SEARCH · Search NASA

Results for “model determination”

Search indexed NASA NTRS and DOE OSTI research on propulsion, heat transfer, battery materials and energy systems. Follow report and document links to the original sources.

SourceResearch connectionFrom yearThrough year

Quote a phrase for an exact phrase match. Source license links do not imply unrestricted reuse.

At least 397 records · Page 22

All sources NASA NTRS DOE OSTI

DOE OSTI2022

An additively-manufactured molten salt-to-supercritical carbon di-oxide primary heat exchanger for solar thermal power generation – Design and techno-economic performance

The design and techno-economic performance of a compact additively manufactured (AM) molten salt (MS)-to-supercritical carbon di-oxide (sCO2) primary heat exchanger (PHE) for solar thermal application is described. The PHE design consists of sCO2 flow through an array of microscale pin fins while the MS flows through mm-scale rectangular channels. Constraints imposed by AM using laser powder bed fusion method are considered in the design. Structural and fluid flow simulations are performed to arrive at a viable design of the core and headers. A simplified one-dimensional steady state model for the PHE is developed including the impact of surface roughness from the AM process. A process-based cost model is used to determine the tradeoff between thermofluidic design and manufacturing cost. A parametric study is performed using the thermo-fluidic and cost models to determine the set of geometrical and flow variables that result in high power density and low cost, while restricting the pressure drop on the sCO2 side to less than 2% of line pressure. Flow rates of MS and sCO2 were varied over heat capacity rate ratios ranging from 0.2 to 1. Results indicate that it is possible to design a low-pressure drop AM PHE with an effectiveness of 90% and a power density in excess of 10 MW/m3 (including headers). Fabrication of representative nickel superalloy specimens are shown to demonstrate that low-porosity parts with the requisite dimensional tolerance of PHE core can be generated.

14 SOLAR ENERGY↗

DOE OSTI2020

Phase field modeling of discontinuous dynamic recrystallization in hot deformation of magnesium alloys

We have developed a quantitative phase field model of discontinuous dynamic recrystallization (PF-DDRX) for investigating grain structure evolution and its impact on mechanical response in magnesium alloy during hot deformation. A set of isothermal compression tests were conducted by Gleeble thermo-mechanical simulator and used to determine PF-DDRX model parameters such as critical stresses of recrystallization, activation energies of dislocation, grain boundaries and recrystallization grain nucleation. In the simulations, the experimentally measured average grain size and distribution were used to generate initial microstructures. The results show that the typical ‘necklace’ microstructures observed in DDRX forms at the earlier stage of recrystallization. The inhomogeneity of microstructures first increases rapidly and then decreases gradually and reaches a constant with the increase of dynamic recrystallization volume fraction. Both predicted grain structure and mechanical response are in good agreement with experimental results. This demonstrates that the model parameters determined by experimental data are reliable for the developed PF-DDRX model to predict the grain structure evolution and flow behavior of AZ80 magnesium alloy under hot deformation. This work presents a path to combine experiments and modeling to give quantitative prediction and minimize experimental cost.

magnesium alloy, Phase field method, dynamic recry↗

DOE OSTI2020

Role of fast-ion transport manipulating safety factor profile in KSTAR early diverting discharges

Magnetohydrodynamics (MHD) activity is analyzed for a particular KSTAR discharge category, the main features of which are a high-$q_\mathrm{min}$ and a broad q profile. An interesting finding in this scenario is that a steady-state high-$q_\mathrm{min}$ and broad q profile has been constructed even without a strong off-axis current drive scheme. Time traces of magnetics spectrograms and electron cyclotron emission imaging (ECEI) clearly show that Alfvénic type MHD activity appears as a high-$q_\mathrm{min}$ and broad q profile is formed. Conversely, this activity disappears as the current profiles evolve toward a low-$q_\mathrm{min}$ profile. In this study, the effect of MHD modes and accompanying fast-particle transport on the formation of various current profiles is explored. The frequency patterns of the magnetics spectrograms and ECEI coherence are compared using a NOVA analysis to determine which series of Alfvénic modes are active. Then, the kick-model is applied to potential modes, and used to estimate how much fast-ions are transported and beam driven current profiles are varied. Here, by comparing the reconstructed total current profile from the kinetic EFIT with the beam-driven current profile estimated from the kick model, it is determined how energetic particle transport is responsible for maintaining the safety factor profile and which q profile can provide high β N operation.

