SEARCH · Search NASA
Search indexed NASA NTRS and DOE OSTI research on propulsion, heat transfer, battery materials and energy systems. Follow report and document links to the original sources.
Quote a phrase for an exact phrase match. Source license links do not imply unrestricted reuse.
Advances in the understanding of possible effects of solar variations on weather and climate are most likely to emerge by addressing the subject in terms of fundamental physical principles of atmospheric sciences and solar-terrestrial physis. The limits of variability of solar inputs to the atmosphere and the depth in the atmosphere to which these variations have significant effects are determined.
Variability of the total solar irradiance is a potential contributor to changes in global mean temperature on time scales longer than the relaxation time of the upper ocean.
Variability of the total solar irradiance (TSI) is a ptential contributor to changes in global mean temperature on time scales longer than the relaxation time of the upper ocean (i.e. a few years).
Explore the source record for details and available documents.
A description is given of the temporal behavior of the sun as an ultraviolet variable star in relation to daily zonal means of atmospheric ozone from the total amount to that above the 10-mb and 4-mb pressure levels. A significant correlation has been observed between enhancements in the ultraviolet solar irradiances and terrestrial passages of the solar magnetic field sector boundary structure. However, it has not yet been possible to separate solar from the dynamical effects on the variability in the zonal means of ozone. Attention is given to global changes in ozone which have been derived from the satellite observations in terms of season, solar variability, and major stratospheric disturbances such as stratospheric warmings.
A steady state analysis of winter winds shows that the speed of the upper atmospheric polar vortex approaches and occasionally exceeds the value required to reflect externally forced planetary wave 1 energy back towards the surface of the earth. Historical observations suggest that solar UV variability and geomagnetic disturbances are two primary forces which modulate the planetary wave trapping mechanism. Through the solar-terrestrial process described, small changes in the sun's behavior can be physically linked to both shortand long-term changes in tropospheric weather patterns.
Within this decade, observations of total solar irradiance have become good enough to make it possible to study directly the solar luminosity variations on a wide range of time scales, up to several years. At the same time, there has been considerable improvement in understanding the classical indicators of solar activity, such as UV and visible chromospheric lines, soft X-rays, and radio fluxes. The observed variations include the effects of sunspots and plage solar-cycle effects, and signatures of global oscillations and convection. In addition, new characteristic time-scales (154 days and possibly 320 days) have been discovered. This review covers these developments and comments briefly on the subject of helioseismology.
The signature of the solar cycle appears in helioseismic frequencies and splittings. It is known that the changing outer superadiabatic region of the sun is responsible for this. The deeper solar-cycle mechanism from the surface changes, and, in particular, how magnetic fields perturb the global modes, the solar irradiance and the luminosity, is discussed. The irradiance and helioseismic changes are described. The interpretation of seismic and photometric data is discussed, considering current one-dimensional models and phenomenology. It is discussed how the long term solar-cycle luminosity effect could be caused by changes occurring near the base of the convection zone (CZ). It is shown that a thin toroidal flux sheath at the top of the radiative zone changed the thermal stratification immediately below the CZ over a solar-cycle timescale in two ways: the temperature of the magnetized fluid becomes hotter than the surrounding fluid, and the temperature gradient steepens above the magnetized region. The testing of CZ dynamics and extension of numerical experiments to global scales are considered.
Two scenarios of spectral solar forcing, namely Spectral Irradiance Monitor (SIM)-based out-of-phase variations and conventional in-phase variations, are input to a time-dependent radiative-convective model (RCM), and to the GISS modelE. Both scenarios and models give maximum temperature responses in the upper stratosphere, decreasing to the surface. Upper stratospheric peak-to-peak responses to out-of-phase forcing are approx.0.6 K and approx.0.9 K in RCM and modelE, approx.5 times larger than responses to in-phase forcing. Stratospheric responses are in-phase with TSI and UV variations, and resemble HALOE observed 11-year temperature variations. For in-phase forcing, ocean mixed layer response lags surface air response by approx.2 years, and is approx.0.06 K compared to approx.0.14 K for atmosphere. For out-of-phase forcing, lags are similar, but surface responses are significantly smaller. For both scenarios, modelE surface responses are less than 0.1 K in the tropics, and display similar patterns over oceanic regions, but complex responses over land.
Results of photometry of solar active regions and their effect on the solar irradiance in the visible part of the spectrum are presented. The effects of sunspots and faculae are given separately, since the measurement of sunspot irradiance fluctuations is less uncertain. It is argued that energy balance may exist between sunspot deficits and facular excesses. The uncertainty, however, is + or - 15 percent (1 sigma). This possible balance also depends on the correct mathematical model for the contrast of faculae as a function of position on the solar disk. Extreme Limb Photometer (ELP) data are presented in such a way as to show that the model for facular limb darkening is consistent with the assumptions inherent in the irradiance modeling. The ELP data support the notion that energy balance between spots and faculae is possible. It is emphasized that even if there is energy balance, there will still be variations in the solar irradiance at the earth.
