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At least 37 records · Page 2

Power system load flexibility forecasting

The example embodiments are directed to a system and method for forecasting load flexibility of a power grid. In one example, the method includes receiving temperature values associated with temperature set points of a plurality of loads that are included on a power grid, forecasting a flexibility of the plurality of loads using a polynomial-time mixed-integer non-linear programming (MINLP) optimization based on the received temperature values for the plurality of loads, and outputting information about the forecasted flexibility for display to a display device. The MINLP optimization performs the forecasting of the load flexibility on a fine-grained basis in comparison to conventional methods and is still fast enough that it can be computed in real-time.

Genc, Sahika↗

Evaluation of Additively Manufactured Monolithic SiC and SiC Ceramic Matrix Composites for CSP- Fabrication and Testing of Receiver Design Feature Specimens in a Simulating Lab Test via Laser Heating

Critical to the creation of a multi-component SiC receiver design concept capable of meeting the SETO CST cost goal objectives of <$150/kWth is the optimal utilization of material for solar absorption and heat transfer to transport fluid. This is to maximize the solar-thermal efficiency in the techno-economic analysis of derived use case. As a first step in preparation of sub-component design for on-sun test evaluations we use different proposed SiC absorber element in a customized laser heat flux test to assess an effective heat transfer coefficient characteristic of the design. The test results are analyzed to extract the effective heat transfer coefficient, thus enable optimization of the geometry of receiver components for heat transfer, efficiency attributes and the thermo-structural management of the components. High intensity CO2 laser is used in combination with air flow through the test specimen to assess the effective heat transfer coefficient under heat flux conditions corresponding to high solar concentrations in the range of 1000-2000 suns.

14 SOLAR ENERGY↗

pnnl/oedisi_dopf

OpenEDI - System Integration (OEDI-SI) - PNNL Distributed Optimal Power Flow (DOPF)

Slay, Tylor↗

On Distribution Grid Optimal Power Flow Development and Integration

Due to changes in electric distribution grid operation, new operation regimes have been recommended. Distribution grid optimal power flow (DOPF) has received tremendous attention in the research community, yet it has not been fully adopted across the utility industry. Our paper recognizes this problem and suggests a development and integration procedure for DOPF. We propose development of DOPF as a three step procedure of 1) processing the grid, 2) obtaining a tractable solution, and 3) implementing multiple solution algorithms and benchmarking them to improve application reliability. For the integration of DOPF, we demonstrate how a DOPF federate may be developed that can be integrated in a co-simulation environment to mimic the real-world conditions and hence improve its practicality to be deployed in the field. To demonstrate the efficacy of the proposed methods, tests on IEEE 123 bus system are performed where the usage of tractable formulation in DOPF algorithm development and its comparison to the benchmark solution are demonstrated.

Hanif, Sarmad↗

Deployment Optimization Tool (DOT)

This tool was developed to assist in the design of in-place RF monitoring systems. This tool uses a brute force method to find the optimal location for RF receivers in a location of interest. This tool currently depends on the commercial Wireless InSite software from Remcom. Currently available to US Government users only.

Clark, Trevor↗

HP-FLEX MPC v0.1.0

HP-FLEX MPC is control software developed by Lawrence Berkeley National Laboratory with support from the California Energy Commission (CEC) through EPIC-19-301. HP-FLEX aims to provide load flexibility for heat pumps (HPs) in response to dynamic grid signals (including Time-of-Use, Dynamic Pricing, and Critical Peak Pricing) while maintaining thermostat temperatures within user-specified bounds. The software includes a system-identification module, which models the dynamics of the building envelope with thermostat data, and a control module based on a model predictive controller (MPC) to make optimal decisions. HP-FLEX receives forecasts of outdoor air temperature, solar irradiation, and internal gain (if available), as well as trajectories of energy price, temperature lower and upper bounds over a prediction horizon. It then optimizes heating and cooling capacities to minimize energy cost and peak power (with a user-defined weight on peak power) over the prediction horizon, while maintaining room air temperature within the temperature constraints, and outputs the optimal thermostat setpoints.

