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DOE OSTI2021

The magnetic structure of long-wavelength magnetohydrodynamic modes in current-carrying stellarator plasmas

Magnetic field fluctuations are observed in current-carrying stellarator plasmas when the rotational transform is close to a rational value at the edge of the plasma. At low plasma pressure, these fluctuations are associated with perturbed currents parallel to the equilibrium magnetic field lines. A model for these magnetohydrodynamic modes in a low-β, three-dimensional stellarator equilibria has been developed. A set of helical current filaments are constrained to mimic the structure of magnetic field lines on rational surfaces derived from three-dimensional (3D) equilibrium reconstructions. Transformation to straight field line coordinates then allows fitting of the poloidal magnetic sensor data to a single harmonic function, which fixes the modeled toroidal mode structure via the field line flow geometry. The developed procedure accurately captures phase and amplitude variation for m/n = 3/2, 3/1, and 4/1 modes in the 3D equilibria of the compact toroidal hybrid experiment.

71 CLASSICAL AND QUANTUM MECHANICS, GENERAL PHYSIC↗

DOE OSTI2021

Seebeck effect studies in the charge density wave state of organic conductor α-(BEDT–TTF) 2 KHg(SCN) 4

Angular, magnetic field and temperature dependence of the interlayer Seebeck effect of the multiband organic conductor $\alpha -{(\mathrm{BEDT}-\mathrm{TTF})}_{2}\mathrm{KHg}{(\mathrm{SCN})}_{4}$ is experimentally studied at temperatures down to 0.55 K and fields up to 31 T in a wide range of angles. The background magnetic field and angular component of the Seebeck effect as well as the magnetic quantum oscillations that originate from the closed Fermi surface orbits are analyzed. The background interlayer Seebeck effect components show that above certain tilt angle of the magnetic field and above the kink field there is another CDW state in $\alpha -{(\mathrm{BEDT}-\mathrm{TTF})}_{2}\mathrm{KHg}{(\mathrm{SCN})}_{4}$, between previously known CDW0 and CDWx states, in agreement with magnetoresistance and magnetization studies in this material. Our observations show that this state possesses some of the properties of the CDW0 state. The Fermi surface in the third CDW state is still reconstructed but less imperfectly nested as expected as this state develops above the kink field. The temperature dependence of the interlayer Seebeck effect reveals that this state is developed at temperatures below 3 K and at field orientations around the second AMRO maximum. In addition, for the first time, a detailed T - θ phase diagram of $\alpha -{(\mathrm{BEDT}-\mathrm{TTF})}_{2}\mathrm{KHg}{(\mathrm{SCN})}_{4}$ based purely on Seebeck effect measurements is presented. We find that other states and transitions, beside the CDW states, also exist in a given temperature and angular range that have not been previously reported. These observations change the whole picture about the transport processes in the organic conductor $\alpha -{(\mathrm{BEDT}-\mathrm{TTF})}_{2}\mathrm{KHg}{(\mathrm{SCN})}_{4}$ and allow to better understand the complex nature of the CDW order in this and similar compounds.

Physics↗

DOE OSTI2020

Biocompatibility of a novel heat-treated and ceramic-coated magnesium alloy (Mg–1.2Zn–0.5Ca–0.5Mn) for resorbable skeletal fixation devices

Our recent exploration into the use of biodegradable metals and surface treatments resulting in sufficient strength for skeletal reconstruction applications has led to the need to test these devices’ cytotoxicity. More specifically, our group has developed a resorbable magnesium alloy, Mg–1.2Zn–0.5Ca–0.5Mn, that can be strengthened by heat treatment and coated with a ceramic layer offering time-certain resorption of a medical device. This in vitro study shows that these treatments do not result in cytotoxicity. Both heat-treated (HT) and HT + ceramic-coated (sol–gel) coupons demonstrated more than 70% viability. Thus, these processing steps are likely to be useful in producing biocompatible, resorbable implants that incorporate our Mg–1.2Zn–0.5Ca–0.5Mn alloy.

