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Appendix A: NAS-Wide Encounter Rate Evaluation Using Historical Radar Data and the Airspace Concept Evaluation System (ACES)

Regulations that establish operational and performance requirements for unmanned aircraft systems (UAS) are being developed by a consortium of government, industry and academic institutions. Those requirements will apply to detect-and-avoid (DAA) systems and other equipment necessary to integrate UAS with the National Airspace System (NAS) and are determined according to their contribution to the overall level of safety required to operate in the airspace. Several key gaps must be addressed in order to link equipment requirements to an airspace level of safety. Foremost among these is the calculation of the relative effectiveness of a particular system to mitigate violations of a separation standard with other aircraft, which is known as the systems risk ratio. The risk ratio is calculated as the probability of mid-air collision with a DAA system divided by the probability of mid-air collision without a DAA system. The risk ratio of a DAA system, in combination with the risk ratios of other collision avoidance mitigations, will determine the overall safety of the airspace measured in terms of the number of mid-air collisions per flight hour. Defining the required risk ratio that the DAA system needs to ensure the safety of the airspace requires an evaluation of the current airspace and a simulated evaluation that incorporates UAS aerodynamic performance and the mission characteristics of future UAS operations that are projected to be conducted in areas that interact with current operations. These evaluations will produce the frequency of encounters that currently exist in the airspace and those that could be generated with the introduction of UAS. Together, the frequency of encounters, an evaluation of unmitigated risk of collision, and a desired level of safety of the airspace will yield a required risk ratio of the DAA system. This study will focus on evaluating the encounter rates between aircraft based on historical radar data and encounter rates that could occur based on simulated UAS missions.

Unmanned Aircraft Systems↗

Physical and Flow Properties of Glass Forming Chemicals (V2O5, SnO, SnO2, Cr2O3, FeCr2O4, and ZrSiO4) and Mixtures

For a sustainable nuclear waste vitrification process at the Hanford Tank Waste Treatment and Immobilization Plant (WTP), proper selection and consistent supply of glass-forming chemicals (GFCs) are crucial. Establishing rigorous acceptance criteria for the characterization of GFCs will be required to operate the vitrification facility and to mitigate any processing issues or failures. Low-activity wastes (LAW) are blended with GFCs to form slurry melter feeds and vitrified in a melter. To enhance properties of waste glasses, new chemicals are being introduced to the current GFC mixture (Vienna et al. 2016; Muller et al. 2017, 2019). In this study, three new GFCs were evaluated for enhanced LAW glass formulations: chromium oxide (Cr 2 O 3 ), vanadium oxide (V 2 O 5 ), and stannic oxide (SnO 2 ). These three oxide components are included in enhanced waste glass (EWG) formulations and GFCs with the appropriate physical and flow properties are needed. As a starting point, single metal oxide GFCs: Cr 2 O 3 , V 2 O 5 , and SnO 2 were sourced and tested. To characterize these new individual GFCs and mixtures of GFCs, the industrial bulk characterization consultant, Jenike and Johanson, was employed to measure physical and flow properties of individual GFCs and their mixtures. Pacific Northwest National Laboratory (PNNL) also measured several selected physical properties for data evaluation as a quality assurance step. In addition, PNNL measured physical and rheological properties of slurry melter feeds containing those GFCs. Subsequent data analyses and verification were conducted. The purpose of this report is to assess the applicability of these GFCs for LAW vitrification based on their properties. This report will help understand measured data and evaluate new GFCs for use. Moreover, this report may give useful insights to help troubleshoot any GFC and melter feed transport and mixing issues that arise during processing, leading to a successful cleanup mission at WTP.

12 MANAGEMENT OF RADIOACTIVE AND NON-RADIOACTIVE W↗

JRC-IRMM/ORNL Collaboration on Nuclear Data for Nuclear Criticality Safety - 14486

