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Search indexed NASA NTRS and DOE OSTI research on propulsion, heat transfer, battery materials and energy systems. Follow report and document links to the original sources.

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At least 397 records · Page 22
All sourcesNASA NTRSDOE OSTI
DOE OSTI2022

Preservation of high-pressure volatiles in nanostructured diamond capsules

High pressure induces dramatic changes and novel phenomena in condensed volatiles(1,2) that are usually not preserved after recovery from pressure vessels. In this study we report a process that pressurizes volatiles into nanopores of type 1 glassy carbon precursors, converts glassy carbon into nanocrystalline diamond by heating and synthesizes free-standing nanostructured diamond capsules (NDCs) capable of permanently preserving volatiles at high pressures, even after release back to ambient conditions for various vacuum-based diagnostic probes including electron microscopy. As a demonstration, we perform a comprehensive study of a high-pressure argon sample preserved in NDCs. Synchrotron X-ray diffraction and high-resolution transmission electron microscopy show nanometre-sized argon crystals at around 22.0 gigapascals embedded in nanocrystalline diamond, energy-dispersive X-ray spectroscopy provides quantitative compositional analysis and electron energy-loss spectroscopy details the chemical bonding nature of high-pressure argon. The preserved pressure of the argon sample inside NDCs can be tuned by controlling NDC synthesis pressure. To test the general applicability of the NDC process, we show that high-pressure neon can also be trapped in NDCs and that type 2 glassy carbon can be used as the precursor container material. Additional experiments on other volatiles and carbon allotropes open the possibility of bringing high-pressure explorations on a par with mainstream condensed-matter investigations and applications.

36 MATERIALS SCIENCE↗
DOE OSTI2023

Dual Triggered Beam Extraction Kicker (Rev. 1)

A Blumlein modulator is a relatively inexpensive pulsed power device that can deliver highly repeatable pulses that can be used to change the path of beam pulses. The modulator is primarily built with transmission line cable which is relatively inexpensive. Due to the highly repeatable nature of a Blumlein modulator it is a great tool for kicking beam pulses while producing very little spill or losses in beam current. One of the challenges with a Blumlein kicker is that the length of the kicking pulse output by the modulator is determined by the length of the cables. Cable lengths are set prior to implementation for the desired kicking pulse width. The Blumlein modulator at LANSCE uses a single thyratron which can deliver two 50-kilovolt 1,000-amp pulses of opposite polarity to kicking plates at the same time. This method makes for a very strong kick that is highly repeatable. A method that has been discussed, to deliver a different pulse width, is to add a second trigger that would be fired, once the desired pulse width has been delivered, cutting out the remaining pulse. The second trigger would offer a lot of variability with the pulse width of the kicker. This method has only ever been attempted using low current and relatively low voltages compared to the scale needed to properly kick a beam pulse. This in turn allows for the use of power supplies with a higher repetition rate. The advancement of this standard kicker technology in the accelerator facilities would attract attention within the scientific and engineering communities. The project detailed within will investigate the capabilities of different triggering topologies and design a prototype dual triggered Blumlein kicker modulator capable of variable kicking pulse width.

43 PARTICLE ACCELERATORS↗
DOE OSTI2021

Modeling Within-Host Dynamics of SARS-CoV-2 Infection: A Case Study in Ferrets

The pre-clinical development of antiviral agents involves experimental trials in animals and ferrets as an animal model for the study of SARS-CoV-2. Here, we used mathematical models and experimental data to characterize the within-host infection dynamics of SARS-CoV-2 in ferrets. We also performed a global sensitivity analysis of model parameters impacting the characteristics of the viral infection. We provide estimates of the viral dynamic parameters in ferrets, such as the infection rate, the virus production rate, the infectious virus proportion, the infected cell death rate, the virus clearance rate, as well as other related characteristics, including the basic reproduction number, pre-peak infectious viral growth rate, post-peak infectious viral decay rate, pre-peak infectious viral doubling time, post-peak infectious virus half-life, and the target cell loss in the respiratory tract. These parameters and indices are not significantly different between animals infected with viral strains isolated from the environment and isolated from human hosts, indicating a potential for transmission from fomites. While the infection period in ferrets is relatively short, the similarity observed between our results and previous results in humans supports that ferrets can be an appropriate animal model for SARS-CoV-2 dynamics-related studies, and our estimates provide helpful information for such studies.

