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NASA NTRSDate not supplied

Benchmark Models for Classification of Radiation Type Induced in Immune Cells

NASA Biological and Physical Sciences and the Science Mission Directorate have published a benchmark dataset of mouse immune cells subjected to radiation-induced DNA damage. The dataset comprises ML-ready microscopic imagery of said cells, including labels indicating radiation type and dose. The machine learning team at NASA Interagency Implementation and Advanced Concept Team (IMPACT) created multiple benchmark models. Initially, we conducted a preliminary analysis using thresholding. The algorithm used thresholds on average brightness of the available images to classify them into their respective radiation type. We also tested machine learning approaches. Convolutional Neural Networks (CNN) emerged as the best-performing model. This poster presents the benchmark scores obtained by the models.

Vishal Perekadan↗
NASA NTRS2023

EVA Task and 3D Pose Recognition from Video

Extravehicular Activity (EVA) has been known to involve potential risks of biomechanical stresses and injuries to crewmembers. Gathering of EVA motion patterns is necessary for risk analysis and mitigation. However, many existing techniques, such as motion capture systems, are not only cost-prohibitive but are impractical for retrospective analysis of past missions. In this work, a software tool was developed, which can estimate the 3D poses of a spacesuit from photographs or videos, without using special sensors or equipment. The tool is based on the state-of-the-art artificial intelligence and machine learning (AI/ML) system, which was trained by studying and capturing motion patterns of past and current spacesuit test data. The AI/ML tool was further enhanced using synthetically generated data, in which the suit postures, backgrounds, camera angles and illumination conditions were parametrically adjusted and rendered for training. The tool, incorporated the methodologies of Convolutional Neural Network (CNN), was trained, and tested in the cloud computing environment. The trained model was then applied on new imagery and video to extract estimated joint positions and suit outlines. The joint positions were further processed to capture activity (“digging”), pose labels (“bending”), and other useful downstream information. The model performance on new imagery and video was successfully assessed for accuracy and reliability. This AI/ML based posture recognition tool thus allows for the quantification of injury risk and task performance characterization for both current and past missions and training, which can immensely help to improve EVA task and suit design.

Kyung Han Kim↗
NASA NTRSDate not supplied

Using Machine Learning to Infer Material Properties of Debris Fragments from X-ray Images in the DebriSat Project

The DebriSat project is a collaboration effort with the NASA Orbital Debris Program Office, the U.S. Space Force Space Systems Command Center, The Aerospace Corporation, and the University of Florida. To date, over 200,000 fragments from this ground-based, hypervelocity impact experiment have been collected, and processing is underway to determine their physical characteristics, such as material, shape, color, characteristic length, and average cross-sectional area. The x-ray process is primarily used to identify the location of the fragments and estimated size for extraction, so that these physical characteristics can be assessed. This paper proposes a machine learning-based approach to characterize materials from x-ray images of debris fragments embedded in soft-catch foam used in the DebriSat project. The novel methodology discussed in this paper will highlight the use of x-ray imagery data to characterize these fragments without extraction or a human-in-the-loop. Both supervised and unsupervised machine learning techniques are utilized with this approach to infer the physical parameters of the fragments embedded in the soft-catch foam panels used in the impact experiment based on x-ray images of the foam panels. Additionally, 3D reconstructions of the extracted fragments are created with images taken from two different angles using the structure from motion (SfM) method. The characteristic lengths and shape from the 3D reconstruction, alongside the physical characteristics of the debris, are used in the inference of the material type. To develop and test the approach, a dataset of x-ray images of debris fragments of varying sizes and materials is collected. Supervised learning methods such as convolutional neural networks (CNNs), support vector machines (SVM), decision trees, and random forest classifiers are used due to the high-dimensional feature spaces of the debris and nonlinear decision boundaries for material categorization. Given the limited pre-labeled data of embedded debris materials smaller than 10 mm, unsupervised machine learning techniques such as clustering algorithms and autoencoders are used, in addition to supervised learning methods. The clustering algorithms group similar fragments together based on their physical properties, and autoencoders reduce the dimensionality of the x ray images and extract relevant features. The performance of the proposed approach's is analyzed using a range of statistical methods, including confusion matrices, receiver operating characteristic curves, and precision-recall curves. The results are compared with those obtained using a baseline approach that relies on manual identification and classification of debris fragments. To evaluate the effectiveness of different machine learning methods, statistical tests such as t-tests, ANOVA, and cross-validation are performed, comparing the performance of CNNs, SVMs, clustering algorithms, and autoencoders. Additional analysis needs to be conducted to identify any sources of bias or variability that may affect the results, such as variations in imaging conditions or fragmentation patterns. Other topics explored are limitations, refinements, and the potential use of semi-supervised learning techniques, such as self-training to label unlabeled datasets and co-training using x-ray images taken from two different angles as two different models.

