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At least 397 records · Page 22

Observational and theoretical studies of the evolving structure of baroclinic waves: Attractor dynamics of global weather systems

Significant progress was made in developing a six-component dry model of mid-latitude baroclinic wave evolution, and a ten-component moist model. These models include representations of airflow over mountians and non-adiabatic processes. As a first step, the properties of a reduced, three component, baroclinic system are studied. The classical baroclinic stability criteria emerge as the properties of one of the three equilibria admitted, with the remaining two equilibria forming the attractor region for the observed weather activity. Passive tracer evolution in a baroclinic wave was studied. A model in which only constituents trapped within low atmospheric levels are considered, has been extended to include the possibility for fluxes into the upper levels of the atmosphere. The reported results for the lower levels achieved previously are shown to be qualitatively similar to those obtained by these new calculations in which the vertical flux constraint is removed. An extensive study of an 8-year record of global outgoing longwave radiation for the Northern Hemisphere reveals that blocking events exhibit only a weak signature of blocking highs, as measured by relatively low values of the ratio of the standard deviation to the mean value of the observed long wave outgoing radiation. Though present in many cases, the signature is not a strongly distinctive feature of the blocking episodes.

Saltzman, B.↗

Evaluation of cloud shading effects on the generation and modification of mesoscale circulations

This study presents scale analysis and numerical model evaluations of the impact of cloud shading on (1) the development of sea breeze and thermally induced upslope flows and (2) the generation of mesoscale circulations between cloudy areas adjacent to clear areas. Based on the assumption of modifications of solar and longwave radiation which are typical for some overcast conditions, it was found that the reduction in the first type of circulation is significant and most noticeable in the vertical velocities. In the second case, thermally induced circulations in favorable conditions appear to approach the typical intensity of the sea breeze.

Segal, M.↗

Observation of El Nino by the Nimbus-7 SMMR

The quality of Nimbus-7 Scanning Multichannel Microwave Radiometer (SMMR) derived SST, water vapor, and windspeed are assessed, and these parameters are used to study the El Nino event of 1982-1983 in the equatorial Pacific region from 120 deg to the South American coast. The features of the anomaly fields for these parameters, and the connections between these fields, are discussed. Anomaly fields are found to be qualitatively consistent with outgoing longwave radiation anomaly fields and wind vector anomaly fields.

Hwang, P. H.↗

Large-scale short-period sea ice atmosphere interaction

Changes in the microwave brightness temperature measured by the Electrically Scanning Microwave Radiometer (ESMR) flown on board the Nimbus V satellite reveal large-scale sea ice fluctuations in the Antarctic marginal ice zone. These ice margin fluctuations arre predominantly wave numbers 1-4, with phase speeds of about 3 m/s independent of wave number. The spatial pattern and eastward advection of the sea ice anomalies match those of the atmospheric sea level pressure, and are consistent with sea ice displacement due to surface wind stress. Examination of the outgoing longwave radiation indicates that suppression of high clouds in regions of increased sea ice inc reases the radiative cooling which contributes to maintaining the ice. Data from three winter seasons indicate about a one-third probability of occurence of this large scale high frequency sea ice atmosphere interaction during any given 2-week period in winter.

Cahalan, Robert F.↗

Tropical and extratropical forcing of the large-scale circulation - A diagnostic study

Seasonal anomalies in the large-scale circulation are studied in relation to seasonal-mean tropical forcing and extratropical transient-eddy forcing using nine years of tropical-wind and outgoing-longwave-radiation (OLR) data. Results show that in the interannual time scale, extreme swings in anomalous convection over the maritime continent of Indonesia/Borneo and the equatorial central Pacific are linked, respectively, by an east-west seesaw or a dipole pattern, identified with major fluctuations of the Pacific Walker circulation. It is found that extratropical circulation anomalies are related to the fluctuation of this dipole heat source. The overall extratropical circulation seems to be more responsive to the dipole heating with enhanced convection over the maritime continent. While the characteristics of the transient eddies, especially near the exit region of the East Asia jet stream, change substantially between maximum or minimum convection episodes, these transient eddies (defined as transients from the seasonal mean) appear to be unimportant in forcing the seasonal mean circulation anomalies.

Lau, K. M.↗

Seasonal and intraseasonal climatology of summer monsoon rainfall over East Asia

This paper presents a documentation of the seasonal and intraseasonal rainfall climatology of summer monsoon rainfall over East Asia, using monthly and 10-d precipitation data from East Asian stations. These data are then related to satellite measurements of longwave radiation and large-scale circulation field. Major rainfall regimes and multiple monsoon onsets are identified, indicating that, in general, monsoon rainfall over East Asia evolves with wavelike progression from north to south from April to September. Abrupt changes in the major rainbands are related to the phase-locking between intraseasonal oscillations found in this study, such as the 40-d and 20-d rainfall fluctuations, and the seasonal monsoon cycle.

