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Search indexed NASA NTRS and DOE OSTI research on propulsion, heat transfer, battery materials and energy systems. Follow report and document links to the original sources.

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At least 361 records · Page 20
All sourcesNASA NTRSDOE OSTI
DOE OSTI2022

Do Machine Learning Approaches Offer Skill Improvement for Short-Term Forecasting of Wind Gust Occurrence and Magnitude?

Abstract Wind gusts, and in particular intense gusts, are societally relevant but extremely challenging to forecast. This study systematically assesses the skill enhancement that can be achieved using artificial neural networks (ANNs) for forecasting of wind gust occurrence and magnitude. Geophysical predictors from the ERA5 reanalysis are used in conjunction with an autoregressive term in regression and ANN models with different predictors, and varying model complexity. Models are derived and assessed for the warm (April–September) and cold (October–March) seasons for three high passenger volume airports in the United States. Model uncertainty is assessed by deriving models for 1000 different randomly selected training (70%) and testing (30%) subsets. Gust prediction fidelity in independent test samples is critically dependent on inclusion of an autoregressive term. Gust occurrence probabilities derived using five-layer ANNs exhibit consistently higher fidelity than those from regression models and shallower ANNs. Inclusion of the autoregressive term and increasing the number of hidden layers in ANNs from 1 to 5 also improve the model performance for gust magnitudes (lower RMSE, increased correlation, and model standard deviations that more closely approximate observed values). Deeper ANNs (e.g., 20 hidden layers) exhibit higher skill in forecasting strong (17–25.7 m s −1 ) and damaging (≥25.7 m s −1 ) wind gusts. However, such deep networks exhibit evidence of overfitting and still substantially underestimate (by 50%) the frequency of strong and damaging wind gusts at the three airports considered herein. Significance Statement Improved short-term forecasting of wind gusts will enhance aviation safety and logistics and may offer other societal benefits. Here we present a rigorous investigation of the relative skill of models of wind gust occurrence and magnitude that employ different statistical methods. It is shown that artificial neural networks (ANNs) offer considerable skill enhancement over regression methods, particularly for strong and damaging wind gusts. For wind gust magnitudes in particular, application of deeper learning networks (e.g., five or more hidden layers) offers tangible improvements in forecast accuracy. However, deeper networks are vulnerable to overfitting and exhibit substantial variability with the specific training and testing data subset used. Also, even deep ANNs reproduce only half of strong and damaging wind gusts. These results indicate the need for future work to elucidate the dynamical mechanisms of intense wind gusts and advance solutions to their prediction.

54 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES↗
DOE OSTI2026

Reliability Assessment of Cooling Fans for PV Inverters: Testing, Modeling, and Case Studies

The reliability of photovoltaic (PV) inverters is critical for long-term solar system performance, with cooling fan failures frequently leading to costly downtime. While much research exists on general cooling fan reliability, little attention has been given to fans operating within PV inverters and their unique environmental challenges. Here, this article proposes a comprehensive methodology to address this gap. First, a failure mode and effects analysis is performed on fans to identify the key failure mechanisms in PV applications, their corresponding stressors, and the models necessary for lifetime prediction. Second, an accelerated life test is designed and conducted to collect valuable experimental data for PV inverter fans in a reasonable amount of time. Third, a mathematical conversion of dynamic mission profiles into effective constant stress levels is derived. Fourth, case studies are given, showcasing lifetime estimates that account for geographic variations in mission profile data. The results demonstrate that this integrated approach leads to an accurate reliability assessment for PV inverter cooling fans.

accelerated life testing (ALT)↗
DOE OSTI2026

Cation-Diffusive Carbon Interlayers Stabilize Na Metal and Double the Current in Na-S Redox-Flow Batteries for Grid-Scale Energy Storage

