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At least 37 records · Page 2

ISMIP6-based projections of ocean-forced Antarctic Ice Sheet evolution using the Community Ice Sheet Model

Abstract. The future retreat rate for marine-based regions of the Antarctic Ice Sheet is one of the largest uncertainties in sea-level projections. The Ice Sheet Model Intercomparison Project for CMIP6 (ISMIP6) aims to improve projections and quantify uncertainties by running an ensemble of ice sheet models with atmosphere and ocean forcing derived from global climate models. Here, the Community Ice Sheet Model (CISM) is used to run ISMIP6-based projections of ocean-forced Antarctic Ice Sheet evolution. Using multiple combinations of sub-ice-shelf melt parameterizations and calibrations, CISM is spun up to steady state over many millennia. During the spin-up, basal friction parameters and basin-scale thermal forcing corrections are adjusted to optimize agreement with the observed ice thickness. The model is then run forward for 550 years, from 1950–2500, applying ocean thermal forcing anomalies from six climate models. In all simulations, the ocean forcing triggers long-term retreat of the West Antarctic Ice Sheet, especially in the Filchner–Ronne and Ross sectors. Mass loss accelerates late in the 21st century and then rises steadily for several centuries without leveling off. The resulting ocean-forced sea-level rise at year 2500 varies from about 150 to 1300 mm, depending on the melt scheme and ocean forcing. Further experiments show relatively high sensitivity to the basal friction law, moderate sensitivity to grid resolution and the prescribed collapse of small ice shelves, and low sensitivity to the stress-balance approximation. The Amundsen sector exhibits threshold behavior, with modest retreat under many parameter settings but complete collapse under some combinations of low basal friction and high thermal forcing anomalies. Large uncertainties remain, as a result of parameterized sub-shelf melt rates, simplified treatments of calving and basal friction, and the lack of ice–ocean coupling.

54 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES↗

Northern Hemisphere Extratropical Cyclone Activity in the Twentieth Century Reanalysis Version 3 (20CRv3) and Its Relationship with Continental Extreme Temperatures

In this study, we detect and track extratropical cyclones using 6-hourly mean sea level pressure data taken from the Twentieth Century Reanalysis version 3 (20CRv3) over the period 1951–2015 and compare them with those in the Interim and fifth generation of ECMWF reanalyses over the period 1979–2018. Three indices were employed to characterize cyclone activity, including cyclone count, cyclone intensity, and a cyclone activity index (CAI) that combines the count and intensity. The results show that the cyclone indices in the three datasets have comparable annual climatologies and seasonal evolution over the northern extratropical land and ocean in recent decades. Based on the cyclone indices over the period 1951–2010 in 80 ensemble members of 20CRv3, cyclone count and intensity are negatively correlated in winter and tend to be positively and weakly correlated in summer. The interannual CAI variability is dominated by the cyclone count variability. Regional mean cyclone activity can be well represented using the ensemble average cyclone index. We then examined the linkage of the cyclone activity in 20CRv3 and observed cold and warm extremes over Eurasia and North America over the period 1951–2010. In winter, the principal components of interannual cold and warm extreme anomalies are more correlated with the regional mean cyclone count index over Eurasia, while they are more correlated with the cyclone intensity index over North America. The temperature anomalies associated with the regional and ensemble mean cyclone count index explain about 10% (20%) of interannual cold (warm) extreme variances averaged over Eurasia. The temperature anomalies associated with the mean cyclone intensity explain about 10% of interannual cold and warm extreme variances over North America. Large-scale atmospheric circulation anomalies in association with cyclone activity and the induced temperature advection drive temperature anomalies over Eurasia and North America. In summer, circulation and thermal advection anomalies associated with cyclone activity are weak over the two continents. Hence, that season’s relationship between cyclone activity and extreme temperature variability is weak.

