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At least 379 records · Page 21

Reduced methane emissions in transgenic rice genotypes are associated with altered rhizosphere microbial hydrogen cycling

Rice paddies significantly contribute to atmospheric methane (CH 4 ). Here, we show that two independent rice genotypes overexpressing genes for PLANT PEPTIDES CONTAINING SULFATED TYROSINE (PSY) reduce cumulative CH 4 emissions by 38% (PSY1) and 58% (PSY2) over 70 days of growth compared with controls. Genome-resolved metatranscriptomic data from PSY rhizosphere soils reveal lower ratios of gene activities for (mostly hydrogenotrophic) CH 4 production versus consumption, decreased activity of H 2 -producing genes, and increased activity of bacterial H 2 oxidation pathways. Metabolic modeling using metagenomic and metabolomic data predicts elevated H 2 oxidation and suppressed H 2 production in the PSY rhizosphere. Assembled genomes of rhizosphere H 2 -oxidizing bacteria are enriched in genes utilizing gluconeogenic acids compared with H 2 -producing counterparts, and their activities are likely stimulated by elevated levels of gluconeogenic acids, primarily amino acids, in PSY root exudates. Overall, our study indicates that decreased CH 4 emissions are due to a lower amount of H 2 available for hydrogenotrophic methanogenesis and provides a powerful strategy to mitigate CH 4 emissions from increasingly widespread rice cultivation.

Biological and medical sciences↗

Hazard and risk analysis framework for nuclear power plant–based integrated energy systems

Employing integrated energy systems (IESs) with nuclear power plants (NPPs) can improve NPP utilization by leveraging dedicated thermal and electric power delivery, but it may also increase operational safety risks. This paper presents a framework to identify and quantify hazards and risks for such IESs. The framework combines accidentology to review past industrial accidents with failure modes and effects analysis (FMEA) to identify potential future incidents. Hydrogen explosion and toxic chemical release hazards are of particular concern. Explosion consequences are quantified using the Bauwens-Dorofeev (Bauwens) and trinitrotoluene equivalent mass (TNT-EM) methods, while chemical release consequences are computed using the Gaussian atmospheric dispersion method. Operational disturbances from direct electrical and thermal integration that may affect NPP safety are modeled using probabilistic risk analysis (PRA). Hazards and risks are then evaluated for regulatory compliance. The framework is applied to IESs comprising pressurized or boiling water reactors supplying three levels of thermal and electrical power to industrial customers. Case studies include high-temperature steam electrolysis hydrogen plants of varying capacities and a synthetic fuel production plant. Sensitivity analysis examines piping component failures in the PRA model as a precursor to cost estimation for thermal extraction line design. Additionally, Fussel-Vessely (FV) and risk increase importance (RII) measures identify risk-informed design improvements for the thermal extraction system. FMEA highlights hazards such as loss of offsite power, prompt loss of electrical load, loss of thermal output, and immediate steam diversion, in addition to hydrogen explosions and toxic chemical releases. Both Bauwens and TNT-EM methods suggest maintaining several hundred meters of separation between the NPP and hydrogen facility to mitigate explosion risks. PRA results show a maximum initiating event frequency increase of 1.15% and an overall risk increase of 0.28%. Importance measure analysis identifies upstream pipe leak isolation components as critical. Evaluating the results against safety regulations, it is concluded that hazards and risks can be managed to comply with regulations through risk-informed thermal and electrical connection designs, component selection, maintenance programs, and safe separation distances between NPPs and integrated industrial facilities.

08 - HYDROGEN↗

Effect of moisture ingression on material performance and particle generation in molten salts

This report summarizes activities conducted to understand and mitigate the negative consequences that moisture ingressions have upon the operations of pyroprocessing equipment. The objectives of the work conducted in FY25 were to characterize (1) the physicochemical properties of particles generated as a result of moisture ingressions, and (2) the corrosion of relevant structural materials with the introduction of moisture. Compositional and morphological analyses of the generated particles were conducted through a suite of characterization technologies, including X-ray diffraction, microscopy, and particle size analysis. The results gathered this year were compared to those obtained in FY24 when studies with oxygen ingressions were conducted on CeCl 3 -LiCl-KCl and UCl 3 -LiCl-KCl systems. Investigations involving performance evaluations of industrially relevant structural alloys were also conducted under moisture ingress conditions. In-line electrochemical monitoring of the bulk salt was augmented with microscopy of alloy samples to quantify the concentration and accumulation of corrosion products in the bulk salt. The results reported in this work provide a more holistic understanding of the effects of atmospheric ingressions on molten chloride salt chemistry such that effective redox control strategies may be implemented.

