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DOE OSTI2024

Bayesian calibration and uncertainty quantification of a rate-dependent cohesive zone model for polymer interfaces

In this work we present a rate-dependent cohesive zone model for the fracture of polymeric interfaces and performs a Bayesian calibration, an uncertainty quantification, and a sensitivity analysis for the model. The proposed cohesive zone model accounts for both reversible elastic and irreversible rate-dependent separation sliding deformation at the interface. The viscous dissipation due to the irreversible opening at the interface is modeled using elastic-viscoplastic kinematics that incorporates the effects of strain rate. Inverse calibration of parameters for such complex models through trial and error is challenging due to the large number of parameters of the model. Moreover, the calibrated parameter values are often non-unique and uncertain when the available experimental data is limited. To tackle this challenge, we employ a Bayesian calibration approach to identify parameters from experimental data, the resulting parameters significantly enhance the accuracy of the model. To quantify the uncertainty associated with the inverse parameter estimation, a modular Bayesian approach is employed to calibrate the unknown model parameters, accounting for the parameter uncertainty of the cohesive zone model. The advantages of the Bayesian calibration over a deterministic parameter fit are demonstrated. Further, to quantify the model uncertainties, such as incorrect assumptions or missing physics, a discrepancy function is introduced, which significantly improves the model’s prediction. Finally, the total uncertainty of the model is quantified in a predictive setting. A sensitivity analysis is performed to assess how changes in the input variables of the model affect the peak load, facilitating the identification of a concise set of highly influential parameters. The present approach can be used for calibration and uncertainty quantification for other complex computational mechanics models. It should also facilitate the designing of interface materials under uncertainty.

42 ENGINEERING↗

DOE OSTI2026

Finite deformation implementation of a mixed-mode single-integral type cohesive zone with reorienting surfaces of separation

To model material ductile failure and crack propagation, cohesive zone elements can be embedded along potential fracture paths in a finite element simulation. When damage criteria are met, elements in the mesh decohere, simulating the formation and propagation of a crack. In this paper, we present a novel computational algorithm based on finite deformation theory, essential to modeling crack initiation and growth in solids undergoing large deformations. This new algorithm was formulated within a Lagrangian frame of reference to extend previous cohesive zone algorithms to include modeling crack growth in finite deformation contexts. The local coordinate system, necessary for defining an embedded cohesive zone, is constructed based upon the current configuration and is updated within the nonlinear iteration process, thereby resulting in the convergence of the solution for a growing crack in a large deformation quasi-static setting. The model’s accuracy was demonstrated by comparing finite element model simulation results with the analytic case of a constant surface separation, as shown in the verification examples. The power and efficacy of the algorithm to capture large deformations during crack growth were then demonstrated with a double cantilever beam example case. It indicates that the model can be applied to a variety of physical circumstances for predicting crack initiation and growth with delamination and fracture.

42 ENGINEERING↗

DOE OSTI2026

Physics vs structure: A systematic benchmark of learning strategies for multi-zone building thermal dynamics

Recent advances in physics-informed and data-driven machine learning promise improved thermal models for advanced building control, yet there is limited quantitative evidence on when added physics structure and architectural complexity are beneficial. Here, this work presents a systematic benchmark of five representative system identification methods for modeling multi-zone building thermal dynamics: linear state-space models, multi-layer perceptrons, neural state-space models, neural ordinary differential equations, and physically-consistent neural networks. The methods are evaluated across multiple data regimes and zone coupling strategies. Using a high-fidelity multi-zone commercial building emulator, we examine short-term and long-term prediction accuracy, computational efficiency, and ease of development. Our results reveal critical trade-offs between prediction performance, model complexity, and physical consistency. We demonstrate that decoupled, nonlinear black-box models consistently outperform coupled physics-constrained architectures in both predictive accuracy and out-of-distribution robustness in majority of the test cases for the building type considered in the study. Our findings quantify the cost of complexity in building thermal modeling and provide concrete, actionable, scenario-based guidelines for selecting model classes for control-oriented applications.

