Spatial and temporal variation in the value of solar power across United States electricity markets
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Concentrating Solar Power (CSP) systems with molten salt thermal energy storage (TES) tanks are one of the most promising, renewable-based energy conversion technologies for larger-scale power generation. The TES tank is one of the most critical components in CSP plants due to its high-temperature operation (up to 565 °C), daily thermal cycling, and intermittent solar radiation conditions. The plant startup is one of the most challenging operation conditions that could lead to damaging thermal gradients due to low salt inventory levels. In this study an analytical model for the sparger ring was developed and integrated with a detailed computational fluid dynamics model of a commercial-scaled molten salt tank. The integrated model allows an accurate representation of the tank operation to evaluate the effect of molten salt inflow on the mixing process. The tank filling process during plant startup was analyzed considering sparger rings with variations in design features, including inlet orifice configurations, number of orifices, direction of the inlets, and orifice diameter. The results demonstrated that higher temperature gradients are obtained in the tank floor during the plant startup. A sparger ring configuration with a predetermined orifice inlet inclination (30°, 45° and 60°) leads to significant temperature differences in the floor, between 57 °C and 62 °C, but better homogeneity in the temperature of the salt inventory. Lower salt inflow velocities result in a more homogeneous floor temperature, with maximum temperature differences under 38 °C. The sparger ring configuration with 52 orifices of 1-in. diameter and vertical flow showed better homogeneity in the temperature differences as a function of the salt level and lower temperature gradients in the tank floor. Because large temperature gradients in the tank's floor have been identified as one of the main factors contributing to tank failures, assessing various sparger ring design features is fundamental to determining proper inflow conditions that lead to low-temperature gradients and reducing failure susceptibility.
Concentrating solar power (CSP) development has focused on increasing the energy conversion efficiency and lowering the capital cost. To improve performance, CSP research is moving to high-temperature and high-efficiency designs. One technology approach is to use inexpensive, high-temperature heat transfer fluids and storage, integrated with a high-efficiency power cycle such as the supercritical carbon dioxide (sCO 2 ) Brayton power cycle. The sCO 2 Brayton power cycle has strong potential to achieve performance targets of 50% thermal-to-electric efficiency and dry cooling at an ambient temperature of up to 40 °C and to reduce the cost of power generation. Solid particles have been proposed as a possible high-temperature heat transfer or storage medium that is inexpensive and stable at high temperatures above 1000 °C. The particle/sCO 2 heat exchanger (HX) provides a connection between the particles and sCO 2 fluid in emerging sCO 2 power cycles. This article presents heat transfer modeling to analyze the particle/sCO 2 HX design and assess design tradeoffs including the HX cost. The heat transfer process was modeled based on a particle/sCO 2 counterflow configuration, and empirical heat transfer correlations for the fluidized bed and sCO 2 were used to calculate heat transfer area and estimate the HX cost. A computational fluid dynamics simulation was applied to characterize particle distribution and fluidization. This article shows a path to achieve the cost and performance objectives for a particle/sCO 2 HX design by using fluidized-bed technology.
Pumped Thermal Energy Storage (PTES) is a promising technology for electricity storage applications. An electrically driven heat pump moves energy from a cold space to a hot space, thereby creating hot and cold thermal storage. The temperature difference between the hot and cold storage is later used to drive a heat engine and return electricity to the grid. In this article, supercritical carbon dioxide (sCO2) is chosen as the working fluid for PTES, and results are compared to 'conventional' systems that use nitrogen. Molten salts are used for the hot storage which means that a CSP plant with thermal storage and an sCO2 power cycle could potentially be hybridized with PTES by the addition of a heat pump. This article describes some of the benefits of this combined system which can provide renewable power generation and energy management services. Two methods by which an sCO2 heat pump can be combined with an sCO2 power cycle for CSP are described and techno-economic results are presented. Results indicate that these systems can achieve reasonable technical performance, but that costs are currently high.
Pumped Thermal Energy Storage (PTES) is a promising technology for electricity storage applications. Grid electricity drives a heat pump which moves energy from a cold space to a hot space, thereby creating hot and cold thermal storage. The temperature difference between the storage is later used to drive a heat engine and return electricity to the grid. In this article, supercritical carbon dioxide (sCO2) is chosen as the working fluid for PTES, and results are compared to ‘conventional’ systems that use an ideal gas. Molten salts are used for the hot storage which means that a CSP plant with thermal storage and an sCO2 power cycle could potentially be hybridized with PTES by the addition of a heat pump. This article describes some of the benefits of this combined system which can provide renewable power generation and energy management services. Two methods by which an sCO2 heat pump can be combined with an sCO2 power cycle for CSP are described and techno-economic results are presented. Results indicate that these systems can achieve reasonable technical performance, but that costs are currently high.
