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Search indexed NASA NTRS and DOE OSTI research on propulsion, heat transfer, battery materials and energy systems. Follow report and document links to the original sources.

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All sourcesNASA NTRSDOE OSTI
DOE OSTI2025

Do We Know How to Model Reionization?

I compare the power spectra of the radiation fields from two recent sets of fully-coupled simulations that model cosmic reionization: “Cosmic Reionization On Computers” (CROC) and “Thesan”. While both simulations have similar power spectra of the radiation sources, the power spectra of the photoionization rate are significantly different at the same values of cosmic time or the same values of the mean neutral hydrogen fraction. However, the power spectra of the photoionization rate can be matched at large scales for the two simulations when the matching snapshots are allowed to vary independently. I.e., on large scales, the clustering of the radiation field in two simulations evolves similarly, but the exact timing of this evolution is different in different simulations and is not parameterized by an easily interpretable physical quantity like the mean neutral fraction or the mean free path. On small scales, large differences are present and remain partially unexplained. Both CROC and Thesan use the Variable Eddington Tensor approximation for modeling radiative transfer, but adopt different closure relations (optically thin OTVET versus M1). The role of this key difference is tested by using smaller simulations with a new cosmological simulation code that implements both closure relations in a controlled environment (the same hydro, cooling, and gravity solvers and the star formation recipe). In these controlled tests, both the M1 closure and the OTVET ansatz follow the expected behavior from a simple analytical approximation, demonstrating that the differences in the 2-point function of the radiation field induced by the choice of the Eddington tensor are not dominant.

79 ASTRONOMY AND ASTROPHYSICS↗
DOE OSTI2026

Late-time Hubble Space Telescope Ultraviolet Spectra of SN 2023ixf and SN 2024ggi Show Ongoing Interaction with Circumstellar Material

We present far- and near-ultraviolet (UV) spectra of the type II supernovae (SNe) SN 2023ixf from days 199 to 722 and SN 2024ggi at days 41 and 232. Both SNe show broad, blueshifted, and asymmetric UV emission lines with an initial maximum velocity of ∼9000 km s −1 and narrow unresolved emission in C ivλλ1548.9, 1550.8. We compare the optical and UV emission-line profiles, showing that they evolve from two distinct velocity profiles to a single profile tracing the UV emission. We interpret this as shock power from interaction with circumstellar material coming to dominate over the radioactive-decay power from the inner ejecta. Comparing our observations to radiative transfer models with injected shock power, we find SN 2024ggi is best matched by P shock,abs = 1 × 10 41 erg s −1 at day 40; SN 2023ixf at day 300 and SN 2024ggi at day 200 are best matched by P shock,abs = 1 × 10 40 erg s −1 ; and SN 2023ixf at day 600 is best matched by Pshock,abs = 5 × 10 39 erg s −1 . From these models, we find that the mass-loss rate of both SNe increased just before the explosion. For SN 2023ixf, our mass-loss rates go from 4 × 10 −5 M ⊙ yr −1 at 600 yr before explosion to 2 × 10 −2 M ⊙ yr − 1 at 15 yr prior to explosion. For SN 2024ggi, we find a mass-loss rate of 9 × 10 −5 M ⊙ yr −1 at 150 yr before explosion and 1 × 10 −3 M ⊙ yr −1 at 30 yr before explosion.

79 ASTRONOMY AND ASTROPHYSICS↗
DOE OSTI2026

In-Band Scattering and Absorption of Infrared Blocking Foam Filters for Millimeter-wave Cameras

