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Search indexed NASA NTRS and DOE OSTI research on propulsion, heat transfer, battery materials and energy systems. Follow report and document links to the original sources.

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At least 361 records · Page 20
All sourcesNASA NTRSDOE OSTI
DOE OSTI2023

A new method for detecting abrupt changes in the dependence among multivariate hydrological series based on moving cut total correlation

Knowledge of how to define and estimate the dependence among multivariate hydrological series is essential for detecting abrupt changes in the dependence. Here, in this paper, a new method (BMCTC) is proposed to detect all possible abrupt change points in the dependence among multivariate hydrological series. The total correlation estimated by the matrix-based Renyi's alpha-order entropy functional is firstly introduced to define and measure the dependence strength among multivariate hydrological series. Then, the moving cut total correlation (MCTC) sequence is built by the moving window technique, which is used to measure changes in the dependence strength among multivariate hydrological series. Finally, the Bernaola-Galvan algorithm is used to detect all change points of the MCTC sequence. Simulations are performed to compare the effectiveness of BMCTC with Pearson correlation (BMCPC) and Spearman correlation (BMCSC), Cramer-von Mises (CvM) and copula-based likelihood-ratio (CLR). The results show that all change points are detected by BMCTC regardless of the samples size, but wrong change points or no change points are detected by other methods in most cases. BMCTC is applied to detect change points in the dependence among annual runoff, precipitation and sediment discharge series in the Xiliugou and the Kuyehe River, China. It is found that the dependence among runoff, precipitation and sediment discharge changed abruptly in 1980 and 1996 in the Kuyehe River and in 1999 in the Xiliugou River. These changes are mainly caused by human activities such as construction of water conservancy projects and coal mining.

54 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES↗
DOE OSTI2021

Characterizing the movements and habitat use of two fish species of concern in a regulated ecosystem

In freshwater ecosystems in the northwest United States, the distribution and movements of fish between their essential habitats are particularly impacted by the presence of hydroelectric dams. Bull Trout Salvelinus confluentus and Westslope Cutthroat Trout Oncorhynchus clarkii var. lewisi are two fish species of concern inhabiting the Pend Oreille River between Idaho and Washington states. The purpose of this study was to identify the behavior and habitat use of Bull Trout and Westslope Cutthroat Trout in the restricted area of the Pend Oreille River, downstream of Albeni Falls Dam (AFD), using a long-term radiotelemetry dataset. Between 2015 and 2018, 24 Bull Trout and 24 Westslope Cutthroat Trout were captured, tagged, and released downstream AFD. Among the fish tagged, 79% (n = 19 of 24) of Bull Trout and 67% (n = 16 of 24) of Westslope Cutthroat Trout were detected during the study period. Our results revealed movements of fish towards tributary confluences mostly in May, June, and July for both species with Bull Trout traveling longer distances than Westslope Cutthroat Trout. Although the sample size was limited, Bull Trout individual movements towards the dam suggested attempts to re-ascend the river, indicating the importance of restoring upstream connectivity.

Garavelli, Lysel↗
DOE OSTI2025

Remote quantification of Cm(III) and HNO 3 by fluorescence spectroscopy and chemometrics

A unique approach to remotely quantify Cm(III) (0–100 µg mL −1 ) in HNO 3 (1–12 M) using steady-state laser fluorescence spectroscopy and multivariate regression models was developed. Photoluminescence is amenable to remote measurements using fiber-optic cables and is sensitive to numerous lanthanide and actinide species. In-line measurements can provide feedback to support complex processing in harsh environments (e.g., hot cells) to help guide and optimize radiochemical separations. In this work, Cm(III) spectra were acquired remotely in a glove box as a function of HNO 3 concentration to better understand spectral characteristics and evaluate the utility of multivariate regression models in this system. Furthermore, the Cm(III) fluorescence peak shape, width, position, and intensity changed significantly as a function of HNO 3 concentration, likely because of the displacement of emission quenching inner-sphere water molecules and complexation with nitrate ions. Despite significant covariance and nonlinearity in the data, a D-optimal design strategy successfully minimized training set sample size and was used to build effective partial least squares regression models for Cm(III) and HNO 3 concentrations without a priori knowledge of solution conditions. Chemometrics for modeling complex fluorescence spectra are promising and may find widespread applicability for online analysis in numerous chemical systems found in the nuclear field.

