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At least 361 records · Page 20

Multi-Factor Impact Analysis of Agricultural Production in Bangladesh with Climate Change

Diverse vulnerabilities of Bangladesh's agricultural sector in 16 sub-regions are assessed using experiments designed to investigate climate impact factors in isolation and in combination. Climate information from a suite of global climate models (GCMs) is used to drive models assessing the agricultural impact of changes in temperature, precipitation, carbon dioxide concentrations, river floods, and sea level rise for the 2040-2069 period in comparison to a historical baseline. Using the multi-factor impacts analysis framework developed in Yu et al. (2010), this study provides new sub-regional vulnerability analyses and quantifies key uncertainties in climate and production. Rice (aman, boro, and aus seasons) and wheat production are simulated in each sub-region using the biophysical Crop Environment REsource Synthesis (CERES) models. These simulations are then combined with the MIKE BASIN hydrologic model for river floods in the Ganges-Brahmaputra-Meghna (GBM) Basins, and the MIKE21Two-Dimensional Estuary Model to determine coastal inundation under conditions of higher mean sea level. The impacts of each factor depend on GCM configurations, emissions pathways, sub-regions, and particular seasons and crops. Temperature increases generally reduce production across all scenarios. Precipitation changes can have either a positive or a negative impact, with a high degree of uncertainty across GCMs. Carbon dioxide impacts on crop production are positive and depend on the emissions pathway. Increasing river flood areas reduce production in affected sub-regions. Precipitation uncertainties from different GCMs and emissions scenarios are reduced when integrated across the large GBM Basins' hydrology. Agriculture in Southern Bangladesh is severely affected by sea level rise even when cyclonic surges are not fully considered, with impacts increasing under the higher emissions scenario.

Ruane, Alex C.↗

Commensuration effects on skyrmion Hall angle and drag for manipulation of skyrmions on two-dimensional periodic substrates

Here, we examine the dynamics of an individually driven skyrmion moving through a background lattice of skyrmions coupled to a 2D periodic substrate as we vary the ratio of the number of skyrmions to the number of pinning sites across commensurate and incommensurate conditions. As the skyrmion density increases, the skyrmion Hall angle is nonmonotonic, dropping to low or zero values in commensurate states and rising to an enhanced value in incommensurate states. Under commensuration, the driven skyrmion is channeled by a symmetry direction of the pinning array and exhibits an increased velocity. At fillings for which the skyrmion Hall angle is zero, the velocity has a narrow band noise signature, while for incommensurate fillings, the skyrmion motion is disordered and the velocity noise is broad band. Under commensurate conditions, multi-step depinning transitions appear and the skyrmion Hall angle is zero at low drives but becomes finite at higher drives, while at incommensurate fillings there is only a single depinning transition. As the gyrotropic component of the skyrmion dynamics, called the Magnus force, increases, peaks in the velocity that appear in commensurate regimes cross over to dips, and new types of directional locking effects can arise in which the skyrmion travels along other symmetry directions of the background lattice. At large Magnus forces, and particularly at commensurate fillings, the driven skyrmion can experience a velocity boost in which the skyrmion moves faster than the applied drive due to the alignment of the Magnus-induced velocity with the driving direction. In some cases, an increase of the Magnus force can produce regimes of enhanced pinning when the skyrmion is forced to move along a nonsymmetry direction of the periodic pinning array. This is in contrast to systems with random pinning, where increasing the Magnus force generally reduces the pinning effect. We demonstrate these dynamics for both square and triangular substrates and map out the different regimes as a function of filling fraction, pinning force, and the strength of the Magnus force in a series of dynamic phase diagrams.

