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DOE OSTI2025

Building hypotheses to understand the synergistic effects of heat and pollution exposure in a changing climate

The increasing intensity, frequency, and duration of extreme weather events due to climate change poses a broad range of health risks, and the synergistic effects of extreme temperature co-occurring with other hazardous exposures such as air pollution may result in higher risks of all-cause mortality and cardiovascular and respiratory morbidity than exposure to either event alone. There are a number of hypothesized mechanisms for this interaction effect, including increased susceptibility to heat effects on chronic conditions affected by air pollution exposure, exacerbation of pollution effects due to temperature-induced stress, and shared pathophysiological pathways (e.g., systemic inflammation), but specific physiological mechanisms are not well understood. In this editorial, the authors discuss this aspect of a recently published study examining ambient formaldehyde combined with high temperature exposure and respiratory disease admissions among children. Here, the observation that the health effects of pollutants such as formaldehyde are amplified following periods of high temperature can help inform risk warning systems even without knowledge of the underlying physiological mechanisms, but a deeper biological understanding of the interaction effects of heat and ambient air pollution may better inform interventions. This is even more important in view of increases in both extreme temperature and pollution events tied to climate change.

Chambliss, Sarah [University of Texas at Austin, T↗

DOE OSTI2024

Increasing the Measured Effective Quantum Volume with Zero Noise Extrapolation

Quantum volume is a full-stack benchmark for near-term quantum computers. It quantifies the largest size of a square circuit which can be executed on the target device with reasonable fidelity. Error mitigation is a set of techniques intended to remove the effects of noise present in the computation of noisy quantum computers when computing an expectation value of interest. Effective quantum volume is a proposed metric that applies error mitigation to the quantum volume protocol to evaluate the effectiveness not only of the target device but also of the error mitigation algorithm. Digital zero-noise extrapolation is an error mitigation technique that estimates the noiseless expectation value using circuit folding to amplify errors by known scale factors and then extrapolating computed expectation values to the zero-noise limit. Here we demonstrate that zero-noise extrapolation, with global and local unitary folding with fractional scale factors, in conjunction with dynamical decoupling, can increase the effective quantum volume over the vendor-measured quantum volume. Specifically, we measure the effective quantum volume of four IBM Quantum superconducting processor units, obtaining values that are larger than the vendor-measured quantum volume on each device. This is the first such increase reported.

71 CLASSICAL AND QUANTUM MECHANICS, GENERAL PHYSIC↗

DOE OSTI2026

Self-Admitted Technical Debt in Scientific Software: Prioritization, Sentiment, and Propagation Across Artifacts

Self-admitted technical debt (SATD) impairs scientific software (SSW), yet its prioritization, sentiment, persistence, and propagation remains underexplored. Understanding how SSW developers express, and address SATD is crucial for improving SSW maintenance, and tooling. This study investigates how SATD types and artifacts in SSW are prioritized, how sentiment relates to urgency, SATD removal and resolution rates, and the extent to which SATD propagates across artifacts. We analyzed nine SSW repositories using a SATD classification model and a semantic embedding-based prioritization heuristic. SATD was examined across multiple artifacts, with sentiment assessed via a fine-tuned transformer. Propagation was traced, priority scores compared to static analysis, and removal and resolution rates quantified. SATD in comments, commits, and pull requests receive higher priority than SATD in issues, with negative sentiment amplifying urgency. Resolution and removal rates lag behind open-source software (OSS) averages. Most SATD remains confined to the originating artifact, but longer propagation chains are rare and correlate with higher priority, highlighting persistent and high impact debt. Prioritization is influenced by artifact type and sentiment, while low removal and resolution rates signal persistent debt. Cross-artifact propagation marks high priority, unresolved SATD, providing empirical guidance for targeted monitoring, review prioritization, and tool supported maintenance in SSW.