36 MATERIALS SCIENCE↗

DOE OSTI2022

Measurement of space charge effects and energy calibration in ProtoDUNE-SP

The single-phase liquid argon prototype at CERN (ProtoDUNE-SP) acts as a validation of the design for the DUNE single-phase far detector. With a total mass of 770 tons, it is the largest monolithic liquid argon single-phase time projection chamber in the world. ProtoDUNE-SP collected test-beam in autumn of 2018 and has been collecting cosmic and special calibration data since the end of 2018.The accumulation of positive ions in a LArTPC located on the surface can distort the electric field and the reconstructed particle trajectories. It is critical to understand and correct for the space charge effects in order to achieve the desired spatial and calorimetric resolutions in the LArTPC. This talk will present the measurement of space charge effects and the calorimetric measurements of the detector in ProtoDUNE-SP.

72 PHYSICS OF ELEMENTARY PARTICLES AND FIELDS↗

DOE OSTI2026

Highly Crystalline and Porous Borocarbonitrides as Metal‐Free Catalysts for Boosted N‐Heterocycle Dehydrogenation

Safe and efficient hydrogen storage is pivotal for enabling a clean hydrogen economy. Liquid organic hydrogen carriers (LOHCs) offer a practical solution, but their deployment is hindered by the lack of highly active and economical dehydrogenation catalysts. In this work, we report a metal‐free catalyst design that overcomes the long‐standing trade‐off between crystallinity and surface area in two‐dimensional frameworks for highly efficient dehydrogenation of LOHCs. A flux‐assisted reconstruction strategy transforms amorphous borocarbonitrides (AM‐BCN) into highly crystalline, defect‐rich BCN nanosheets (C‐BCN) with large surface area and accessible porosity, as confirmed by complementary spectroscopic, x‐ray, and neutron analyses. C‐BCN catalyzes the acceptor‐less dehydrogenation of aza‐fused LOHCs with quantitative hydrogen release under mild conditions, outperforming AM‐BCN and previously reported metal‐free scaffolds. Mechanistic insights from x‐ray, neutron scattering, and theoretical calculations identify open C‐B‐N and N‐B‐N defect motifs as the primary active sites. This work establishes a generalizable strategy to engineer crystalline, porous, defect‐rich two‐dimensional lattices and demonstrates a highly active metal‐free platform for LOHC dehydrogenation with high‐purity H 2 generation.

37 INORGANIC, ORGANIC, PHYSICAL, AND ANALYTICAL CH↗

DOE OSTI2024

Composition-Dependent Reconstructions of Titanium Oxide Clusters and Cu(111) Support via Cluster-Adatom Interactions

Mass-selected cluster deposition and scanning tunneling microscopy (STM) were used to investigate the surface structure and thermal stability of Ti 3 O y (y = 5, 6) clusters on a Cu(111) surface. STM imaging shows that the substoichiometric Ti 3 O 5 clusters aggregate into large dendritic assemblies at step edges, while the stoichiometric Ti 3 O 6 clusters are highly dispersed as single or small groupings of clusters. Cluster deposition also results in extensive reconstruction of the Cu(111) surface. The Ti 3 O 5 /Cu(111) surface exhibits one Cu-layer deep pits that are ringed by cluster assemblies that nucleate and grow at the perimeter step edges. By comparison, the Ti 3 O 6 /Cu(111) surface consists of irregular step edges and small one Cu-layer islands that are decorated with clusters. The restructuring of the Cu(111) surface is attributed to strong Cu-cluster interactions that release Cu adatoms from the step edges. This mechanism is supported by density functional theory (DFT) calculations, which predict that the Cu adatom attachment to the clusters is energetically favorable. Annealing the surfaces at elevated temperatures (400-700 K) results in higher densities of irregular steps, pits and isolated Cu islands as well as increased cluster aggregation. In conclusion, this work highlights adatom-cluster interactions as another manifestation of strong cluster-support interactions that can significantly alter the nature of the oxide-metal interface.

