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NASA NTRS1958

Icing Frequencies Experienced During Climb and Descent by Fighter-Interceptor Aircraft

Data and analyses are presented on the relative frequencies of occurrence and severity of icing cloud layers encountered by jet aircraft in the climb and descent phases of flights to high altitudes. Fighter-interceptor aircraft operated by the Air Defense Command (USAF) at bases in the Duluth and Seattle areas collected the data with icing meters installed for a l-year period. The project was part of an extensive program conducted by the NACA to collect Icing cloud data for evaluating the icing problem relevant to routine operations. The average frequency of occurrence of icing was found to be about 5 percent of the number of climbs and descents during 1 year of operations The icing encounters were predominantly in the low and middle cloud layers, decreasing above 15,000 feet to practically none above 25,000 feet. The greatest thickness of ice that would accumulate on any aircraft component (as indicated by the accretion on a small object) was measured with the icing meters. The ice thicknesses on a small sensing probe averaged less than 1/32 inch and did not exceed 1/2 inch. Such accumulations are relatively small when compared with those that can form during horizontal flight in icing clouds. The light accretions resulted from relatively steep angles of flight through generally thin cloud layers. Because of the limited statistical reliability of the results, an analysis was made using previous statistics on icing clouds below an altitude of 20,000 feet to determine the general icing severity probabilities. The calculations were made using adiabatic lifting as a basis to establish the liquid-water content. Probabilities of over-all ice accretions on a small object as a function of airspeed and rate of climb were computed from the derived water contents. These results were then combined with the probability of occurrence of icing in order to give the icing severity that can be expected for routine aircraft operations.

Perkins, Porter J.↗

DOE OSTI2024

Automated Approach to Accurate, Precise, and Fast Detector Simulation and Reconstruction

Detector simulation and reconstruction are a significant computational bottleneck in particle physics. Here, we develop particle-flow neural-assisted simulations (parnassus) to address this challenge. Our deep learning model takes as input a point cloud (particles impinging on a detector) and produces a point cloud (reconstructed particles). By combining detector simulations and reconstruction into one step, we aim to minimize resource utilization and enable fast surrogate models suitable for application both inside and outside large collaborations. We demonstrate this approach using a publicly available dataset of jets passed through the full simulation and reconstruction pipeline of the Compact Muon Solenoid (CMS) experiment. We show that parnassus accurately mimics the CMS particle flow algorithm on the (statistically) same events it was trained on and can generalize to jet momentum and type outside of the training distribution.

72 PHYSICS OF ELEMENTARY PARTICLES AND FIELDS↗

NASA NTRS1998

Airborne lidar observations of smoke haze during SCAR-B 1995

The Smoke, Clouds, Aerosol, and Radiation Brazil(SCAR-B) field campaign was conducted to study the effects that widespread and persistent biomass burning have upon radiative and chemical processes in the atmosphere. The radiative transfer characteristics of the atmosphere are altered by the introduction of particulate and gaseous materials which are the products of the combustion of vegetative material at ground level. These substances are transported and distributed horizontally and vertically by atmospheric dynamical processes which may be perturbed by the heat energy from the fires. As the pollutants disperse, their physical and chemical properties change substantially. A complete description of the effects of smoke requires that the evolution back to the natural situation be fully examined. A most important component of smoke haze investigation is finding its vertical and horizontal distribution in relation to the driving factors of dynamics and the related horizontal transport. In this presentation, we employ data from the Cloud Lidar System(CLS), carried aboard the NASA ER-2 aircraft, to provide a unique view of the particulate or aerosol loading produced by fires, especially with regard to the geometrical distribution of the aerosols in the vertical plane. The lidar has the ability to measure aerosol optical properties in a continuous fashion at quite fine vertical and horizontal resolution. The results from the lidar provide measurements that are largely independent of influences that corrupt passive instruments and thus it can serve to corroborate their results. The extended horizontal and vertical range of lidar results can also augment ground based and airborne in situ measurements which have limited horizontal and vertical scope. We present the results of our analysis of CLS observations taken during the SCAR-B field campaign. Observations of the the aerosol optical thickness from the Aerosol Robotic Network(AERONET) of solar photometers are employed in conjunction with CLS data to derive extinction to backscatter ratio values which are used to convert the lidar backscatter coefficient into extinction coefficient. The extinction coefficient is integrated vertically to find aerosol optical thickness along ER-2 flight tracks. We use images of the CLS derived extinction coefficient to depict its horizontal and vertical distribution. Multispectral photometer optical thickness is used to compute the Angstrom exponent. With these, we examine the hypothesis that the values of extinction to backscatter ratio can be related to the Anstrom coefficient since both of these would be a function of the refractive index and size distribution of the aerosols.