20CRv3↗

Frequency Domain Reflectometry (FDR) Simulation Techniques for Digital Twin Representation of an Electrical Cable

Simulation of cable system response to frequency domain reflectometry (FDR) tests can be instrumental to understanding these tests and the nature and influence of various cable anomalies on test signatures. Reflectometry simulations are based upon a finite element representation of cable conductors and insulation to produce an S-parameter at each evaluated frequency. The aggregate collection of cable model S-parameters can simulate the influence on a test signal injected into a physical cable. Such an approach was undertaken in this work to produce a digital twin simulation of a low-voltage electrical cable. The electrical cable digital twin examined the influence of test simulation parameters and the relative influence of cable anomalies, including thermal aging, water or moisture exposure, water or moisture ingress, and other anomalies. The digital twin in this work included modeling of the conductors, insulation, jacket, and surrounding environment (air, water, etc.). The digital twin could be expanded to include cable bends, junctions and splices, branch or T systems, and termination impedances of motors or instruments. Observations and conclusions of this work include: 1. Fully 3D digital twin simulation of an electrical cable using an FDR approach is possible. However, there are tradeoffs between simulation fidelity and solution time, which must be balanced to ensure the simulation solves in an adequate amount of time (e.g., less than 20 minutes). Simulation parameters to balance include frequency bandwidth, number of frequencies, mesh density, connection impedance, and permittivity tolerance. 2. The digital twin simulation can explain FDR sensitivity to various cable anomalies, including entry and exit from an oven or water bath. 3. The digital twin simulation FDR response attenuates with distance along the cable and is further affected by the frequency bandwidth, which is similar to that observed with physical measurements. 4. The resolution of the digital twin FDR peaks increased with increasing bandwidth and with increasing number of frequencies, again similar to physical measurements. 5. The presence of multiple anomalies in the digital twin does not substantially attenuate the FDR response to anomalies located beyond the first encountered anomaly and impedance mismatch. 6. Spectral variation of the permittivity did not have a significant effect on the FDR response compared to a fixed nominal value. 7. Extension of the digital twin to 1000 ft still allowed for detection of distal anomalies near the far end of the electrical cable from the instrument connection point. 8. The ARENA test bed facilitates efficient NDE evaluations of well understood cable anomalies with various NDE methods without risking actual plant damage.

22 GENERAL STUDIES OF NUCLEAR REACTORS↗

Thermal transport measurements through the charge density wave transition in CsV 3 Sb 5

We study thermal transport and thermalization in single crystals of CsV 3 Sb 5 through the CDW transition by directly measuring thermal diffusivity (D), thermal conductivity (κ), specific heat (c), and resistivity (ρ). Commensurate with previous reports, we observe a sharp, narrow anomaly in specific heat associated with a first-order transition that results in a CDW state below ~94 K. While a corresponding sharp anomaly in thermal diffusivity is also observed, resistivity and thermal conductivity only exhibit small steps at the transition, where the feature is sharp for resistivity and broader for thermal conductivity. Scrutinizing the thermal Einstein relation κ = cD, we find that this relation is generally satisfied, except in the narrow two-phase regime of the putative first-order transition. Here, the Wiedemann-Franz law as well seems to work outside the two-phase regime, where strong resemblance between the specific heat and the resistivity derivative below the transition may point to a concurrent emergence of a secondary electronic order parameter.

75 CONDENSED MATTER PHYSICS, SUPERCONDUCTIVITY AND↗

Contracted, Not Converted: Photoluminescence Thermochromism in Ultrabright Pure Blue Emissive Hybrid Copper(I) Halide

Thermochromic luminescent materials are promising for applications such as sensors or display technologies. Understanding the mechanism of thermochromic luminescence in these materials plays an important role for their targeted applications. Here, a 0D copper(I) halide (TMP)2CuBr3 and 1D (TMP)Ag2Br3 (TMP = tetramethylphosphonium) are reported. While (TMP)Ag2Br3 is a weak light emitter, (TMP)2CuBr3 demonstrates ultrabright pure blue emission with photoluminescence (PL) quantum yield exceeding 90% within the temperature range 300–80 K. The emission in (TMP)2CuBr3 is attributed to the radiative recombination of self-trapped excitons (STEs) that arise localized on [CuBr3]2− anions. (TMP)2CuBr3 demonstrates excitation-selective PL thermochromism at low temperatures. In the literature, the origin of multiple STEs is often unclear in luminescent metal halides. Here, a detailed temperature-dependent spectroscopic and structural analysis suggests that the PL thermochromism in (TMP)2CuBr3 is associated with the appearance of a second STE state. The appearance of second STE is expected to have a structural origin, and it may be associated with the observed anomaly in thermal contraction near 200 K. The distinct PL features of melt-processible (TMP)2CuBr3 coupled with its remarkable photo- and thermal stability allow its consideration for practical optical applications, including temperature sensing.

