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Results from ORACLES-2016: Observed Biomass Burning Aerosol Properties over the Southeast Atlantic Ocean and the Relationship to Meteorology

The Southeast Atlantic Ocean (SEA), with seasonal biomass burning (BB) smoke plumes overlying persistent stratocumulus cloud deck, offers an excellent natural laboratory to make the observations necessary to understand the complexities of aerosol-cloud-radiation interactions. The first field deployment of the NASA ORACLES (ObseRvations of Aerosols above CLouds and their intEractionS) campaign was conducted in September of 2016 out of Walvis Bay, Namibia. During this deployment, two NASA aircraft (a P-3 and an ER-2) were flown with a suite of aerosol, cloud, radiation, and meteorological instruments for remote-sensing and in-situ observations. In this talk, I will first present results from an intercomparison of the different instrument retrievals for the 2016 flights, with a specific focus on the measures of aerosol absorption. In ORACLES, data collected by eight different instrument teams are used to derive aerosol properties over this region by independent methods. We focus on the single scattering albedo (SSA), a measure of the relative absorption versus total extinction by aerosols, as the main comparable property between all methods. I will also discuss comparisons of the retrieved aerosol absorption parameters, as well as the agreement and the variability seen between different instruments, and spatially over the study region. Another important factor in understanding aerosol radiative effects is how the magnitude of these effects may be modified by meteorological conditions. I will next describe observations collected from the P-3 aircraft (from near-surface up to 6-7 kilometers) which show a strong correlation between the in-situ pollution indicators (carbon monoxide and aerosol properties) and atmospheric water vapor content, seen at all altitudes above the boundary layer. This condition is seen to persist over all flights, with minimal detrainment during advection from the continental source. In exploring the potential causal factors behind and implications of this relationship, we see indications that convective dynamics over the continent likely contribute to this elevated signal, but neither meteorological reanalysis nor trajectory analysis fully capture the magnitude and vertical structure of the observed elevated signal. Finally, I will discuss the radiative implications of the observed correlations, a topic of ongoing analysis in ORACLES: understanding the mechanisms which cause water vapor to covary with plume strength is important to quantifying the radiative effects (direct and semi-direct) of biomass burning aerosol in the region.

Pistone, Kristina↗

Integrated Optimization of Mars Hybrid Solar-Electric/Chemical Propulsion Trajectories

NASA’s Human Exploration and Operation Mission Directorate is developing a reusable hybrid transportation architecture in which both chemical and solar-electric propulsion systems are used to deliver crew and cargo to the Martian sphere of influence. By combining chemical and solar-electric propulsions into a single spacecraft and applying each where it is the most effective, the hybrid architecture enables a series of Mars trajectories that are more fuel efficient than an all chemical propulsion architecture without significant increase to trip time. Solving the complex problem of low-thrust trajectory optimization coupled with the vehicle sizing requires development of an integrated trajectory analysis frame- work. Previous studies have utilized a more segmented optimization framework due to the limitation of the tools available. A new integrated optimization framework was recently developed to address the deficiencies of the previous methods that enables higher fidelity analysis to be performed and increases the efficiency of large design space explorations.

Chai, Patrick R.↗

Optimizing Trajectories with Dymos

A live demonstration of the Open-Source trajectory analysis tool Dymos is given where it is used to solve a submarine intercept problem.

Falck, Robert D.↗

Overview of the Spacecraft Design for the Psyche Mission Concept

In January 2017, Psyche and a second mission concept were selected by NASA for flight as part of the 14th Discovery mission competition. Assigned for an initial launch date in 2023, the Psyche team was given direction shortly after selection to research the possibility for earlier opportunities. Ultimately, the team was able to identify a launch opportunity in 2022 with a reduced flight time to its destination. This was accomplished in large part to crosscutting trades centered on the electrical power subsystem. These trades were facilitated through the Psyche mission's planned use of Solar Electric Propulsion (SEP), which enables substantial flexibility with respect to trajectory design. In combination with low-thrust trajectory analysis tools, the team was able to robustly converge to solutions with a higher fidelity and accuracy of results. These trades also took advantage of the 1300 series product line produced by Space Systems Loral (SSL), which enabled power growth while maintaining strong system-level heritage through its modular design that has been utilized on a large number of geostationary (GEO) communications satellites. This paper presents an overview of the Psyche mission concept, and the unique architecture that enables the use of commercially developed electric propulsion and space power systems from Space Systems Loral to provide flexibility in mission design. This paper then discusses the trades that allowed the Psyche team to meet a 2022 launch date.