Hart, William D.↗

DOE OSTI2024

Approach for energy efficient building design during early phase of design process

Energy consumption in the building sector is about 40% of total energy consumed globally and is trending upwards, along with its contribution to greenhouse gas (GHG) emissions. Given the adverse impacts of GHG emissions, it is crucial to integrate energy efficiency into building designs. The most significant opportunities for enhancing energy performance are present during the initial phases of building design, when there is less impact of other design constraints. Various tools exist for simulating different design options and providing feedback in terms of energy consumption and comfort parameters. These simulation outputs must then be analyzed to derive design solutions. This paper presents an innovative approach that utilizes user input parameters, processes them through cloud computing, and outputs easily understandable strategies for energy-efficient building design. The methodology employs Asynchronous Distributed Task Queues (DTQ) - a more scalable and reliable alternative to conventional speedup techniques-for conducting parametric energy simulations in the cloud. The goal of this approach is to assist design teams in identifying, visualizing, and prioritizing energy-saving design strategies from a range of possible solutions for each project. Furthermore, a tool ‘eDOT’ has been developed utilizing the discussed methodology. Unlike existing tools, eDOT leverages artificial intelligence to dynamically generate and provide design strategies during the early phases of design process. By simplifying the simulation process, eDOT enables design teams to make informed, data-driven decisions without needing to interpret complex simulation outputs. A case study simulated for two locations is provided in this paper to demonstrate the effectiveness of eDOT, further underscoring its practical impact on energy-efficient building design.

32 ENERGY CONSERVATION, CONSUMPTION, AND UTILIZATI↗

DOE OSTI2022

The Geothermal Data Repository: Ten Years of Supporting the Geothermal Industry with Open Access to Geothermal Data

The Department of Energy's (DOE) Geothermal Data Repository (GDR) is celebrating its tenth anniversary! Over the last decade it has grown from the simple idea of storing public data in a centralized location to a valuable tool at the center of the US geothermal scientific community and an integral part of the DOE Geothermal Technologies Office (DOE GTO) project management strategy. Researchers funded by the DOE GTO have contributed over 1,300 data submissions to the GDR. These data have been used to further advancements in geothermal science, economic analysis, exploration, research, development, and operational efficiency. The adoption of open data methodologies and a data management strategy that prioritizes universal open access and standardized, interoperable data have further increased the value of GDR data, making them available across a distributed network of data sharing partners and improving their utility to other industries and related fields, including material science and space exploration. Incorporating feedback from users has been critical to the GDR's success, allowing it to grow over the years to meet the evolving needs of the geothermal community. This paper will explore some of many changes that occurred throughout the GDRs tenure and the lessons learned along the way, as well as highlight some of the new features and recent improvements that been implemented to support innovation, reduce duplication of effort, and advance the geothermal industry as a whole.

access↗

NASA NTRS2011

HEASARC - The High Energy Astrophysics Science Archive Research Center

The High Energy Astrophysics Science Archive Research Center (HEASARC) is NASA's archive for high-energy astrophysics and cosmic microwave background (CMB) data, supporting the broad science goals of NASA's Physics of the Cosmos theme. It provides vital scientific infrastructure to the community by standardizing science data formats and analysis programs, providing open access to NASA resources, and implementing powerful archive interfaces. Over the next five years the HEASARC will ingest observations from up to 12 operating missions, while serving data from these and over 30 archival missions to the community. The HEASARC archive presently contains over 37 TB of data, and will contain over 60 TB by the end of 2014. The HEASARC continues to secure major cost savings for NASA missions, providing a reusable mission-independent framework for reducing, analyzing, and archiving data. This approach was recognized in the NRC Portals to the Universe report (2007) as one of the HEASARC's great strengths. This poster describes the past and current activities of the HEASARC and our anticipated developments in coming years. These include preparations to support upcoming high energy missions (NuSTAR, Astro-H, GEMS) and ground-based and sub-orbital CMB experiments, as well as continued support of missions currently operating (Chandra, Fermi, RXTE, Suzaku, Swift, XMM-Newton and INTEGRAL). In 2012 the HEASARC (which now includes LAMBDA) will support the final nine-year WMAP data release. The HEASARC is also upgrading its archive querying and retrieval software with the new Xamin system in early release - and building on opportunities afforded by the growth of the Virtual Observatory and recent developments in virtual environments and cloud computing.