59 BASIC BIOLOGICAL SCIENCES↗
DOE OSTI2023

Improved melt model for power flow

Accelerators that drive z-pinch experiments transport current densities in excess of 1 MA/cm 2 in order to melt or ionize the target and implode it on axis. These high current densities stress the transmission lines upstream from the target, where rapid electrode heating causes plasma formation, melt, and possibly vaporization. These plasmas negatively impact accelerator efficiency by diverting some portion of the current away from the target, referred to as “current loss”. Simulations that are able to reproduce this behavior may be applied to improving the efficiency of existing accelerators and to designing systems operating at ever higher current densities. The relativistic particle-in-cell code CHICAGO ® is the primary code for modeling power flow on Sandia National Laboratories’ Z accelerator. We report here on new algorithms that incorporate vaporization and melt into the standard power-flow simulation framework. Taking a hybrid approach, the CHICAGO® kinetic/multi-fluid treatment has been expanded to include vaporization while the quasi-neutral equation-of-motion has been updated for melt at high current-densities. For vaporization, a new one-dimensional substrate model provides a more accurate calculation of electrode thermal, mass, and magnetic field diffusion as well as a means of emitting absorbed contaminants and vaporized metal ions. A quasi-fluid model has been implemented expressly to mimic the motion of imploding liners for accurate inductance histories. For melt, a multi-ion Hall-MHD option has been implemented and benchmarked against Alegra MHD. This new model is described with sufficient detail to reproduce these algorithms in any hybrid kinetic code. Physics results from the new code are also presented. A CHICAGO ® Hall-MHD simulation of a radial transmission line demonstrates that Hall physics, not included in Alegra, has no significant impact on the diffusion of electrode material. When surface contaminant desorption is mocked in as a hydrogen surface plasma, both the surface and bulk-material plasmas largely compress under the influence of the j × B force. Similar results are seen in Alegra, which also shows magnetic and material diffusion scaling with peak current. Test vaporization simulations using MagLIF and a power-flow experimental geometry show Fe + ions diffuse only a few hundred µm from the electrodes, so present models of Z power flow remain valid.