Concerns about using cross sections recommended in the main evaluated data libraries (i.e. ENDF/B, JEFF and JENDL) for nuclear criticality calculations have been a prime motivator for new cross section measurements. The measurements and evaluations discussed in this work are part of a collaboration between the Oak Ridge National Laboratory (ORNL) and the Institute for Reference Material and Measurements of the Joint Research Center (JRC-IRMM) of the European Commission (EC). They are performed in response to the US Nuclear Criticality Safety Program (NCSP) data needs. In particular, the NCSP five-year plan encompasses a listing of elements that have been identified for measurements and evaluations to address issues on criticality safety applications. This listing is based on data deficiency concerns in practical applications that are conveyed by criticality safety practitioners. In general these deficiencies are obtained through the analysis of benchmark calculations. A wealth of evaluations in the main libraries were derived from results of measurements made with poor time-of-flight resolution, and also the description of some data in the neutron energy range above several tens of keV is crude. This impacts both the resolved and unresolved resonance region, and leads to bias effects when resonance structures play an important role. As a consequence only average corrections can be applied in calculations for nuclear criticality calculations where self-shielding, multiple scattering, or Doppler broadening are important. This can lead to erroneous results. Furthermore, many evaluations for nuclides having small neutron-capture cross sections show erroneously high cross sections because the influence of the neutron sensitivity of the old measurement systems was underestimated. Although their neutron capture cross sections are small, these nuclides, if occurring in large amounts, can be important absorbers in criticality calculations, so an accurate determination of these cross sections is required. Over the last seven years the JRC-IRMM/ORNL collaboration has produced many neutron induced cross section data using the Geel Electron Linear Accelerator (GELINA) neutron time-of-flight facility. This facility is ideally suited to measure total, fission and capture cross sections in the energy range from 1 eV to ∼600 keV, which is important for nuclear criticality calculations. In this paper the facility and experimental set-ups at GELINA will be described together with the data reduction and analysis procedures which result in experimental observables including their full covariance information. The importance of combining transmission and partial cross section data will be emphasized. We will give a list of the measured nuclides and discuss the impact of the resulting data and evaluations. (authors)

42 ENGINEERING↗

The analysis of shape data including normalization and the impact on prompt fission neutron spectrum measurements

While measurements of physical quantities contain an intrinsic absolute scale based on details of the experiment, sometimes only the value of each measured data point relative to the others, i.e., the shape, is of interest. Additionally, in contrast to absolute measurements of quantities like nuclear cross sections, shape measurements are unique in that the result is contained entirely in the relative value of each measured point with respect to all others. This fundamental attribute of shape data is sometimes discussed by data evaluators, but it is common that shape data are reported by experimenters with covariances directly from the raw data as though an absolute measurement has been performed, thereby misrepresenting the true knowledge of the measured shape. A normalization procedure must be carried out including careful covariance propagation in order to accurately represent the uncertainty in a measured shape. Known consequences of this procedure, such as the exclusion of constant fully-correlated uncertainties, are sometimes applied ad hoc to shape data. However, normalization also produces features of shape data that are otherwise difficult to apply, such as partial exclusion of strongly-correlated uncertainty sources, a redistribution of uncertainties across data points, and consistency of the covariance matrix obtained when combining separate shape measurements. In this study all of the above features are shown in a generalized fashion and exhibited using prompt fission neutron spectrum data from the Chi-Nu experiment with recommendations for analysis of future shape measurements.

46 INSTRUMENTATION RELATED TO NUCLEAR SCIENCE AND ↗

Image processing developments and applications for water quality monitoring and trophic state determination

Remote sensing data analysis of water quality monitoring is evaluated. Data anaysis and image processing techniques are applied to LANDSAT remote sensing data to produce an effective operational tool for lake water quality surveying and monitoring. Digital image processing and analysis techniques were designed, developed, tested, and applied to LANDSAT multispectral scanner (MSS) data and conventional surface acquired data. Utilization of these techniques facilitates the surveying and monitoring of large numbers of lakes in an operational manner. Supervised multispectral classification, when used in conjunction with surface acquired water quality indicators, is used to characterize water body trophic status. Unsupervised multispectral classification, when interpreted by lake scientists familiar with a specific water body, yields classifications of equal validity with supervised methods and in a more cost effective manner. Image data base technology is used to great advantage in characterizing other contributing effects to water quality. These effects include drainage basin configuration, terrain slope, soil, precipitation and land cover characteristics.

Blackwell, R. J.↗

Mathematical analysis study for radar data processing and enhancement. Part 1: Radar data analysis

A study is performed under NASA contract to evaluate data from an AN/FPS-16 radar installed for support of flight programs at Dryden Flight Research Facility of NASA Ames Research Center. The purpose of this study is to provide information necessary for improving post-flight data reduction and knowledge of accuracy of derived radar quantities. Tracking data from six flights are analyzed. Noise and bias errors in raw tracking data are determined for each of the flights. A discussion of an altiude bias error during all of the tracking missions is included. This bias error is defined by utilizing pressure altitude measurements made during survey flights. Four separate filtering methods, representative of the most widely used optimal estimation techniques for enhancement of radar tracking data, are analyzed for suitability in processing both real-time and post-mission data. Additional information regarding the radar and its measurements, including typical noise and bias errors in the range and angle measurements, is also presented. This is in two parts. This is part 1, an analysis of radar data.