77 NANOSCIENCE AND NANOTECHNOLOGY↗

DOE OSTI2023

Optimal sensor placement for reconstructing wind pressure field around buildings using compressed sensing

Deciding how to optimally deploy sensors in a large, complex, and spatially extended structure is critical to ensure that the surface pressure field is accurately captured for subsequent analysis and design. In some cases, reconstruction of missing data is required in downstream tasks such as the development of digital twins. Here, this paper presents a data-driven sparse sensor selection algorithm, aiming to provide the most information contents for reconstructing aerodynamic characteristics of wind pressures over tall building structures parsimoniously. The algorithm first fits a set of basis functions to the training data, then applies a computationally efficient QR algorithm that ranks existing pressure sensors in order of importance based on the state reconstruction to this tailored basis. The findings of this study show that the proposed algorithm successfully re- constructs the aerodynamic characteristics of tall buildings from sparse measurement locations, generating stable and optimal solutions across a range of conditions. As a result, this study serves as a promising first step toward leveraging the success of data-driven and machine learning algorithms to supplement traditional genetic algorithms currently used in wind engineering.

42 ENGINEERING↗

DOE OSTI2026

Tree-ring evidence marks year 2022 as the driest spring season in nearly four centuries in the Western Himalayas

The Hindukush-Karakoram-Himalayan region is a crucial freshwater source for billions across South Asia, yet its climate remains poorly understood due to limited long-term records. Winter and spring precipitation govern snow accumulation and downstream water availability in dry months particularly across the Western Himalayas (WH), but recent decades show intensifying droughts with unclear long-term context. Here, we have reconstructed a nearly four-century-long spring i.e. February to May (FMAM) precipitation for the Lahaul region of the (WH), an area dominated by the Western Disturbances. This record was developed using moisture-sensitive Cedrus deodara (Deodar) tree-rings from three high-elevation sites. A regional composite tree-ring-width chronology, developed through a Nested Principal Component Analysis and modeled with a nonlinear Generalized Additive Model (GAM) that explains 71 % of the variance during the calibration period. We identified the last two decades as the most precipitation deficit phase and the year 2022 showing the driest FMAM on record. The observed rise in the FMAM dry episodes post 1999 CE in our reconstruction, corresponds to the meteorological records. This recent drying is linked to a northward shift of the subtropical westerly jet and reduced moisture transport, both associated with unusual sea surface temperature patterns in the tropical Indian Ocean and the Western Pacific Ocean. Our results provide compelling evidence of long-term hydroclimatic instability in the WH and emphasize the value of tree-ring records in extending precipitation histories beyond the instrumental observations. Such reconstructions can be benchmarks to validate high-resolution climate models and formulate adaptation policies to mitigate future risks.

Cedrus deodara↗

DOE OSTI2022

Classification of computed thermal tomography images with deep learning convolutional neural network

Thermal tomography (TT) is a computational method for the reconstruction of depth profile of the internal material defects from Pulsed Infrared Thermography (PIT) nondestructive evaluation. Here, the PIT method consists of recording material surface temperature transients with a fast frame infrared camera, following thermal pulse deposition on the material surface with a flashlamp and heat diffusion into material bulk. TT algorithm obtains depth reconstructions of thermal effusivity, which has been shown to provide visualization of the subsurface internal defects in metals. In many applications, one needs to determine the defect shape and orientation from reconstructed effusivity images. Interpretation of TT images is non-trivial because of blurring, which increases with depth due to the heat diffusion-based nature of image formation. We have developed a deep learning convolutional neural network (CNN) to classify the size and orientation of subsurface material defects in TT images. CNN was trained with TT images produced with computer simulations of 2D metallic structures (thin plates) containing elliptical subsurface voids. The performance of CNN was investigated using test TT images developed with computer simulations of plates containing elliptical defects, and defects with shapes imported from scanning electron microscopy images. CNN demonstrated the ability to classify radii and angular orientation of elliptical defects in previously unseen test TT images. We have also demonstrated that CNN trained on the TT images of elliptical defects is capable of classifying the shape and orientation of irregular defects.

