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Search indexed NASA NTRS and DOE OSTI research on propulsion, heat transfer, battery materials and energy systems. Follow report and document links to the original sources.

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At least 37 records · Page 2
All sourcesNASA NTRSDOE OSTI
DOE OSTI2024

In-situ heating-and-electron tomography for materials research: from 3D ( In-situ 2D) to 4D ( In-situ 3D)

In-situ observation has expanded the application of transmission electron microscopy (TEM) and has made a significant contribution to materials research and development for energy, biomedical, quantum, etc. Recent technological developments related to in-situ TEM have empowered the incorporation of three-dimensional observation, which was previously considered incompatible. In this review article, we take up heating as the most commonly used external stimulus for in-situ TEM observation and overview recent in-situ TEM studies. Then, we focus on the electron tomography (ET) and in-situ heating combined observation by introducing the authors’ recent research as an example. Assuming that in-situ heating observation is expanded from two dimensions to three dimensions using a conventional TEM apparatus and a commercially available in-situ heating specimen holder, the following in-situ heating-and-ET observation procedure is proposed: (i) use a rapid heating-and-cooling function of a micro-electro-mechanical system holder; (ii) heat and cool the specimen intermittently and (iii) acquire a tilt-series dataset when the specimen heating is stopped. This procedure is not too technically challenging and can have a wide range of applications. Essential technical points for a successful 4D (space and time) observation will be discussed through reviewing the authors’ example application.

36 MATERIALS SCIENCE↗
DOE OSTI2022

High Performance Computing to Quantify the Evolution of Microscopic Concentration Gradients During Flash Processing

During the Flash process, the cross section of a plain-carbon or a low-alloy steel is austenitized through rapid heating and transformed on rapid cooling to a predominantly martensite + bainite structure with small amounts of retained austenite. Unlike conventional heat treating, homogeneity is intentionally avoided during Flash processing of steels. The Flash process assembly consists of a pair of rolls that transfer the steel sheets through the heating and cooling stage of the thermal cycle. The initial microstructure of the steel consists of ferrite (body-centered cubic iron) + carbide ((Fe,X)mCn) mixture. The heating rate through the peak temperature is a function of temperature and reaches a peak of about 300-400°C/s and the cooling rate has a maximum value of 3,000-4,000°C/s. The on-heating phase transformations include carbide dissolution, austenite (face-centered cubic iron) nucleation and growth, and diffusion of carbon and other substitutional elements in the steel. The on-cooling phase transformations include formation of martensite (body-centered tetragonal phase containing supersaturated solute) and bainite (ferrite plates with or without fine carbides). In this project, the focus is on Fe-C-Cr steels that are currently Flash processed for armor applications. The modeling effort proposed here will help optimize the Flash thermal cycle for these low alloy steels to achieve the target performance, which is an ongoing effort at SFP Works. A significant feature of Flash processed Fe-C-Cr steels is the presence of scatter in the through-thickness in the sheet. The variability in hardness results from a variability in the bainite + martensite microstructure that is sensitive to the local chemical concentration of C and Cr. Such a chemical inhomogeneity is intentionally obtained in the Flash process. Although such a microstructural gradient is presumably responsible for the exceptional properties of the Flash processed steel, it is very important to quantify the gradients as a function of Flash variabilities in processing parameters and the input microstructure. Understanding the mechanistic pathway that leads to microstructural gradients could be ground-breaking and instrumental for achieving better process control and optimized microstructural state to meet application-specific strength-ductility requirements. Since the final microstructure depends on setting up precise solute concentration gradients through a rapid heating process, and transforming these regions into various phases, it is important to understand how small changes in steel chemistry, input microstructure (carbide size and distribution), and process variables (Flash thermal cycle) will impact the solute concentration gradients.

97 MATHEMATICS AND COMPUTING↗
DOE OSTI2026

Metrology for femtosecond pulsed x-ray heating in diamond anvil cell experiments at the European XFEL: Revisiting the iron phase diagram up to 150 GPa