Expanded closed-cell polymer foams are widely used as thermal infrared (IR) blocking filters in millimeter-wave cameras, particularly for Cosmic Microwave Background observations. Precise knowledge of their millimeter-wave properties is essential for optimizing sensitivity. We present broadband (150 GHz - 2 THz) transmittance spectroscopy of Styroace-II and several Zotefoam filters, fitting their spectra with a radiative transfer model incorporating dielectric absorption and Rayleigh, Mie, and higher-order scattering. For a typical 5~cm thick filter stack at 280~GHz, Styroace-II exhibits ${\sim}10\%$ scattering with absorption estimated as ${\lesssim}5\%$ by effective-medium theory, while Zotefoam HD30 offers superior performance at ${\sim}3\%$ scattering and absorption likewise bounded to ${{\lesssim}0.3\%}$. Each model component is constrained at the ${\sim}0.1\%$ transmittance level for millimeter wavelengths. We observe batch-to-batch scattering variability of up to 2 percentage points in foams with multiple tested batches. Less commonly used Zotefoam formulations (LD15 and LD24) can further reduce in-band scattering to ${<}1\%$ while maintaining negligible in-band absorption and likely comparable IR blocking due to shared polyethylene absorption features and similar cell sizes. Based on this work, a filter constructed from the best measured LD24 batch has replaced the Styroace-II filter in a Simons Observatory 220/280 GHz Small Aperture Telescope.

Thomas, Alex [Chicago U., Astron. Astrophys. Ctr.;↗
DOE OSTI2024

A reduced-order model for nonlinear radiative transfer problems based on moment equations and POD-Petrov-Galerkin projection of the normalized Boltzmann transport equation

A data-driven projection-based reduced-order model (ROM) for nonlinear thermal radiative transfer (TRT) problems is presented. The TRT ROM is formulated by (i) a hierarchy of low-order quasidiffusion (aka variable Eddington factor) equations for moments of the radiation intensity and (ii) the normalized Boltzmann transport equation (BTE). The multilevel system of moment equations is derived by projection of the BTE onto a sequence of subspaces which represent elements of the phase space of the problem. Exact closure for the moment equations is provided by the Eddington tensor. A Petrov-Galerkin (PG) projection of the normalized BTE is formulated using a proper orthogonal decomposition (POD) basis representing the normalized radiation intensity over the whole phase space and time. The Eddington tensor linearly depends on the solution of the normalized BTE. By linear superposition of the POD basis functions, a low-rank expansion of the Eddington tensor is constructed with coefficients defined by the PG projected normalized BTE. The material energy balance (MEB) equation is coupled with the effective gray low-order equations which exist on the same dimensional scale as the MEB equation. The resulting TRT ROM is structure and asymptotic preserving. A detailed analysis of the ROM is performed on the classical Fleck-Cummings (F-C) TRT multigroup test problem in 2D geometry. Numerical results are presented to demonstrate the ROM's effectiveness in the simulation of radiation wave phenomena. Importantly, the ROM is shown to produce solutions with sufficiently high accuracy while using low-rank approximation of the normalized BTE solution. Essential physical characteristics of supersonic radiation wave are preserved in the ROM solutions.

72 PHYSICS OF ELEMENTARY PARTICLES AND FIELDS↗
DOE OSTI2024

Multi-physics Modeling of Radiative Heat Transfer and Fluid Flow for the Reactor Cavity Cooling System

High-temperature gas-cooled reactors (HTGRs) are notable for their high thermal efficiency and potential for combined heat and power applications. These reactors are particularly appealing due to their advanced passive safety features. HTGRs utilize passive safety systems that function without requiring active components like pumps or compressors during emergencies. These reactor designs depend on a Reactor Cavity Cooling System (RCCS) to manage decay heat removal from the reactor pressure vessel (RPV) during accident conditions. The RCCS consists of vertical rectangular channels known as "risers" or riser ducts positioned around the RPV. These risers receive heat from the RPV through both convective and radiative heat transfer mechanisms. Understanding the interplay of multiple physical phenomena, such as fluid dynamics, heat transfer, and neutron interactions, is essential for the effective design and operation of nuclear reactors, particularly for systems like the RCCS. Multi-physics simulations provide a comprehensive approach to studying these interactions, offering detailed insights and enhancing accuracy. They are especially important in RCCS designs, where the interaction between radiative and convective heat transfer can significantly impact system performance. By leveraging multi-physics simulations, complex reactor behaviors can be modeled without compromising the fidelity of the underlying physical processes. This work aims to establish a robust methodology for coupling multiple physical processes in an air-cooled RCCS. By focusing on validating this multi-physics approach, the study involves designing test cases that simulate various conditions to verify the numerical models employed. The outcomes of this research will provide critical insights for accurately modeling and optimizing complex nuclear systems like the RCCS.