Prikl, Zachary↗

Determination of Lidar Ratio for Major Aerosol Types over Western North Pacific Based on Long-Term MPLNET Data

East Asia is the most complex region in the world for aerosol studies, as it encounters a lot of varieties of aerosols, and aerosol classification can be a challenge in this region. In the present study, we focused on the relationship between aerosol types and aerosol optical properties. We analyzed the long-term (2005–2012) data of vertical profiles of aerosol extinction coefficients, lidar ratio (Sp), and other aerosol optical properties obtained from a NASA Micro-Pulse Lidar Network and Aerosol Robotic Network site in northern Taiwan, which frequently receives Asian continental outflows. Based on aerosol extinction vertical profiles, the profiles were classified into two types: type 1 (single-layer structure) and type 2 (two-layer structure). Fall season (October–November) was the prevailing season for the Type 1, whereas type 2 mainly happened in spring (March–April). In type 1, air masses normally originated from three regional sectors, i.e., Asia continental (AC), Pacific Ocean (PO), and Southeast Asia (SA). The mean Sp values were 39 ± 17 sr, 30 ± 12 sr, and 38 ± 18 sr for the AC, PO, and SA sectors, respectively. The Sp results suggested that aerosols from the AC sector contained dust and anthropogenic particles, and aerosols from the PO sector were most likely sea salts. We further combined the EPA dust event database and backward trajectory analysis for type 2. Results showed that Sp was 41 ± 14 sr and 53 ± 21 sr for dust storm and biomass-burning events, respectively. The Sp for biomass-burning events in type 2 showed two peaks patterns. The first peak occurred within range of 30–50 sr corresponding to urban pollutant, and the second peak occurred within range of 60–80 sr in relation to biomass burning. Finally, our study summarized the Sp values for four major aerosol types over northern Taiwan, viz., urban (42 ± 18 sr), dust (34 ± 6 sr), biomass-burning (69 ± 12 sr), and oceanic (30 ± 12 sr). Our findings provide useful references for aerosol classification and air pollution identification over the western North Pacific.

Sheng-Hsiang Wang↗

Human Mars Mission In-Space Transportation Sensitivity for Nuclear Electric / Chemical Hybrid Propulsion

NASA's Human Exploration and Operation Mission Directorate is continuing to study different concepts and options to field human Mars missions as part of NASA's Moon2Mars directive. In this study, an update to the Hybrid propulsion system was established with the introduction of nuclear electric propulsion system to replace the solar electric propulsion system in an effort to understand the potential impact of a shorter mission to Mars. For crewed missions to Mars, the transportation system sizing is highly dependent on the type of mission and the mission duration. An integrated trajectory analysis capability has been developed and updated to enable this investigation. Longer duration mission may utilize higher efficiency low thrust propulsion system more, but would require higher payload mass due to increase to crew logistics loading and habitation volume. Conversely, shorter duration mission may have lower payload mass, but will require significant increase to propulsion system performance and/or overall system mass. An overall integrated design trade space is defined in this paper to investigate the tradeoff between these scenarios to illuminate the optimality of the transportation system option from a mass perspective. The sensitivity analysis developed in this study will be crucial to understanding the Mars mission design trade space for crewed Mars missions, and will help inform design decisions and investment strategies.

