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DOE OSTI2025

Consequence analyses of sabotage-induced radiological releases in sodium-cooled fast microreactors

Analysis of three sodium-cooled fast microreactors (SFMs) with thermal powers of 10, 30, and 50 MWt showed that smaller reactors result in lower radiological consequences during a postulated sabotage-induced event because of their reduced core inventory. All SFMs used U-10Zr metal fuel enriched to 15 wt% high-assay low-enriched uranium and operated until their respective effective multiplication factor (k eff ) reduced to less than 1 or until the end of their operational lifespan. Sabotage scenarios were simulated at this point, when the fuel inventory within the core contains the highest-level of radioactivity. Radionuclide core inventories were calculated using the SCALE code at shutdown and 3 days post-shutdown. Dose consequence analyses were performed for three sabotage scenarios using the RASCAL tool. As microreactor developers plan for minimal on-site or complete off-site emergency response, it remains essential to evaluate their physical protection needs and potential hazards, including assessing postulated sabotage-induced events that could become more relevant. SFM licensees should identify a credible worst-case, major accident, estimate release source terms, and perform dose consequence analyses to evaluate site-specific physical protection measures. In conclusion, this recommendation supports a risk-informed, performance-based approach, aligning with applicable regulatory requirements, i.e., 10 CFR Parts 100 and 53 rulemaking in the United States.

98 NUCLEAR DISARMAMENT, SAFEGUARDS, AND PHYSICAL P↗

DOE OSTI2022

SAS4A/SASSYS-1 Validation with the FFTF LOFWOS Tests #10-12

The FFTF liquid sodium cooled test reactor was built to assist the development and testing of advanced fuels and material for fast reactors. The goals of the FFTF Passive Safety Testing program included confirming the safety margins of FFTF as a liquid metal reactor, providing data for computer code validation, and demonstrating the inherent and passive safety benefits of its specific design features. The program included thirteen unprotected loss of flow without scram tests. The results of modeling and simulation of LOFWOS Tests #10, #11, and #12 are presented in this report to support validation of Argonne’s SAS4A/SASSYS-1 fast reactor safety analysis code. These three tests did not use the primary loop pony motors and thus transitioned to natural circulation flow rates from varying initial power levels. This validation activity leverages modeling and simulation efforts that originated under an International Atomic Energy Agency Coordinated Research Project (CRP) for benchmark analysis of the FFTF LOFWOS Test #13. The SAS4A/SASSYS-1 model originally developed for the CRP has been extended to include LOFWOS Tests #10-12 and modernized to utilize new code features and modeling practices. Predicted results from SAS4A/SASSYS-1 were compared to measured test data and differences were investigated. Overall, it was concluded that, for LOFWOS Tests #10-12, there was good agreement between the flow, power, and temperature predictions and the measured data.

21 SPECIFIC NUCLEAR REACTORS AND ASSOCIATED PLANTS↗

DOE OSTI2025

SAS4A/SASSYS-1 Validation with FFTF Tests

21 SPECIFIC NUCLEAR REACTORS AND ASSOCIATED PLANTS↗

DOE OSTI2024

Strength stability at high temperatures for additively manufactured alumina forming austenitic alloy

Several fast-spectrum nuclear reactors designed to generate high power (~450 MWe) rely on forced convection of media such as supercritical CO 2 , sodium, or liquid lead to cool the nuclear core, operating at temperatures up to 600 °C. Cost-effective, high-strength Fe-based alumina forming austenitic (AFA) alloys are a promising candidate for the fabrication of critical nuclear components. This study investigated laser powder bed fusion (LPBF) processing of an AFA alloy composition optimized for improved creep resistance. Electron microscopy revealed an elongated grain structure along the build direction with a fine sub-grain cellular structure decorated with (Cr,Fe,Nb) 23 C 6 carbide precipitates at the intercellular boundaries. Finally, at temperatures of 20–900 °C, the LPBF alloy's superior tensile properties compared to its arc-melted counterpart and other advanced steels (e.g., SS316) were attributed to the distribution of nano-sized carbide precipitates, whereas the high ductility was attributed to the LPBF alloy's elongated grain structure.