The variability in the total radiant energy flux, or solar irradiance, is discussed. Direct techniques of measuring irradiance, including ground-based, balloon and rocket-borne, and spacecraft-based measurements are compared; the latter type has led to dramatic advances in accuracy since it eliminates the need for corrections for atmospheric absorption. Correlations of the measured irradiance with solar activity are described. Indirect techniques that monitor other solar parameters such as photospheric conditions or the solar diameter are reviewed, and theoretical studies which attempt to interpret the measurements are discussed. Physical mechanisms which can lead to changes in the solar luminosity are addressed, as is global time-dependent modeling of the response of the sun to structural perturbations. Finally, findings from all techniques are summarized, their weak and strong points are assessed, and suggestions for future research are made.
Radiocarbon (delta C-14) records suggest a 200-year periodicity in solar activity in the last millennium. Researchers examined the Carbon-14 record going back 8 millennia for this and other periodicities. The computation differs from that in most previous work in its use of techniques developed for unevenly spaced sampling without rebinning the data to equally spaced intervals. A variation with a 200-year period is a strong feature of the Carbon-14 record going back several millennia. Periodicities that appear to be significant are listed and their physical interpretation discussed.
The Shuttle SBUV (SSBUV) and NOAA-11 SBUV/2 instruments measured solar spectral UV irradiance during the maximum and declining phase of solar cycle 22. The SSB UV data accurately represent the absolute solar UV irradiance between 200-405 nm, and also show the long-term variations during eight flights between October 1989 and January 1996. These data have been used to correct long-term sensitivity changes in the NOAA-11 SBUV/2 data, which provide a near-daily record of solar UV variations over the 170-400 nm region between December 1988 and October 1994. The NOAA-11 data demonstrate the evolution of short-term solar UV activity during solar cycle 22.
We analyze simultaneous, or near-simultaneous, coregistered, digital, photometric images of solar photospheric intensity and line-of-sight magnetic field. Images were made with the Lockheed tunable filter instrument at the Swedish Solar Observatory, La Palma, with the video spectra-spectroheliograph system at the San Fernando Observatory and with the new NASA spectromagnetograph at the National Solar Observatory at Kitt Peak. We study the disk center contrasts of small magnetic elements. While active region faculae are dark at disk center quiet Sun network features are bright. The populations of magnetic field elements that make up these two kinds of features are quite different. Different contrast center-limb functions must be used when estimating their irradiance or luminosity contributions. The disk center contrasts of active region faculae are colar dependent and indicate a depth effect related to the H(-) opacity of the facular atmopshere. This results is important for calibration of monochromatic observations of faculae to bolometric irradiance fluctuations. We emphasize the value of cooperative observations among installations whose differing strengths are complementary.
Titan's geometric albedo varied noticeably from 1972 to 1978, in phase with variations in solar activity (Lockwood and Thompson, 1979). A series of radiative transfer and aerosol formation calculations were made to demonstrate the feasibility of the following scenario for these secular brightness changes. Solar activity changes, especially in the UV output of the sun, result in alterations to the mass production rate of aerosols in Titan's atmosphere, which lead to modifications of their microphysical properties. The latter, in turn, cause the albedo to vary. Current estimates of the change in the solar UV radiation below the dissociation limit of methane imply alterations to the mean radius of the aerosols over an 11-yr solar cycle that are consistent in sign and magnitude with those required to explain the observed secular brightness changes.
The analyses of Willson et al. (1981) and Hudson et al. (1981) are extended in correlating the total solar irradiance monitor (ACRIM) data with the routine synoptic sunspot data. At the simplest level, this correlation reveals clearly that the so-called 'missing flux' is truly missing in the sense that large young active regions do produce at net diminution of the irradiance when their spots cross the central meridian. It is pointed out that the irradiance deficit must of course be made up, either promptly or on intermediate time scales; this is because the surface effects cannot perturb the energy generation processes in the interior. In the approach taken here, simple models of the reemission are constructed, the total reemission is scaled to the estimated sunspot deficit, and an attempt is made to measure the parameters of the models by a statistical comparison with ACRIM data.
Reference is made to direct measurements carried out by space-borne detectors which have shown variations of the solar constant at the 0.2 percent level, with times scales ranging from days to tens of days. It is contended that these changes do not necessarily reflect variations in the solar luminosity and that, in general, direct measurements have not yet been able to establish (or exclude) solar luminosity changes with longer time scales. Indirect techniques, however, especially radius measurements,suggest that solar luminosity variations of up to approximately 0.7 percent have occurred within a period of tens to hundreds of years.
The launch of Nimbus 4 in April 1974 has made possible simultaneous measurements of the ultraviolet solar irradiance and the global distribution of atmospheric ozone by the monitor of ultraviolet solar energy (MUSE) and backscatter ultraviolet (BUV) experiments respectively. Two long lived ultraviolet active solar regions which are about 180 deg apart in solar longitude were observed to be associated with central meridian passages of solar magnetic sector boundaries. The boundaries may be significant in the evaluation of correlations between solar magnetic sector structure and atmospheric circulation.