The sodium-sulfur nonaqueous redox-flow batteries (Na-S NARFBs) using earth-abundant elements are highly attractive due to the low material cost and improved energy density for grid-scale energy storage. However, the low current performance, poor Na0/Na+ redox kinetics, and Na dendrite growth pose severe challenges. We introduce cation-diffusive layers (CDLs): thin and Na+ affinitive interlayers at the Na anode that direct Na+ transport and stabilize Na deposition. Benchmarking three archetypal materials—carbon paper (CP), glass microfiber paper (GF), and foam—across Na-Na and Na-Cu, and Na-S cells identifies CP as the optimum. CP reduces symmetric cell overpotential by more than 70%, achieves 98% Na plating-stripping efficiency, and doubles the Na-S cell current density from 0.5 to 1.0 mA cm−2 without sacrificing capacity or efficiency. Ex situ electrochemical and SEM/XPS analysis, combined with molecular dynamics (MD) studies, reveal that electron-rich carbon fibers disperse supporting salt aggregates, enrich near-surface Na+ density, and create ion transport pathways for fast Na0/Na+ exchange while mitigating membrane degradation. Because of the ion-centric mechanism, CDLs can be generalized to other metal-anode designs. Further, this work establishes CDL design rules—cationic affinity and appropriate micro/nanostructure—as a simple, scalable route to high-current, durable metal-anode flow batteries.

Wu, Wenda [ORNL] (ORCID:000900033307687X)↗
DOE OSTI2020

Potentiodynamics of the Zinc and Proton Storage in Disordered Sodium Vanadate for Aqueous Zn-Ion Batteries

A rechargeable Zn-ion battery is a promising aqueous system, where coinsertion of Zn 2+ and H + could address the obstacles of the sluggish ionic transport in cathode materials imposed by multivalent battery chemistry. However, there is a lack of fundamental understanding of this dual-ion transport, especially the potentiodynamics of the storage process. Here, a quantitative analysis of Zn 2+ and H + transport in a disordered sodium vanadate (NaV 3 O 8 ) cathode material has been reported. Collectively, synchrotron X-ray analysis shows that both Zn 2+ and H + storages follow an intercalation storage mechanism in NaV 3 O 8 and proceed in a sequential manner, where intercalations of 0.26 Zn 2+ followed by 0.24 H + per vanadium atom occur during discharging, while reverse dynamics happens during charging. We find that such a unique and synergistic dual-ion sequential storage favors a high capacity (265 mA h g –1 ) and an energy density (221 W h kg –1 ) based on the NaV 3 O 8 cathode and a great cycling life (a capacity retention of 78% after 2000 cycles) in Zn/NaV 3 O 8 full cells.

36 MATERIALS SCIENCE↗
DOE OSTI2025

Relationship between microporous structure and light gas transport through glassy polymeric membranes revealed by molecular simulations

Microporous glassy polymers are attractive materials for gas separation membranes, due to their high permeability and tailorable selectivity, provided physical aging can be delayed. The archetypal microporous glassy polymer, PTMSP, can be blended with a hyper-crosslinked isatin–triptycene porous polymer network (PPN) to delay physical aging. However, while PPN is effective at reducing physical aging, it also affects the permeability of light gases through PTMSP. Molecular dynamics simulations were used here to shed fundamental light on the mechanisms responsible for these effects. Atomistic models are developed that satisfactorily reproduce experimental observations such as matrix density and cavity size distributions for neat PTMSP as well as for PTMSP–PPN blends. Analysis of the simulation results suggests that physical aging is delayed because the PPN inclusions slow down PTMSP relaxation while reducing the connectivity between free volume pockets. To understand how PPN inclusions affect light gas permeability, the atomistic models developed are used to probe CO 2 and CH 4 diffusion and sorption. These simulations are conducted for PTMSP matrices exhibiting varying density, towards reproducing experimental permeability data. Interrogating the simulation trajectories, it is discovered that while CH 4 travels preferentially through the free volume cavities, CO 2 preferentially interacts with the available surfaces, especially in the presence of PPN. These differences help interpret experimental observations. The transport of C 2 H 6 and H 2 S through PTMSP matrices was also investigated. These gases, and in particular H 2 S, were found to absorb within PTMSP, yielding very low diffusion coefficients. The ability to predict differences in diffusion pathways for various natural gas components unveils the possibility of engineering membranes to control permeability and selectivity towards large-scale applications.