11 NUCLEAR FUEL CYCLE AND FUEL MATERIALS↗

Evaluating the carbon capture potential of industrial waste as a feedstock for enhanced weathering

Abstract Limiting anthropogenic global climate warming since the start of the industrial period to less than 2 °C will very likely require both deep and rapid reductions in anthropogenic greenhouse gas emissions and a range of approaches toward carbon dioxide removal (CDR). One prominent CDR approach is enhanced weathering (EW), in which crushed silicate rock is applied on land or in the open ocean to accelerate natural weathering processes that absorb carbon dioxide from Earth’s ocean–atmosphere system. However, in addition to a range of potential environmental, socioeconomic, and ethical issues associated with this pathway, bottlenecks in feedstock sourcing represent a key barrier for deployment of EW at scale. Here, we evaluate the potential of silicate wastes produced from industrial processes—such as steel slag and cement waste—as feedstocks for the EW process. An empirical model that links industrial alkaline waste production to gross domestic product at purchase power parity is developed to forecast waste production in the alternative futures described by the shared socioeconomic pathway (SSP) framework. By incorporating these results into an intermediate-complexity Earth system model, we also explore the impacts of EW using industrial waste on changes to global temperature, ocean pH, and ocean aragonite saturation state, while also quantifying overall CDR efficiency through the end of the century. We estimate a maximum cumulative end-of-century capture potential of ∼400 GtCO 2 for industrial waste, which could represent a significant fraction of the projected CDR requirement of many mitigation scenarios in the SSP framework. However, feedstock-dependent environmental impacts and the technoeconomics of feedstock redistribution may ultimately limit deployment scope.

Xu, Pengxiao (ORCID:0009000633724293)↗

South Africa’s Appliance Energy Efficiency Standards and Labeling Program

Electricity consumption in South Africa comes with a hefty environmental cost to the society. For every kilowatt-hour (kWh) produced, 1 kilogram (kg) of carbon dioxide (CO 2 ) is emitted, 1.4 liters of water are used, and 0.37 grams of particulate emissions are released in the atmosphere. These environmental implications result from the large share of electricity produced from coal (91 percent in 2015). While planned new capacity will ramp up renewable energy, the integrated resource plan for the country still projects the share of col to be 64 percent in 2030. Energy savings provide environmental benefits as well as economic benefits. Energy efficiency standards and labeling (S&L) programs are a policy measure proven to save energy. Such programs have been implemented in many countries to remove inefficient technologies and transform markets to more efficient technologies. In this study, we describe the methodology, assumptions and results of a stock turnover modeling tool that estimates the energy savings achievable by South Africa’s S&L program in the residential sector. We show that if regulations are passed in 2020 and effective in 2021 for 10 major end-use adopting international standards best practices, 6 terawatt-hours (TWh) will be saved in 2030 and 9.5 TWh will be saved in 2040, representing a CO 2 mitigation of 3.7 megatonnes (Mt) in 2030 and 5.8 Mt in 2040, which will contribute to the South African government’s international engagement in fighting against climate change through its National Determined Contribution (NDC). Additional environmental benefits include saving of 6.5 billion liters of water in 2030, representing approximately 100 liters per capita in 2030. Air quality will also improve, as 4 kilotons (kt) of particulate emissions will be avoided, as well as 4.3 Mt of sulfur oxides (SOx) and 23 kt of nitrogen oxides (NOx) in 2030.