36 MATERIALS SCIENCE↗

DOE OSTI2022

On the characterization of biases arising from methods and approximations used for sensitivity analyses

The preliminary assessment of the performance and safety of advanced reactors, as well as the identification of research and development needs, rely on computer simulations due to the lack of operational experience. Those simulations should be based on verified and validated computational tools, calculation schemes, and nuclear data libraries, and should be accompanied of a proper characterization of the involved uncertainties, providing confidence in the computational-based predictions. Thus, sensitivity and uncertainty studies, together with integral experiments, play an essential role in that process. Sensitivities are then a critical element and guidelines about how to produce accurate enough sensitivities depending on the subsequent analyses to be performed are of interest. The present study addresses the sensitivities biases arising from the use of different nuclear data libraries, computational methods and the assumption of modelling simplifications. Not only sensitivities for multiplication factor but also for safety-relevant reactivity responses have been analyzed. In the study, propagated uncertainties are also included for the considered parameters to illustrate the impact of the sensitivity profiles obtained for each case on the final uncertainty. Then, relevant recommendations are given for sensitivity analyses of highly complex systems. (authors)

21 SPECIFIC NUCLEAR REACTORS AND ASSOCIATED PLANTS↗

DOE OSTI2026

ZPRD Database: ZPPR-15 Monte Carlo Results

The ZPPR-15 experiments [1] were mockups of a 330 MWe Integral Fast Reactor (IFR). The ZPPR-15 assembly consisted of a clean, two zone, approximately circular core surrounded by a thin depleted uranium (DU) blanket with sodium (Na) cooling and a thick stainless steel reflector. The ZPPR-15 program was conducted in four phases: A, B, C, and D. Each phase was marked by a particular composition of the reference assembly, with the last three being representative of the three stages of the IFR fuel cycle. This report documents all MCNP [2] runs of the ZPPR-15 loadings that were included in the ZPRD database on GitLab. In the present work, eigenvalues and associated standard deviations were computed for each ZPPR-15 loading with the use of the three data libraries (ENDF/B-VII.0 [3], ENDF/B-VII.1 [4] and ENDF/B-VIII.0 [5]). Relevant results from the obtained outputs are also discussed in this report with two main objectives: a) provide and evaluate updated calculated values with respect to previous reports, notably Refs. [6] and [7] that were based on the use of the ENDF/B-VII.0 library. b) address any change in the observed reactivity effects relevant to the analysis of the experimental data when a different data library is used (previously reported results were mostly based on the use of ENDF/B-VII.0 data only).

Aliberti, Gerardo↗

DOE OSTI2024

Improving to the neutron fluence rate monitor measurement system at the Advanced Test Reactor [Poster]

The existing fluence monitor wire scanning system at the Advanced Test Reactor (ATR) was designed and installed for use in the Engineering Test Reactor (ETR) when it began operation in 1958. The wire scanner was operated in ETR for over 20 years until ATR began operation, when it was moved to the ATR west canal area in 1971 and subsequently moved to the west canal in 2006 where it presently resides. With a continued service life of 65 years the system is well beyond the typical design life of 20 years for these types of systems. The need to update the data acquisition and control system was identified, and the benefits of replacing the existing sodium iodide (NaI) detector with an electronically cooled high-purity germanium (HPGe) detector are discussed. The wirescanner system in the ATR canal is utilized after every reactor cycle by the ATR Radiation Measurements Laboratory (RML) to assess the activation of cobalt and nickel dosimeter wires during the cycle. These wires become activated through exposure to thermal and fast neutrons respectively during the irradiation cycle and are highly radioactive upon shutdown. It is for this reason that the wirescanner is used in the ATR canal rather than transporting the dosimeters to another facility. A scoping study was performed to develop a base-line design to ensure that existing capabilities could be replaced with a new system. The new hardware will enable automated measuring of several flux monitor holders without necessitating the removal of the flux wires. In this way, flux wire measurements will be performed with minimal dose to the technicians and will not be limited by canal operations as is presently the case. The new control and acquisition software will be based on commercially available and supported systems that have a wide user-base to provide long-term stability. An electronically cooled HPGe detector will be used to provide high-resolution gamma-ray measurements, an improvement from the low-resolution sodium-iodide detector that is presently deployed. The electronic cooler eliminates the need for liquid nitrogen to cool the detector head. A new collimator has been designed to house the new detector and allow for sufficient counting rates.