Bao Le, Tran Thi [Univ. of Oklahoma, Norman, OK (U↗
DOE OSTI2025

Mapping the structural–mechanical landscape of amorphous carbon with ReaxFF molecular dynamics

We use ReaxFF molecular dynamics (MD) to investigate the relationship between structural and mechanical properties in bulk and nanostructured amorphous carbon (a-C). The liquid-quench MD method is used to generate isotropic bulk samples with mass densities ranging from 0.96 to 3.29 g/cm3. Structural analysis identifies two types of structures with distinct short- and medium-range order: lower-density sp2-dominated a-C, which is characterized by a bimodal ring-size distribution, and higher-density sp3-dominated tetrahedral amorphous carbon (ta-C), exhibiting a unimodal ring-size distribution. Stress–strain MD simulations and analysis reveal how an atomistic structure impacts elastic properties and post-yield atomic rearrangements. All stretched structures demonstrate elastic isotropy and plasticity driven by a ring-size expansion mechanism reflected in changes in ring statistics. The plastic region is substantially larger in ta-C than in a-C due to the post-yield shift from sp3 to sp2 C dominant bonding. In both a-C and ta-C, ultimate failure occurs when a reactive crack, traversed by long sp chains, forms and propagates predominantly perpendicular to the direction of the applied strain. Oxygen infiltration into the fractured region significantly reduces stress resistance, primarily through the early rupture of long sp chains. MD simulations and analysis are extended to a-C slabs, a-C nanotubes, and partially a-C nanotubes. The latter nanostructure highlights the differences between the elastically isotropic a-C walls, which develop circumferential cracking, and the crystalline walls, which tear along crystallographic directions. These results provide a strong foundation for further computational characterization of a-C materials.

Dernov, A. (ORCID:0009000004220973)↗
DOE OSTI2026

Free Energy and Flexibility Analysis of Autoinhibited Human BRAF

The RAF serine/threonine protein kinases function as direct effectors of RAS in the intracellular transmission of extracellular growth signals, and they are key targets for drug discovery, given the high incidence of oncogenic mutations in RAF and other components of this signaling pathway. In its inactive state, RAF is held in an autoinhibited conformation in the cytosol through a combination of intramolecular interactions and binding to a regulatory 14−3−3 protein dimer. Activation of RAF is initiated by its interaction with membrane-localized GTP-bound RAS, which induces conformational changes that release RAF from its autoinhibited state. However, the molecular mechanisms governing RAF activation remain incomplete, largely due to the challenges in experimentally capturing the intermediate conformational states in this process. To address this gap, we developed a comprehensive all-atom model of BRAF based on existing cryo-EM structures. Using this model, we performed extensive molecular dynamics simulations to evaluate the stability and free energy landscape of autoinhibited BRAF in solution. Our analysis reveals conformational flexibility within the autoinhibited complex, suggesting that this dynamic behavior may play a role in facilitating BRAF activation upon engagement with the membrane-bound RAS.

37 INORGANIC, ORGANIC, PHYSICAL, AND ANALYTICAL CH↗
DOE OSTI2023

Assessing mechanisms for microbial taxa and community dynamics using process models

Disentangling the assembly mechanisms controlling community composition, structure, distribution, functions, and dynamics is a central issue in ecology. Although various approaches have been proposed to examine community assembly mechanisms, quantitative characterization is challenging, particularly in microbial ecology. Here, we present a novel approach for quantitatively delineating community assembly mechanisms by combining the consumer–resource model with a neutral model in stochastic differential equations. Using time-series data from anaerobic bioreactors that target microbial 16S rRNA genes, we tested the applicability of three ecological models: the consumer–resource model, the neutral model, and the combined model. Our results revealed that model performances varied substantially as a function of population abundance and/or process conditions. The combined model performed best for abundant taxa in the treatment bioreactors where process conditions were manipulated. In contrast, the neutral model showed the best performance for rare taxa. Our analysis further indicated that immigration rates decreased with taxa abundance and competitions between taxa were strongly correlated with phylogeny, but within a certain phylogenetic distance only. The determinism underlying taxa and community dynamics were quantitatively assessed, showing greater determinism in the treatment bioreactors that aligned with the subsequent abnormal system functioning. Given its mechanistic basis, the framework developed here is expected to be potentially applicable beyond microbial ecology.