36 MATERIALS SCIENCE↗

Predicting U.S. federal fleet electric vehicle charging patterns using internal combustion engine vehicle fueling transaction statistics

Utilizing fueling transactions from internal combustion engine vehicles (ICEVs), the authors estimated how frequently midday public charging would be required for U.S. federal fleet battery electric vehicles (BEVs). Fueling transaction summary statistics are more widely available than trip-level telematics data, making this methodology more accessible and transferable to other researchers and fleet managers considering BEV replacements. For example, readers can easily apply a linear model using only the count of back-to-back fueling events at gas stations over 57 straight-line miles apart to predict days exceeding range. This linear regression predicted binned days exceeding 250 miles at 80% accuracy on a hold-out test set from the same fleet as the training data and 66 % accuracy on a new fleet displaying different driving behaviors. The authors additionally provide linear equations for days exceeding 200 and 300 miles as alternative range estimates to account for differences in BEV range and temperature impacts. Beyond the single-feature linear models which readers can apply, the authors tuned and trained other machine learning models on a variety of fueling transaction statistics including consecutive transaction distances, transaction distance from garage, estimated miles traveled from fuel economy and fuel quantity, and transaction periodicity. Utilizing a subset of 1678 light-duty federal fleet vehicles which contained daily vehicle miles traveled (VMT) in addition to fueling statistics, the authors determined which fueling transaction statistics were most relevant in predicting driving days exceeding 250 miles (an approximation of BEV rated driving range). In support of the U.S. federal fleet transition to zero-emission vehicles (ZEVs), the authors used these statistics and machine learning models to predict the frequency of BEV midday charging. After training models on the subset with VMT, the authors predicted days exceeding rated range for 112,902 light-duty vehicles operating in similar circumstances in the federal fleet using a Support Vector Regressor (SVR). In conclusion, they then used the projections as part of the ZEV Planning and Charging (ZPAC) tool to identify optimal candidates for BEVs for the federal fleet. An anonymized version of ZPAC is included in the supplementary materials.

25 ENERGY STORAGE↗

Atmospheric Variability Drives Anomalies in the Bering Sea Air–Sea Heat Exchange

Abstract High latitudes, including the Bering Sea, are experiencing unprecedented rates of change. Long-term Bering Sea warming trends have been identified, and marine heatwaves (MHWs), event-scale elevated sea surface temperature (SST) extremes, have also increased in frequency and longevity in recent years. Recent work has shown that variability in air–sea coupling plays a dominant role in driving Bering Sea upper-ocean thermal variability and that surface forcing has driven an increase in the occurrence of positive ocean temperature anomalies since 2010. In this work, we characterize the drivers of the anomalous surface air–sea heat fluxes in the Bering Sea over the period 2010–22 using ERA5 fields. We show that the surface turbulent heat flux dominates the net surface heat flux variability from September to April and is primarily a result of near-surface air temperature and specific humidity anomalies. The airmass anomalies that account for the majority of the turbulent heat flux variability are a function of wind direction, with southerly (northerly) wind advecting anomalously warm (cool), moist (dry) air over the Bering Sea, resulting in positive (negative) surface turbulent flux anomalies. During the remaining months of the year, anomalies in the surface radiative fluxes account for the majority of the net surface heat flux variability and are a result of anomalous cloud coverage, anomalous lower-tropospheric virtual temperature, and sea ice coverage variability. Our results indicate that atmospheric variability drives much of the Bering Sea upper-ocean temperature variability through the mediation of the surface heat fluxes during the analysis period. Significance Statement A long-term ocean warming trend and a recent increase in marine heatwaves in the Bering Sea have been identified. Previous work showed that anomalies in the exchange of heat between the ocean and the atmosphere were the primary driver of Bering Sea temperature variability, but the processes responsible for the heat exchange anomalies were unknown. In this work, we show that the atmosphere is the primary driver of anomalies in the Bering Sea air–sea heat exchange and therefore plays an important role in altering the thermal state of the Bering Sea. Our results highlight the importance of understanding more about how the ocean and the atmosphere interact at high latitudes and how this relationship will be affected by future climate change.

