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At least 379 records · Page 21

Origins of the Solar Wind

This paper presented the differential emission measure analysis of SUMER observations of a coroner streamer. We found that: The coroner streamer is isothermal at all heights. This suggests that the loops comprising the streamer must have very flat temperature profiles. The coroner streamer is "overdense" relative to the predictions of hydrostatic equilibrium at most heights. At the lowest heights the streamer is actually "underdense". The SUMER temperature measurements are not consistent with those derived from simultaneous SXT observations. SXT indicates systematically higher temperatures as well as a strong temperature gradient. These SUMER measurements yield somewhat lower temperatures and no gradient in the temperature with height. Previous work has suggested that there may be a hot component to the streamer that is preferentially observed with SXT. Our analysis shows that high temperature emission lines would be observed with SUMER if this were true and thus discounts this possibility. We suggested that scattered light in SXT might produce spurious temperature measurements. The temperature and density structure of this coroner streamer are very similar to "TRACE" active region loops (flat temperature profiles, overdense relative to uniform heating, and relatively cool temperatures).

Warren, Harry↗

Planetary Rings: An Update on Structure and Properties

Over the last several years there has been steady progress in several areas related to the structure and composition of planetary rings. Much of the progress was related to Saturn's rings: new observations by Hubble Space Telescope (HST) and NASA's Infrared Telescope Facility (IRTF), theoretical modeling of the vertical structure of, and particle properties in the rings, discovery of intriguing structural/spectral variations on small spatial scales, new observations and analysis of thermal emission from the rings, theoretical and observational constraints on the quadrupole brightness asymmetry at visual and microwave wavelengths, and new studies of "clumps" in and near the F ring. In addition, new observations were obtained of Jupiter's rings by Cassini, and new models were put forth to explain the narrow edges and apse alignment of the Uranian rings (and presumably other narrow eccentric rings).

Cuzzi, Jeff↗

Continued Analysis of EUVE Solar System Observations

This is the final report for this project. We proposed to continue our work on extracting important results from the EUVE (Extreme UltraViolet Explorer) archive of lunar and jovian system observations. In particular, we planned to: (1) produce several monochromatic images of the Moon at the wavelengths of the brightest solar EUV emission lines; (2) search for evidence of soft X-ray emissions from the Moon and/or X-ray fluorescence at specific EUV wavelengths; (3) search for localized EUV and soft X-ray emissions associated with each of the Galilean satellites; (4) search for correlations between localized Io Plasma Torus (IPT) brightness and volcanic activity on Io; (5) search for soft X-ray emissions from Jupiter; and (6) determine the long term variability of He 58.4 nm emissions from Jupiter, and relate these to solar variability. However, the ADP review panel suggested that the work concentrate on the Jupiter/IPT observations, and provided half the requested funding. Thus we have performed no work on the first two tasks, and instead concentrated on the last three. In addition we used funds from this project to support reduction and analysis of EUVE observations of Venus. While this was not part of the original statement of work, it is entirely in keeping with extracting important results from EUVE solar system observations.

Gladstone, G. Randall↗

Monitoring MRK 509: The Origin of the Reprocessor and Broad Band X-ray Spectrum of Narrow Line Seyfert 1 AKN 564

The ten monitoring observations of Mrk 509 were made successfully between October 20 and November 26 last year. These observations were simultaneously with RXTE observations. A preliminary analysis of the RXTE observations has been done, and the light curve is shown in figure 1. Our aim in this experiment is to determine the location of the emission region of the reflection component by reverberation mapping. This component could be emitted from the accretion disk, within 100 Scwartzschild radii (R(sub s)) from the source. Note that the monitoring interval of 2.5 days corresponds to 100 R(sub s) for a 2 x 10(exp 8) solar mass black hole, which may be appropriate for this luminous object. In that case, we would expect the reflected component to vary along the direct flux, and there should be no spectral variability between observations. Alternatively, the reflected emission could come from the molecular torus, several parsecs from the nucleus. In that case, the reflection component flux should not vary. The light curve in figure 1 shows that during the monitoring period, the target varied in an ideal way, since significant variability was observed between observations and yet the most rapid variability is apparently sampled. The analysis of this data is not yet completed. The measurement of the reflection component in the combined ASCa and RXTE spectra depends critically on the RXTE background subtraction and calibration, but these have not yet progressed to the point where the analysis can be done.

Halpern, Jules P.↗

Earth Observing System (EOS) Communication (Ecom) Modeling, Analysis, and Testbed (EMAT) activiy

This paper describes the Earth Observing System (EOS) Communication (Ecom) Modeling, Analysis, and Testbed (EMAT) activity performed by Code 540 in support of the Ecom project. Ecom is the ground-to-ground data transport system for operational EOS traffic. The National Aeronautic and Space Administration (NASA) Communications (Nascom) Division, Code 540, is responsible for implementing Ecom. Ecom interfaces with various systems to transport EOS forward link commands, return link telemetry, and science payload data. To understand the complexities surrounding the design and implementation of Ecom, it is necessary that sufficient testbedding, modeling, and analysis be conducted prior to the design phase. These activities, when grouped, are referred to as the EMAT activity. This paper describes work accomplished to date in each of the three major EMAT activities: modeling, analysis, and testbedding.