42 ENGINEERING↗

DOE OSTI2020

Development of a tomographic reconstruction method for axisymmetric D α emission profiles in the ITER plasma boundary

A tomographic method for reconstructing the axially symmetric D α emission profile in the ITER scrape-off layer and divertor from D α intensity measurements in the fields of view (FoV) of Vis/IR TV and Divertor Impurity Monitor diagnostics is under development. The method takes into account the strong background signal due to stray light from divertor produced by reflections from the metal wall of the vacuum chamber. The method allows to filter out the reflections in D α signals measured in the main chamber. Here, the accuracy of this method is tested within the framework of a synthetic diagnostic, which uses the Raysect and Cherab numerical codes for ray-tracing simulations. The D α emission profiles, simulated with the SOLPS and OEDGE codes, are used as synthetic experimental data. Uncertainty in light reflection properties of the first wall (FW) is the major factor affecting the accuracy of the D α emission reconstruction. The dependence on the uncertainty in the FW surface roughness and on the ratio of diffusive to specular reflection of the error in recovering useful D α signals (the direct light without reflections) in the FoV of the ITER main chamber H-alpha and Visible Spectroscopy Diagnostic is obtained.

70 PLASMA PHYSICS AND FUSION TECHNOLOGY↗

DOE OSTI2024

Observation of Skewed Electromagnetic Wakefields in an Asymmetric Structure Driven by Flat Electron Bunches

Relativistic charged -particle beams that generate intense longitudinal fields in accelerating structures also inherently couple to transverse modes. The effects of this coupling may lead to beam breakup instability and thus must be countered to preserve beam quality in applications such as linear colliders. Beams with highly asymmetric transverse sizes (flat beams) have been shown to suppress the initial instability in slab -symmetric structures. However, as the coupling to transverse modes remains, this solution serves only to delay instability. In order to understand the hazards of transverse coupling in such a case, we describe here an experiment characterizing the transverse effects on a flat beam, traversing near a planar dielectric lined structure. Further, the measurements reveal the emergence of a previously unobserved skew-quadrupolelike interaction when the beam is canted transversely, which is not present when the flat beam travels parallel to the dielectric surface. We deploy a multipole field fitting algorithm to reconstruct the projected transverse wakefields from the data. We generate the effective kick vector map using a simple two -particle theoretical model, with particle -in -cell simulations used to provide further insight for realistic particle distributions.

43 PARTICLE ACCELERATORS↗

DOE OSTI2019

First Annual Report on Pulsed Thermal Tomography Nondestructive Evaluation of Additively Manufactured Reactor Materials and Components: Pulsed Thermal Tomography Nondestructive Examination of Additively Manufactured Reactor Materials and Components