Building thermal modeling↗

DOE OSTI2025

Evidence for metal sources, fluid-mixing processes, and S isotope recycling within the feeder zone of an Irish type Zn-Pb deposit

The origin and evolution of fluids in Irish-type Zn-Pb deposits remains debated, particularly regarding the mobility of metals such as Cu and Ni, sources of sulphur, and the role of fluid mixing and replacement. The Lisheen Zn-Pb deposit, Ireland, offers a well-defined natural laboratory to investigate these questions. While most studies have focused on the Waulsortian Limestone Formation, the primary sulphide host, less is known about mineralisation in underlying units, such as the Lisduff Oolite Member (LOM). The LOM displays enrichment in Cu and Ni and displays intense replacement textures compared to other hosts at Lisheen, making it an ideal target for studying metal mobility and sulphur recycling in carbonate-hosted systems. Through characterising and studying LOM-hosted sulphides, valuable insights into mineralisation processes, especially related to Cu-Ni metals, can be defined. This study integrates petrography, EMPA, and in situ sulphur isotope (δ 34 S) analysis to investigate sulphide paragenesis, mineral chemistry, and fluid evolution across LOM ore zones. Results reveal a multistage mineralising system involving extensive replacement of early pyrite (Py0, δ 34 S = −28.4 to −21.9 ‰) by sphalerite and galena, with zoned pyrite (Py1) enriched in As-Cu-Ni-Tl. The δ 34 S values and trace element trends indicate mixing between hydrothermal and bacteriogenic sulphur-rich fluids, with evidence for sulphur recycling during replacement. Pyrite textures and compositions capture this evolving fluid regime, with trace element enrichment linked to paragenetic stage. The steel ore region, adjacent to major fault intersections, records intense hydrothermal fluid interaction, hosting Ni- and As-rich phases such as nickeline, gersdorffite, and arsenopyrite. These findings highlight the importance of structural controls and fluid mixing in metal transport and deposition, positioning the LOM as a key stratigraphic unit for understanding ore-forming processes in Irish-type systems. These results have implications for targeting similar carbonate-hosted systems globally, especially where deeper or structurally complex ore zones remain underexplored.

58 - GEOSCIENCES↗

DOE OSTI2025

Scalable freeform optimization of wide-aperture 3D metalenses by zoned discrete axisymmetry

We introduce a novel framework for design and optimization of 3D freeform metalenses that attains nearly linear scaling of computational cost with diameter, by breaking the lens into a sequence of radial “zones” with 𝑛-fold discrete axisymmetry, where 𝑛 increases with radius. This allows vastly more design freedom than imposing continuous axisymmetry, while avoiding the compromises of the locally periodic approximation (LPA) or scalar diffraction theory. Using a GPU-accelerated finite-difference time-domain (FDTD) solver in cylindrical coordinates, we perform full-wave simulation and topology optimization within each supra-wavelength zone. We validate our approach by designing millimeter and centimeter-scale, poly-achromatic, 3D freeform metalenses which outperform the state of the art. By demonstrating the scalability and resulting optical performance enabled by our “zoned discrete axisymmetry” (ZDA) and supra-wavelength domain decomposition, we highlight the potential of our framework to advance large-scale meta-optics and next-generation photonic technologies.

Sun, Mengdi [Wesleyan University]↗

DOE OSTI2024

In Situ Velocity‐Strain Sensitivity Near the San Jacinto Fault Zone Analyzed Through Train Tremors

Abstract We utilize train tremors as P‐wave seismic sources to investigate velocity‐strain sensitivity near the San Jacinto Fault Zone. A dense nodal array deployed at the Piñon Flat Observatory is used to detect and identify repeating train energy emitted from a railway in the Coachella valley. We construct P‐wave correlation functions across the fault zone and estimate the spatially averaged dt / t versus strain sensitivity to be 6.25 × 10 4 . Through numerical simulations, we explore how the sensitivity decays exponentially with depth. The optimal solution reveals a subsurface sensitivity of 1.2 × 10 5 and a depth decay rate of 0.05 km −1 . This sensitivity aligns with previous findings but is toward the higher end, likely due to the fractured fault‐zone rocks. The depth decay rate, previously unreported, is notably smaller than assumed in empirical models. This raises the necessity of further investigations of this parameter, which is crucial to study stress and velocity variations at seismogenic depth.