70 PLASMA PHYSICS AND FUSION TECHNOLOGY↗

DOE OSTI2020

An interlaboratory collaboration to determine consensus 231 Pa/ 235 U model ages of a uranium certified reference material for nuclear forensics

Application of the 231 Pa/ 235 U radiochronometer for nuclear forensic investigations is challenged by a lack of certified reference materials with 231 Pa/ 235 U model purification dates. The Japan Atomic Energy Agency, Los Alamos National Laboratory, and Lawrence Livermore National Laboratory completed an interlaboratory study measuring 231 Pa/ 235 U model ages of New Brunswick Laboratory CRM U100. Results from independent laboratories were combined to calculate a consensus 231 Pa/ 235 U model purification date for CRM U100 of March 26, 1959 ± 237 days. This 231 Pa/ 235 U consensus date for CRM U100 may be used by the nuclear forensic community for quality control of 231 Pa/ 235 U radiochronometry measurements of unknown materials.

38 RADIATION CHEMISTRY, RADIOCHEMISTRY, AND NUCLEA↗

DOE OSTI2021

Scalar mixing in a Kelvin-Helmholtz shear layer and implications for Reynolds-averaged Navier-Stokes modeling of mixing layers

Large-eddy simulation of a temporally evolving Kelvin-Helmholtz (KH) mixing layer is performed with the tenth-order compact difference code miranda to examine the steady-state behavior of a passive scalar in a shear-driven mixing layer. It is shown that the integral behavior of scalar variance in a KH mixing layer behaves similarly to the integral behavior of scalar variance in a Rayleigh-Taylor (RT) mixing layer, and mixedness of the simulated KH shear layer tends towards a value of about 0.8. It is further shown that if the k-L-a-V Reynolds-averaged Navier-Stokes (RANS) model [B. E. Morgan et al., Phys. Rev. E 98, 033111 (2018)], calibrated to reproduce steady-state mixing in an RT layer, is applied to simulate a KH mixing layer, the RANS model will significantly overpredict the magnitude of scalar variance in the KH layer. A straightforward addition to the k-L-a-V model is then suggested, and self-similarity analysis is applied to determine constraints on model coefficients. Furthermore, it is shown that with the addition of a buoyancy production term in the model equation for scalar variance, it becomes possible to eliminate the model deficiency and match steady-state mixedness in simulations of both RT and KH mixing layers with a single model calibration.

71 CLASSICAL AND QUANTUM MECHANICS, GENERAL PHYSIC↗

DOE OSTI2020

Sensitivity of Thermal Predictions to Uncertain Surface Tension Data in Laser Additive Manufacturing

To understand the process-microstructure relationships in additive manufacturing (AM), it is necessary to predict the solidification characteristics in the melt pool. This study investigates the influence of Marangoni driven fluid flow on the predicted melt pool geometry and solidification conditions using a continuum finite volume model. A calibrated laser absorptivity was determined by comparing the model predictions (neglecting fluid flow) against melt pool dimensions obtained from single laser melt experiments on a nickel super alloy 625 (IN625) plate. Using this calibrated efficiency, predicted melt pool geometries agree well with experiments across a range of process conditions. When fluid mechanics is considered, a surface tension gradient recommended for IN625 tends to overpredict the influence of convective heat transfer, but the use of an intermediate value reported from experimental measurements of a similar nickel super alloy produces excellent experimental agreement. Despite its significant effect on the melt pool geometry predictions, fluid flow was found to have a small effect on the predicted solidification conditions compared to processing conditions. We find that this result suggests that under certain circumstances, a model only considering conductive heat transfer is sufficient for approximating process-microstructure relationships in laser AM. Extending the model to multiple laser passes further showed that fluid flow also has a small effect on the solidification conditions compared to the transient variations in the process. Furthermore, limitations of the current model and areas of improvement, including uncertainties associated with the phenomenological model inputs are discussed.

36 MATERIALS SCIENCE↗

DOE OSTI2023

Robust Statistical Approach for Determination of Graphite Nitridation Using Bayesian Model Comparison

A better estimation of surface reaction efficiency of semiconductor-grade graphite with atomic nitrogen, as well as the calibration error are calculated using Bayesian updating based on experimental data. Compared with a conventional deterministic model, the stochastic model approach is a powerful tool in the sense that the model is capable of taking into account underlying error correlations among the data quantities. In this paper, we investigate four different stochastic models (called “stochastic system model classes” herein) corresponding to different descriptions of modeling and measurement error structures, given one deterministic physical model. These stochastic system model classes differ in the covariance matrix structure that is used in the uncertainty model to represent uncertainties associated with the physical model and experimental measurements. For each model class, Bayesian inference is used to estimate the posterior probabilities of the physical model parameters as well as of the stochastic model parameters. Model comparison and selection are then applied based on two measures including Bayesian evidence and Bayesian information criterion, as well as the deviance information criterion. Both measures suggest the stochastic model class, which considers that a correlation between errors in two data quantities among different data points is the most plausible. With the stochastic model class, the range of uncertainty in surface reaction efficiency is estimated to be about two orders of magnitude at [Formula: see text].

