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Search indexed NASA NTRS and DOE OSTI research on propulsion, heat transfer, battery materials and energy systems. Follow report and document links to the original sources.

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At least 361 records · Page 20

Using Probabilistic Methods in Water Scarcity Assessments: A First Step Towards a Water Scarcity Risk Assessment Framework

Water scarcity -driven by climate change, climate variability, and socioeconomic developments- is recognized as one of the most important global risks, both in terms of likelihood and impact. Whilst a wide range of studies have assessed the role of long term climate change and socioeconomic trends on global water scarcity, the impact of variability is less well understood. Moreover, the interactions between different forcing mechanisms, and their combined effect on changes in water scarcity conditions, are often neglected. Therefore, we provide a first step towards a framework for global water scarcity risk assessments, applying probabilistic methods to estimate water scarcity risks for different return periods under current and future conditions while using multiple climate and socioeconomic scenarios.

water scarcity↗

Synthetic Scenarios from CMIP5 Model Simulations for Climate Change Impact Assessments in Managed Ecosystems and Water Resources: Case Study in South Asian Countries

Increasing population, urbanization, and associated demand for food production compounded by climate change and variability have important implications for the managed ecosystems and water resources of a region. This is particularly true for south Asia, which supports one quarter of the global population, half of whom live below the poverty line. This region is largely dependent on monsoon precipitation for water. Given the limited resources of the developing countries in this region, the objective of our study was to empirically explore climate change in south Asia up to the year 2099 using monthly simulations from 35 global climate models (GCMs) participating in the fifth phase of the Climate Model Inter-comparison Project (CMIP5) for two future emission scenarios (representative concentration pathways RCP4.5 and RCP8.5) and provide a wide range of potential climate change outcomes. This was carried out using a three-step procedure: calculating the mean annual, monsoon, and non-monsoon precipitation and temperatures; estimating the percent change from historical conditions; and developing scenario funnels and synthetic scenarios. This methodology was applied for the entire south Asia region; however, the percent change information generated at 1.5deg grid scale can be used to generate scenarios at finer spatial scales. Our results showed a high variability in the future change in precipitation (-23% to 52%, maximum in the non-monsoon season) and temperature (0.8% to 2.1%) in the region. Temperatures in the region consistently increased, especially in the Himalayan region, which could have impacts including a faster retreat of glaciers and increased floods. It could also change rivers from perennial to seasonal, leading to significant challenges in water management. Increasing temperatures could further stress groundwater reservoirs, leading to withdrawal rates that become even more unsustainable. The high precipitation variability (with higher propensity for localized intense rainfall events) observed in the region can be a key factor for managed ecosystems and water management and could also lead to more incidence of severe urban flooding. The results could be used to assess both mitigation and adaptation alternatives to reduce vulnerabilities in managed ecosystems (agricultural and urban) and water resources.

agriculture↗

Low-Speed Performance Enhancement using Localized Active Flow Control: Integration Study of Localized Active Flow Control on a Performance Reference Aircraft (3/4)

A study of conceptual integration and performance aspects of localized active flow control (AFC) technology onto wings of short-to-medium-range project passenger airplanes is summarized. Using predicted aerodynamic performance improvement opportunities on the CFD Reference Aircraft, estimated benefit opportunities for conceptual implementation of studied wing localized active flow control (AFC) technology for low-speed (take-off and landing) application on a Performance Reference Aircraft configuration are presented. Using conceptual AFC systems and structural integration weight penalties for studied concepts, potential relevant net performance benefits can be obtained with reliable AFC in takeoff and landing. The conceptual integration study identifies potential promising localized wing AFC application opportunities for high-lift conditions using energy sources for modern aircraft. Material benefits are estimated for take-off and landing configurations for selected localized AFC applications. Next steps to refine and expand results of investigated topics, as well as possible other local AFC wing applications, are suggested.

AFC↗

The NASA Lightning Nitrogen Oxides Model (LNOM): Recent Updates and Applications

Improvements to the NASA Marshall Space Flight Center Lightning Nitrogen Oxides Model (LNOM) and its application to the Community Multiscale Air Quality (CMAQ) modeling system are presented. The LNOM analyzes Lightning Mapping Array (LMA) and National Lightning Detection Network(tm) (NLDN) data to estimate the raw (i.e., unmixed and otherwise environmentally unmodified) vertical profile of lightning NOx (= NO + NO2). Lightning channel length distributions and lightning 10-m segment altitude distributions are also provided. In addition to NOx production from lightning return strokes, the LNOM now includes non-return stroke lightning NOx production due to: hot core stepped and dart leaders, stepped leader corona sheath, K-changes, continuing currents, and M-components. The impact of including LNOM-estimates of lightning NOx for an August 2006 run of CMAQ is discussed.