Hayden, Emily E. [a College of Earth, Ocean, and A↗

Stripe order enhanced superconductivity in the Hubbard model

Unidirectional (“stripe”) charge density wave order has now been established as a ubiquitous feature in the phase diagram of the cuprate high-temperature superconductors, where it generally competes with superconductivity. Nonetheless, on theoretical grounds it has been conjectured that stripe order (or other forms of “optimal” inhomogeneity) may play an essential positive role in the mechanism of high-temperature superconductivity. Here, we report density matrix renormalization group studies of the Hubbard model on long four- and six-leg cylinders, where the hopping matrix elements transverse to the long direction are periodically modulated—mimicking the effect of putative period 2 stripe order. We find that even modest amplitude modulations can enhance the long-distance superconducting correlations by many orders of magnitude and drive the system into a phase with a substantial spin gap and superconducting quasi–long-range order with a Luttinger exponent, K sc ~ 1.

75 CONDENSED MATTER PHYSICS, SUPERCONDUCTIVITY AND↗

A model investigation of the impact of increases in anthropogenic NOx emissions between 1967 and 1980 on tropospheric ozone

The impact of anthropogenic NOx emission on tropospheric ozone has been investigated. Two statistical models were used for estimating annual global emissions of NOx and for driving the trend in the emission for the years 1966-1980. Both models show a steady increase in the NOx emission, except for two brief periods of leveling off: after 1973 and after 1978. The impact was estimated by calculating the rates of emissions as functions of latitude, longitude, and year, with a one-dimensional (latitudinal) model, which included coupled tropospheric photochemistry and diffusive meridional transport. Steady-state photochemical calculations with prescribed NOx emissions appropriate for 1966 and 1980 indicate an ozone increase of 8-11 percent in the Northern Hemisphere, a result compatible with the rise in ozone suggested by the observations.

Dignon, J.↗

Non-Rocket Missile Rope Launcher

The method, installation, and estimation for delivering payload and missiles into outer space are presented. This method uses, in general, the engines and straight or closed-loop cables disposed on a planet surface. The installation consists of a space apparatus, power drive stations located along trajectory of the apparatus, the cables connected to the apparatus and to the power stations, a system for suspending the cable, and disconnected device. The drive stations accelerate the apparatus up to hypersonic speed. The estimations and computations show the possibility of making these projects a reality in a short period of time (see attached project: launcher for missiles and loads). The launch will be very cheap $1-$2 per LB. We need only light strong cable, which can be made from artificial fibers, whiskers, nanotubes, which exist in industry and scientific laboratories.

Bolonkin, Alexander↗

Satellite Estimates of Surface Short-wave Fluxes: Issues of Implementation

Surface solar radiation reaching the Earth's surface is the primary forcing function of the land surface energy and water cycle. Therefore, there is a need for information on this parameter, preferably, at global scale. Satellite based estimates are now available at accuracies that meet the demands of many scientific objectives. Selection of an approach to estimate such fluxes requires consideration of trade-offs between the use of multi-spectral observations of cloud optical properties that are more difficult to implement at large scales, and methods that are simplified but easier to implement. In this study, an evaluation of such trade-offs will be performed. The University of Maryland Surface Radiation Model (UMD/SRB) has been used to reprocess five years of GOES-8 satellite observations over the United States to ensure updated calibration and improved cloud detection over snow. The UMD/SRB model was subsequently modified to allow input of information on aerosol and cloud optical depth with information from independent satellite sources. Specifically, the cloud properties from the Atmospheric Radiation Measurement (ARM) Satellite Data Analysis Program (Minnis et al., 1995) are used to drive the modified version of the model to estimate surface short-wave fluxes over the Southern Great Plain ARM sites for a twelve month period. The auxiliary data needed as model inputs such as aerosol optical depth, spectral surface albedo, water vapor and total column ozone amount were kept the same for both versions of the model. The estimated shortwave fluxes are evaluated against ground observations at the ARM Central Facility and four satellite ARM sites. During summer, the estimated fluxes based on cloud properties derived from the multi-spectral approach were in better agreement with ground measurements than those derived from the UMD/SRB model. However, in winter, the fluxes derived with the UMD/SRB model were in better agreement with ground observations than those estimated from cloud properties provided by the ARM Satellite Data Analysis Program. During the transition periods, the results were comparable.