Smale, Alan P.↗

NASA NTRS2012

Leveraging Data Intensive Computing to Support Automated Event Services

A large portion of Earth Science investigations is phenomenon- or event-based, such as the studies of Rossby waves, mesoscale convective systems, and tropical cyclones. However, except for a few high-impact phenomena, e.g. tropical cyclones, comprehensive records are absent for the occurrences or events of these phenomena. Phenomenon-based studies therefore often focus on a few prominent cases while the lesser ones are overlooked. Without an automated means to gather the events, comprehensive investigation of a phenomenon is at least time-consuming if not impossible. An Earth Science event (ES event) is defined here as an episode of an Earth Science phenomenon. A cumulus cloud, a thunderstorm shower, a rogue wave, a tornado, an earthquake, a tsunami, a hurricane, or an EI Nino, is each an episode of a named ES phenomenon," and, from the small and insignificant to the large and potent, all are examples of ES events. An ES event has a finite duration and an associated geolocation as a function of time; its therefore an entity in four-dimensional . (4D) spatiotemporal space. The interests of Earth scientists typically rivet on Earth Science phenomena with potential to cause massive economic disruption or loss of life, but broader scientific curiosity also drives the study of phenomena that pose no immediate danger. We generally gain understanding of a given phenomenon by observing and studying individual events - usually beginning by identifying the occurrences of these events. Once representative events are identified or found, we must locate associated observed or simulated data prior to commencing analysis and concerted studies of the phenomenon. Knowledge concerning the phenomenon can accumulate only after analysis has started. However, except for a few high-impact phenomena. such as tropical cyclones and tornadoes, finding events and locating associated data currently may take a prohibitive amount of time and effort on the part of an individual investigator. And even for these high-impact phenomena, the availability of comprehensive records is still only a recent development. A major reason for the lack of comprehensive ,records for the majority of the ES phenomena is the perception that they do not pose immediate and/or severe threat to life and property and are thus not consistently tracked. monitored, and catalogued. Many phenomena even lack commonly accepted criteria for definitions. However. the lack of comprehensive records is also due to the increasingly prohibitive volume of observations and model data that must be examined. NASA Earth Observing System Data Information System (EOSDIS) alone archives several petabytes (PB) of satellite remote sensing data and steadily increases. All of these factors contribute to the difficulty of methodically identifying events corresponding to a given phenomenon and significantly impede systematic investigations. In the following we present a couple motivating scenarios, demonstrating the issues faced by Earth scientists studying ES phenomena.