32 ENERGY CONSERVATION, CONSUMPTION, AND UTILIZATI↗

Corrosion-Resistant Coatings on Spent Nuclear Fuel Canisters to Mitigate and Repair Potential Stress Corrosion Cracking (FY22 Status)

This report summarizes the activities performed by Sandia National Laboratories in FY22 to identify and test coating materials for the prevention, mitigation, and/or repair of potential chloride-induced stress corrosion cracking in spent nuclear fuel dry storage canisters. This work continues efforts by Sandia National Laboratories that are summarized in previous reports in FY20 and FY21 on the same topic. The previous work detailed the specific coating properties desired for application and implementation to spent nuclear fuel canisters (FY20) and identified several potential coatings for evaluation (FY21). In FY22, Sandia National Laboratories, in collaboration with four industry partners through a Memorandum of Understanding, started evaluating the physical, mechanical, and corrosion-resistance properties of 6 different coating systems (11 total coating variants) to develop a baseline understanding of the viability of each coating type for use to prevent, mitigate, and/or repair potential stress corrosion on cracking on spent nuclear fuel canisters. This collaborative R&D program leverages the analytical and laboratory capabilities at Sandia National Laboratories and the material design and synthesis capabilities of the industry collaborators. The coating systems include organic (polyetherketoneketone, modified polyimide/polyurea, modified phenolic resin), organic/inorganic ceramic hybrids (silane-based polyurethane hybrid and a quasi-ceramic sol-gel polyurethane hybrid), and hybrid systems in conjuncture with a Zn-rich primer. These coatings were applied to stainless steel coupons (the same coupons were supplied to all vendors by SNL for direct comparison) and have undergone several physical, mechanical, and electrochemical tests. The results and implications of these tests are summarized in this report. These analyses will be used to identify the most effective coatings for potential use on spent nuclear fuel dry storage canisters, and also to identify specific needs for further optimization of coating technologies for their application on spent nuclear fuel canisters. In FY22, Sandia National Laboratories performed baseline testing and atmospheric exposure tests of the coating samples supplied by the vendors in accordance with the scope of work defined in the Memorandum of Understanding. In FY23, Sandia National Laboratories will continue evaluating coating performance with a focus on thermal and radiolytic stability.

11 NUCLEAR FUEL CYCLE AND FUEL MATERIALS↗

Stable Machine‐Learning Parameterization of Subgrid Processes in a Comprehensive Atmospheric Model Learned From Embedded Convection‐Permitting Simulations

Modern climate projections often suffer from inadequate spatial and temporal resolution due to computational limitations, resulting in inaccurate representations of sub-grid processes. A promising technique to address this is the multiscale modeling framework (MMF), which embeds a kilometer-resolution cloud-resolving model (CRM) within each atmospheric column of a host climate model to replace traditional convection and cloud parameterizations. Machine learning offers a unique opportunity to make MMF more accessible by emulating the embedded CRM and reducing its substantial computational cost. Although many studies have demonstrated proof-of-concept success of achieving stable hybrid simulations, it remains a challenge to achieve near operational-level success with real geography and comprehensive variable emulation that includes, for example, explicit cloud condensate coupling. In this study, we present a stable hybrid model capable of integrating for at least 5 years with near operational-level complexity, including coarse-grid geography, seasonality, explicit cloud condensate and wind predictions, and land coupling. Our model demonstrates skillful online performance, achieving a 5-year zonal mean tropospheric temperature bias within 2 K, water vapor bias within 1 g/kg, and a precipitation root mean square error of 0.96 mm/day. Key factors contributing to our online performance include an expressive U-Net architecture and physical thermodynamic constraints for microphysics. With microphysical constraints mitigating unrealistic cloud formation, our work is the first to demonstrate realistic multi-year cloud condensate climatology under the MMF framework. Despite these advances, online diagnostics reveal persistent biases in certain regions, highlighting the need for innovative strategies to further optimize online performance.