Koshak, William↗

Estimating Temperature Retrieval Accuracy Associated With Thermal Band Spatial Resolution Requirements for Center Pivot Irrigation Monitoring and Management

This study explores the use of synthetic thermal center pivot irrigation scenes to estimate temperature retrieval accuracy for thermal remote sensed data, such as data acquired from current and proposed Landsat-like thermal systems. Center pivot irrigation is a common practice in the western United States and in other parts of the world where water resources are scarce. Wide-area ET (evapotranspiration) estimates and reliable water management decisions depend on accurate temperature information retrieval from remotely sensed data. Spatial resolution, sensor noise, and the temperature step between a field and its surrounding area impose limits on the ability to retrieve temperature information. Spatial resolution is an interrelationship between GSD (ground sample distance) and a measure of image sharpness, such as edge response or edge slope. Edge response and edge slope are intuitive, and direct measures of spatial resolution are easier to visualize and estimate than the more common Modulation Transfer Function or Point Spread Function. For these reasons, recent data specifications, such as those for the LDCM (Landsat Data Continuity Mission), have used GSD and edge response to specify spatial resolution. For this study, we have defined a 400-800 m diameter center pivot irrigation area with a large 25 K temperature step associated with a 300 K well-watered field surrounded by an infinite 325 K dry area. In this context, we defined the benchmark problem as an easily modeled, highly common stressing case. By parametrically varying GSD (30-240 m) and edge slope, we determined the number of pixels and field area fraction that meet a given temperature accuracy estimate for 400-m, 600-m, and 800-m diameter field sizes. Results of this project will help assess the utility of proposed specifications for the LDCM and other future thermal remote sensing missions and for water resource management.

Ryan, Robert E.↗

Dataset for manuscript "Consequences of the failure of equipartition for the p-V behavior of liquid water and the hydration free energy components of a small protein"

Previously, we showed that in the molecular dynamics simulation of a rigid model of water it is necessary to use an integration time-step dt that is less than or equal to 0.5 fs to ensure equipartition between translational and rotational modes. We extended that study in the NVT ensemble to NpT conditions and to an aqueous protein. We study neat liquid water with the rigid, SPC/E model and the protein BBA (PDB ID: 1FME) solvated in the rigid, TIP3P model. We examined integration time-steps ranging from 0.5 fs to 4.0 fs for various thermostat plus barostat combinations. We find that a small time-step, dt, is necessary to ensure consistent prediction of the simulation volume. Hydrogen mass repartitioning alleviates the problem somewhat, but is ineffective for the typical time-step used with this approach. The compressibility, a measure of volume fluctuations, is seen to be sensitive to dt. Using the mean volume estimated from the NpT simulation, we examined the electrostatic and van der Waals contribution to the hydration free energy of the protein in the NVT ensemble. These contributions are also sensitive to dt. In going from a time-step of 2 fs to a time-step of 0.5 fs, the change in the net electrostatic plus van der Waals contribution to the hydration of BBA is already in excess of the folding free energy reported for this protein. The data-set contains the simulation metadata and log files that support the claims noted above.

59 BASIC BIOLOGICAL SCIENCES↗

Our Sun V: A Bright Young Sun Consistent with Helioseismology and Warm Temperatures on Ancient Earth and Mars