Clune, Thomas L.↗

NASA NTRSDate not supplied

Large-Drop Ice Accretion Test Results for a Large Scale Swept Wing Section

In-flight icing is an important consideration that affects aircraft design, performance and safety. Newer regulations combined with increasing demand to reduce fuel burn, emissions and noise are driving a need for improvements in icing simulation capability. To that end, this paper presents the results of ice accretion testing conducted in the NASA Icing Research Tunnel on a large swept wing typical of a modern commercial transport. The model was based upon a section of the Common Research Model wing at the 64% semispan station with a streamwise chord length of 136 in. The test conditions were developed with an icing scaling analysis to generate similar conditions for a small MVD = 25 μm and a large MVD = 110 μm. A series of tests were conducted over a range of total temperature from -23.8 ˚C to -1.4 ˚C with all other conditions held constant. The results for the small MVD cloud conditions were consistent with previous work and showed the changing ice morphology from rime ice at colder temperatures to highly 3D scallop ice in the range of -8.7 ˚C to -3.8 ˚C. The results for the large MVD cloud conditions exhibited some differences in the ice accretion morphology. Scallop-like ice features were observed at total temperature of -3.8˚C. The large MVD ice accretion at lower temperatures tended to be smoother than the corresponding ice accretion for small MVD. The thickness of the main ice shape tended to be larger for the small MVD conditions compared to the corresponding large MVD ice shape while the latter had more ice farther downstream. The measured ice mass was approximately equal between the corresponding small and large MVD ice shapes up to a freezing fraction of 0.6. For higher freezing fraction, the large MVD ice shapes weighed more. Cloud MVD variation from 50 μm to 230 μm while holding the scaling parameters constant resulted in very minor differences in the ice shapes, mostly in the upper and lower surface chordwise extents. Ice volume was computed from 3D scan data and used to calculate a ratio of ice mass to volume. The resulting values were in the range of 240 to 455 Kg/m3. While this is consistent with analogous values previously reported in the literature, more data are needed to determine a specific trend in this ratio as a function of freezing fraction and the corresponding governing physical phenomena. This work has resulted in a significant experimental database of ice accretion for small and large MVD conditions applicable to large-scale swept wings.

Icing↗

NASA NTRS2023

Extragalactic Magnetism with SOFIA (SALSA Legacy Program). V. First Results on the Magnetic Field Orientation of Galaxies

We present the analysis of the magnetic field ( B -field) structure of galaxies measured with far-infrared (FIR) and radio (3 and 6 cm) polarimetric observations. We use the first data release of the Survey of extragALactic magnetiSm with SOFIA of 14 nearby (<20 Mpc) galaxies with resolved (5"-18" ; 90 pc–1 kpc) imaging polarimetric observations using SOFIA/HAWC+ from 53 to 214 μm . We compute the magnetic pitch-angle (𝜓 B ) profiles as a function of the galactocentric radius. We introduce a new magnetic alignment parameter ( ζ ) to estimate the disordered-to-ordered ratio of spiral B -fields. We find FIR and radio wavelengths to not generally trace the same B -field morphology in galaxies. The 𝜓 B profiles tend to be more ordered across all galactocentric radii in radio ( ζ 6cm = 0.93 + 0.03) than in FIR ( ζ 154μm = 0.84 + 0.14). For spiral galaxies, FIR B -fields are 2%–75% more turbulent than the radio B -fields. For starburst galaxies, we find that FIR polarization is a better tracer of the B -fields along the galactic outflows than radio polarization. Our results suggest that the B -fields associated with dense, dusty, turbulent star-forming regions (those traced at FIR) are less ordered than warmer, less dense regions (those traced at radio) of the interstellar medium. The FIR B -fields seem to be more sensitive to the activity of the star-forming regions and molecular clouds within a vertical height of a few hundred parsecs in the disk of spiral galaxies than the radio B -fields.

magnetic field (B-field)↗

NASA NTRSDate not supplied

Large-Drop Ice Accretion Test Results for a Large Scale Swept Wing Model

In-flight icing is an important consideration that affects aircraft design, performance and safety. Newer regulations combined with increasing demand to reduce fuel burn, emissions and noise are driving a need for improvements in icing simulation capability. To that end, this paper presents the results of ice accretion testing conducted in the NASA Icing Research Tunnel on a large swept wing section typical of a modern commercial transport. The model was based upon a section of the Common Research Model wing at the 64% semispan station with a streamwise chord length of 136 in. The test conditions were developed with an icing scaling analysis to generate similar conditions for a small MVD = 25 μm and a large MVD = 110 μm. A series of tests were conducted over a range of total temperature from -23.8 ˚C to -1.4 ˚C with all other conditions held constant. The results for the small MVD cloud conditions were consistent with previous work and showed the changing ice morphology from rime ice at colder temperatures to highly 3D scallop ice in the range of -8.7 ˚C to -3.8 ˚C. The results for the large MVD cloud conditions exhibited some differences in the ice accretion morphology from the small MVD conditions. Scallop-like ice features were observed at total temperature of -3.8˚C. The large MVD ice accretion at lower temperatures tended to be smoother than the corresponding ice accretion for small MVD. The thickness of the main ice shape tended to be larger for the small MVD conditions compared to the corresponding large MVD ice shape while the latter had more ice farther downstream. The measured ice mass was approximately equal between the corresponding small and large MVD ice shapes up to a freezing fraction of 0.6. For higher freezing fraction, the large MVD ice shapes weighed more. Cloud MVD variation from 50 μm to 230 μm while holding the scaling parameters constant resulted in very minor differences in the ice shapes, mostly in the upper and lower surface chordwise extents. Ice volume was computed from 3D scan data and used to calculate a ratio of ice mass to volume. The resulting values were in the range of 240 to 455 Kg/m3. While this is consistent with analogous values previously reported in the literature, more data are needed to determine a specific trend in this ratio as a function of freezing fraction and the corresponding governing physical phenomena. This work has resulted in a significant experimental database of ice accretion for small and large MVD conditions applicable to large-scale swept wings.