Lau, K.-M.↗

Intraseasonal and interannual variations of tropical convection - A possible link between the 40-50 day oscillation and ENSO?

Twelve-years of NOAA data on outgoing longwave radiation (OLR) are used to trace intraseasonal variations of tropical convection by examining the spatial patterns of OLR variance in the 1-5 day, 20-70 day, and longer-than-180 day bands separately for the northern summer and winter. Based on these patterns, the relative importance of these bands are evaluated and the natural variability of the climate signal and the geographical distribution of potential predictability is assessed. The results of empirical orthogonal functional analyses show that multiple time scales exist in the most dominant patterns of tropical convection variation. These time scales can be identified with those of the 40-50-day oscillation, the El Nino/Southern Oscillation, and the annual cycle. Interpretation of the results in terms of possible interaction between these various time scales is presented.

Lau, Ka-Ming↗

Use of satellite radiometric imagery data for improvement in the analysis of divergent wind in the tropics

A scheme is proposed to incorporate satellite radiometric imagery data into the specification of initial conditions for the National Meteorological Center (NMC) operational global prediction model in order to improve the analysis of the divergent wind field in the tropics. The basic assumptions are that outgoing longwave radiation (OLR) data can provide 1) the division between convective (upward motion) and clear sky (downward motion) areas, and 2) the height of convection cells. The intensity of ascending motion in the convective areas is estimated based on OLR data. The intensity of descending motion is evaluated from the thermodynamic energy balance between radiative cooling and adiabatic warming, since the local time change of temperature is small in the tropics. Once the vertical motion field is determined, the horizontal divergence field can be calculated from the mass continuity equation. Then a divergent wind field is determined. The total wind is the sum of the new divergent wind and the rotational part, which is assumed to be unchanged. The proposed scheme is tested using the NMC analysis dataset of 21 January 1985 with satisfactory results.

Kasahara, Akira↗

Precipitable water derived from Nimbus-7 SMMR measurements and its comparison to FGGE III-B data during January 10-February 13, 1979

An effort is presently made to employ Nimbus-7 Scanning Multichannel Microwave Radiometer measurements to estimate the total precipitable water in the atmosphere over the tropical oceans. It is found that these passive microwave measurements, in conjunction with appropriately realistic algorithms, can furnish a data base of global total precipitable water that can serve as an adequate indicator of convection. The long-term variations of outgoing longwave radiation in the tropics demonstrate a close relationship between tropical convections and 40-50 day oscillations. The vertical profile of water vapor may be determined by combining both IR and microwave measurements.

Huang, Huo-Jin↗

Principal modes of intraseasonal variations in atmospheric angular momentum and tropical convection

Five-day National Meteorological Center wind and outgoing longwave radiation (OLR) data are used here to study the seasonal, intraseasonal variation of angular momentum and its relationship with tropical convection. It is found that the zonally averaged u component and the zonally averaged OLR show pronounced periodicities around 30-60 days. The globally averaged zonal wind at 250 mbar exhibits strong seasonal variation in connection with the expansion and contraction of the easterly and westerly belt. At upper levels this is manifested as the poleward and equatorward migration of the subtropical jet streams. Results show that the 30- to 60-day oscillation in 250 mbar zonal mean wind and OLR can be represented by three basic meridional structures: tropical modes, tropical-subtropical modes, and extratropical modes.

Lau, K.-M.↗

Active modes of the Pacific ITCZ

ITCZ intensity across the Pacific for the 1975-1976 season is studied. Analysis of the data reveal: zonal bands of convective development; isolated patches of stronger convection; and several zonal bands which merge as tropical intraseasonal oscillations. The ITCZ intensity at 160 deg W is compared with the intensity averaged all the way across the Pacific. Composite outgoing longwave radiation anomaly maps for 22 days of local active ITCZ at 160 deg W, 26 days of zonally averaged active ITCZ, and 16 days of both local and zonal active ITCZ are presented and examined. It is noted that: systematic, yet different, patterns, movement, and temporal behavior correspond to local and zonally extensive convection; intensifying zonal convection moves southward; local convection occurs at two preferential latitudes; and local convection does not mean there is a generally active ITCZ.

Hayes, P. M.↗

Analysis of cirrus optical properties with data from NASA ER2 High-resolution Interferometer Sounder (HIS)

The 8 to 13 micron spectral region is an important atmospheric window for radiometric studies of the Earth's surface and clouds. Most of the Earth-atmosphere longwave radiative loss to space occurs in this spectral region. Selective gaseous absorption in this window occurs in the 9.6 micron ozone band with the remaining absorption dominated by the water vapor continuum. Cirrus clouds have a large impact on the transmittance of this atmospheric window region; it is therefore important to understand the interaction of cirrus cloud with the radiation field for climate studies and in the interpretation of satellite radiometric measurements. The focus was to employ observations of the High-resolution Interferometer Sounder (HIS) made during First ISCCP Regional Experiment (FIRE) to improve the understanding of the radiative properties of cirrus clouds within this window region. Studies were undertaken to investigate the coupling between the microphysical properties of cirrus clouds and their spectral variation within this window region. Extensions of the HIS studies to satellite measurements, with regards to remote sensing and interpretation, were also investigated.