Desai, Vishal↗

Joint IAMAS/IAHS Symposium J1 on Global Monitoring and Advanced Observing Techniques in the Atmosphere and Hydrosphere

Seventy papers were presented at the two-and-a-half-day Symposium on Global Monitoring and Advanced Observing Techniques in the Atmosphere and Hydrosphere. The symposium was jointly organized by the International Association of Meteorology and Atmospheric Sciences (IAMAS) and the International Association of Hydrological Sciences (IAHS). Global observing systems are receiving increased attention in connection with such problems as monitoring global climate change. The symposium included papers on observational requirements; measurement methodologies; descriptions of available datasets; results of analysis of observational data; plans for future observing systems, including the Global Climate Observing System (GCOS) and the Global Ocean Observing System (GOOS); and the programs and plans of the space agencies.

Ohring, G.↗

Spectral Analysis of Forecast Error Investigated with an Observing System Simulation Experiment

The spectra of analysis and forecast error are examined using the observing system simulation experiment (OSSE) framework developed at the National Aeronautics and Space Administration Global Modeling and Assimilation Office (NASAGMAO). A global numerical weather prediction model, the Global Earth Observing System version 5 (GEOS-5) with Gridpoint Statistical Interpolation (GSI) data assimilation, is cycled for two months with once-daily forecasts to 336 hours to generate a control case. Verification of forecast errors using the Nature Run as truth is compared with verification of forecast errors using self-analysis; significant underestimation of forecast errors is seen using self-analysis verification for up to 48 hours. Likewise, self analysis verification significantly overestimates the error growth rates of the early forecast, as well as mischaracterizing the spatial scales at which the strongest growth occurs. The Nature Run-verified error variances exhibit a complicated progression of growth, particularly for low wave number errors. In a second experiment, cycling of the model and data assimilation over the same period is repeated, but using synthetic observations with different explicitly added observation errors having the same error variances as the control experiment, thus creating a different realization of the control. The forecast errors of the two experiments become more correlated during the early forecast period, with correlations increasing for up to 72 hours before beginning to decrease.

OSSE↗

Comparing Two Approaches for Assessing Observation Impact

Langland and Baker introduced an approach to assess the impact of observations on the forecasts. In that approach, a state-space aspect of the forecast is defined and a procedure is derived ultimately relating changes in the aspect with changes in the observing system. Some features of the state-space approach are to be noted: the typical choice of forecast aspect is rather subjective and leads to incomplete assessment of the observing system, it requires availability of a verification state that is in practice correlated with the forecast, and it involves the adjoint operator of the entire data assimilation system and is thus constrained by the validity of this operator. This article revisits the topic of observation impacts from the perspective of estimation theory. An observation-space metric is used to allow inferring observation impact on the forecasts without the limitations just mentioned. Using differences of observation-minus-forecast residuals obtained from consecutive forecasts leads to the following advantages: (i) it suggests a rather natural choice of forecast aspect that directly links to the data assimilation procedure, (ii) it avoids introducing undesirable correlations in the forecast aspect since verification is done against the observations, and (iii) it does not involve linearization and use of adjoints. The observation-space approach has the additional advantage of being nearly cost free and very simple to implement. In its simplest form it reduces to evaluating the statistics of observationminus- background and observation-minus-analysis residuals with traditional methods. Illustrations comparing the approaches are given using the NASA Goddard Earth Observing System.

Variational Analysis↗

JPL 1990-3: A 5-nrad extragalactic source catalog based on combined radio interferometric observations

A combined analysis merges 17,000 Deep Space Network (DSN) Very Long Baseline Interferometric (VLBI) observations with 303,000 observations from the Crustal Dynamics Project (CDP) and the International Radio Interferometric Surveying (IRIS) project. Observations from the Radio Reference Frame Development (RRFD) and Time and Earth Motion Precision Observations (TEMPO) programs through late 1990 form the DSN VLBI data set. The combined analysis yields angular coordinates of extragalactic radio sources with a precision of a few nanoradians, as compared with 5 to 10 nrad precision for coordinates derived in the past solely from DSN data. The improvement in the combined analysis is due to the new Mark III DSN data, as well as to increased statistical strength from the large volume of observations from non-DSN experiments. Such a unified analysis is made possible by recent improvements in parameter estimation software efficiency. The terrestrial reference frame is based on joint VLBI experiments using both DSN and CDP antennas, and on specifying the coordinates of VLBI antennas in a proper geocentric coordinate system by means of Global Positioning System (GPS) collocation of VLBI, LLR, and SLR (Laser Ranging) sites.