43 PARTICLE ACCELERATORS↗
DOE OSTI2020

Cybersecurity for Distance Relay Protection

This project is a DOE follow-up effort on the CREDC workshop held on September 13, 2018 in Cambridge, MA to discuss cybersecurity of distance relays, which considered the benefits, vulnerabilities and risk mitigations for the use of communication systems in power system protection. The objectives of this project are to define the taxonomy of relay protection and associated communications; define use cases describing approaches to reduce the cyber-attack surface on those protective relays; and evaluate the loss of operational functional capability from changes to communication coverage. Mitigating controls will also be evaluated to understand if there are other approaches to reduce attack surfaces while maintaining communications or partial communications. Distance relays are used to protect transmission lines of approximately 10 to 300 miles in length, by detecting short circuits (i.e., faults) on the lines and then tripping circuit breakers in the substation. Such protection systems are a subset of the power system and they incorporate sensing, logic and communication functions. Protection system exposure to cyberattack could be drastically limited by disconnecting relays from all vulnerable communication systems, but this may adversely impact overall power system performance in the absence of cyberattack. This project began with a use case analysis of protection systems with communications, as summarized in this report. It continued with modeling, testing and evaluation in a miniature power system (MPS), located in the Western Area Power Administration (WAPA) Electric Power Training Center (EPTC). The project also incorporated feedback from two industry meetings held in February and September 2019. The suggested next steps account for and complement the work already underway with DOE/CESER funding: 1. Study the performance of LCD and PC vs. PUTT, which is less reliant on communication system performance and GPS timing references. The PUTT scheme could prove to be more resilient to cyberattack or communications-related disruption. It could also be more tolerant of message re-routing with SDN/SDR communication systems. On the other hand, it will be more vulnerable to false tripping during dynamic events or to loss of the voltage signal. The optimum choice of scheme may depend on the specific power system and risk assessment. This study could provide a new template for evaluation based on business functions. 2. Research and develop new methods to detect and monitor distributed physical attacks, possibly using drones, video sensors, thermal sensors, machine learning and other advanced techniques. This will help mitigate the impact of cyberattack on the protection system, and will also help mitigate the impact of wild fires. 3. Implement a scalable PKI for use in electric utility protection systems. This will encourage widespread adoption of secure authentication methods that are already available, but not widely used at present. This will help secure engineering access to the relays. 4. Investigate the use of SDN in combination with SDR to achieve better cybersecurity and electromagnetic security of the network, incorporating path variability. This would help secure both engineering access and peer-to-peer GOOSE messaging. 5. Perform additional testing, with operator evaluation of “red button” scenarios, PUTT vs. LCD, relay mis-operations, and other cyberattacks in the EPTC. This is an important advantage of testing in the EPTC rather than by computer simulation or even hardware-in-the-loop simulation; the EPTC is already dedicated to managing the situational awareness, operator response times and other human impacts. One of the project objectives was to settle on a common nomenclature for this problem space. We have concluded that the OSI layer model, supplemented by ANSI device numbers and other IEEE standards, is already well-accepted by the industry. The IEEE PSRC knowledge base provides a great deal of public information

24 POWER TRANSMISSION AND DISTRIBUTION↗
DOE OSTI2024

A Three–Dimensional Nanoscale View of Electrocatalyst Degradation in Hydrogen Fuel Cells

The loss of platinum (Pt) electrochemically active surface area (ECSA) is a critical degradation mode that often becomes a limiting factor for heavy-duty proton exchange membrane fuel cell vehicles. High surface area carbon supports have been shown to improve Pt dispersion and limit detrimental ionomer-electrocatalyst interactions due to their large interior pore volume. Here, in this work, using automated scanning transmission electron tomography, the degradation of nanoparticles located on the interior versus exterior surfaces of the carbon support is compared following a catalyst-specific accelerated stress test (AST) of 90,000 voltage cycles between 0.6 V to 0.95 V. The results reveal a notable increase in median particle size for both interior and exterior Pt catalyst particles, with a slightly higher increase in particle size distribution and loss of specific surface area for the particles located on the exterior carbon surface. The fraction of Pt nanoparticles that reside within the interior of the carbon support also increased following the AST test, accompanied by evidence of an increase in average carbon mesopore size. Here, the results shed light on the degradation mechanisms affecting electrochemical properties and the enhanced particle accessibility at lower relative humidity.

08 HYDROGEN↗
DOE OSTI2023

Deep reinforcement learning assisted co-optimization of Volt-VAR grid service in distribution networks