Engineering↗

DOE OSTI2023

RCSB Protein Data Bank: visualizing groups of experimentally determined PDB structures alongside computed structure models of proteins

Recent advances in Artificial Intelligence and Machine Learning (e.g., AlphaFold, RosettaFold, and ESMFold) enable prediction of three-dimensional (3D) protein structures from amino acid sequences alone at accuracies comparable to lower-resolution experimental methods. These tools have been employed to predict structures across entire proteomes and the results of large-scale metagenomic sequence studies, yielding an exponential increase in available biomolecular 3D structural information. Given the enormous volume of this newly computed biostructure data, there is an urgent need for robust tools to manage, search, cluster, and visualize large collections of structures. Equally important is the capability to efficiently summarize and visualize metadata, biological/biochemical annotations, and structural features, particularly when working with vast numbers of protein structures of both experimental origin from the Protein Data Bank (PDB) and computationally-predicted models. Moreover, researchers require advanced visualization techniques that support interactive exploration of multiple sequences and structural alignments. This paper introduces a suite of tools provided on the RCSB PDB research-focused web portal RCSB. org, tailor-made for efficient management, search, organization, and visualization of this burgeoning corpus of 3D macromolecular structure data.

3D visualization↗

DOE OSTI2021

Dynamic Characterization and Performance Evaluation of a 10-kw Power Take-Off with Mechanical Motion Rectifier for Wave Energy Conversion

The power take-off (PTO) is a key component for wave energy converters (WECs). The dynamic properties of the PTO influence the response of the WEC and should be considered when designing the WEC and not oversimplified. In addition, the efficiency as well as the reliability can play an important role on whether the PTO can be suitable for real-world applications. In this paper, a novel compact PTO rated at 10 kW is designed and prototyped, and a comprehensive nonlinear dynamic model is established for the PTO. Through bench testing, the unknown parameters of the dynamic model are characterized and determined. Further verification shows that the model can predict the dynamic performance of the PTO well. In addition, the test results show that the mechanical motion rectifier PTO can achieve good energy transfer efficiency, especially for low-load and low-speed conditions.

bench test↗

DOE OSTI2022

Uncertainty Quantification of Calculated Temperatures for the AGR 5/6/7 Experiment

This report documents the quantification of uncertainty of the calculated temperature data for the Advanced Gas Reactor (AGR) 5/6/7 fuel irradiation experiment conducted in the Advanced Test Reactor at Idaho National Laboratory in support of the Advanced Reactor Technologies? research and development program. Recognizing uncertainties inherent in physics and thermal simulations of the AGR 5/6/7 capsules, the results of the numerical simulations are used in combination with statistical analysis methods to improve qualification of measured data. The calculated fuel temperatures for AGR tests are also used for validation of the fission product transport and fuel performance simulation models. These crucial roles of the calculated fuel temperatures in ensuring achievement of the AGR experimental program objectives require accurate determination of the model temperature uncertainties. This report covers temperature uncertainty results for each of the five AGR 5/6/7 capsules. To quantify the uncertainty of calculated temperatures determined using the ABAQUS finite element heat transfer code, this study identifies and analyzes model parameters of potential importance to the calculated temperatures of fuel compacts and thermocouples. The selection of input parameters for uncertainty quantification is based on the ranking of their influences upon temperature predictions. Thus, selected input parameters include those with high sensitivity and those with the largest uncertainty. Propagation of model parameter uncertainty and sensitivity is then used to quantify the overall uncertainty of calculated temperatures. Measurement uncertainty, analysis of modeling assumptions, and expert judgment are used as the basis to quantify the uncertainty range for selected input parameters. The input uncertainties are dynamic, accounting for the effect of unplanned events and changes in thermal properties of capsule components over extended exposure to high temperatures and fast neutron irradiation. The sensitivity analysis performed in this work went beyond the traditional local sensitivity. Using experimental design, analysis of pairwise interactions of model parameters was performed to establish sufficiency of the time dependent first order (linear) expansion terms in constructing the temperature response surface. To achieve completeness, uncertainty propagation made use of pairwise noise correlations of model parameters. Furthermore, using an interpolation scheme over the input parameter domain, the analysis obtains time dependent sensitivity over the test campaign duration. This allows computation of uncertainty for the calculated fuel temperatures and the calculated graphite temperatures at thermocouple locations during the entire irradiation period.

