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Search indexed NASA NTRS and DOE OSTI research on propulsion, heat transfer, battery materials and energy systems. Follow report and document links to the original sources.

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At least 37 records · Page 2
All sourcesNASA NTRSDOE OSTI
DOE OSTI2024

A Study of Intermittent Turbulence in Stable Arctic Boundary Layers

Abstract Polar boundary layers are difficult to model due to the existence of intermittent turbulence within stable layers. Here we present a case study evaluation of coherent structures in a stable boundary layer observed during a series of flights with an uncrewed aircraft system (DataHawk2) on 19 October 2016 at Oliktok Point, Alaska as part of the ERASMUS (Evaluation of Routine Atmospheric Sounding Measurements using Unmanned Systems) field campaign. During a sequence of five flights over a nine-hour period, 57 profiles of atmospheric properties (0–400 m a.g.l) were collected. Turbulence was identified using derived Richardson Number, temperature structure function parameter, and turbulence kinetic energy dissipation. Throughout all flights on this strongly stable day, intermittent turbulence was observed. These turbulent layers showed well-mixed potential temperature profiles embedded within otherwise stable potential temperature profiles; often resulting in a characteristic staircase pattern. Turbulent layers ranged from 1 to 30 m deep, with most individual layers being 1–2 m deep. Vertical propagation velocities of layers in the lower atmosphere were on the order of a few cm s −1 , typical of non-convective environments. In different regions of the profile, turbulence was driven by a different balance of buoyancy and shear forces, with turbulence in the near surface environment driven by strong shear forces overcoming strong resistance to buoyancy, while turbulence in elevated layers characterized by weaker shear forces overcoming weaker resistance to buoyancy. We discuss the potential of such datasets for improving subgrid parameterizations of small-scale turbulence embedded within stable boundary layers.

54 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES↗
DOE OSTI2018

Future Community Efforts in Understanding and Modeling Atmospheric Processes

Atmospheric processes are important for weather, climate, and water prediction, as well as climate change projection, but their representation through subgrid parameterizations remains challenging. Understanding and representing these processes are therefore major goals of international research programs. The Global Atmospheric System Studies (GASS) Panel (Zeng and Klocke 2017), as part of the Global Energy and Water Exchanges Project (GEWEX), is dedicated to developing and improving the representation of the atmosphere in weather and climate models by facilitating and supporting the international community to carry out and use observations, process studies, and numerical model experiments.

54 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES↗
DOE OSTI2022

Linking Large-Scale Double-ITCZ Bias to Local-Scale Drizzling Bias in Climate Models

Tropical precipitation in climate models presents significant biases in both the large-scale pattern (i.e., double intertropical convergence zone bias) and local-scale characteristics (i.e., drizzling bias with too frequent drizzle/convection and reduced occurrences of no and heavy precipitation). By untangling the coupled system and analyzing the biases in precipitation, cloud, and radiation, this study shows that local-scale drizzling bias in atmospheric models can lead to large-scale double-ITCZ bias in coupled models by inducing convective-regime-dependent biases in precipitation and cloud radiative effects (CRE). The double-ITCZ bias consists of a hemispherically asymmetric component that arises from the asymmetric SST bias and a nearly symmetric component that exists in atmospheric models without the SST bias. By increasing light rain but reducing heavy rain, local-scale drizzling bias induces positive (negative) precipitation bias in the moderate (strong) convective regime, leading to the nearly symmetric wet bias in atmospheric models. By affecting the cloud profile, local-scale drizzling bias induces positive (negative) CRE bias in the stratocumulus (convective) regime in atmospheric models. Because the stratocumulus (convective) region is climatologically more pronounced in the southern (northern) tropics, the CRE bias is deemed to be hemispherically asymmetric and drives warm and wet (cold and dry) biases in the southern (northern) tropics when coupled to ocean. Our results suggest that correcting local-scale drizzling bias is critical for fixing large-scale double-ITCZ bias. Finally, the drizzling and double-ITCZ biases are not alleviated in models with mesoscale (0.25°–0.5°) or even storm-resolving (~3 km) resolution, implying that either large-eddy simulation or fundamental improvement in small-scale subgrid parameterizations is needed.