This paper presents a model for improving off-design performance predictions for molten salt-driven Rankine power cycles, such as in concentrating solar power tower applications. The model predicts cycle off-design performance under various boundary conditions, including molten salt inlet temperature, mass flow rate, and ambient temperature. The model is validated using industry performance data and benchmarked with results from the literature. A complete concentrating solar power plant, inclusive of solar heliostat field and receiver, is then considered, by implementing the Rankine cycle off-design performance results into the National Renewable Energy Laboratory’s System Advisor Model software, which includes a tool that determines optimal power production schedules. The work improves upon the current System Advisor Model by updating off-design performance characteristics. A case study demonstrates the impact of cycle off-design behavior on annual performance for a stand-alone concentrating solar power system and a concentrating solar power-photovoltaic hybrid system. In addition, we demonstrate how cycle off-design performance influences optimal operator dispatch decisions and, thereby, overall system design and economics. We conclude that off-design cycle performance impacts “optimal” sub-system sizing, especially for a concentrating solar power-photovoltaic hybrid configuration in which concentrating solar power must dispatch in conjunction with photovoltaic generation.
Abstract As the supercritical CO2 power cycle develops and the component technologies mature, there is still a need to reduce the associated capital and operating costs to maintain a competitive levelized cost of electricity (LCOE) in order to enter the market. When considering concentrating solar power (CSP) coupled with an sCO2 power block and sensible thermal storage, the technology presents a clean source for utility-scale power generation to support baseload or peak-load electrical demand. However, the LCOE of the technology is still considered higher than the competing technologies and should be reduced to better compete in the market; 2030 targets for dispatchable solar plants are 5¢/kWh for baseload CSP and 10¢/kWh for peaker plants, as set by the United States Department of Energy. In response to this need, this study is targeting improvements in the power cycle precooler to reduce power block contribution to LCOE. This study considers a dry cooler, as CSP plants are sensitive to water consumption because many installations are slated for remote or arid locations where solar irradiance is very high, but water is scarce. Furthermore, the power block footprint for an sCO2 system is quite compact, especially as compared to a steam cycle. Therefore, there is interest in installing a more compact dry cooler that is proportional to the reduced footprint sCO2 power block, while conventional dry coolers are an order of magnitude larger. The competing goals of size, performance, and cost were considered in this study to develop a compact dry cooler that can easily be packaged with the power block, significantly reducing the installation and transport cost compared to the current state of the art, while maintaining or improving upon the heat transfer performance and impact on plant LCOE. This paper details the high-level findings of a large dry cooler sensitivity study for design point selection, design of the compact dry cooler, expected year-round performance for the dry cooler and the power cycle, and the predicted LCOE for a 30-year plant life. It was found that an aluminum heat exchanger core can be suitably designed to meet the pressure and temperature requirements for a precooler in an sCO2 recompression Brayton cycle. The dry cooler assembly was found to have improved heat transfer performance, allowing for increased cycle efficiencies and a reduced plant LCOE. When coupled with a centrifugal blower and compact transition duct, the dry cooler assembly was able to reduce the installation footprint by over 50%.
Generation 3 Concentrating Solar Power (CSP) Systems require thermal energy storage that can efficiently receive solar heat and deliver it to a working fluid at temperatures greater than 700°C. For liquid systems, the thermal transfer fluid must be phase stable over large temperature ranges. High temperature molten salts meet this criteria, but are difficult liquids to handle. The high heat and salt content can be very corrosive to several different materials that are wetted by the liquid salt. For power tower collectors, the molten salt must be pumped under high pressure to the top of the collector tower. These pumps have impellers and shafts as part of their rotating elements, and under load, require bearings to control shaft movement while rotating. These high temperature pumps require submerged bearings, and thus bearing materials that can withstand the temperature and molten salt contact over long periods of time. This is essential for keeping pump maintenance costs low, and downtime to a minimum. Long running bearing materials is an enabling technology for integrated liquid systems in Generation 3 CSP Systems. Keeping costs low and systems reliable are critical for the broad adoption of Gen 3 CSP Systems. Hayward Tyler, Inc (HTI) proposed development of journal bearing materials for use in vertical pumps designed for pumping high temperature molten salt on both the hot and cold sides of the solar power tower. To complete this objective, HTI utilized the testing capabilities of Oak Ridge National Laboratory (ORNL) and High Temperature System Design (HTSD). Materials would first be selected for static corrosion testing, then downselected for tribological testing. Successful tribologically tested materials would then be downselected for use in additional test regimes. Ten samples were selected for static corrosion testing. Three passed the static testing regime. Two of these materials were downselected for ball material in tribological testing against three metallic alloys: Sintered Y2O3 Partially Stabilized Zirconia YTZP and Silicon Nitride, Grade 147-31N. HTI also proposed collecting data from a thorough bearing test regime using a test rig designed and built as part of this project, and also a conceptual design for a high temperature molten salt vertical pump. HTI withdrew from the project prior to completion of this work and this report reflects only the work completed prior to withdrawal. The completed work produced two papers, one manuscript submitted for publication, and one paper published in the journal Solar Energy Materials and Solar Cells. The papers are: “Tribological behavior of ceramic-alloy bearing contacts in molten salt lubrication for concentrating solar power” and “Material Selection and Corrosion Studies Of Candidate Bearing Materials For Use In Molten Chloride Salt."