With the increasing penetration of distributed energy resources in distribution networks, Volt-VAR control and optimization (VVC/VVO) have become very important to ensure an acceptable quality of service to all customers. System operators can rely on slow-responding utility devices, including capacitor banks and on-load tap changing transformers, along with fast-responding battery and photovoltaic (PV) inverters for the VVC/VVO implementation. Because of variations in response time of these two classes of devices, and different control actions (discrete versus continuous), coordinated and optimal scheduling and operation have become of utmost importance. Here, this paper develops a look-ahead deep reinforcement learning (DRL)-based multi-objective VVO technique to improve the voltage profile of active distribution networks, decrease network and inverter power loss, and save the operational cost of the grid. It proposes a deep deterministic policy gradient (DDPG)-based approach to schedule the optimal reactive and/or active power set-points of fast-responding inverters, and a deep Q-network (DQN)-based DRL agent to schedule the discrete decisions variables of slow-responding assets. The reactive power output of PV and battery smart inverters are scheduled at 30-minute intervals and the capacitors’ commitment status is scheduled with several hour intervals. The proposed framework is validated on the modified IEEE 34-bus and 123-bus test cases with embedded PV and PV-plus-storage. To validate the efficacy of the proposed VVO, it is compared with several scenarios, including the base case without VVO, localized droop control of DERs, DDPG-only, and twin delayed DDPG (TD3) agent-based DRL techniques. The results justify the superior performance of the proposed method to improve the voltage profile, reduce network power loss, and minimize the look-ahead grid operational cost while minimizing the undesirable power losses in inverters as a result of power factor adjustments.

24 POWER TRANSMISSION AND DISTRIBUTION↗
DOE OSTI2020

Selling Demand Response Using Options

Wholesale electricity markets in many jurisdictions use a two-settlement structure: a day-ahead market for bulk power transactions and a real-time market for fine-grain supply-demand balancing. This paper explores trading demand response assets within this two-settlement market structure. Here, we consider two approaches for trading demand response assets: (a) an intermediate spot market with contingent pricing, and (b) an over-the-counter options contract. In the first case, we characterize the competitive equilibrium of the spot market, and show that it is socially optimal. Economic orthodoxy advocates spot markets, but these require expensive infrastructure and regulatory blessing. In the second case, we characterize competitive equilibria and compare its efficiency with the idealized spot market. Options contract are private bilateral over-the-counter transactions and do not require regulatory approval. We show that the optimal social welfare is, in general, not supported. We then design optimal option prices that minimize the social welfare gap. This optimal design serves to approximate the ideal spot market for demand response using options with modest loss of efficiency. Our results are validated through numerical simulations.

24 POWER TRANSMISSION AND DISTRIBUTION↗
DOE OSTI2022

Keck/NIRSPEC Studies of He ι in the Atmospheres of Two Inflated Hot Gas Giants Orbiting K Dwarfs: WASP-52b and WASP-177b

We present the detection of neutral helium at 10833 Å in the atmosphere of WASP-52b and tentative evidence of helium in the atmosphere of the grazing WASP-177b, using high-resolution observations acquired with the NIRSPEC instrument on the Keck II telescope. We detect excess absorption by helium in WASP-52b's atmosphere of 3.44% ± 0.31% (11σ), or equivalently 66 ± 5 atmospheric scale heights. This absorption is centered on the planet's rest frame (Δv = 0.00 ± 1.19 km s –1 ). We model the planet's escape using a 1D Parker wind model and calculate its mass-loss rate to be ~1.4 × 10 11 g s –1 , or equivalently 0.5% of its mass per gigayear. For WASP-177b, we see evidence for redshifted (Δv = 6.02 ± 1.88 km s –1 ) helium-like absorption of 1.28% ± 0.29% (equal to 23 ± 5 atmospheric scale heights). However, due to residual systematics in the transmission spectrum of similar amplitude, we do not interpret this as significant evidence for He absorption in the planet's atmosphere. Using a 1D Parker wind model, we set a 3σ upper limit on WASP-177b's escape rate of 7.9 × 10 10 g s –1 . Our results, taken together with recent literature detections, suggest the tentative relation between XUV irradiation and He ι absorption amplitude may be shallower than previously suggested. Our results highlight how metastable helium can advance our understanding of atmospheric loss and its role in shaping the exoplanet population.