Popy, Dilruba [University of Oklahoma, Norman]↗

Exploring ice sheet model sensitivity to ocean thermal forcing and basal sliding using the Community Ice Sheet Model (CISM)

Abstract. Multi-meter sea level rise (SLR) is thought to be possible within the next few centuries, with most of the uncertainty originating from the Antarctic land ice contribution. One source of uncertainty relates to the ice sheet model initialization. Since ice sheets have a long response time (compared to other Earth system components such as the atmosphere), ice sheet model initialization methods can have significant impacts on how the ice sheet responds to future forcings. To assess this, we generated 25 different ice sheet spin-ups, using the Community Ice Sheet Model (CISM) at a 4 km resolution. During each spin-up, we varied two key parameters known to impact the sensitivity of the ice sheet to future forcing: one related to the sensitivity of the ice shelf melt rate to ocean thermal forcing (TF) and the other related to the basal friction. The spin-ups all nudge toward observed thickness and enforce a no-advance calving criterion, such that all final spin-up states resemble observations but differ in their melt and friction parameter settings. Each spin-up was then forced with future ocean thermal forcings from 13 different CMIP6 models under the Shared Socioeconomic Pathway (SSP)5-8.5 emissions scenario and modern climatological surface mass balance data. Our results show that the effects of the ice sheet and ocean parameter settings used during the spin-up are capable of impacting multi-century future SLR predictions by as much as 2 m. By the end of this century, the effects of these choices are more modest, but still significant, with differences of up to 0.2 m of SLR. We have identified a combined ocean and ice parameter space that leads to widespread mass loss within 500 years (low friction and high melt rate sensitivity). To explore temperature thresholds, we also ran a synthetically forced CISM ensemble that is focused on the Amundsen region only. Given certain ocean and ice parameter choices, Amundsen mass loss can be triggered with thermal forcing anomalies between 1.5 and 2 ∘C relative to the spin-up. Our results emphasize the critical importance of considering ice sheet and ocean parameter choices during spin-up for SLR predictions and suggest the importance of including glacial isostatic adjustment in ice sheet simulations.

54 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES↗

Advancing Industry 4.0: Multimodal Sensor Fusion for AI-Based Fault Detection in 3D Printing

Additive manufacturing, particularly fused deposition modeling, is transforming modern production by enabling rapid prototyping and complex part fabrication. However, its layer-by-layer process remains vulnerable to faults such as nozzle clogging, filament runout, and layer misalignment, which compromise print quality and reliability. Traditional inspection methods are costly, time-intensive, and often limited to post-process analysis, making them unsuitable for real-time intervention. In this current study, the authors developed a novel, low-cost, and portable faultdetection system that leverages multimodal sensor fusion and artificial intelligence for real-time monitoring in FDM-based 3D printing. The system integrates acoustic, vibration, and thermal sensing into a non-intrusive architecture, capturing complementary data streams that reflect both mechanical and process-related anomalies. Acoustic and thermal sensors operate in a fully contactless manner, while the vibration sensor requires minimal attachment such that it will not interfere with printer hardware, thereby preserving portability and ease of deployment. The multimodal signals are processed into spectrograms and time-frequency features, which are classified using convolutional neural networks for intelligent fault detection. The proposed system advances Industry 4.0 objectives by offering an affordable, scalable, and practical monitoring solution that improves faultdetection accuracy, reduces waste, and supports sustainable, adaptive manufacturing.

