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Technical note: Using long short-term memory models to fill data gaps in hydrological monitoring networks

Abstract. Quantifying the spatiotemporal dynamics in subsurface hydrological flows over a long time window usually employs a network of monitoring wells. However, such observations are often spatially sparse with potential temporal gaps due to poor quality or instrument failure. In this study, we explore the ability of recurrent neural networks to fill gaps in a spatially distributed time-series dataset. We use a well network that monitors the dynamic and heterogeneous hydrologic exchanges between the Columbia River and its adjacent groundwater aquifer at the U.S. Department of Energy's Hanford site. This 10-year-long dataset contains hourly temperature, specific conductance, and groundwater table elevation measurements from 42 wells with gaps of various lengths. We employ a long short-term memory (LSTM) model to capture the temporal variations in the observed system behaviors needed for gap filling. The performance of the LSTM-based gap-filling method was evaluated against a traditional autoregressive integrated moving average (ARIMA) method in terms of error statistics and accuracy in capturing the temporal patterns of river corridor wells with various dynamics signatures. Our study demonstrates that the ARIMA models yield better average error statistics, although they tend to have larger errors during time windows with abrupt changes or high-frequency (daily and subdaily) variations. The LSTM-based models excel in capturing both high-frequency and low-frequency (monthly and seasonal) dynamics. However, the inclusion of high-frequency fluctuations may also lead to overly dynamic predictions in time windows that lack such fluctuations. The LSTM can take advantage of the spatial information from neighboring wells to improve the gap-filling accuracy, especially for long gaps in system states that vary at subdaily scales. While LSTM models require substantial training data and have limited extrapolation power beyond the conditions represented in the training data, they afford great flexibility to account for the spatial correlations, temporal correlations, and nonlinearity in data without a priori assumptions. Thus, LSTMs provide effective alternatives to fill in data gaps in spatially distributed time-series observations characterized by multiple dominant frequencies of variability, which are essential for advancing our understanding of dynamic complex systems.

54 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES↗

Aquifer Monitoring Using Ambient Seismic Noise Recorded With Distributed Acoustic Sensing (DAS) Deployed on Dark Fiber

Abstract Groundwater is a critical resource for human activities worldwide, and a vital component of many natural ecosystems. However, the state and dynamics of water‐bearing aquifers remain uncertain, mostly due to the paucity of subsurface data at high spatial and temporal resolution. Here, we show that analysis of infrastructure‐generated ambient seismic noise acquired on distributed acoustic sensing (DAS) arrays has potential as a tool to track variations in seismic velocities (d v / v ) caused by groundwater level fluctuations. We analyze 5 months of ambient noise acquired along an unused, 23 km‐long telecommunication fiber‐optic cable in the Sacramento Valley, CA, a so‐called “dark fiber." Three array subsections, ∼6 km apart, are processed and the stretching technique is applied to retrieve daily d v / v beneath each location. Near the Sacramento river, d v / v variations in the order of 2%–3% correlate with precipitation events and fluctuations in river stage of ∼1.5 m. In contrast, regions away (2.5 km) from the river do not experience large d v / v variations. These observations reveal short‐scale spatial variability in aquifer dynamics captured by this approach. Dispersion analysis and surface wave inversion of noise gathers reveal that seismic velocity perturbations occur at depths of 10–30 m. Rock physics modeling confirms that observed d v / v are linked to pore pressure changes at these depths, caused by groundwater table fluctuations. Our results suggest that DAS combined with ambient noise interferometry provides a means of tracking aquifer dynamics at high spatial and temporal resolutions at local to regional scales, relevant for effective groundwater resource management.

58 GEOSCIENCES↗

Modeling geogenic and atmospheric nitrogen through the East River Watershed, Colorado Rocky Mountains