79 ASTRONOMY AND ASTROPHYSICS↗
DOE OSTI2022

Investigating capacity credit sensitivity to reliability metrics and computational methodologies

Assigning capacity value to renewable energy sources (RES) is a challenge faced in planning their integration with the grid. The difficulties stem from the natural characteristics of variability and intermittency of wind and solar sources. The capacity credit (CC) analysis evaluates the system’s actual power output compared with a constant capacity generator, i.e., conventional generator and determines an effective capacity to use for planning and operation. Herein this paper presents different factors that could affect the CC of a system. Two methods are proposed to determine the CC, namely equivalent firm capacity (EFC) and effective load carrying capability (ELCC). Since these methods are based on satisfying reliability criteria, daily loss of load expectation (LOLE), hourly loss of load (LOLH), and expected energy not served (EENS) have been employed as indices. To obtain the CC value, both methods apply two techniques: traditional and optimization. Genetic algorithm (GA) is the optimization approach used in this paper. Then, this work compares the two techniques and shows the superior performance of the optimization approach. Two hybrid systems, stand-alone (SA) and grid-connected (GC) modes, are proposed and used as case studies. The hybrid systems consist of photovoltaic (PV), wind turbine (WT), and battery energy storage system (BESS). In this work, three different scenarios are used to compare capacity credit: system as a whole, only wind, and no batteries. Finally, sensitivity analysis is carried out to examine the impact of varying the wind speed, solar irradiation, and load. It is demonstrated that the choice of reliability index plays an important role in determining the capacity credit and it is shown that EENS is a more comprehensive and consistent index of reliability.

24 POWER TRANSMISSION AND DISTRIBUTION↗
DOE OSTI2023

Probing Oxidation-Driven Amorphized Surfaces in a Ta(110) Film for Superconducting Qubit

Recent advances in superconducting qubit technology have led to significant progress in quantum computing, but the challenge of achieving a long coherence time remains. Despite the excellent lifetime performance that tantalum (Ta) based qubits have demonstrated to date, the majority of superconducting qubit systems, including Ta-based qubits, are generally believed to have uncontrolled surface oxidation as the primary source of the two-level system loss in two-dimensional transmon qubits. Therefore, atomic-scale insight into the surface oxidation process is needed to make progress toward a practical quantum processor. Here, in this study, the surface oxidation mechanism of native Ta films and its potential impact on the lifetime of superconducting qubits were investigated using advanced scanning transmission electron microscopy (STEM) techniques combined with density functional theory calculations. The results suggest an atomistic model of the oxidized Ta(110) surface, showing that oxygen atoms tend to penetrate the Ta surface and accumulate between the two outermost Ta atomic planes; oxygen accumulation at the level exceeding a 1:1 O/Ta ratio drives disordering and, eventually, the formation of an amorphous Ta 2 O 5 phase. In addition, we discuss how the formation of a noninsulating ordered TaO 1–δ (δ < 0.1) suboxide layer could further contribute to the losses of superconducting qubits. Subsurface oxidation leads to charge redistribution and electric polarization, potentially causing quasiparticle loss and decreased current-carrying capacity, thus affecting superconducting qubit coherence. The findings enhance the comprehension of the realistic factors that might influence the performance of superconducting qubits, thus providing valuable guidance for the development of future quantum computing hardware.

36 MATERIALS SCIENCE↗
DOE OSTI2023

Gallium-doped zinc oxide: nonlinear reflection and transmission measurements and modeling in the ENZ region

Abstract Strong nonlinear materials have been sought after for decades for applications in telecommunications, sensing, and quantum optics. Gallium-doped zinc oxide is a II–VI transparent conducting oxide that shows promising nonlinearities similar to indium tin oxide and aluminum-doped zinc oxide for the telecommunications band. Here we explore its nonlinearities in the epsilon near zero (ENZ) region and show n 2,eff values on the order of 4.5 × 10 −3 cm 2 GW −1 for IR pumping on 200–300 nm thin films. Measuring nonlinear changes in transmission and reflection with a white light source probe in the near-IR while exciting in the near-IR provides data in both time and wavelength. Three films varying in thickness, optical loss, and ENZ crossover wavelength are numerically modeled and compared to experimental data showing agreement for both dispersion and temporal relaxation. In addition, we discuss optimal excitation and probing wavelengths occur around ENZ for thick films but are red-shifted for thin films where our model provides an additional degree of freedom to explore. Obtaining accurate nonlinear measurements is a difficult and time-consuming task where our method in this paper provides experimental and modeled data to the community for an ENZ material of interest.

