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Search indexed NASA NTRS and DOE OSTI research on propulsion, heat transfer, battery materials and energy systems. Follow report and document links to the original sources.
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Presentation detailing work package to develop comprehensive fusion device safety models over the course of the next three years, including references to a blanket, divertor and magnet design, and statistical reliability models
Presentation about margin-based reliability modeling for EPRI
Deformation of metal–organic frameworks (MOFs) induced by adsorbate molecules can affect adsorption properties such as capacity and selectivity, but most computational studies of MOFs assume framework rigidity to simplify calculations. Although flexible force fields (FFs) for MOFs have been parametrized for specific materials, the generality of FFs for reliably modeling adsorbate-induced deformation to accuracy nearing that of density functional theory (DFT) has not been established. This work confirms using DFT calculations that adsorbate-induced deformation can affect CO 2 and H 2 O adsorption energies in a considerable fraction of MOFs promising for direct air capture (DAC). We then benchmark the efficacy of several general-purpose FFs in describing adsorbate-induced deformation for DAC against DFT. Our results show that current classical FFs are insufficient for describing MOF deformation, especially in cases of interest for DAC where strong interactions exist between adsorbed molecules and MOF frameworks. Some emerging machine learning force fields (MLFFs) we tested, particularly CHGNet, MACE-MP-0, and Equiformer V2, appear to be more promising than the classical FF for emulating the deformation behavior described by DFT. The best performing FF (CHGNet), however, fails to achieve the accuracy required for practical predictions with a mean absolute adsorption energy error of 0.124 eV.
With increasing freshwater scarcity, advanced process design mechanisms such as Closed-Circuit Reverse Osmosis (CCRO) and Digital/Physical Twin systems are gaining traction in water treatment and reuse operations. While digital and physical twin models enable improved system insight and control, their development is often expensive and computationally intensive, requiring large volumes of synthetic or experimental data to characterize underlying process dynamics. This work introduces a sparse surrogate modeling framework to estimate power consumption from measured flow and pressure variables, along with their nonlinear polynomial and interaction expansions. To ensure model reliability and reduce overfitting, a two-stage pipeline is proposed. First, a dynamic data filtering algorithm is employed to remove uninformative observations and transient operational states. Second, a sparse penalized regression technique is applied to select a minimal set of parsimonious features. The proposed model achieves high sparsity, retaining only 7 out of 34 candidate features (≈79.41% sparsity) while delivering a root mean square error (RMSE) of 0.072 on the test dataset.
This article addresses the need for deep learning models to integrate well-defined constraints into their outputs, driven by their application in surrogate models, learning with limited data and partial information, and scenarios requiring flexible model behavior to incorporate non-data sample information. We introduce Bayesian Entropy Neural Networks (BENN), a framework grounded in Maximum Entropy (MaxEnt) principles, designed to impose constraints on Bayesian Neural Network (BNN) predictions. BENN is capable of constraining not only the predicted values but also their derivatives and variances, ensuring a more robust and reliable model output. To achieve simultaneous uncertainty quantification and constraint satisfaction, we employ the method of multipliers approach. This allows for the concurrent estimation of neural network parameters and the Lagrangian multipliers associated with the constraints. Our experiments, spanning diverse applications such as beam deflection modeling and microstructure generation, demonstrate the effectiveness of BENN. The results highlight significant improvements over traditional BNNs and showcase competitive performance relative to contemporary constrained deep learning methods.
Industry equipment reliability and asset management programs are essential elements that help ensure the safe and economical operation of nuclear power plants. The effectiveness of these programs is addressed in several industry-developed and regulatory programs. The Risk-Informed Asset Management (RIAM) project is tasked to develop tools in support of the equipment reliability and asset management programs at nuclear power plants. These tools are designed to create a direct bridge between component health/lifecycle data and decision making (e.g., maintenance scheduling and project prioritization). The goal of this article is to provide a guide for specific use cases that the RIAM project is targeting. We have grouped uses cases into three main areas. The first area focuses on the analysis of equipment reliability data with a particular emphasis on condition-based data, such as test/surveillance reports and component monitoring data. The second area focuses on the integration of equipment reliability into system/plant reliability models to determine system/plant health and identify the components that are critical to maintain an operational system. Lastly, the third area manages plant resources, such as maintenance activities and replacement scheduling using optimization methods. Here the primary focus is on supporting typical system engineer decisions regarding maintenance activity scheduling and component aging management. This is performed in a risk-informed context where the term “risk” is broadly constructed to include both plant reliability and economics. This framework combines data analytics tools to analyze equipment reliability data with risk-informed methods designed to support system engineer decisions (e.g., maintenance and replacement schedules, optimal maintenance posture) in a customizable workflow.