Melin, Eric [Boise State University]↗

DOE OSTI2026

Did You Win the GPU Cloud Lottery? Benchmarking from TFLOPS to Tokens/$

Cloud GPUs are commonly assumed to deliver consistent performance for a given GPU model. This assumption does not always hold: cloud providers employ diverse system configurations and virtualization mechanisms, and GPUs themselves exhibit non-negligible manufacturing variability (the silicon lottery). In this work, we present a large-scale measurement study of GPU performance variability across 11 cloud providers, covering over 3,500 physical GPUs and 6,800 benchmark runs. Our hierarchical analysis shows that while execution-level variation stays below 9%, performance varies by up to 38% across devices and providers for the same GPU model. Regression analysis indicates that driver- and OS-related software factors contribute less than 1% of the variance; instead, silicon lottery effects dominate observed performance variation, and cloud providers further amplify them through persistent, systematic second-order effects.

Slynko, Platon [Silicon Data, New York, USA] (ORCI↗

DOE OSTI2024

Instabilities and Mixing in Inertial Confinement Fusion

By imploding fuel of hydrogen isotopes, inertial confinement fusion (ICF) aims to create conditions that mimic those in the Sun's core. This is fluid dynamics in an extreme regime, with the ultimate goal of making nuclear fusion a viable clean energy source. The fuel must be reliably and symmetrically compressed to temperatures exceeding 100 million degrees Celsius. After the best part of a century of research, the foremost fusion milestone was reached in 2021, when ICF became the first technology to achieve an igniting fusion fuel (thermonuclear instability), and then in 2022 scientific energy breakeven was attained. A key trade-off of the ICF platform is that greater fuel compression leads to higher burn efficiency, but at the expense of amplified Rayleigh–Taylor and Richtmyer–Meshkov instabilities and kinetic-energy-wasting asymmetries. In extreme cases, these three-dimensional instabilities can completely break up the implosion. Even in the highest-yielding 2022 scientific breakeven experiment, high-atomic-number (high-Z) contaminants were unintentionally injected into the fuel. Here we review the pivotal role that fluid dynamics plays in the construction of a stable implosion and the decades of improved understanding and isolated experiments that have contributed to fusion ignition.

70 PLASMA PHYSICS AND FUSION TECHNOLOGY↗

DOE OSTI2024

Feedbacks Regulating the Salinization of Coastal Landscapes

The impact of saltwater intrusion on coastal forests and farmland is typically understood as sea-level-driven inundation of a static terrestrial landscape, where ecosystems neither adapt to nor influence saltwater intrusion. Yet recent observations of tree mortality and reduced crop yields have inspired new process-based research into the hydrologic, geomorphic, biotic, and anthropogenic mechanisms involved. We review several negative feedbacks that help stabilize ecosystems in the early stages of salinity stress (e.g., reduced water use and resource competition in surviving trees, soil accretion, and farmland management). However, processes that reduce salinity are often accompanied by increases in hypoxia and other changes that may amplify saltwater intrusion and vegetation shifts after a threshold is exceeded (e.g., subsidence following tree root mortality). This conceptual framework helps explain observed rates of vegetation change that are less than predicted for a static landscape while recognizing the inevitability of large-scale change.

54 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES↗

DOE OSTI2026

The Impact of Catalyst Layer Properties and Transport Layer Interactions on Rutile Iridium Oxide Anode Durability in Proton Exchange Membrane Electrolysis

The performance and durability of proton exchange membrane electrolyzers are governed by the interplay between catalyst inks and integration, the resulting catalyst layer (CL) structure, and the interface between the CL and porous transport layer (PTL). In this study, we examine the impact of these factors on cell performance and degradation using rutile IrO2 as the anode catalyst. The two commercial rutile IrO2 catalysts differ from each other and from the amorphous benchmark in agglomerate size and ink stability. This has implications for CL morphology and electronic connectivity. In the context of long-term pressurized operation for up to 1000 h, the selection of the PTL has a marginal effect on the durability of CLs with good structural and compositional properties, whereas poorly structured CLs demonstrate evident degradation when used with certain PTLs. Poor CL properties amplify the negative impact of non-ideal CL/PTL interfaces, demonstrating the importance of CL/PTL interface engineering.