Smith, William L.↗

Clouds, precipitation, and the global heat and moisture budgets during SOP-1, FGGE

Two sets of precipitation estimates are derived using the budget method equations: one is based on the apparent heat source or Q1-budget technique, the other is based on the apparent moisture sink or Q2-budget technique. Both techniques and application results are presented for the period of January 10 to February 13, 1979 which was part of SOP-1, FGGE. Maps of time-averaged outgoing longwave radiation (OLR) are shown for two periods running from January 10 to January 24, 1979 and from January 26 to February 7, 1979. The present study of estimating precipitation was initiated because of agreement between OLR and circulation patterns, and the noted regional differences and similarities in deep convections between these two periods.

Pedigo, Catherine B.↗

Suggestions for the measurement and derivation of fluxes and flux divergences from a satellite

Consideration is given to the determination of the optimal bands for measuring and deriving the total outgoing longwave radiation (OLR), surface downward flux (SDF), and cooling rates (CRs) using linear regression. The optimal bands are determined from scatter plots of total fluxes and cooling rates associated with the various bands. It is found that the best band for OLR is between 800 and 1200/cm, while the best band for SDF is between 500 and 660/cm or between 660 and 800/cm. For CRs, it is shown that the best band is also between 660 and 800/cm. It is noted that the AVHRR OLR is damped compared with the Nimbus-7 earth radiation budget (ERB) OLR derived from the broadband, narrow FOV ERB instrument.

Wu, Man-Li C.↗

Global-scale, intraseasonal fluctuations of diabatic forcing of the atmosphere

Fields of diabatic heating rate estimates (H) for 5-day periods were calculated from the European Center for Medium Weather Forecasts (ECMWF) analyses since 1985 as the residual of the dry thermodynamic equation. Included in these fields are the horizontal and vertical divergences of heat for both mean and eddy statistics. Previous work dealt with 4-day periods, however, with the emphasis in the Global Precipitation Climatology Project (GPCP) for 5-day period totals the change was made to accommodate the GPCP product. H has long been associated with cold tropical cloud-top temperatures as measured by polar orbiting outgoing longwave radiation (OLR) sensors. Correlations between H and OLR fields on three time scales indicate a moderate amount of agreement. For periods less than 90 days, significant negative correlations are found between H and OLR for (1) tropical and NH midlatitude oceanic areas, and (2) for zonal and hemispheric mean values. Positive correlations are seen in NH mean and continental areas of N. Africa, N. America, N. Asia and Antarctica. These latter results reflect seasonal heating and cooling. Comparisons have been made between H as H as calculated from the ECMWF analyses and output from the CCM1 T42 simulations. The CCM1 tends to have a more cellular structure with more heating (precipitation) over land versus that observed (ECMWF) over oceans.

Christy, John R.↗

Analysis of energy balance models using the ERBE data set

A review of Energy Balance Models is presented. Results from the Outgoing Longwave Radiation parameterization are discussed. The albedo parameterizations and the consequences of the new parameterizations are examined.

Graves, Charles E.↗

Evolution of tropical plumes in VAS water vapor imagery

Synoptic scale tropical plumes are analyzed using satellite data and outgoing longwave radiation data. The evolution of plumes is described and their precursor signals are examined. The horizontal moisture patterns of the plumes are compared with nonplume climatology, and the predictability of plumes based solely on satellite imagery is assessed. The results show that a plume evolves as a stationary, tropical, dry or moist dipole, separated by an exceptionally strong cloud or moisture gradient. Tropical plume evolution is accompanied by a systematic drying of the tropical eastern Pacific atmosphere before development, and moistening and increased cloudiness with development.

Mcguirk, James P.↗

Intraseasonal oscillation of convective activity in the tropical Southern Hemisphere - May 1984-April 1986

This paper studies the intraseasonal oscillation of convection and related variables in the Southern Hemisphere tropics utilizing European Centre for Medium-range Weather Forecasts analyses of 1984 to 1986. One aspect of the research was that the original, unfiltered, time series of various variables was first analyzed to determine if a statistically significant signal occurred on the intraseasonal time scale. The analysis showed that two variables, outgoing longwave radiation and velocity potential at 200 hPa, provided the best evidence of an intraseasonal oscillation. The oscillation propagated eastward, and the convective activity for both years was more intense over the Indian Ocean-Indonesia-western Pacific region than elsewhere.

Vincent, Dayton G.↗