Although Criegee intermediates (CIs) play a central role in driving the transformation of organic molecules, their condensed-phase reaction kinetics remains poorly understood. While CIs undergo unimolecular decomposition to produce OH radicals, stabilized CIs participate in a host of other bimolecular reactions forming larger molecular weight products, including secondary ozonides (kSOZ), alkoxyalkyl hydroperoxides (kAlAHP), and acyloxyalkyl hydroperoxides (kAcAHP). Here, we demonstrate, using prior literature and new measurements of heterogeneous organic aerosol reactions using O3 or OH radicals, that these condensed-phase bimolecular reaction rate coefficients kSOZ (10-20 cm3·molecule-1·s-1), kAlAHP, and kAcAHP (10-19 cm3·molecule-1·s-1) are 7-10 orders of magnitude slower than analogous gas-phase reactions (∼ 10-10-10-13 cm3·molecule-1·s-1). This contrasts with current evidence that the rate coefficients for unimolecular steps in the condensed phase are similar in magnitude to those in the gas phase. Kinetic models using gas-phase-like bimolecular coefficients consistently overestimate the importance of bimolecular relative to unimolecular pathways while underpredicting the aerosol reactivity by up to 30-fold. The slowing of bimolecular reactivity in aerosols is likely due to solvation effects and the increased steric hindrance of larger molecular weight CIs and their scavengers in the condensed phase. These results challenge the conventional view that the high reactant density of an organic aerosol should favor bimolecular over unimolecular reactions, underscoring the need for more accurate CI condensed-phase rate constants for reliable modeling of oxidative processes across a diverse set of atmospheric and environmental systems.
This study investigates the expansion dynamics of femtosecond laser-induced plasmas, emphasizing the impact of plasma thermophysical properties and ambient gas composition. Through shadowgraphy experiments and multiphase computational fluid dynamics (CFD) simulations, the influence of parameters such as heat capacity, molecular weight, and thermal conductivity on plume morphology, shockwave evolution, and energy dissipation mechanisms is examined. A mixture multiphase model is implemented to capture the interaction between the plasma and the surrounding gas. Simulation results reveal that plasma expansion is strongly inertia-driven. Results show that differences in plasma properties and ambient conditions affect the shape and temperature distribution of the expanding plume. The early-stage dynamics are primarily dictated by pressure forces, whereas thermal and viscous effects play a growing role in the plume's behavior during later stages of expansion. The CFD findings show the necessity of accurate initial condition characterization, including crater geometry and plasma pressure and temperature, for reliable modeling of plasma evolution in laser ablation processes.
We further develop a recently introduced phase-field model of far-from-equilibrium alloy solidification under additive manufacturing conditions [K. Ji et al., Phys. Rev. Lett. 130, 026203 (2023)]. This model utilizes enhanced solute diffusivity within the spatially diffuse interface region to quantitatively capture solute trapping with a larger interface width, thereby making simulations on experimentally relevant length and timescales computationally feasible. The main developments presented here include testing the robustness of different variational formulations, extending the model to concentrated alloys by incorporating solid and liquid free energies from thermodynamic databases, as illustrated for hypoeutectic Al-Ag alloys with CALPHAD, extending convergence tests as a function of interface width to 3D, and carrying out simulations in both 2D and 3D to examine existing theories of microstructure development. Our results indicate that the simplest variational formulation that interpolates the bulk free-energy density between its solid and liquid forms is the most robust. Remarkably, for hypoeutectic Al-Ag alloys, this formulation yields a high-velocity nonequilibrium phase diagram that is independent of interface width, thereby demonstrating that the framework of enhanced solute diffusivity can be nontrivially extended to concentrated alloys. Other variational formulations have restricted ranges of materials or processing parameters that can be reliably modeled. We use 2D simulations to construct high-velocity microstructure selection maps for dilute Al-Cu alloys. The results validate the important role of latent heat rejection at the interface and extend the limited predictions of linear stability analysis [A. Karma and A. Sarkissian, Phys. Rev. E 47, 513 (1993)] and sharp-interface 1D simulations to fully nonlinear regimes. Furthermore, 3D simulations, carried out using a computationally tractable axisymmetric cellular/dendritic interface shape, demonstrate a good convergence similar to that observed in 2D as a function of interface width. Full 3D simulations, in turn, reveal that the standard theory of absolute stability is a good predictor of the upper critical velocity beyond which steady-state growth becomes unstable, despite the different morphological manifestations of this instability in 2D and 3D.