The relatively warm temperatures required on early Earth and Mars have been difficult to account for with warming from greenhouse gases. A slightly more massive young Sun would be brighter than predicted by the standard solar model, simultaneously resolving this problem for both Earth and Mars. We computed high-precision solar models with seven initial masses, from Mi = 1.01 to 1.07 solar mass - the latter being the maximum permitted if the early Earth is not to lose its water via a moist greenhouse effect. The relatively modest early mass loss that is required remains consistent with observational limits on mass loss from young stars and with estimates of the past solar wind obtained from lunar rocks. We considered three types of mass loss rates: (1) a reasonable choice of a simple exponential decline, (2) an extreme step-function case that gives the maximum effect consistent with observations, and (3) the radical case of a linear decline which is inconsistent with the solar wind mass loss estimates from lunar rocks. Our computations demonstrated that mass loss leaves a fingerprint oil the Sun's internal structure large enough to be detectable with helioseismic observations. All of our mass-losing solar models were consistent with the helioseismic observations; in fact, our preferred mass-losing cases were in marginally better agreement with the helioseismology than the standard solar model was, although this difference was smaller than the effects of other uncertainties in the input physics and in the solar composition. Mass loss has only a relatively minor effect on the predicted lithium depletion; the major portion of the solar lithium depletion must still be due to rotational mixing. Thus the modest mass loss cases considered here cannot be ruled out by observed lithium depletions. For the three mass loss types considered, the preferred initial masses were 1.07 solar mass for the exponential case and 1.04 solar mass for the step-function and linear cases; all of these provided high enough solar fluxes at Mars 3.8 Gyr ago to be consistent with the existence of liquid water. For a more massive early Sun, the planets would have had to be closer to the young Sun in order to end up in their present orbits; the orbital radii of the planets would vary inversely with the solar mass. Both of these effects contribute to the fact that the early solar flux at the planets would have been considerably higher than that of the standard solar model at that time. In fact, the 1.07 solar mass exponential case has a flux at birth 5% higher than the present solar flux, while the radical 1.04 solar mass linear case has a nearly constant flux over the first 3 Gyr only about 10% lower than at present. The early solar evolution would be in the opposite direction in the H-R diagram to that of the standard Sun.

Sackmann, I.-Juliana↗

Abundance and composition of solar KR in the H3-H6 chondrite ACFER111

He/Ne, Ne/Ar, and Ar/Kr abundance ratios of solar gases extracted by stepped heating, stepped oxidation, and stepped etching of lunar and meteoritic regoliths are significantly lower than ratios measured directly or predicted by model estimates. Of these, the differences in the He/Ne and Ne/Ar ratios are explained to be owing to diffusive fractionation losses from the host minerals. In contrast, it remains controversial if the Ar/Kr and Kr/Xe ratios were fractionated prior to or after the implantation of the gases into the minerals. In the H3-H6 chondritic regolith breccia ACFER 111, measured He/Ne and Ne/Ar ratios appear to be of nearly unfractionated solar composition. The Ar/Kr ratio of ACFER 111, might thus be also unfractionated. We examined by stepped etching a metal sample of ACFER 111 and obtained an average solar 36Ar/84Kr = 3150 plus or minus 300 which is in agreement with the model predictions. The isotopic composition of solar Kr was observed to change in the course of the etching in a way very similar to that report for lunar ilmenites by the Zurich group. This can be interpreted as a change of the mixing ratio of Solar Wind (SW) and Solar Energetic Particles (SEP). The isotopic composition of the SEP component obtained from our Kr data, however, is distinct from that reported by the Zurich group.

Pedroni, A.↗

Estimation of Nutation Time Constant Model Parameters for On-Axis Spinning Spacecraft

Calculating an accurate nutation time constant for a spinning spacecraft is an important step for ensuring mission success. Spacecraft nutation is caused by energy dissipation about the spin axis. Propellant slosh in the spacecraft fuel tanks is the primary source for this dissipation and can be simulated using a forced motion spin table. Mechanical analogs, such as pendulums and rotors, are typically used to simulate propellant slosh. A strong desire exists for an automated method to determine these analog parameters. The method presented accomplishes this task by using a MATLAB Simulink/SimMechanics based simulation that utilizes the Parameter Estimation Tool.

Schlee, Keith↗

Do not forget the electrons: Extending moderately-sized nuclear networks for multidimensional hydrodynamic codes