Wang, H.↗

Electrostatic Waves and Electron Holes in Simulations of Low-Mach Quasi-Perpendicular Shocks

Collisionless low Mach number shocks are abundant in astrophysical and space plasma environments, exhibiting complex wave activity and wave-particle interactions. In this paper, we present 2D Particle in-Cell (PIC) simulations of quasi-perpendicular nonrelativistic (vsh ≈ (5500−22000) km/s) low Mach number shocks, with a specific focus on studying electrostatic waves in the shock ramp and the precursor regions. In these shocks, an ion-scale oblique whistler wave creates a configuration with two hot counter streaming electron beams, which drive unstable electron acoustic waves (EAWs) that can turn into electrostatic solitary waves (ESWs) at the late stage of their evolution. By conducting simulations with periodic boundaries, we show that EAW properties agree with linear dispersion analysis. The characteristics of ESWs in shock simulations, including their wavelength and amplitude, depend on the shock velocity. When extrapolated to shocks with realistic velocities (vsh ≈ 300 km/s), the ESW wavelength is reduced to one tenth of the electron skin depth and the ESW amplitude is anticipated to surpass that of the quasi-static electric field by more than a factor of 100. These theoretical predictions may explain a discrepancy, between PIC and satellite measurements, in the relative amplitude of high and low-frequency electric field fluctuations.

Plasma astrophysics↗

Hierarchical microstructures: a potential route to enhanced stability in structural materials for advanced nuclear reactors

The drive to increase efficiency in nuclear energy systems is leading to the need for materials that operate at higher temperatures and stress levels for extended periods, while maintaining stable microstructures to ensure their performance is not compromised. A novel route to producing materials that can perform well in such environments is the creation of hierarchical microstructures. A hierarchical microstructure is a microstructure in which features are present at multiple length scales simultaneously. In this work, a hierarchical microstructure is fabricated in a nickel-base superalloy, featuring nanometer-size gamma precipitates inside larger gamma-prime particles, which are in turn embedded in the gamma matrix phase. The hierarchical features of the microstructure lead to enhanced stability of the gamma-prime precipitates during annealing; the particle size does not follow the expected t^(1/3) growth law predicted by the classic LSW theory. Phase-field simulations are used to understand the unexpected stability of the gamma-prime precipitates.

36 MATERIALS SCIENCE↗

Hierarchical microstructures: a potential route to enhanced stability in structural materials for advanced nuclear reactors

The drive to increase efficiency in nuclear energy systems is leading to the need for materials that operate at higher temperatures and stress levels for extended periods, while maintaining stable microstructures to ensure their performance is not compromised. A novel route to producing materials that can perform well in such environments is the creation of hierarchical microstructures. A hierarchical microstructure is a microstructure in which features are present at multiple length scales simultaneously. In this work, a hierarchical microstructure is fabricated in a nickel-base superalloy, featuring nanometer-size gamma precipitates inside larger gamma-prime particles, which are in turn embedded in the gamma matrix phase. The hierarchical features of the microstructure lead to enhanced stability of the gamma-prime precipitates during annealing; the particle size does not follow the expected t^(1/3) growth law predicted by the classic LSW theory. Phase-field simulations are used to understand the unexpected stability of the gamma-prime precipitates.