21 SPECIFIC NUCLEAR REACTORS AND ASSOCIATED PLANTS↗

DOE OSTI2026

Comparative Assessment of Radiological Consequences from Sabotage-Induced Releases in Diverse Microreactor Designs

Many microreactor design developers are planning to reduce on-site physical protection measures and emergency planning zones by relying on robust fuel and reactor designs and leveraging passive safety systems. These reductions raise the risk of sabotage at these microreactors. To evaluate these requirements, this study assessed the radiological consequences of sabotage-induced accidents at microreactors. For the assessment, five diverse designs, each producing 30 MWt, were considered. These designs included pressurized water microreactors (PWMs), sodium-cooled fast microreactors (SFMs), high-temperature helium-cooled prismatic microreactors (HTPMs), heat pipe–cooled microreactors (HPMs), and molten salt–cooled microreactors (MSMs). For each design, two postulated sabotage-induced accidents were defined along with the associated release percentages of fission products. Additionally, consequences from the release of activation products were assessed. With regard to evaluating physical protection and emergency planning requirements, the consequences of sabotage-induced accidents for each design type were found to be comparable. The differences were primarily because of the distinct fuel forms (and associated release mechanisms), burnup, and neutron spectra of the different microreactor types. Future effort will further investigate the release percentages of fission products to perform accurate dose consequence assessment.

22 GENERAL STUDIES OF NUCLEAR REACTORS↗

DOE OSTI2025

Identifying Challenges in Safeguards for Metallic Fuel Fabrication Facilities

As new advanced reactors gain popularity, there is an increasing interest in metallic fuel fabrication for fast reactors. While metallic fuels themselves are not a new idea, as many of the first reactors employed metallic fuels, new designs, compositions, and fabrication methods are appearing throughout the nuclear community. As the interest grows and facilities are constructed, both domestic and international safeguards will need to be heavily involved to support safeguards-by-design (SBD) measures from the start. This work compiles a review of historical and modern fuel types and fabrication methods, fabrication processes, safeguards gaps, and potential safeguards solutions. Metallic nuclear fuel types have been around for many decades and were included in some of the first reactors including the Experimental Breeder Reactor (EBR)-I and -II, the Fermi 1 reactor, the Integral Fast Reactor (IFR), and the Dounreay Fast Reactor (DFR). These reactors used various compositions including pure uranium (U) metal, U-zirconium (Zr) alloys, plutonium (Pu)-aluminum (Al) alloys, U-fissium (Fs) alloys, U-Pu-Zr alloys, and U-molybdenum (Mo) alloys [1, 2, 3, 4, 5]. These small alloying additions are included to improve the material properties of the pure U metal. The alpha-phase U (stable below 661C) suffers elongation in one direction causing grain boundary cracking and increasing creep rate due to irradiation growth, thermal cycling, and preferential crystal orientation. It is ideal to utilize the gamma-phase U (typically stable above 769C) by adding small amounts of alloying elements such as Zr or Mo to stabilize this phase down to room temperature [3]. Additionally, some research has been focused on U with transuranic (TRU) elements present, typically coming from the used fuel recycling process. Including these elements in fast reactor fuel can aid in the reduction of nuclear waste by burning minor long-lived actinides. However, the additions of TRU elements can cause concerns to arise when trying to fabrication or safeguard metallic fuels. A typical metallic fuel element is shown in Figure 1. Sodium is added into the cladding to create a thermal bond between the fuel slug and cladding wall. The fuel slug is then inserted and the end plug is welded on to the top of the fuel element. A gas plenum is left to create a headspace for gaseous fission products to escape rather than continue to build in the fuel itself [1, 5]. Other fuel element geometries exist as well, such as the Lightbridge twisted cruciform geometry shown in Figure 2 [6]. This design allows for better cooling performance and provides room for fuel rod swelling without impacting the fuel rod diameter. There are many different fabrication methods for metallic fuels, which is one of the many benefits of these fuel types. Many of these fabrication methods are relatively easy and cost-efficient. The most popular fabrication method is injection casting, sometimes called vacuum induction melting (VIM), shown in Figure 3 [4, 8, 9, 7, 10]. This method was largely used for EBR-II fuel fabrication. The injection casting system is contained inside of a vessel consisting of a Y2O3-coated graphite crucible surrounded by an induction coil with ZrO2-coated quartz molds suspended above the crucible. The fuel feedstock is placed inside of the graphite crucible and melted using the induction furnace. The induction furnace utilizes a dual frequency with the high frequency melting the feedstock and the low frequency causing stirring of the melted feedstock to form a homogeneous mixture. The mixture is heated to approximately 1600C in an argon environment. The vessel is evacuated and then the quartz molds are lowered into the graphite crucible containing the molten metal and the vessel is repressurized to inject the metal fuel upwards into the molds. The molds are removed and then shattered to release the fuel slugs. This fabrication method was used to fabricate 39,000 metallic fuel pins for EBR-II. While injection casting has been the most common metallic fuel fabrication method throughout the decades, many other methods have been explored including low-pressure gravity casting, microwave casting, continuous casting, centrifugal casting, coextrusion, and many others [11, 12, 8, 13, 14, 15]. Some of these methods aim to mitigate challenges that arise with americium (Am) volatilization during the casting process for TRU-containing fuel feedstocks, an issue with injection casting. Coextrusion is one of the methods explored at the Idaho National Laboratory (INL) and has been utilized for the initial fabrication tests of Lightbridge's unique fuels, as well as other metallic fuels with cladding coextruded. In this process, large billets are formed and machined and then inserted into a molten salt bath for approximately 30 minutes. The billets are then loaded into the extrusion press and extruded. This process can be seen in Figure 4 [15].