59 BASIC BIOLOGICAL SCIENCES↗
DOE OSTI2023

Characterization of Interconnects

Combined-accelerated stress testing (C-AST) simultaneously combines stress factors of the natural environment (including UV radiation, temperature, humidity, electrical current, and external mechanical force) into a single test that requires fewer modules, fewer chambers, and makes it possible to discover weaknesses in new designs that are not known a-priori. C-AST reduces risk, accelerates time to market, and improves bankability by reducing costly overdesign using test levels not exceeding those seen in the natural environment. This project seeks to evaluate strengths and weaknesses of modern cell interconnect designs with combined-accelerated stress testing (C-AST) to screen multiple climates along with finite element and failure analysis to determine the potential for a 50-year life. Supporting this, we seek to develop methods of characterization to assess the degradation of interconnects, enable predictive rate models with material forensics and FEA and show C-AST's ability to find interconnect failures and benchmark it relative to other accelerated stress test methods like temperature cycling and cyclic dynamic mechanical loading. Examples of modern interconnect designs covered are Canadian Solar Hetero Technology ribbon enabling closer cell interconnections, SmartWire (eg. Meyer-Berger technology), and shingled cells with new interconnect materials.

C-AST↗
DOE OSTI2022

Illuminating Ligand Field Contributions to Molecular Qubit Spin Relaxation via T 1 Anisotropy

Electron spin relaxation in paramagnetic transition metal complexes constitutes a key limitation on the growth of molecular quantum information science. However, there exist very few experimental observables for probing spin relaxation mechanisms, leading to a proliferation of inconsistent theoretical models. Here we demonstrate that spin relaxation anisotropy in pulsed electron paramagnetic resonance is a powerful spectroscopic probe for molecular spin dynamics across a library of highly coherent Cu(II) and V(IV) complexes. Here, neither the static spin Hamiltonian anisotropy nor contemporary computational models of spin relaxation are able to account for the experimental T 1 anisotropy. Through analysis of the spin-orbit coupled wavefunctions, we derive an analytical theory for the T 1 anisotropy that accurately reproduces the average experimental anisotropy of 2.5. Furthermore, compound-by-compound deviations from the average anisotropy provide a promising approach for observing specific ligand field and vibronic excited state coupling effects on spin relaxation. Finally, we present a simple density functional theory workflow for computationally predicting T 1 anisotropy. Analysis of spin relaxation anisotropy leads to deeper fundamental understanding of spin-phonon coupling and relaxation mechanisms, promising to complement temperature-dependent relaxation rates as a key metric for understanding molecular spin qubits.

37 INORGANIC, ORGANIC, PHYSICAL, AND ANALYTICAL CH↗
DOE OSTI2024

Visualizing the SEI formation between lithium metal and solid-state electrolyte

The solid electrolyte interphase (SEI) is regarded as the most important factor affecting the durability of lithium-metal anode in all-solid-state batteries (ASSBs). Despite its significance, the nucleation and growth mechanism of SEI is not yet well understood. Here, we elucidate the thermodynamics and kinetics governing SEI formation at the Li|β-Li 3 PS 4 interface at the atomic scale via thermodynamic phase equilibrium analysis and machine-learning-potential-assisted molecular dynamics (MD) simulations. An accurate moment tensor potential using the machine-learning method is developed for a reactive model of Li|β-Li 3 PS 4 . This potential enabled us to perform large-scale MD simulations with the model size expanded to the experimental dimensions (~40 nm) while maintaining the same level of accuracy as density functional theory calculations. The results reveal a four-stage evolution process at the Li|β-Li 3 PS 4 interface, namely (i) fast ion diffusion, (ii) nucleation, (iii) Li 2 S growth, and (iv) stabilization. Notably, we demonstrate that the SEI can be categorized into crystalline and amorphous regions. The simulated SEI thickness, structure, and composition closely match experimental findings, validating the accuracy of the MD simulations. We further disclose the significant impact of ion diffusion kinetic limitations on the phase formation and crystallization of interfacial products. Furthermore, we shed light on the detailed potential energy (PE) distribution of lithium along the direction perpendicular to the interface. Finally, this information is crucial for better understanding interfacial ion mobility.