James, R.↗

GeoRePORT Case Study Examples: Reporting Using the Geothermal Resource Portfolio Optimization and Reporting Technique (GeoRePORT): Preprint

The Geothermal Research Portfolio Optimization & Reporting Technique (GeoRePORT) was developed with funding from the United States Department of Energy's Geothermal Technologies Office (GTO) to assist in identifying and pursuing long-term investment strategies through the development of a resource reporting protocol. GeoRePORT provides scientists and non-scientists a comprehensive and quantitative means of reporting: (1) features intrinsic to geothermal sites (project grade) and, (2) maturity of the development (project readiness). Because geothermal feasibility is not determined by any single factor (e.g. temperature, permeability, permitting), a site's project grade and readiness are evaluated on twelve independent attributes pertaining to geological, technical, or socio-economic feasibility. In this paper, we present case studies illustrating how GeoRePORT can be used to compare geological, technical, and socio-economic attributes between geothermal systems. The consistent and objective assessment protocols used in GeoRePORT allow for comparison of project attributes across unique locations and geological settings. GeoRePORT case studies outline the geological, socio-economic and technical features of four individual geothermal sites: Coso, Chena, Dixie Valley, and White Sands Missile Range. The case studies presented herein illustrate the usefulness of GeoRePORT in evaluating project risk/return, identifying gaps in reported data, evaluating R&D impact, and gathering insights on successes/failures as applicable to future projects.

15 GEOTHERMAL ENERGY↗

GeoRePORT Case Study Examples: Reporting Using the Geothermal Resource Portfolio Optimization and Reporting Technique (GeoRePORT)

The Geothermal Research Portfolio Optimization & Reporting Technique (GeoRePORT) was developed with funding from the United States Department of Energy's Geothermal Technologies Office (GTO) to assist in identifying and pursuing long-term investment strategies through the development of a resource reporting protocol. GeoRePORT provides scientists and non-scientists a comprehensive and quantitative means of reporting: (1) features intrinsic to geothermal sites (project grade) and, (2) maturity of the development (project readiness). Because geothermal feasibility is not determined by any single factor (e.g. temperature, permeability, permitting), a site's project grade and readiness are evaluated on twelve independent attributes pertaining to geological, technical, or socio-economic feasibility. In this paper, we present case studies illustrating how GeoRePORT can be used to compare geological, technical, and socio-economic attributes between geothermal systems. The consistent and objective assessment protocols used in GeoRePORT allow for comparison of project attributes across unique locations and geological settings. GeoRePORT case studies outline the geological, socio-economic and technical features of four individual geothermal sites: Coso, Chena, Dixie Valley, and White Sands Missile Range. The case studies presented herein illustrate the usefulness of GeoRePORT in evaluating project risk/return, identifying gaps in reported data, evaluating R&D impact, and gathering insights on successes/failures as applicable to future projects.

40 EE - Geothermal Technologies Office (EE-4G)↗

Neutron Leakage Spectra Sensitivities for ICSBEP Benchmarks

Neutron leakage spectra have been measured, simulated, and investigated by many groups. These spectra have many uses, including determining shielding requirements and calculating dose for radiation protection purposes, validating nuclear data, and determining material composition. It has even been proposed to use measurements of neutron leakage spectra to determine the soil composition of Mars. As part of the Los Alamos National Laboratory (LANL) Experiments Underpinned by Computational Learning for Improvements in nuclear Data (EUCLID) Laboratory Directed Research Development (LDRD) project, the authors are working on developing methods to calculate sensitivities to neutron leakage spectra. This may allow nuclear data evaluators to better use neutron leakage spectra data to constrain or adjust nuclear data. This may also be particularly useful as many neutron leakage spectra measurements do not require fissile material and can be performed with well characterized neutron sources. Neutron leakage spectra measurements are usually performed by placing a detector at the outside of a nuclear system. This may be a reactor, a neutron generator, or a neutron source. Certain detection systems can use pulse height data to infer neutron energies, other detector systems rely on other ways of determining neutron energy (for example, a Bonner sphere with multiple moderator thicknesses can be used to measure neutron spectrum). These measurements typically rely on some unfolding of the measured results. For pulsed systems like the "Livermore Pulsed Spheres," time-of-flight information can also help to constrain the neutron energy spectra data.