Context.Nuclear networks are widely used coupled with hydrodynamical simulations of explosive scenarios to account for the change of nuclear species and energy generation rate due to nuclear reactions. In this way, there is a feedback mechanism between the hydrodynamical state and the nuclear processes. Unfortunately, the timescale of nuclear reactions is orders of magnitude smaller than the dynamical timescale that drives hydrodynamical simulations. Therefore, these nuclear networks are usually very small, reduced in most cases to a dozen elements, especially when simulations are carried out in more than one dimension. Aims.We present here an extended nuclear network, with 90 species, designed for being coupled with hydrodynamic simulations, which includes neutrons, protons, electrons, positrons, and the corresponding neutrino and anti-neutrino emission. This network is also coupled with temperature, making it extremely robust and, together with its size, unique of its kind. The inclusion of electron captures on free protons makes the network very appropriate for multidimensional studies of Type Ia supernova explosions, especially when the exploding object is a massive white dwarf. Methods.We perform several tests that are relevant to simulate explosive scenarios, such as Type Ia supernovae and core-collapse supernovae. We compare the results of the 90 nuclei network with a standardα-chain network with 14 elements to evaluate the differences in the energy generation rate. We also evaluate the relevance of including the electrons in the network in terms of generated yields and how it affects the pressure of a degenerate fluid such as that of white dwarfs. The results obtained with the 90-nuclei network have been verified with a much larger 2000-nuclei network built from REACLIB (WinNet), in terms of nuclear energy generation rate, pressure, and produced yields. Results.The results obtained with the proposed medium-sized network compare fairly well, to a few percent, with those computed withWinNetin scenarios reproducing the gross physical conditions of current Type Ia supernova explosion models. In those cases where the carbon and oxygen fuel ignites at high density, the high-temperature plateau typical of the nuclear statistical equilibrium regime is well defined and stable, allowing large integration time steps. We show that the inclusion of electron captures on free protons substantially improves the estimation of the electron fraction of the mixture. Therefore, the pressure is better determined than in networks where electron captures are excluded, which will ultimately lead to more reliable hydrodynamic models. Explosive combustion of helium at low density, occurring near the surface layer of a white dwarf, is also better described with the proposed network, which gives nuclear energy generation rates much closer toWinNetthan typical reduced alpha networks. Conclusions.A nuclear network withN= 90 species, including electrons, aimed at multidimensional calculations of supernova explosions is described and verified. The proposed network is suitable for the study of Type Ia supernova explosions because it provides better values of pressure and electron abundance than other existing networks with smaller or even a similar size but without including electron capture processes.

Astronomy & Astrophysics↗

A fast semi-implicit algorithm for problems of mixed type

Certain physical processes are modeled by partial differential equations which are parabolic over part of the domain and elliptic over the remainder. A family of semi-implicit algorithms which are well suited to initial-boundary value problems of this mixed type is discussed. One important feature of these algorithms is the use of an approximate inverse for the solution of the implicit linear system. A strong error analysis results in an estimate of the total error as a function of approximate inverse error e and time step h.

Frederickson, P. O.↗

A blade loss response spectrum for flexible rotor systems

A shock spectrum procedure is developed to estimate the peak displacement response of linear flexible rotor-bearing systems sugjected to a step change in unbalance (i.e., a blade loss). A progressive and a retrograde response spectrum are established. These blade loss response spectra are expressed in a unique non-dimensional form and are functions of the modal damping ratio and the ratio of rotor spin speed to modal damped whirl speed. Modal decomposition using complex modes is utilized to make use of the unique feature of the spectra for the calculation of the peak blade loss displacement response of the rotor system. The procedure is applied to three example systems using several modal superposition strategies. The results of each are compared to true peak displacement obtained by a separate transient response program.

Nelson, H. D.↗

Estimating The SNR Of AVIRIS Data

Combination of established statistical and filtering techniques yields improved estimates of signal-to-noise ratio (SNR) of multispectral imagery produced by Airborne Visible/Infrared Imaging Spectrometer (AVIRIS). Method yields more accurate estimate of random variability in AVIRIS imagery. Combination of techniques called "geostatistical" method. In first step of method, periodic noise removed by notch filtering in frequency domain. In subsequent steps, sensor noise and variability within picture elements isolated by use of semi-variance of picture elements.

Curran, Paul J.↗

A search for evolutionary changes in planetary nuclei: A continuation

This report summarizes the final results of an IUE investigation to search for signs of evolutionary changes in high-mass central stars of planetary nuclei, as evidenced by UV-optical fading over the lifetime of the satellite. The program is a continuation of an earlier investigation, expanding the target list to include more types of hot central stars and to obtain more spectra of previously observed stars. In order to compare the IUE fluxes of a central star obtained over a more-than-ten-year timespan, several steps were necessary, including reprocessing of very early spectra and correction for the sensitivity degradation of the SWP camera over time. The results indicate that while a few stars appear to have diminished UV fluxes compared to earlier IUE observations, the evidence for this is less than overwhelming due to the sparseness of the data. Those stars which emerge from this study as viable candidates for having faded are the cooler Of-type stars (O6f-O7f), i.e., those for which the change in spectral energy with increasing temperature is greatest. The report describes the data analysis steps and discusses the uncertainties in both the data and in the resulting fading rates. Estimates of stellar mass based on theoretical evolutionary rates are also provided.