11 - NUCLEAR FUEL CYCLE AND FUEL MATERIALS↗

DOE OSTI2026

FY26 Progress on Demonstration of a Multiphysics Steady State Capability for Modeling Core Radial Expansion in SFRs

Under the U.S. Department of Energy Office of Nuclear Energy Advanced Modeling and Simulation (NEAMS) Program, an integrated multiphysics approach is being developed to model the core bowing phenomena important to liquid metal-cooled fast reactors. Core bowing is an important passive safety mechanism in liquid metal-cooled fast reactors and involves multiphysics effects including radiation transport, fluid flow, heat transfer, and mechanical response to temperature and flux gradients. This report summarizes recent progress on developing a multiphysics, MOOSE-based workflow to predict core bowing and associated reactivity feedback. Significant new capabilities in the reactor physics code Griffin - sodium backfill and pin power reconstruction for deformed geometries - were applied in this effort. This year’s work included verification, code comparisons, sensitivity studies, and coupled demonstrations that advance the state of MOOSE-based core bowing workflow. Griffin’s sodium backfill capability was verified by demonstrating that its automated treatment of geometry expansion and material-density updates reproduces manual calculations exactly, confirming solid mass conservation and proper coolant backfilling in expanded geometries. Reconstructed pin powers were compared for Griffin’s ductheterogeneous and ring-heterogeneous treatments in single-, seven-, and nineteen-assembly cases, with best agreement observed in lower-leakage configurations and the duct-heterogeneous approach offering substantially lower computational cost. Thermal-hydraulic sensitivity sensitivities showed that MOOSE SCM, SAM, and CFD are expected to produce similar deformation predictions despite variances in their temperature predictions, and that explicit treatment of inter-assembly flow becomes increasingly important as gap flow rate increases. Finally, coupled demonstrations on small multi-assembly configurations using Griffin, MOOSE Solid Mechanics, MOOSE SCM, and Heat Conduction produced physically consistent reactivity feedback from thermal expansion and bowing. The coupled demonstrations simulated grid plate expansion as well as resultant core bowing at full power conditions. Simplifications were made in current workflow, namely the assumption of instantaneous full power conditions following hot zero power, and pre-expanding the Griffin geometry axially due to lack of an axial fuel pin expansion model and temperature feedback to Griffin.