22 GENERAL STUDIES OF NUCLEAR REACTORS↗
DOE OSTI2025

Radiative impact of record-breaking wildfires from integrated ground-based data

The radiative effects of wildfires have been traditionally estimated by models using radiative transfer calculations. Assessment of model-predicted radiative effects commonly involves information on observation-based aerosol optical properties. However, lack or incompleteness of this information for dense plumes generated by intense wildfires reduces substantially the applicability of this assessment. Here we introduce a novel method that provides additional observational constraints for such assessments using widely available ground-based measurements of shortwave and spectrally resolved irradiances and aerosol optical depth (AOD) in the visible and near-infrared spectral ranges. We apply our method to quantify the radiative impact of the record-breaking wildfires that occurred in the Western US in September 2020. For our quantification we use integrated ground-based data collected at the Atmospheric Measurements Laboratory in Richland, Washington, USA with a location frequently downwind of wildfires in the Western US. We demonstrate that remarkably dense plumes generated by these wildfires strongly reduced the solar surface irradiance (up to 70% or 450 Wm -2 for total shortwave flux) and almost completely masked the sun from view due to extremely large AOD (above 10 at 500 nm wavelength). We also demonstrate that the plume-induced radiative impact is comparable in magnitude with those produced by a violent volcano eruption occurred in the Western US in 1980 and continental cumuli.

54 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES↗
DOE OSTI2024

Assessment of the CTF subchannel code for modeling a large-break loss-of-coolant accident reflood transient

With increased industry interest in extending reactor operating cycles, the Nuclear Energy Advanced Modeling and Simulation (NEAMS) program has been investigating the behavior of high-burnup fuel during design basis accidents such as the large-break loss-of-coolant accident (LBLOCA) with consideration for risk of fuel fragmentation, relocation, and dispersal (FFRD). As part of that activity, the NEAMS subchannel thermal/ hydraulics (T/H) code, CTF, is being used for modeling of LBLOCA and to determine the impact of subchannel resolution on results. Although CTF includes a wide range of models for LBLOCA conditions, the code has not been used for this application while maintained at Oak Ridge National Laboratory (ORNL) until now. Therefore, here, in this work, a preliminary assessment of several of these models was performed using openly available reflood experimental data from the Flooding Experiments in Blocked Arrays (FEBA) tests. One coarse mesh and one fine mesh model were set up in CTF for high and low flooding rate tests performed in the unblocked FEBA facility. A coarse TRACE model was set up to be as consistent as possible with the coarse CTF model to allow for code-to-code benchmarking. The assessment shows a tendency of the codes to over-predict peak cladding temperature (PCT) near the top of the bundle and to quench early. Advanced spacer grid models were shown to improve upper bundle predictions in CTF. The resolved CTF model over-predicted PCT by a larger degree in the center channels in the low-flooding rate test, and it is believed that the radiative heat transfer model, which was not used in this study, may be needed to correct this over-prediction. Finally, this work demonstrates the importance of the droplet model in determining quench time and vapor temperature and PCT prediction, which necessitates a more in-depth validation of these models in the future.

21 SPECIFIC NUCLEAR REACTORS AND ASSOCIATED PLANTS↗
DOE OSTI2025

Development, Verification, and Validation of an OpenFOAM-Based Solver for Modeling Inertial Fusion Energy Chambers