Actinide↗
DOE OSTI2022

A phase transition for finding needles in nonlinear haystacks with LASSO artificial neural networks

To fit sparse linear associations, a LASSO sparsity inducing penalty with a single hyperparameter provably allows to recover the important features (needles) with high probability in certain regimes even if the sample size is smaller than the dimension of the input vector (haystack). More recently learners known as artificial neural networks (ANN) have shown great successes in many machine learning tasks, in particular fitting nonlinear associations. Small learning rate, stochastic gradient descent algorithm and large training set help to cope with the explosion in the number of parameters present in deep neural networks. Yet few ANN learners have been developed and studied to find needles in nonlinear haystacks. Driven by a single hyperparameter, our ANN learner, like for sparse linear associations, exhibits a phase transition in the probability of retrieving the needles, which we do not observe with other ANN learners. To select our penalty parameter, we generalize the universal threshold of Donoho and Johnstone (Biometrika 81(3):425–455, 1994) which is a better rule than the conservative (too many false detections) and expensive cross-validation. In the spirit of simulated annealing, we propose a warm-start sparsity inducing algorithm to solve the high-dimensional, non-convex and non-differentiable optimization problem. We perform simulated and real data Monte Carlo experiments to quantify the effectiveness of our approach.

97 MATHEMATICS AND COMPUTING↗
DOE OSTI2021

A bootstrapping approach to social media quantification

Abstract This work considers the use of classifiers in a downstream aggregation task estimating class proportions, such as estimating the percentage of reviews for a movie with positive sentiment. We derive the bias and variance of the class proportion estimator when taking classification error into account to determine how to best trade off different error types when tuning a classifier for these tasks. Additionally, we propose a method for constructing confidence intervals that correctly adjusts for classification error when estimating these statistics. We conduct experiments on four document classification tasks comparing our methods to prior approaches across classifier thresholds, sample sizes, and label distributions. Prior approaches have focused on providing the most accurate point estimate while this work focuses on the creation of correct confidence intervals that appropriately account for classifier error. Compared to the prior approaches, our methods provide lower error and more accurate confidence intervals.

96 KNOWLEDGE MANAGEMENT AND PRESERVATION↗
DOE OSTI2023

High dimensional binary classification under label shift: phase transition and regularization

Label Shift has been widely believed to be harmful to the generalization performance of machine learning models. Researchers have proposed many approaches to mitigate the impact of the label shift, e.g., balancing the training data. However, these methods often consider the underparametrized regime, where the sample size is much larger than the data dimension. The research under the overparametrized regime is very limited. Here, to bridge this gap, we propose a new asymptotic analysis of the Fisher Linear Discriminant classifier for binary classification with label shift. Specifically, we prove that there exists a phase transition phenomenon: Under certain overparametrized regime, the classifier trained using imbalanced data outperforms the counterpart with reduced balanced data. Moreover, we investigate the impact of regularization to the label shift: The aforementioned phase transition vanishes as the regularization becomes strong.

binary classification↗
DOE OSTI2025

Nucleation rate controlled grain boundary and lattice creep

Nucleation versus diffusion rate-limited bicrystal and single crystal creep exhibit different scaling dependencies that enable the mechanisms to be isolated when measured as a function of sample size. It has recently been suggested that nucleation rate-limited kinetic models generally describe the non-Newtonian portion of the creep response well, but more direct evidence is required. This work analyzes the grain boundary creep response of UO 2 , a pyrochlore high entropy oxide, silver, and palladium, along with the lattice creep of silver using small-scale in situ loading in the transmission electron microscope. At small sizes, each system exhibits scale dependence associated with nucleation rate-limited kinetics. Fits of the data produce activation volumes on the order of a few Burgers vectors cubed with positive temperature coefficients as expected for nucleation kinetics. The activation enthalpies fall in the range of about 0.4 eV to 1.7 eV, being lower for the metals and higher for the oxides.

