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Search indexed NASA NTRS and DOE OSTI research on propulsion, heat transfer, battery materials and energy systems. Follow report and document links to the original sources.

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At least 361 records · Page 20

Error statistics and scalability of quantum error mitigation formulas

Quantum computing promises advantages over classical computing in many problems. Nevertheless, noise in quantum devices prevents most quantum algorithms from achieving the quantum advantage. Quantum error mitigation provides a variety of protocols to handle such noise using minimal qubit resources. While some of those protocols have been implemented in experiments for a few qubits, it remains unclear whether error mitigation will be effective in quantum circuits with tens to hundreds of qubits. In this paper, we apply statistics principles to quantum error mitigation and analyse the scaling behaviour of its intrinsic error. We find that the error increases linearly O(ϵN) with the gate number N before mitigation and sublinearly O(ϵ'N γ ) after mitigation, where γ ≈ 0.5, ϵ is the error rate of a quantum gate, and ϵ' is a protocol-dependent factor. The $\sqrt{N}$ scaling is a consequence of the law of large numbers, and it indicates that error mitigation can suppress the error by a larger factor in larger circuits. We propose the importance Clifford sampling as a key technique for error mitigation in large circuits to obtain this result.

97 MATHEMATICS AND COMPUTING↗

Software Requirements for a Sample Check-in application in CBRNResponder

In 2021, functional area drills were held that focused on field sample collection and custody transfer at the sample control hotline for the Radiological Assistance Program (RAP) Consequence Management (CM) program. The overarching goal of these drills were to evaluate the current CM processes using the CBRNResponder mobile and web-based applications. There were several needs identified to improve CM processes and to stream/transfer data across multiple devices with and without internet: (1) A sample check-in process is needed to streamline current processes to reduce errors and create efficiencies, (2) the sample check-in application needs to be deployed as a mobile application and on the browser versions when on-line, and (3) the sample check-in process needs to function in an environment with internet connections and also in a standalone mode when internet is not available.

61 RADIATION PROTECTION AND DOSIMETRY↗

Synoptic scale forecast skill and systematic errors in the MASS 2.0 model

The synoptic scale performance characteristics of MASS 2.0 are determined by comparing filtered 12-24 hr model forecasts to same-case forecasts made by the National Meteorological Center's synoptic-scale Limited-area Fine Mesh model. Characteristics of the two systems are contrasted, and the analysis methodology used to determine statistical skill scores and systematic errors is described. The overall relative performance of the two models in the sample is documented, and important systematic errors uncovered are presented.

Koch, S. E.↗

Mechanical properties of silicate glasses exposed to a low-Earth orbit

The effects of a 5.8 year exposure to low earth orbit environment upon the mechanical properties of commercial optical fused silica, low iron soda-lime-silica, Pyrex 7740, Vycor 7913, BK-7, and the glass ceramic Zerodur were examined. Mechanical testing employed the ASTM-F-394 piston on 3-ball method in a liquid nitrogen environment. Samples were exposed on the Long Duration Exposure Facility (LDEF) in two locations. Impacts were observed on all specimens except Vycor. Weibull analysis as well as a standard statistical evaluation were conducted. The Weibull analysis revealed no differences between control samples and the two exposed samples. We thus concluded that radiation components of the Earth orbital environment did not degrade the mechanical strength of the samples examined within the limits of experimental error. The upper bound of strength degradation for meteorite impacted samples based upon statistical analysis and observation was 50 percent.

Wiedlocher, David E.↗

Detailed Uncertainty Analysis of the ZEM-3 Measurement System

The measurement of Seebeck coefficient and electrical resistivity are critical to the investigation of all thermoelectric systems. Therefore, it stands that the measurement uncertainty must be well understood to report ZT values which are accurate and trustworthy. A detailed uncertainty analysis of the ZEM-3 measurement system has been performed. The uncertainty analysis calculates error in the electrical resistivity measurement as a result of sample geometry tolerance, probe geometry tolerance, statistical error, and multi-meter uncertainty. The uncertainty on Seebeck coefficient includes probe wire correction factors, statistical error, multi-meter uncertainty, and most importantly the cold-finger effect. The cold-finger effect plagues all potentiometric (four-probe) Seebeck measurement systems, as heat parasitically transfers through thermocouple probes. The effect leads to an asymmetric over-estimation of the Seebeck coefficient. A thermal finite element analysis allows for quantification of the phenomenon, and provides an estimate on the uncertainty of the Seebeck coefficient. The thermoelectric power factor has been found to have an uncertainty of +9-14 at high temperature and 9 near room temperature.