Geology↗

DOE OSTI2025

Long-lived zone-boundary magnons in an antiferromagnet

Antiferromagnetic (AFM) insulators exhibit many desirable features for spintronic applications such as fast dynamics in the THz range and robustness to fluctuating external fields. However, large damping typically associated with THz magnons presents a serious challenge for THz magnonic applications. Here, we report long-lived short-wavelength zone boundary magnons in the honeycomb AFM insulator CoTiO 3 , recently found to host topological magnons. We find that its zone-boundary THz magnons exhibit longer lifetimes than its zone-center magnons. This unusual momentum-dependent long magnon lifetime originates from several factors including the antiferromagnetic order, exchange anisotropy, a finite magnon gap, and magnon band dispersion. Our work suggests that magnon-magnon interaction may not be detrimental to magnon lifetimes and should be included in future searches for topological magnons.

42 ENGINEERING↗

DOE OSTI2024

Cyanobacteria from marine oxygen-deficient zones encode both form I and form II Rubiscos

Cyanobacteria are highly abundant in the marine photic zone and primary drivers of the conversion of inorganic carbon into biomass. To date, all studied cyanobacterial lineages encode carbon fixation machinery relying upon form I Rubiscos within a CO 2 -concentrating carboxysome. Here, we report that the uncultivated anoxic marine zone (AMZ) IB lineage ofProchlorococcusfrom pelagic oxygen-deficient zones (ODZs) harbors both form I and form II Rubiscos, the latter of which are typically noncarboxysomal and possess biochemical properties tuned toward low-oxygen environments. We demonstrate that these cyanobacterial form II enzymes are functional in vitro and were likely acquired from proteobacteria. Metagenomic analysis reveals that AMZ IB are essentially restricted to ODZs in the Eastern Pacific, suggesting that form II acquisition may confer an advantage under low-O 2 conditions. AMZ IB populations express both forms of Rubisco in situ, with the highest form II expression at depths where oxygen and light are low, possibly as a mechanism to increase the efficiency of photoautotrophy under energy limitation. Our findings expand the diversity of carbon fixation configurations in the microbial world and may have implications for carbon sequestration in natural and engineered systems.

Science & Technology - Other Topics↗

DOE OSTI2025

Online Dynamic Mode Decomposition Based System Identification of Multi-Zone Building HVAC Systems

Many works have recently been conducted to reduce the electricity consumption of smart buildings and allow them to support various grid services. Most of these works require accurate system models for the various appliances in the building including heating, ventilation, and air conditioning (HVAC) units. In this paper, we investigate a recursive data-driven system identification strategy to construct the thermal model for a time-varying building with a multi-zone HVAC unit. The online dynamic mode decomposition (DMD)-based strategy is employed to identify the multi-zone thermal building dynamics, where a simple information update (rank-1) is selected to avoid computational complexity. The DMD-based identification strategy is validated using a real gymnasium building equipped with a 4-zone HVAC unit, and its performance is compared with that of the traditional nuclear-norm subspace identification (N2SID) strategy.

Wu, Tumin [University of Tennessee, Knoxville (UTK↗

DOE OSTI2024

Design of Zone-Based Hierarchical Protection System for 100% Renewable Microgrids

Design of a reliable and secure protection system for a 100% renewable microgrid with only inverter-based resources (IBRs), is quite challenging. Most of the existing protection schemes in the state-of-the-art are suitable for microgrids with mixed-type of distributed energy resources (DERs) that covers both rotating machine-based DERs as well as IBR-based DERs, where the fault current level is moderately high. Due to drastic reduction in fault current level based on mode of operation and the variation of the low fault current level based on the operating level of the IBRs, the existing protection schemes face critical challenges, in case of a 100% renewable microgrid. This article proposes a zone-based hierarchical protection scheme that partitions a microgrid into various zones-of-protection and assigns speed-based hierarchical protection schemes in order to address the fundamental challenges of such microgrids. The performance of the proposed scheme is evaluated using time-domain simulation study on a microgrid test system. The results corroborates that the proposed hierarchical zone-based protection scheme exhibits enhanced reliability, security and dependability while tested with various fault cases (fault types, locations, and impedances), and non-fault cases during both grid-tied and islanded mode.