36 MATERIALS SCIENCE↗
DOE OSTI2022

Application of machine learning to evaluating and remediating models for energy and environmental engineering

Machine learning (ML) algorithms have been increasingly successful in their applications to solve energy and environmental engineering problems. ML algorithms have the advantage of being able to solve highly nonlinear issues effectively. Furthermore, considering the limited sample size of data collected in energy and environmental engineering, obtaining a ML model with reasonable accuracy is simple. Unfortunately, the vast majority of the current applications of ML algorithms lack effective screening of dominant factors and comprehensive model validation, which weakens the predictive ability of the models. The present study takes the minimum miscible pressure (MMP) of CO 2 - oil systems as an example. It establishes a systematic and robust predictive model to address this issue. Based on 147 sets of slim tube tests, the predictive models of the MMPs are investigated by application of eight ML algorithms. The paper concludes that most of the published ML models in the field of energy and environmental engineering prediction are not reliable. Furthermore, it addresses the main reasons for the poor performance of some predictive models built by ML and provides guidelines on how to make such models robust. Further, to the best of our knowledge, this is the first study to point out the defects of current ML modeling methods and propose countermeasures for their application in energy and environmental engineering problems.

29 ENERGY PLANNING, POLICY, AND ECONOMY↗
DOE OSTI2022

Automated processing of environmental transmission electron microscopy images for quantification of thin film dewetting and carbon nanotube nucleation dynamics

We report scalable production of carbon nanotubes (CNTs) requires catalysts and reaction conditions that provide high nucleation efficiency. In situ characterization methods such as environmental transmission electron microscopy (ETEM) can reveal fundamental mechanisms of synthesis, but to date have primarily provided qualitative observations on small sample sizes. Here, quantitative analysis is performed using high-resolution, high-rate video capture of ETEM experimentation coupled with automated image processing, involving computer vision algorithms and convolutional neural networks. By this approach, we detect distinct nanoparticle formation from an alumina-supported iron thin film and subsequent CNT nucleation from the nanoparticles. The statistical summary of particles in each video shows that, compared to a H 2 -only atmosphere, pretreatment of the catalyst with carbon added to the H 2 atmosphere results in a smaller average particle diameter, a 2-fold increase in particle density (to 5300 particles/μm 2 ), a 3-fold increase in CNT nucleation efficiency (to 92%), and more than a 5-fold increase in CNT density (to 4800/μm 2 ). Addition of carbon during exposure to H 2 is also more effective than NH 3 at dewetting the catalyst film and increasing the CNT nucleation efficiency, in spite of NH 3 being a stronger reducing agent for iron. Insights from this study are applicable to improving CNT yield and productivity in both batch-style and continuous processes.

25 ENERGY STORAGE↗
DOE OSTI2021

Transforming polymorphs, melting, and boiling during cookoff of PETN

Transforming polymorphs, melting, and boiling are physical processes that can accelerate decomposition rates during cookoff of PETN and make measurements difficult. For example, splashing liquids from large bubbles filled with decomposition products clog pressure tubing in sealed experiments. Boil over can also extinguish thermal excursions in vented experiments making ignition difficult. For better measurements, we have modified the Sandia Instrumented Thermal Ignition (SITI) experiment to obtain better sealed and vented cookoff data for PETN by reducing the sample size and including additional gas space to prevent clogged tubing and boil over. Ignition times were not affected by 1) increasing the gas space by a factor of 3 in sealed SITI experiments or by 2) venting the decomposition gasses. That is, thermal ignition of PETN is not pressure dependent and the rate-limiting step during PETN decomposition likely occurs in the condensed phase. A simple decomposition model was calibrated using these observations and includes rate acceleration caused by melting and boiling. The model is used to predict internal temperatures, pressurization, and thermal ignition in a wide variety of experiments. Furthermore, the model is also used with SITI data to estimate the previously unreported latent enthalpy (5 J/g) associated with the α (PETN-I) to β (PETN-II) polymorphic phase transformation of PETN.