Hu, Zeyuan [NVIDIA Corporation, Santa Clara, CA (U↗

Toward real-time optimization through model reduction and model discrepancy sensitivities

Optimization problems arise in a range of scenarios, from optimal control to model parameter estimation. In many applications, such as the development of digital twins, it is essential to solve these optimization problems within wall-clock-time limitations. However, this is often unattainable for complex systems, such as those modeled by nonlinear partial differential equations. One strategy for mitigating this issue is to construct a reduced-order model (ROM) that enables more rapid optimization. In particular, the use of nonintrusive ROMs—those that do not require access to the full-order model at evaluation time—is popular because they facilitate the computation of optimization solutions within the wall-clock time requirements. However, the optimization solution will be unreliable if the iterates move outside the ROM training data. This article proposes the use of hyper-differential sensitivity analysis with respect to model discrepancy (HDSA-MD) as a computationally efficient tool to augment ROM-constrained optimization and improve its reliability. The proposed approach consists of two phases: (i) an offline phase where several full-order model evaluations are computed to train the ROM, and (ii) an online phase where a ROM-constrained optimization problem is solved, a limited number of full-order model evaluations are computed, and HDSA-MD is used to enhance the optimization solution. Numerical results are demonstrated for two examples, atmospheric contaminant control and wildfire ignition location estimation, in which a ROM is trained offline using inaccurate atmospheric data. In conclusion, the HDSA-MD update yields a significant improvement in the ROM-constrained optimization solution using only one full-order model evaluation online with corrected atmospheric data.

PDE-constrained optimization↗

Improving Aerosol Radiative Forcing and Climate in E3SM: Impacts of New Cloud Microphysics and Improved Wet Removal Treatments

Abstract Numerous Earth system models exhibit excessive aerosol effective forcing at the top of the atmosphere (TOA), including the Department of Energy's Energy Exascale Earth System Model (E3SM). Here, in the context of the E3SM version 3 effort, the predicted particle property (P3) stratiform cloud microphysics scheme and an enhanced deep convection parameterization suite (ZM_plus) are implemented into E3SM. The ZM_plus includes a convective cloud microphysics scheme, a multi‐scale coherent structure parameterization for mesoscale convective systems, and a revised cloud base mass flux formulation considering impacts of the large‐scale environment. The P3 scheme improved cloud and radiation particularly over the Northern Hemisphere and the frequency of heavy precipitation over the tropics, and the ZM_plus improved clouds in the tropics. P3 decreases aerosol effective forcing by 0.15 W m −2 , while the ZM_plus increases it by 0.27 W m −2 , resulting from excessive direct (0.31 W m −2 ) and indirect forcing (−1.79 W m −2 ). The excessive aerosol forcings are due to aerosol overestimation associated with insufficient aerosol wet removal. By improving the physical treatments in the aerosol wet removal, we effectively mitigate anthropogenic aerosol overestimation and thus attenuate direct (0.09 W m −2 ) and indirect aerosol forcing (−1.52 W m −2 ). Adjustment to primary organic matter hygroscopicity reduces direct and indirect forcing to more reasonable values: −0.13 W m −2 and −1.31 W m −2 , respectively. On climatology, improved aerosol treatments mitigate overestimation of aerosol optical depth.

54 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES↗

Impacts of Resolution on Heavy‐Precipitating Storms in Climate Model Hindcasts

The present study investigates the impact of horizontal resolutions on heavy‐precipitating storms using the Energy Exascale Earth System Model version2 (E3SMv2) at low (∼100 km, LR) and high (∼25 km, HR) resolutions through short‐range hindcasts. The short‐range hindcast approach ensures a faithful comparison of model resolution in simulating the same storm events under a controlled large‐scale environment. Using a phenomenon‐based framework, we attribute precipitation to specific storm types: tropical cyclones (TCs), extratropical cyclones, atmospheric rivers, and mesoscale convective systems (MCSs). Our findings show that E3SM hindcasts with both HR and LR configurations significantly underestimate storm‐associated precipitation intensity but overestimate precipitation from other sources. Furthermore, both HR and LR hindcasts face significant challenges in accurately simulating extreme precipitation events, particularly over MCS hotspots. Nevertheless, HR simulations capture more detailed and intense precipitation patterns with an improved representation of storm dynamics. HR hindcasts produce 16% more storm precipitation compared to LR. For precipitation extremes, HR simulates a 33% higher 99th percentile precipitation magnitudes compared to LR, and most of the increment comes from these four heavy‐precipitating storm types. The increase in precipitation mainly comes from stratiform precipitation rather than convective precipitation. The improvement in HR simulations varies across different storm types with TC showing the largest improvement. The phenomenon‐based approach provides important insights into precipitation simulations especially for extremes. Our results emphasize the need for further refinement in high‐resolution models to improve the accuracy of precipitation predictions, which is crucial for better understanding and mitigating climate change impacts.