37 INORGANIC, ORGANIC, PHYSICAL, AND ANALYTICAL CH↗

DOE OSTI2026

Mass Spectrometer Transient Analysis

This software implements a complete preprocessing pipeline for transient mass spectrometry (MS) data collected during TAP (Temporal Analysis of Products) experiments. It is designed to extract chemically meaningful fluxes from overlapping ion signals by applying a calibrated defragmentation matrix and solving the resulting linear system using non-negative least squares (NNLS) regression. The core script, preprocess_mass_spec.py, performs the following operations: Gain correction: Applies amplifier gain scalars derived from inert-packed calibration pulses to normalize signal intensities across AMUs and acquisition settings. Background subtraction: Removes experiment baselines using user-defined time windows, ensuring compatibility with slow-diffusing species and preventing negative values that would interfere with NNLS. Options to subtract before and after defragmentation. Defragmentation: Constructs a fragmentation matrix A from zeroth moments of calibration pulses (equal molar gas:inert mixtures) and solves Ax=b at each time point, where b is the raw MS signal and x is the estimated species flux. The matrix is normalized to inert signals and accounts for instrument-specific fragmentation behavior. Pulse-mode handling: Supports both averaged and individual pulse modes, enabling statistical treatment of fluxes and calculation of standard deviations. Integration and output: Computes zeroth moments (integrated fluxes) and exports time-resolved and integrated data in CSV format, suitable for downstream kinetic modeling. The software is validated using both virtual TAP simulations (VTAP) and experimental data from propane dehydrogenation (PDH) on CrOx/Al2O3 catalysts. It preserves temporal resolution by applying NNLS point-by-point across the pulse duration (typically 6,000+ time slices per pulse), leveraging the linear superposition principle to reconstruct full flux profiles. The defragmented outputs are compatible with kinetic extraction methods such as the G and Y procedures, which are used to derive rate–concentration relationships from TAP data. The details of these validations are discussed in detail in the supporting manuscript and supporting information. Example data and output files are also included. The methodology is robust to experimental noise and drift, with calibration protocols that account for pulse size effects, MS aging, and inert gas normalization. The software is modular, reproducible, and tailored for high-throughput TAP-MS workflows in catalysis research.

Kristy, Stephen [Idaho National Laboratory (INL), ↗

DOE OSTI2026

Record-Breaking Atmospheric River Drives April 2024 Extreme Precipitation in the United Arab Emirates and the Surrounding Gulf Region

In mid-April 2024, the United Arab Emirates (UAE) and the surrounding Gulf region experienced unprecedented rainfall and catastrophic flooding, causing widespread damage, loss of life, and significant economic costs. During the 3-day period from 15 to 17 April, rainfall in the UAE exceeded 100 mm in the hardest-hit areas, with more than 170% of the typical annual precipitation recorded in just 72 h. The event was associated with exceptionally strong integrated water vapor transport (IVT), driven by a persistent low pressure system and a focused corridor of moisture transport. This environment, combined with favorable dynamical and convective conditions, triggered intense thunderstorms and widespread flooding. This article examines the role of an atmospheric river (AR) in the April 2024 extreme precipitation event, emphasizing the contribution of extreme IVT to preconditioning and amplifying the heavy rainfall. While this event has previously been described primarily in terms of a mesoscale convective system (MCS) and potential vorticity (PV) streamers, here we document and illustrate its close relationship to a record-breaking moisture transport corridor. This AR-based perspective highlights how large-scale moisture-transport frameworks can complement synoptic and mesoscale analyses in understanding extreme rainfall in arid and semiarid regions such as the UAE and the Gulf. The event serves as a stark example of the vulnerabilities faced by arid regions, where atmospheric conditions conducive to extreme flooding may become more frequent in the future.

