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At least 37 records · Page 2

Predicting viscoelastic response and delayed failures in general laminated composites

Although graphite fibers behave in an essentially elastic manner, the polymeric matrix of graphite/epoxy composites is a viscoelastic material which exhibits creep and delayed failures. The creep process is quite slow at room temperature, but may be accelerated by higher temperatures, moisture absorption, and other factors. Techniques are being studied to predict long-term behavior of general laminates based on short-term observations of the unidirectional material at elevated temperatures. A preliminary numerical procedure based on lamination theory is developed for predicting creep and delayed failures in laminated composites. A modification of the Findley nonlinear power law is used to model the constitutive behavior of a lamina. An adaptation of the Tsai-Hill failure criterion is used to predict the time-dependent strength of a lamina. Predicted creep and delayed failure results are compared with typical experimental data.

Dillard, D. A.↗

Solar flare predictions and warnings

The real-time solar monitoring information supplied to support SPARCS equipped rocket launches, the routine collection and analysis of 3.3-mm solar radio maps, short-term flare forecasts based on these maps, longer-term forecasts based on the recurrence of active regions, and an extension of the flare forecasting technique are summarized. Forecasts for expectation of a solar flare of class or = 2F are given and compared with observed flares. A total of 52 plage regions produced all the flares of class or = 1N during the study period. The following results are indicated: of the total of 21 positive forecasts, 3 were correct and 18 were incorrect; of the total of 31 negative forecasts, 3 were incorrect and 28 were correct; of a total of 6 plage regions producing large flares, 3 were correctly forecast and 3 were missed; and of 46 regions not producing any large flares, 18 were incorrectly forecast and 28 were correctly forecast.

White, K. P., III↗

Solar flare predictions and warnings

The real-time solar monitoring information supplied to support SPARCS-equipped rocket launches, the routine collection and analysis of 3.3-mm solar radio maps, short-term flare forecasts based on these maps, longer-term forecasts based on the recurrence of active regions, and results of the synoptic study of solar active regions at 3.3-mm wavelength are presented. Forecasted flares in the 24-hour forecasts were 81% accurate, and those in the 28-day forecasts were 97% accurate. Synoptic radio maps at 3.3-mm wavelength are presented for twenty-three solar rotations in 1967 and 1968, as well as synoptic flare charts for the same period.

White, K. P., III↗

Accelerated characterization of graphite/epoxy composites

A method to predict the long-term compliance of unidirectional off-axis laminates from short-term laboratory tests is presented. The method uses an orthotropic transformation equation and the time-stress-temperature superposition principle. Short-term tests are used to construct master curves for two off-axis unidirectional laminates with fiber angles of 10 deg and 90 deg. In addition, analytical predictions of long-term compliance for 30 deg and 60 deg laminates are made. Comparisons with experimental data are also given.

Griffith, W. I.↗

Measurement of speech levels in the presence of time varying background noise

Short-term speech level measurements which could be used to note changes in vocal effort in a time varying noise environment were studied. Knowing the changes in speech level would in turn allow prediction of intelligibility in the presence of aircraft flyover noise. Tests indicated that it is possible to use two second samples of speech to estimate long term root mean square speech levels. Other tests were also performed in which people read out loud during aircraft flyover noise. Results of these tests indicate that people do indeed raise their voice during flyovers at a rate of about 3-1/2 dB for each 10 dB increase in background level. This finding is in agreement with other tests of speech levels in the presence of steady state background noise.

Pearsons, K. S.↗

Short-term solar activity forecasting

A method of forecasting the level of activity of every active region on the surface of the Sun within one to three days is proposed in order to estimate the possibility of the occurrence of ionospheric disturbances and proton events. The forecasting method is a probability process based on statistics. In many of the cases, the accuracy in predicting the short term solar activity was in the range of 70%, although there were many false alarms.

Xie-Zhen, C.↗

Ecological optimality in water-limited natural soil-vegetation systems. II - Tests and applications

The long-term optimal climatic climax soil-vegetation system is defined for several climates according to previous hypotheses in terms of two free parameters, effective porosity and plant water use coefficient. The free parameters are chosen by matching the predicted and observed average annual water yield. The resulting climax soil and vegetation properties are tested by comparison with independent observations of canopy density and average annual surface runoff. The climax properties are shown also to satisfy a previous hypothesis for short-term optimization of canopy density and water use coefficient. Using these hypotheses, a relationship between average evapotranspiration and optimum vegetation canopy density is derived and is compared with additional field observations. An algorithm is suggested by which the climax soil and vegetation properties can be calculated given only the climate parameters and the soil effective porosity. Sensitivity of the climax properties to the effective porosity is explored.