Kim, Donghun↗

Solar Thermal Energy Planner (STEP 1): A New Decision Support Tool for Solar Industrial Process Heat Applications

Solar thermal technologies are a promising technology to supply low-cost thermal energy to industrial processes, but there are often significant barriers to entry to industrial owners considering these technologies for their energy demands. To overcome this barrier and convey economic value to customers, NREL and Sandia National Laboratories developed Solar Thermal Energy Planner (STEP 1), a new web-based decision support tool for solar industrial process heat systems. At SolarPACES 2024, the STEP 1 tool was still under development; progress, methodologies, and a preliminary case study was presented. With the STEP 1 tool launch in May 2025, in this work, the initial version of the full public tool will be presented with demonstrations of its capabilities using a few case studies. First, the user's process heat needs such as location, process media (e.g., steam, air), process temperature, land availability, electricity and fuel costs, among other parameters. STEP 1 features a mapping interface that allows users to draw land and roof boundaries. The process media and temperature inform technology selection criteria modules that determine the appropriate solar thermal collection technologies, as well as congruent heat transfer media (e.g., hot water, oil, salt). Once the solar thermal technology selected, its nominal thermal production for the given site is characterized using NREL's System Advisor Model (SAM). Then, a modified version of NREL's REopt optimal sizing and dispatch optimization tool determines cost-optimal sizing. Within minutes, the user receives the results of the technoeconomics analysis, including the size and performance of the cost-optimal solar-plus-storage system. The cost of the system is compared to business-as-usual (e.g., an existing, standalone natural gas boiler). Users can download key results to store for sensitivity analyses. Examples of flat plate collector, parabolic trough, and molten salt tower applications with and without PV hybridization for different industrial facility types are presented in this work. The STEP 1 tool aims to reduce barriers to the adoption of solar heating solutions stemming from a lack of familiarity and technical background with solar system design options and costs among industry stakeholders.

14 SOLAR ENERGY↗

Techno-Economic Analysis of Photovoltaics and Battery Storage for Maine [Slides]

Maine GEO was interested in a small-scale pilot using REopt to expand on previous resilience efforts and better understand the most useful information to gather from facilities to maximize the efficacy of the analysis. The pilot began with identification of three pilot facilities from the existing Maine Community Resilience Partnership (MCRP) cohort, selection of the facilities prioritizing: social vulnerability, community led planning work and commitment to ongoing work. The technical assistance focused on working with identified facilities to help scope the project and identify their goals and then provide technical specifications on optimal energy generation and storage strategies for each community. At the conclusion of the project, participating facilities received a REopt analysis report, including optimal generation and storage strategies to address identified goals and next steps and considerations for implementation.

24 POWER TRANSMISSION AND DISTRIBUTION↗

Diagnosing Barren Plateaus with Tools from Quantum Optimal Control

Variational Quantum Algorithms (VQAs) have received considerable attention due to their potential for achieving near-term quantum advantage. However, more work is needed to understand their scalability. One known scaling result for VQAs is barren plateaus, where certain circumstances lead to exponentially vanishing gradients. It is common folklore that problem-inspired ansatzes avoid barren plateaus, but in fact, very little is known about their gradient scaling. In this work we employ tools from quantum optimal control to develop a framework that can diagnose the presence or absence of barren plateaus for problem-inspired ansatzes. Such ansatzes include the Quantum Alternating Operator Ansatz (QAOA), the Hamiltonian Variational Ansatz (HVA), and others. With our framework, we prove that avoiding barren plateaus for these ansatzes is not always guaranteed. Specifically, we show that the gradient scaling of the VQA depends on the degree of controllability of the system, and hence can be diagnosed through the dynamical Lie algebra $\mathfrak{g}$ obtained from the generators of the ansatz. We analyze the existence of barren plateaus in QAOA and HVA ansatzes, and we highlight the role of the input state, as different initial states can lead to the presence or absence of barren plateaus. Taken together, our results provide a framework for trainability-aware ansatz design strategies that do not come at the cost of extra quantum resources. Moreover, we prove no-go results for obtaining ground states with variational ansatzes for controllable system such as spin glasses. Our work establishes a link between the existence of barren plateaus and the scaling of the dimension of $\mathfrak{g}$.