54 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES↗

Global and regional hydrological impacts of global forest expansion

Abstract. Large-scale reforestation, afforestation, and forest restoration schemes have gained global support as climate change mitigation strategies due to their significant carbon dioxide removal (CDR) potential. However, there has been limited research into the unintended consequences of forestation from a biophysical perspective. In the Community Earth System Model version 2 (CESM2), we apply a global forestation scenario, within a Paris Agreement-compatible warming scenario, to investigate the land surface and hydroclimate response. Compared to a control scenario where land use is fixed to present-day levels, the forestation scenario is up to 2 °C cooler at low latitudes by 2100, driven by a 10 % increase in evaporative cooling in forested areas. However, afforested areas where grassland or shrubland are replaced lead to a doubling of plant water demand in some tropical regions, causing significant decreases in soil moisture (∼ 5 % globally, 5 %–10 % regionally) and water availability (∼ 10 % globally, 10 %–15 % regionally) in regions with increased forest cover. While there are some increases in low cloud and seasonal precipitation over the expanded tropical forests, with enhanced negative cloud radiative forcing, the impacts on large-scale precipitation and atmospheric circulation are limited. This contrasts with the precipitation response to simulated large-scale deforestation found in previous studies. The forestation scenario demonstrates local cooling benefits without major disruption to global hydrodynamics beyond those already projected to result from climate change, in addition to the cooling associated with CDR. However, the water demands of extensive forestation, especially afforestation, have implications for its viability, given the uncertainty in future precipitation changes.

Environmental Sciences & Ecology↗

Photoperiod decelerates the advance of spring phenology of six deciduous tree species under climate warming

Abstract Vegetation phenology in spring has substantially advanced under climate warming, consequently shifting the seasonality of ecosystem process and altering biosphere–atmosphere feedbacks. However, whether and to what extent photoperiod (i.e., daylength) affects the phenological advancement is unclear, leading to large uncertainties in projecting future phenological changes. Here we examined the photoperiod effect on spring phenology at a regional scale using in situ observation of six deciduous tree species from the Pan European Phenological Network during 1980–2016. We disentangled the photoperiod effect from the temperature effect (i.e., forcing and chilling) by utilizing the unique topography of the northern Alps of Europe (i.e., varying daylength but uniform temperature distribution across latitudes) and examining phenological changes across latitudes. We found prominent photoperiod‐induced shifts in spring leaf‐out across latitudes (up to 1.7 days per latitudinal degree). Photoperiod regulates spring phenology by delaying early leaf‐out and advancing late leaf‐out caused by temperature variations. Based on these findings, we proposed two phenological models that consider the photoperiod effect through different mechanisms and compared them with a chilling model. We found that photoperiod regulation would slow down the advance in spring leaf‐out under projected climate warming and thus mitigate the increasing frost risk in spring that deciduous forests will face in the future. Our findings identify photoperiod as a critical but understudied factor influencing spring phenology, suggesting that the responses of terrestrial ecosystem processes to climate warming are likely to be overestimated without adequately considering the photoperiod effect.

54 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES↗

Scalable Nano-Scaffold SOFC Anode Architecture Enabling Direct Hydrocarbon Utilization