Additive manufacturing (AM, or 3D printing) for commercial nuclear energy applications is an emerging method for cost-efficient manufacturing aimed at replacing aging nuclear reactor parts and reducing costs for new construction. Because of the geometry of metallic structures of interest for nuclear applications, which consist of planar primitives with no symmetry of revolution, limited options are available for nondestructive evaluation (NDE), either during or post manufacturing. Known material flaws in AM include low-density regions consisting of non-sintered powder, which have to be detected to ensure the safety of long-term performance nuclear reactor components. As a solution to NDE of AM, we are developing pulsed thermal tomography (PTT) models and depth inversion algorithms for 3D imaging. PTT has many advantages because the method is non-contact and allows for in-service, NDE of AM nuclear reactor parts. By analyzing transients of surface temperature response due to internal thermal resistances, one can obtain 3D reconstructions of material effusivity using a unique inversion algorithm developed at Argonne. This report provides results of preliminary performance evaluation of PTT capability in detection of flaws in metallic structures, as well imaging complex geometry AM structures. Performance of PTT was investigated through modeling and experiments, Computer models of PTT were developed using COMSOL Heat Transfer module. Defects were modeled as cylindrical flat bottom holes (FBH), which is a common model of calibrated material flaws in thermal tomography experiments. Materials considered in this study include stainless steel 316 (SS316), stainless steel 304 (SS304), and Inconel 718. Theoretical analyses were conducted to validate inversion of simulated PTT data with COMSOL for a plate. Subsequently, 3D reconstructions were performed on COMSOL simulations for FBH, revealing a decrease in spatial resolution over depth due to thermal diffusion. The results of this study show that the performance of the inversion algorithm for detecting smaller defects depends strongly on the depth of the defect as well as the incident heat flux. The size of detectable defect was estimated by fitting a Gaussian function to surface temperature profile. The criteria for detectability was taken as 20mK noise equivalent temperature difference (NETD), which is currently the sensitivity limit of high-performance infrared cameras. It was determined through computer simulations that the smallest detectable FBH in SS316 has a 50µm diameter and is located 0.5mm below the plate surface. Preliminary experimental studies were performed to evaluate PTT performance in detecting calibrated flaws using metallic specimens with AM defects simulated as drilled-in FBH’s. High strength Stainless Steel 316 and Inconel 718 alloys were considered, as well as lower grade Stainless Steel 304, Nickel 200, and Hastelloy C276. Specimens investigated in this report consisted of approximately 1/4in-thick plates made out of these alloys using conventional manufacturing methods. The diameters of FBH’s varied from 1mm to 8mm, and their depths below the plate flat surface varied between 1mm and 6mm. The size of the smallest FBH was limited to 1mm because conventional mechanical drills were used for creating the holes. PTT imaging results have shown that 1mm-diameter FBH located 1mm and 2mm below the surface were detectable. Larger size FBH were detectable at greater depth. For example, 6mm-diameter FBH could be detected at 8mm depth. Image contrast varied slightly between the specimens, with the best reconstructions obtained in SS316 and C276 plates. Finally, PTT capability in imaging several AM structures fabricated from Inconel 718 (IN718) powder feedstock was investigated. The AM structures have complex geometry, but do not have calibrated internal defects. The objective is to determine PTT settings, such as the total integration time, for imaging of representative AM structures. A new FLIR X8500sc IR camera with higher spatial resolution (1280x1024 at 181Hz frame rate) was integrated into the PTT laboratory setup. Software tools were developed to ensure compatibility of new camera files with legacy effusivity reconstruction codes. The new camera was used to obtain 3-D reconstructions of AM IN718 nozzle plate and a particle filter plate. It was shown that PTT can scan through 2/3in-thick Inconel 718 plates in approximately 15s. Several modes of 3-D data visualization were explored, including using ImageJ and MATLAB software packages. The results demonstrate the capability of PTT in 3-D imaging of complex geometry AM structures. Intermediate results demonstrated in this report will be developed further to investigate detection of flaws in AM specimens.

22 GENERAL STUDIES OF NUCLEAR REACTORS↗

DOE OSTI2021

Pulsed Thermal Tomography Nondestructive Examination of Additively Manufactured Reactor Materials and Components. Third Annual Progress Report