Wozniak, Nicholas↗

DOE OSTI2022

Stereolithographic geometry model of the IBR-2M experimental facility

The IBR-2M is a fast research reactor that operates in supercritical condition for ∼ 800 μs every 200 ms. Two reflector parts in nickel rotate in opposite directions generating 1.8 GWth peak power when they align with the fuel zone changing the reactor status from deep subcritical to supercritical. The reactor core uses high-enriched plutonium fuel and is cooled by sodium. This reactor has been modeled by MCNP and SERPENT computer programs. The MCNP model uses combinatorial geometry, whereas the SERPENT model employs the Stereolithographic (STL) geometry representation that can be used by 3D printers. The STL geometry was constructed using the CUBIT computer program. The CUBIT program was also used for a three-dimensional visualization of the Monte Carlo models. SERPENT and MCNP models use the same geometry, material specifications, and nuclear data. The latter are based on the ENDF/B-7.0 library. SERPENT and MCNP using same geometry and same material specifications produce similar k{sub eff} values within 120 pcm.

21 SPECIFIC NUCLEAR REACTORS AND ASSOCIATED PLANTS↗

DOE OSTI2025

Development and preliminary validation of a mechanistic multiscale model for fuel-cladding chemical interaction in metallic nuclear fuels

Despite decades of fuel rod material and design improvements, fuel-cladding chemical interaction (FCCI) remains the single-most lifetime-limiting behavior for modern metallic fuel rods. Constraining fuel lifetime increases operating costs, limiting the economic viability of commercializing metallic nuclear fuel technology. A mechanistic multiscale model utilizing the finite element method-based MARMOT and BISON codes was developed to more confidently predict cladding-side FCCI and its impact on fuel performance. The new BISON model incorporates mesoscale models for the effects of fuel microstructure evolution on the transport of wastage-inducing lanthanides through the fuel and for the kinetics of cladding wastage layer growth. The mesoscale models, in turn, build on lanthanide transport property data obtained from the atomistic scale. Preliminary validation studies using wastage thickness and cladding profilometry data from four fuel rods irradiated in Experimental Breeder Reactor II experiment X447 and one fuel rod from Fast Flux Test Facility experiment IFR1 show that the new model predicts cladding wastage and its effects on cladding deformation as well as existing empirical FCCI correlations. The new model is expected to aid in the design of new metallic fuel concepts, including fuel additives, cladding liners, and sodium-free annular fuel geometries. In conclusion, future work will focus on broader validation and refinement of the model’s treatment of different fuel alloys and cladding materials.

11 NUCLEAR FUEL CYCLE AND FUEL MATERIALS↗

DOE OSTI2024

Applicability of alkali beam emission spectroscopy on NSTX-U

Understanding fast pedestal dynamics and turbulent transport in the edge and scrape-off layer (SOL) plasma of spherical tokamaks is crucial for the design and operation of future fusion reactors. The alkali beam emission spectroscopy diagnostic technique offers a means to measure the absolute electron density radial profile and fluctuation amplitude in these regions. Here, in this study, we demonstrate that injecting a sodium neutral beam radially into the plasma and analyzing the light emission from its 3p–3s atomic transition using near-orthogonal viewing angles allows for accurate measurement of the electron density profile and fluctuations in the National Spherical Torus Experiment (NSTX) Upgrade spherical tokamak. Our findings indicate a peak signal-to-noise ratio of 118 in the pedestal and 12 in the SOL under typical NSTX plasma conditions. The spatial resolution for the electron density profile is estimated to be between 2 and 8 mm, while for fluctuation measurements, it ranges from 12 to 15 mm.