97 MATHEMATICS AND COMPUTING↗

Solar Field Layout and Aimpoint Strategy Optimization

The existing methods that determine heliostat aiming strategies for concentrating solar power (CSP) central receiver plants typically use heuristics and/or are computationally expensive, and they lack flexibility for different desired flux profiles and receiver geometries. Because of the interaction between layout and aimpoint strategy, considering the former without accounting for the latter may yield solutions with superfluous heliostats that cannot be used efficiently without compromising receiver flux constraints. To that end, we develop a software decision tool that uses innovative optimization methods to both optimize aimpoint strategies and improve candidate layouts for the solar collection field of a CSP central receiver plant. A CSP plant’s effectiveness relies on the optical efficiency of the solar field, which may be limited by losses due to (i) the cosine effect, (ii) atmospheric attenuation, (iii) interference (i.e., shading and blocking) between heliostats, (iv) spillage as a result of heliostat positioning and geometry, and (iv) some heliostats’ inability to direct irradiance to the receiver without damage due to excessive thermal flux. The goal of this work is to obtain optimized aiming strategies and improved solar field layouts that reduce capital cost and increase field optical efficiency and utilization, while meeting the power requirements of a given CSP receiver design. We formulate the aimpoint optimization problem as a mixed-integer linear programming model, which we then decompose into submodels that we solve in parallel. The decomposition subdivides the solar field into sections, and aimpoint strategies for each section are obtained independently of the others. To improve existing layouts, we develop a utilization-weighted efficiency metric that we use to relocate heliostats to sections of the solar field with similar efficiency and higher utilization. Finally, to connect our software to high-fidelity flux models, we develop a Python application programming interface for SolarPILOT, a mature software package that characterizes solar field performance and generates the heliostat layouts and flux maps that serve as input to our models.

14 SOLAR ENERGY↗

FY26 MID-YEAR REPORT 238 Pu Measurement in Bulk Environmental Samples by Thermal Ionization Mass Spectrometry (TIMS)

Funding was received in December 2026 to optimize a nascent measurement capability for mass spectrometry of 238 Pu, as it would apply to relevant environmental collections in safeguards applications, i.e. NWAL swipes or other bulk collections such as soil, sediment, waters, or air filters. The measurement relies on differing ionization temperatures for U and Pu during thermal ionization and therefore leverages TIMS to partially separate and measure these elements. Collected counts of 238 Pu can be mathematically corrected for interfering counts of background 238 U, by addition of a U tracer (e.g. 235 U) to account for the 238 U present. The method has undergone initial characterization at LANL regarding detection limit, precision, and accuracy but requires further applicability-testing for possible use in safeguards.

37 INORGANIC, ORGANIC, PHYSICAL, AND ANALYTICAL CH↗

Method and system for providing flexible reserve power for power grid

An optimization-based method and system is disclosed to enable heterogeneous loads and distributed energy resources (DERs) to participate in grid ancillary services, such as spinning and non-spinning reserves, and ramping reserves. The method includes receiving inputs for decision parameters for optimizing an objective for obtaining flexible reserve power, solving the objective for obtaining flexible reserve power, determining a reserve power schedule for a prediction horizon for providing flexible reserve power based on the objective, generating a service bid based on the reserve power schedule for the power grid; and when the service bid is accepted, providing flexible reserve power to the power grid based on the service bid.

