ARIES 2021
This report highlights research projects and new capabilities in 2021 related to the Advanced Research on Integrated Energy Systems (ARIES) platform.
cybersecurity↗
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Investigation of mechanochemical interactions of hydrogen with earth materials in a subsurface gas storage
The goal of this project is to investigate the molecular interactions of H 2 with earth materials (EMs) that may potentially affect economics and safety of H 2 geological storage (HGS). We investigated (1) the H 2 intercalation into interlayers of phyllosilicates, (2) the competitive adsorption of H 2 /CH 4 onto porous materials, and (3) solubility of H 2 in interfacial and confined hydrocarbons. Our results indicate that (i) H 2 intercalation into hydrated interlayers is thermodynamically unfavorable and H 2 solubility in hydrated clay interlayers is in the same order of magnitude as that in bulk water, (ii) CH 4 outcompetes H 2 in adsorption onto kerogen, due to stronger CH 4 -kerogen interactions than H 2 -kerogen interactions, (iii) H 2 tends to dissolve more in oil than in water, and the introduction of CO 2 as a cushion gas reduces H 2 partitioning near the kaolinite surfaces. The outcomes provide foundational knowledge for preparing the USA for future storage site selection and storage system design, supporting DOE missions in clean and secured energy.
08 HYDROGEN↗
Analysis of AC-DC Converters for Grid-tied High Temperature Steam Electrolysis Systems
Grid-tied HTSE systems have the prospects to produce clean hydrogen enabling power and broad energy systems decarbonization. Most commercially available power electronic converter systems (PECS) are designed for batteries, solar PVs, wind, and other well-established renewable energy resources. Standards (such as IEEE 1547, UL 1741, CA Rule-21, HI Rule14) exist for PECS used for renewable energy systems such as battery storage and solar PVs. However, those that consider the dynamic behavior of HTSEs and that can be used for large-scale H2 systems are yet to be developed. This paper investigates the performance of these PECS for the HTSE application that are set up at the Idaho National Laboratory for hydrogen production testing, research and development. In particular, the performance analysis of two grid-tied PECS (A and B) is conducted for a 100 kW solid oxide HTSE system. System A consists of 6 units of 30kW MOSFET-switched bidirectional AC-DC rectifier while system B has a single unit of 150kW thyristor-switched AC-DC rectifier. Both systems are connected to the HTSE stacks via a DC-DC converter. Different operational conditions of the HTSE system are tested to analyze the dynamic response of the HTSE’s PECS. The experimental results show the need to develop advanced control strategies for PECS that incorporates the dynamics of HTSE systems for improved performance.
High temperature steam electrolysis↗
Hydrogen, Methane, Brine Flow Behavior, and Saturation in Sandstone Cores During H 2 and CH 4 Injection and Displacement
Large-scale underground hydrogen storage (UHS) is a critical component in the emerging hydrogen economy. Knowledge of multiphase flow behavior involving hydrogen in storage reservoir formations is crucial to characterizing hydrogen transport properties and essential for the deliverability and storage operations of UHS. There are still many gaps in fully understanding hydrogen–methane–brine multiphase phase flow that require further investigation. In this work, H 2 and CH 4 were injected through brine-saturated sandstone cores using a tri-axial core holder system fitted with flow rate meters and pressure transducers, while the effluent gas concentrations were analyzed using an online micro gas chromatograph. Brine displacement, permeability, and gas breakthrough curves were measured. We studied the flow behavior of hydrogen and methane in sandstone cores through testing brine displacement by gas injection and comparing the hydrogen displacement of methane with the methane displacement of hydrogen. We also tested the differences between horizontal and vertical flow in brine displacement. The results showed that brine displacement was more efficient in a core with higher permeability and porosity, resulting in a higher initial gas saturation. A higher gas injection rate brought about faster gas breakthrough measured by pore volume and sharper concentration curves. Hydrogen did not exhibit abnormal flow in the sandstone when the flow was horizontal and downward vertical. Gas overriding was observed in brine displacements when the flow was horizontal, with hydrogen showing this behavior more profoundly compared to methane. Downward vertical gas injection induced higher efficiency brine displacement compared to horizontal displacement and resulted in a higher initial gas saturation in the sandstone cores. These findings address critical knowledge gaps regarding gas flow patterns and displacement behaviors during hydrogen injection and recovery phases in UHS facilities using methane as the cushion gas. The insights from this research offer valuable guidance for optimizing UHS systems, ensuring operational efficiency, and advancing sustainable energy solutions in alignment with decarbonization goals.