70 PLASMA PHYSICS AND FUSION TECHNOLOGY↗

DOE OSTI2022

Comprehensive compilations of computation results and validations for neutronics start-up tests at China Experimental Fast Reactor

This paper compiles and analyzes refined results of the coordinated research project (CRP) on Neutronics Benchmark of China Experimental Fast Reactor (CEFR) Start-Up Tests conducted by the International Atomic Energy Agency (IAEA) since 2018. Twenty-eight research organizations participated with various code systems. The China Institute of Atomic Energy (CIAE) provided the benchmark specifications and participants conducted the benchmark through blind and refined phases. This paper presents the benchmark results on six experimental measurements, criticality, control rod worth, temperature reactivity coefficients, sodium void worth, assembly swap reactivities, and foil activations. Except for a few outlier results, the simulation results show good agreement with the measured data within 1-σ experiment uncertainties. (authors)

21 SPECIFIC NUCLEAR REACTORS AND ASSOCIATED PLANTS↗

DOE OSTI2020

Benchmark Specification of Advanced Burner Test Reactor

As an effort to assess the Argonne Reactor Computation (ARC) suite of fast reactor analysis codes, a numerical benchmark problem was developed using the reference 250 MWt Advanced Burner Test Reactor (ABTR) metallic core fueled with beginning of equilibrium cycle compositions (Chang et al., 2006). Material thermal expansion at operating condition was modeled by adjusting the hexagonal pitch, axial meshes, and the fuel and structure material densities appropriately. Irradiation swelling of metal fuel was considered, and the bond sodium was displaced into the lower part of fission gas plenum.

22 GENERAL STUDIES OF NUCLEAR REACTORS↗

DOE OSTI2022

Need for research and training reactors for advanced reactor designs

Full text of publication follows. Research and training reactors have served a valuable role in helping train workforce for currently operating fleet of light water reactors. These research and training reactors have been used in reactor laboratory classes to familiarize the students with such vital concepts as approach to criticality, reactor period, neutron moderation, reactivity, flux distribution and leakage, etc. As the industry moves toward advanced non-light-water reactor designs, it is critical that research and training reactors be developed and deployed at university campuses to help train the new generation of nuclear and non-nuclear engineers who are likely to design, build, and operate these advanced reactors. Among the designs currently being pursued for nuclear power generation include molten salt, sodium cooled, and gas cooled designs, with options for various fuel forms. Thus, industry and DOE in collaboration with academic institutions should devise plans on how to familiarize the next generation of nuclear workforce with hands-on experience necessary for such designs. These research and training reactors will play a vital role in familiarizing the future workforce with hands-on experience with concepts associated with fast spectrum reactors, gas cooled reactors, and other features not associated with light water reactors. In addition to classical nuclear engineering concepts, these advanced research and training reactors can also be used for hands-on training as well as for research on features being considered in the design of GEN-IV reactors: cyber security for digital control room operations, hybrid energy system, hydrogen generation, district heating, autonomous control... (author)

21 SPECIFIC NUCLEAR REACTORS AND ASSOCIATED PLANTS↗

DOE OSTI2024

Chlorine Validation through Critical Integral Experiments

An increased interest in the validation of chlorine nuclear data, specifically 35Cl, in recent years has led to the prioritization of conducting chlorine critical experiments for nuclear data validation and criticality safety evaluations. A previous experiment was conducted with PVC and CPVC (chlorinated polyvinyl chloride) to reduce the margin of subcriticality for PF-4 operations with aqueous plutonium chloride solutions. Challenges in determining the composition of specific polymers, namely the CPVC, made it difficult to characterize, and therefore benchmark. Additional materials that were utilizable for chlorine validation were not immediately clear, as form, strength, purity, and composition are all important. A series of possible absorber materials were identified and studied, but ultimately granular sodium chloride was chosen. In addition to the needs of LANL’s PF-4 other industry collaborators have brought attention to the need for chlorine validation. Specifically, the need for HEU electrorefining with LiCl salts at Y-12 was taken into consideration for this experiment, with the experimental configurations being finely tuned to best meet their needs. Needs for validation were also presented by Idaho National Lab (INL) and TerraPower for validation of their Molten Chloride Reactor Experiment (MCRE) and Molten Chloride Fast Reactor (MCFR) and have also been considered.