This project is based on WVU’s pending patents, technology and aims to design and modify the internal surfaces of the Ni/YSZ anode from currently commercially viable Solid Oxide Fuel Cells (SOFCs) using the additive manufacturing process of Atomic Layer Deposition (ALD). The surface architecture/scaffold added onto the internal surface of the anode possesses an engineered nanostructure but it features only commonly-used oxide conductors and electro-catalyst materials. The surface layer possesses a minimum thickness of ~2-40 nm and is solely designed to control the surface reforming reactions and to increase catalytic activity. Three-dimensional (3D) nano scaffold architectures with the noble metal nano-catalyst, low-cost bimetallic catalytic alloys, and nano-scale ionic conducting oxide fully compatible with the state-of-the-art Ni/YSZ anode, were applied to the internal surface of the entire porous SOFC anode using ALD. In the present work, the surface scaffold architecture is essentially multi-functional at the nano-scale, facilitated by the multiple heterostructured interfaces. It will significantly enhance the power density and cell durability for direct hydrocarbon utilization by (1) increasing the number of electrochemical reaction sites to enhance the hydrogen/hydrocarbon oxidation reactions; (2) reducing carbon formation; (3) mitigating the coarsening of backbone Ni phase and the oxidation attack of Ni from oxidants (e.g., H2O, CO2); and (4) promoting the internal reforming capabilities, especially for natural gas applications. ALD is employed to generate stable anode surface architectures that are uniform, precisely controllable at the atomic scale, and accurately repeatable for processing. The engineered anode surface nano-scaffold architecture was cataloged and analyzed using High-resolution Transmission Electron Microscopy (TEM), and cell power/durability performance assessed via comprehensive electrochemical performance testing with commercial specimens and relevant environments using hydrocarbon fuels. To the best of our knowledge, this project is the First Report on ALD of Ni/YSZ. The actual achievement of this Project includes (1). Successful demonstration of 7 types of ALD layers on Ni/YSZ anode, including Co, Ni, Mn, Pt, Ru, ZrOx and multi-functional nano-composite. (1). Conformal coating and subsequently spontaneously pinning the discrete nano-catalyst, including the precious metal nano-catalyst and the Ni and Co catalysts, on the YSZ surface upon the electrochemical operation in the reduced atmosphere. Those nano-catalysts on the ionic-conducting YSZ provided excellent sites for promoting internal reforming; (2). Demonstrated ALD coating increased both catalytic activity and conductivity of Ni/YSZ. Conformal coating provided dopants and introduced additional electrical conducting pathways on the YSZ ionic conductor. The doped surface layer of YSZ with mixed conductivity thus further introduces the active triple phase boundaries adjacent to the ALD-coated nano-catalysts such as Pt, Co, and Ni that are pinned on the YSZ surface. The nano-composite ALD coating on Ni/YSZ anode has significantly increased cell durability; and (3). ALD coating of Ni/YSZ anode increased the power density of the entire cell by 300%. For a long time, the SOFC performance, such as the power density, was deemed hindered by the cathode. The sluggish oxygen reduction reaction (ORR) in the cathode was deemed as hindering the power density of the SOFCs. For the anode-supported commercial SOFCs, the cell performance is considered to be limited by the cathode's performance. For the first time in the field of SOFC, this project has demonstrated that (1). the performance of commercial SOFCs can be further increased by the ALD coating on Ni/YSZ anode backbone. (2). ALD coating on Ni/YSZ fuel electrodes results in the enhancement of power density, and increased reliability, robustness, and endurance of SOFCs, for their application using both hydrogen and hydrocarbon fuels over the entire operating temperature range of 650-800ºC for the inherently functional commercial cells. (3). ALD coating provides alternative approaches of exsolutions for introducing the stable catalyst onto the internal surface of the Ni/YSZ electrode. ALD coating could be much more versatile than exsolution in employing the catalysts with various chemistries onto the various backbones. (4). Due to the negligible amount of ALD materials coated onto the internal surface of the porous cathode of the as-fabricated cells, a peak power density increase up to 300 % induced by ALD coating was simultaneously achieved in terms of both power density and specific power. (5). The ALD coating developed through this project was applied to both the SOFC and Solid Oxide Electrolysis Cells (SOEC). SOEC’s face a similar but more demanding need to improve the fuel electrode's performance. It opens further research directions for electrocatalytic surface nanoionics with a wide range of chemistry. It will revolutionize our ability to render the formation of a nanostructured electrode that has been constantly pursued yet barely achieved for practical SOFC/SOEC applications. The research is also immediately transformative since both the preliminary data and the proposed work are on the direct implantation of nanoionics into the state-of-the-art inherently functional SOCs. It represents an immediate impact on the commercial sectors in SOC technology since the applied ALD processing is computer-controlled ALD coating using the commercial ALD systems, and it is scalable to both the single cells and SOC stacks.