Icing↗

NASA NTRS2023

Extragalactic Magnetism with SOFIA (SALSA Legacy Program) - V. First Results on the Magnetic Field Orientation of Galaxies

We present the analysis of the magnetic field (B-field) structure of galaxies measured with far-infrared (FIR) and radio (3 and 6 cm) polarimetric observations. We use the first data release of the Survey of extragALactic magnetiSm with SOFIA (SALSA) of 14 nearby (< 20 Mpc) galaxies with resolved (5′′ − 18′′; 90 pc–1 kpc) imaging polarimetric observations using SOFIA/HAWC+ from 53 to 214 μm. We compute the magnetic pitch angle (Ψ B ) profiles as a function of the galactocentric radius. We introduce a new magnetic alignment parameter (ζ) to estimate the disordered-to-ordered ratio of spiral B -fields. We find FIR and radio wavelengths to not generally trace the same B -field morphology in galaxies. The Ψ B profiles tend to be more ordered across all galactocentric radii in radio (ζ 6cm = 0.93 ± 0.03) than in FIR (ζ 154μm = 0.84 ± 0.14). For spiral galaxies, FIR B-fields are 2−75% more turbulent than the radio B -fields. For starburst galaxies, we find that FIR polarization is a better tracer of the B -fields along the galactic outflows than radio polarization. Our results suggest that the B -fields associated with dense, dusty, turbulent star-forming regions, those traced at FIR, are less ordered than warmer, less-dense regions, those traced at radio, of the interstellar medium. The FIR B -fields seem to be more sensitive to the activity of the star-forming regions and molecular clouds within a vertical height of few hundred pc in the disk of spiral galaxies than the radio B -fields.

SALSA↗

NASA NTRS2005

Inference of Ice Cloud Properties from High-spectral Resolution Infrared Observations

The theoretical basis is explored for inferring the microphysical properties of ice crystal from high-spectral resolution infrared observations. A radiative transfer model is employed to simulate spectral radiances to address relevant issues. The extinction and absorption efficiencies of individual ice crystals, assumed as hexagonal columns for large particles and droxtals for small particles, are computed from a combination of the finite- difference time-domain (FDTD) technique and a composite method. The corresponding phase functions are computed from a combination of FDTD and an improved geometric optics method (IGOM). Bulk scattering properties are derived by averaging the single- scattering properties of individual particles for 30 particle size distributions developed from in situ measurements and for additional four analytical Gamma size distributions for small particles. The non-sphericity of ice crystals is shown to have a significant impact on the radiative signatures in the infrared (IR) spectrum; the spherical particle approximation for inferring ice cloud properties may result in an overest&ation of the optical thickness and an inaccurate retrieval of effective particle size. Furthermore, we show that the error associated with the use of the Henyey-Greenstein phase function can be as larger as 1 K in terms of brightness temperature for larger particle effective size at some strong scattering wavenumbers. For small particles, the difference between the two phase functions is much less, with brightness temperatures generally differing by less than 0.4 K. The simulations undertaken in this study show that the slope of the IR brightness temperature spectrum between 790-960/cm is sensitive to the effective particle size. Furthermore, a strong sensitivity of IR brightness temperature to cloud optical thickness is noted within the l050-1250/cm region. Based on this spectral feature, a technique is presented for the simultaneous retrieval of the visible optical thickness and effective particle size from high spectral resolution infrared data under ice cloudy con&tion. The error analysis shows that the uncertainty of the retrieved optical thickness and effective particle size has a small range of variation. The error for retrieving particle size in conjunction with an uncertainty of 5 K in cloud'temperature, or a surface temperature uncertainty of 2.5 K, is less than 15%. The corresponding e m r in the uncertainty of optical thickness is within 5-2096, depending on the value of cloud optical thickness. The applicability of the technique is demonstrated using the aircraft-based High- resolution Interferometer Sounder (HIS) data from the Subsonic Aircraft: Contrail and Cloud Effects Special Study (SUCCESS) in 1996 and the First ISCCP Regional Experiment - Arctic Clouds Experiment (FIRE-ACE) in 1998.

