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DOE OSTI2026

Application of an Empirical Density Law via Python for Aqueous Plutonium Chloride Systems for MCNP6

Criticality safety models for aqueous plutonium chloride systems often contain a significant bias due to assumptions in material compositions. These systems are currently modeled as a fictitious metal-water mixture because little is known about the true solution density. Furthermore, no predictive density tools or capabilities for modeling aqueous plutonium chloride systems are approved for use at Los Alamos National Laboratory. Recent density measurements of this ternary system (PuCl 3 -HCl-H 2 O) have allowed for the development of a more realistic density law, which is applied in this work via an empirical method based in Python. This tool, entitled PuCS (Plutonium Chloride Solution tool) may be used to determine solution density and composition based on the plutonium content, acid content, and temperature for MCNP6 inputs. PuCS has been found to predict density within 2% of experimental data. In conclusion, MCNP6 calculations have found that crediting minimal amounts of free acid (0.5 M) may correspond to a ~12% decrease in peak reactivity in comparison to current modeling methods.

42 ENGINEERING↗

DOE OSTI2025

How Inverter-Based Resources (IBRs) Affect Protection Relay Elements

Inverter-based resources (IBRs) exhibit fault responses that differ significantly from those of synchronous generators, which can challenge the reliable operation of many commonly used power system protection elements. The fault response of IBRs is primarily influenced by their control algorithms and configurations, but the impact of these controls on protection relays is not yet fully understood. This presentation provides a comprehensive study of how IBR modeling and controls affect transmission line protection. Key modeling and control aspects include the DC source, inverter model, power level control, current control, and current limiting. The study reveals that certain aspects - such as the type of DC source (battery, PV, or hybrid), inverter model (average vs. switching), and power level control methods (PQ dispatch vs. Vdc-Vac control for grid-following IBRs, and droop vs. VSM for grid-forming IBRs) - do not significantly affect relay response. However, faster control loops, such as current control and current limiting, do influence the relay behavior. Additionally, the study explores the effects of other factors, including momentary cessation, operating points, fast/slow current responses, and grid strength on relay performance. Finally, the study offers recommendations for both IBR and protection engineers to improve IBR fault response and enhance the reliability of protection systems.

14 SOLAR ENERGY↗

DOE OSTI2025

A Comprehensive Study of the Impact of Inverter-Based Resource (IBR) Modeling and Control on Protection Relay Elements

14 SOLAR ENERGY↗

DOE OSTI2024

Extracting Vehicle Trajectories from Partially Overlapping Roadside Radar

This work presents a methodology for extracting vehicle trajectories from six partially-overlapping roadside radars through a signalized corridor. The methodology incorporates radar calibration, transformation to the Frenet space, Kalman filtering, short-term prediction, lane-classification, trajectory association, and a covariance intersection-based approach to track fusion. The resulting dataset contains 79,000 fused radar trajectories over a 26-h period, capturing diverse driving scenarios including signalized intersections, merging behavior, and a wide range of speeds. Compared to popular trajectory datasets such as NGSIM and highD, this dataset offers extended temporal coverage, a large number of vehicles, and varied driving conditions. The filtered leader–follower pairs from the dataset provide a substantial number of trajectories suitable for car-following model calibration. The framework and dataset presented in this work has the potential to be leveraged broadly in the study of advanced traffic management systems, autonomous vehicle decision-making, and traffic research.

33 ADVANCED PROPULSION SYSTEMS↗

DOE OSTI2025

Consequence Based Framework for Deployment of Cloud Solutions in the Digital Energy Transition

This study proposes a framework for evaluating cloud computing deployment in the electric sector, focusing on the digital transition of energy systems. It assesses the implications of cloud technology adoption, particularly in terms of security, operational resilience, and efficiency. The paper introduces a framework for consequence-driven applied risk analysis, enabling utilities to prioritize and mitigate potential threats effectively, and responsibly deploy cloud applications. It also discusses the shared responsibility model in cloud computing, highlighting the need for collaborative security efforts. The research aims to provide utilities with a strategic assessment tool for cloud adoption, emphasizing the importance of security culture in enhancing cloud computing's role in critical infrastructure.