Eagleson, P. S.↗

Effects of air pollution on thermal structure and dispersion in an urban planetary boundary layer

The short-term effects of urbanization and air pollution on the transport processes in the urban planetary boundary layer (PBL) are studied. The investigation makes use of an unsteady two-dimensional transport model which has been developed by Viskanta et al., (1976). The model predicts pollutant concentrations and temperature in the PBL. The potential effects of urbanization and air pollution on the thermal structure in the urban PBL are considered, taking into account the results of numerical simulations modeling the St. Louis, Missouri metropolitan area.

Viskanta, R.↗

A review of short-term flare forecasting activities at Toyokawa

Short-term forecasting of solar activity conducted at Toyokawa is briefly reviewed. The forecasts are based on microwave observations of the slowly varying component of solar radiation associated with active regions. It was found that for proton flares which take place in intense active regions, it is possible to predict their occurrence with certain accuracy, but for a certain class of proton flares which occur in a small active region or which are associated with an active region, which evolves very rapidly, or for whose which occur behind the limb, it is almost impossible to forecast their occurrence.

Enome, S.↗

A model for predicting the wearout lifetime of the LeRC/Hughes 30-cm mercury ion thruster

An investigation of parameters that affect the erosion rates of 30-cm-diameter mercury-ion-thruster components is described. A sputter-erosion model is formulated in terms of the design, operational, and material characteristics of the thruster. The erosion model is applied to the screen electrode, which is assumed to be the life-limiting component of the 30-cm thruster, resulting in a model of wearout lifetime. Results of short-term erosion-rate tests are presented that illustrate the dependence of component wear rates on variables such as discharge voltage, accelerator-grid open-area fraction, ion energy, electrode material, and the partial pressure of facility residual gases such as nitrogen. Test results are compared with wearout rates predicted by the sputter-erosion model.

Beattie, J. R.↗

Effect of steady flight loads on JT9D-7 performance deterioration

Short term engine deterioration occurs in less than 250 flights on a new engine and in the first flights following engine repair; while long term deterioration involves primarily hot section distress and compression system losses which occur at a somewhat slower rate. The causes for short-term deterioration are associated with clearance changes which occur in the flight environment. Analytical techniques utilized to examine the effects of flight loads and engine operating conditions on performance deterioration are presented. The role of gyroscopic, gravitational, and aerodynamic loads are discussed along with the effect of variations in engine build clearances. These analytical results are compared to engine test data along with the correlation between analytically predicted and measured clearances and rub patterns. Conclusions are drawn and important issues are discussed.

Jay, A.↗

Computer program for the transient analysis of radioisotope thermoelectric generators.

A computer program is described which represents a comprehensive analytical tool providing the capability for predicting the output power and temperature profile of an arbitrary radioisotope thermoelectric generator (RTG) design in the presence of time-dependent operating conditions. The approach taken involves the merging of three existing computer programs - namely, an RTG weight optimization design program, a thermoelectric analysis program, and a nodal heat-transfer computer program. A total of seven transient conditions are included in the computer program as the principal transients affecting long- and short-term performance characteristics of RTGs. This computer program is unique in that it designs an optimum RTG, generates a thermal model or analog and performs heat-transfer analysis of the RTG under user-specified transient conditions.

Eggers, P. E.↗

Simultaneous multifrequency observations of Jovian S bursts

The millisecond component of the Jovian decameter emission was studied at high resolution in order to examine the short-term behavior of the S-burst drift rates and to define the drift rate spectrum at high frequencies. By using dynamic spectra of 300 microsec and 3.3 kHz resolution and covering discrete frequency bands in the 26-33 MHz range, large systematic changes in the magnitude of the S-burst drift rates are observed on a time scale of seconds to minutes. The drift rate variability, its dependence on frequency, and absence of the predicted drift rate turnover in the spectrum are interpreted in terms of an ionospheric electron source. Low-resolution intensity-time tracings, abrupt changes in mean drift rates from group to group, and systematic variations in the group-to-group mean drift rates due to predictable temporal changes in the magnetic field gradient on the Io flux tube are discussed. These temporal changes are due to motion of the Io-associated magnetic flux tube in the Jovian magnetosphere.