Huang, Hung-Lung↗

DOE OSTI2023

ResStock™ v3.2.0 [SWR-19-15 and SWR-20-07]

The ResStock™ analysis tool was built on NREL's OpenStudio® platform, and is a project geared at modeling existing residential building stocks at national, regional, or local scales with a high-degree of granularity (e.g., one physics-based simulation model for every 200 dwelling units), using the EnergyPlus® simulation engine. Information about ComStock™, a sister tool for modeling the commercial building stock, can be found here: https://www.nrel.gov/buildings/comstock.html This repository contains: Housing characteristics of the U.S. residential building stock, in the form of conditional probability distributions stored as tab-separated value (.tsv) files. Comments at the bottom of each file document data sources and assumptions for each. A library of housing characteristic "options" that translate high-level characteristic parameters into arguments for OpenStudio measures, and which are referenced by the housing characteristic .tsv files and building energy upgrades defined in project definition files Project definition files: v2.3.0 and later: buildstockbatch YML files openable in any text editor v2.2.5 and prior: Project folder openable in PAT Unit-level OpenStudio Measures for automatically constructing OpenStudio Models of each representative dwelling unit model: v3.0.0 and later: OpenStudio-HPXML Measures v2.5.0 and prior: OpenStudio Measures Higher-level OpenStudio Measures for controlling simulation inputs and outputs This repository does not contain software for running ResStock simulations, which can be found as follows: Versions 2.3.0 and later only support the use of buildstockbatch for deploying simulations on high-performance or cloud computing. Version 2.3.0 also removed separate projects for single-family detached and multifamily buildings, in lieu of a combined project_national representing the U.S. residential building stock. See the changelog for more details. Versions 2.2.5 and prior support the use of the publicly available OpenStudio-PAT software as an interface for deploying simulations on cloud computing. Read the documentation for v2.2.5.

Horowitz, Scott↗

DOE OSTI2025

Experiments to validate Thermodynamics and Transport models of Strongly Coupled Dusty Plasma Matter (Final Technical Report for DE-SC0023416)

The goal of this two-year grant is to provide access to the PI to dusty plasma experimental facilities at the DOE-funded Collaborative Research Facility Magnetized Plasma Research Laboratory, Auburn University to become a user of that facility, to obtain experimental data to support another ongoing grant DE-SC0021146 (an Early Career Award to the PI that is focused on modeling of dusty plasma thermodynamics and transport processes), to generate experimental data for funding proposals, and to provide exposure to University of Memphis students to advanced experimental techniques. The following technical accomplishments were made: 1. Development of a novel Bidirectional Electrode Control Arms Assembly (BECAA) for producing perfect 2D grain layers for complex plasma experimentation. BECAA uses movable electrode arms to tilt or move the electrode in a RF discharge from outside the chamber, allowing for the manipulation of grain clouds without needing to change the plasma parameters or gas pressure. This work addresses a longstanding gap in the literature for a method to produce clusters of selectable number of grains and that are perfectly two dimensional as opposed to being only quasi-2D. 2. Experimental investigation of the structural properties of finite-N clusters with N=2 to 50. Individual particle behavior in clusters could vary from grain to grain and this study measured systematically produced clusters for two different grain sizes. Analysis (funded by another grant DE-SC0021146) is currently underway to quantify the differences between grains that are found on the surface vs. the interior of clusters, the shell structure, and the decay of correlations in position, velocity, and kinetic energy. 3. An experimental method to measure the structural entropy of clusters was developed by observing the self-induced structural transitions between various possible arrangements. In a series of heating and cooling cycles, the number of times each possible arrangement was attained was experimentally observed and used to compute the probability of existence of that arrangement, and subsequently the configurational entropy of the cluster. Analysis (funded by another grant DE-SC0021146) is currently underway to produce the entropy of clusters as a function of the number of grains and use the same to compute thermodynamic state variables for 2D complex plasma/grain clusters. 4. A preliminary experimental study of multibody collisions between N grains (N=2 – 10) was conducted. The clusters were produced using the BECAA technique and velocities were imparted to the grains using manipulation laser pulses. Analysis (funded by another grant DE-SC0021146) is currently underway to develop a theoretical framework to describe multibody collisions analogous to classical two-body interactions.