08 HYDROGEN↗
Wellbore cement alteration and roles of CO 2 and shale during underground hydrogen storage
To mitigate climate change and adopt renewable energy, energy storage is crucial and can be done in the form of hydrogen gas (H 2 ). Subsurface geologic reservoirs are positioned to store H 2 on the largest scales for the longest terms of all potential options. However, H 2 injection may boost reactions that consume hydrogen, generate undesired gases, and alter pore structures of geomedia. To explore the extent of H 2 -associated biotic reactions at a near wellbore location, four experiments were conducted under underground storage conditions with wellbore cement cores and, in most instances, shale samples submerged in synthetic formation brine. Post-reaction gas, aqueous, and solid phase samples were analyzed using olfactory screening and, later, gas chromatography (GC-MS), inductively coupled plasma optical emission spectroscopy (ICP-OES), scanning electron microscopy (SEM), and synchrotron micro-scale x-ray fluorescence (μ-XRF). Within a period of 16 weeks, hydrogen sulfide (H 2 S) was generated in systems containing both H 2 and shale. XRF mapping identified a zone enriched in iron(II) and reduced sulfur along the rim of cement cross sections that was largely associated with CO 2 -induced cement carbonation. Shale did not show noticeable alteration, but there is evidence it contributed to the initial inoculation of the system and provided nutrients for microbes via water-rock interactions. Here, this study considers both rock formations and wellbore cement not previously evaluated concurrently. Findings support understanding and modeling of H 2 -associated biogeochemical reactions during underground hydrogen storage.
36 MATERIALS SCIENCE↗
Technology Strategy Assessment: Findings from Storage Innovations 2030 Bidirectional Hydrogen Storage
Hydrogen is the most common element in the universe, comprising nearly 75% of all normal matter, and it has been used by scientists for centuries, but it was not fully recognized as an element until 1766, when it was isolated by Henry Cavendish. Early work focused on the generation of hydrogen through the oxidation of metals in water, which released hydrogen gas. Hydrogen’s lighter-than-air and flammable properties were immediately used in engines, zeppelins, and as feedstock for a wide variety of chemical reactions. Several approaches were developed for the production of hydrogen with the most common being associated with the production and conversion of hydrocarbon-based fuels. Coal gasification, steam methane reforming, and other reformation processes provide the majority of current hydrogen production due to the relatively low cost of hydrogen produced through these processes. More than 95% of hydrogen production is used for industrial processes rather than energy storage. To facilitate affordable decarbonization of these industrial processes and to advance the use of hydrogen as a fuel in transportation, DOE launched the Hydrogen Shot as part of the Energy Earthshots Initiative. The goal of the Hydrogen Shot is to reduce the cost of clean hydrogen by 80% to $1/kg of clean hydrogen production within one decade (known as the “1 1 1” goal). This is distinct from the Long-Duration Storage Shot, which is the primary focus of this report; however, it is intrinsically linked to bidirectional hydrogen storage. Several important chemical synthesis processes are dependent upon hydrogen, and the production and use of hydrogen is generally driven by its connection to one of these markets. For example, ammonia is one of the most highly produced chemicals in the world and it depends chiefly on hydrogen. Ammonia is primarily used for agricultural fertilizer and is considered to be largely responsible for a doubling of agricultural production per unit of land over the last century. Another one of hydrogen’s primary uses is as a catalyst in petroleum refining during the desulfurization process. Beyond chemical production, hydrogen is used as a reductant in the production of steel and has been demonstrated as a substitute for metallurgical coal in the production of raw iron. It is even used in the hydrogenation reaction for food products to create more shelf-stable semi-solid fats. However, while hydrogen is produced on the order of 100 million metric tons/year globally to feed these industries, more than 95% of hydrogen is produced from hydrocarbons that emit CO2 during the process. Conversely, electrolysis is a process by which electricity is used to separate hydrogen and oxygen in water molecules, usually across a membrane. Hydrogen production via electrolysis lowers the carbon intensity of produced hydrogen when coupled with