Our work seeks to introduce a computational tool tailored to the physics of inertial fusion energy chambers, in particular, those concepts based on thick liquid walls. In this approach, the structural materials are protected by several neutron mean-free-paths of renewable liquid and thus will be able to survive much longer than un-shielded walls, with virtually all structures lasting for the life of the plant and enabling the use of commercially available and qualified materials. The OpenFOAM-based solver named rhoCentralFoam has been used as a starting point. rhoCentralFoam belongs to the standard OpenFOAM solver toolset. It is a high-speed, explicit compressible flow solver with shock-capturing capability. While the main features have been retained, the solver had to be restructured to make use of tabular data for equations of states, a necessary addition to model the complex thermo-physical properties of ionized gasses. This entailed the need to change the independent state variables used by the solver, resulting in a new thermodynamic library and slightly different solution algorithm. Moreover, a radiation heat transfer model based on the P-1 approximation was added to the solver. The solver is verified against an analytical solution from the Sedov-Taylor-Neumann test problem to showcase the ability of the hydrodynamic solvers to handle strong shocks, whereas the P-1 model was verified using a simple one-dimensional problem with an analytical solution. Additionally, a validation case involving shock-wave propagation through jet array is presented, and the results are compared with experimental data from the open literature. Lastly, in order to showcase the utility of the solver for practical cases, we applied the refined solver to two representative scenarios: gas venting within the HYLIFE-II chamber and the compression of the gas following the partial ablation of the liquid wall.

Chamber dynamics↗
DOE OSTI2025

Direct numerical simulations for hybrid rocket boundary layers: Performance modeling and scaling

This paper presents a comprehensive performance and scaling analysis of direct numerical simulations for reacting boundary layers, focusing on slab burner configurations. Using a PETSc-based finite volume CFD framework, the study evaluates the scalability and computational cost of flow, chemistry, and radiation evaluations across 2D and 3D simulations. Polymethyl methacrylate (PMMA) is the fuel with pure O 2 as the oxidizer, modeled using a detailed chemical kinetics mechanism with 113 species and 660 reactions. A ray-tracing-based radiation solver, designed for distributed memory applications, is implemented to model radiation heat transfer. Parallel scalability is analyzed for the coupled flow, chemistry, and radiation heat transfer processes. Weak and strong scaling studies are conducted on up to 15,000 computational ranks, revealing robust performance when flow cells exceed 200 per rank. Chemistry evaluations dominate the computational cost in large 3D simulations, accounting for approximately 40% of the total runtime, while flow processes contribute around 35%, and radiation solver contributions remain below 10% due to reduced evaluation frequencies. GPU accelerated chemistry evaluation, implemented with Zero-RK, demonstrates significant promise, achieving up to a 4x speedup for workloads exceeding 30,000 cells per GPU. However, diminishing returns are observed for smaller workloads due to CPU-GPU communication overhead. This study identifies key challenges, including memory bottlenecks and the effects of domain partitioning on flow scalability, while highlighting the potential of GPU-accelerated chemistry to reduce computational costs. In conclusion, these findings provide realizable run configurations for 2D, 3D, and GPU-accelerated cases, offering insights for optimizing reactive flow solvers.

CFD Scalability↗
DOE OSTI2026

Heat Transfer in Nuclear Waste Glasses: Measurements and Modeling of Thermal Radiation Properties

We measured and modeled near infrared extinction of nuclear waste glasses from 300 °C to 1150 °C to enable predictive radiation heat transfer and thermal conductivity estimates. A composition and redox informed model resolved contributions from key chromophores (Fe+2-O-Fe+3, V+4, free and bonded ?Si-OH groups) and, when present, spinel particles that can cause strong scattering. The model reproduced measured absorption from room temperature up to 1150 °C, with minor discrepancies near 1 µm (likely due to possible trace impurities) and 2.5 µm (linked to uncertainty in hydroxy groups). Spectra showed silicate melts were semitransparent mainly in the 0.5–4.0 µm window, responsible for radiation thermal conductivity that generally increases with increasing temperature. We quantified the dependence of effective thermal conductivity on dissolved water and provided distributions across >100 LAW/HLW/DFHLW melts at 1150 °C, supporting improved melter heat transfer modeling.