Massoud, Elias [ORNL] (ORCID:0000000217725361)↗

DOE OSTI2025

Dependence of Convective Cloud Microphysical Properties on Environmental Conditions during the TRACER and ESCAPE Field Campaigns: A Synergistic Approach of Observations, Machine Learning and Parcel Models

The sensitivity of convective clouds to aerosols and their interactions with environment, combined with limited observational constraints in parameterizations, introduces significant uncertainties in atmospheric models. Here, this study investigates the dependence of convective cloud microphysical properties on environmental conditions using a synergistic approach that combines unique observations from the TRACER and ESCAPE field campaigns, machine learning techniques, and parcel model simulations with a super-droplet microphysics scheme. A random forest algorithm identifies in-situ vertical velocity (w), temperature (T), and surface fine-mode aerosol mass concentration as the three most important environmental conditions influencing cloud properties including liquid water content (LWC), number concentration for particles with D max < 50 μm (N c ,<50), 50 μm ≤ D max ≤ 3000 μm (N c,50–3000 ), and droplet effective diameter (D e ). Results show that LWC, N c,<50 , and N c,50–3000 significantly increase with w in updrafts. Across w bins, as T decreases, LWC, D e , and N c,50–3000 increase, while N c,<50 decreases, which are closely linked to the distance above cloud bases. Warmer cloud bases yield higher LWC, greater N c,50–3000 , and smaller N c,<50 , while polluted environments produce greater N c,<50 . Parcel model simulations successfully replicate these observed dependencies. The simulation results indicate that warmer cloud bases enhance condensation generating larger droplets, and differences in droplet sizes are then amplified through collision-coalescence, resulting in a greater N c,50–3000 . Polluted conditions result in a greater N c,<50 primarily due to enhanced cloud condensation nuclei activation despite increased collision-coalescence rates compared to pristine conditions. This study provides observed quantitative patterns characterizing cloud microphysical properties as a function of key environmental parameters, offering valuable constraints for improving physics parameterizations and numerical models.

54 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES↗

DOE OSTI2025

Nonlocal, Pattern-Aware Response and Feedback Framework for Regional Climate Response

We devise a pattern-aware feedback framework for representing the forced climate response using a suite of Green’s function experiments with solar radiation perturbations. By considering the column energy balance, a comprehensive linear response function (CLRF) for important climate variables and feedback quantities such as moist static energy, sea surface temperature, albedo, cloud optical depth, and lapse rate is learned from Green’s function data. The learned CLRF delineates the effects of the energy diffusion in both the ocean and atmosphere and the pattern-aware feedbacks from the aforementioned radiatively active processes. The CLRF can then be decomposed into forcing–response mode pairs, which are in turn used to construct a reduced-order model describing the dominant dynamics of climate responses. These mode pairs capture nonlocal effects and teleconnections in the climate and thus make the reduced-order model apt for capturing regional features of climate response. A key observation is that the CLRF captures the polar-amplified response as the most excitable mode of the climate system, and this mode is explainable in the data-learned pattern-aware feedback framework. The reduced-order model can be used for predicting the response for a given forcing and for reconstructing the forcing from a given response; we demonstrate these capabilities for multiple independent forcing scenarios.

Feedback↗

DOE OSTI2026

The Strength of Coupling to the Southern Ocean Modulates Tropical Eastern Pacific Variability and Forced Response

Despite rising global-mean temperatures, large parts of the Southern Ocean and tropical eastern Pacific Ocean have cooled during the satellite era. These regions may be linked by teleconnections, with Southern Ocean cooling contributing to tropical eastern Pacific cooling. We demonstrate that, on average, state-of-the-art Earth system models (ESMs) underestimate the magnitude of interaction between the Southern Ocean and tropical eastern Pacific Ocean. The strength of the teleconnection is shown to be mediated by the magnitude of the positive cloud–sea surface temperature (SST) feedback in the subtropical eastern Pacific Ocean and the strength of the wind–evaporation–SST (WES) feedback. We link excessive precipitation in the tropical Pacific south of the equator to the strength of the Southern Ocean–eastern Pacific teleconnection. This model bias, known as the double intertropical convergence zone (ITCZ), is shown to be related to erroneous convection south of the equator, weakened cross-equatorial trade winds, and unfavorable meteorological conditions for marine boundary layer subtropical clouds. We postulate there is a two-way interaction, in which a double-ITCZ occurs with weaker cloud–SST and WES feedbacks, which in turn impact local SSTs and amplify the double-ITCZ. Models with a stronger Southern Ocean to tropical Pacific teleconnection tend to exhibit more multidecadal variability in the Walker circulation, ITCZ, and west–east equatorial SST gradient, as well as greater delayed warming in the tropical eastern Pacific Ocean resulting from delayed Southern Ocean warming under greenhouse gas forcing. These results provide insight into why ESMs struggle to replicate observed tropical Pacific temperature trend patterns and point to ITCZ location as a key target for improvement in future model development.