11 NUCLEAR FUEL CYCLE AND FUEL MATERIALS↗

DOE OSTI2022

System and method for assessing spectroscopic sensor accuracy

A method for assessing spectroscopic sensor accuracy, includes building an a priori simulation of generalized etalon drift. A spectroscopic sensor is tested to determine use parameters. A specific drift model is generated by applying the determined use parameters to the built a priori simulation of generalized etalon drift. The specific drift model is analyzed to determine whether the spectroscopic sensor is satisfactory.

Green, William J.↗

DOE OSTI2024

Non-uniform active learning for Gaussian process models with applications to trajectory informed aerodynamic databases

The ability to non-uniformly weight the input space is desirable for many applications, and has been explored for space-filling approaches. Increased interests in linking models, such as in a digital twinning framework, increases the need for sampling emulators where they are most likely to be evaluated. In particular, here we apply non-uniform sampling methods for the construction of aerodynamic databases. This paper combines non-uniform weighting with active learning for Gaussian Processes (GPs) to develop a closed-form solution to a non-uniform active learning criterion. We accomplish this by utilizing a kernel density estimator as the weight function. We demonstrate the need and efficacy of this approach with an atmospheric entry example that accounts for both model uncertainty as well as the practical state space of the vehicle, as determined by forward modeling within the active learning loop.

42 ENGINEERING↗

DOE OSTI2020

Multizone Residential HVAC Modeling

This report will evaluate several building physics modeling tools to determine which are best suited for developing next-generation zoning technology. These modeling tools will be evaluated for their ability to predict room-level thermal loads, HVAC system operation, temperature and comfort predictions, and scalability. Any gaps in the existing tools will be identified and a path forward will be discussed.

32 ENERGY CONSERVATION, CONSUMPTION, AND UTILIZATI↗

DOE OSTI2019

A Guideline for the Assessment of Uniaxial Creep and Creep-Fatigue Data and Models

Of primary concern to FE practitioners is a determination of which constitutive models are the “best”, capable of reproducing the mechanisms expected in an intended design accurately; as well as what experimental datasets are proper or “best” to use for fitting the constitutive parameters needed for the model(s) of interest. In addition, the inherent uncertainty in experiments and the repeatability and stability of extrapolations (for long-lived FE components) is a major concern. The goal of this project is to develop a guideline for the assessment of uniaxial creep and creep-fatigue data and models. The research objectives are RO1) develop an aggregated database of creep and creep-fatigue data for P91 steel and 316 stainless steel and perform a systematic assessment of the uncertainty and integrity of the datasets. RO2) employ the database to benchmark existing creep and creep-fatigue models to evaluate the model’s ability to predict standard and nonstandard boundary conditions.

20 FOSSIL-FUELED POWER PLANTS↗

DOE OSTI2022

Methods for Computing Physically Realistic Estimates of Electric Water Heater Demand Response Resource Suitable for Bulk Power System Planning Models

Demand response is commonly called on to reduce load during system peak times or to respond to contingency events. In future power systems with higher shares of wind and solar generation (which we describe together as variable generation [VG]), demand response could have more opportunities to provide energy shifting or operating reserve services. This report evaluates the ability of residential electric water heaters, both electric resistance water heaters (ERWHs) and heat pump water heaters (HPWHs), to provide such services starting from detailed whole-building energy models that realistically represent New England single family home stock. We use a parsimonious surrogate model to represent operational flexibility in a form suitable for linear and mixed integer programming. This enables relatively fast determination of aggregate contingency reserve resource, price-taking energy shifting outcomes, and in some cases the determination of aggregate models at the megawatt (MW) scale that can be directly included in large-scale grid models. After selecting modeling methods and parameters through various computational experiments, we find interquartile ranges of contingency reserve resource in ISO-NE for about 603,400 ERWHs of 45 MW - 69 MW for Claim10 (50 minute responses provided with 10 minutes of advanced notification) and 65 MW - 102 MW for Claim30 (30 minute responses provided with 30 minutes of advanced notification), and for about 619,000 HPWHs of 48 MW - 88 MW for Claim10 and 52 MW - 90 MW for Claim30. The overall reserve resource is up to 32% of total load for ERWHs providing Claim10 service, 47% for ERWHs providing Claim30 service, 93% for HPWHs providing Claim10 service, and 97% for HPWHs providing Claim30 service. More work is required to determine if HPWHs are inherently more suitable than ERWHs for providing contingency reserve or if these results reflect idiosyncrasies of the single family home stock model used in this study. The value of this contingency resource in a Near-term VG model of ISO-NE is $\$ 0.40$ to $\$1.20$ per water heater-year, and significantly larger, $\$ 3.80$ to $\$ 5.30$ per water heater-year in a Mid-term VG model of ISONE. Aggregating surrogate models to the MW-scale for energy shifting service is more challenging than for contingency service and we only present such results for ERWHs, because we were unable to determine satisfactory ways to deal with HPWHs' time-varying and path dependent operational characteristics. Individual surrogate models suitable for evaluating the energy shifting resource from both ERWHs and HPWHs are created, however, and dispatched against day-ahead prices from the Near-Term VG and Mid-Term VG models of ISO-NE. The individual surrogate models are able to access and potentially shift all 640 GWh of HPWH load and 1,547 GWh of ERWH load we modeled in two different single family home stock models. In contrast, the most effective model of aggregate ERWH shifting resource we created only captured 34.7% of the total ERWH load. Energy shifting affected by price-taking dispatch against modeled day-ahead energy prices produces per water heater year profits of $\$19.44$ - $\$22.93$ for individual HPWHs, $\$39.11$ - $\$40.54$ for individual ERWHs, and up to $\$4.00$ - $\$4.24$ for aggregated ERWHs, with the variations mainly due to grid conditions (more or less VG). When the supply-side response to these changes is accounted for, the per water heater year production cost savings for ISO-NE are $\$7.50$ to $\$17.70$ for the most effective set of endogenously dispatched aggregate ERWHs, $\$15.60$ to $\$15.70$ for individual ERWHs dispatched against the DA prices, and $\$10.70$ to $\$11.20$ for individual HPWHs dispatched against DA prices. Those ranges primarily represent the difference between Near-Term VG and Mid-Term VG grid conditions.