Ferkl, Pavel↗
DOE OSTI2024

Development and Experimental Optimization of High-Temperature Modeling Tools and Methods for Concentrated Solar Power Particle - Systems

A novel, open-source radiative modeling toolset was developed to extend the functionality of particle-based modeling software (e.g. discrete element method (DEM)) to environmental conditions relevant to concentrated solar power applications. This toolset was optimized for deployment on desktop workstations instead of high-performance computing systems, to render such tools more accessible to the research community. Both particle-based modeling and radiative exchange modeling are computationally expensive and often require specialized programming expertise, making these methods cumbersome to use. Recent developments in DEM software by DCS Computing have greatly reduced these challenges, providing a graphical-user-interface based platform and modeling optimization for desktop workstations, HPCs, and cloud computing. The University of Dayton leveraged the experience of DCS Computing in developing a user-friendly, open-source radiative heat transfer expansion for DEM modeling. The University of Dayton DEM+ radiative modeling toolset was developed using a combination of fundamental experimental measurements, modeling, and simplified flow experiments over a range of temperatures and flow conditions. The toolset provides researchers with access to multiple radiative models including an accelerated Monte-Carlo Ray Tracing (application agnostic, highly computationally expensive), an expanded database of distance-based approximations (application limited, computationally light), and a weighted blending of the two methods capable of achieving over 90% reduction in computation time with equivalent accuracy compared to Monte-Carlo Ray Tracing. Through a graphical user interface, users can customize the radiative models to match their desired accuracy and available computational resources, improving access to particle based modeling for the research community. Ceramic sintered bauxite proppants were used in modeling and experimentally as a baseline. Both the radiative heat transfer and flow properties for particulate systems were investigated at elevated temperatures up to 800 °C. The major accomplishments for this work include a verified, open-source radiative modeling toolset to be distributed amongst the research community and the fabrication of three small-scale test facilities to investigate particle behavior and tune DEM flow properties for operation up to 800 °C. The findings have been shared with the research community via conference modeling workshops, deployment of the tools in DCS Computing Aspherix®, and open-source access to the developed radiative modeling tool. The development of next-generation CSP facilities and thermal energy storage systems based on ceramic particles requires providing access to computationally efficient and accurate modeling tools. Particles will experience a wide range of environments (20-800 °C) and handling conditions (dilute curtains or dense packing), requiring specially designed and optimized equipment. Optimizing solid particle physics models and establishing best-practices for particle modeling in CSP environments will assist researchers with designing optimized equipment, accelerating the deployment of more economically-competitive CSP facilities.

14 SOLAR ENERGY↗
DOE OSTI2025

Physics-driven Explosions of Stripped High-mass Stars: Synthetic Light Curves and Spectra of Stripped-envelope Supernovae with Broad Light Curves

Stripped-envelope supernovae (SESNe) represent a significant fraction of core-collapse supernovae, arising from massive stars that have shed their hydrogen and, in some cases, helium envelopes. The origins and explosion mechanisms of SESNe remain a topic of active investigation. In this work, we employ radiative-transfer simulations to model the light curves and spectra of a set of explosions of single, solar-metallicity, massive Wolf–Rayet stars with ejecta masses ranging from 4 to 11 M ⊙ , which were computed from a turbulence-aided and neutrino-driven explosion mechanism. We analyze these synthetic observables to explore the impact of varying ejecta mass and helium content on observable features. We find that the light curve shape of these progenitors with high ejecta masses is consistent with observed SESNe with broad light curves but not the peak luminosities. The commonly used analytic formula based on rising bolometric light curves overestimates the ejecta mass of these high-initial-mass progenitor explosions by a factor of up to 2.6. In contrast, the calibrated method by Haynie et al., which relies on late-time decay tails, reduces uncertainties to an average of 20% within the calibrated ejecta mass range. Spectroscopically, the He I 1.083 μm line remains prominent even in models with as little as 0.02 M ⊙ of helium. However, the strength of the optical He I lines is not directly proportional to the helium mass but instead depends on a complex interplay of factors such as the 56 Ni distribution, composition, and radiation field. Thus, producing realistic helium features requires detailed radiative transfer simulations for each new hydrodynamic model.