Climate change↗

DOE OSTI2025

Efficient mutagenesis and genotyping of maize inbreds using biolistics, multiplex CRISPR/Cas9 editing, and Indel-Selective PCR

CRISPR/Cas9 based genome editing has advanced our understanding of a myriad of important biological phenomena. Important challenges to multiplex genome editing in maize include assembly of large complex DNA constructs, few genotypes with efficient transformation systems, and costly/labor-intensive genotyping methods. Here we present an approach for multiplex CRISPR/Cas9 genome editing system that delivers a single compact DNA construct via biolistics to Type I embryogenic calli, followed by a novel efficient genotyping assay to identify desirable editing outcomes. We first demonstrate the creation of heritable mutations at multiple target sites within the same gene. Next, we successfully created individual and stacked mutations for multiple members of a gene family. Genome sequencing found off-target mutations are rare. Multiplex genome editing was achieved for both the highly transformable inbred line H99 and Illinois Low Protein1 (ILP1), a genotype where transformation has not previously been reported. In addition to screening transformation events for deletion alleles by PCR, we also designed PCR assays that selectively amplify deletion or insertion of a single nucleotide, the most common outcome from DNA repair of CRISPR/Cas9 breaks by non-homologous end-joining. The Indel-Selective PCR (IS-PCR) method enabled rapid tracking of multiple edited alleles in progeny populations. The ‘end to end’ pipeline presented here for multiplexed CRISPR/Cas9 mutagenesis can be applied to accelerate maize functional genomics in a broader diversity of genetic backgrounds.

59 BASIC BIOLOGICAL SCIENCES↗

DOE OSTI2024

Proteogenomic characterization of difficult-to-treat breast cancer with tumor cells enriched through laser microdissection

Abstract Background Breast cancer (BC) is the most commonly diagnosed cancer and the leading cause of cancer death among women globally. Despite advances, there is considerable variation in clinical outcomes for patients with non-luminal A tumors, classified as difficult-to-treat breast cancers (DTBC). This study aims to delineate the proteogenomic landscape of DTBC tumors compared to luminal A (LumA) tumors. Methods We retrospectively collected a total of 117 untreated primary breast tumor specimens, focusing on DTBC subtypes. Breast tumors were processed by laser microdissection (LMD) to enrich tumor cells. DNA, RNA, and protein were simultaneously extracted from each tumor preparation, followed by whole genome sequencing, paired-end RNA sequencing, global proteomics and phosphoproteomics. Differential feature analysis, pathway analysis and survival analysis were performed to better understand DTBC and investigate biomarkers. Results We observed distinct variations in gene mutations, structural variations, and chromosomal alterations between DTBC and LumA breast tumors. DTBC tumors predominantly had more mutations inTP53,PLXNB3, Zinc finger genes, and fewer mutations inSDC2,CDH1,PIK3CA,SVIL, andPTEN. Notably, Cytoband 1q21, which contains numerous cell proliferation-related genes, was significantly amplified in the DTBC tumors. LMD successfully minimized stromal components and increased RNA–protein concordance, as evidenced by stromal score comparisons and proteomic analysis. Distinct DTBC and LumA-enriched clusters were observed by proteomic and phosphoproteomic clustering analysis, some with survival differences. Phosphoproteomics identified two distinct phosphoproteomic profiles for high relapse-risk and low relapse-risk basal-like tumors, involving several genes known to be associated with breast cancer oncogenesis and progression, includingKIAA1522,DCK,FOXO3,MYO9B,ARID1A,EPRS,ZC3HAV1, andRBM14. Lastly, an integrated pathway analysis of multi-omics data highlighted a robust enrichment of proliferation pathways in DTBC tumors. Conclusions This study provides an integrated proteogenomic characterization of DTBC vs LumA with tumor cells enriched through laser microdissection. We identified many common features of DTBC tumors and the phosphopeptides that could serve as potential biomarkers for high/low relapse-risk basal-like BC and possibly guide treatment selections.