Additive manufacturing (AM) of high-strength corrosion resistance alloys for nuclear energy applications, such as stainless steel and Inconel, is currently based on laser powder bed fusion (LPBF) process. Some of the challenges with using LPBF method for nuclear manufacturing include the possibility of introducing pores into metallic structures. Probability of crack initiation at the pore depends on size, shape, and orientation of the defect. Pulsed Infrared Thermography Imaging (PIT) provides a capability for non-destructive evaluation (NDE) of sub-surface defects in arbitrary size structures. The PIT method is based on recording material surface temperature transients with infrared (IR) camera following thermal pulse delivered on material surface with flash light. The PIT method has advantages for NDE of actual AM structures because the method involves one-sided non-contact measurements and fast processing of large sample areas captured in one image. Following initial qualification of an AM component for deployment in a nuclear reactor, a PIT system can also be used for in-service nondestructive evaluation (NDE) applications. In this report, we describe recent progress in enhancing PIT capabilities in detecting microscopic subsurface defects in metals, and classifying shapes and orientation of pores in thermal images. For detection of microscopic defects in PIT imaging data, we have developed Spatial Temporal Denoised Thermal Source Separation (STDTSS) unsupervised machine learning (ML) image processing algorithm. We show that flat bottom hole (FBH) defects as small as 200µm in SS316 and IN718 specimens, can be detected with STDTSS algorithm. To the best of our knowledge, these are the smallest detected defects which are reported in literature. For classification of defects shapes, we have previously developed thermal tomography (TT) algorithm to obtain depth reconstructions of material defects from data cube of sequentially recorded surface temperatures. However, interpretation of TT images is non-trivial because of blurring with increasing depth. To address this challenge, we have developed a deep learning convolutional neural network (CNN) to classify size and orientation subsurface defects in simulated TT images.

22 GENERAL STUDIES OF NUCLEAR REACTORS↗

DOE OSTI2021

Performance of Pulsed Thermal Tomography Imaging with Machine Learning-Based Classification of Defects in Additively Manufactured Structures

Additive manufacturing (AM) is an emerging method for cost-efficient fabrication of complex topology nuclear reactor parts from high-strength corrosion resistance alloys, such as stainless steel and Inconel. AM of metallic structures for nuclear energy applications is currently based on laser powder bed fusion (LPBF) process. Some of the challenges with using LPBF method for nuclear manufacturing include the possibility of introducing pores into metallic structures. Integrity of AM structures needs to be evaluated nondestructively because material flaws could lead to premature failures in high temperature nuclear reactor environment. Currently, there exist limited capabilities to evaluate actual AM structures non-destructively. Pulsed Thermal Tomography Imaging (PTT) provides a capability for non-destructive evaluation (NDE) of subsurface defects in arbitrary size structures. The PTT method is based on recording material surface temperature transients with infrared (IR) camera following thermal pulse delivered on material surface with flash light. The PTT method has advantages for NDE of actual AM structures because the method involves one-sided non-contact measurements and fast processing of large sample areas captured in one image. Following initial qualification of an AM component for deployment in a nuclear reactor, a PTT system can also be used for in-service nondestructive evaluation (NDE) applications. In this report, we describe recent progress in enhancing PTT capabilities in detecting and visualizing microscopic defects in metallic specimens. The thermal tomography (TT) algorithm obtains depth reconstructions of spatial effusivity from the data cube of sequentially recorded surface temperatures. However, interpretation of TT images is non-trivial because of blurring of images with increasing depth. To address this challenge, we have developed a deep learning convolutional neural network (CNN) to classify size and orientation subsurface defects in simulated TT images. CNN is trained on a database of TT images created for a set of simulated metallic structures with elliptical subsurface voids. Test of CNN performance demonstrate the ability to classify radii and angular orientation of subsurface defects in TT images. In addition, we have shown that CNN trained on elliptical defects is capable of classifying irregular-shaped defects obtained from scanning electron microscopy (SEM) of stainless steel sections printed with LPBF.