Altner, Bruce↗

Auroral Boundaries: Comparison Between UV Images, In Situ Precipitation, and Groundbased Optical Observations

The location of poleward and equatorward boundaries are used as diagnostics of substorm phase and energy storage in the magnetosphere. Boundaries are estimated from groundbased observations (all sky imagers, meridian scanning photometers, and magnetometers), from in situ particle observations, and from spacebased global auroral observations. Each observational technique has relative advantages. Based on recent studies, different observing techniques can give differing boundary locations. Understanding any differences in the boundaries from each observing technique is important when using the data as a diagnostic for the magnetosphere. In this study, FUV auroral images from the POLAR Ultraviolet Imager are used to estimate auroral boundaries. These boundaries are then compared with similar boundaries derived from DMSP in situ particle precipitation observations and from groundbased meridian scanning photometers. The goal is to see how well the boundaries from these three dissimilar observations correlate, to estimate dependences on instrumental capabilities, i.e. imager resolution, and to serve as a potential first step to derive an algorithm for finding oval boundaries from groundbased optical data.

Germany, G. A.↗

Auroral Boundaries: Comparison Between UV Images, In Situ Precipitation, and Groundbased Optical Observations

The location of poleward and equatorward boundaries are used as diagnostics of substorm phase and energy storage in the magnetosphere. Boundaries are estimated from groundbased observations (all sky imagers, meridian scanning photometers, and magnetometers), from in situ particle observations, and from spacebased global auroral observations. Each observational technique has relative advantages. However, recent studies suggest caution when comparing boundaries derived from different methods. in the study, FUV auroral images from the POLAR Ultraviolet Imager are used to estimate auroral boundaries. These boundaries are then compared with similar boundaries derived from DMSP in situ particle precipitation observations and from groundbased meridian scanning photometers. The goal is to see how well the boundaries from these three dissimilar observations correlate, to estimate dependencies on instrumental capabilities, i.e. imager resolution, and to serve as a potential first step to derive an algorithm for finding oval boundaries from groundbased optical data.

Germany, G. A.↗

Review and Analysis of Algorithmic Approaches Developed for Prognostics on CMAPSS Dataset

Benchmarking of prognostic algorithms has been challenging due to limited availability of common datasets suitable for prognostics. In an attempt to alleviate this problem several benchmarking datasets have been collected by NASA's prognostic center of excellence and made available to the Prognostics and Health Management (PHM) community to allow evaluation and comparison of prognostics algorithms. Among those datasets are five C-MAPSS datasets that have been extremely popular due to their unique characteristics making them suitable for prognostics. The C-MAPSS datasets pose several challenges that have been tackled by different methods in the PHM literature. In particular, management of high variability due to sensor noise, effects of operating conditions, and presence of multiple simultaneous fault modes are some factors that have great impact on the generalization capabilities of prognostics algorithms. More than 70 publications have used the C-MAPSS datasets for developing data-driven prognostic algorithms. The C-MAPSS datasets are also shown to be well-suited for development of new machine learning and pattern recognition tools for several key preprocessing steps such as feature extraction and selection, failure mode assessment, operating conditions assessment, health status estimation, uncertainty management, and prognostics performance evaluation. This paper summarizes a comprehensive literature review of publications using C-MAPSS datasets and provides guidelines and references to further usage of these datasets in a manner that allows clear and consistent comparison between different approaches.

Uncertainty↗

Updating the Jovian Proton Radiation Environment - 2015

Since publication in 1983 by N. Divine and H. Garrett, the Jet Propulsion Laboratory's plasma and radiation models have been the design standard for NASA's missions to Jupiter. These models consist of representations of the cold plasma and electrons, the warm and auroral electrons and protons, and the radiation environment (electron, proton, and heavy ions). To date, however, the high-energy proton model has been limited to an L-shell of 12. With the requirement to compute the effects of the high energy protons and other heavy ions on the proposed Europa mission, the extension of the high energy proton model from approximately 12 L-shell to approximately 50 L-shell has become necessary. In particular, a model of the proton environment over that range is required to estimate radiation effects on the solar arrays for the mission. This study describes both the steps taken to extend the original Divine proton model out to an approximately 50 L-shell and the resulting model developed to accomplish that goal. In addition to hydrogen, the oxygen, sulfur, and helium heavy ion environments have also been added between approximately 6 L-shell and approximately 50 L-shell. Finally, selected examples of the model's predictions are presented to illustrate the uses of the tool.

Garrett, Henry↗