Oncology↗

DOE OSTI2025

Quantitative stable isotope probing (qSIP) and cross-domain networks reveal bacterial-fungal interactions in the hyphosphere

Interactions between fungi and bacteria have the potential to substantially influence soil carbon dynamics in soil, but we have yet to fully identify these interactions and partners in their natural environment. In this study, we stacked two powerful methods, 13 C quantitative stable isotope probing (qSIP) and cross-domain co-occurrence network, to identify interacting fungi and bacteria in a California grassland soil. We used in-field whole plant 13 CO 2 labeling along with sand-filled ingrowth bags (that trap fungi and hyphae-associated bacteria) to amplify the signal of fungal-bacterial interactions, separate from the bulk soil background. We found a total of 54 bacterial ASVs and 9 fungal OTUs that were significantly 13 C-enriched. These were saprotrophic and biotrophic fungi, and motile, sometimes predatory bacteria. Among these, 70% of all 13 C-enriched bacteria identified were motile. Notably, we detected fungal-bacterial network links between a fungal OTU of the genus Alternaria and several bacterial ASVs of the genera Bacteriovorax, Mucilaginibacter, and Flavobacterium, providing empirical evidence of their direct interactions through C exchange. We observed a strong positive co-occurrence pattern between predatory bacteria of the phylum Bdellovibrionota and fungal OTUs, suggesting the transfer of C across the soil food web. To date, our ability to associate microbial co-occurrence network patterns with biological interactions is limited, but the incorporation of qSIP allowed us to more precisely detect interacting partners by narrowing in on the taxa that were actively incorporating plant-fixed, fungal-transported labeled substrates. Together, these approaches can help build a mechanistic understanding of the complex nature of fungal-bacterial interactions in soil.

59 BASIC BIOLOGICAL SCIENCES↗

DOE OSTI2025

Data for "Efficient Mutagenesis and Genotyping of Maize Inbreds Using Biolistics, Multiplex CRISPR/Cas9 Editing, and Indel-Selective PCR"

gene editing↗

DOE OSTI2025

Data for Phylogenetic diversity of light-dependent phosphorylation of Thr78 in Rubisco activase

Rubisco activase is an ATP-dependent chaperone that facilitates dissociation of inhibitory sugar phosphates from the catalytic sites of Rubisco during photosynthesis. In Arabidopsis, Rubisco activase is negatively regulated by dark-dependent phosphorylation of Thr78. The prevalence of Thr78 in Rubisco activase was investigated across sequences from 91 plant species, finding that 29 (∼32%) species shared a threonine in the same position. Analysis of seven C3 species with an antibody raised against a Thr78 phospho-peptide demonstrated that this position is phosphorylated in multiple genera. However, light-dependent dephosphorylation of Thr78 was observed only in Arabidopsis. Further, phosphorylation of Thr78 could not be detected in any of the four C4 grass species examined. The results suggest that despite conservation of Thr78 in Rubisco activase from a wide range of species, a regulatory role for phosphorylation at this site is more limited. This provides a case study for how variation in post-translational regulation can amplify functional divergence across the phylogeny of plants beyond what is explained by sequence variation in a metabolically important protein.

photosynthesis↗

DOE OSTI2025

High-repetition rate, CEP-stable shortwave infrared source with two-cycle pulses for field-resolved spectroscopy

We report on a passively carrier-envelope phase (CEP)-stable optical parametric amplifier generating two-cycle pulses at 2060 nm with energies of up to 2.25 µJ operating at a repetition rate of 400 kHz, specifically designed for applications in field-resolved spectroscopy. The measured pulse duration is 13.6 fs, resulting in two cycles of the carrier wave. Due to the robust CEP-stable front-end design, we achieve an open-loop CEP stability of 250 mrad (rms) and the capability for fast CEP modulation.

47 OTHER INSTRUMENTATION↗