low-carbon electricity. Currently, global electrolysis capacity is on the order of 1 GW, which equates to about 500 metric tons/day of hydrogen production. To support large-scale industrial decarbonization, capacity will likely need to increase by two to three orders of magnitude. Electrolysis technology is broadly separated into groups that are defined by the electrolyte used, with further subdivision based on the operating characteristics. The majority of commercial electrolyzer systems are based around three main technology groups: liquid alkaline, proton exchange membrane, and solid oxide. Liquid Alkaline (LA) electrolysis is the oldest, most mature, least expensive, and most common commercial technology, with 400 plants in operation by 1902. Its hydrogen output is low relative to the size of the system due to a low current density. LA electrolysis utilizes a liquid potassium hydroxide solution as the electrolyte. Proton exchange membrane (PEM) electrolysis (also known as polymer electrolyte membrane electrolysis), described in 1960, relies on an acid-impregnated polymer membrane as the electrolyte and typically offers three to six times higher hydrogen production per unit cell area than LA electrolysis. Solid oxide electrolysis, or high-temperature electrolysis, utilizes a ceramic cell as the electrolyte and operates on steam rather than liquid water, enabling electrical efficiencies of more than 90%, which is up from 60% with PEM. Two pre-commercial electrolyzer technologies to note are alkaline exchange membrane (AEM) and proton-conducting solid oxide electrolysis cell (SOEC). AEM potentially has the advantages of both LA and PEM technologies in that it is able to use low-cost materials like LA but with the ability to operate at higher output pressures with a smaller footprint like PEM. Proton-conducting SOEC is similar to commercial SOEC, which uses an oxide-conducting ceramic; however, it uses a proton-conducting ceramic that has the potential to operate at lower temperatures and has lower capital costs. Each of these technologies is experiencing a rapid improvement in performance and a reduction in installed cost, and each appears to be well suited to specific applications. Besides differences in the type of electrolyzer used, the main difference in the architecture of bidirectional hydrogen systems is how the hydrogen is stored. Currently, the most cost-effective way to store large amounts of hydrogen gas is underground, such as in large salt caverns that have been hollowed out. These salt caverns are geographically concentrated in small portions of the United States and are not generally near large metropolitan areas; however, other subsurface architectures are being investigated to expand this reach. A more widely deployable option is aboveground pressurized tanks. These systems are about 10 times as expensive because of the materials and safety margins required to hold hydrogen at high pressures. A third option is using materials-based storage, such as liquid organic hydrogen carriers. By reversibly attaching the produced hydrogen to other molecules, it can be stored at near atmospheric pressure and room temperature. This has the potential to reduce the material cost of storage but may result in a reduction in the efficiency of the process because there are both hydrogen uptake and release processes. While materials-based storage has not been used extensively for large-scale hydrogen storage in the past, there is currently significant activity regarding developing materials and processes for use in large-scale hydrogen storage applications. Electrolysis-produced hydrogen offers an unusual opportunity for energy storage applications. Unlike more conventional energy storage approaches, such as batteries, which operate entirely within electrical markets, hydrogen is a valuable product beyond the electric market and can be directed to the most lucrative use. Hydrogen also can be directly converted back to electricity using either a fuel cell or turbine, or it can be sold to other markets, such as chemical synthesis, steel production, or even export. In this way, excess electricity can be upgraded to the most valuable product. Finally, its use can be actively managed between multiple off-takers; for example, local hydrogen storage can provide a specific amount of stored electricity and any excess can be exported to ammonia production. This flexibility is amplified by the fact that hydrogen storage has fully decoupled power and energy components, which allows for affordable scaling options. Together, this allows a substantial amount of creativity to enable the economic utilization of variable power resources while supporting decarbonization of the industry.