Patrick R. Chai↗

Observation of Trace Gases Seasonal Variability in the Marine Boundary Layer over the Atlantic Ocean during the ACTIVATE Field Campaign

High resolution in-situ measurements of carbon monoxide (CO), carbon dioxide (CO2), methane (CH4), and water vapor (H2O) were made onboard the NASA HU-25 aircraft during the ACTIVATE (Aerosol Cloud meteorology Interactions oVer the western Atlantic Experiment) campaign during 2020 and 2021 in different seasons (winter through summer) over the mid-latitude western Atlantic Ocean. As most of the flights focused on the marine boundary layer (MBL) during the campaign, these trace gas observations are an excellent data set to examine seasonal variability of trace gas background values in the MBL without the influence of localized point sources. We will describe the variability of these trace gases in the MBL background by filtering out concentrated point sources using back trajectory analysis along with trace gas ratios. Additionally, the ocean is a significant sink of anthropogenic CO2 capturing about one quarter of total anthropogenic carbon. By looking at the MBL CO2 variation as a function of season, we discuss observed changes in CO2 uptake over the ocean. These high accuracy observations of trace gas backgrounds in the MBL along with characterizing seasonal effects on oceanic sequestering of anthropogenic CO2 will improve the understanding of seasonal variations and change in climate and inverse modelling over the ocean.

Yonghoon Choi↗

Comparison of Entry Descent and Landing Aerodynamic Databases with Uncertainty Quantification Developed Using Machine Learning Techniques

When developing the aerodynamic databases for use in trajectory simulations, it is important to develop a system of metrics to qualify which aerodynamic models are best to use. Since aerodynamics are just one input into trajectory simulations, the results of these simulations do not reflect on the quality of the aerodynamic database used. This means that aerodynamic database comparisons must be done offline. While traditional metrics that focus on mean/nominal predictions are a good first step, more robust estimates of the prediction interval become important as more focused uncertainty models are developed. We explore the limitations of evaluating aerodynamic models based purely on nominal-centered response surfaces. Before elaborating and evaluating metrics based on distributed models, the value of evaluating prediction interval and confidence interval are discussed to conclude that prediction intervals are more relevant to the use of trajectory analysis. Several metrics to evaluate the prediction interval are introduced with a focus on the standard calibration metric. Finally, we compare candidate models using both mean and distributed metrics. A finalized candidate model developed using state of the art machine learning methods is compared to a baseline model developed using traditional aerodynamic database modeling techniques.

Aerodynamic Database↗

Comparisons of Performance Metrics and Machine Learning Methods on an Entry Descent and Landing Database

This work focuses on evaluating machine learning methods and their applicability to the generation of an aerodynamic database, particularly for trajectory analysis of a capsule during entry, descent, and landing with a focus on uncertainty quantification. The source data to be used is the wind tunnel and computational data for the Integrated Design Assessment Team (IDAT) configuration of the Orion project, which has been publicly released. The methods used to generate the proposed databases are designed to naturally include a prediction interval, which will be evaluated both for their mean response as well as how well the prediction interval performs. These machine learning methods are compared to a traditionally generated database used by the Orion team as a baseline. It is found that while these machine learning methods perform well, the Orion database tends to still outperform them showing that engineering experience is still needed to make the best database possible. However, these methods still provide comparable results with significantly less effort.

Orion↗

Comparisons of Performance Metrics and Machine Learning Methods on an Entry, Descent, and Landing Database

This work focuses on evaluating machine learning methods and their applicability to the generation of an aerodynamic database, particularly for trajectory analysis of a capsule during entry, descent, and landing with a focus on uncertainty quantification. The source data to be used is the wind tunnel and computational data for the Integrated Design Assessment Team (IDAT) configuration of the Orion project, which has been publicly released. The methods used to generate the proposed databases are designed to naturally include a prediction interval, which will be evaluated both for their mean response as well as how well the prediction interval performs. These machine learning methods are compared to a traditionally generated database used by the Orion team as a baseline. It is found that while these machine learning methods perform well, the Orion database tends to still outperform them showing that engineering experience is still needed to make the best database possible. However, these methods still provide comparable results with significantly less effort.