36 - MATERIALS SCIENCE↗

Optimum design of structures subject to general periodic loads

A simplified version of Icerman's problem regarding the design of structures subject to a single harmonic load is discussed. The nature of the restrictive conditions that must be placed on the design space in order to ensure an analytic optimum are discussed in detail. Icerman's problem is then extended to include multiple forcing functions with different driving frequencies. And the conditions that now must be placed upon the design space to ensure an analytic optimum are again discussed. An important finding is that all solutions to the optimality condition (analytic stationary design) are local optima, but the global optimum may well be non-analytic. The more general problem of distributing the fixed mass of a linear elastic structure subject to general periodic loads in order to minimize some measure of the steady state deflection is also considered. This response is explicitly expressed in terms of Green's functional and the abstract operators defining the structure. The optimality criterion is derived by differentiating the response with respect to the design parameters. The theory is applicable to finite element as well as distributed parameter models.

Reiss, Robert↗

Stimulated Rayleigh Scattering Enhanced by a Longitudinal Plasma Mode in a Periodically Driven Dirac Semimetal Cd 3 As 2

Using broadband (12–45 THz) multi-terahertz spectroscopy, we show that stimulated Rayleigh scattering dominates the transient optical conductivity of cadmium arsenide, a Dirac semimetal, under an optical driving field at 30 THz. Here, the characteristic dispersive line shape with net optical gain is accounted for by optical transitions between light-induced Floquet subbands, strikingly enhanced by the longitudinal plasma mode. Stimulated Rayleigh scattering with an unprecedentedly large refractive index change may pave the way for slow light generation in conductive solids at room temperature.

75 CONDENSED MATTER PHYSICS, SUPERCONDUCTIVITY AND↗

Redox Couples Control Band Bending, Photovoltage, and Quasi-Fermi Levels in Tungsten Oxide (WO 3 ) Photoanodes

Tungsten oxide (WO 3 ) is a well-known photoanode and photocatalyst for photoelectrochemical (PEC) water oxidation. Because the compound has a deep valence band, it can facilitate the oxygen evolution reaction without added cocatalysts, and it can drive the oxidation of species with much higher electrochemical potentials, including the conversion of water to hydrogen peroxide, sulfate to persulfate, and iodate to meta-periodate. Here, we use the liquid vibrating Kelvin probe surface photovoltage (liquid VK-SPV) technique in combination with open circuit potential (OCP) and photoelectrochemical (PEC) scans to assess the possibility of reaching such oxidizing potentials in aqueous electrolytes and at open circuit. Here, this is done by mapping the quasi-Fermi levels of electrons and holes at the interfaces as a function of the light intensity. Nanostructured WO 3 photoelectrodes for this purpose were fabricated by thermal annealing of a tungstic acid solution on fluorine-doped tin oxide. Electrochemical measurements are conducted at open circuit and 400 nm LED light illumination in electrolytes containing fast (O 2 /H 2 O 2 ), slow (O 2 /H 2 O), and very oxidizing (NaIO 4 /NaIO 3 ) redox couples. Photovoltage values scale with the light intensity and with the built-in potential for each redox couple and reach values up to 0.61 V under 20 mW cm –2 illumination for the NaIO 4 electrolyte. This shows that the photoelectrodes behave like Schottky-type diodes whose maximum possible energy output is determined mainly by the built-in voltage of each junction. For slow redox couples, the quasi-Fermi level of the holes increases with light intensity due to hole accumulation at the WO 3 –liquid interface. For example, for the O 2 /H 2 O electrolyte, interfacial hole accumulation and removal occur on the 90–300 s time scale. For the fast hole acceptor H 2 O 2 , on the other hand, the quasi-Fermi level of the photoholes is pinned to the electrochemical potential of the O 2 /H 2 O 2 couple. This limits the energy conversion efficiency of the electrode. Overall, these results reveal the influence of charge transfer thermodynamics and kinetics on the photovoltage of WO 3 . Furthermore, the work further establishes VK-SPV as a contactless method to observe the photovoltage, carrier dynamics, and quasi-Fermi levels of semiconductor-liquid junctions.