Flagg, R. S.↗

Quantitative simulation of a magnetospheric substorm. III - Plasmaspheric electric fields and evolution of the plasmapause

Results of a substorm simulation are used to investigate the penetration of substorm-associated electric fields into the plasmasphere. Near 4 earth radii in the equatorial plane, the time-dependent electric field model is characterized by eastward components in the dusk-midnight local time sector and westward components after midnight. With the exception of a small region just before dusk, the model predicts eastward electric field components throughout the daytime sector. The characteristic radial component is directed inward at all local times with the exception of a small region just after dawn. It is noted that these results compare favorably with available whistler and incoherent-scatter radar measurements obtained during magnetically disturbed periods. By assuming an initial plasmapause shape and by following the computed E x B drift trajectories of plasma flux tubes from that initial boundary, the short-term evolution of the plasmapause during the substorm-like event of September 19, 1976, is examined.

Spiro, R. W.↗

Short-term climate variability and atmospheric teleconnections from satellite-observed outgoing longwave radiation. I Simultaneous relationships. II - Lagged correlations

Attention is given to the low-frequency variability of outgoing longwave radiation (OLR) fluctuations, their possible correlations over different parts of the globe, and their relationships with teleconnections obtained from other meteorological parameters, for example, geopotential and temperature fields. Simultaneous relationships with respect to the Southern Oscillation (Namais, 1978; Barnett, 1981) signal and the reference OLR fluctuation over the equatorial central Pacific are investigated. Emphasis is placed on the relative importance of the Southern Oscillation (SO) signal over preferred regions. Using lag cross-correlation statistics, possible lagged relationships between the tropics and midlatitudes and their relationships with the SO are then investigated. Only features that are consistent with present knowledge of the dynamics of the system are emphasized. Certain features which may not meet rigorous statistical significance tests but yet are either expected a priori from independent observations or are predicted from dynamical theories are also explored.

Lau, K.-M.↗

Time-temperature behavior of a unidirectional graphite/epoxy composite

A testing program to determine the time-temperature response of unidirectional T300/934 graphite/epoxy materials is presented. The short-term creep test results of tension specimens with the load at various angles to the fiber direction and at various temperatures are reported, showing that the material is elastic at all temperatures when the fiber is in the load direction. However, when the load is transverse to the fibers, the viscoelastic response varies from small amounts at room temperature to large amounts at temperatures above the 180 C transition temperature. The time-temperature superposition principle or the method of reduced variables were used to determine compliance master curves for each fiber angle, and a viscoelastic analog to the elastic orthotropic transformation equation was used incrementally to predict the master curves for the tensile compliance of the off-axis specimen.

Yeow, Y. T.↗

Utilization of remotely-sensed data in the management of inland wetlands

The author has identified the following significant results. ERTS-1 data and aerial photography are proving to be a useful tool for the inventory and management of inland wetlands. Two examples of the application of remotely-sensed data to specific wetland management needs or requirements are discussed. Studies of the Great Dismal Swamp are utilizing ERTS-1 imagery and color IR photography in: (1) study area selection; (2) field inspection; (3) vegetation mapping; (4) identification of drainage characteristics and moisture regime; (5) location of intensive study areas; and (6) detection of change. Thematic extractions of ERTS-1 data made using the United States Geological Survey's Autographic Theme Extraction System are aiding analyses of swamp hydrologic regime and providing information pertinent to quick recognition and inventory of wetlands from ERTS-1. DCP'S in south Florida wetlands provide near-real time data for water resources managers. Data relayed by satellite can be entered into models to provide predictive data and water storage information for long-term and short-term decision making.

Carter, V.↗

Optical monitoring of 15 quasars

The data of fifteen quasars are analyzed to determine how well a short-term program of observation can characterize the general optical behavior as compared to a long-term program. Three major research objectives were pursued, namely, to measure archival brightness of the quasars, to compare the brightness observed (mid-1970) to that of the Harvard historical plate collection 1900-1950, and to compare the general behavior during a short-time (two years) to that found over 50 years. Results show that in eight of the 15 quasars the mean magnitude derived from the present short-epoch program differed by 0.11 mag or less from the mean determined in the long-epoch program. The mean difference for all 15 quasars was 0.20 mag. However, in two cases, the short program failed by 0.83 and 0.66 mag, respectively, in predicting the mean brightness. The largest rate of increase in brightness observed was 0.9 mag/day (3C263) and of decrease was 0.44 (3C345), and it is concluded that the rates of decrease and increase in brightness are essentially the same.

Angione, R. J.↗