70 PLASMA PHYSICS AND FUSION TECHNOLOGY↗

NASA NTRS2006

Bayesian Estimation of Precipitation from Satellite Passive Microwave Observations Using Combined Radar-Radiometer Retrievals

Precipitation estimation from satellite passive microwave radiometer observations is a problem that does not have a unique solution that is insensitive to errors in the input data. Traditionally, to make this problem well posed, a priori information derived from physical models or independent, high-quality observations is incorporated into the solution. In the present study, a database of precipitation profiles and associated brightness temperatures is constructed to serve as a priori information in a passive microwave radiometer algorithm. The precipitation profiles are derived from a Tropical Rainfall Measuring Mission (TRMM) combined radar radiometer algorithm, and the brightness temperatures are TRMM Microwave Imager (TMI) observed. Because the observed brightness temperatures are consistent with those derived from a radiative transfer model embedded in the combined algorithm, the precipitation brightness temperature database is considered to be physically consistent. The database examined here is derived from the analysis of a month-long record of TRMM data that yields more than a million profiles of precipitation and associated brightness temperatures. These profiles are clustered into a tractable number of classes based on the local sea surface temperature, a radiometer-based estimate of the echo-top height (the height beyond which the reflectivity drops below 17 dBZ), and brightness temperature principal components. For each class, the mean precipitation profile, brightness temperature principal components, and probability of occurrence are determined. The precipitation brightness temperature database supports a radiometer-only algorithm that incorporates a Bayesian estimation methodology. In the Bayesian framework, precipitation estimates are weighted averages of the mean precipitation values corresponding to the classes in the database, with the weights being determined according to the similarity between the observed brightness temperature principal components and the brightness temperature principal components of the classes. Because the classes are stratified by the sea surface temperature and the echo-top-height estimator, the number of classes that are considered for retrieval is significantly smaller than the total number of classes, making the algorithm computationally efficient. The radiometer-only algorithm is applied to TMI observations, and precipitation estimates are compared with combined TRMM precipitation radar (PR) TMI reference estimates. The TMI-only algorithm, supported by the empirically derived database, produces estimates that are more consistent with the reference values than the precipitation estimates from the version-6 TRMM facility TMI algorithm. Cloud-resolving model simulations are used to assign a latent heating profile to each precipitation profile in the empirically derived database, making it possible to estimate latent heating using the radiometer-only algorithm. Although the evaluation of latent heating estimates in this study is preliminary, because realistic conditional probability distribution functions are attached to latent heating structures in the algorithm s database, a generally positive impact on latent heating estimation from passive microwave observations is expected.

Grecu, Mircea↗

DOE OSTI2020

Integration of Total-Sky Imager Data with a Physics-Based Smart Persistence Model for Intra-Hour Forecasting of Solar Radiation

Short-term solar forecasting models based solely on global horizontal irradiance (GHI) measurements are often unable to discriminate the forecasting of the factors affecting GHI from those that can be precisely computed by atmospheric models. Our previous study introduced a Physics-based Smart Persistence model for Intra-hour forecasting of solar radiation (PSPI) that decomposed the forecasting of GHI into the computation of extraterrestrial solar radiation and solar zenith angle and the forecasting of cloud albedo and cloud fraction. The extraterrestrial solar radiation and solar zenith angle were accurately computed by the Solar Position Algorithm (SPA) developed at the National Renewable Energy Laboratory (NREL). A cloud retrieval technique was used to estimate cloud albedo and cloud fraction from surface-based observations of GHI. With the assumption of persistent cloud structures, the cloud albedo and cloud fraction were predicted for future time steps using a two-stream approximation and a 5-minute exponential weighted moving average, respectively. The model evaluation indicated the estimation and forecast of cloud fraction mostly contributed to the uncertainty of the PSPI though it overcame the persistence and smart persistence models in all forecast time horizons between 5 and 60 minutes. This study aims to enhance the PSPI by ingesting surface-based observations of cloud fraction from a total sky imager (TSI). The estimation and forecast of cloud albedo is correspondingly improved by utilizing the cloud fraction observations and thus leads to more accurate GHI forecast. Various time-series analysis methods are also investigated on the forecasting of cloud fraction and cloud albedo for further improving the GHI forecast. These improvements are valuable for many applications, such as forecasting energy use for buildings, grid operations, and ultimately bringing down the cost of solar energy.