08 HYDROGEN↗
Transforming Energy Through Sustainable Mobility: Expanding Low-Carbon Transportation R&D Solutions
As the nation's premier laboratory for cutting-edge transportation decarbonization research and development solutions, the National Renewable Energy Laboratory (NREL) pioneers the creation and deployment of sustainable mobility technologies and strategies, with a focus on slashing transportation sector greenhouse gas emissions and combatting climate change. Trucks, planes, cargo ships, and other difficult-to-decarbonize vehicles are part of this essential transition for the transportation sector, which is currently the nation's largest source of the greenhouse gas emissions. NREL provides the scientific building blocks needed to spur innovation through multifaceted analysis, research, and engineering. This work acts as a catalyst to help industry bring affordable, high-performance, energy-efficient, and low-emission modes of transport and related infrastructure to market sooner. Our researchers collaborate closely with academic, government, and industry partners to design better batteries, drivetrains, and engines. They develop technologies for high-power charging, thermal management, energy storage, and power electronics. They are also reimagining fuels and combustion while creating sustainable lightweight materials. Unbiased expert guidance - backed by credible data and analysis, tools, and scientific rigor - empowers partners to make informed decisions about sustainable transportation. NREL recognizes that communities with limited mobility options face reduced access to employment opportunities, health care, and education, lowering overall quality of life. Alongside partners, NREL experts are creating transportation solutions that meet community-identified needs and increase mobility equity in historically underserved and overburdened communities. Rather than providing a one-size-fits-all solution, we take an interdisciplinary approach to mobility equity that considers the needs and challenges of diverse groups, maximizing benefits at the individual, community, and societal levels.
ADVANCED PROPULSION SYSTEMS↗
Analysis of AC-DC Converters for Grid-tied High Temperature Steam Electrolysis Systems
Grid-tied HTSE systems have the prospects to produce clean hydrogen enabling power and broad energy systems decarbonization. Most commercially available power electronic converter systems (PECS) are designed for batteries, solar PVs, wind, and other well-established renewable energy resources. Standards (such as IEEE 1547, UL 1741, CA Rule-21, HI Rule-14) exist for PECS used for renewable energy systems such as battery storage and solar PVs. However, those that consider the dynamic behavior of HTSEs and that can be used for large-scale H2 systems are yet to be developed. This paper investigates the performance of these PECS for the HTSE application that are set up at the Idaho National Laboratory for hydrogen production testing, research and development. In particular, the performance analysis of two grid-tied PECS (A and B) is conducted for a 100 kW solid oxide HTSE system. System A consists of 6 units of 30kW MOSFET-switched bidirectional AC-DC rectifier while system B has a single unit of 150kW thyristor-switched ACDC rectifier. Both systems are connected to the HTSE stacks via a DC-DC converter. Different operational conditions of the HTSE system are tested to analyze the dynamic response of the HTSE’s PECS. The experimental results show the need to develop advanced control strategies for PECS that incorporates the dynamics of HTSE systems for improved performance.
08 - HYDROGEN↗
2D Metal/Graphene and 2D Metal/Graphene/Metal Systems for Electrocatalytic Conversion of CO 2 to Formic Acid
Abstract Efficiently transforming CO 2 into renewable energy sources is crucial for decarbonization efforts. Formic acid (HCOOH) holds great promise as a hydrogen storage compound due to its high hydrogen density, non‐toxicity, and stability under ambient conditions. However, the electrochemical reduction of CO 2 (CO 2 RR) on conventional carbon black‐supported metal catalysts faces challenges such as low stability through dissolution and agglomeration, as well as suffering from high overpotentials and the necessity to overcome the competitive hydrogen evolution reaction (HER). In this study, we modify the physical/chemical properties of metal surfaces by depositing metal monolayers on graphene (M/G) to create highly active and stable electrocatalysts. Strong covalent bonding between graphene and metal is induced by the hybridization of sp and d orbitals, especially the sharp , , and orbitals of metals near the Fermi level, playing a decisive role. Moreover, charge polarization on graphene in M/G enables the deposition of another thin metallic film, forming metal/graphene/metal (M/G/M) structures. Finally, evaluating overpotentials required for CO 2 reduction to HCOOH, CO, and HER, we find that Pd/G, Pt/G/Ag, and Pt/G/Au exhibit excellent activity and selectivity toward HCOOH production. Our novel 2D hybrid catalyst design methodology may offer insights into enhanced electrochemical reactions through the electronic mixing of metal and other p‐block elements.