Orion↗

Baseline Orbit Generation for Near Rectilinear Halo Orbits

A Near Rectilinear Halo Orbit (NRHO) with an eclipse-favorable phase serves as the current baseline orbit for the Gateway mission. The baseline provides a catalog of orbit maintenance targets and serves as a reference path for other types of trajectory analysis. In this investigation, an automated multiple-shooting differential corrections strategy is developed to generate many-revolution, long-duration, ballistic baseline orbits in a higher-fidelity ephemeris force model at the eclipse-avoidant phases and at other alternative phases. Additional geometric considerations for eclipse avoidance in the NRHO are presented and utilized within a long-lead orbit maintenance-based phase shift strategy.

Emily M. Zimovan-Spreen↗

Increased Atmospheric PM 2.5 Events Due to Open Waste Burning in Qaanaaq, Greenland, Summer of 2022

High levels of particulate matter (PM) are relevant to severe air pollution and can adversely impact human health. Maintaining healthy air quality for the residents of the Arctic region is essential to satisfy the no-one-left-behind policy of the Sustainable Development Goals (SDGs) by the United Nations. In this study, we installed a PM 2.5 measurement system in Qaanaaq, Greenland, and obtained the first continuous PM 2.5 measurements from 20 July to 13 August, 2022. We observed several increased PM2.5 events; relatively high PM 2.5 levels persisted from 8 August 2022. On the same day, visible black smoke emitted from the Qaanaaq dump site originated from open waste burning. By confirming less transboundary air pollution contributions from remote aerosol source regions to Qaanaaq during the measurement period using NOAA’s HYSPLIT backward trajectory analysis and NASA’s MERRA-2 aerosol re-analysis, we confirmed that the increased PM 2.5 was primarily due to local open waste burning with less contributions from transboundary air pollution. However, small contributions from biomass burning outside Greenland were plausible during the early measurement period. Additionally, NOAA’s HYSPLIT dispersion calculations suggested possible aerosol depositions from local open waste burning to nearby sea areas, such as Baffin Bay. Although the hourly mean PM 2.5 mass concentration was not alarmingly high during the measurement period, future studies should incorporate longer-term continuous PM 2.5 measurements along with other atmospheric chemical analyses to identify possible local air pollution sources in detail to ensure clean ambient air for the future in the Arctic. Our study provides quantitative evidence of the impact of open waste burning on air quality at a study site in Greenland, which could be crucial in developing air quality policies for this region in the Arctic.

aerosols↗

Applications of MERRA-2 data for avian migration, biomass burning, and dusty atmospheric rivers

Three different applications of MERRA-2 data are presented. 1) Using radar data, we introduced a new concept for spatial patterns of bird migration across the contiguous U.S. This approach allowed us to use MERRA-2 data and learn that remote forcing in the tropical Pacific—through a chain of processes including atmospheric Rossby wave trains— controls the climatic conditions, associated with bird migration in North America. 2) We showed that emissions from biomass burning in the Congo Basin are partly controlled by the low-level winds, which are in turn associated with the intensity of the subtropical high in the Indian Ocean. Using back-trajectory analysis, we found that these emissions combined with their transport mechanism explain the interannual variability of black carbon in West Africa. 3) Our analysis showed that atmospheric rivers in the Middle East contribute to both heavy flood and dust transport within their corridor. We also found that warm advection and rain-on-snow effect of dusty atmospheric rivers further enhance the chance of flood through rapid snowmelt processes.

Amin Dezfuli↗

Low-Earth Orbit Flight Test of an Inflatable Decelerator Modeling and Reconstruction

The Low-Earth Orbit Flight Test of an Inflatable Decelerator (LOFTID) mission was a flight test performed on November 10, 2022. LOFTID is an 6 meter diameter Hypersonic Inflatable Aerodynamic Decelerator (HIAD) that is stowed for launch as a secondary payload, inflated in space, and separated from launch vehicle before conducting entry, descent, and landing (EDL).The main objective of the flight test was to demonstrate EDL at scale using HIAD technology at flight conditions relevant for future Earth and Mars missions. LOFTID successfully inflated and separated with a spin rate of 18 deg/s, landed within 1 hour on-parachute off the coast of Hawaii, and was successfully recovered. LOFTID re-entered Earth’s atmosphere at 8 km/s, achieved peak deceleration of 9 Gs and peak heat rate of 40 W/cm2, and demonstrated angle-of-attack stability throughout entirety of flight. On-board instrumentation provided flight data, which was saved onto an ejectable data recorder that was ejected at 18 km and successfully recovered. Despite the loss of inertial measurement unit data, techniques were developed to reconstruct the estimated flight performance as described in this paper. This paper presents the trajectory analysis, aerodynamics modeling, and reconstructed flight performance of the LOFTID re-entry vehicle.