14 SOLAR ENERGY↗

DOE OSTI2022

CondiDiag1.0: a flexible online diagnostic tool for conditional sampling and budget analysis in the E3SM atmosphere model (EAM)

Abstract. Numerical models used in weather and climate prediction take into account a comprehensive set of atmospheric processes (i.e., phenomena) such as the resolved and unresolved fluid dynamics, radiative transfer, cloud and aerosol life cycles, and mass or energy exchanges with the Earth's surface. In order to identify model deficiencies and improve predictive skills, it is important to obtain process-level understanding of the interactions between different processes. Conditional sampling and budget analysis are powerful tools for process-oriented model evaluation, but they often require tedious ad hoc coding and large amounts of instantaneous model output, resulting in inefficient use of human and computing resources. This paper presents an online diagnostic tool that addresses this challenge by monitoring model variables in a generic manner as they evolve within the time integration cycle. The tool is convenient to use. It allows users to select sampling conditions and specify monitored variables at run time. Both the evolving values of the model variables and their increments caused by different atmospheric processes can be monitored and archived. Online calculation of vertical integrals is also supported. Multiple sampling conditions can be monitored in a single simulation in combination with unconditional sampling. The paper explains in detail the design and implementation of the tool in the Energy Exascale Earth System Model (E3SM) version 1. The usage is demonstrated through three examples: a global budget analysis of dust aerosol mass concentration, a composite analysis of sea salt emission and its dependency on surface wind speed, and a conditionally sampled relative humidity budget. The tool is expected to be easily portable to closely related atmospheric models that use the same or similar data structures and time integration methods.

58 GEOSCIENCES↗

NASA NTRS2008

Radiative Susceptibility of Cloudy Atmospheres to Droplet Number Perturbations: 1. Theoretical Analysis and Examples from MODIS

Theoretical and satellite-based assessments of the sensitivity of broadband shortwave radiative fluxes in cloudy atmospheres to small perturbations in the cloud droplet number concentration (N) of liquid water clouds under constant water conditions are performed. Two approaches to study this sensitivity are adopted: absolute increases in N, for which the radiative response is referred to as absolute cloud susceptibility, and relative increases in N or relative cloud susceptibility. Estimating the former is more challenging as it requires an assumed value for either cloud liquid water content or geometrical thickness; both susceptibilities require an assumed relationship between the droplet volume and effective radius. Expanding upon previous susceptibility studies, present radiative calculations include the effect of AN perturbations on droplet asymmetry parameter and single-scattering albedo, in addition to extinction. Absolute cloud susceptibility has a strong nonlinear dependence on the droplet effective radius as expected, while relative cloud susceptibility is primarily dependent on optical thickness. Molecular absorption and reflecting surfaces both reduce the relative contribution of the cloud to the top-of-atmosphere (TOA) flux and therefore also reduce the TOA albedo susceptibility. Transmittance susceptibilities are negative with absolute values similar to albedo susceptibility, while atmospheric absorptance susceptibilities are about an order of magnitude smaller than albedo susceptibilities and can be either positive or negative. Observation-based susceptibility calculations are derived from MODIS pixel-level retrievals of liquid water cloud optical thickness, effective radius, and cloud top temperature; two data granule examples are shown. Susceptibility quantifies the aerosol indirect effect sensitivity in a way that can be easily computed from model fields. As such, susceptibilities derived from MODIS observations provide a higher-order test of model cloud properties used for indirect effect studies. MODIS-derived global distributions of cloud susceptibility and radiative forcing calculations are presented in a companion paper.

Platnick, Steven↗