The development of pulsed intense x-ray sources, such as free electron laser, offers new avenues for high pressure experiments. Here, we study the feasibility and metrology of x-ray heating in diamond anvil cells at the European x-ray free electron laser. This method enables one to volumetrically heat the sample while inhibiting chemical migration and probing the crystallographic structure of the sample throughout the heating with a high repetition rate. We focus our study on iron, whose phase diagram is well established up to 100 GPa, to explore the possibilities and limitations of this technique. We volumetrically heat iron samples at starting pressures ranging from 10 to 138 GPa, using the x-ray beam pulsed at 4.5 MHz in a serial pump-and-probe experimental design. Experimental challenges arise from temperature gradients within the sample, changes in temperature at the 100 ns timescale, the difficulty of direct temperature estimates, the effect of thermal pressure, and the presence of metastable crystallites due to rapid cycles of heating and cooling. Hence, we develop a multi-crystal-like data processing method that allows us to account for sample heterogeneity in probed conditions. We then calibrate our measurements using known physical properties of iron under pressure. Thermal pressure in our experiments increases from 4% of the isochoric prediction at 10 GPa to 23% at 138 GPa, and we show that our data are in agreement with most previous observations of iron in this pressure range. The method can now be implemented at higher pressures and temperatures and on materials with unknown phase diagrams.

Materials science↗
DOE OSTI2026

Design and performance assessment of a dual-mode latent thermal storage integrated heat pump across multiple climate zones

The electrification of space cooling and heating systems risks overloading the existing electrical grid during peak hours. Heat pumps integrated with thermal energy storage (HP-TES) offer a promising solution by shifting peak loads to off-peak hours, reducing grid strains. This work presents the design and assessment of a dual-mode HP-TES that uses a single 22°C phase-change material (PCM) as a heat source or sink in heating and cooling modes, respectively. Performance assessment was conducted using Modelica-based transient models, and full-year simulations were conducted across eight US climate zones using typical weather data. Two HP-TES performance metrics: peak energy reduction and recharge energy increases, were defined by comparing HP-TES energy consumption with base HP peak consumptions. Annual heating demand reductions (40–65%) exceeded cooling demand reductions (15–20%) due to the elimination of peak-hour backup heating. Cooling mode recharge energy requirements (0–10%) were reduced in locations with lower summer nighttime temperatures, while heating recharge requirements were lower than the high base-peak energy demand from backup heating. Simplified rapid methods that were 10 7 times faster than annual simulations were developed to predict seasonal cooling and heating energy reductions, and recharge energy requirements, with maximum deviations of ±2.5% and ±3.5% points. These methods enabled rapid parametric studies that identified optimal location-specific PCM temperatures between 22°C and 27°C, highlighting the need to consider both discharge and recharge energy requirements to achieve sustainable, energy-efficient peak load shifting across various climate zones.

25 ENERGY STORAGE↗
DOE OSTI2022

Unconventional Pathways to Carbide Phase Synthesis via Thermal Decomposition of UI 4 (1,4-dioxane) 2

UI4(1,4-dioxane) 2 was subjected to laser-based heating-a method that enables localized, fast heating (T > 2000 °C) and rapid cooling under controlled conditions (scan rate, power, atmosphere, etc.)-to understand its thermal decomposition. A predictive computational thermodynamic technique estimated the decomposition temperature of UI 4 (1,4-dioxane) 2 to uranium (U) metal to be 2236 °C, a temperature achievable under laser irradiation. Dictated by the presence of reactive, gaseous byproducts, the thermal decomposition of UI 4 (1,4-dioxane) 2 under furnace conditions up to 600 °C revealed the formation of UO 2 , UI x , and U(C 1–x O x ) y , while under laser irradiation, UI 4 (1,4-dioxane) 2 decomposed to UO 2 , U(C 1–x O x ) y , UC 2–z O z , and UC. Despite the fast dynamics associated with laser irradiation, the central uranium atom reacted with the thermal decomposition products of the ligand (1,4-dioxane = C 4 H 8 O 2 ) instead of producing pure U metal. In conclusion, the results highlight the potential to co-develop uranium precursors with specific irradiation procedures to advance nuclear materials research by finding new pathways to produce uranium carbide.

36 MATERIALS SCIENCE↗
DOE OSTI2022

Formation, cooling history and age of impact events on the IIE iron parent body: Evidence from the Miles meteorite