73 NUCLEAR PHYSICS AND RADIATION PHYSICS↗

DOE OSTI2026

Feasibility and strategic implications of deploying nuclear power reactors in Africa

This report assesses the feasibility and strategic implications of deploying nuclear power reactors, including large-scale plants, advanced small modular reactors (SMRs), and microreactors, in African countries. Case studies focus on South Africa, Egypt, Kenya, Ghana, and Nigeria, examining nuclear energy’s role in Africa’s rapidly evolving energy landscape, marked by fast-growing demand, significant electricity access gaps, increasing renewable penetration, and strong policy commitments to industrialization and energy security. Several U.S. reactor technologies and designs are considered based on their development status and readiness for deployment. The analysis finds that nuclear power can provide reliable, clean baseload and flexible generation, as well as high-temperature process heat for desalination, hydrogen production, and industrial applications. However, suitability is highly country-specific, depending on grid size and stability, transmission capacity, cooling water availability, regulatory readiness, and fuel supply chains. Near-term deployment opportunities are strongest for light-water reactors (such as NuScale, BWRX-300, AP300, and SMR-300) that use low-enriched uranium and build on proven technology. More advanced concepts, including gas-cooled, sodium-cooled, molten-salt cooled reactors, and microreactors, will likely be relevant for African deployment in the 2030s or later, contingent on demonstration projects, high-assay low-enriched uranium (HALEU) fuel availability, and mature international licensing frameworks. Economic analysis shows that SMRs are capital-intensive, with projected overnight costs for 300 MWe units in 2025 ranging from approximately 1.4 to 2.6 billion USD per module. The levelized cost of electricity (LCOE) is highly sensitive to the weighted average cost of capital (WACC). Given typically higher financing costs and utility balance-sheet weaknesses in many African countries, bankable project structures will require sovereign guarantees, robust offtake arrangements, and layered financing from export credit agencies, development finance institutions, and vendor nations. Comparisons with recent large nuclear projects in the United Arab Emirates (UAE) and Egypt underscore the central role of state-backed loans, long tenors, and concessional terms. Country case studies illustrate a spectrum of readiness and opportunity. South Africa operates two 920 MWe pressurized light water reactors (totaling 1,840 MWe) at Koeberg and has the most mature regulatory and industrial base, positioning it as a prime candidate for both large reactors and SMRs to replace coal, support desalination, and anchor industrial hubs. Egypt is constructing four VVER-1200 units at El Dabaa with strong state leadership and could later complement this fleet with SMRs for coastal and industrial applications. Kenya and Ghana are advancing through IAEA Milestones with growing institutional capacity and clear interest in SMRs that match their smaller grids and industrialization plans. Nigeria has the largest demand potential but faces acute constraints in grid reliability, project bankability, and regulatory capacity; targeted deployments of large reactors and SMRs near coastal or industrial sites could have high impact if accompanied by major grid upgrades and institutional reforms. The report identifies cross-cutting challenges such as financing, political continuity, public acceptance, nonproliferation and security, waste and back-end management, regulatory capacity, grid adequacy, and long deployment timelines for first-of-a-kind designs, and ANL/NSE-26/3 ii proposes broad directions for resolution. These include stronger multifaceted financing for nuclear, long-term national energy strategies that transcend electoral cycles, proactive stakeholder engagement, strengthened regional and national regulators, and systematic workforce development through centers of excellence and expanded training. The United States should develop partnerships with African countries and offer end-to-end nuclear package similar to those used effectively by competitors: coordinated project development, state-backed financing, long-term fuel services, and durable in-country support through regional offices and sustained workforce/regulatory training. With timely planning, sustained political commitment, and appropriate financing and institutional support, nuclear energy, both large reactors and advanced SMRs, can become a meaningful, though not dominant, pillar of Africa’s future power mix, enhancing energy security, enabling industrial growth, and supporting climate goals.

22 GENERAL STUDIES OF NUCLEAR REACTORS↗