73 NUCLEAR PHYSICS AND RADIATION PHYSICS↗

Validating automated resonance evaluation with synthetic data

The integrity and precision of nuclear data are crucial for a broad spectrum of applications, from national security and nuclear reactor design to medical diagnostics, where the associated uncertainties can significantly impact outcomes. A substantial portion of uncertainty in nuclear data originates from the subjective biases in the evaluation process, a crucial phase in the nuclear data production pipeline. Recent advancements indicate that automation of certain routines can mitigate these biases, thereby standardizing the evaluation process and enhancing reproducibility. This research aims to provide a methodology, framework, and metrics for the validation of automated nuclear data evaluation software leveraging high-quality synthetic data that closely mimic real experimental observables. An introduced error metric provides a scale and intuitive measure of the evaluation quality by quantifying the estimate’s accuracy and performance across the specified energy range. Synthetic data provides access to experimental observables and underlying resonance parameters, enabling comparison of different evaluations. The methodology is demonstrated using Ta-181 isotope data in the resolved resonance region. The Automated Resonance Identification Subroutine (ARIS), which operates without prior resonance information, was used to test and showcase the framework’s capabilities utilizing the proposed error metrics. The results demonstrate the effectiveness of the proposed approach and framework for optimizing software parameters and testing hypotheses through “what-if” controlled experiments, such as modifying assumptions about experimental conditions or average resonance parameters.

22 GENERAL STUDIES OF NUCLEAR REACTORS↗

A Primer on Nuclear "Recoil" Data

For many years the ENDF-6 format has existed to contain evaluated nuclear data. One primary driver for the format and the data is neutron transport calculations. Evaluated data can be processed by a code like NJOY into either continuous energy form (ACE format) for Monte Carlo codes like MCNP or into multi-group form (NDI tables) for deterministic codes like Partisn. The reaction cross sections are found in the MF 3 section of the ENDF-6 format. If the reaction produces one or more neutrons as outputs, then secondary neutron data must also be given in MF 4,5 or 6 sections of the format. Energy and angular distributions for the output neutrons must be given in one of several available formats. The most general formats are found in MF 6. MF 4 is for angular distributions, MF 5 is for Energy distributions, and MF 6 contains both. In recent years, more interest has developed in the other output particles (i.e., the “recoil” particles) from neutron induced reactions. This has been driven by interest in charged particle transport and in more specialized partial kermas. ( A separate total neutron kerma has been available for a long time.) Partial kermas are a breakdown of the Kinetic Energy Released into the MAterial by output particle or by neutron reaction. The sum of the partial kermas should be equal to the total kerma on a group-wise basis. The ENDF-6 format is general enough for these new data requirements. Ideally, evaluated data would exist for every output particle (including the secondary neutrons) from every neutron-induced reaction. In the MF 6 format section, data for multi-particle outputs may be entered using the LAW =1 option. This option explicitly allows energy and angular output distributions for each particle produced in the reaction. Such information should preserve the balance between partial kermas and the total kerma at the groupwise level as well as the individual particle averaged energies. For simpler 2-body reactions, LAW = 2 is available. This allows the evaluation to specify only enough data to specify the 2-body reaction fully. Such a simplification does not exist for 3 (or more) body breakups. A simplified form of LAW 2, i.e., LAW 3, also exists to generate approximate recoil output distributions in the absence of full data. However, evaluated data does not generally exist at this fine granularity for reactions involving more than 2 output particles ( e.g., the 3-body break-up reaction). When the multi-body detailed output distribution data is not available, LAW=6 may be employed in NJOY. LAW 6 produces approximate output distributions for all the particles produced in the reaction. Just like in the 2-body case, the smaller particles will generally carry off more energy. At any particular energy, the balance between the sum of the partial kermas and the total kerma will not necessarily be preserved. However, the average energy of each output particle from a reaction is preserved.

73 NUCLEAR PHYSICS AND RADIATION PHYSICS↗

TDRSS tracking data and orbit determination evaluation

TDRS-1 was launched on April 4, 1983. This paper presents preliminary results of TDRSS tracking data evaluation through September 1983. TDRSS tracking data evaluation is a summary of valid tracking data that characterizes data quality. TDRS-1 orbit accuracy is evaluated by using orbit consistency measured by comparing overlaps of TDRS-1 ephemerides produced from consecutive data arcs. TDRS-1 and user orbit accuracies and consistencies are also estimated. Orbit accuracy is estimated by comparing user orbits based on tracking data obtained both through the TDRSS and from ground-based tracking.