Saik Anam Siam↗
NASA NTRS2022

Robust Controller Synthesis for Vision-based Spacecraft Guidance and Control

This work develops a method for Robust Controller for Vision-based Spacecraft (RCVS) guidance and control, integral to the robust autonomy framework for multi-spacecraft for- mation control and reconfiguration applications. The method is built around the use of a photo-realistic simulator, where a camera is deployed on a tracking spacecraft (ego) in order to observe an uncontrolled spacecraft (target) in a Low Earth Orbit (LEO). In this direction, the proposed approach performs the relative state (attitude and position) estimation of the target spacecraft using Convolutional Neural Network (CNN). The state estimation error is then modeled and the corresponding error-bounds are obtained around a nominal trajectory of the ego and target spacecraft. Next, this work proposes a linear matrix inequalities (LMIs) based approach to controller synthesis, guaranteed to be robust against both model uncertainties and measurement errors, resulting from vision-based estimation. This controller is comprised of two distinct components, one synthesized based on the nominal trajectory, while the “robust” component corrects for deviations from the nominal trajectory. Finally, a tracking scenario that directly utilize the image data for spacecraft guidance and control, is presented to showcase the performance of the proposed robust autonomy framework.

Rahmani, Amir↗
NASA NTRS2023

Marin County Wildland Fires: Examining Fuel Load and Land Cover Change to Inform Fire Prevention and Suppression Decisions in Marin County, CA

Heightened occurrence of severe wildfires in the Western United States is increasing the need to better understand regions of high potential wildfire severity and develop methodologies for identifying the best locations for fuels reduction and active wildfire suppression, especially in populated regions such as Marin County, California. Marin County, located in the San Francisco Bay Area, has had significant development in the wildland-urban interface and periods of highly wildfire-prone conditions. The NASA DEVELOP team collaborated with Fire Foundry (a Marin-based fire service workforce development program) and the Marin County Fire Department to develop models to assist with fire management. Using data from Sentinel-2A, PlanetScope, ECOSTRESS, a county-wide LiDAR mapping effort, Landsat 7 Enhanced Thematic Mapper (ETM+), and Landsat 8 Operational Land Imager (OLI), our team developed a number of input data layers for three different models to evaluate wildfire severity. One model performed a suitability analysis with weights based on scientific literature; another model utilized a U-Net Convolutional Neural Network trained on previous fires in Marin and neighboring Sonoma County to predict the difference normalized burn severity; and the third inputted data layers into the FlamMap tool that outputs risk categories. We compared model outputs and performed a weighted overlay analysis to identify specific locations where a fireline could be constructed to interrupt the progress of an active fire. These tools will assist partners in preparing for and managing active wildfire situations.