25 ENERGY STORAGE↗
DOE OSTI2020

Understanding the lattice thermal conductivity of SrTiO 3 from an ab initio perspective

Here, we present a detailed analysis of the structure dependence of the lattice thermal conductivity of SrTiO 3 . We have used both ab initio molecular dynamic simulations and density functional theory calculations to decouple the effect of different structural distortions on the thermal conductivity. We have identified two main mechanisms for tuning the thermal conductivity when a distortion is applied. First, the modification of the acoustic-modes energy dispersion when a change in the lattice parameters is imposed and second, the low energy polar modes. In particular and counterintuitively, we have found that an increase in the angle of the oxygen octahedral rotations increases the thermal conductivity due to its coupling to these polar modes.

36 MATERIALS SCIENCE↗
DOE OSTI2020

THEMIS: A Parameter Estimation Framework for the Event Horizon Telescope

The Event Horizon Telescope (EHT) provides the unprecedented ability to directly resolve the structure and dynamics of black hole emission regions on scales smaller than their horizons. This has the potential to critically probe the mechanisms by which black holes accrete and launch outflows, and the structure of supermassive black hole spacetimes. However, accessing this information is a formidable analysis challenge for two reasons. First, the EHT natively produces a variety of data types that encode information about the image structure in nontrivial ways; these are subject to a variety of systematic effects associated with very long baseline interferometry and are supplemented by a wide variety of auxiliary data on the primary EHT targets from decades of other observations. Second, models of the emission regions and their interaction with the black hole are complex, highly uncertain, and computationally expensive to construct. As a result, the scientific utilization of EHT observations requires a flexible, extensible, and powerful analysis framework. We present such a framework, Themis, which defines a set of interfaces between models, data, and sampling algorithms that facilitates future development. We describe the design and currently existing components of Themis, how Themis has been validated thus far, and present additional analyses made possible by Themis that illustrate its capabilities. Importantly, we demonstrate that Themis is able to reproduce prior EHT analyses, extend these, and do so in a computationally efficient manner that can efficiently exploit modern high-performance computing facilities. Themis has already been used extensively in the scientific analysis and interpretation of the first EHT observations of M87.

79 ASTRONOMY AND ASTROPHYSICS↗
DOE OSTI2026

Genomic analysis of Klebsiella aerogenes circulating in New Mexico

Klebsiella aerogenes is an opportunistic pathogen and a growing cause of healthcare-associated infections, characterized by multidrug resistance and the emergence of global high-risk clones. However, regional genomic surveillance data remain limited. Here, we sought to characterize the population structure, transmission dynamics and resistance mechanisms of clinical K. aerogenes in Albuquerque, New Mexico. We sequenced 177 clinical isolates collected between 2021 and 2023. We also developed a novel, species-specific PopPUNK database to facilitate rapid, high-resolution typing. The New Mexico K. aerogenes population was diverse but dominated by two global pandemic lineages, ST93 (47.5%) and ST4 (7.9%), which were significantly enriched for the virulence factors yersiniabactin and colibactin. Genomic evidence for recent local transmission was rare, with only four putative transmission pairs identified. The resistome was characterized by intrinsic and adaptive mutations. Nearly all isolates possessed gyrA mutations associated with decreased fluoroquinolone susceptibility. Mutations in the AmpC regulator AmpD and the outer membrane porin Omp36 were common, particularly within the dominant ST93 lineage. These mutations have been associated with increased AmpC-mediated carbapenem resistance. Our findings underscore the critical importance of genomic surveillance to monitor the transmission and evolution of adaptive resistance.