Abstract Concentrated solar power (CSP) is a reliable renewable energy source that is progressively lowering its cost of energy. However, the heat loss due to reflected and emitted radiation hinders the maximum achievable thermal efficiency for solar receiver tubes on the solar tower. Current solar selective coatings cannot withstand the high temperatures that come with state-of-the-art CSP towers often needing to be recoated soon after initial operation. We intend to use Inconel 718 with different additive manufacturing (AM) practices to construct surfaces that allow for more light-trapping to occur. By adjusting printing parameters, we can tailor a surface to allow for more absorption while diminishing emitted radiation heat loss. By using COMSOL Multiphysics, we can generate these theoretical surfaces to emulate a printed surface, and using the coupled Multiphysics we can simulate how the surface dictates radiation properties. Our results show that by having a rougher surface we can enhance the absorptivity of Inconel 718 (IN718) by 38.8%. We expect this work to transform how solar absorber tubes are manufactured without using selective coatings and supplement the US Department of Energy (DOE) 2030 SunShot Initiative.
Particle-based concentrating solar power systems integrated with sCO 2 power cycles offer high thermal efficiencies but require durable heat exchangers to transfer heat from high-temperature particles to the sCO 2 working fluid. Here, this study presents the design and optimization of a silicon carbide-silicon moving packed-bed heat exchanger for fabrication via binder jetting additive manufacturing. The heat exchanger was designed to withstand a 20 MPa sCO 2 pressure and operate at particle inlet temperatures up to 750 °C. The final design features 152 sCO 2 channels distributed across 19 plates, with elliptical corners and a minimum wall thickness of 3 mm. Flow restrictors at the sCO 2 channel inlets significantly improved flow uniformity, reducing thermal stresses and achieving a structural reliability of 99 % under representative operating conditions. The heat exchanger delivers a thermal duty of 9 kW and a volumetric power density of approximately 1 MW/m 3 in the channel region. Sensitivity studies confirmed the heat exchanger’s robustness under varying operating conditions, demonstrating its viability as a high-performance alternative to metallic heat exchangers for particle-based high-temperature concentrating solar power applications.
To make concentrating solar power (CSP) cost-competitive, the next generation of CSP plants will increase efficiency by operating at a higher temperature, which will require a new thermal energy storage material. One option for the thermal energy storage material is a ternary chloride salt that is stable at the temperatures required, but reacts easily with the atmosphere to form MgOHCl, a corrosive impurity. If left unchecked, this impurity will corrode the containment alloys, potentially leading to dangerous spills. We are working to design an electrochemical purification cell to remove MgOHCl from the molten chloride salt during CSP plant operation.
Concentrating solar power central-receiver plants use thousands of sun-tracking mirrors, i.e., heliostats, to reflect sunlight to a central receiver, which collects and uses the heat to generate electricity. Over time, soiling reduces the reflectivity of the heliostats and, therefore, the efficiency of the system. Current industry practice sends vehicles to wash heliostats in an ad hoc fashion. We present a mixed-integer nonlinear program that determines wash vehicle fleet size, mix, and assignment of wash crews to heliostats to minimize the sum of (i) the revenues lost due to heliostat soiling, (ii) the costs of hiring wash crews and operating the vehicles, and (iii) the costs of purchasing wash vehicles. We establish conditions for convexity of the objective function, and then propose a decomposition method that enables near-optimal solutions to the wash vehicle fleet sizing and assignment problem on the order of a couple of minutes. Furthermore, these solutions yield hundreds of thousands of dollars in savings per year over current industry practices.
Detection of bad data from measurement sensors and bad commands from control centers need to be carried out to avoid instabilities within large power electronics systems. Towards the same, in this paper, model and data driven methods are proposed to identify anomalies in measured data and commands received by large power electronics systems. The large power electronics system considered in this paper is a multi-port autonomous reconfigurable solar power plant (MARS), which consists of photovoltaic (PV) and energy storage systems (ESSs) that connect to high-voltage direct current (HVdc) system and transmission ac power grid. The proposed algorithms in the MARS power plant to detect bad data from measurements and bad commands from control centers are evaluated in simulations and hardware-in-the-loop (HIL) tests. Furthermore, it has been observed that the proposed algorithms are able to detect bad measurements and commands in all the use cases evaluated.