24 POWER TRANSMISSION AND DISTRIBUTION↗

High-Temperature Linear Receiver Enabled by Multicomponent Aerogels

Concentrating solar thermal (CST) technology has significant potential mainly due to its dispatchability and low cost of storage. However, to compete with other sources, including utility-scale solar PV, its final cost (cents/kWh) still needs to be lowered. Cost reduction can be achieved by improving the system level efficiency of the CST plants through the deployment of advanced power cycles, which operate at high temperatures of ~700°C. However, optical, and thermal losses pose a major challenge to the efficiency of such CST systems. The overall aim of this project is to investigate and de-risk a linear solar receiver concept called an Aerogel Insulated Receiver (AIR) that generates high temperatures (up to 700°C) at a low solar concentration ratio (<100) and with a high collection efficiency (optical × receiver). Our prior work has demonstrated the thermal stability1 and optical and heat-insulating properties2,3 of transparent aerogel insulation at a one-inch scale. The focus of this work is on (1) co-optimization of the geometry of the aerogel tile and receiver enclosure to fit a standard parabolic collector (PTC), (2) scale-up of aerogels into 4-inch tiles while preserving key properties, (3) experimental measurement of receiver heat loss (W/m) in a >70-cm test stand and validation of anticipated receiver performance at high temperatures. Regarding (1), appropriate optical and thermal models for a parabolic trough receiver (PTR) are developed and validated. The geometry of the aerogels and the receiver enclosure are co-optimized to maximize the collection efficiency. The model predicts a 54% collection efficiency at 700°C for an AIR design based on flat aerogels. By combining the collection efficiency with the power block efficiency of supercritical CO 2 cycles, we predict >10% improvements in peak plant efficiency relative to existing line-focusing CST systems. The application of curved plasmonic aerogels is predicted to further increase the collection efficiency to 64%. Regarding (2), we demonstrate the successful development of 6-inch-long refractory aerogel tiles with optical, thermal, and stability characteristics consistent with our prior work. This scale-up requires a transition to a larger ALD station and modifying the ALD process variables such as exposure time and the number of precursor doses. Regarding (3), we design and develop an AIR test stand measuring 3 feet in length. Heat loss performance analysis is carried out using the test stand. The results indicate that aerogel insulation can significantly reduce receiver thermal losses at the high operating temperatures required for next-generation PTRs. The experimental results agree with the heat loss performance predicted by our receiver model. Lastly, we conducted preliminary failure mode and effects (FMEA) and techno-economic (TEA) analyses to identify failure mitigation strategies and commercial opportunities, respectively. Overall, this project identifies key opportunities and challenges in deploying aerogel insulating receivers in next-generation line-focusing CST technologies.

14 SOLAR ENERGY↗

Machine Learning for Searching the Dark Energy Survey for Trans-Neptunian Objects

In this paper we investigate how implementing machine learning could improve the efficiency of the search for Trans-Neptunian Objects (TNOs) within Dark Energy Survey (DES) data when used alongside orbit fitting. The discovery of multiple TNOs that appear to show a similarity in their orbital parameters has led to the suggestion that one or more undetected planets, an as yet undiscovered “Planet 9”, may be present in the outer solar system. DES is well placed to detect such a planet and has already been used to discover many other TNOs. Here, we perform tests on eight different supervised machine learning algorithms, using a data set consisting of simulated TNOs buried within real DES noise data. We found that the best performing classifier was the Random Forest which, when optimized, performed well at detecting the rare objects. We achieve an area under the receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve, (AUC) = 0.996 ± 0.001. After optimizing the decision threshold of the Random Forest, we achieve a recall of 0.96 while maintaining a precision of 0.80. Finally, by using the optimized classifier to pre-select objects, we are able to run the orbit-fitting stage of our detection pipeline five times faster.

46 INSTRUMENTATION RELATED TO NUCLEAR SCIENCE AND ↗

A review of Sb 2 Se 3 photovoltaic absorber materials and thin-film solar cells

Energy generated from environmentally friendly, cost-effective solar cells is a key aspect for developing a clean renewable-energy economy. Non-toxic and Earth-abundant materials with high absorption coefficient (>10 5 cm -1 ) and optimal bandgap (1-1.5 eV) have received great attention as photovoltaic (PV) absorber layers during the last few decades. Among them, antimony selenide (Sb 2 Se 3 ) has been a promising PV absorber, with steadily increasing power-conversion efficiency (PCE) compared to other emerging compounds. Very recent studies showed that high-quality ZnO:Al/ZnO/CdS/TiO 2 /Sb 2 Se 3 /MoSe 2 /Mo devices with PCE of 9.2% can be fabricated using cost-effective novel compounds. Considering these recent advances, this article provides an overview of the material properties of Sb2Se3 thin films and the recent progress made with Sb 2 Se 3 -based solar cells. Furthermore, analysis of Sb 2 Se 3 -based thin-film solar cells has also shown that the devices have relatively good light management due to their suitable bandgap and high absorption coefficient, whereas carrier management, i.e. collection efficiency of photo-generated carriers, needs significant improvement. Overall, this study provides background knowledge on material properties and device performance and suggests main research directions to overcome the limiting factors of solar cell performance.