Remote sensing↗
NASA NTRS2022

Multi-Mission Terrain Classifier for Safe Rover Navigation and Automated Science

We previously presented Soil Property and Object Classification (SPOC), a machine learning-based terrain classifier for Mars rovers, for automatically segmenting rover images by its surface type such as sand and bedrock. This paper presents a number of practical improvements to pave the way for potential future onboard deployment. First, we achieved 97.0% overall pixel accuracy, evaluated against the classification generated by human experts on images from Mars Science Laboratory (MSL) missions. The substantial increase in accuracy was primarily enabled by the sheer volume of data used for training; we created a new large-scale dataset of Martian terrain labels, namely AI4Mars, which contains more than 400k labels contributed by citizen scientists for 50k images taken by the Mars Exploration Rovers (MER) and Mars Science Laboratory (MSL) rover. Second, we demonstrated that SPOC can quickly adapt to a new mission landed on a previously unseen site. Specifically, we pretrained a model with MER and MSL data from the AI4Mars dataset and then adapted to the Mars 2020 Rover (M2020) by feeding a small volume of data between Sol 0 and 157; the adapted model was tested on Sol 200-203 and resulted in 84.2% overall pixel accuracy and 93.4% reliability (recall) for detecting sand, the most concerning class for rover’s traversability. Third, we found that pretraining can substantially mitigate the decline of accuracy over time. We showed that the performance of a SPOC model pretrained with the ImageNet dataset and then trained by MSL images only up to Sol 390 remains comparable to a model trained by images up to Sol 1689 on the test data after Sol 1689. Fourth, we reimplemented SPOC with a light-weight convolutional neural network (CNN), MobileNetV2, which typically runs within tens of milliseconds (ms) on mobile processors such as Qualcomm’s Snapdragon. Finally, we released the AI4Mars dataset to the public to encourage open innovation.

Ono, Masahiro↗
NASA NTRS2023

Probabilistic Forecasting of Ground Magnetic Perturbation Spikes at Mid-Latitude Stations

The prediction of large fluctuations in the ground magnetic field (dB/dt) is essential for preventing damage from Geomagnetically Induced Currents. Directly forecasting these fluctuations has proven difficult, but accurately determining the risk of extreme events can allow for the worst of the damage to be prevented. Here we trained Convolutional Neural Network models for eight mid-latitude magnetometers to predict the probability that dB/dt will exceed the 99th percentile threshold 30–60 min in the future. Two model frameworks were compared, a model trained using solar wind data from the Advanced Composition Explorer (ACE) satellite, and another model trained on both ACE and SuperMAG ground magnetometer data. The models were compared to examine if the addition of current ground magnetometer data significantly improved the forecasts of dB/dt in the future prediction window. A bootstrapping method was employed using a random split of the training and validation data to provide a measure of uncertainty in model predictions. The models were evaluated on the ground truth data during eight geomagnetic storms and a suite of evaluation metrics are presented. The models were also compared to a persistence model to ensure that the model using both datasets did not over-rely on dB/dt values in making its predictions. Overall, we find that the models using both the solar wind and ground magnetometer data had better metric scores than the solar wind only and persistence models, and was able to capture more spatially localized variations in the dB/dt threshold crossings.

Michael Coughlan↗
NASA NTRSDate not supplied

Observing Supraglacial Lakes Using Deep Learning and PlanetScope Imagery

Supraglacial lakes (SGL)s result from melt water accumulation in topographic depressions on the surface of glaciers. SGLs primarily affect glacial dynamics through a positive feedback loop in which the albedo-lowering effect of SGLs can escalate surface melt leading to increases in lake extent and depth, amplifying the afore mentioned albedo-lowering effect. The implications of accelerated glacial melt include increased sea level rise and modifications to ocean primary productivity. SGLs are critical indicators of surface melt and its downstream impacts and should be monitored efficiently. In situ observations and measurements of SGLs are time consuming, cost-prohibitive and difficult to scale. Earth observation data and machine learning enable scalable monitoring of SGLs through pattern detection and quantification of lake evolution over time [1]. This work presents a model developed by training a convolutional neural network with imagery and labels from NASA Operation IceBridge and predicting SGLs in high temporal and spatial resolution PlanetScope imagery.