Hybridization of concentrated solar power (CSP) plants provides flexibility in operation that can drastically improve the solar-to-electric (STE) efficiency and levelized cost of electricity (LCOE) relative to standalone CSP plants. Flexible heat integration (FHI) is a novel concept where the collection and integration of CSP within a power plant is modified relative to the amount of solar energy available. FHI improves the thermal efficiency of a hybrid solar tower steam Rankine cycle power plant but leads to increased pumping needs due to continuously elevated molten salt flow rates through the collection system, which can negatively impact STE efficiency. The present work is carried out to maximize the STE efficiency of a hybrid CSP plant utilizing FHI by employing a dynamic optimization framework where a genetic algorithm optimizes the operation of the plant over a given solar irradiance profile. The study concerns a plant hypothetically located in Salt Lake City, Utah. Here, the optimization results confirm the accuracy of a predictive heuristic where the preferred operation of the plant can be estimated relative to local peaks in the incident power generated by the heliostat collection field. The optimized FHI operation demonstrates a yearly STE efficiency of 13.8%, whereas the equivalent base-level hybrid and solar-only plants exhibit solar efficiencies of 13.4% and 11.2%, respectively. Economic analysis shows that FHI reduces yearly natural gas costs, leading to a $\$0.5$/MWh reduction in LCOE relative to the base-level hybrid configuration. Overall, the results show that hybrid FHI schemes exhibit economic benefits along with observed thermodynamic improvements.
Designers of utility-scale solar plants with storage, seeking to maximize some aspect of plant performance, face multiple challenges. In many geographic locations, there is significant penetration of photovoltaic generation, which depresses energy prices during the hours of solar availability. An energy storage system affords the opportunity to dispatch during higher-priced time periods, but complicates plant design and dispatch decisions. Solar resource variability compounds these challenges, because determining optimal system sizes requires simultaneously considering how the plant will be operated under the imposed market and weather conditions. We develop an approach to analyze the economic performance of hybrid and single-technology solar power plants, which incorporates optimal dispatch, and considers the expected electricity market and weather conditions. We utilize the System Advisor Model software package to simulate the operation of multiple renewable generation and energy storage technologies, in conjunction with hourly-fidelity generation decisions determined by a revenue-maximizing, mixed-integer linear program. We show that, under our assumed market and weather conditions, the lifetime benefit-to-cost ratio can be improved by 6 to 19 percent, relative to a baseline design without optimizing, and that a concentrating solar power with thermal energy storage design produces significantly more energy per year, but is less profitable under our cost assumptions.
Deep decarbonization of electricity systems raises concerns about the need for generating capacity that can maintain reliable energy supply. Given this concern, we explore the ability of concentrating-solar-power plants with thermal energy storage to provide a carbon-free source of such capacity. We develop an approach to assessing the capacity contribution of concentrating-solar-power plants that considers future systems. Such considerations are important, because of potential differences in net-load patterns compared to today (e.g., due to higher renewable-energy penetrations). Using historical data spanning an 18-year period, we demonstrate that concentrating-solar-power plants with thermal energy storage can provide this necessary capacity with little impact on their financial viability. We examine the impact of myopic decisions and imperfect foresight of future system conditions on the operation of concentrating-solar-power plants and the resultant impact on their capacity contributions. We find that imperfect foresight can have limited impacts on such a use of concentrating-solar-power plants, so long as proper forecasting techniques are developed and used. Overall, our work shows that concentrating-solar-power plants with thermal energy storage may have a role to play in delivering reliable electricity supply in a decarbonized energy system.
Concentrating solar power (CSP) plants convert solar energy to electricity and can be deployed with a thermal storage capability to shift electricity generation from time periods with available solar resource to those with high electricity demand or electricity price. Rigorous optimization of plant design and operational strategies can improve the market-competitiveness and commercial viability; however, such optimization may require hundreds of annual performance simulations, each of which can be computationally expensive when including considerations such as optimization of dispatch scheduling, sub-hourly time resolution, and stochastic effects due to uncertain weather or electricity price forecasts. This paper proposes a methodology to reduce the computational burden associated with simulation of electricity yield and revenue for CSP plants over a single- or multi-year period. Data-clustering techniques are employed to select a small number of limited-duration time blocks for simulation that, when appropriately weighted, can reproduce generation and revenue over a single year or within each year of a multi-year period. After selection of appropriate data features and weighting factors defining similarity between time-series profiles, the methodology captured annual revenue within 2.3%, 1.7%, or 1.2% using simulation of 10, 30, or 50 three-day exemplar time blocks, respectively, for each of three single-year location/weather/market scenarios and five plant configurations ranging from low to high solar multiple and storage capacity. When applied to multi-year datasets, the proposed methodology can capture inter-year variability that is unavailable from typical meteorological year (TMY) datasets while simultaneously requiring simulation of less than a single year of data.