There is a growing understanding of the role that bedrock weathering can play as a source of nitrogen (N) to soils, groundwater and river systems. The significance is particularly apparent in mountainous environments where weathering fluxes can be large. However, our understanding of the relative contributions of rock-derived, or geogenic, N to the total N supply of mountainous watersheds remains poorly understood. In this study, we develop the High-Altitude Nitrogen Suite of Models (HAN-SoMo), a watershed-scale ensemble of process-based models to quantify the relative sources, transformations, and sinks of geogenic and atmospheric N through a mountain watershed. Our study is based in the East River Watershed (ERW) in the Upper Colorado River Basin. The East River is a near-pristine headwater watershed underlain primarily by an N-rich Mancos Shale bedrock, enabling the timing and magnitude of geogenic and atmospheric contributions to watershed scale dissolved N-exports to be quantified. Several calibration scenarios were developed to explore equifinality using >1600 N concentration measurements from streams, groundwater, and vadose zone samples collected over the course of four years across the watershed. When accounting for recycling of N through plant litter turnover, rock weathering accounts for approximately 12% of the annual dissolved N sources to the watershed in the most probable calibration scenario (0–31% in other scenarios), and 21% (0–44% in other scenarios) when considering only “new” N sources (i.e. geogenic and atmospheric). On an annual scale, instream dissolved N elimination, plant turnover (including cattle grazing) and atmospheric deposition are the most important controls on N cycling.

54 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES↗

Vertical Hydrologic Exchange Flows Control Methane Emissions from Riverbed Sediments

CH 4 emissions from inland waters are highly uncertain in the current global CH 4 budget, especially for streams, rivers, and other lotic systems. Previous studies have attributed the strong spatiotemporal heterogeneity of riverine CH 4 to environmental factors such as sediment type, water level, temperature, or particulate organic carbon abundance through correlation analysis. However, a mechanistic understanding of the basis for such heterogeneity is lacking. Here, in this study, we combine sediment CH 4 data from the Hanford reach of the Columbia River with a biogeochemical-transport model to show that vertical hydrologic exchange flows (VHEFs), driven by the difference between river stage and groundwater level, determine CH 4 flux at the sediment–water interface. CH 4 fluxes show a nonlinear relationship with the magnitude of VHEFs, where high VHEFs introduce O 2 into riverbed sediments, which inhibit CH 4 production and induce CH 4 oxidation, and low VHEFs cause transient reduction in CH 4 flux (relative to production) due to reduced advective CH 4 transport. In addition, VHEFs lead to the hysteresis of temperature rise and CH 4 emissions because high river discharge caused by snowmelt in spring leads to strong downwelling flow that offsets increasing CH 4 production with temperature rise. Our findings reveal how the interplay between in-stream hydrologic flux besides fluvial-wetland connectivity and microbial metabolic pathways that compete with methanogenic pathways can produce complex patterns in CH 4 production and emission in riverbed alluvial sediments.

54 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES↗

Part II: Predicting performance of $\mathrm{DOWEX 21K}$ resin for remediation of comingled contaminants in groundwater

The selectivity of ion exchange (IX) resins for aqueous contaminant removal can be impacted by changing concentrations of competing natural groundwater ions. In a two-part investigation, the Hanford Site 200 West Area pump-and-treat (P&T) facility in Washington State, USA is used as a case study to evaluate the performance of two IX resins for groundwater treatment: Purolite® A532E for pertechnetate (TcO 4 - ) removal, explored in Part I, and DOWEX 21K (DOWEX) for uranium (U) removal. In Part II, DOWEX selectivity for U, as uranyl carbonate species, and uptake kinetics is quantified in a series of laboratory-scale aqueous batch experiments containing Hanford-relevant concentrations of competing anions nitrate (NO 3 - ), sulfate (SO 4 2- ), chloride (Cl - ), and carbonate (CO 3 2- ), as well as co-mingled contaminant TcO 4 - . Here the results demonstrate that DOWEX trimethylammonium functional groups are highly selective for U carbonate species (85–100 % uptake) under all conditions investigated. Only NO 3 - concentrations of 100 mM were shown to decrease U removal, with the extent (85–99 %) depending on competing anion concentrations present in solution. However, at the highest NO 3 - concentrations reported for groundwaters treated at the P&T facility (25 mM), the effect on U uptake is minimal. The batch sorption results are modeled to obtain chloride normalized equilibrium exchange coefficients (K) for predicting DOWEX performance: K SO4--/Cl- = 2.0, K NO3-/Cl- = 5.0, K HCO3-/Cl- = 1.5, K TcO4-/Cl- = 2,000, and K U/Cl- = 50,000. These K values predict little effect of current and future influent chemistries on U removal by DOWEX, where both uranyl carbonate species and TcO 4 - are removed such that effluent concentrations meet groundwater treatment requirements.