Sovers, O. J.↗

An analysis of satellite state vector observability using SST tracking data

Observability of satellite state vectors, using only SST tracking data was investigated by covariance analysis under a variety of satellite and station configurations. These results indicate very precarious observability in most short arc cases. The consequences of this are large variances on many state components, such as the downrange component of the relay satellite position. To illustrate the impact of observability problems, an example is given of two distinct satellite orbit pairs generating essentially the same data arc. The physical bases for unobservability are outlined and related to proposed TDRSS configurations. Results are relevant to any mission depending upon TDRSS to determine satellite state. The required mathematical analysis and the software used is described.

Englar, T. S., Jr.↗

Challenges and Advances in Modeling of the Solar Atmosphere: A White Paper of Findings and Recommendations

The next decade will be an exciting period for solar astrophysics, as new ground- and space-based instrumentation will provide unprecedented observations of the solar atmosphere and heliosphere. The synergy between modeling effort and comprehensive analysis of observations is crucial for the understanding of the physical processes behind the observed phenomena. However, the unprecedented wealth of data on one hand, and the complexity of the physical phenomena on the other, require the development of new approaches in both data analysis and numerical modeling. In this white paper, we summarize recent numerical achievements to reproduce structure, dynamics, and observed phenomena from the photosphere to the low corona and outline challenges we expect to face for the interpretation of future observations.

Heliophysics↗

Retrieval of H2O Abundance in Titan's Stratosphere: A (Re)Analysis of CIRS/Cassini and PACS/Herschel Observations

Since its first measurement 20 years ago by the Infrared Space Observatory (ISO), the water (H2O) mole fraction in Titan’s stratosphere remains uncertain due to large differences between the determinations from available measurements. More particularly, the recent measurements made from the Herschel observatory (PACS (Photodetector Array Camera and Spectrometer) and HIFI (Heterodyne Instrument for the Far Infrared)) estimated the H2O mole fraction to be 0.023 parts per billion at 12.1 millibars. A mixing ratio of 0.14 parts per billion at 10.7 millibars was, however, retrieved from nadir spatially-resolved observations of Cassini/CIRS (Composite Infrared Spectrometer). At the same pressure level (10.7 millibars), this makes a difference of a factor of 5.5 between PACS and CIRS measurements, and this has notably prevented current models from fully constraining the oxygen flux flowing into Titan’s atmosphere. In this work, we try to understand the differences between the H2O mole fractions estimated from Herschel/PACS and Cassini/CIRS observations. The strategy for this is to 1) analyse recent disc-averaged observations of CIRS to investigate if the observation geometry could explain the previous observed differences, and 2) (re)analyse the three types of observation with the same retrieval scheme to assess if previous differences in retrieval codes/methodology could be responsible for the previous discrepancies. With this analysis, we show that using the same retrieval method better reconcile the previous measurements of these instruments. However, the addition of the disc-averaged CIRS observations, instead of confirming the consistency between the different datasets, reveals discrepancies between one of the CIRS disc-averaged set of observations and PACS measurements. This raises new questions regarding the possibility of latitudinal variations of H2O, which could be triggered by seasonal changes of the meridional circulation. As it has already been shown for nitriles and hydrocarbons, this circulation could potentially impact the latitudinal distribution of H2O through the subsidence or up- welling of air rich in H2O. The possible influence of spatial/time variations of the OH/H2O input flux in Titan’s atmosphere is also discussed. The analysis of more observations will be needed in future work to address the questions arising from this work and to improve the understanding of the sources of H2O in Titan’s atmosphere.

Bauduin, S.↗

Studies for the loss of atomic and molecular species for Io

A summary is presented for research undertaken, physical insight gained, and new directives identified in this project. Significant enhancements for the SO2 neutral cloud model and its dissociative products (SO, O2, O, S) as well as its application to investigating the amount of SO2+ measured by the Voyager PLS instrument in the plasma torus inside of Io's orbit are discussed. New excitation rates for UV and visible emission lines were incorporated in the O and S neutral cloud models, and the very preliminary analysis of UV observations near Io acquired in 1992 by the Hubble Space telescope is discussed. Observations for O('D) 6300 A emission near Io, preliminary reduction of these observations, and an initial assessment of these observations are presented. The analysis of 1985 sodium eclipse and emission data for Io has been completed and is contained in a paper in the Appendix. A larger data set for 1987 sodium emission observations, which will provide a new base for more detailed future studies, is described. A preliminary discussion is also presented for the likely nature of neutral gas clouds for the outer three Galilean satellites.

Smyth, William H.↗

Objective analysis and assimilation techniques used for the production of FGGE 3b analyses

A system of seven tables, which cover analysis archiving, observation types, quality control, data assimilation cycles, assimilating models, initialization, and analysis techniques was adopted. The set of prepared tables allows side-by-side comparison of the characteristics of the six data assimilation systems (European Center for Medium Range Weather Forecasts, Geophysical Fluid Dynamics Laboratory, Goddard Laboratory for Atmospheric Science, National Meteorological Center, Florida State University, and Naval Environmental Prediction Research Facility) used to produce FGGE IIIb analyses.

Daley, R. W.↗