42 ENGINEERING↗

Magnon heat transport in a two-dimensional Mott insulator

Whether or not anomalies in the thermal conductivity in insulating cuprates can be attributed to antiferromagnetic order and magnons in a 2D Mott insulator remains an intriguing open question. To shed light on this issue, we investigate the thermal conductivity $\kappa$ and its relationship with the specific heat $c_v$ in the half-filled 2D single-band Hubbard model, using the numerically exact determinant quantum Monte Carlo algorithm and maximum entropy analytic continuation. At low temperatures where the charge degrees of freedom are gapped-out and $c_v$ exhibits a clear magnon peak, we observe that thermal conductivity $\kappa$ also tends to form a peak at similar temperatures. Reducing temperature further produces a sharp upturn in $\kappa$, associated with an increasing mean-free path. Here we identify this as the high-temperature side of the anomalous peak in insulating cuprates, where the mean-free path eventually is cut-off by other scattering effects, including phonons, disorder, and physical size. Different scattering effects in our model are identified and analyzed in the thermal diffusivity.

75 CONDENSED MATTER PHYSICS, SUPERCONDUCTIVITY AND↗

Accurate and Fast Anomaly Detection in Additive Composite-Based Manufacturing using Thermal Cameras

Today, large-scale additive manufacturing with plastics and composite materials requires continuous monitoring by experienced staff to prevent, detect and correct anomalous events affecting the performance of the printed part. We address the complexity of this demanding task by designing a camera-based anomaly detection system utilizing probabilistic principal component analysis (PPCA). This is a machine learning technique is trained with thermal images collected during normal operation of the large-scale printer (Cincinnati BAAM). This technique is advantageous for practical applications as there is no need to artificially introduce anomalous conditions into model training. During deployment, we challenge this model by introducing deliberate variations of the extruder speed. We reduce extrusion speed to a lower level, between 70 and 95% of the nominal value to collected test images. Our results show that images are easily identified as anomalous for extruder speeds at or below 85% of the nominal speed, meaning that an anomalous reduction of the material deposition rate can be detected within seconds of its onset. We show that our results are robust to (a) camera-to-camera variability and (b) print-to-print variability.

Pike, John [ORNL]↗

Enhanced Néel Temperature and Unusual Thermal Expansion in Flux-Grown FeCrAs Crystals

Here, we report results from our experimental investigation of the distorted kagome compound FeCrAs. We used tin metal as a flux to produce needlelike crystals, which we characterized using single-crystal X-ray diffraction as well as measurements of magnetization, electrical transport, and heat capacity. The physical behaviors differ in two notable ways from those of previously studied crystals grown from a stoichiometric melt. First, the Néel temperature is found to be 150 K, about 25 K higher than in previous reports. Second, the Sommerfeld coefficient, a measure of the electronic heat capacity, is found to be significantly smaller than the previously reported value. These differences indicate stronger magnetic interactions and fewer charge carriers in the flux-grown crystals, which may be related to differences in stoichiometry or disorder. In addition, we find unusual thermal expansion behavior, with an anomaly at the Néel temperature and nearly temperature-independent thermal expansion along the hexagonal c-axis above this transition. This suggests significant spin–lattice coupling, which may provide insight into nonmetallic transport properties that have been associated with anomalous charge carrier scattering. The flux growth presented here may provide a useful approach for tuning crystal chemistry to explore magnetism, transport, and spin–lattice coupling in this interesting material.

McGuire, Michael A. [Oak Ridge National Laboratory↗

Local-thermal-gradient and large-scale-circulation impacts on turbine-height wind speed forecasting over the Columbia River Basin

Abstract. We investigate the sensitivity of turbine-height wind speed forecast to initial condition (IC) uncertainties over the Columbia River Gorge (CRG) and Columbia River Basin (CRB) for two typical weather phenomena, i.e., local-thermal-gradient-induced marine air intrusion and a cold frontal passage. Four types of turbine-height wind forecast anomalies and their associated IC uncertainties related to local thermal gradients and large-scale circulations are identified using the self-organizing map (SOM) technique. The four SOM types are categorized into two patterns, each accounting for half of the ensemble members. The first pattern corresponds to IC uncertainties that alter the wind forecast through a modulating weather system, which produces the strongest wind anomalies in the CRG and CRB. In the second pattern, the moderate uncertainties in local thermal gradient and large-scale circulation jointly contribute to wind forecast anomaly. We analyze the cross section of wind and temperature anomalies through the gorge to explore the evolution of vertical features of each SOM type. The turbine-height wind anomalies induced by large-scale IC uncertainties are more concentrated near the front. In contrast, turbine-height wind anomalies induced by the local IC thermal uncertainties are found above the surface thermal anomalies. Moreover, the wind forecast accuracy in the CRG and CRB is limited by IC uncertainties in a few specific regions, e.g., the 2 m temperature within the basin and large-scale circulation over the northeast Pacific around 140∘ W.