Seebeck effect↗

On the effect of timing errors in run length codes

Many redundancy removal algorithms employ some sort of run length code. Blocks of timing words are coded with synchronization words inserted between blocks. The probability of incorrectly reconstructing a sample because of a channel error in the timing data is a monotonically nondecreasing function of time since the last synchronization word. In this paper we compute the 'probability that the accumulated magnitude of timing errors equal zero' as a function of time since the last synchronization word for a zero-order predictor (ZOP). The result is valid for any data source that can be modeled by a first-order Markov chain and any digital channel that can be modeled by a channel transition matrix. An example is presented.

Wilkins, L. C.↗

Evaluation of Bayesian Sequential Proportion Estimation Using Analyst Labels

The author has identified the following significant results. A total of ten Large Area Crop Inventory Experiment Phase 3 blind sites and analyst-interpreter labels were used in a study to compare proportional estimates obtained by the Bayes sequential procedure with estimates obtained from simple random sampling and from Procedure 1. The analyst error rate using the Bayes technique was shown to be no greater than that for the simple random sampling. Also, the segment proportion estimates produced using this technique had smaller bias and mean squared errors than the estimates produced using either simple random sampling or Procedure 1.

Lennington, R. K.↗

Request for the establishment of quantum information foundries

Quantum information science still requires basic science research to achieve its full potential. However, scientists require access to fabricated device samples if we are to utilize the full toolset for solving the pressing issues in the field such as materials, device layout, or optimal error correction methods.Currently, access to samples is either prohibitively expensive, or requires close collaboration with one of the few groups in the world developing these systems. A dedicated quantum foundry could,in principle,provide affordable samples designed with current best practices to a host of scientists who otherwise do not have access. We detail several different foundry models which we believe will assist the community in developing the science for both the underlying processes, as well as the more advanced chip layout and circuit design. Opening access to the broader community has the potential to significantly lower the barrier to entry and vastly improve the ability for researchers in fields ranging from condensed matter to materials characterization to systems engineering to contribute to accelerating the advance of quantum information science and technology.

75 CONDENSED MATTER PHYSICS, SUPERCONDUCTIVITY AND↗

Probability of error and radiometric resolution for target discrimination in radar images

A straightforward statistical analysis is presented of the problem of discriminating between two distributed targets in a radar image. The probability of making an error is calculated as a function of the target contrast, the number of samples averaged to form each observation, and the system noise. In the absence of system noise, it is observed that a target contrast of 1 dB could not be detected with less than 10 samples averaged; it is also seen that the error probability is sensitive to the number of samples averaged, as expected. Setting the target contrast at the radiometric resolution, a comparison is made of different definitions for this resolution. The comparison shows that each definition yields a different error probability, ranging from less than 0.05 to 0.35. Attention is also given to the effect of system noise, and it is shown that thermal noise does not have a significant effect on the error probability for a fixed target contrast.

Frost, V. S.↗

Effect of Satellite Formations and Imaging Modes on Global Albedo Estimation

We confirm the applicability of using small satellite formation flight for multi-angular earth observation to retrieve global, narrow band, narrow field-of-view albedo. The value of formation flight is assessed using a coupled systems engineering and science evaluation model, driven by Model Based Systems Engineering and Observing System Simulation Experiments. Albedo errors are calculated against bi-directional reflectance data obtained from NASA airborne campaigns made by the Cloud Absorption Radiometer for the seven major surface types, binned using MODIS' land cover map - water, forest, cropland, grassland, snow, desert and cities. A full tradespace of architectures with three to eight satellites, maintainable orbits and imaging modes (collective payload pointing strategies) are assessed. For an arbitrary 4-sat formation, changing the reference, nadir-pointing satellite dynamically reduces the average albedo error to 0.003, from 0.006 found in the static reference case. Tracking pre-selected waypoints with all the satellites reduces the average error further to 0.001, allows better polar imaging and continued operations even with a broken formation. An albedo error of 0.001 translates to 1.36 W/sq m or 0.4% in Earth's outgoing radiation error. Estimation errors are found to be independent of the satellites' altitude and inclination, if the nadir-looking is changed dynamically. The formation satellites are restricted to differ in only right ascension of planes and mean anomalies within slotted bounds. Three satellites in some specific formations show average albedo errors of less than 2% with respect to airborne, ground data and seven satellites in any slotted formation outperform the monolithic error of 3.6%. In fact, the maximum possible albedo error, purely based on angular sampling, of 12% for monoliths is outperformed by a five-satellite formation in any slotted arrangement and an eight satellite formation can bring that error down four fold to 3%. More than 70% ground spot overlap between the satellites is possible with 0.5deg of pointing accuracy, 2 Km of GPS accuracy and commands uplinked once a day. The formations can be maintained at less than 1 m/s of monthly (Delta)V per satellite.

