographic 𝑐 axis, demonstrating strong magnetoelastic coupling. The well-known magnetic-field-induced transition is confirmed to be first order and isostructural, occurring between two distinct altermagnetic states. Importantly, this transition can also be accessed using magnetic fields applied within the 𝑎𝑏 plane. When expressed in terms of the 𝑐/𝑎 ratio, the structural evolution under pressure (0–10 GPa) maps continuously onto that observed across the full Zn substitution range in (F⁡e 1−𝑦⁢ Z⁢n 𝑦 )2 M⁢o 3 ⁢O 8 ⁢(0 ≤ 𝑦 ≤ 1), indicating a common underlying structural control parameter. Furthermore, these results demonstrate that the 𝑐-axis lattice parameter is the primary structural degree of freedom governing magnetic behavior under external tuning parameters. More broadly, they indicate that magnetic order in this family of complex oxides (𝐴 2 ⁢M⁢o 3 ⁢O 8 , 𝐴 = Co,Mn,Ni) can be systematically tuned via pressure. This tunability highlights these materials as promising platforms for controllable magnetic switching, particularly in thin films integrated with piezoelectric substrates.

36 MATERIALS SCIENCE↗

DOE OSTI2025

Model Calibration with Markov Chain Monte Carlo Tutorial

The purpose of this tutorial is to demonstrate how to use Markov chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) to calibrate a model. By calibration, we mean the selection of model parameters (and, when relevant, structures). A common goal in model development and diagnostics is calibration, or the identification of model structures and parameters which are consistent with data. While models can be calibrated through hand-tuning parameters or minimizing simple error metrics such as root-mean-square-error (RMSE), these approaches can underrepresent the probabilistic nature of the data-generating process, as well as the potential for multiple model configurations to be consistent with the data. Probabilistic uncertainty quantification, which is the topic of this notebook, can address these concerns. This tutorial is presented as an appendix to the e-book: Addressing Uncertainty in MultiSector Dynamics Research.

Markov chain Monte Carlo↗

NASA NTRS2015

A New Formulation of the Filter-Error Method for Aerodynamic Parameter Estimation in Turbulence

A new formulation of the filter-error method for estimating aerodynamic parameters in nonlinear aircraft dynamic models during turbulence was developed and demonstrated. The approach uses an estimate of the measurement noise covariance to identify the model parameters, their uncertainties, and the process noise covariance, in a relaxation method analogous to the output-error method. Prior information on the model parameters and uncertainties can be supplied, and a post-estimation correction to the uncertainty was included to account for colored residuals not considered in the theory. No tuning parameters, needing adjustment by the analyst, are used in the estimation. The method was demonstrated in simulation using the NASA Generic Transport Model, then applied to the subscale T-2 jet-engine transport aircraft flight. Modeling results in different levels of turbulence were compared with results from time-domain output error and frequency- domain equation error methods to demonstrate the effectiveness of the approach.

Grauer, Jared A.↗

DOE OSTI2025

Surrogate-Based Autotuning for Randomized Sketching Algorithms in Regression Problems

Algorithms from Randomized Numerical Linear Algebra (RandNLA) are known to be effective in handling high-dimensional computational problems, providing high-quality empirical performance as well as strong probabilistic guarantees. However, their practical application is complicated by the fact that the user needs to set various algorithm-specific tuning parameters which are different from those used in traditional NLA. This paper demonstrates how a surrogate-based autotuning approach can be used to address fundamental problems of parameter selection in RandNLA algorithms. In particular, we provide a detailed investigation of surrogate-based autotuning for sketch-and-precondition (SAP)-based randomized least squares methods, which have been one of the great success stories in modern RandNLA. Empirical results show that our surrogate-based autotuning approach can achieve near-optimal performance with much less tuning cost than a random search (up to about 7.6x fewer trials of different parameter configurations). Moreover, while our experiments focus on least squares, our results demonstrate a general-purpose autotuning pipeline applicable to any kind of RandNLA algorithm.

Cho, Younghyun↗

DOE OSTI2026

Electronic structure of the kagome compound CaTi 3⁢ Bi 4 using high-field torque magnetometry and density functional theory

Here, we report systematic torque magnetometry measurements to investigate the electronic properties of the newly discovered kagome compound CaTi 3 ⁢Bi 4 . Electrical transport, magnetic susceptibility, and thermal measurements reveal no evidence of a magnetic ground state in this material. Torque data obtained in magnetic fields up to 41.5 T exhibit clear de Haas–van Alphen (dHvA) oscillations, with nine distinct frequencies ranging from 13 to 6164 T. Angular-dependent dHvA measurements show that, with the exception of the lowest frequency (13 T), all observed frequencies nearly follow a 1/cos ⁡𝜃 dependence, where 𝜃 is the angle between the crystallographic 𝑐 axis and the magnetic field direction. This behavior is characteristic of quasi-two-dimensional Fermi-surface sheets with nearly circular cross sections. To further elucidate the electronic structure, we performed density functional theory (DFT) calculations of the band structure and Fermi surface. The calculated bands reveal the presence of multiple Dirac points (DP), flat bands (FB), and van Hove singularities (VHS) near the Fermi level. The resulting Fermi surface consists of several quasi-two-dimensional cylindrical sheets, consistent with the experimentally observed 1/cos⁡ 𝜃 dependence. Notably, the theoretical dHvA frequencies, derived from extremal Fermi-surface cross-sectional areas, agree well with the experimental values and reproduce their angular dependence. Remarkably, all experimentally observed frequencies are captured by the DFT predictions. Pressure-dependent calculations up to 10 GPa show that the electronic features—DP, FB, and VHS—evolve systematically with pressure. In particular, the VHS shifts closer to the Fermi level, demonstrating that pressure acts as an effective tuning parameter in this material. These combined experimental and theoretical results provide a comprehensive understanding of the electronic structure of CaTi 3 ⁢Bi 4 and demonstrate how pressure can be used to tune its key electronic features, offering valuable guidance for exploring related kagome materials.

Shtefiienko, Kyryl [West Texas A & M University, C↗