Ball, Adam (ORCID:0000000318167813)↗
DOE OSTI2024

Approximate Dynamic Programming With Enhanced Off-Policy Learning for Coordinating Distributed Energy Resources

Herein this paper proposes an innovative approximate dynamic programming (ADP) method for distributed energy resource coordination with the loss of life of battery energy storage system (BESS) explicitly modeled. The dispatch policy is designed to account for both calendrical and cyclical aging effects on BESS, explicitly modeling the impacts of ambient temperature on BESS lifespan. The proposed ADP employs an adaptive critic method and enhanced off-policy deterministic policy gradient (DPG) strategy, addressing the limitations of the on-policy gradient-based ADP approaches, including inadequate exploration, low data usage, and computational complexity. In particular, a customized policy is proposed to guide the algorithm to explore some promising decisions and thereby improve exploration capability and learning efficiency compared to conventional DPG-based learning approaches, which may struggle to find a global optimum due to random noisy action-based exploration or require expert demonstration with extra effort. The proposed method is illustrated using the IEEE 123-node system and compared with the existing ADP methods to prove solution accuracy and demonstrate the effects of incorporating degradation models into control design. Case studies showed that the proposed ADP effectively coordinates DERs with a 10 times smaller optimization gap compared to existing methods, and the incorporation of the BESS life loss model ensures the expected lifespan and results in significant cost savings.

24 POWER TRANSMISSION AND DISTRIBUTION↗
DOE OSTI2023

Enhanced Exciton-to-Trion Conversion by Proton Irradiation of Atomically Thin WS 2

Defect engineering of van der Waals semiconductors has been demonstrated as an effective approach to manipulate the structural and functional characteristics toward dynamic device controls, yet correlations between physical properties with defect evolution remain underexplored. Here, using proton irradiation, we observe an enhanced exciton-to-trion conversion of the atomically thin WS 2 . The altered excitonic states are closely correlated with nanopore induced atomic displacement, W nanoclusters, and zigzag edge terminations, verified by scanning transmission electron microscopy, photoluminescence, and Raman spectroscopy. Density functional theory calculation suggests that nanopores facilitate formation of in-gap states that act as sinks for free electrons to couple with excitons. The ion energy loss simulation predicts a dominating electron ionization effect upon proton irradiation, providing further evidence on band perturbations and nanopore formation without destroying the overall crystallinity. This study provides a route in tuning the excitonic properties of van der Waals semiconductors using an irradiation-based defect engineering approach.

77 NANOSCIENCE AND NANOTECHNOLOGY↗
DOE OSTI2021

Impact of selenium addition to the cadmium-zinc-telluride matrix for producing high energy resolution X-and gamma-ray detectors

Abstract Both material quality and detector performance have been steadily improving over the past few years for the leading room temperature radiation detector material cadmium-zinc-telluride (CdZnTe). However, although tremendous progress being made, CdZnTe still suffers from high concentrations of performance-limiting defects, such as Te inclusions, networks of sub-grain boundaries and compositional inhomogeneity due to the higher segregation coefficient of Zn. Adding as low as 2% (atomic) Se into CdZnTe matrix was found to successfully mitigate many performance-limiting defects and provide improved compositional homogeneity. Here we report record-high performance of Virtual Frisch Grid (VFG) detector fabricated from as-grown Cd 0.9 Zn 0.1 Te 0.98 Se 0.02 ingot grown by the Traveling Heater Method (THM). Benefiting from superior material quality, we achieved superb energy resolution of 0.77% at 662 keV (as-measured without charge-loss correction algorithms) registered at room temperature. The absence of residual thermal stress in the detector was revealed from white beam X-ray topographic images, which was also confirmed by Infra-Red (IR) transmission imaging under cross polarizers. Furthermore, neither sub-grain boundaries nor their networks were observed from the X-ray topographic image. However, large concentrations of extrinsic impurities were revealed in as-grown materials, suggesting a high likelihood for further reduction in the energy resolution after improved purification of the starting material.