grid-forming inverter↗

DOE OSTI2024

AmeriFlux FLUXNET-1F US-SSH Susquehanna Shale Hills Critical Zone Observatory

This is the AmeriFlux Management Project (AMP) created FLUXNET-1F version of the carbon flux data for the site US-SSH Susquehanna Shale Hills Critical Zone Observatory. This is the FLUXNET version of the carbon flux data for the site US-SSH Susquehanna Shale Hills Critical Zone Observatory produced by applying the standard ONEFlux (1F) software. Site Description - The Susquehanna Shale Hills Critical Zone Observatory is comprised of one first-order catchment in the Susquehanna River basin. This catchment, known as Shale Hills, is about 8 hectares in total area. The stream that defines the Shale Hills catchment flows into Shavers Creek in the Juniata River sub-basin. The vegetation cover at Shale Hills is dominated by deciduous broadleaf forest, with some evergreen needleleaf trees along the stream.

Forsythe, Brandon R.↗

DOE OSTI2026

A Relief Zone Architecture for Enhanced Durability of Ultrathin Membranes in Electrochemical Conversion Devices

Premature cell failures in electrochemical conversion systems often result when membrane electrode assemblies (MEAs) are prepared with ultra-thin (= 15 micrometer-thick) polymer electrolyte membranes (PEMs). These high-performance PEMs are susceptible to mechanical degradation from stress concentrations arising from component and device-level integration. Herein, a relief zone was developed to mitigate mechanical degradation by alleviating excess and non-uniform compression across the active area. Relief zones, created through the ablation of carbonaceous diffusion material achieves a seamless adaptation across a range of MEA dimensions and electrochemical applications without need for costly hardware modifications. This concept was demonstrated using fuel cells as a case study. Accelerated stress test (AST) validations yielded a 6-fold improvement for MEAs prepared with relief zones (i.e., lifetime approximately 1500 h) compared to those fabricated using conventional edge-protection techniques, showcasing the utility of this technique in decoupling integration and device-level engineering effects from intrinsic material limitations for durable electrochemical devices.

14 SOLAR ENERGY↗

DOE OSTI2024

Design of Zone-Based Hierarchical Protection System for 100% Renewable Microgrids: Preprint

grid-forming inverter↗

DOE OSTI2024

The Fragility of Bedform‐Induced Hyporheic Zones: Exploring Impacts of Dynamic Groundwater Table Fluctuations

Abstract Hyporheic zones are commonly regarded as resilient and enduring interfaces between groundwater and surface water in river corridors. In particular, bedform‐induced advective pumping hyporheic exchange (bedform‐induced exchange) is often perceived as a relatively persistent mechanism in natural river systems driving water, solutes, and energy exchanges between the channel and its surrounding streambed sediments. Numerous studies have been based on this presumption. To evaluate the persistence of hyporheic zones under varying hydrologic conditions, we use a multi‐physics framework to model advective pumping bedform‐induced hyporheic exchange in response to a series of seasonal‐ and event‐scale groundwater table fluctuation scenarios, which lead to episodic river‐aquifer disconnections and reconnections. Our results suggest that hyporheic exchange is not as ubiquitous as generally assumed. Instead, the bedform‐induced hyporheic exchange is restricted to a narrow range of conditions characterized by minor river‐groundwater head differences, is intermittent, and can be easily obliterated by minor losing groundwater conditions. These findings shed light on the fragility of bedform‐induced hyporheic exchange and have important implications for biogeochemical transformations along river corridors.