Electrodes↗

Metabolically diverse microorganisms mediate methylmercury formation under nitrate-reducing conditions in a dynamic hydroelectric reservoir

Brownlee Reservoir is a mercury (Hg)-impaired hydroelectric reservoir that exhibits dynamic hydrological and geochemical conditions and is located within the Hells Canyon Complex in Idaho, USA. Methylmercury (MeHg) contamination in fish is a concern in the reservoir. While MeHg production has historically been attributed to sulfate-reducing bacteria and methanogenic archaea, microorganisms carrying the hgcA gene are taxonomically and metabolically diverse and the major biogeochemical cycles driving mercury (Hg) methylation are not well understood. In this study, Hg speciation and redox-active compounds were measured throughout Brownlee Reservoir across the stratified period in four consecutive years (2016–2019) to identify the location where and redox conditions under which MeHg is produced. Metagenomic sequencing was performed on a subset of samples to characterize the microbial community with hgcA and identify possible links between biogeochemical cycles and MeHg production. Biogeochemical profiles suggested in situ water column Hg methylation was the major source of MeHg. These profiles, combined with genome-resolved metagenomics focused on hgcA-carrying microbes, indicated that MeHg production occurs in this system under nitrate- or manganese-reducing conditions, which were previously thought to preclude Hg-methylation. Using this multidisciplinary approach, we identified the cascading effects of interannual variability in hydrology on the redox status, microbial metabolic strategies, abundance and metabolic diversity of Hg methylators, and ultimately MeHg concentrations throughout the reservoir. This work expands the known conditions conducive to producing MeHg and suggests that the Hg-methylation mitigation efforts by nitrate or manganese amendment may be unsuccessful in some locations.

54 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES↗

Information Leakage Analysis using a Co-design-Based Fault Injection Technique on a RISC-V Microprocessor

The RISC-V instruction set architecture open licensing policy has spawned a hive of development activity, making a range of implementations publicly available. The environments in which RISC-V operates have expanded correspondingly, driving the need for a generalized approach to evaluating the reliability of RISC-V implementations under adverse operating conditions or after normal wear-out periods. Fault injection (FI) refers to the process of changing the state of registers or wires, either permanently or momentarily, and then observing execution behavior. The analysis provides insight into the development of countermeasures that protect against the leakage or corruption of sensitive information which might occur because of unexpected execution behavior. In this paper, we develop a hardware-software co-design architecture that enables fast, configurable fault emulation and utilize it for information leakage and data corruption analysis. Modern System-on-chip FPGAs enable building an evaluation platform where control elements run on a processor(s) (PS) simultaneously with the target design running in the programmable logic (PL). Software components of the FI system introduce faults and report execution behavior. A pair of RISC-V FI-instrumented implementations are created and configured to execute the Advanced Encryption Standard and Twister algorithms. Key and plaintext information leakage and degraded pseudo-random sequences are both observed in the output for a subset of the emulated faults.

42 ENGINEERING↗

Individual Electro-Hydraulic Drives for Off-Road Vehicles (Final Report)

This document constitutes the final report of the project titled “Individual Electro-Hydraulic Drives for Off-Road Vehicles” (DOE award # DE-EE0008334). The project started May 1st 2018 and ended May 31st 2022. There were three budget periods (BPs) that, considering no-cost extension made throughout the project, had following periods: BP1 – Preliminary design: 05/01/2018 – 07/31/2019; BP2 – Initial implementation: 08/01/2019 – 01/31/2021; BP3 – Technology demonstration: 02/01/2021 – 05/31/2022. The main objective of the project was to develop and demonstrate an electro-hydraulic technology that, with respect to current state of the art solutions for off-road vehicles, can: 1. Lower power consumption of the fluid power system up to 70%; 2. Reduce noise emissions and vibration; 3. Allow for zero emission operation of the vehicle (engine off operation); 4. Enable “smart actuators” operating as modern “plug & play” elements with integrated control and self-diagnostic functions.

33 ADVANCED PROPULSION SYSTEMS↗