54 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES↗

Joint Inversion of Surface Electrical Resistivity Tomography and Seismic Refraction Data between the 200 Areas

Geologic stratigraphy on the Hanford Site influences groundwater and contaminant migration through the aquifer system and the vadose zone. The current geologic framework model (GFM) relies heavily on a sparse distribution of borehole data in some locations to map geologic contacts and hydrologic properties in the subsurface. Non-invasive geophysical methods such as electrical resistivity tomography (ERT), transient electromagnetic surveying, and seismic imaging are being used at Hanford to map subsurface structure in areas with limited well observations. This is to develop and mature the capability of geophysical methods to aid in GFM refinement, to identify regions of subsurface complexity, and for optimal well siting. A joint inversion of co-located seismic refraction and ERT data was carried out for data collected on a ~2.3-km profile between the 200 Areas on the Hanford Site. While ERT and seismic refraction images have sensitivity to overlapping physical properties (porosity, moisture content, lithology), the resolution and physics used to acquire each of these datasets are different and therefore information can be different or mutually complementary. Performing a joint inversion provides a reasonable option for a coherent, coupled interpretation for mutually complementary datasets. Between the 200 Areas, there are few boreholes to interpret the geologic framework model, and these data sets were obtained to provide a first line of evidence toward identifying stratigraphic structure. The seismic refraction and ERT data were independently inverted during fiscal year 2022 and broadly showed a two-layer structure with a trough-like feature that is ~1 km wide and upwards of 150 m deep. The depth of the trough feature was greater in the ERT image compared to the seismic image, which indicated a maximum depth of approximately 110 m. The objective of the joint inversion described in this report was to invert the seismic refraction and ERT data together while constraining the ERT image to be structurally similar to the seismic refraction image. The approach was applied using the geophysical inverse modeling program E4D, which has the capability to invert first-arrival times from seismic refraction data and ERT resistances using a “cross-gradient” constraint. The application of cross-gradient constraints with different weights produces ERT models that show a high degree of similarity within the upper 100 m (above ~120 m elevation). None of the ERT models show an improved structural similarity to the seismic result; therefore, it is recommended that further attempts to jointly interpret these models focus on petrophysics and image resolution. Petrophysical measurements of core samples would improve knowledge of what drives the ERT response in this region and, along with downhole geophysical measurements, could be used to “ground truth” the surface-based geophysical results. Image resolution studies would provide insight into which regions of the inverted images are reliable and which regions are poorly constrained.

58 GEOSCIENCES↗

Update to the Performance Assessment for the Savannah River Site Saltstone Disposal Facility - 20124

In 2019, Savannah River Remediation developed a revision to the performance assessment (PA) on behalf of the U.S. Department of Energy (DOE) Savannah River Operations Office (SR) for the near-surface disposal of low-level waste at the Savannah River Site (SRS) Saltstone Disposal Facility (SDF). Soluble waste from SRS Tank Farms undergoes salt processing to remove cesium and other high activity constituents. The low-activity decontaminated salt solution (DSS) is then immobilized by mixing it into a cementitious waste form known as saltstone. After mixing, the saltstone is poured into leak-tight concrete vaults, known as saltstone disposal units (SDUs), where the waste form cures. By the time of facility closure, the SDF is expected to consist of 15 SDUs with a combined capacity of 1.06 E+09 L (280 Mgal) of cured saltstone. The facility operates under a Disposal Authorization Statement (DAS) from DOE and a permit from the South Carolina Department of Health and Environmental Control (SCDHEC). Since the start of operations in 1990, the SDF has received almost 6.7 E+07 L (18 Mgal) of DSS, resulting in the safe disposal of 2.7 E+16 Bq (7.3 E+05 Ci) of activity. Due to the radioactive decay of short-lived contaminants, the total remaining activity in the disposed waste is estimated to be approximately 1.4 E+16 Bq (3.9 E+05 Ci), as of September 2018. The Disposal Authorization Statement requires a demonstration that the system of engineered and natural features of the disposal facility will limit releases from the facility and be protective of human health and the environment for at least the next 1,000 years. The long-term performance of the facility was evaluated under the requirements of the DoE's Radioactive Waste Management Manual (US DOE Manual 435.1-1). Simulations were performed to demonstrate that the disposal facility would meet performance objectives specified in the manual. The evaluation was based on numerical models that simulate the releases of contaminants from the saltstone waste form. Contaminants were transported through groundwater and air pathways to points of assessment to evaluate compliance. In addition, the potential consequences of an inadvertent human intrusion (IHI) were also evaluated. In accordance with the guidance and recommendations in US DoE's technical standard for DAS, deterministic and probabilistic analyses were performed to demonstrate the SDF system, which includes the engineered cover system, the SDUs, the waste form, and the natural features of the site, provides a reasonable expectation that saltstone disposal will meet performance objectives. Post-closure doses to future members of the public (MOP) were evaluated; dose estimates from the air pathway were well below the 1.0 E-04 Sv/yr (10 mrem/yr) performance objective within 1,000 years, and the calculated doses to the MOP from all exposure pathways, including the groundwater and air pathways, were well below the 2.5 E-04 Sv/yr (25 mrem/yr) performance objective within 1,000 years. Doses following an assumed intrusion event within the facility boundaries were well below the IHI performance objectives, where the acute IHI dose was below the acute IHI dose performance objective of 5.0 E-03 Sv (500 mrem) and the chronic IHI dose was below the chronic IHI dose performance objective of 1.0 E-03 Sv/yr (100 mrem/yr) within 1,000 years. (author)