Most iron meteorites formed in planetary cores during differentiation, but the IIE iron meteorites have chemical and physical features that are inconsistent with this origin. By combining mineral chemistry, mineral modes and three-dimensional petrography, we reconstruct the bulk chemistry of the felsic silicate-bearing Miles IIE iron meteorite and demonstrate that the silicate inclusion compositions are similar to partial melts produced experimentally from an H chondrite composition. We use the reconstructed bulk composition, mineralogy and thermodynamic modelling to show that melting above ~ 1200°C under reducing conditions formed metal (Fe-Ni alloy) and felsic silicate partial melts. Upon cooling, the melts crystallized Mg-rich pyroxenes, Na- and K-rich feldspars, and tridymite. Importantly, this mechanism enriches cosmochemically volatile elements (i.e., those with a 50% condensation temperature of ~430–830°C, like Na and K) to the level found in the felsic silicate inclusions. The presence of crystallographically disordered srilankite (only stable above 1160°C) and an absence of Widmanstätten texture require both high peak temperatures and rapid cooling, which cannot be explained by core formation. Instead, they point to small melt volumes, a transient heat pulse, and small thermal mass, and imply efficient physical segregation of silicate and metallic melts through buoyancy separation followed by rapid cooling that arrested the separation of metal and silicate liquid phases. In situ 207 Pb/ 206 Pb age of 4542.3 ± 4.0 Ma in Zr-oxide and phosphate minerals dates the melting event that formed the silicate inclusions. This age aligns with the earliest ages found in other IIE iron meteorite silicates and requires a heating event ~25 million years after the solar system formed. We found 39 Ar/ 40 Ar ages of 3495 ± 52 Ma (low-T) and 4303 ± 7 Ma (high-T) in a K-feldspar grain, with the 3495 Ma age aligning with later thermal events recorded in other IIE iron meteorites. Dating reveals the complex petrogenetic and thermal history of Miles and the IIE iron meteorites. This is the first IIE iron meteorite found to record evidence of heating at 4.5 and 3.5 Ga likely from impact events. We propose that high-velocity impact(s) into an iron-rich, porous chondritic parent body at ~4.54 Ga produced immiscible metal and silicate melts that cooled rapidly and trapped low density silicate inclusions within high density metal. Other IIE irons that formed at lower peak temperatures (900–1000°C) contain chondritic silicate inclusions and relict chondrules, supporting this conceptual model. In conclusion, this petrogenesis is consistent with thermodynamic modelling, experimental data and the wide range of peak temperatures and cooling rates observed in the IIE iron meteorites.

58 GEOSCIENCES↗
DOE OSTI2021

A rapid heating and high magnetic field thermal analysis technique

Abstract A new thermal analysis technique is described that allows measurements to be performed on bulk samples at extreme heating and cooling rates and in high magnetic fields. High heating rates, up to 1000 °C min −1 , are achieved through electromagnetic induction heating of a custom-built apparatus fitted with commercial thermal analysis heads and sensor. Rapid cooling rates, up to 100 °C min −1 , are enabled by gas quenching and the small thermal mass of the induction furnace. The custom apparatus is designed to fit inside a superconducting magnet capable of fields up to 9 Tesla. This study demonstrates that the instrument is capable of collecting accurate thermal analysis data in high magnetic fields and rapidly acquiring data for dynamic processes. While the full potential of the technique is still unrealized, currently, it can provide insight into phenomena at time scales relevant to heat treatment in many industrial processes and into little understood effects of high magnetic field processing.

47 OTHER INSTRUMENTATION↗
DOE OSTI2023

Switching of Hybrid Improper Ferroelectricity in Oxide Double Perovskites

In ABO 3 -type perovskite oxides with Pnma symmetry, rotation (Q R+ , a 0 a 0 c + ) and tilt (Q T , a – a – c 0 ) of BO 6 octahedra are the two primary order parameters. These order parameters establish an inherent trilinear coupling with anti-ferroelectric A-site displacement (Q AFE ) to form the low-symmetry phase. The symmetry is further lowered in double perovskite oxides (DPOs) due to A/A' cation ordering. It in turn makes these systems polar via hybrid improper ferroelectric mechanism, primarily driven by Q R+ and Q T . Naturally, it has been believed that functionalities such as polarization can also be switched by tuning these primary order parameters. However, mystery around finding switching mechanism still remains. Our study based on density functional theory calculations combined with finite-temperature molecular dynamics simulations shows that the polarization switching is a two-step process, driven by out-of-phase rotation (Q R– , a 0 a 0 c – when Q T = 0 or, a – a – b – when Q T ≠ 0). A series of polar DPOs such as KLnFeOsO 6 [Ln = Sm, Gd, Dy, Tm (lanthanides) and Y (rare earth)], all belonging to P2 1 symmetry, are considered in this investigation. The polarization switching P ($\overrightarrow{P}$) occurs at a very high temperature of ~1150 K through a phase transition, from a polar (P2 1 ) phase with $\overrightarrow{P}$(+) to $\overrightarrow{P}$(-) via a non-polar P4/n phase. The switching itself is metastable in nature. The switching (both polarization and spin state) is only observed for a very short period of time (~23 ps) that poses limitation on using such a mechanism in memory device realization. We demonstrate a concurrent heating–cooling procedure to overcome such shortcoming. In conclusion, simulations conducted at 600 K further imply that long lasting switching can be achieved, at least for 1.2 ns for 600 K, and ideally for an infinite time, if the material is heated just above the T c followed by rapid cooling to a temperature below T c .