BRDF↗

Demonstration of an AI-driven workflow for dynamic x-ray spectroscopy

X-ray absorption near edge structure (XANES) spectroscopy is a powerful technique for characterizing the chemical state and symmetry of individual elements within materials, but requires collecting data at many energy points which can be time-consuming. While adaptive sampling methods exist for efficiently collecting spectroscopic data, they often lack domain-specific knowledge about the structure of XANES spectra. Here we demonstrate a knowledge-injected Bayesian optimization approach for adaptive XANES data collection that incorporates understanding of spectral features like absorption edges and pre-edge peaks. We show this method accurately reconstructs the absorption edge of XANES spectra using only 15–20% of the measurement points typically needed for conventional sampling, while maintaining the ability to determine the x-ray energy of the sharp peak after the absorption edge with errors less than 0.03 eV, the absorption edge with errors less than 0.1 eV; and overall root-mean-square errors less than 0.005 compared to traditionally sampled spectra. Our experiments on battery materials and catalysts demonstrate the method’s effectiveness for both static and dynamic XANES measurements, improving data collection efficiency and enabling better time resolution for tracking chemical changes. This approach advances the degree of automation in XANES experiments, reducing the common errors of under- or over-sampling points near the absorption edge and enabling dynamic experiments that require high temporal resolution or limited measurement time.

Bayesian optimization↗

Quantizing and sampling considerations in digital phased-locked loops

The quantizer problem is first considered. The conditions under which the uniform white sequence model for the quantizer error is valid are established independent of the sampling rate. An equivalent spectral density is defined for the quantizer error resulting in an effective SNR value. This effective SNR may be used to determine quantized performance from infinitely fine quantized results. Attention is given to sampling rate considerations. Sampling rate characteristics of the digital phase-locked loop (DPLL) structure are investigated for the infinitely fine quantized system. The predicted phase error variance equation is examined as a function of the sampling rate. Simulation results are presented and a method is described which enables the minimum required sampling rate to be determined from the predicted phase error variance equations.

Hurst, G. T.↗

Shifting Data Collection from a Fixed to an Adaptive Sampling Paradigm

For domains where data are difficult to obtain due to human or resource limitations, an emphasis is needed to efficiently explore the dimensions of information spaces to acquire any given response of interest. Many disciplines are still making the transition from brute force, dense, full factorial exploration of their information spaces to a more efficient design of experiments approach; the latter being in use successfully for many decades in agricultural and automotive applications. Although this transition is still incomplete, groundwork must be laid for incorporating the next generation of algorithms to adaptively explore the information space in response to data collected, as well as any resulting empirical models (i.e., metamodels). The methodology in the present work was to compare metamodel quality using a fixed sampling technique compared to an adaptive sampling technique based on metamodel variance. In order to quantify metamodeling errors, a delta method was used to provide quantitative model variance estimates. The present methodology was applied to a design space with an air-breathing engine performance response. It was shown that competitive metamodel quality with lower associated error could be achieved for an adaptive sampling technique for the same level of effort as a fixed, a priori sampling technique.