36 MATERIALS SCIENCE↗

Reactive transport modeling of the Aquifer Thermal Energy Storage (ATES) system at Stockton University, New Jersey during seasonal operations

Hydrogeochemical processes associated with Aquifer Thermal Energy Storage (ATES) operations can often impact the system performance owing to mineral precipitation either at the wellbore or in the aquifer owing to changes in temperature and fluid disequilibria. Although failure of ATES systems due to mineral precipitation ("fouling") is common, predictive reactive-transport models have rarely been applied to plan their design and operation. Here, the objective of this study is to develop a reactive-transport model by coupling thermal, hydrological, and chemical (THC) processes to evaluate effects of introduced atmospheric oxygen on water chemistry, mineral precipitation/dissolution, porosity, and permeability changes associated with an ATES system at Stockton University (New Jersey, USA). The THC model builds on a Thermal-Hydrological-Mechanical (THM) model of the site that evaluated system failure owing to possible fracturing in the caprock or around the wellbore. The causes of the system failure are not known – potential causes include hydraulic fracturing owing to elevated pump pressures that took place, a flow pathway created by one of the boreholes, or a pre-existing natural hydrologic connection between the upper unconfined aquifer and the ATES aquifer, any of which could have led to oxygenated water entering the reservoir and causing the observed Fe-oxide fouling on well screens. The THC model is used to evaluate some of the hypotheses and observations regarding system failure owing to geochemical processes. The reactive-transport code TOUGHREACT V4 was used to model the THC processes during seasonal heating and cooling operations at the Stockton ATES site over 6 years of operation. In the THC simulations, the primary effects on geochemistry were observed when the injection water is saturated with atmospheric oxygen. Simulations show greater precipitation of goethite near the cold wells as compared to the warm wells. Although volume fractions of Fe-hydroxides were relatively small, the model was aimed at processes in the aquifer at the scale of meters and larger rather than at the scale of mm or cm (i.e., a well screen). Kaolinite is the dominant precipitating phase, also around the cold wells. Illite dissolves near the cold wells and precipitates near the warm wells. There is a net decrease in the porosity near the cold wells and increase near the warm wells, although a slight amount of thermal contraction near the cold wells and expansion near the warm wells is responsible for a significant proportion of the porosity change. Owing to the coarse discretization of the numerical grid near the wells (compared to the screen thickness) the magnitude of permeability changes at the wellbore are likely underestimated. The reactive transport model in this study can be used for characterization of aquifers, optimizing the operational parameters (temperature, pressure, pH etc.), and planning of mitigation strategies for ATES systems.

15 GEOTHERMAL ENERGY↗

Combustion studies of n-butyl acetate synthesized by a new biological process and comparisons with neat n-butyl acetate

Blending petroleum fuels with biofuels is a common approach for stemming the depletion of crude oil while also mitigating the impact of their combustion on the environment. It has recently been considered that n-butyl acetate (BA, C6H12O2, boiling point of 399K) could be a viable biofuel additive to diesel fuel. This paper reports the combustion dynamics of BA droplets in the absence of external convection. Two grades of BA were examined: one synthesized by a new process that uses a solventogenic Clostridium strain through an extractive fermentation process using n-hexadecane as the extractant (SBA); the other commercially available as a high-purity (99.9%) 'neat' BA grade produced by Fischer esterification (NBA). The mass concentration of by-products from the synthesis process amounted to approximately 6% of the total composition and included n-butanol, n-hexadecane, iso-propyl alcohol and ethyl acetate. The platform used to study the combustion of commercial and synthesized BA was an isolated droplet burning with spherical symmetry. Initial droplet diameters were fixed at 0.6 mm. Experiments were carried out in a drop tower to promote one-dimensional transport dynamics, in the standard atmosphere, and with ignition accomplished by spark discharge. Differences in droplet burning rates and flame structures were undetectable between NBA and SBA, despite the differences in burning among the SBA components individually. The results presented show that the new synthesis process for butyl acetate yields a sustainable alternative to conventional methodologies with burning characteristics that are identical to NBA in stagnant gas transport fields.