42 ENGINEERING↗
DOE OSTI2020

Topological analysis of X-ray CT data for the recognition and trending of subtle changes in microstructure under material aging

X-ray computed tomography (CT) is an established non-destructive tool for 3D imaging of multiphasic composites. Numerous applications of X-ray CT in medical diagnosis and materials characterization have been reported, many involving field-specific innovations in the imaging technology itself. Yet, quantitative summarization to link image features to properties of interest has been rare. Here we address this issue by employing state-of-the-art technics in scalar field topology for the summarization of X-ray CT images of an example biphasic system. By varying processing-parameters we create different microstructures, evolve them through accelerated thermal aging, CT-image them pre- and post-aged, and demonstrate the ability of our image summarization method to systematically track process- and age-related changes, which can often be very subtle. A novel aspect of the algorithm involves recognition over multiple resolution levels, which provides deeper insight into the pattern relationship between grain-like features and their neighbors. The method is general, adaptable to diverse image reconstruction methods and materials systems, and particularly useful in applications where practical constraints on the sample-size limits the reliable use of more complex models, e.g., convolutional neural networks.

36 MATERIALS SCIENCE↗
DOE OSTI2025

Converting sWeights to probabilities with density ratios

The use of machine learning approaches continues to have many benefits in experimental nuclear and particle physics. One common issue is generating training data which is sufficiently realistic to give reliable results. Here we advocate using real experimental data as the source of training data and demonstrate how one might subtract background contributions through the use of probabilistic weights which can be readily applied to training data. The sPlot formalism is a common tool used to isolate distributions from different sources. However, the negative sWeights produced by the sPlot technique can cause training problems and poor predictive power. This article demonstrates how density ratio estimation can be applied to convert sWeights to event probabilities, which we call drWeights. The drWeights can then be applied to produce the distributions of interest and are consistent with direct use of the sWeights. This article will also show how decision trees are particularly well suited to convert sWeights, with the benefit of fast prediction rates and adaptability to aspects of experimental data such as the data sample size and proportions of different event sources. We also show that a density ratio product approach in which the initial drWeights are reweighted by an additional converter gives substantially better results.

Glazier, Derek I. [Univ. of Glasgow, Scotland (Uni↗
DOE OSTI2025

BrainXcan identifies brain features associated with behavioral and psychiatric traits using large-scale genetic and imaging data

Advances in brain MRI have enabled many discoveries in neuroscience. Case-control comparisons of brain MRI features have highlighted potential causes of psychiatric and behavioral disorders. However, due to the cost and difficulty of collecting MRI data, most studies have small sample sizes, limiting their reliability. Furthermore, reverse causality complicates interpretation because many observed brain differences are the result rather than the cause of the disease. Here we propose a method (BrainXcan) that leverages the power of large-scale genomewide association studies (GWAS) and reference brain MRI data to discover new mechanisms of disease etiology and validate existing ones. BrainXcan tests the association with genetic predictors of brain MRI-derived features and complex traits to pinpoint relevant brain-wide and region-specific features. Requiring only genetic data, BrainXcan allows us to test a host of hypotheses on mental illness, across many MRI modalities, using public data resources. For example, our method shows that reduced axonal density across the brain is associated with schizophrenia risk, consistent with the disconnectivity hypothesis. We also find that the hippocampus volume is associated with schizophrenia risk, highlighting the potential of our approach. Taken together, our results show the promise of BrainXcan to provide insights into the biology of GWAS traits.