54 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES↗
DOE OSTI2021

Building an AI-enhanced modeling framework to address multiscale predictability challenges

Focal Area(s): Build an AI-enhanced modeling framework that integrates the three focus areas in the solicitation. Science Challenge: The 4M-2N complexities (Multiscale, Multiphysics, Multibody, Multidimension, Non-linearity, and Non-Gaussianality) of atmospheric aerosol-cloud-precipitation-turbulence-radiation system poses physical and computational challenges to further advance predictive models; We plan to address the challenges by developing an AI-enhanced modeling framework that facilitates automated calibration and improvement of subgrid parameterizations, enhance data assimilation of measurements to improve initial and boundary conditions used to drive the physical model, and optimally blends data-driven and physics-based forecasting models.

54 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES↗
DOE OSTI2018

Evaluation of autoconversion and accretion enhancement factors in general circulation model warm-rain parameterizations using ground-based measurements over the Azores

A great challenge in climate modeling is how to parameterize subgrid cloud processes, such as autoconversion and accretion in warm-rain formation. In this study, we use ground-based observations and retrievals over the Azores to investigate the so-called enhancement factors, E auto and E accr , which are often used in climate models to account for the influence of subgrid variance of cloud and precipitation water on the autoconversion and accretion processes. E auto and E accr are computed for different equivalent model grid sizes. The calculated E auto values increase from 1.96 (30 km) to 3.2 (180 km), and the calculated E accr values increase from 1.53 (30 km) to 1.76 (180 km). Comparing the prescribed enhancement factors in Morrison and Gettleman (2008, MG08) to the observed ones, we found that a higher E auto (3.2) at small grids and lower E accr (1.07) are used in MG08, which might explain why most of the general circulation models (GCMs) produce too-frequent precipitation events but with too-light precipitation intensity. The ratios of the rain to cloud water mixing ratio ( q r / q c ) at E accr =1.07 and E accr =2.0 are 0.063 and 0.142, respectively, from observations, further suggesting that the prescribed value of E accr =1.07 used in MG08 is too small to simulate precipitation intensity correctly. Both E auto and E accr increase when the boundary layer becomes less stable, and the values are larger in precipitating clouds ( CLWP>75 gm -2 ) than those in non-precipitating clouds ( CLWP<75 gm -2 ). Therefore, the selection of E auto and E accr values in GCMs should be regime- and resolution-dependent.

54 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES↗
DOE OSTI2019

Stochastic Parameterization of Subgrid-Scale Velocity Enhancement of Sea Surface Fluxes

Abstract Subgrid-scale (SGS) velocity variations result in gridscale sea surface flux enhancements that must be parameterized in weather and climate models. Traditional parameterizations are deterministic in that they assign a unique value of the SGS velocity flux enhancement to any given configuration of the resolved state. In this study, we assess the statistics of SGS velocity flux enhancement over a range of averaging scales (as a proxy for varying model resolution) through systematic coarse-graining of a convection-permitting atmospheric model simulation over the Indian Ocean and west Pacific warm pool. Conditioning the statistics of the SGS velocity flux enhancement on 1) the fluxes associated with the resolved winds and 2) the precipitation rate, we find that the lack of a separation between “resolved” and “unresolved” scales results in a distribution of flux enhancements for each configuration of the resolved state. That is, the SGS velocity flux enhancement should be represented stochastically rather than deterministically. The spatial and temporal statistics of the SGS velocity flux enhancement are investigated by using basic descriptive statistics and through a fit to an anisotropic space–time covariance structure. Potential spatial inhomogeneities of the statistics of the SGS velocity flux enhancement are investigated through regional analysis, although because of the relatively short duration of the simulation (9 days) distinguishing true inhomogeneity from sampling variability is difficult. Perspectives for the implementation of such a stochastic parameterization in weather and climate models are discussed.

54 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES↗
DOE OSTI2023

Robustness of the Stochastic Parameterization of Subgrid-Scale Wind Variability in Sea Surface Fluxes

Abstract High-resolution numerical models have been used to develop statistical models of the enhancement of sea surface fluxes resulting from spatial variability of sea surface wind. In particular, studies have shown that flux enhancement is not a deterministic function of the resolved state. Previous studies focused on single geographical areas or used a single high-resolution numerical model. This study extends the development of such statistical models by considering six different high-resolution models, four different geographical regions, and three different 10-day periods, allowing for a systematic investigation of the robustness of both the deterministic and stochastic parts of the data-driven parameterization. Results indicate that the deterministic part, based on regressing the unresolved normalized flux onto resolved-scale normalized flux and precipitation, is broadly robust across different models, regions, and time periods. The statistical features of the stochastic part of the model (spatial and temporal autocorrelation and parameters of a Gaussian process fit to the regression residual) are also found to be robust and not strongly sensitive to the underlying model, modeled geographical region, or time period studied. Best-fit Gaussian process parameters display robust spatial heterogeneity across models, indicating potential for improvements to the statistical model. These results illustrate the potential for the development of a generic, explicitly stochastic parameterization of sea surface flux enhancements dependent on wind variability.