Cho, Jinwon↗
Large Destabilization of (TiVNb)-Based Hydrides via (Al, Mo) Addition: Insights from Experiments and Data-Driven Models
High-entropy alloys (HEAs) represent an interesting alloying strategy that can yield exceptional performance properties needed across a variety of technology applications, including hydrogen storage. Examples include ultrahigh volumetric capacity materials (BCC alloys → FCC dihydrides) with improved thermodynamics relative to conventional high-capacity metal hydrides (like MgH 2 ), but still further destabilization is needed to reduce operating temperature and increase system-level capacity. Here, in this work, we demonstrate efficient hydride destabilization strategies by synthesizing two new Al 0.05 (TiVNb) 0.95–x Mo x (x = 0.05, 0.10) compositions. We specifically evaluate the effect of molybdenum (Mo) addition on the phase structure, microstructure, hydrogen absorption, and desorption properties. Both alloys crystallize in a bcc structure with decreasing lattice parameters as the Mo content increases. The alloys can rapidly absorb hydrogen at 25 °C with capacities of 1.78 H/M (2.79 wt %) and 1.79 H/M (2.75 wt %) with increasing Mo content. Pressure-composition isotherms suggest a two-step reaction for hydrogen absorption to a final fcc dihydride phase. The experiments demonstrate that increasing Mo content results in a significant hydride destabilization, which is consistent with predictions from a gradient boosting tree data-driven model for metal hydride thermodynamics. Furthermore, improved desorption properties with increasing Mo content and reversibility were observed by in situ synchrotron X-ray diffraction, in situ neutron diffraction, and thermal desorption spectroscopy.
36 MATERIALS SCIENCE↗
Using earth abundant materials for long duration energy storage: electro-chemical and thermo-chemical cycling of bicarbonate/formate
Using hydrogen to store energy in chemical bonds is a key component of the global strategy to achieving a sustainable future and ameliorating climate change. The challenges associated with handling molecular hydrogen can be solved by using liquid hydrogen carriers. In this perspective, we discuss the concept of bicarbonate–formate cycle, where aqueous solutions of formate ions (HCO 2 – ) are used as hydrogen and energy carriers. Such solutions are composed by earth abundant elements and, in contrast to common liquid organic carriers, are non-flammable, and readily convert to the oxide forms (HCO 3 – ) under reaction with water to release hydrogen, or electrons, at moderate temperatures. We discuss thermodynamic aspects of the bicarbonate–formate cycle and show how it offers the opportunity of combining electrochemical and thermochemical operations, as well as of coupling CO 2 capture with energy/hydrogen storage. We emphasize the potential role of electrochemistry in the generation of formate and in the release of energy in the form of electricity. At present, more information on both the fundamental and systems level, is needed to identify the feasible scenarios for using formate/bicarbonate salts for hydrogen/energy storage. It is likely, however, that several strategies, including hybrid electrochemical–thermochemical approaches, will suit different applications. It is also clear that more integration between the disciplines of electrochemistry and heterogeneous catalysis is needed to overcome the challenges for advancing the HCO 3 – –HCO 2 – system as a feasible green alternative for storing and transporting energy.
08 HYDROGEN↗
Electrochemical Compression for Ammonia Storage and Refrigeration System (Phase 2)
In this project, we studied the performance of the ammonia EC compressor under a variety of different conditions. We replicated preliminary data and using a small cell with 5 cm 2 of active area. We demonstrated the operation of larger cells with 100 cm 2 of active area. Further, we used a commercially available hydrogen EC compressor stack to analyze the scaled-up compressor performance. While previous experiments examined only the transient EC compressor performance, we developed test facilities that allowed the compressor to reach steady state.