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The effects of spatial and temporal resolution of gridded meteorological forcing on watershed hydrological responses

Abstract. Meteorological forcing plays a critical role in accurately simulating the watershed hydrological cycle. With the advancement of high-performance computing and the development of integrated watershed models, simulating the watershed hydrological cycle at high temporal (hourly to daily) and spatial resolution (tens of meters) has become efficient and computationally affordable. These hyperresolution watershed models require high resolution of meteorological forcing as model input to ensure the fidelity and accuracy of simulated responses. In this study, we utilized the Advanced Terrestrial Simulator (ATS), an integrated watershed model, to simulate surface and subsurface flow and land surface processes using unstructured meshes at the Coal Creek Watershed near Crested Butte (Colorado). We compared simulated watershed hydrologic responses including streamflow and distributed variables such as evapotranspiration, snow water equivalent (SWE), and groundwater table driven by three publicly available, gridded meteorological forcings (GMFs) – Daily Surface Weather and Climatological Summaries (Daymet), the Parameter-elevation Regressions on Independent Slopes Model (PRISM), and the North American Land Data Assimilation System (NLDAS). By comparing various spatial resolutions (ranging from 400 m to 4 km) of PRISM, the simulated streamflow only becomes marginally worse when spatial resolution of meteorological forcing is coarsened to 4 km (or 30 % of the watershed area). However, the 4 km-resolution has much worse performance than finer resolution in spatially distributed variables such as SWE. Using the temporally disaggregated PRISM, we compared models forced by different temporal resolutions (hourly to daily), and sub-daily resolution preserves the dynamic watershed responses (e.g., diurnal fluctuation of streamflow) that are absent in results forced by daily resolution. Conversely, the simulated streamflow shows better performance using daily resolution compared to that using sub-daily resolution. Our findings suggest that the choice of GMF and its spatiotemporal resolution depends on the quantity of interest and its spatial and temporal scale, which may have important implications for model calibration and watershed management decisions.

54 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES↗

The Nature and State of Groundwater Contamination at the Nevada National Security Site: What Have We Learned from Decades of Groundwater Analysis? - 20337

The regulatory framework for remediating radionuclide contamination from underground nuclear testing at the Nevada National Security Site (NNSS) is based on a combination of characterization and modeling studies, monitoring, and institutional controls [1]. Currently, tritium is the largest contributor (∼90%) to the estimated 44.6 million-curie radionuclide inventory resulting from underground testing [2]. Because of its short half-life (12.32 years), its relative contribution reduces below 10% of the total radiologic inventory over the next 120 years as a result of radioactive decay. Although tritium levels are observed well above the Safe Drinking Water Act (SDWA) maximum contaminant levels (MCLs) in groundwater, other radionuclides are well below their MCLs except within the nuclear test near-field (nuclear test cavity and chimney) environment. In fact, most device-derived radionuclides are below their MCL in groundwater even in samples collected from this near-field environment. The distribution of radionuclides following the nuclear detonation greatly influences the availability of potential contaminants for groundwater transport. Tritium is initially distributed in the gas phase, later as tritiated water in steam, and finally as liquid water, and is available to groundwater transport away from the near-field environment. Other radionuclides that are mobile in groundwater are {sup 14}C, {sup 36}Cl, {sup 99}Tc, and {sup 129}I though their radiologic inventory is small when compared to tritium. Many radionuclides (e.g. U, Pu, Am) are incorporated to a significant extent into the melt glass at the bottom of the cavity and are accessible to groundwater primarily through the slow process of glass dissolution. These radionuclides are also adsorbed to the surfaces of the crushed rock within the cavity and chimney which limits their migration in groundwater. Although colloid facilitated transport of radionuclides at the NNSS has been observed [3], radionuclide concentrations decrease with time and migration distances due to desorption and colloid filtration processes. Current studies indicate that radionuclides associated with colloids are unlikely to migrate downgradient from NNSS underground nuclear tests at concentrations above the SDWA MCL [4][5]. The results of over 50 years of sampling, along with an understanding of these post detonation processes, indicate that tritium is the only contaminant of concern downgradient of testing and that even tritium will not exceed its MCL in groundwater after ∼120 years. Although other longer-lived radionuclides may continue to be released slowly from the near-field environment they will likely never reach levels exceeding their MCLs in groundwater downgradient of the NNSS. Groundwater monitoring will continue to verify these observations. (authors)