Campion, R. E.↗

Status of the WPEC subgroup 46 - Efficient and effective use of integral experiments for nuclear data validation

The present paper summarizes the current status of the activities of the on-going WPEC subgroup 46 which was the last significant initiative of Massimo before he passed away. The goal of WPEC/SG46 is to define, test and document a methodology to provide unambiguous feedback to the nuclear data evaluator community, based on the joint use of integral experiments and data assimilation techniques. Part of this effort resulted in a renewed analysis of the original Target Accuracy Requirement (TAR) exercise of WPEC/SG26, by adding more diverse nuclear systems and parameters, including reaction channels correlations and a coarser energy group structure; and making use of the progress made in the most recent evaluations in terms of both nuclear data and covariance matrices. The preliminary outcomes of the updated TAR exercise, documented by various groups worldwide are clear already: uncertainty reductions are required for many nuclide-reaction pairs in a variety of energy range if the target uncertainty requirements set by the industry are to be met, especially for k{sub eff}. The inclusion of correlations between the various reaction channels had a major impact on the magnitude of the required uncertainty reduction. Those uncertainty reductions are unlikely to be met by differential measurements alone. However, the selection of relevant integral experiment and a subsequent adjustment procedure may help meet these requirements. (authors)

22 GENERAL STUDIES OF NUCLEAR REACTORS↗

Bayesian Monte-Carlo Evaluation Framework for Imperfect Data [Slides]

BMC evaluation is a tool to address imperfect data & models, non-linear models, and non-normal PDFs. New posterior PDFs may need new storage formats to allow storage of non-normal PDFs. Storing posterior sets allows for: variance, covariance, skewness, etc.

97 MATHEMATICS AND COMPUTING↗

Creation of the VADER Code in SCALE [Slides]

This presentation details the creation of Validation Analysis Data Evaluation Resource (VADER) code in SCALE. This lecture highlights the USLSTATS program written in JAVA and its history. Additionally, it covers the integration of VADER with SCALE along with features and background information.

73 NUCLEAR PHYSICS AND RADIATION PHYSICS↗

Poster - 18: New features in EGSnrc for photon cross sections

Purpose: To implement two new features in the EGSnrc Monte Carlo system. The first is an option to account for photonuclear attenuation, which can contribute a few percent to the total cross section at the higher end of the energy range of interest to medical physics. The second is an option to use exact NIST XCOM photon cross sections. Methods: For the first feature, the photonuclear total cross sections are generated from the IAEA evaluated data. In the current, first-order implementation, after a photonuclear event, there is no energy deposition or secondary particle generation. The implementation is validated against deterministic calculations and experimental measurements of transmission signals. For the second feature, before this work, if the user explicitly requested XCOM photon cross sections, EGSnrc still used its own internal incoherent scattering cross sections. These differ by up to 2% from XCOM data between 30 keV and 40 MeV. After this work, exact XCOM incoherent scattering cross sections are an available option. Minor interpolation artifacts in pair and triplet XCOM cross sections are also addressed. The default for photon cross section in EGSnrc is XCOM except for the new incoherent scattering cross sections, which have to be explicitly requested. The photonuclear, incoherent, pair and triplet data from this work are available for elements and compounds for photon energies from 1 keV to 100 GeV. Results: Both features are implemented and validated in EGSnrc.Conclusions: The two features are part of the standard EGSnrc distribution as of version 4.2.3.2.

73 NUCLEAR PHYSICS AND RADIATION PHYSICS↗

A New Look to Nuclear Data

Databases of evaluated nuclear data form a cornerstone on which we build academic nuclear structure physics, reaction physics, astrophysics, and many applied nuclear technologies. In basic research, nuclear data are essential for selecting, designing and conducting experiments, and for the development and testing of theoretical models to understand the fundamental properties of atomic nuclei. Likewise, the applied fields of nuclear power, homeland security, stockpile stewardship and nuclear medicine, all have deep roots requiring evaluated nuclear data. Each of these fields requires rapid and easy access to up-to-date, comprehensive and reliable databases. The DOE-funded US Nuclear Data Program is a specific and coordinated effort tasked to compile, evaluate and disseminate nuclear structure and reaction data such that it can be used by the world-wide nuclear physics community.

73 NUCLEAR PHYSICS AND RADIATION PHYSICS↗

The critical evaluation of stellar data

The paper discusses the importance of evaluating a catalog of stellar data, whether it is an old catalog being made available in machine-readable form, or a new catalog written expressly in machine-readable form, and discusses some principles to be followed in the evaluation of such data. A procedure to be followed when checking out an astronomical catalog on magnetic tape is described. A cross index system which relates the different identification numbers of a star or other astronomical object as they appear in different catalogs in machine-readable form is described.

Underhill, A. B.↗