29 ENERGY PLANNING, POLICY, AND ECONOMY↗

DOE OSTI2025

Development and application of two-step uncertainty propagation and sensitivity analysis methodology for fast reactor safety analysis

Uncertainty quantification (UQ) in nuclear reactors for transients is directly linked with safety assessment through the cross-sections uncertainties, provided as a covariance matrix, which are propagated through the reactor system to output of interest pertaining to reactor safety, such as peak temperatures in fuel/clad/coolant. Using a two-step approach, uncertainties are first quantified and propagated from basic input variables (such as reaction cross-sections) to intermediate quantities (such as reactivity feedback coefficients) through lattice level calculations. Uncertainties of intermediate quantities (from the first step) are then propagated through the system transient calculations, in the second step, to obtain uncertainties on reactor safety output parameters of interest. The scope of this work consists of Uncertainty Quantification & Propagation of nuclear data uncertainties that are highly correlated through unprotected transient overpower and unprotected loss of flow to assess their impact on core safety parameters. This two-step approach in the presence of covariance renders the sensitivity analysis very challenging. In fact, usually the sensitivity analysis is restricted to each step, which limits its application since the sensitivities between the system output quantities and the basic input variables are difficult to obtain. Here, in this work, we address this issue by proposing a simple, general methodology to combine the sensitivity indices obtained in each step by assuming the model behavior being linear. For the first step Generalized Perturbation theory based indices are used while in the second step the recently studied Johnson indices. The uncertainty quantification and sensitivity methodologies discussed here are demonstrated on a generic LFR design which is based on the 500 MWth demonstration Lead-cooled fast reactor (DLFR) using oxide fuel, developed by Westinghouse Electric Company (WEC).

42 - ENGINEERING↗

DOE OSTI2026

First-principles investigation of structure-property relationships in stable and metastable MXenes

Understanding the structure–property relationships in layered transition-metal carbides or nitrides, known as MXenes, is of critical importance for their rational design, synthesis, and application. However, the vast chemical and structural diversity of MXenes, stemming from their wide range of M and X elements, surface terminations, and different atomic coordination environments, makes it challenging to clearly understand these structure–property relationships. Here, in this work, we perform first-principles density functional theory (DFT) calculations and molecular dynamics (MD) simulations to comprehensively investigate the stability and a variety of physical properties of MXenes with different coordination environments. Using Ti- and Mo-based carbide MXenes as model systems, energetic calculations reveal that Ti-based MXenes are most stable in octahedral coordination, whereas Mo-based MXenes preferentially adopt prismatic coordination. This fundamental difference in preferred atomic coordination gives rise to markedly distinct properties between these two systems as a function of the fraction of octahedral and prismatic sites. For instance, the in-plane stiffness of Ti-based MXenes increases as octahedral coordination becomes dominant, but it decreases in the Mo-based MXenes under the same conditions. Additional stability analyses based on mechanical, lattice-dynamical, and temperature-dependent thermodynamic properties demonstrate that many metastable MXenes not only satisfy the strict stability criteria but can also undergo phase transitions among different structures and even become stabilized at elevated temperatures. Although surface terminations, such as F and O atoms, do not alter the energetic ordering or the overall stiffness trends among stable and metastable MXenes, they influence other material properties. For instance, O termination can induce semiconducting behavior in both stable and metastable Ti 2 ⁢CO 2 MXenes. This study significantly advances the fundamental understanding of structure–property relationships in MXenes and provides valuable guidance for developing coordination-based design principles to precisely engineer MXenes with improved properties.

Oyeniran, Noah [University of Alabama, Tuscaloosa,↗

DOE OSTI2025

Gauge-fixing quantum density operators at scale

We provide a theory, algorithms, and simulations of nonequilibrium quantum systems using a one-dimensional (1D) completely positive (CP), matrix-product (MP) density-operator (𝜌) representation. By generalizing the matrix product state's orthogonality center, to additionally store positive classical mixture correlations, the MP⁢𝜌 factorization naturally emerges. In this setting, we analytically and numerically examine the virtual gauge freedoms associated with the representation of quantum density operators. Based on this perspective, we simplify algorithms in certain limits to speed up the integration of the canonical-form master-equation dynamics. This enables us to quickly evolve under the dynamics of two-body quantum channels without resorting to optimization-based methods. In addition to this technical advance, we also scale up numerical examples and discuss implications for accurately modeling hardware architectures and predicting their performance in the near term. This includes an example of the quantum to classical transition of informationally leaky, i.e., decohering, qubits. In this setting, because of loss from environmental interactions, nonlocal complex coherence correlations are converted into global incoherent classical statistical mixture correlations. Lastly, the representation of both global and local correlations is discussed. We expect this work to have applications in additional nonequilibrium settings, beyond qubit engineering.