79 ASTRONOMY AND ASTROPHYSICS↗
DOE OSTI2024

Modeling Molecular Hydrogen in Low-metallicity Galaxies

We use a suite of hydrodynamics simulations of the interstellar medium (ISM) within a galactic disk, which includes radiative transfer, a nonequilibrium model of molecular hydrogen, and a realistic model for star formation and feedback, to study the structure of the ISM and H 2 abundance as a function of local ISM properties. We show that the star formation rate and structure of the ISM are sensitive to the metallicity of the gas with a progressively smoother density distribution with decreasing metallicity. In addition to the well-known trend of the H I–H 2 transition shifting to higher densities with decreasing metallicity, the maximum achieved molecular fraction in the ISM drops drastically at Z ≲ 0.2 Z ⊙ as the formation time of H 2 becomes much longer than a typical lifetime of dense regions of the ISM. We present accurate fitting formulae for both volumetric and projected ƒ H 2 measured on different scales as a function of gas metallicity, UV radiation field, and gas density. We show that when the formulae are applied to the patches in the simulated galaxy, the overall molecular gas mass is reproduced to better than a factor of ≲1.5 across the entire range of metallicities and scales. We also show that the presented fit is considerably more accurate than any of the previous ƒ H 2 models and fitting formulae in the low-metallicity regime. The fit can thus be used for modeling molecular gas in low-resolution simulations and semi-analytic models of galaxy formation in the dwarf and high-redshift regimes.

79 ASTRONOMY AND ASTROPHYSICS↗
DOE OSTI2025

Characterizing leaf-scale fluorescence with spectral invariants

Sun-induced chlorophyll fluorescence (SIF) is increasingly recognized as a non-destructive probe for tracking terrestrial photosynthesis. Emerging developments in spectral invariants theory provide an innovative and efficient approach for representing SIF radiative transfer processes at the canopy scale. However, modeling leaf-scale fluorescence based on the spectral invariants properties (SIP) remains underexplored. In this study, the spectral invariants theory is employed for the first time to model the leaf-scale total, backward and forward fluorescence (leaf-SIP SIF). The leaf-SIP SIF model separates the leaf-scale radiative transfer process into two distinct components: the wavelength-dependent one associated with leaf biochemical properties, and the wavelength-independent component linked to leaf structural characteristics. The leaf structure-related effects are characterized by two spectrally invariant parameters: the photon recollision probability (p) and the scattering asymmetry parameter (q), which are parameterized using the directly measurable leaf dry matter. Evaluation against field measurements shows that the proposed leaf-SIP SIF model has a good performance, with coefficient of determination (R 2 ) of 0.89, 0.89, 0.90 and root mean squared errors (RMSE) of 1.28, 0.69, 0.74 Wm -2 µm -1 sr -1 , respectively for the total, backward, and forward fluorescence (660–800 nm). The leaf-SIP SIF model with a more concise formulation demonstrates comparable performance with the widely used Fluspect model. Further, the leaf-SIP SIF model provides a simple and efficient approach for simulating leaf-scale fluorescence, with the potential to be integrated into a unified SIP-based model framework for simulating the radiative transfer processes across the soil-leaf-canopy-atmosphere continuum.

59 BASIC BIOLOGICAL SCIENCES↗
DOE OSTI2025

Tensorized Interior Radiative Heat Transfer for a Scalable and Calibrated Building Energy Simulator

Building energy simulation is a critical tool for developing and testing advanced control strategies, such as Reinforcement Learning (RL), to provide demand flexibility and affordable energy costs. The recently introduced Smart Buildings Control Suite (sbsim) provides a lightweight, scalable, and data-calibrated simulation environment based on a 2D finite-difference model. However, the initial model primarily focused on conductive and convective heat transfer, neglecting the significant impact of long-wave radiative heat exchange between interior surfaces. This paper presents a significant extension to the sbsim framework by incorporating a physically-grounded model for interior radiative heat transfer. Our primary contribution is the development and integration of a fully tensorized radiative heat transfer module, which preserves the computational efficiency and scalability of the original simulator. This was achieved by developing a pipeline for view factor calculation, including an algorithm to identify directly seeing surfaces within complex floor plans, and formulating the net radiation equations for efficient execution on modern hardware accelerators. We validate the numerical accuracy of our tensorized implementation by comparing its results against a traditional iterative approach, demonstrating identical outcomes. This enhancement increases the physical fidelity of sbsim, enabling more accurate training of RL agents for building energy optimization.