Endo, Kota↗
NASA NTRS1993

Parameterization of subgrid-scale stress by the velocity gradient tensor

The objective of this work is to construct and evaluate subgrid-scale models that depend on both the strain rate and the vorticity. This will be accomplished by first assuming that the subgrid-scale stress is a function of the strain and rotation rate tensors. Extensions of the Caley-Hamilton theorem can then be used to write the assumed functional dependence explicitly in the form of a tensor polynomial involving products of the strain and rotation rates. Finally, use of this explicit expression as a subgrid-scale model will be evaluated using direct numerical simulation data for homogeneous, isotropic turbulence.

Lund, Thomas S.↗
NASA NTRS1989

Land surface hydrology parameterization for atmospheric general circulation models including subgrid scale spatial variability

Parameterizations are developed for the representation of subgrid hydrologic processes in atmospheric general circulation models. Reasonable a priori probability density functions of the spatial variability of soil moisture and of precipitation are introduced. These are used in conjunction with the deterministic equations describing basic soil moisture physics to derive expressions for the hydrologic processes that include subgrid scale variation in parameters. The major model sensitivities to soil type and to climatic forcing are explored.

Entekhabi, D.↗
DOE OSTI2025

Navigating the Noise: Bringing Clarity to ML Parameterization Design With O $\boldsymbol{\mathcal{O}}$(100) Ensembles

Abstract Machine‐learning (ML) parameterizations of subgrid processes (here of turbulence, convection, and radiation) may one day replace conventional parameterizations by emulating high‐resolution physics without the cost of explicit simulation. However, uncertainty about the relationship between offline and online performance (i.e., when integrated with a large‐scale general circulation model) hinders their development. Much of this uncertainty stems from limited sampling of the noisy, emergent effects of upstream ML design decisions on downstream online hybrid simulation. Our work rectifies the sampling issue via the construction of a semi‐automated, end‐to‐end pipeline for size ensembles of hybrid simulations, revealing important nuances in how systematic reductions in offline error manifest in changes to online error and online stability. For example, removing dropout and switching from a Mean Squared Error to a Mean Absolute Error loss both reduce offline error, but they have opposite effects on online error and online stability. Other design decisions, like incorporating memory, converting moisture input from specific humidity to relative humidity, using batch normalization, and training on multiple climates do not come with any such compromises. Finally, we show that ensemble sizes of may be necessary to reliably detect causally relevant differences online. By enabling rapid online experimentation at scale, we can empirically settle debates regarding subgrid ML parameterization design that would have otherwise remained unresolved in the noise.

Lin, Jerry [Department of Earth System Sciences Un↗
DOE OSTI2024

Bimodality in simulated precipitation frequency distributions and its relationship with convective parameterizations

Abstract Bimodality in precipitation frequency distributions is often evident in atmospheric models, but rarely in observations. This study i) proposes a metric to objectively quantify the bimodality in precipitation distributions, ii) evaluates model simulations contributed to the Coupled Model Intercomparison Project (CMIP) phase 5 (CMIP5), phase 6 (CMIP6), and the DYnamics of the Atmospheric general circulation Modeled On Non-hydrostatic Domains (DYAMOND) project by comparing them to satellite-based and reanalysis precipitation products, and iii) investigates possible origins of bimodal precipitation distributions. Our results reveal that about 83% (20 out of 24) of CMIP5 and 70% (21 out of 30) of CMIP6 models used in this study exhibit bimodal distributions. The few DYAMOND models that use a deep convective parameterization also show bimodal distributions, while most DYAMOND models do not. Predictably, the bimodality originates from the separation of precipitation process between resolved grid-scale and parameterized subgrid-scale. However, in a larger number of models bimodality arises from the parameterized subgrid-scale convective precipitation alone.