Rohan G Deshmukh↗

Recovery from Missed Thrust During Low Thrust Insertion of NASA's Gateway into a Near Rectilinear Halo Orbit

Various strategies are assessed by which the first two elements of Gateway could recover from missed thrust events during insertion into a Near Rectilinear Halo Orbit (NRHO). Recovery strategies are assessed in terms of their ability to maintain the desired NRHO insertion epoch ad well as their cost in terms of additional time and ∆v required to reach the NRHO. Strategies utilize a 50 kW Solar Electric Propulsion (SEP) system onboard the Power and Propulsion Element (PPE). Recovery solutions are found that, in the event of a missed thrust arc during the Insertion Phase of the Gateway Lunar Transit, deliver the space-craft into the NRHO within three additional revolutions (roughly 21 days) and 80 m/s ∆v.

low thrust↗

Recovery from Missed Thrust During Low Thrust Insertion of NASA's Gateway into a Near Rectilinear Halo Orbit

Various strategies are assessed by which the first two elements of Gateway could recover from missed thrust events during insertion into a Near Rectilinear Halo Orbit (NRHO). Recovery strategies are assessed in terms of their ability to maintain the desired NRHO insertion epoch ad well as their cost in terms of additional time and ∆v required to reach the NRHO. Strategies utilize a 50 kW Solar Electric Propulsion (SEP) system onboard the Power and Propulsion Element (PPE). Recovery solutions are found that, in the event of a missed thrust arc during the Insertion Phase of the Gateway Lunar Transit, deliver the space-craft into the NRHO within three additional revolutions (roughly 21 days) and 80 m/s ∆v.

low thrust↗

Applications of MERRA-2 Data for Avian Migration, Biomass Burning, and Dusty Atmospheric Rivers

Three different applications of MERRA-2 data are presented. 1) Using radar data, we introduced a new concept for spatial patterns of bird migration across the contiguous U.S. This approach allowed us to use MERRA-2 data and learn that remote forcing in the tropical Pacific—through a chain of processes including atmospheric Rossby wave trains— controls the climatic conditions, associated with bird migration in North America. 2) We showed that emissions from biomass burning in the Congo Basin are partly controlled by the low-level winds, which are in turn associated with the intensity of the subtropical high in the Indian Ocean. Using back-trajectory analysis, we found that these emissions combined with their transport mechanism explain the interannual variability of black carbon in West Africa. 3) Our analysis showed that atmospheric rivers in the Middle East contribute to both heavy flood and dust transport within their corridor. We also found that warm advection and rain-on-snow effect of dusty atmospheric rivers further enhance the chance of flood through rapid snowmelt processes.

Amin Dezfuli↗

Design Considerations of an Ascent Abort Monitor Algorithm for Use During Service Module Aborts

In support of human rating the Artemis missions, NASA's Orion program requires continuous abort coverage from liftoff through mission destination. During a portion of the ascent trajectory, the currently achievable abort mode is determined by an Orion algorithm using the onboard navigated vehicle state. This ascent abort monitor determines achievability for Orion's Mode 2 abort, Untargeted Abort Splashdown (UAS), by propagating the current vehicle state through ascent abort events to determine sufficient timing to perform the abort and to a ballistic touchdown point to approximate landing location relative to prescribed keep out boundaries. The algorithm was updated for Artemis 2 to allow the capability to limit loads for the majority of ascent. Performance of the algorithm has been demonstrated and verified through dispersed trajectory analysis with emulated flight software, unit testing, and hardware in the loop testing.

Esteban Guzman↗