36 MATERIALS SCIENCE↗
DOE OSTI2020

2020 State of the Science Report, Chapter 6: Changes in Benthic and Pelagic Habitats Caused by Marine Renewable Energy Devices

Most marine renewable energy (MRE) devices must be attached to the seafloor in some way, either through gravity foundations, pilings, or anchors, and with mooring lines, transmission cables, and devices themselves in the water column. Physical changes in benthic and pelagic habitats have the potential to alter species occurrence or abundance at a localized scale, lead to some level of habitat loss, provide opportunities for colonization by non-native species, alter patterns of ecological succession, modify ecosystem functioning, and affect behavioral responses of marine organisms. The transformation of the seafloor and/or water column habitat to new hard substratum because of the presence of the MRE devices may also lead to artificial reef effects or changes in animal behavior. While there is no indication that MRE devices affect marine habitats differently than other structures currently and historically placed in the ocean, regulators and stakeholders may continue to have concerns. https://tethys.pnnl.gov/publications/state-of-the-science-2020-chapter-6-habitat-changes

54 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES↗
DOE OSTI2023

A Guide for Improved Resource Adequacy Assessments in Evolving Power Systems: Institutional and Technical Dimensions

This paper identifies and evaluates issues in traditional resource adequacy (RA) assessment practices, and how adjusting these practices may affect and depend on existing institutional arrangements for planning and procurement. The paper proposes a technical-institutional roadmap that would allow regulators in vertically-integrated jurisdictions and system planners and operators in restructured jurisdictions to revise RA practices across a range of components. First, we compile a critical review of current RA assessment practices based on (1) interviews with RA practitioners and (2) a review of recent technical literature. We find that (i) RA may need to expand beyond capacity adequacy to ensure energy adequacy – relevant for energy-limited resources such as storage – and potentially some form of ancillary service adequacy (e.g. enough ramping-up and ramping-down capability in the system); (ii) chronological hourly simulations for all hours in the year are the current best practice; (iii) metrics and models used do not reflect economic criteria in system operation and loss of load; and (iv) there is a need to improve representation of weather dependencies and weather data. Second, we review planning and RA reports for several private and public entities that plan generation and/or transmission infrastructure in the continental U.S. to look for existing practices involving resilience assessments. We find no systematic treatment of the costs of extreme weather and other hazards, the benefits of resilience, and resilience metrics in planning analyses and no systematic treatment of resilience metrics, methods, and outcomes for resource adequacy purposes. Third, we create a technical framework for probabilistic RA assessment and use it to study how key choices about how to model power system operations affect the values that are obtained for RA metrics. We find that (i) non-economic dispatch schemes that ignore economic objectives can lead to accurate RA assessments when coordinated with detailed operational strategies; (ii) multi-year data is critical to capture a wide variety of system conditions; (iii) not incorporating transmission limits into RA assessment could lead to substantial underestimation of traditional “expected value” RA metrics; and (iv) new RA metrics that capture event-specific shortfall characteristics should be used as supplements to traditional metrics. Finally, we examine RA assessments and use this information to propose a guide of evolving industry standards for resource adequacy assessments in resource planning and transmission planning. We report minimum, best, and frontier practices for temporal resolution of assessments, metrics and targets, weather data, load forecasting, characterization of variable renewable resources, characterization of transmission and market transactions, RA modeling and integration with planning processes, and capacity accreditation.

29 ENERGY PLANNING, POLICY, AND ECONOMY↗