Supraglacial lake↗
NASA NTRSDate not supplied

Predicting Lightning Initiation using Deep Learning

Lightning occurrence presents safety challenges to people and property. The main challenge with lightning safety is that the majority of guidance is reactive. In other words, lightning has to have already occurred nearby before a person will respond and take shelter. Further, most injuries or fatalities occur as the storm approaches, or as it's moving away, when rainfall may not be present at the time of the flash. Thus, this project develops a physically-based deep learning model to produce lightning probabilities out to 15 minutes. The deep learning model combines a Convolutional Neural Network (CNN) with a Long Short-Term Memory (LSTM) network to capture both the spatial and temporal evolution of storms to predict the probability that lightning initiation will occur in the next 15 minutes. The model combines radar reflectivity, correlation coefficient and differential reflectivity to inferred storm hydrometer type and precipitation phase, which aids in the identification of electrification processes. The model is trained with data from the Geostationary Lightning Mapper (GLM), which is a near infrared sensor onboard the GOES-R series of satellites that measures optical brightness from lightning. This presentation will provide an overview of the project.

Andrew T White↗
NASA NTRS2023

A Machine Learning-Based Approach to Time-Series Wave Identification in the Solar Wind

The Wind spacecraft has yielded several decades of high-resolution magnetic field data, a large fraction of which displays small-scale structures. In particular, the solar wind is full of wavelike fluctuations that appear in both the field magnitude and its components. The nature of these fluctuations can be tied to the properties of other structures in the solar wind, such as shocks, that have implications for the time evolution of the solar wind. As such, having a large collection of wave events would facilitate further study of the effects that these fluctuations have on solar wind evolution. Given the large volume of magnetic field data available, machine learning is the most practical approach to classifying the myriad small-scale structures observed. To this end, a subset of Wind data is labeled and used as a training set for a multi-branch 1D convolutional neural network aimed at classifying circularly polarized wave modes. Using this algorithm, a preliminary statistical study of one year of data is performed, yielding about 300,000 wave intervals out of about 5,000,000 solar wind intervals. The wave intervals come about more often in the fast solar wind and at higher temperatures, and the number of waves per day is highly periodic. This machine learning-based approach to wave detection has the potential to be a powerful, inexpensive way to catalog waves throughout decades of spacecraft data.

Samuel Fordin↗
NASA NTRSDate not supplied

Statistical Classification of Biosignature Information using Multiple Instrument Observations

The accurate identification of biosignatures (indications of life) from data taken from remote or in situ planetary exploration is one of the most important challenges in astrobiology, the interdisciplinary field examining habitability and the potential for extraterrestrial life. This study employs machine learning algorithms to optimize the identification of biosignatures, with an emphasis on those which are agnostic to a specific biochemical basis. We exploit the wealth of terrestrial data available from biogenic and abiogenic systems to enhance efficient feature prioritization. Our dataset, pulled from public databases and laboratory recorded measurements, includes elemental abundance, isotopic fractionation, and VNIR/Raman spectra The data curation process included standardization for detection limits and ranges. Subsequent feature extraction yielded detailed inputs for machine learning, including combinations of elemental content, isotopic ratios, and parameters of spectral peaks and troughs. Feature significance was evaluated across diverse machine learning methodologies, such as k-nearest neighbors, logistic regression, Random Forest, support vector machines, and Gaussian Naïve Bayes, along with a combined voting classifier. We utilized Receiver Operating Characteristic Area Under the Curve (ROC AUC) across 2,000 50% test-train splits as a robust metric of model performance. Results revealed a promising ROC AUC of 0.853 for the combined voting classifier. Removing elemental abundance data notably reduced model accuracy (13% decrease in AUC), highlighting its critical role in biosignature detection. Several other individual data features exhibited significance within their respective data types, offering additional granularity. This research fortifies the relevance of machine learning to astrobiology, potentially enhancing life detection missions by allowing algorithmic prioritization of high-interest samples for further investigation. Future work will refine data standardization, expand the dataset to include more terrestrial systems, and incorporate convolutional neural networks for spectral feature extraction. The potential for public data sharing is also under exploration, reinforcing our commitment to collective scientific advancement.