17 WIND ENERGY↗

Thermal equation of state for zoisite: Implications for the transportation of water into the upper mantle and the high-velocity anomaly in the Farallon plate

Seismic tomography studies have revealed a high-velocity anomaly at depths between 100 km and 300 km in the Farallon plate. However, the reasons for the high-velocity anomaly continue to be debated. An analysis of the mineral proportions of eclogites exhumed from the Farallon plate shows that the average amount of zoisite in eclogite is ∼16.0 vol%. Therefore, the presence of zoisite eclogite needs to be considered to explain the high-velocity anomaly of the Farallon plate. However, the thermal equation of state and stability of zoisite have not been fully investigated under high pressure−temperature (P-T) conditions. We investigated the high-pressure and high-temperature behavior of natural zoisite utilizing synchrotron single crystal-X-ray diffraction (XRD). The results indicate that zoisite is metastable up to 24.8 GPa and 700 K. We obtained the ambient unit-cell volume V0 = 901.26(3) Å3 by synchrotron single crystal-XRD measurement. We also fitted the pressure-volume-temperature data to a high-temperature Birch-Murnaghan equation of state and obtained the zero-pressure bulk modulus K0 = 134.7(8) GPa, the temperature derivative of the bulk modulus (∂K/∂T)P = −0.011(4) GPa/K, and the thermal expansion coefficients α0V = 1.9(7) × 10−5 K−1 and α1V = 3(2) × 10−8 K−2 when the pressure derivative of bulk modulus (K′0) is fixed at 4. By incorporating the results from previous studies, we calculated the density and bulk sound velocity profiles of zoisite eclogite along the Farallon plate geotherm. Finally, we infer that zoisite could carry water to depths of ∼300 km within cold subducting slabs and that the bulk sound velocity of typical zoisite eclogite with ∼61.0 vol% omphacite, ∼23.0 vol% garnet, and ∼16.0 vol% zoisite could cause the high-velocity anomalies at depths of 100−300 km in the Farallon plate.

Geology↗

Why Does Atmospheric Radiative Heating Weaken Midlatitude Cyclones?

Abstract Recent work has indicated that atmospheric radiative heating reduces the kinetic energy of large‐scale eddies in the midlatitudes. However, a physical mechanism that connects radiation to the midlatitude eddy kinetic energy is still uncertain. Using a high‐resolution general circulation model we perform an experiment in which the radiative cooling profile at each model time step is overwritten with the climatological mean, computed from a control simulation. This approach separates the mean and transient effects of radiative heating on the extratropical circulation. We find that, when radiative heating is fixed, the globally‐averaged eddy kinetic energy is enhanced by ∼6%. We show that thermal radiation dampens temperature anomalies near the surface and tropopause in low‐pressure systems, destroying eddy available potential energy and eddy kinetic energy. We identify this as a possible mechanism by which atmospheric radiative heating weakens midlatitude cyclones.

Mischell, Eric↗

Temperature dependence of electron-phonon interactions in vanadium

First-principles calculations were used to study the Fermi surface of body-centered cubic vanadium at elevated temperatures. Supercell calculations accounted for effects of thermal atom displacements on band energies, and band unfolding was used to project the spectral weight of the electron states into the Brillouin zone of a standard bcc unit cell. An electronic topological transition (ETT, or Lifshitz transition) occurred near the Γ point with increasing temperature, but the large thermal smearings from the atomic disorder and the Fermi-Dirac distribution reduced the effect of this ETT on the electron-phonon interactions. The phonon dispersions showed thermal stiffening of their Kohn anomalies near the Γ point and of the longitudinal N phonon mode. Finally, in general the effects of the ETT were overcome by the thermal smearing of the Fermi surface that reduces the spanning vector densities for anomalous phonon modes.