Gangapuram, Amit Jamadagni [Oak Ridge National Lab↗

DOE OSTI2024

Deep Learning-Based Failure Prognostic Model for PV Inverter Using Field Measurements

Here, this study presents a novel approach for the precise monitoring and prognosis of photovoltaic (PV) inverter status, which is crucial for the proactive maintenance of PV systems. It addresses the gaps in traditional model-based methods, which tend to neglect the overall reliability of inverters, and the limitations of data-driven approaches that largely depend on simulated data. This research presents a robust solution applicable to real-world scenarios. The proposed data-driven model for PV inverter failure prognosis employs actual inverter measurements, integrating various operational and weather-related factors based on domain knowledge. This approach effectively represents inverter stressors and operational status. Utilizing an Enhanced Siamese Convolutional Neural Network (ESCNN), the model merges operational data with domain knowledge features, redefining the prognosis challenge as a classification task. Furthermore, the paper discusses an ESCNN-based real-time inverter failure monitoring method developed on the well-trained model. The proposed models are rigorously trained and tested with real inverter data and a novel filtering method is included to address accidental failures in practical scenarios. The results validate the model's efficacy, and the directions for future research are also outlined.

42 ENGINEERING↗

DOE OSTI2026

Enhancing dimensionality prediction in hybrid metal halides via feature engineering and class-imbalance mitigation

We present a machine learning (ML) framework for predicting the structural dimensionality of hybrid metal halides (HMHs), including organic-inorganic perovskites, using a combination of chemically-informed feature engineering and advanced class-imbalance handling techniques. This study is motivated by the small and highly imbalanced nature of experimentally available HMH datasets, which limits the applicability and reliability of conventional ML approaches. The dataset, consisting of 494 HMH structures, is highly imbalanced across dimensionality classes (0D, 1D, 2D, 3D), posing significant challenges to predictive modeling. To mitigate this limitation, the dataset was augmented to 1336 samples using the synthetic minority oversampling technique, enabling improved learning of underrepresented dimensionality classes while preserving chemically meaningful feature relationships. We developed interaction-based descriptors designed to capture coupled steric and polarity effects relevant to dimensionality prediction, which are not readily captured by standard single-parameter or composition-only descriptors. These descriptors are integrated into a multi-stage workflow combining feature selection, ensemble stacking, and performance optimization. Our approach significantly improves F1-scores for underrepresented classes, achieving robust cross-validation performance across all dimensionalities. This work demonstrates a generalizable strategy for extracting reliable and interpretable structure–dimensionality relationships from limited experimental data, enabling pre-synthesis screening of organic cations and providing a practical blueprint for small-data ML in hybrid materials systems.

36 MATERIALS SCIENCE↗

DOE OSTI2025

Physics-Informed Neural Network (PINN) Prediction of Mixed Mass-Heat-Crystallization Limited Methane Hydrate Formation and Dissociation in Micro-Confinement

The creation and use of Physics-Informed Neural Networks (PINNs) for simulating the dynamics of methane hydrate formation and dissociation will be presented. The PINN framework's main benefit is its capacity to impose physical consistency with only a partial comprehension of the governing equations. This makes the algorithm especially useful for systems with little experimental evidence or a lack of theoretical knowledge. A strong basis for forecasting methane hydrate behavior over the verified operating ranges of 30.0-80.9 bar pressure and 1.0-4.0 K sub-cooling conditions is provided by the combination of conductive heat transfer equations and mixed mass-transfer–crystallization kinetics. PINNs were more accurate at predicting the mixed mass-heat-crystallization limited kinetics than conventional Artificial Neural Networks (ANNs), demonstrating remarkable predictive accuracy for methane hydrate production over the ANN model. The efficiency of incorporating physical limitations from first principles into machine learning frameworks for methane hydrate crystallizations is reinforced by these findings. For hydrate-related applications in energy generation, carbon sequestration, and climate modelling, our study establishes PINNs as a computational tool that is both scalable and efficient. The proven capacity to close the gap between conventional physics-based simulations and solely data-driven models creates new opportunities for expedited hydrate research and practical applications.

Hartman, Ryan L [NYU Tandon School of Engineering]↗

DOE OSTI2026

Study the Protection Improvements for a Weak Grid Area With High IBRs

NLR is collaborating with Florida Power & Light (FPL) and GE to investigate power system stability and protection reliability challenges in a weak-grid region with high penetration of inverter-based resources (IBRs). This presentation will primarily focus on the protection aspects of the study. We will share key insights from this real-world project, including best practices for developing high-fidelity fault study models, establishing a controller-hardware-in-the-loop (CHIL) platform for testing physical relays, identifying system-level protection challenges, and designing enhanced protection schemes to address those issues. Through this discussion, the audience will gain practical understanding of protection studies in IBR-dominated systems, the emerging challenges associated with reduced fault current and altered transient behavior, and effective mitigation strategies. In particular, we will highlight the critical importance of IBR compliance with IEEE 2800-2022 to ensure dependable and secure protection relay operation in modern transmission systems.