59 BASIC BIOLOGICAL SCIENCES↗
DOE OSTI2023

ECAR-7210 Rev 0 Steady-state Thermo-mechanical Analysis of the MARVEL Fuel Bundle

This document reports the steady-state thermal-hydraulic and static mechanical analyses of the MARVEL micro-reactor core. The objective of this work is to investigate whether fuel-to-fuel contact could occur due to the thermal deformation of the fuel cladding during the normal operation and to assess the resulting impact on the peak cladding temperatures (PCT) if contact occurs. The scope of the work consists of three computational tasks. First, a conjugate heat transfer analysis using computational fluid dynamics (CFD) model was performed to evaluate the PCTs during normal operating conditions. Second, a finite element analysis (FEA) using the cladding temperature field obtained from the CFD analysis was performed to evaluate the thermal deformation of cladding and determine the occurrence of fuel-to-fuel contact. Finally, a CFD analysis of FEA-informed fuel-to-fuel gap (represented by a conservative 0.05 mm uniform gap) was performed to evaluate whether the PCT exceeds the safety criteria.

21 - SPECIFIC NUCLEAR REACTORS AND ASSOCIATED PLAN↗
DOE OSTI2022

Nucleation of Frank Dislocation during the Squeeze-Out Process in Boundary Lubrication: A Molecular Dynamics Study

Liquid–vapor molecular dynamics (LVMD) simulations are performed to reinvestigate the phase transition and solvation force oscillation behavior of a simple argon liquid film confined between two solid surfaces. Our simulations present a novel scenario in which the n → n – 1 layering transitions are accompanied by the formation, climb, and annihilation of Frank partial dislocations during the squeeze-out process under compression. This is indicated by the splitting of the repulsive peaks in the solvation force profile. The detailed analysis reveals that the formation–climb–annihilation mechanism of Frank dislocation occurs during approach and disappears during receding, which would result in force hysteresis. In combination with our recent works, this study provides new insights into the physical property of nanoconfined lubricant films in boundary lubrication.

37 INORGANIC, ORGANIC, PHYSICAL, AND ANALYTICAL CH↗
DOE OSTI2022

Advanced modeling and simulation of research reactors using dynamic mode decomposition

Full text of publication follows. Due to the ever-increasing safety requirements, the current trend of nuclear reactor analysis is shifting towards high-fidelity multi-physics models, which have a very high computational cost and modelling complexity. As the cost of even a single model run makes it impossible to analyse the behaviour and performance of these models on large-scale commercial plants, it has become even more significant to provide suitable benchmarks to validate and test them extensively. In this sense, research reactors offer a promising solution for the initial validation of high-fidelity models, as they are significantly smaller than commercial reactors and their characteristics are well known. In particular, the reactors of the TRIGA family have been used to assess and validate models and methods for Generation-IV designs, as they have some similar features (such as the dominance of natural convection as cooling mechanism and the difficulties in performing sub-channel analysis using standard codes). Still, the computational requirements of high-fidelity models make them unsuitable for real-time analysis, even following their assessment on research reactors. In this sense, Model Order Reduction (MOR) techniques give an additional strategy to reduce the computational cost of high-fidelity models (whilst preserving sufficient accuracy). In particular, this work focuses on Dynamic Mode Decomposition (DMD), a non-intrusive MOR technique that aims at representing models with explicit temporal dynamics by extracting the time-varying characteristics and the governing structures based only on a set of available data, thus without needing any underlying knowledge of the governing equations. In addition, DMD also computes a low-dimensional surrogate of the dynamic matrix of the system, making it suited for stability analysis and real-time evaluations. This work focuses on the application and validation of the DMD method on the Computational Fluid-Dynamics (CFD) model TRIGA Mark II reactor, also discussing in detail the potentiality of this algorithm as an advanced modelling tool for nuclear reactor analysis. (author)

21 SPECIFIC NUCLEAR REACTORS AND ASSOCIATED PLANTS↗