36 MATERIALS SCIENCE↗

Inverted c-functions in thermal states

We first compute the effect of a chiral anomaly, charge, and a magnetic field on the entanglement entropy in $\mathcal{N}$ = 4 Super-Yang-Mills theory at strong coupling via holography. Depending on the width of the entanglement strip the entanglement entropy probes energy scales from the ultraviolet to the infrared energy regime of this quantum field theory (QFT) prepared in a given state. From the entanglement entropy, we compute holographic c-functions and demonstrate an inverted c-theorem for them. That is, these c-functions in generic thermal states monotonically increase towards the infrared (IR) energy regime. This is in contrast to the c-functions in vacuum states which decrease along the renormalization group flow towards the IR regime of a renormalizable QFT. Furthermore, in thermal states and in the IR limit, the c-functions behave thermally, growing proportionally to the value of the thermal entropy. The chiral anomaly affects the c-functions more in the IR regime, and its effect is peaked at an intermediate value of the magnetic field at a fixed chemical potential and temperature.

71 CLASSICAL AND QUANTUM MECHANICS, GENERAL PHYSIC↗

Anomalously Suppressed Thermal Conduction by Electron-Phonon Coupling in Charge-Density-Wave Tantalum Disulfide

Charge and thermal transport in a crystal is carried by free electrons and phonons (quantized lattice vibration), the two most fundamental quasiparticles. Above the Debye temperature of the crystal, phonon-mediated thermal conductivity ( κ L ) is typically limited by mutual scattering of phonons, which results in κ L decreasing with inverse temperature, whereas free electrons play a negligible role in κ L . Here, an unusual case in charge-density-wave tantalum disulfide (1T-TaS 2 ) is reported, in which κ L is limited instead by phonon scattering with free electrons, resulting in a temperature-independent κ L . In this system, the conventional phonon–phonon scattering is alleviated by its uniquely structured phonon dispersions, while unusually strong electron-phonon (e-ph) coupling arises from its Fermi surface strongly nested at wavevectors in which phonons exhibit Kohn anomalies. The unusual temperature dependence of thermal conduction is found as a consequence of these effects. The finding reveals new physics of thermal conduction, offers a unique platform to probe e-ph interactions, and provides potential ways to control heat flow in materials with free charge carriers. The temperature-independent thermal conductivity may also find thermal management application as a special thermal interface material between two systems when the heat conduction between them needs to be maintained at a constant level.

36 MATERIALS SCIENCE↗

Sample-dependent and sample-independent thermal transport properties of α – RuCl 3

In this study, we investigated the thermal transport properties of two α–RuCl 3 crystals with different degrees of stacking disorder to understand the origin of the previously reported oscillatory feature in the field dependence of thermal conductivity. Crystal I shows only one magnetic order around 13 K, which is near the highest T N for α–RuCl 3 with stacking faults. Crystal II has less stacking disorder, with a dominant heat capacity at 7.6 K along with weak anomalies at 10 and 13 K. In the temperature and field dependence of thermal conductivity, no obvious anomaly was observed to be associated with the magnetic order around 13 K for either crystal or around 10 K for crystal II. Crystal II showed clear oscillations in the field dependence of thermal conductivity, while crystal I did not. For crystal I, an L-shaped region in the temperature-field space was observed where thermal Hall conductivity κ xy /T is within ±20% of the half quantized thermal Hall conductivity κ HQ /T, while for crystal II, κ xy /T reaches κ HQ /T only in the high field and high temperature regime with no indication of a plateau at κ HQ /T. Our thermal conductivity data suggest the oscillatory features are inherent to the zigzag ordered phase with T N near 7 K. Our planar thermal Hall effect measurements suggest the sensitivity of this phenomena to stacking disorder. Overall, our results highlight the importance of understanding and controlling crystallographic disorder for obtaining and interpreting intrinsic thermal transport properties in α–RuCl 3 .

36 MATERIALS SCIENCE↗