14 SOLAR ENERGY↗

Development of an autothermal formate-based hydrogen generator: From optimization of formate dehydrogenation conditions to thermal integration with Fuel Cells

Formate received significant attention for storing H2 in chemical bonds using the concept of H2 carriers. In this report, hydrogen generation from formate was optimized systematically by varying reaction variables. Initial mass activity with a turnover frequency of 3200 molH2 molPd–1 h–1 and 92% H2 yield were obtained in sodium formate (7 M 2.0 mL) dehydrogenation over Pd(3 wt %)/C at 80 °C. Influence of formate cations (Na, K, and NH4) on dehydrogenation was also elucidated, presenting that the fastest initial reaction kinetics was achieved with ammonium formate, whereas the highest H2 yield was obtained with potassium formate (PF) in multiple catalyst recycle tests. Finally, an on-site power generation system was integrated, where a proton exchange membrane fuel cell (PEMFC) was operated in conjunction with H2 produced from the custom developed semibatch dehydrogenation reactors. The system operation was demonstrated with continuous feeding of PF to generate H2 and power on demand without an external heat source by utilizing waste heat produced from the PEMFC in a highly efficient manner.

formate dehydrogenation, optimization of reaction ↗

Co-simulation Framework for Community-scale Building-grid Integration [SWR-21-75]

Distributed energy resources (DERs), including rooftop solar, energy storage, and flexible loads, are gaining popularity as costs decline and as building owners and utilities realize their benefits. DERs can improve distribution system efficiency, help prevent the need for expensive grid upgrades, and increase the resilience of local communities. However, they can also cause difficulties in grid operations and can require controls to achieve their benefits. To address this challenge, NREL researchers have developed a community-scale solution that assesses the impacts of DERs and their control strategies on a distribution system. The framework has been shown to reduce solar photovoltaic (PV) curtailment to 0%, mitigate the adverse impact of solar variability on the distribution voltage, and provide up to 5-day critical load support during emergency events. Utilizing 5 different modules representing the feeder, buildings, home energy management systems, an aggregator, and a utility controller, NREL expects this simulation technology to play a critical role in the continued integration of DERs. According to the Energy Information Administration (EIA), solar curtailments accounted for 94% of the total energy curtailed in the California Independent System Operator (CAISO) in 2020. By enabling Independent System Operators (ISOs) and utility operators to bring solar curtailments to 0%, the electrical grid can become less dependent on fossil-fueled power generation sources. NREL's co-simulation framework contains five major components: Distribution Feeder Model: describes the distribution feeder topology using OpenDSS, including the locations of all DERs. Residential Building Model: simulates a large number of buildings at a high resolution using OCHRETM. The model is equipped to control equipment based on signals from an external module. The model includes major household appliances such as HVAC and a water heater, non-dispatchable load models, a distributed PV system, and a home battery system. Home Energy Management System: optimizes the controls for the devices in a home using foreseeTM. The control can adjust based on the user preferences including cost, comfort, and convenience. In hierarchical control scenarios, where the houses follow signals from an aggregator, the home energy management system provides a flexibility band with a range of power and follows the dispatch signals received from aggregator. Community-Level Aggregator: solves for optimal energy dispatch based on the flexibility bands received from each home and the grid service signal received from the utility controller. Utility-Level Controller: provides grid signals for voltage control using Distributed Energy Resources (DERs), such as solar systems, in the community.

Balamurugan, Sivasathya Pradha↗

Optimization control technology for building energy conservation

A simulation processor generates and stores a simulation model based on conditions associated with a physical structure, such as a building. A neural network processor implements a neural network, having an input layer coupled to receive sensor data from the structure and having an output layer coupled to supply control signals to the at least one electrically operable environmental control device. The neural network is trained using the simulation model. A particle swarm optimization processor programmed to receive the simulation results and perform particle swarm optimization, ascertains optimal parameters for controlling the at least one electrically operable environmental control device and supplies these optimal parameters to the neural network processor. The neural network processor uses the optimal parameters supplied by the particle swarm optimization processor to further train the neural network.

32 ENERGY CONSERVATION, CONSUMPTION, AND UTILIZATI↗