Statistical↗
NASA NTRS2023

Using Machine Learning to Infer Material Properties of Debris Fragments from X-ray Images in the DebriSat Project

The DebriSat project is a collaboration effort with the NASA Orbital Debris Program Office, the U.S. Space Force Space Systems Command Center, The Aerospace Corporation, and the University of Florida. To date, over 200,000 fragments from this ground-based, hypervelocity impact experiment have been collected, and processing is underway to determine their physical characteristics, such as material, shape, color, characteristic length, and average cross-sectional area. The x-ray process is primarily used to identify the location of the fragments and estimated size for extraction, so that these physical characteristics can be assessed. This paper proposes a machine learning-based approach to characterize materials from x-ray images of debris fragments embedded in soft-catch foam used in the DebriSat project. The novel methodology discussed in this paper will highlight the use of x-ray imagery data to characterize these fragments without extraction or a human-in-the-loop. Both supervised and unsupervised machine learning techniques are utilized with this approach to infer the physical parameters of the fragments embedded in the soft-catch foam panels used in the impact experiment based on x-ray images of the foam panels. Additionally, 3D reconstructions of the extracted fragments are created with images taken from two different angles using the structure from motion (SfM) method. The characteristic lengths and shape from the 3D reconstruction, alongside the physical characteristics of the debris, are used in the inference of the material type. To develop and test the approach, a dataset of x-ray images of debris fragments of varying sizes and materials is collected. Supervised learning methods such as convolutional neural networks (CNNs), support vector machines (SVM), decision trees, and random forest classifiers are used due to the high-dimensional feature spaces of the debris and nonlinear decision boundaries for material categorization. Given the limited pre-labeled data of embedded debris materials smaller than 10 mm, unsupervised machine learning techniques such as clustering algorithms and autoencoders are used, in addition to supervised learning methods. The clustering algorithms group similar fragments together based on their physical properties, and autoencoders reduce the dimensionality of the x ray images and extract relevant features. The performance of the proposed approach's is analyzed using a range of statistical methods, including confusion matrices, receiver operating characteristic curves, and precision-recall curves. The results are compared with those obtained using a baseline approach that relies on manual identification and classification of debris fragments. To evaluate the effectiveness of different machine learning methods, statistical tests such as t-tests, ANOVA, and cross-validation are performed, comparing the performance of CNNs, SVMs, clustering algorithms, and autoencoders. Additional analysis needs to be conducted to identify any sources of bias or variability that may affect the results, such as variations in imaging conditions or fragmentation patterns. Other topics explored are limitations, refinements, and the potential use of semi-supervised learning techniques, such as self-training to label unlabeled datasets and co-training using x-ray images taken from two different angles as two different models.

Saik Anam Siam↗
NASA NTRS2023

Predicting Patterns of Solar Energy Buildout to Identify Opportunities for Biodiversity Conservation

The construction of solar energy facilities can have positive or negative impacts on biodiversity depending on siting and associated land use transitions. We identified drivers of solar siting and quantified patterns of buildout in states surrounding the Chesapeake Bay watershed – a biodiversity hotspot with numerous ecosystem services. Using a convolutional neural network, we mapped the footprints of ground-mounted solar arrays present in satellite imagery annually from 2017 to 2021 in Delaware, Maryland, Pennsylvania, New York, Virginia, and West Virginia. As of 2021, we identified 958 solar arrays covering 52.3 km2 built primarily on previously cultivated land, while avoiding natural landcover. We fit a binomial-Weibull model to these solar timeseries data in a hierarchical, Bayesian framework to quantify the relationship between geospatial covariates and rate of solar development. Solar array construction rate increased in cultivated areas, areas of lower agricultural suitability, lower slope, lower forest cover, lower biodiversity protection, and greater distances from roads. We also estimated changes in the rate of solar construction over time and found differences among states: acceleration in Virginia and deceleration in New York. We used parameter estimates to map the relative likelihood of future solar development across the study area. This methodology can be used to anticipate where solar is likely to be built in different landscapes and how these patterns align with conservation goals. Around the Chesapeake Bay watershed, the selection of lower quality agricultural areas for solar energy minimizes removal of important habitat and provides opportunities for native plant and pollinator restoration.