Wang, Yujie↗

Correction and calibration of atmospheric impact observations in GOES GLM data

The Earth's atmosphere is impacted daily by both meteoroids and artificial objects. Calibrated observations of the emitted light at sufficiently high sampling rates can enable or improve the estimation of impactor attributes such as size, cohesion, trajectory, and composition, but are difficult to obtain owing to the unpredictability, brevity, and high dynamic (brightness) range of impacts. Ground-based camera systems have successfully monitored small regions of the atmosphere at video frame rates and with limited radiometric capabilities, but most impacts occur over the 70% of the Earth's surface covered by water and are therefore missed by these networks. The Geostationary Lightning Mapper (GLM) instruments aboard Geostationary Operational Environmental Satellites 16 and 17 provide near-hemispherical coverage at 500 frames per second. These data have been shown to contain the signatures of many independently confirmed impacts, often from both viewing angles simultaneously, and constitute an observational resource that is currently unparalleled in the public domain. NASA's Asteroid Threat Assessment Project has implemented an automated impact detection pipeline that processes data from GLM daily. Given a detected impact, the GLM data contain a wealth of information for use in quantitative follow-up analyses. However, impact events differ from lightning in ways that violate key assumptions built into GLM's design. The result is that GLM's onboard processing introduces errors into pixel observations of impact events and the calibrated energies near the periphery of the detector may be substantially overestimated. We present methods for mitigating these and other issues to produce a data product more suitable for impact analyses than the existing GLM lightning product.

58 GEOSCIENCES↗

Global Energy System Transitions

Energy systems power the world’s economies. They are pivotal to providing sustained economic prosperity that provides the goods and services that humans desire. Climate change is intimately linked with energy systems, because CO2 from fossil fuel use is the most important anthropogenic greenhouse gas emitted to the atmosphere, and cumulative anthropogenic emissions determine Earth’s concentration of CO2. Limiting climate change therefore means that global energy systems must reduce net CO2 emissions to zero and stabilize emissions of other GHGs. We compare energy system pathways as they are currently evolving with alternatives that have the potential to limit climate change over the 21st century. The differences are profound. Here we also discuss some frontier research issues that can provide a better understanding of potential pathways and their implications for decisions makers.

29 ENERGY PLANNING, POLICY, AND ECONOMY↗

Solving the auroral-arc-generator question by using an electron beam to unambiguously connect critical magnetospheric measurements to auroral images

Here, an active mapping mission is described that unambiguously connects measurements in the Earth's magnetosphere to visible aurora in the atmosphere. The core of the mission is an electron-beam source operated on a spacecraft in the equatorial magnetosphere, with the electron beam traveling along the Earth's magnetic-field lines to the atmosphere, depositing its energy to create an optical beam-spot in the atmosphere at the footpoint of the spacecraft's magnetic-field line. This optical spot can be imaged by ground-based cameras, putting the location of the spacecraft's magnetic footpoint into the context of the optical aurora. Scientific instruments carried on the spacecraft make critical measurements of the properties of the magnetosphere at the locations where the magnetosphere powers the aurora, allowing the determination of the plasma-physics mechanisms by which the magnetosphere drives the aurora, in particular answering the outstanding question of how the magnetosphere drives low-latitude auroral arcs. Long-standing questions in magnetosphere-ionosphere coupling that have not been answered because we could not unambiguously connect locations in the magnetosphere with their image in the ionosphere will finally be addressed. In this paper the properties of a “standard” growth-phase auroral arc are collected, theories of the magnetospheric generation of auroral arcs are reviewed, and critical magnetospheric measurements to discern the mechanisms that drive auroral arcs are determined. Further, the plasma physics of the experiment is investigated, including spacecraft-charging mitigation, beam stability, beam scattering, and electron orbit theory. Tradeoffs (keV versus MeV) concerning the energy of the electron beam are enumerated.

70 PLASMA PHYSICS AND FUSION TECHNOLOGY↗