24 POWER TRANSMISSION AND DISTRIBUTION↗

DOE OSTI2025

Scaled-up fabrication of durable and porous adsorbent-coated minichannels on aluminum for CO 2 separation

A method was developed to fabricate zeolite 13X adsorbent-coated minichannels on aluminum for CO₂ adsorption applications in this study. It emphasizes the innovative use of aluminum as a substrate, which offers airtight assembly, paving the way for highly efficient adsorption systems. An optimized coating process was developed using a slurry of Zeolite 13X, yeast, sugar, and xanthan gum, resulting in durable and highly porous layers that enhance CO₂ capture performance. A PETG peeler was designed to remove the top layer of the yeast-engineered adsorbent coatings, revealing a super porous and foamy structure. The teeth of the peeler were designed and fabricated for high repeatability and rapid prototyping. Breakthrough experiments were conducted on the scaled-up adsorbent bed using gas mixtures of 80% CO₂, 20% N₂, and 20% CO₂, 80% N₂ to represent different industrial scenarios. The performance of the bed was evaluated at flow rates of 160 and 190 cm³ min -1 using a Raman Laser Gas Analyzer (RLGA), demonstrating stable adsorption without degradation across multiple cycles. Computational modeling of integral transport phenomena under the chosen experimental conditions was pursued using gPROMS ProcessBuilder™, and the modeling results were compared with those from the tests for adsorption time, which resulted in an error margin of 2% to 9% for the breakthrough time, confirming the easy reproducibility of the design through modeling. This research advances CO₂ capture technologies by providing an effective and scalable solution for producing aluminum-based adsorbent coated beds, supporting industrial carbon capture efforts.

CO2 capture↗

DOE OSTI2025

Atoms-to-devices models for post-irradiation annealing kinetics in III-V semiconductors

Understanding atomic displacement damage and propagating this understanding into validated defect-aware radiation damage models is a critical step toward achieving predictive, atoms-to-systems assessment of radiation vulnerabilities of microelectronics. These models are essential for evaluating the performance and reliability of nuclear stockpile components or space-based electronics (satellites). The goal of this project was to bridge a fundamental science gap between defect spectroscopies and atomistic modeling of radiation-induced defects on the one hand, and simulations of device response on the other hand, to develop predictive defect-aware damage models for high-fidelity device simulations of radiation-damaged III-V semiconductors.

36 MATERIALS SCIENCE↗

DOE OSTI2024

Modeling the Impact of Grain Size on Corrosion Behavior of Ni-Based Alloys in Molten Chloride Salt via Cellular Automata

Molten chloride salts hold significant promise as both thermal transfer and storage media for next-generation concentrated solar power (CSP) systems. However, molten chlorides pose a considerable corrosion risk to structural materials, particularly Ni-based alloys. One approach to enhancing corrosion resistance is through the optimization of grain structure; however, it remains uncertain whether increasing or decreasing grain size enhances corrosion resistance. A cellular automata (CA) program was developed to evaluate the interplay between grain size and corrosion in Ni-based alloy. Our CA program tracks alloy composition, surface roughness, and thickness loss via a graphical user interface, displaying corrosion and diffusion status, and multiple user input cards for tuning the simulation. CA simulations of Inconel 625 indicate enhanced corrosion resistance with increased grain size, with passivating oxides offering limited protection. Additionally, the temporal evolution of alloy surface roughness demonstrates notable fluctuations, with abrupt increases attributed to corrosion along vertical grain boundaries and sudden decreases to grain detachment from the protective film.

Materials Science↗

DOE OSTI2025

Refining the two-band model for highly compensated semimetals using thermoelectric coefficients