37 INORGANIC, ORGANIC, PHYSICAL, AND ANALYTICAL CH↗
DOE OSTI2024

Laser-Induced Thermal Decomposition of Uranium Coordination Compounds with Non-oxidic Ligands to Produce Nitride and Carbide Materials

The production of ceramics from uranium coordination compounds can be achieved through thermal processing if an excess amount of the desired atoms (i.e., C or N), or reactive gaseous products (e.g., methane or nitrogen oxide) is made available to the reactive uranium metal core via decomposition/fragmentation of the surrounding ligand groups. Here, computational thermodynamic approaches were utilized to identify the temperatures necessary to produce uranium metal from some starting compounds—UI 4 (TMEDA) 2 , UCl 4 (TMEDA) 2 , UCl 3 (pyridine) x , and UI 3 (pyridine) 4 . Experimentally, precursors were irradiated by a laser under various gaseous environments (argon, nitrogen, and methane) creating extreme reaction conditions (i.e., fast heating, high temperature profile >2000 °C, and rapid cooling). Despite the fast dynamics associated with laser irradiation, the central uranium atom reacted with the thermal decomposition products of the ligands yielding uranium ceramics. Residual gas analysis identified vaporized products from the laser irradiation, and the final ceramic products were characterized by powder X-ray diffraction. The composition of the uranium precursor as well as the gaseous environment had a direct impact on the production of the final phases.

37 INORGANIC, ORGANIC, PHYSICAL, AND ANALYTICAL CH↗
DOE OSTI2025

Strength and ductility of additively manufactured 316L stainless steel: Impact of neutron irradiation and data variability

Here, this article presents the mechanical properties of additively manufactured (AM) 316L stainless steel processed via the laser powder bed fusion (LPBF) method, focusing on the effects of neutron irradiation on mechanical properties and the variability in strength and ductility data. The rapid melting-solidification process and multiple heating-cooling cycles inherent in LPBF typically result in a fine, metastable microstructure with significant local variability. AM 316L builds of varying thicknesses were fabricated, and SS-J3 miniature tensile specimens were machined from six different locations. These specimens were irradiated with fast neutrons to doses of 2 and 10 dpa at target temperatures of 300 °C and 600 °C. Post-irradiation tensile tests were conducted at room temperature, 300 °C, and 600 °C. Compared to conventional 316L stainless steel, AM 316L exhibited higher initial strength but lower ductility. Irradiation at 300 °C caused significant hardening and prompt necking at yield, with limited uniform ductility, although embrittlement was not observed up to 10 dpa. While neutron irradiation, particularly at 600 °C, increased the variability in strength and ductility data, no clear dependence of mechanical properties on build thickness or sampling location was found—contrary to the conventional perception that AM materials may exhibit high property variability. Furthermore, we observed that the variability in property data for LPBF-processed 316L was relatively low compared to that of wrought 316L stainless steel. This reduced variability in AM 316L steel may be attributed to its highly metastable, stress-containing microstructure, which is discussed in the context of general tensile property variations.

Additively manufactured 316L stainless steel↗
DOE OSTI2026

Case Study of Integrating High-Temperature Heat Pump with LiBr-H2O Absorption Chiller for Data Center Liquid Cooling