Association study↗
DOE OSTI2024

Self-reported health impacts of do-it-yourself air cleaner use in a smoke-impacted community

Smoke exposure from wildfires or residential wood burning for heat is a public health problem for many communities. Do-It-Yourself (DIY) portable air cleaners (PACs) are promoted as affordable alternatives to commercial PACs, but evidence of their effect on health outcomes is limited. Pilot test an evaluation of the effect of DIY PAC usage on self-reported symptoms, and investigate barriers and facilitators of PAC use, among members of a tribal community that routinely experiences elevated concentrations of fine particulate matter (PM 2.5 ) from smoke. We conducted studies in Fall 2021 (“wildfire study”; N = 10) and Winter 2022 (“wood stove study”; N = 17). Each study included four sequential one-to-two-week phases: 1) initial, 2) DIY PAC usage ≥8 h/day, 3) commercial PAC usage ≥8 h/day, and 4) air sensor with visual display and optional PAC use. We continuously monitored PAC usage and indoor/outdoor PM 2.5 concentrations in homes. Concluding each phase, we conducted phone surveys about participants’ symptoms, perceptions, and behaviors. We analyzed symptoms associated with PAC usage and conducted an analysis of indoor PM 2.5 concentrations as a mediating pathway using mixed effects multivariate linear regression. We categorized perceptions related to PACs into barriers and facilitators of use. No association was observed between PAC usage and symptoms, and the mediation analysis did not indicate that small observed trends were attributable to changes in indoor PM 2.5 concentrations. Small sample sizes hindered the ability to draw conclusions regarding the presence or absence of causal associations. DIY PAC usage was low; loud operating noise was a barrier to use. This research is novel in studying health effects of DIY PACs during wildfire and wood smoke exposures. Such research is needed to inform public health guidance. Recommendations for future studies on PAC use during smoke exposure include building flexibility of intervention timing into the study design.

54 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES↗
DOE OSTI2020

Sequential ensemble transform for Bayesian inverse problems

In this work, we present the Sequential Ensemble Transform (SET) method, an approach for generating approximate samples from a Bayesian posterior distribution. The method explores the posterior distribution by solving a sequence of discrete optimal transport problems to produce a series of transport plans which map prior samples to posterior samples. We prove that the sequence of Dirac mixture distributions produced by the SET method converges weakly to the true posterior as the sample size approaches infinity. Furthermore, our numerical results indicate that, when compared to standard Sequential Monte Carlo (SMC) methods, the SET approach is more robust to the choice of Markov mutation kernels and requires less computational efforts to reach a similar accuracy when used to explore complex posterior distributions. Finally, we describe adaptive schemes that allow to completely automate the use of the SET method.

71 CLASSICAL AND QUANTUM MECHANICS, GENERAL PHYSIC↗
DOE OSTI2022

GenMod: A generative modeling approach for spectral representation of PDEs with random inputs

Here, we propose a method for quantifying uncertainty in high-dimensional PDE systems with random parameters, where the number of solution evaluations is small. Parametric PDE solutions are often approximated using a spectral decomposition based on polynomial chaos expansions. For the class of systems we consider (i.e., high dimensional with limited solution evaluations) the coefficients are given by an underdetermined linear system in a regression formulation. This implies additional assumptions, such as sparsity of the coefficient vector, are needed to approximate the solution. Here, we present an approach where we assume the coefficients are close to the range of a generative model that maps from a low to a high dimensional space of coefficients. Our approach is inspired be recent work examining how generative models can be used for compressed sensing in systems with random Gaussian measurement matrices. Using results from PDE theory on coefficient decay rates, we construct an explicit generative model that predicts the polynomial chaos coefficient magnitudes. The algorithm we developed to find the coefficients, which we call GenMod, is composed of two main steps. First, we predict the coefficient signs using Orthogonal Matching Pursuit. Then, we assume the coefficients are within a sparse deviation from the range of a sign-adjusted generative model. This allows us to find the coefficients by solving a nonconvex optimization problem, over the input space of the generative model and the space of sparse vectors. We obtain theoretical recovery results for a Lipschitz continuous generative model and for a more specific generative model, based on coefficient decay rate bounds. We examine three high-dimensional problems and show that, for all three examples, the generative model approach outperforms sparsity promoting methods at small sample sizes.