54 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES↗

DOE OSTI2025

Ambient field seismology in critical zone hydrological sciences

Passive ambient noise monitoring is an emerging tool in environmental seismology, leveraging the ambient seismic field to assess temporal variations in shallow subsurface properties. This review focuses on the potential and challenges of using scattered coda waves from noise correlation functions to monitor critical zone dynamics. The sensitivity of seismic velocities to various environmental factors, including precipitation, snowmelt, atmospheric pressure, and groundwater fluctuations, underscores the method’s versatility. While coda waves excel in detecting subtle changes due to their scattered nature, ballistic waves provide higher spatial resolution, albeit with challenges in source stability. Advances in seismic sensing, including distributed acoustic sensing and low-cost geophone networks, have enabled high-resolution monitoring of hydrological processes, subsurface deformation, and seismic hazards. Integrating seismic data with hydrological models provides insights into water storage, pore pressure changes, and soil moisture dynamics. However, limitations in spatial resolution, calibration with ground truth data, and coupled effects between environmental factors remain key challenges. This review emphasizes the importance of interdisciplinary approaches in refining methodologies, enhancing sensor deployments, and addressing data gaps. Passive seismic monitoring offers opportunities to understand critical zone processes and their broader impacts on seismic hazards and environmental sustainability.

58 GEOSCIENCES↗

DOE OSTI2025

Low embodied energy and carbon, high lifetime silicon boules via a combined chemical vapor deposition/float zone process

This work evaluates a new process route to making float zone (Fz)-quality silicon wafers using a combination of computational fluid dynamics (CFD) modeling and technoeconomic analysis. Our analysis finds that the new process competes with Czochralski (Cz)-grown wafers on a levelized cost of energy system level. The new process also decreases embodied energy and carbon of silicon photovoltaics (PV) by ~6x circumventing the energy-costly Siemens process used in polycrystalline silicon (poly-Si) production plants to generate feedstock for Fz and Cz boules. Instead of using poly-Si from the Siemens process to feed crystallization, the new process uses the high-purity, trichlorosilane (TCS) precursor gas to grow a poly-Si feed rod in-situ during a modified Fz1,2 boule growth process. The gas-to-boule float zone process enables opportunity to produce high-purity (low metals and oxygen content), uniformly doped single crystal silicon boules and wafers with high bulk lifetimes (τ bulk > 15 ms) to enable higher efficiency cells (>27 %) with fewer known degradation mechanisms than Czochralski (Cz)-grown wafers. These benefits reduce the levelized cost of electricity (LCOE) of PV-produced electricity. Here we show the results of our CFD and chemical modeling of the process to prove feasibility and economic viability.

14 SOLAR ENERGY↗

DOE OSTI2025

Prediction of Complex Observed Shear Wave Splitting Patterns at Ryukyu Subduction Zone Using a Strong Intra-Slab Anisotropy Model

Complex shear wave splitting (SWS) patterns in subduction zones are often interpreted geodynamically as resulting from complex mantle flow; however, this may not always be necessary. We analyzed 7,093 high-quality SWS measurements from teleseismic S waves recorded by Hi-net stations across the Ryukyu arc in Japan. Our findings show a systematic rotation of the fast S polarization from trench-parallel to trench-perpendicular depending on the earthquake backazimuth. For the same earthquake, the measured splitting patterns also vary spatially across the southwest Japan. Using full-wave seismic modeling, we showed that a dipping slab with ~30% shear anisotropy of the tilted transverse isotropy (TTI) type, with a symmetry axis perpendicular to the slab interface, can predict the observed delay times and polarization rotation. Our results highlight the importance of considering dipping anisotropic slabs in interpreting SWS at subduction zones.

58 GEOSCIENCES↗

DOE OSTI2025

Integrating Offshore Wind Into Competitive Renewable Energy Zones (CREZ) for the Philippines

The Philippines is aiming to jumpstart a domestic offshore wind industry and has incorporated offshore wind into several planning efforts. In parallel, the Philippines has also been a leader in incorporating renewable energy zones (REZs) into their power sector development and transmission plans. The objective of this study, conducted by the U.S. Department of Energy's National Renewable Energy Laboratory (NREL) in partnership with the Philippines Department of Energy (PDOE), is to incorporate offshore wind resources into the Philippines' already established competitive renewable energy zones (CREZs) to support national transmission planning, thereby merging these two previously disparate workstreams and implementing a key recommendation from the World Bank's offshore wind roadmap for the Philippines.

17 WIND ENERGY↗