Data centers (DCs) are physical infrastructures that support artificial intelligence workloads. The rapid growth of artificial intelligence is putting substantial pressure on the US power grid. Most of electricity consumed by IT equipment, accounting for 50%-60% of total DC power, ultimately becomes waste heat. This heat is dissipated by DC’s cooling facilities, accounting for an additional 30%-40% of total DC power. Recovering and repurposing this waste heat offers a significant opportunity to enhance energy efficiency and reduce operating costs of DCs. One potential pathway is converting heat to cold using thermal-driven absorption chillers, therefore, reducing the power consumption in DC cooling facilities. Existing studies mainly demonstrate the technical and economic feasibility of repurposing DC’s waste heat for cooling applications but provide limited technical details on how to integrate the thermal-driven absorption chillers with DC cooling systems. In addition, the low-grade waste heat available from DCs must be upgraded to higher temperatures suitable for absorption chillers. This paper presents a case study on integrating high-temperature heat pumps with a LiBr-H2O absorption chiller to use DC waste heat for cooling. A thermodynamic model of single-effect, LiBr-H2O absorption chiller and an empirical model of high-temperature heat pumps were built. The case study considers ASHRAE W17 liquid-cooled DC, with facility service water supplied at 17.0℃ and returned at 25.3℃. The thermal behaviors of absorption chiller components were predicted for the generation temperature ranging from 75.0℃ to 115.0℃. Based on the available waste heat in the integrated system, two waste heat recovery strategies were evaluated: a facility service water-based strategy and cooling water-based strategy. Results indicated that the cooling water-based strategy achieves higher Coefficient of Performance (COPs) than the facility service water-based strategy. The relatively low cooling COPs of single-effect LiBr-H2O absorption chillers could be offset by high heating COP of high temperature heat pumps. The maximum cooling COP of absorption chiller and the overall COP of integrated systems occur at lower generation temperatures, but these conditions also yield lower cooling capacities. In practice, system operation should balance the trade-off between the COP and cooling capacity

Wang, Pengtao [ORNL] (ORCID:0000000214713429)↗
DOE OSTI2024

Direct Laser Writing Crystal Polymorphs of Organic Semiconductors for Phase Change Electronics

The many diverse polymorphic behaviors observed in organic electronic materials offer opportunities to modulate electronic properties through reversibly switching crystal structures. Here, we access the prolific polymorphism observed in two-dimensional quinoidal terthiophene via laser writing to locally heat and direct the phase transitions. We access a metastable polymorph IV through rapid cooling and observe distinct symmetry as well as packing through grazing incidence X-ray diffraction (GIXD). Using our open-source PolyChemPrint patterning platform, we direct laser heating to initiate the IV-I transition, switching the conductance by >2 orders of magnitude. Here, this is confirmed via a combination of GIXD and Raman spectroscopy. Finally, we demonstrate switching of transistor devices as well as discrete tuning of conductance via laser writing.

37 INORGANIC, ORGANIC, PHYSICAL, AND ANALYTICAL CH↗
DOE OSTI2021

Heat and mass transfer during a sudden loss of vacuum in a liquid helium cooled tube - Part III: Heat deposition in He II

A sudden loss of vacuum can be catastrophic for superconducting particle accelerators. In such an event, air leaks into the liquid-helium-cooled accelerator beamline tube and condenses on its inner surface, causing rapid boiling of the helium and dangerous pressure build-up. Understanding the coupled heat and mass transfer processes is important for the design of the beamline cryogenic system. Our past experimental study on nitrogen gas propagating in a copper tube cooled by normal liquid helium (He I) has revealed a nearly exponential slowing down of the gas front. A theoretical model that accounts for the interplay of the gas dynamics and the condensation was developed, which successfully reproduced various key observations. However, since many accelerator beamlines are actually cooled by superfluid helium (He II) in which the heat transfer is via a non-classical thermal counterflow mode, we need to extend our work to the He II cooled tube. This paper reports our systematic measurements using He II and the numerical simulations based on a modified model that accounts for the He II heat-transfer characteristics. By tuning the He II peak heat-flux parameter in our model, we have reproduced the observed gas dynamics in all experimental runs. The fine-tuned model is then utilized to reliably evaluate the heat deposition in He II. Finallly, this work not only advances our understanding of condensing gas dynamics but also has practical implications to the design codes for beamline safety.

75 CONDENSED MATTER PHYSICS, SUPERCONDUCTIVITY AND↗
DOE OSTI2021

Morning boundary layer conditions for shallow to deep convective cloud evolution during the dry season in the central Amazon

Observations of the boundary layer (BL) processes are analyzed statistically for dry seasons of 2 years and in detail, as case studies, for 4 shallow convective days (ShCu) and 4 shallow-to-deep convective days (ShDeep) using a suite of ground-based measurements from the Observation and Modeling of the Green Ocean Amazon (GoAmazon 2014/5) Experiment. The BL stages in ShDeep days, from the nighttime to the cloudy mixing layer stage, are then described in comparison with ShCu days. Atmospheric thermodynamics and dynamics, environmental profiles, and surface turbulent fluxes were employed to compare these two distinct situations for each stage of the BL evolution. Particular attention is given to the morning transition stage, in which the BL changes from stable to unstable conditions in the early morning hours. Results show that the decrease in time duration of the morning transition on ShDeep days is associated with high humidity and well-established vertical wind shear patterns. Higher humidity since nighttime not only contributes to lowering the cloud base during the rapid growth of the BL but also contributes to the balance between radiative cooling and turbulent mixing during nighttime, resulting in higher sensible heat flux in the early morning. The sensible heat flux promotes rapid growth of the well-mixed layer, thus favoring the deeper BL starting from around 08:00 LST (UTC-4 h). Under these conditions, the time duration of morning transition is used to promote convection, having an important effect on the convective BL strength and leading to the formation of shallow cumulus clouds and their subsequent evolution into deep convective clouds. Statistical analysis was used to validate the conceptual model obtained from the case studies. Despite the case-to-case variability, the statistical analyses of the processes in the BL show that the described processes are very representative of cloud evolution during the dry season.