In studying compensated semimetals, the two-band model has proven extremely useful in capturing electrical conductivity under magnetic field, as a function of density and mobility of electronlike and holelike carriers. However, it rarely offers practical insight into magnetothermoelectric properties. Here, in this work, we report the field dependence of thermoelectric (TE) coefficients in a highly compensated semimetal NbSb 2 , where we find the Seebeck (𝑆 𝑥⁢𝑥 ) and Nernst (𝑆 𝑥⁢𝑦 ) coefficients increase quadratically and linearly with applied magnetic field, respectively. Such field dependence was predicted in previous work that studied a system of two parabolic bands, within semiclassical Boltzmann transport theory when the following two conditions are simultaneously met: 𝜔 𝑐 ⁢𝜏 ≫ 1 and tan ⁡𝜃 𝐻 ≪ 1, where 𝜔 𝑐 and 𝜏 refer to the cyclotron frequency and relaxation time, respectively, and 𝜃 𝐻 is the Hall angle. Under these conditions, we find the field dependence of the TE coefficients directly provides a relation between the electronlike (𝑛 𝑒 ) and holelike (𝑛 ℎ ) carrier densities, which in turn can be used to refine two-band model fitting. With this, we find the compensation factor ($\frac{|Δ⁢𝑛|}{𝑛_{𝑒}}$, where Δ⁢𝑛 = 𝑛 𝑒 −𝑛 ℎ ) of NbSb 2 is two orders of magnitude smaller than what was found in unrestricted fitting, resulting in a larger saturation-field scale for magnetoresistance. Within the same framework of the semiclassical theory, we also deduce that the thermoelectric Hall angle tan⁡ 𝜃 𝛾 = $\frac{𝑆_{𝑥⁢𝑦}}{𝑆_{𝑥⁢𝑥}}$ can be expressed as ($\frac{Δ⁢𝑛}{𝑛_{𝑒}}$ ×𝜔 𝑐 ⁢𝜏) −1 , which serves as a parameter to predict the degree of compensation. Our findings offer crucial insights into identifying empirical conditions for field-induced enhancement of TE performance and into engineering-efficient thermoelectric devices based on semimetallic materials.

electrical conductivity↗

DOE OSTI2025

Resource assessment of ocean thermal energy conversion in Puerto Rico and U.S. Virgin Islands

Island communities often struggle to establish and maintain traditional electric grids and are therefore heavily reliant on costly imported fossil fuels. In the case of Puerto Rico, these challenges are enhanced by extreme weather and other natural hazards that threaten the local electricity generation and transmission infrastructure. Ocean thermal energy conversion (OTEC) could play an important role in establishing a more resilient electrical grid in the region. Here, in this study, a detailed analysis is conducted to characterize the ocean thermal resource and power potential of OTEC in Puerto Rico based on a 14-year dataset of modeled ocean temperature. The assessment considers seasonal and interannual variability in the region's thermal resource and examines the operational limitations associated with minimal thermal gradients required to run a typical OTEC heat engine. Notably, the local thermal resource is found to be sensitive to El Niño-Southern Oscillation (ENSO) climate patterns, with La Niña conditions linked to greater OTEC power availability. Seven areas of opportunity are identified based on their resource potential and proximity to existing electrical distribution lines, including two that could benefit the nearby U.S. Virgin Islands. The greatest OTEC power potential is observed to the south of the main island of Puerto Rico in the Caribbean Sea with an estimated capacity of 138 MW for a plant pumping cold water from a depth of 1,000 m, or the equivalent amount of electricity required to power 219,000 households.

OTEC↗

DOE OSTI2025

Influence of Phase-Change Materials and Operating Periods on Load Shifting for Thermal Storage Heat Pumps in European Climate Zones

As the reliance on heat pumps (HPs) for space conditioning increases worldwide, ex-tensive grid strains during utility peak hours are expected. Significant research efforts focus on investigating the use of integrated thermal energy storage (TES) systems to reduce peak energy demands. Conventionally, TES systems are often integrated to store and provide either cooling or heating, but not both. In this work, a single room-temperature phase-change material (PCM)-TES was integrated for dual-mode opera-tion with an R290 air-to-water 10.5 kW (3-Ton) HP. Two PCM melting temperatures (17°C, 22°C) were assessed to investigate their impact on system performance and cost reductions for Milan, Italy (4A); Barcelona, Spain (3A); and Oslo, Norway (6A). HP and HP-TES performance maps were generated using Modelica-based transient models and co-simulated with a prototype residential building using the Spawn of En-ergyPlusTM with simple rule-based controls. Our simulations indicate that PCM-17°C provided annual cost savings at higher peak-to-off-peak cost ratios, as the demand re-duction dominated the savings potential. The recharge energy costs and requirements became more dominant at lower cost ratios, making PCM-22°C more beneficial at lower cost ratios. Finally, despite Oslo's heating-dominated climate, the utility peak hours favor cooling demand reductions, making PCM-17°C more appealing. In all cases, the cost savings potential stabilized between 4 – 10% regardless of cost ratio, suggesting that system-level component and operation control optimization is required to maximize cost savings further.

25 ENERGY STORAGE↗