25 ENERGY STORAGE↗
Transient Coupled Chemical-Thermal-Fluid Field Simulation for Sealed Aluminum-clad Spent Nuclear Fuel Storage Canister
As the first step toward developing three-dimensional (3D) multi-physics computational fluid dynamics (CFD) model for unsealed and vented canister storage system, a 3D CFD model coupled with bulk gas radiolysis reactions was developed first for sealed DOE standard canisters filled with inert gas and trace amount of air and water. The workflow for constructing canister-scale 3D CFD models and coupling with gas phase radiolysis reactions were established, which can be readily extended to unsealed, vented canister storage system. This interim milestone report documents the theory of the model, workflow to establish radiolysis reaction network, and initial simulations of the evolutions of thermal fields and hydrogen gas concentrations within sealed DOE standard canisters over long period of time. In addition, a mesh refinement test was done to show that increasing the models mesh refinement had negligible impact upon the temperature profiles.
12 MANAGEMENT OF RADIOACTIVE AND NON-RADIOACTIVE W↗
Ammonia decomposition catalyst systems
Disclosed are ruthenium-based catalyst systems, hafnium-based catalyst systems, and yttrium-based catalyst systems for use in ammonia decomposition. Catalyst systems include ruthenium, hafnium, and/or yttrium optionally in combination with one or more additional metals that can be catalytic or catalyst promoters. Hafnium-based and yttrium-based catalyst systems can be free of ruthenium. The catalyst systems also include a support material. Disclosed catalyst systems can decompose ammonia at relatively low temperatures and can provide an efficient and cost-effective route to utilization of ammonia as a carbon-free hydrogen storage and generation material.
McCullough, Katherine↗
Radiolytic Gas Generation and Pressure Buildup in a Closed System Containing Mo-99 Solution
This study measured radiolytic gas generation and pressure buildup in a sealed stainless-steel system containing alkaline Mo-99 solution with added sodium nitrate as a hydrogen suppressant. In each of two experiments, approximately 200 Ci of Mo-99 solution was transferred into a closed experimental vessel inside a hot cell, isolated, and monitored for pressure rise caused by gas generation during radioactive decay. After pressure buildup, headspace gas samples were collected and analyzed by mass spectrometry to determine hydrogen and oxygen concentrations. The purpose was to quantify the magnitude of pressure buildup in a closed system and to characterize the gas composition produced by radiolysis of the Mo-99 target solution under representative handling and storage conditions. The two experiments used similar total Mo-99 activity but differed in solution volume, headspace volume, and leak integrity. In the first experiment, 197.5 Ci of Mo-99 in 16.92 mL of solution was loaded into a vessel with a 31.1-mL headspace; a small leak was later identified, and the measured peak pressure of 46 psig was extrapolated to about 70 psig in the absence of leakage. The headspace gas from this experiment contained about 21.4% H2 and 63.4% O2, but the composition was influenced by preferential hydrogen loss through the leak. In the second experiment, 193 Ci of Mo-99 in 5.41 mL of solution with 0.46 g NaNO3 was loaded into a vessel with a larger 42.61 mL headspace, and no detectable leak was observed. This experiment reached a peak pressure of 38 psig, and the measured gas composition was approximately 28.2% H2 and 51.5% O2. Because the second experiment was leak-free, it is considered the more reliable indicator of the true pressure buildup and intrinsic radiolytic gas composition of the Mo-99 solution.