54 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES↗
NASA NTRS2009

Diagnosing the Ice Crystal Enhancement Factor in the Tropics

Recent modeling studies have revealed that ice crystal number concentration is one of the dominant factors in the effect of clouds on radiation. Since the ice crystal enhancement factor and ice nuclei concentration determine the concentration, they are both important in quantifying the contribution of increased ice nuclei to global warming. In this study, long-term cloud-resolving model (CRM) simulations are compared with field observations to estimate the ice crystal enhancement factor in tropical and midlatitudinal clouds, respectively. It is found that the factor in tropical clouds is ~10 3-104 times larger than that of mid-latitudinal ones, which makes physical sense because entrainment and detrainment in the Tropics are much stronger than in middle latitudes. The effect of entrainment/detrainment on the enhancement factor, especially in tropical clouds, suggests that cloud microphysical parameterizations should be coupled with subgrid turbulence parameterizations within CRMs to obtain a more accurate depiction of cloud-radiative forcing.

Zeng, Xiping↗
DOE OSTI2022

Frame invariant neural network closures for Kraichnan turbulence

Numerical simulations of geophysical and atmospheric flows have to rely on parameterizations of subgrid scale processes due to their limited spatial resolution. Despite substantial progress in developing parameterization (or closure) models for subgrid scale (SGS) processes using physical insights and mathematical approximations, they remain imperfect and can lead to inaccurate predictions. In recent years, machine learning has been successful in extracting complex patterns from high-resolution spatio-temporal data, leading to improved parameterization models, and ultimately better coarse grid prediction. However, the inability to satisfy known physics and poor generalization hinders the application of these models for real-world problems. In this work, we put forth a frame invariant closure approach to improve the accuracy and generalizability of deep learning-based subgrid scale closure models by embedding physical symmetries directly into the structure of the neural network. Specifically, we utilized specialized layers within the convolutional neural network in such a way that desired constraints are theoretically guaranteed without the need for any regularization terms. We demonstrate our framework for a two-dimensional decaying turbulence test case mostly characterized by the forward enstrophy cascade. We show that our frame invariant SGS model (i) accurately predicts the subgrid scale source term, (ii) respects the physical symmetries such as translation, Galilean, and rotation invariance, and (iii) is numerically stable when implemented in coarse-grid simulation with generalization to different initial conditions and Reynolds number. This work opens up a possibility of connecting physics-based theories and data-driven modeling paradigms, and thus represents a promising step towards the development of physically consistent data-driven turbulence closure models.

42 ENGINEERING↗
NASA NTRS1989

The length scale for sub-grid-scale parameterization with anisotropic resolution

Use of the Smagorinsky eddy-viscosity formulation and related schemes for subgrid-scale parameterization of large eddy simulation models requires specification of a single length scale, earlier related by Lilly to the scale of filtering and/or numerical resolution. An anisotropic integration of the Kolmogoroff enstrophy spectrum allows generalization of that relationship to anisotropic resolution. It is found that the Deardorff assumption is reasonably accurate for small anisotropies and can be simply improved for larger values.

Lilly, Douglas K.↗
DOE OSTI2024

Data Imbalance, Uncertainty Quantification, and Transfer Learning in Data‐Driven Parameterizations: Lessons From the Emulation of Gravity Wave Momentum Transport in WACCM

Abstract Neural networks (NNs) are increasingly used for data‐driven subgrid‐scale parameterizations in weather and climate models. While NNs are powerful tools for learning complex non‐linear relationships from data, there are several challenges in using them for parameterizations. Three of these challenges are (a) data imbalance related to learning rare, often large‐amplitude, samples; (b) uncertainty quantification (UQ) of the predictions to provide an accuracy indicator; and (c) generalization to other climates, for example, those with different radiative forcings. Here, we examine the performance of methods for addressing these challenges using NN‐based emulators of the Whole Atmosphere Community Climate Model (WACCM) physics‐based gravity wave (GW) parameterizations as a test case. WACCM has complex, state‐of‐the‐art parameterizations for orography‐, convection‐, and front‐driven GWs. Convection‐ and orography‐driven GWs have significant data imbalance due to the absence of convection or orography in most grid points. We address data imbalance using resampling and/or weighted loss functions, enabling the successful emulation of parameterizations for all three sources. We demonstrate that three UQ methods (Bayesian NNs, variational auto‐encoders, and dropouts) provide ensemble spreads that correspond to accuracy during testing, offering criteria for identifying when an NN gives inaccurate predictions. Finally, we show that the accuracy of these NNs decreases for a warmer climate (4 × CO 2 ). However, their performance is significantly improved by applying transfer learning, for example, re‐training only one layer using ∼1% new data from the warmer climate. The findings of this study offer insights for developing reliable and generalizable data‐driven parameterizations for various processes, including (but not limited to) GWs.