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Modeling and Optimization of Zeolites for Contaminant Removal from Coal Combustion Impoundment Leachates

Coal Combustion Residual (CCR) landfills in the U.S. can lead to elevated contaminant concentrations in groundwater and runoff, particularly of arsenic, boron, and selenium. Zeolites can be readily synthesized from materials contained within the coal combustion ash impoundments and can be cation-exchanged to enhance adsorption capacity, selectivity, and reactivity. However, the optimization of zeolites becomes a daunting task when accounting for the variety of Si:Al ratios, the species of extra-framework cations present, and the zeolite pore structure. Molecular simulations provide methods to study and guide the design of zeolites for the sorption of contaminants from aqueous solution. In this work, models that predict the sorption of arsenic, boron, and selenium from water using cation-exchanged zeolites. Because of the lack of experimental adsorption data for these species of contaminants, models were parametrized to reproduce the results of first-principles calculations and then used to predict sorption for zeolites for a dataset containing 6000 combinations of zeolites and sorption conditions. Machine learning was used to train a model to predict sorption for materials in this database based on the results of the molecular simulations. Next, a genetic algorithm was used to optimize zeolites for the removal of each contaminant from aqueous solution for individual impoundment sites based on contaminant concentrations reported by the Electric Power Research Institute.

Findley, John↗

New insights into the flow dynamics of a deep freshwater aquifer in the semi-arid and saline Cuvelai-Etosha Basin, Northern Namibia: Results of a multi-environmental tracer study

Study region A paleo-megafan system of the Cubango River in the northern parts of the semi-arid Cuvelai-Etosha Basin, shared by Angola and Namibia. It hosts a deep freshwater aquifer, the so-called Kalahari-Ohangwena 2 (KOH-2), with the potential to resolve the imminent regional water supply shortages. Study focus Hydrogeochemical and multi-environmental tracer studies incorporating the use of age tracers 14 C, 36 Cl, 81 Kr and 4 He to determine the age of groundwater and provide insights into the flow dynamics of the KOH-2. New hydrological insights for the region Stable water isotopes and noble gas thermometry show that in a period with higher rainfall and recharge, temperatures were at least 3 – 4 °C lower than today. Several arguments led to the conclusion that younger groundwater, possibly of an age of 35,000 years, is mixed with ancient saline pore water. These include: 1) the correlation of measured 36 Cl and 81 Kr ratios, as well as 4 He concentrations, using a binary mixing model, and 2) the substantial variation in 81 Kr ages, ranging from 40,000 to 170,000 years, over relatively short distances—a phenomenon challenging to explain by advective groundwater flow equations. Consequently, the ages derived from 81 Kr measurements serve as indicators of the extent of freshening and therefore describe mixing ages rather than absolute travel times.