Artificial Intelligence↗
NASA NTRSDate not supplied

Anomaly Detection for the Roman Space Telescope Wide Field Instrument’s Science Data Processing Pipeline

The Roman Space Telescope (RST) Wide Field Instrument (WFI) will be utilizing a preliminary Science Data Processing (SDP) pipeline during its Integration and Test, and to some extent during Operations, to track basic statistics and identify known features such as cosmic rays, snowballs as well as possible anomalies in raw detector data. In our detectors, these anomalies appear as jumps in the ramp of a readout and are classified as cosmic rays if they appear as a streak or snowballs if they’re more circular. The WFI employs an array of 18 H4RG-10 detectors that collect image samples. Each set of raw frames within a non-destructive exposure is packaged by the SDP pipeline into image cubes for each detector. Each cube is a time series of 4096 × 4096 accumulating pixel frames. The preliminary analysis pipeline is used to locate anomalies in these time-series accumulation frames and identify the type of anomaly, either natural phenomena or detector characteristic. To compare different methods, we’ve implemented both heuristic-based and data-driven methods to identify anomalies. For the heuristic-based approach, we identify snowballs and cosmic rays by the size and shape of outlier pixel clusters between consecutive frames. For data driven methods, we evaluated a Convolutional Neural Network (CNN) model, and more traditional methods like Principal Component Analysis (PCA). CNN is a supervised learning/classification method. Thus, we used a labeled dataset of anomalies to perform segmentation of the image and identify anomalies. We used previously identified cosmic rays and snowballs to measure the accuracy and efficiency of the mentioned approaches. In evaluating these methods, we aim to pick the best fit for the SDP pipeline’s anomaly detection in terms of both performance and runtime.

Paul Horton↗
NASA NTRS2023

Damage Detection of a Pressure Vessel with Smart Sensing and Deep Learning

Structural Health Monitoring plays a crucial role in ensuring the safety and reliability of critical infrastructure, including pressure vessels involved in various applications. This research reports the damage detection of a pressure box employed in space habitat that operates in harsh environment where both structural failure and bolt joint loosening may occur. These failure modes are extremely hard to model based on first principles. We explore proper sensing mechanism and the associated inverse analysis algorithm that can elucidate the health condition of the pressure box. It is identified that piezoelectric impedance based active interrogation can provide necessary information for damage detection in such a system. Concurrently, deep learning technique leveraging spatial convolutional neural network is synthesized to analyze the raw data acquired and identify different types of damage. By training the deep learning model on a dataset of healthy and various damage scenarios, we can achieve high accuracy in identifying the presence of damage and its type. This research provides a data-driven methodology for structural damage detection using deep learning and has the potential to be extended to various systems with different failure modes.

Yang Zhang↗
NASA NTRS2024

Soil Salinity Level Assessment and Prediction Integrating UAV-borne Hyperspectral Imaging and Machine Learning Algorithms to Combat Desertification