22 GENERAL STUDIES OF NUCLEAR REACTORS↗

DOE OSTI2025

pH-dependent reactivity of water at MgO(100) and MgO(111) surfaces

Facet-dependent surface charging of metal oxides in water dominates the ion transport behavior across the interface, in turn impacting many natural and industrial processes such as adsorption, the formation and stabilization of nanoparticle suspensions, corrosion, and heterogeneous catalysis. Here we investigated the pH-dependent surface chemistry of two low-index MgO single crystal surfaces, namely MgO(100) and MgO(111), using vibrational sum frequency generation (vSFG) spectroscopy. This allowed us to evaluate facet-dependent pH effects on the hydration and hydroxylation at the solid/aqueous interface and point-of-zero charge (PZC) values. The MgO system is complicated by its thermodynamic instability with respect to Mg(OH) 2 in water at ambient conditions. Here, for both hydroxylated MgO(100) and MgO(111) surfaces, the PZC is found to be around pH ∼ 12, which compares well with reported values for MgO single crystal and nanoparticle surfaces. However, structure specific differences in the molecular water hydrogen bonding network near the surface are evident at mildly acidic pH. To our knowledge, this is the first account of the PZC values for the MgO(111) single-crystal surface, an electrostatically unstable MgO termination that is prone to reconstruction.

37 INORGANIC, ORGANIC, PHYSICAL, AND ANALYTICAL CH↗

DOE OSTI2019

PTT System Design and Data Analysis for Improved Performance: Pulsed Thermal Tomography Nondestructive Examination of Additively Manufactured Reactor Materials and Components

22 GENERAL STUDIES OF NUCLEAR REACTORS↗

DOE OSTI2021

Evaluation of CloudSat Radiative Kernels Using ARM and CERES Observations and ERA5 Reanalysis

Despite the widespread use of the radiative kernel technique for studying radiative feedbacks and radiative forcings, there has not been any systematic, observation-based validation of the radiative kernel method. Here, we utilize observed and reanalyzed radiative fluxes and atmospheric profiles from the Atmospheric Radiation Measurement (ARM) program and ERA5 reanalysis to assess a set of observation-based radiative kernels from CloudSat for six ARM sites. The CloudSat radiative kernels, convoluted with the ERA5 state variables, can almost perfectly reconstruct the monthly anomalies of shortwave (SW) and longwave (LW) radiative fluxes in ERA5 at the surface (SFC) and top-of-atmosphere (TOA) with correlations significantly being greater than 0.95. The biases of kernel-estimated flux anomalies calculated using the ARM-observed state variables can be more than twice as large when compared with the ARM-observed surface flux anomalies and Clouds and Earth’s Radiant Energy System (CERES) observed anomalies at the TOA. Generally, clouds contribute to most (>60%) of the variance of flux anomalies at Southern Great Plain (SGP), Tropical Western Pacific (TWP), and Eastern North Atlantic (ENA), and surface albedo dominates (>69%) the variance of SW flux anomalies at North Slope of Alaska (NSA). Furthermore, the radiative kernels exhibit the lowest correlation (r ~ [0.55,0.85]) when reconstructing SFC LW flux anomalies at SGP, TWP, and ENA, whose biases are related to the possibility that the kernels may not fully capture the characteristics associated with MJO and ENSO at TWP and the presence of clouds at SGP and ENA.

54 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES↗

DOE OSTI2024

Ground Heat Flux Reconstruction Using Bayesian Uncertainty Quantification Machinery and Surrogate Modeling

Ground heat flux (G 0 ) is a key component of the land-surface energy balance of high-latitude regions. Despite its crucial role in controlling permafrost degradation due to global warming, G 0 is sparsely measured and not well represented in the outputs of global scale model simulation. In this study, an analytical heat transfer model is tested to reconstruct G 0 across seasons using soil temperature series from field measurements, Global Climate Model, and climate reanalysis outputs. The probability density functions of ground heat flux and of model parameters are inferred using available G 0 data (measured or modeled) for snow-free period as a reference. When observed G 0 is not available, a numerical model is applied using estimates of surface heat flux (dependent on parameters) as the top boundary condition. These estimates (and thus the corresponding parameters) are verified by comparing the distributions of simulated and measured soil temperature at several depths. Aided by state-of-the-art uncertainty quantification methods, the developed G 0 reconstruction approach provides novel means for assessing the probabilistic structure of the ground heat flux for regional permafrost change studies.

54 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES↗