54 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES↗

The impact of multi-sensor land data assimilation on river discharge estimation

River discharge is one of the most critical renewable water resources. Accurately estimating river discharge with land surface models (LSMs) remains challenging due to the difficulty in estimating land water storages such as snow, soil moisture, and groundwater. While data assimilation (DA) ingesting optical, microwave, and gravity measurements from space can help constrain theses storage states, its impacts on runoff and eventually river discharge are not fully understood. In this study, by taking advantage of recently published land DA results that jointly assimilate eight different combinations of observations from the Moderate Resolution Imaging Spectroradiometer (MODIS), Gravity Recovery and Climate Experiment (GRACE), and Advanced Microwave Scanning Radiometer for EOS (AMSR-E), we quantify to what degree multi-sensor land DA improves the river discharge simulation skills over 40 global river basins, and investigate the complementary strengths of different satellite measurements on river discharge. To be more specific, river discharge is updated by feeding gridded runoff from the eight multi-sensor DA simulations into a vector-based river routing model named the Routing Application for Parallel computatIon of Discharge (RAPID). Our modeling results, including 7-year simulations at 177,458 river reaches globally, are used to study the seasonal to interannual variability of river discharge. It is found that assimilating GRACE has the greatest impact on global runoff patterns, leading to the most pronounced improvements in spatial river discharge in the middle and high latitudes with the R 2 increased by 0.16. The seasonal variation of spatial discharge is most skillful during the boreal summer. However, our evaluation also shows model and DA still struggle to generate reasonable variability and averaged discharge over permafrost regions. Finally, by assessing how different satellites add value to discharge forecasts, this study paves the way for more advanced multi-sensor satellite data assimilation to predict the terrestrial hydrological cycle.

54 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES↗

Numerical simulation of coupled THM behaviour of full-scale EBS in backfilled experimental gallery in the Horonobe URL

Bentonite-based engineered barrier system (EBS) is a key component of many repository designs for the geological disposal of high-level radioactive waste. Given the complexity and interaction of the phenomena affecting the barrier system, coupled thermo-hydro-mechanical (THM) numerical analyses are a potentially useful tool for a better understanding of their behaviour. In this context, a Task (the Horonobe EBS experiment) was undertaken to study, using numerical analyses, the thermo-hydro-mechanical (and thermo-hydro) interactions in bentonite based engineered barriers within the international cooperative project DECOVALEX 2023. One full-scale in-situ experiment and four laboratory experiments, largely complementary, were selected for modelling. The Horonobe EBS experiment is a temperature-controlled non-isothermal experiment combined with artificial groundwater injection. The Horonobe EBS experiment consists of the heating and cooling phases. Six research teams performed the THM or TH (depended on research team approach) numerical analyses using a variety of computer codes, formulations and constitutive laws. Finally, for each experiment, the basic features of the analyses are described and the comparison between calculations and laboratory experiments and field observations are presented and discussed.

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Hydrology Outweighs Temperature in Driving Production and Export of Dissolved Carbon in a Snowy Mountain Catchment

Abstract Terrestrial production and export of dissolved organic and inorganic carbon (DOC and DIC) to streams depends on water flow and biogeochemical processes in and beneath soils. Yet, understanding of these processes in a rapidly changing climate is limited. Using the watershed‐scale reactive‐transport model BioRT‐HBV and stream data from a snow‐dominated catchment in the Rockies, we show deeper groundwater flow averaged about 20% of annual discharge, rising to ∼35% in drier years. DOC and DIC production and export peaked during snowmelt and wet years, driven more by hydrology than temperature. DOC was primarily produced in shallow soils (1.94 ± 1.45 gC/m 2 /year), stored via sorption, and flushed out during snowmelt. Some DOC was recharged to and further consumed in the deeper subsurface via respiration (−0.27 ± 0.02 gC/m 2 /year), therefore reducing concentrations in deeper groundwater and stream DOC concentrations at low discharge. Consequently, DOC was primarily exported from the shallow zone (1.62 ± 0.96 gC/m 2 /year, compared to 0.12 ± 0.02 gC/m 2 /year from the deeper zone). DIC was produced in both zones but at higher rates in shallow soils (1.34 ± 1.00 gC/m 2 /year) than in the deep subsurface (0.36 ± 0.02 gC/m 2 /year). Deep respiration elevated DIC concentrations in the deep zone and stream DIC concentrations at low discharge. In other words, deep respiration is responsible for the commonly‐observed increasing DOC concentrations (flushing) and decreasing DIC concentrations (dilution) with increasing discharge. DIC export from the shallow zone was ~66% of annual export but can drop to ∼53% in drier years. Numerical experiments suggest lower carbon production and export in a warmer, drier future, and a higher proportion from deeper flow and respiration processes. These results underscore the often‐overlooked but growing importance of deeper processes in a warming climate.