Degradation of photovoltaic (PV) module encapsulant characteristics that lead to mechanical embrittlement and delamination remains a cause of failure in solar installations. A multiscale reliability model connecting the encapsulant mechanical and fracture properties to the degraded molecular structure and interfacial bonding to adjacent solar cell and glass substrates was previously published. The model, developed primarily for poly(ethylene-co-vinyl acetate) acetate (EVA) encapsulants, remains to be experimentally validated. Determining the degradation and crosslinking kinetics of alternative encapsulants, such as polyolefin elastomer (POE) and EVA/POE/EVA composites (EPE), can generalize the model. In this work, we subject fully cured EVA, POE, and EPE encapsulants to accelerated thermal aging to determine how high temperatures impact reaction kinetics. An increase in gel content (crosslinking) and decrease in crystallinity of the encapsulants under hot-aerobic (90 degrees C, 22% RH) and hot-anaerobic (90 degrees C, sealed in N 2 air) aging were observed, even in the absence of UV and crosslinking initiators. Fourier transform infrared spectroscopy (FTIR)-attenuated total reflectance analysis showed insignificant encapsulant degradation, demonstrating the critical role of UV and moisture in accelerating degradation. Adhesion testing performed on coupon-level specimens (cell/encapsulant/glass laminates) showed decreases in adhesion energy, Gc , from 5000 h of hot-dry (90 degrees C, ~1% RH) and hot-humid (90 degrees C, 60% RH) aging. POE coupons demonstrated the best stability, followed by EPE then EVA. For EVA and POE, hot-humid aged coupons experienced a larger decrease in Gc due to enhanced hydrolytic degradation. Hot-dry aging condition demonstrated that thermal degradation of the interface could be significant even if the encapsulant experiences negligible degradation in the absence of UV and elevated humidity.
ABSTRACT Soil water content (SWC) data are central to evaluating how soil moisture varies over time and space and influences critical plant and ecosystem functions, especially in water‐limited drylands. However, sensors that record SWC at high frequencies often malfunction, leading to incomplete timeseries and limiting our understanding of dryland ecosystem dynamics. We developed an analytical approach to impute missing SWC data, which we tested at six eddy flux tower sites along an elevation gradient in the southwestern United States. We impute missing data as a mixture of linearly interpolated SWC between the observed endpoints of a missing data gap and SWC simulated by an ecosystem water balance model (SOILWAT2). Within a Bayesian framework, we allowed the relative utility (mixture weight) of each component (linearly interpolated vs. SOILWAT2) to vary by depth, site and gap characteristics. We explored “fixed” weights versus “dynamic” weights that vary as a function of cumulative precipitation, average temperature, and time since the start of the gap. Both models estimated missing SWC data well ( R 2 = 0.70–0.88 vs. 0.75–0.91 for fixed vs. dynamic weights, respectively), but the utility of linearly interpolated versus SOILWAT2 values depended on site and depth. SOILWAT2 was more useful for more arid sites, shallower depths, longer and warmer gaps and gaps that received greater precipitation. Overall, the mixture model reliably gap‐fills SWC, while lending insight into processes governing SWC dynamics. This approach to impute missing data could be adapted to accommodate more than two mixture components and other types of environmental timeseries.