Chemerisov, Sergey D.↗
Techno-Economic Analysis of a Cryogenic Flux Capacitor for Grid Storage
Abstract The Cryogenic Flux Capacitor (CFC) is a cold, dense fluid storage core with integrated design features that afford the designer flexibility and provide new possibilities for the storage and discharge of energy. The stored energy, in this case, is represented by hydrogen physically bonded within the nanoscale pores within the aerogel composite blanket material, and the process of bonding or debonding is governed by principles of physical adsorption (physisorption) and thermodynamics. The large surface area afforded by the nanoporous aerogel (∼1,000 m2/g) allows for storage densities close to, or in some cases exceeding, that of normal boiling point liquids. Its performance easily exceeds what can be achieved via ambient temperature, high-pressure gas storage for an equivalent volume. CFC storage is predicted to be easily scalable, is constructed from readily available commercial materials, lends itself to a range of pressure applications, and is geometry insensitive. The high energy density of CFC-stored hydrogen allows long durations of storage, such as daily to monthly cycling, which corresponds to approximately 10 to 100 hours of duration, respectively. The techno-economic analysis examines different types of hydrogen storage for commercial viability. The assessment includes the use of hydrogen blended with natural gas in a combined cycle gas turbine. The study provides results for a range of blends from 100% natural gas to 100% hydrogen. The required fuel usages are estimated for the intended application in a grid scenario that features large amounts of renewable penetration, 10 hours, and as a baseload, 100 hours. The study presents preliminary estimates of the capital cost of storage and operating cost of storage. In addition, the cost of firing natural gas and capturing the carbon dioxide (CO2) in a carbon capture and sequestration (CCS) system is assessed. Based on the study, it is shown that CFC can competitively meet performance and cost needs for grid-based energy storage.
08 HYDROGEN↗
Impacts of High Variable Renewable Energy Futures on Electric-Sector Decision Making: Demand-Side Effects
Previous work by the Berkeley Lab describes how high shares of variable renewable energy (VRE) such as wind and solar power could change wholesale electricity price dynamics. These include the timing of when electricity is cheap or expensive, locational differences in the cost of electricity, and the degree of regularity or predictability in those costs. Many decentralized decision-makers on the demand-side may not yet have considered the implications of these possible future changes. In this report, we evaluate the sensitivity of a set of demand-side decisions to different levels of VRE penetration ranging from a low of 5-20% to a high of 40-50%. The analysis builds on hourly wholesale energy and capacity prices in different VRE scenarios for four wholesale markets in the United States for the year 2030 (CAISO, ERCOT, NYISO, and SPP). The principal question for this exploration is whether private and public electric-sector decisions that are made based on assumptions reflecting low VRE levels still achieve their intended objective in a high VRE scenario with 40-50% wind and solar? This scoping report evaluates the impacts of changing patterns of peak system needs on the benefits of demand reductions by examining the altered value of different energy efficiency (EE) measures. Similarly, we investigate new opportunities for large energy consumers that may arise from periods with very low wholesale electricity prices. We calculate the value of new process investments (e.g., hydrogen production and other generalized electro-commodities), showcase the varying value of new product storage investments (such as reservoir extensions at a desalination plant), and estimate the benefits of increased process flexibility that uses electricity as a process-input in addition to traditional fossil fuels (e.g., district energy systems). Finally, many decentralized decision-makers and end-use customers are not directly exposed to wholesale electricity prices but instead receive price signals from their retail electricity rates. As wind and solar shares increase, we compare the economic efficiency of flat retail rates relative to more dynamic time-of-use tariffs with and without critical peak-pricing events.
14 SOLAR ENERGY↗
Chapter 2: Evaluating a Concentrating Solar Power Plantas an Extended-Duration Peaking Resource
We explore the ability of a concentrating solar power (CSP) plant with thermal energy storage (TES) to provide peaking capacity. We focus on future power systems, wherein net load patterns may be significantly different than they are today (e.g., due to higher renewable-energy penetrations). We examine 28 locations in the southwestern United States over an 18-year period. The hourly operation of the CSP plants are simulated to determine their potential to provide energy during an eight-hour peak-load window for each day up to 365 days per year. Our result shows that for the large majority of locations and years, CSP plants with certain configurations (i.e., in terms of solar field and TES sizes) can provide nearly 100% peak-load capacity. We examine also the amount of supplemental energy (e.g.,by using natural gas as a supplemental thermal-energy source) that would be required to ensure that a CSP plant could serve the eight highest-load hours of every day of the year. We find that in most cases, a CSP plant supplemented with natural gas would require less than 5% of the fuel that is used by a natural-gas fired power plant providing the same level of reliable capacity. A series of sensitivity analyses show that these results are robust to the number of peak-load hours and days that are considered and the configuration of the CSP plant.
capacity value↗