54 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES↗

Effect of Anoxic Iron Corrosion on WIPP Brine Geochemistry FY23 Final Report (U)

A 280-day study was completed to evaluate the effect of zero-valent iron (Fe 0 ) on the Waste Isolation Pilot Plant (WIPP) brine geochemistry under anticipated reducing conditions. Hydrogen (H 2 ) gas is expected to be present in the repository after closure due to the anoxic corrosion of a vast quantity of iron contained in the waste forms disposed at WIPP; therefore, a background argon atmosphere containing H 2 was chosen for this study. WIPP groundwater brine pH and E h will impact the mobility and fate of plutonium within the repository. Modeling and laboratory results for Castile WIPP brine indicate that equilibrium E h values relative to the standard hydrogen electrode (SHE) are 40 mV more reducing (i.e., more negative) than those for Salado WIPP brine (-480 mV vs. -440 mV, respectively) because of the higher pH of the Castile brine (pH 9.3 for Castile vs. pH 8.8 for Salado). The E h and pH data were corrected for the effects of high ionic strength. The experimental results for both brines are consistent with thermodynamic predictions using OLI Systems' Mixed Solvent Electrolyte chemical equilibrium model. The measured and corrected pH and E h data from this study are provided in Table ES-1 and Table ES-2, respectively.

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Effect of Anoxic Iron Corrosion on WIPP Brine Geochemistry FY23 Final Report (U)

A 280-day study was completed to evaluate the effect of zero-valent iron (Fe 0 ) on the Waste Isolation Pilot Plant (WIPP) brine geochemistry under anticipated reducing conditions. Hydrogen (H 2 ) gas is expected to be present in the repository after closure due to the anoxic corrosion of a vast quantity of iron contained in the waste forms disposed at WIPP; therefore, a background argon atmosphere containing H 2 was chosen for this study. WIPP groundwater brine pH and E h will impact the mobility and fate of plutonium within the repository. Modeling and laboratory results for Castile WIPP brine indicate that equilibrium fa values relative to the standard hydrogen electrode (SHE) are 40 mV more reducing (i.e., more negative) than those for Salado WIPP brine (-480 mV vs. -440 mV, respectively) because of the higher pH of the Castile brine (pH 9 .3 for Castile vs. pH 8.8 for Salado). The E h and pH data were corrected for the effects of high ionic strength. The experimental results for both brines are consistent with thermodynamic predictions using OLI Systems' Mixed Solvent Electrolyte chemical equilibrium model. The measured and corrected pH and E h data from this study are provided in Table ES-I and Table ES-2, respectively. The experimental study, with four test conditions in triplicate, was performed in a dual glovebox with a nominally 3 vol.% H 2 in argon atmosphere (target H 2 range: 3 ± I vol.%). Simulants containing MgO only ( experimental control) and MgO+Fe 0 (WIPP base case) were prepared for both the Salado and Castile brines. MgO was included in all simulants to account for the use of bulk magnesium oxide in the WIPP repository. Fe 0 was included in some simulants to incorporate the effects of the anoxic corrosion of iron and in-situ hydrogen generation in the study. The brine compositions were developed by Sandia National Laboratory (SNL; Xiong, 2008) and have been used in previous WIPP evaluations. The test method (agitation, etc.) is partially based on ASTM D3987-12. Twelve rounds of periodic measurements of pH and E h were performed over the course of the study. Chemical analysis results for liquids and solids (ICP-MS, ICP-ES, IC Anion, TIC, SEM-EDX) are consistent with the pH, E h , and thermodynamic modeling results. This study included the following conditions that deviate from anticipated post-closure conditions following brine intrusion, but were selected to facilitate bench-scale testing to validate modeling of pH and E h for the post-closure WIP P repository: an anoxic glove box atmosphere containing ≤ 4 vol. % H 2 vs. substantially higher H 2 gas concentrations assumed in the WIPP Performance Assessment (PA); a significantly higher liquid-to-solid test ratio compared to the much lower phase ratio anticipated in the WIP P repository; agitation of the simulant bottles to maximize mass transfer; and finally the use of Fe 0 reagents having a much greater surface area than expected in the WIP P repository. Non-representative conditions were chosen for various reasons such as: to provide bounding conservative results, to provide a margin of safety for testing, or to facilitate simulant sub-sampling and analysis. In a parallel effort, aqueous electrolyte thermodynamic models were developed for the synthetic Salado and Castile brines to inform the experimental design, facilitate laboratory data interpretation, and allow extension of evaluations beyond the parameters tested. Thermodynamic modeling simulations including the MgO and Fe 0 additives that are directly relevant to the experimental measurements (e.g., pH calibration curve, ORP corrections) are included in this report. The measured fa of the simulants was close to the OLI model predictions for both brines and was largely controlled by the background H 2 partial pressure in the vapor phase as well as H 2 generated in situ in the aqueous phase by the Fe 0 corrosion. The H 2 gas-phase concentration tested and thermodynamically evaluated was much lower than is assumed in the WIPP PA; however, H 2 (g) concentrations significantly below this level are still predicted to result in very reducing conditions. In conclusion: • The experimental results are consistent with thermodynamic model predictions for fa, pH, and the effects of high ionic strength. • Evidence to date suggests that the H2 concentration in the glovebox atmosphere ultimately determined the final E h values of the simulants and resulted in highly reducing conditions. As a result, little difference was observed between the control simulants containing only MgO and the WIPP base-case simulants that contained MgO and Fe 0 . • This test methodology is recommended for future studies evaluating WIPP repository conditions. The methodology includes: (1) background H 2 in argon with agitation ( or could alternatively include in-situ-generated H 2 in sealed bottles); (2) carefully measured and corrected ORP data ( with much effort focused on allowing the probes to fully stabilize); and (3) ionic-strength-corrected pH data. Other best practices, such as simulant sparging/handling, ORP probe replacement, etc., should also be considered. • The coupling of experimental studies and thermodynamic modeling is also highly recommended because these methods inform and direct one another leading to greater confidence in and understanding of the results.