54 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES↗
DOE OSTI2023

Pluminate: Quantifying aerosol injection behavior from simulation, experimentation and observations

Marine aerosol injections are a key component in further understanding of both the potentials of deliberate injection for marine cloud brightening (MCB), a potential climate intervention (CI) strategy, and key aerosol-cloud interaction behaviors that currently form the largest uncertainty in global climate model (GCM) predictions of our climate. Since the rate of spread of aerosols in a marine environment directly translates to the effectiveness and ability of aerosol injections in impacting cloud radiative forcing, it is crucial to understand the spatial and temporal extent of injected-aerosol effects following direct injection into marine environments. The ubiquity of ship-injected aerosol tracks from satellite imagery renders observational validation of new parameterizations possible in 2D, however, 3D compatible data is more scarce, and necessary for the development of subgrid scale parameterizations of aerosol-cloud interactions in GCMs. This report introduces two novel parameterizations of atmospheric aerosol injection behavior suitable for both 3D (GCM-compatible) and 2D (observation-related) modeling. Their applicability is highlighted using a wealth of different observational data: small and larger scale salt-aerosol injection experiments conducted at SNL, 3D large eddy simulations of ship-injected aerosol tracks and 2D satellite images of ship tracks. The power of experimental data in enhancing knowledge of aerosol-cloud interactions is in particular emphasized by studying key aerosol microphysical and optical properties as observed through their mixing in cloud-like environments.

54 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES↗
DOE OSTI2018

Impact of Physics Parameterization Ordering in a Global Atmosphere Model

Abstract Because weather and climate models must capture a wide variety of spatial and temporal scales, they rely heavily on parameterizations of subgrid‐scale processes. The goal of this study is to demonstrate that the assumptions used to couple these parameterizations have an important effect on the climate of version 0 of the Energy Exascale Earth System Model (E3SM) General Circulation Model (GCM), a close relative of version 1 of the Community Earth System Model (CESM1). Like most GCMs, parameterizations in E3SM are sequentially split in the sense that parameterizations are called one after another with each subsequent process feeling the effect of the preceding processes. This coupling strategy is noncommutative in the sense that the order in which processes are called impacts the solution. By examining a suite of 24 simulations with deep convection, shallow convection, macrophysics/microphysics, and radiation parameterizations reordered, process order is shown to have a big impact on predicted climate. In particular, reordering of processes induces differences in net climate feedback that are as big as the intermodel spread in phase 5 of the Coupled Model Intercomparison Project. One reason why process ordering has such a large impact is that the effect of each process is influenced by the processes preceding it. Where output is written is therefore an important control on apparent model behavior. Application of k ‐means clustering demonstrates that the positioning of macro/microphysics and shallow convection plays a critical role on the model solution.

54 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES↗
DOE OSTI2019

Evaluation of NCAR CAM5 simulated marine boundary layer cloud properties using a combination of satellite and surface observations

Marine boundary layer (MBL) clouds are a strong modulator of Earth’s radiative energy budget. The feedback of MBL clouds in a changing climate remains one of the largest uncertainties in our understanding of climate sensitivity, and recent studies have also suggested that radiative feedbacks related to MBL clouds may play an important role in low-frequency climate variabilities such as the Atlantic multidecadal oscillation. Despite their importance in the climate system, simulating MBL clouds in Earth system models (ESMs) has proved to be extremely challenging. The overarching objective of this proposal is to evaluate the MBL cloud simulation skills of the CAM5 with different cloud parameterization schemes through systematic comparison with both ground- and satellite based cloud observations. In particular, we seek to understand the advantages and limitations of the newly developed subgrid cloud parameterization scheme CLUBB (Cloud Layers Unified By Binormals) for simulation MBL clouds through comparisons of CAM5-CLUBB simulations with ARM (CAP-MBL campaign data) and satellite observations, as well as the “conventional” CAM5 and a CAM5 with the so-called super-parameterization (i.e., CAM5-MMF). In the rest of this report, we will briefly highlight our major research achievements.

58 GEOSCIENCES↗