Axdahl, Erik L.↗

Integrating Machine-learning-assisted Computer Vision with RICH System

Developments in artificial intelligence have vastly expanded the capabilities of robots. Currently, the Spallation Neutron Source (SNS) beamlines at Oak Ridge National Lab (ORNL) have robotic sample loaders to increase the efficiency of running experiments. However, they require retraining if anything about the situation changes, e.g., where the samples are, and cannot notice if errors occur. So, the viability of using computer vision and machine learning to enhance these sample loaders’ functionality was investigated. In this project, the RICH system with a Dobot CR3 6-axis robot present at the VULCAN beamline assisted by an Intel Realsense D435i camera, a unique camera that enables convenient translation of 2D pixel coordinates to 3D world points, was programmed to load ceramic crucibles into a thermogravimetric analyzer (TGA) furnace. An algorithm was constructed in Python with three major phases planned: (1) obtaining a sample, (2) moving it to the target location, and then (3) bringing the sample back to its original location once the experiment finished. In the first phase, the algorithm would dynamically detect sample locations using ArUco markers to recognize the samples’ general location and a custom-trained yolov5 object detection model to locate the crucibles’ centers. Afterward, the robot would be directed to pick up samples based on the crucibles’ calculated positions. In the second phase, the robot would move the sample to a secondary point, reorient its grip, and place the sample at the target location. In the final phase, the robot would determine whether the sample was intact and would bring it back to its original place if it was or raise an alarm. Using this algorithm, the robot was able to pick up different types of crucibles at varying positions. These results indicate that integrating machine-learning-assisted computer vision with robotic sample loaders can result in effective autonomous detection of samples.

97 MATHEMATICS AND COMPUTING↗

Application of Non-Uniform Beam Filling (NUBF) Doppler Velocity Error Correction on Airborne Radar Measurements

Non-uniform beam filling (NUBF) within an atmospheric radar sampling volume can cause significant Doppler velocity errors when the radar is located on a fast-moving platform. A case of strong NUBF errors was identified in ER-2 X-band Radar (EXRAD) data from the Investigation of Microphysics and Precipitation for Atlantic Coast-Threatening Snowstorms (IMPACTS) 2020 field campaign. A basic NUBF correction was employed using an estimate of the along-track radar reflectivity gradient. The relationship is verified empirically using co-located Doppler velocity measurements from the higher resolution Cloud Radar System (CRS).

Matthew L. Walker McLinden↗

Machine learning framework for predicting uranium enrichments from M400 CZT gamma spectra

A machine learning framework was developed for predicting uranium enrichments from M400 CZT gamma spectra. This framework leverages the availability of a large amount of measured M400 gamma spectra and uses a recently updated version of Gamma Detector Response and Analysis Software (GADRAS) for gamma spectrum analysis and generation. It also leverages the existing machine learning modules in Python for gamma spectrum data processing, curation, model training, benchmarking, and optimization of the deep machine learning models. The framework is used to develop a deep learning model to analyze gamma spectra from a set of U 3 O 8 samples with enrichments ranging from 0.31 to 93.17% and UF 6 cylinders with enrichments ranging from 0.2 to 4.95%, and the model performance is tested using a set of measured spectra and the respective declared enrichment values. Results show that the model can correctly classify 99.35% of the U 3 O 8 sample enrichments, and can predict the samples’ enrichments within an average absolute error of 0.099% (in percentage points of enrichment). For the UF 6 cylinders, the average absolute error was approximately 0.03%, with an accuracy of 98% in classifying discrete enrichment values of UF 6 samples. Finally, the results also show that the model has performed significantly better in terms of predicting enrichments in UF 6 cylinders based on measured gamma spectra than the GEM code, with a standard deviation (of the relative errors) of 2.23% (compared with the 11.51% value for the GEM code) based on results from a set of test data.

46 INSTRUMENTATION RELATED TO NUCLEAR SCIENCE AND ↗

Gamma-Ray Burst Afterglows as Probes of Environment and Blastwave Physics: Absorption by Host Galaxy Gas and Dust - 1

We use a new approach to obtain limits on the absorbing columns towards an initial sample of 10 long Gamma-Ray Bursts observed with BeppoSAX and selected on the basis of their good optical and nIR coverage, from simultaneous fits to nIR, optical and X-ray afterglow data, in count space and including the effects of metallicity. In no cases is a MIV-like ext,inction preferred, when testing MW, LMC and SMC extinction laws. The 2175A bump would in principle be detectable in all these afterglows, but is not present in the data. An SMC-like gas-to-dust ratio or lower value can be ruled out for 4 of the hosts analysed here (assuming Sh4C metallicity and extinction law) whilst the remainder of the sample have too large an error to discriminate. We provide a more accurate estimate of the line-of-sight extinction and improve upon the uncertainties for the majority of the extinction measurements made in previous studies of this sample. We discuss this method to determine extinction values in comparison with the most commonly employed existing methods.

Starling, R. L. C.↗