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Predictive Contaminant Transport Simulation with the P2R Model for the Composite Analysis Base Case

In order to meet the requirements of U.S. Department of Energy (DOE) in DOE O 435.1 Chg. 1, Radioactive Waste Management, a composite analysis (CA) must be completed for the Central Plateau at the Hanford Site. The updated Hanford Site CA requires estimates of fate and transport of radionuclides in the groundwater from multiple sources within and downgradient of the Central Plateau. Numerical simulations using the MT3D-MST computer code were conducted to evaluate the fate and transport of existing distributions of 16 radionuclides as identified in CP-62184, Hanford Site Composite Analysis: Radionuclide Selection for Groundwater Pathway Evaluation: tritium (H-3), carbon-14 (C-14), chloride- 36 (Cl-36), strontium-90 (Sr-90), technetium-99 (Tc-99), rhenium-187 (Re-187), radium-226 (Ra-226), thorium-230 (Th-230), uranium-232 (U-232), uranium-232 (U-232), uranium-233 (U-233), uranium-234 (U-234), uranium-235 (U-235), uranium-236 (U-236), neptunium-237 (Np-237), and uranium-238 (U- 238). This document details the application of the P2R Model version 8.3 to predict the fate and transport of contaminants in groundwater on the Central Plateau for the 10,052 year simulation to support the CA. The simulation of fate and transport of contaminants reported in this environmental calculation file (ECF) will support dose predictions as part of the updated Hanford Site CA.

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The LAKE model input dataset for three Arctic lakes

This dataset contains meteorological data collected for three Arctic lakes and compiled to satisfy input requirements of the LAKE 2.0 model. The dataset was generated to act as a benchmarking dataset for future model-data inter-comparisons. The LAKE 2.0 model simulates temperatures within the water later and the sedimentary layer of a lake. The LAKE2.0. is an open-source code and available to download via this weblike http://tesla.parallel.ru/Viktor/LAKE/-/wikis/LAKE-model (last visit July 14, 2021). The meteorological data are required to simulate the surface energy balance at the surface of a lake. This dataset includes a compilation of the meteorological data pulled from multiple data streams, including National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA) climate data, Circumarctic Lakes Observation Network (CALON) data, and the United States Geological Survey (USGS) data. The data were compiled for three Arctic lakes: FoxDen (66.55877, -164.45670), Atqasuk (70.452497, -156.951984), and Toolik (68.63150, -149.60740). Each meteorological data is in comma-delimited format (file extension ‘.dat’) and includes eight columns: Temperature [K], Pressure [Pa], longwave downward radiation [W/m2], shortwave downward radiation [W/m2], “U” wind speed [m/s], ”V” wind speed [m/s], humidity [kg/kg], precipitation [m/s]. In addition to the meteorological data file, we included setup and driver files. The Toolik lake is the deepest out of three lakes and has inflowing and outflowing groundwater data. InflowOutflowREADME.txt has more information about inflow and outflow flies. The other two lakes are much shallower and modeled as a closed system (i.e. no water inflow or outflow).

54 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES↗