In response to the ongoing global food crisis, the United Nations has identified “Zero Hunger” as one of its Sustainable Development Goals. A central contributor to the crisis is the process in which agricultural lands go through desertification. Research has shown a direct correlation between soil salinity and desertification - increased salinity levels indicate a higher risk for desertification. Furthermore, researchers have explored various techniques to map soil salinity, but these methods are oftentimes inefficient and don’t address future salinity predictions. To improve desertification monitoring, soil salinity can be observed via hyperspectral imaging on unmanned aerial vehicles (UAVs) to predict the risk of agricultural desertification using artificial intelligence (AI) and machine learning (ML) techniques. A significant gap exists in past research that applies ML and imaging techniques to soil salinity: convolutional neural networks (CNNs) and regression models are rarely leveraged together, despite the efficiency and accuracy of these models. To compensate for this gap, the proposed system leverages the use of these AI and ML models to improve soil assessment and prediction techniques. This approach involves three steps - data collection, image analysis, and future prediction. Using hyperspectral cameras on UAVs to collect the data from the region, a trained CNN model will output estimated soil salinity levels at a specific time. The estimations will then be analyzed by a regression model to assess the accuracy of future soil salinity predictions. The proposed system will identify regions at risk of desertification to help farmers mitigate agricultural loss, in turn helping alleviate the food crisis.

UAV systems↗
NASA NTRS2024

Evaluation of Machine Learning and Deep Learning Algorithms for Fire Prediction in Southeast Asia

Vegetation fires are prevalent in South/Southeast Asian countries, making fire prediction crucial due to their potential environmental, economic, and social impacts. Accurate predictions of fires facilitate timely interventions, helping to mitigate uncontrolled fires that can lead to biodiversity loss and air quality issues. In this study, we utilize VIIRS satellite-derived fire data alongside six machine learning and deep learning models—Simple Persistence, Multi-Layer Perceptron (MLP), Convolutional Neural Network (CNN), Long Short-Term Memory (LSTM), CNN-LSTM, and ConvLSTM—to determine the most effective fire prediction model, using Root Mean Square Error (RMSE) as the metric. Our results indicate that the CNN model is the most reliable in regions with spatial dependencies, such as Brunei, Indonesia, Malaysia, the Philippines, Timor-Leste, and Thailand. Conversely, the ConvLSTM model excels in countries with complex spatiotemporal dynamics like Laos, Myanmar, and Vietnam. The CNN-LSTM hybrid model also performed well in Cambodia, suggesting a need for a balanced approach in areas requiring both spatial and temporal feature extraction. Furthermore, simpler models like Persistence and MLP showed limitations in capturing dynamic patterns and temporal dependencies. Our findings highlight the importance of evaluating models before implementing any decision support systems (DSS) in fire management. By tailoring models to specific regional fire data, we can enhance prediction accuracy and responsiveness, ultimately improving fire risk management in Southeast Asia and beyond.

Deep learning↗
NASA NTRSDate not supplied

Towards Surrogate Modeling of Subgrid Turbulent Transport for 3D Radiative Hydrodynamic Simulations of the Quiet Sun

In this work, we investigate the use of deep learn-ing techniques as surrogate models, to enhance the estimationof effects of subgrid turbulent transport for 3D radiatuve hy-drodynamic simulations of the quiet Sun. We develop two dis-tinct 3D Convolutional Neural Networks (3DCNNs) to capturespatio-temporal dependencies in 3D velocity fields, leveragingdifferent activation functions and architectural designs. Thesemodels integrate both averaged velocity vector components andscalar features such as plasma density to enhance predictionaccuracy. Additionally, a Multilayer Perceptron (MLP) modelis employed to approximate complex nonlinear relationships,offering a comparison in performance between convolutionaland fully connected architectures. Logarithmic transformationis applied to the targets to handle heavily skewed data, im-proving model performance. All models are compared againsta physics-based Gradient Model. Results show that the 3DCNNmodels excel at approximating Reynolds stress tensors, makingthem a candidate for assisting in producing reduced resolutionsimulations, and thereby reducing computational overheadwhile maintaining higher accuracy than the baseline. Thesefindings demonstrate the potential of deep learning, particu-larly CNNs, to advance scalable and accurate simulations ofsolar dynamics, offering a promising alternative to traditionalturbulence models.

Heliophysics↗