Ham, Sang woo↗
DOE OSTI2025

Inferring Neutron Star Merger Ejecta Morphology with Kilonovae

In this study we incorporate a new grid of kilonova simulations produced by the Monte Carlo radiative transfer code SuperNu in an inference pipeline for astrophysical transients and evaluate their performance. These simulations contain four different two-component ejecta morphology classes. We analyze follow-up observational strategies by Vera Rubin Observatory in optical and James Webb Space Telescope (JWST) in mid-infrared (MIR). Our analysis suggests that, within these strategies, it is possible to discriminate between the four different morphologies only when late-time JWST observations in MIR are available. We conclude that follow-ups by the new Vera Rubin Observatory alone are not sufficient to determine ejecta morphology. Additionally, we make comparisons between surrogate models based on radiative transfer simulation grids by SuperNu and POSSIS, by analyzing the historic kilonova AT2017gfo that accompanied the gravitational wave event GW170817. We show that both SuperNu and POSSIS models provide similar fits to photometric observations but their qualitative interpretations differ.

79 ASTRONOMY AND ASTROPHYSICS↗
DOE OSTI2024

Cosmology before noon with multiple galaxy populations

Near-future facilities observing the high-redshift universe (2 < z < 5) will have an opportunity to take advantage of "multi-tracer" cosmology by observing multiple tracers of the matter density field: Lyman alpha emitters (LAE), Lyman break galaxies (LBG), and CMB lensing κ. Here, in this work we use Fisher forecasts to investigate the effect of multi-tracers on next-generation facilities. In agreement with previous work, we show that multiple tracers improve constraints primarily from degeneracy breaking, instead of the traditional intuition of sample variance cancellation. Then, we forecast that for both BBN and CMB primary priors, the addition of lensing and LAEs onto a LBG-only sample will gain 25% or more in many parameters, with the largest gains being factor of ~ 10 improvement for f EDE . We include a preliminary approach towards modelling the impact of radiative transfer (RT) on forecasts involving LAEs by introducing a simplified model at linear theory level. Our results, albeit preliminary, show that while RT influences LAE-only forecasts strongly, its effect on composite multi-tracer forecasts is limited.

79 ASTRONOMY AND ASTROPHYSICS↗
DOE OSTI2024

Impact of Systematic Modeling Uncertainties on Kilonova Property Estimation

The precise atomic structure and therefore the wavelength-dependent opacities of lanthanides are highly uncertain. This uncertainty introduces systematic errors in modeling transients like kilonovae and estimating key properties such as mass, characteristic velocity, and heavy metal content. Here, we quantify how atomic data from across the literature as well as choices of thermalization efficiency of r-process radioactive decay heating impact the light curve and spectra of kilonovae. Specifically, we analyze the spectra of a grid of models produced by the radiative transfer code Sedona that span the expected range of kilonova properties to identify regions with the highest systematic uncertainty. Our findings indicate that differences in atomic data have a substantial impact on estimates of lanthanide mass fraction, spanning approximately 1 order of magnitude for lanthanide-rich ejecta, and demonstrate the difficulty in precisely measuring the lanthanide fraction in lanthanide-poor ejecta. Mass estimates vary typically by 25%–40% for differing atomic data. Similarly, the choice of thermalization efficiency can affect mass estimates by 20%–50%. Observational properties such as color and decay rate are highly model dependent. Velocity estimation, when fitting solely based on the light curve, can have a typical error of ∼100%. Atomic data of light r-process elements can strongly affect blue emission. Even for well-observed events like GW170817, the total lanthanide production estimated using different atomic data sets can vary by a factor of ∼6.

Gravitational wave sources↗