The formation of technologically valuable nanocarbon structures under extreme conditions, such as those produced during high-explosive detonations, remains poorly understood but holds significant potential for the development of controlled synthesis pathways. While detonation shockwaves provide the high-pressure, high-temperature environment required for nanodiamond formation, subsequent cooling and decompression dictate whether the diamond phase is preserved or transformed into other nanocarbon structures. Here, in this study, we employ GPU-accelerated reactive molecular dynamics (ReaxFF) simulations to investigate the graphitization and structural remodeling of detonation nanodiamond under nonlinear quench and pressure-release trajectories. We further investigate how the initial nanodiamond morphology; cuboctahedral, octahedral, or hexagonal prism influences the resulting transformation products. Evolution of nanostructure, allotrope (via simulated x-ray diffraction), carbon hybridization, and ring statistics are tracked during a two-stage quench from 5000 K to 60 GPa. Rapid cooling combined with slow decompression optimizes cubic diamond retention, whereas slow cooling with rapid pressure release promotes surface-to-core graphitization, producing concentric sp 2 -hybridized layers and hollowed inner shells. Octahedral nanodiamonds evolve into carbon nano-onions, initially forming bucky diamonds that progressively transform into fully sp 2 -hybridized structures, while hexagonal prisms preferentially form parallel-stacked graphite layers resembling carbon dots. Transient hexagonal diamond (lonsdaleite) emerges as an interfacial phase, suggesting potential reversibility in the shock-induced graphite-to-diamond transformation pathway transformation route. To extend predictive capabilities, we trained machine learning (ML) regressors on over 10 5 node-hours of molecular dynamics (MD) trajectories. A multilayer perceptron (MLP) model reliably predicts the number of graphitized layers from temperature–pressure trajectories with a coefficient of determination (R 2 ) exceeding 0.90. This high predictive fidelity enables efficient, high-throughput mapping of the synthesis parameter space for optimized graphitization outcomes. Collectively, morphological control combined with optimized quench–decompression conditions promote the selective synthesis of nanocarbon allotropes. This work establishes a data-driven framework for the rational, a priori design of carbon nanomaterials for applications in energy storage, sensing, and biomedicine.
Here, this study explores the relationship between experimentally observed inter-event time-interval distributions (TIDs) and measured dead times for pulses generated by a HPGe gamma detector and processed by a digital spectrometer. The system utilizes a fast and slow channel, pile-up rejector, trapezoid filtering, and flash analog-to-digital converter. The experimentally derived TIDs were compared with theory for validation. The results demonstrate that the theoretical model reliably describes measured TIDs up to 40% dead time. However, significant distortion effects become increasingly pronounced at higher input rates. It appears that the deviation between the measured and calculated time-interval distributions take the shape of higher-order convolutions of the TID, which represent the time difference between counts for more than two successive events. In this work, theoretical functions for the TID are expanded to reproduce measurements up to 90%. This refinement in the interpretation and treatment of the measured TIDs provides improved accuracy and precision in the prediction of the true event rate and measured dead time in the counter. Even though it reflects occasional count loss that is specific to the set-up, it is expected that a similar adjustment may be applicable to other detection systems as well.
Heterogeneous integration (HI) of electronics components is broadly recognized as a powerful and crucial enabler for the continued growth of computing and communication. From 2010 onwards, the value of HI is increasingly visible in the advanced packaging used in artificial intelligence, high-performance computing, smartphones and communications product implementations. In this Perspective, we argue that HI is crucial to semiconductors and more broadly to the continued evolution of computing and communications. We use leading-edge advanced packaging examples to represent the value, advancements and opportunities for HI. To succeed, it is critical to develop comprehensive HI roadmaps that inform collaborations across the design, manufacturing and reliability spectrum between systems architects, packaging and semiconductor technologists to common goals. Although this article does not provide a full roadmap, we instead detail additional parameters for artificial intelligence, smartphone and other cellular communication devices, and their constituent building blocks including interconnects, power electronics, photonics, thermal management, reliability, modelling and co-design, to foster greater collaboration opportunities among academia, research laboratories and industry.
Reliable modeling of ion cyclotron range of frequencies (ICRF) antenna performance is essential for interpreting present experiments and guiding the design of future reactors. In this work, a 3D model of the Alcator C-Mod field-aligned antenna is implemented in the Petra-M finite-element framework [S. Shiraiwa et al 2023 Nucl. Fusion 63 026024] and benchmarked against experimental results. Four experimental cases are examined. First, the simulated rectified sheath potentials on the antenna limiters are compared with measurements from a power tapering experiment. Second, proof-of-principle far-field sheath simulations are performed. In scenarios with low single-pass absorption, simulations predict enhanced sheath potentials on a distant poloidal limiter in the far field of the antenna, consistent with experimental observations. Third, the simulated antenna loading during edge localized modes follows experimental trends and appears to be dominated by the density gradient at the pedestal. Finally, Petra-M predicts the unintended excitation of high-$k$ ∥ modes during monopole phasing operation, in agreement with experimental evidence of poor wave coupling and accessibility to the plasma core. Overall, reasonable agreement is found between the simulations and experiments. At the same time, areas of imperfect agreement are identified. These provide important guidance on the limits of the current state-of-the-art modeling, which should be kept in mind when using it as a predictive tool for future reactors.