54 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES↗
DOE OSTI2020

Microscale Observation via High-Speed X-ray Diffraction of Alloy 718 During In Situ Laser Melting

The laser melting process is accompanied by rapid evolution in temperature, phase, structure, and strain because of its high heating and cooling rates. In this study, the evolution of grains within a thin solid plate of Ni alloy 718 during laser processing was probed with in situ high-energy x-ray diffraction experiments. The high temporal and spatial resolution available in the measurement allowed us to study the rapid evolution of the melted region beneath the surface of the sample. The characterization of the evolution of secondary phases, i.e., Laves and carbide, was captured despite the weak diffracted peaks caused by small volume fractions. Thermal history was estimated based on changes in the lattice spacing from the thermal contraction upon cooling. In conclusion, the temporal variation in 2θ with azimuthal direction revealed the evolution in anisotropy of lattice spacing and thus of the mechanical state during laser processing.

36 MATERIALS SCIENCE↗
DOE OSTI2026

Preliminary Assessment for the Electric Load Shifting Potential of Integrating Thermal Energy Storage with Heat Pumps in Residential Buildings in Texas of United States

The widespread adoption of electric-driven heat pumps for heating and cooling is expected to significantly increase electric demand. Cooling electric demand will result in an increase in peak hours electric loads, placing additional strain on the grid during peak hours. This challenge, combined with the current rapidly increasing demand from data centers, exacerbates the electric demand duck curve problem. Integrating thermal energy storage (TES) with heat pump can shift electric use for heating and cooling from peak to off-peak hours of the electric grid, which can help flatten the daily electric demand profile of a building. This paper presents a novel design that integrates heat pump with TES (HP-TES), which uses phase change materials (PCM). Heat pump charges TES by melting or freezing PCM during off-peak hours when there is no thermal demand from the building. TES is then discharged (i.e., by freezing or melting PCM) during peak hours to provide a more favorable heat source or heat sink for the heat pump to meet the thermal demand of the building with lower electricity use than conventional air-source heat pumps. Computer simulations were developed to predict the performance of HP-TES applied to a typical single-family house in the US. The building-level simulation results were scaled up to preliminarily assess the aggregated impacts of deploying HP-TES across all single-family houses in Texas of the United States, including reduction of peak demand of the electric grid.

Anees, Fady [ORNL]↗
DOE OSTI2025

Accelerating room air conditioner efficiency in India: Grid, economic, and policy implications through 2035

India is poised for a rapid surge in space cooling demand, driven by rising incomes, urbanization, and intensifying heat. Between 2025 and 2035, the country is expected to add 130–150 million new room air conditioners (ACs). If Minimum Energy Performance Standards (MEPS) continue to improve at the historical rate of 2–3 % annually, room ACs alone could contribute over 180 GW to peak electricity demand by 2035-nearly 30 % of the projected national total. This study evaluates the impact of an accelerated MEPS trajectory, proposing to raise the 1-star threshold to ISEER 5.0 by 2027, ISEER 6.3 by 2030, and ISEER 7.4 by 2033. Drawing on engineering cost analysis, stock turnover modeling, and retail pricing data, we find that this pathway could reduce peak demand by over 60 GW, save 118 TWh of electricity annually, avoid 49 MtCO₂ of electricity-related emissions per year, avert ₹7.5 trillion (∼US$85 billion) in power system investments, and yield ₹0.7–2.3 trillion (∼US$8–26 billion) in net consumer savings by 2035. Contrary to affordability concerns, empirical trends show that higher efficiency does not increase AC prices. These results highlight the value of ambitious MEPS as a cost-effective strategy for improving grid reliability, reducing emissions, and advancing consumer welfare in emerging economies.

Abhyankar, Nikit↗