97 MATHEMATICS AND COMPUTING↗
DOE OSTI2023

The influence of water, diet, and temperature on 87 Sr/ 86 Sr in fin spines of juvenile Atlantic Sturgeon Acipenser oxyrinchus oxyrinchus

Analysis of microchemistry in fish fin spines offers a non-lethal approach to address key questions relating to spatial patterns and habitat use of fish. Reconstruction of life history is based on chemical changes within calcified structures with an underlying assumption of elemental incorporation relative to environmental concentration. However, information is limited on the relative influence of water and diet concentrations of elements to corresponding concentrations within fin spines. Strontium (Sr) is commonly used in trace element studies because of its predictable changes within watersheds, with recent applications showing utility of 87 Sr/ 86 Sr for greater spatial resolution. Therefore, this study evaluated the influence of water and diet 87 Sr/ 86 Sr on pectoral fin spines of Atlantic Sturgeon A. oxyrinchus oxyrinchus in controlled laboratory experiments. In the first experiment, fish were exposed to a control, water spiked with 0.10 mg/L of 87 Sr or diet spiked with 0.25 µg/g or 0.50 µg/g of 87 Sr in replicated tanks for 12 weeks. In a second experiment, to determine the time duration required to occupy a different environment for fin spine chemistry to change, fish were maintained in water- or diet-spiked treatments for 1, 2, 3, or 6 weeks. Additionally, to determine if temperature has an influence on 87 Sr/ 86 Sr in fin spines, fish were held at 15 and 25°C for 12 weeks. Fin spines were analyzed using laser ablation multi-collector inductively coupled plasma mass spectrometry (LA-MC-ICP-MS), and water and diet samples were analyzed using solution based ICP-MS. Results from Experiment 1 indicate water is the primary contributor and diet a secondary contributor of 87 Sr/ 86 Sr in pectoral fin spines of Atlantic Sturgeon. Results from Experiment 2 indicate fin spine 87 Sr/ 86 Sr can be influenced by water after 1 week and diet after 12 weeks. Additionally, although sample size was limited (n=3), water temperature did not have an effect on 87 Sr/ 86 Sr fin spine chemistry. In conclusion, these results provide guidance for interpretation of 87 Sr/ 86 Sr in pectoral fin spines of sturgeon and indicate usefulness of the technique for retrospectively estimating movement and habitat use.

59 BASIC BIOLOGICAL SCIENCES↗
DOE OSTI2022

Experimentally validated multiphysics modeling of fracture induced by thermal shocks in sintered UO 2 pellets

Uranium Dioxide (UO 2 ) fuel powers almost all commercial Nuclear Power Plants (NPPs) worldwide, generating carbon-free energy and contributing to the fight against climate change. UO 2 fuel incurs damage and fractures due to large thermal gradients that develop across the fuel pellet during normal and transient operating conditions. A comprehensive understanding of the underlying mechanisms by which these processes take place is still lacking. A combined experimental and computational approach is utilized here to quantify the behavior of UO 2 fuel fracture induced by thermal shock. Here, this work introduces both (1) an experimental study to understand the fuel fracturing behavior of sintered UO 2 pellets when exposed to thermal shock, and (2) a Multiphysics phase-field fracture model capable of simulating this process. Parametric studies were conducted to evaluate the effects of uncertainties in fracture properties on the fracture behavior of UO 2 due to thermal shocking. A set of energy release rate (or equivalently fracture toughness) and contract area (the part of the fuel pellet in direct contact with the cold bath) were able to capture the overall fracture trends of the corresponding experimental data. Our combined approach presents a new method for accounting for the effects of microstructure and sample size on the energy release rate/fracture toughness. The experimental data were collected from multiple experiments that exposed UO 2 pellets to high-temperature conditions (589–676 °C) followed by a quench in sub-zero water. This work demonstrates that joint experimental and computational efforts are able to advance the understanding of thermal fracture in the primary fuel source for existing and future NPPs.

36 MATERIALS SCIENCE↗