A realistic and detailed description of neutrinos in binary neutron star (BNS) mergers is essential to build reliable models of such systems. To this end, we present bns_nurates, a novel open-source numerical library designed for the efficient on-the-fly computation of neutrino interactions, with particular focus on regimes relevant to BNS mergers. bns_nurates targets a higher level of accuracy and realism in the implementation of commonly employed reactions by accounting for relevant microphysics effects on the interactions, such as weak magnetism and mean field effects. It also includes the contributions of inelastic neutrino scattering off electrons and positrons and (inverse) nucleon decays. Finally, it offers a way to reconstruct the neutrino distribution function in the framework of moment-based transport schemes. As a first application, we compute both energy-dependent and energy-integrated neutrino emissivities and opacities for conditions extracted from a BNS merger simulation with m1 transport scheme. We find some qualitative differences in the results when considering the impact of the additional relevant reactions and of microphysics effects. For example, neutrino-electron/positron scattering reactions are important for the energy exchange of heavy-type neutrinos as they do not undergo semileptonic charged-current processes, when μ± are not accounted for. Moreover, weak magnetism and mean field effects can significantly modify the contribution of β processes for electron-type (anti)neutrinos, increasing at the same time the importance of (inverse) neutron decays. Here, the improved treatment for the reaction rates also modifies the conditions at which neutrinos decouple from matter in the system, potentially affecting their emission spectra.
Stars are slowly developing objects; the lifetimes of the different burning phases are determined by the strength of nuclear reactions, which in turn are defined by the quantum structure of the associated nuclei at the threshold and the respective reaction mechanisms. Stars, from the nuclear physics perspective, are cold environments where only a few of the key nuclear reactions have been measured at the actual stellar plasma temperatures. This is also the case for more dynamic astrophysical phenomena from the big bang to stellar explosions. Most of the nuclear reaction rates are therefore based on theoretical extrapolations. A number of discrepancies between these predictions and the associated stellar signatures have been observed, and many may be due to low-energy or near-threshold quantum effects. These effects need to be understood in order to reliably model nuclear reaction processes, not only for stars but also for low-temperature plasma environments such as controlled magnetic or inertial confinement fusion systems, which operate in similar temperature regimes. This review summarizes the various theoretical techniques presently used for deriving reaction rates and discusses possible quantum effects that may impact the reaction cross section near the reaction threshold. These resemble enhanced single-particle and cluster structures near threshold and associated interference effects. New experimental techniques such as deep-underground accelerators or the study of transfer reactions to mimic the quantum-mechanical transition strength, the so-called Trojan horse method, provide ways to directly or indirectly probe the reaction features that determine the reaction rates at stellar energies. Furthermore, this is demonstrated on a number of key nuclear reactions for different nucleosynthesis environments. Finally, current inconsistencies between experimental predictions and observations are discussed.
Distribution systems are currently facing steep operational challenges as a result of the rapidly increasing integration of renewables and other distributed energy resources (DERs) at both the primary and secondary circuit levels. Distribution utilities and system operators have traditionally had some visibility of their primary circuits using low-frequency supervisory control and data acquisition systems, and they have had very poor if not zero visibility of the secondary circuits where the presence of DERs is constantly increasing. Therefore, this paper presents simulation studies to demonstrate the benefits of an advanced, high-fidelity sensor technology, called as the Meta-Alert System (MAS), developed by Electrical Grid Monitoring, Ltd. (EGM), on the distribution grid. First, a reliable model of the EGM sensors is developed, and then two use cases, distribution system state estimation (DSSE) and fault identification are simulated to evaluate the performance of the MAS technology. Simulation results on the Electric Power Research Institute J1 feeder demonstrate that the MAS can effectively participate in system-level DSSE programs and can detect and locate faults faster than traditional distribution protection schemes.