32 ENERGY CONSERVATION, CONSUMPTION, AND UTILIZATI↗

DOE OSTI2025

Analysis of Radiological Release From Fueled Irradiation Experiments During Manual Handling (Slides)

Irradiation experiments are manually handled at the Advanced Test Reactor (ATR) by qualified operators using long handled tools. Standard handling evolutions include insertion and removal from the reactor vessel, transfer to/from a storage location or cask in the ATR canal, and handling/reconfigurations at a canal working tray. Such routine handling has the potential to result in mechanical damage to the experiment boundary which is credited to retain fission products. Since damage can occur due to operator error, this is an anticipated occurrence. This work determines the radiological consequences to receptors inside the ATR facility, as well as public receptors. Given the wide variety of fuel types tested at the ATR, a generic approach to the analysis is taken. The radiological inventory is determined to bound a variety of fuel types (e.g., ceramic and molten fuel matrices) and fission powers on the U-235 enrichment spectrum. The source term analysis considers different release fractions to bound different fuel types and burnups. The postulated handling events occur underwater; thus, retention of the released isotopic content is considered within the canal water column. Retention of radionuclides in the water column is determined using a modified approach of United States (US) Nuclear Regulatory Commission (NRC) Regulatory Guide (RG) 1.183. Radiological dose to the facility receptor is determined using a compartment release model. Dose to the public receptor is determined using atmospheric dispersion models using site specific atmospheric conditions with the use of the Radiological Safety Analysis Computer (RSAC) program version 7.2.

21 - SPECIFIC NUCLEAR REACTORS AND ASSOCIATED PLAN↗

DOE OSTI2022

Constraint-dependent CTOA determination for stable ductile crack growth

The crack tip opening angle (CTOA) has been used as a reliable fracture toughness to characterize stable crack growth for thin-wall structures in low-constraint conditions. Recently, it is found that CTOA can also be utilized as a robust fracture parameter to describe the arrest fracture toughness for gas transmission pipelines in ductile steels. For better understanding the concept of CTOA, this paper presents a brief review on the CTOA definitions and its test methods. And then, four CTOA models are developed for determining the CTOA toughness using conventional single edge notched bend (SENB) specimens, including the load–displacement linear fit model, the logarithmic load–displacement linear fit model, the stable tearing energy model, and the J-differentiation model. Here fracture test data from SENB specimens in A285 carbon steel are employed to evaluate the proposed CTOA models. The results show that these CTOA models can determine either identical or comparable critical CTOA values for stable ductile crack growth using the SENB specimens. A constraint-corrected CTOA resistance curve and a constraint-corrected critical CTOA equation are also obtained for A285 carbon steel.

42 ENGINEERING↗

DOE OSTI2023

Systems and methods for global cyber-attack or fault detection model

An industrial asset may have monitoring nodes that generate current monitoring node values representing a current operation of the industrial asset. An abnormality detection computer may detect when a monitoring node is currently being attacked or experiencing a fault based on a current feature vector, calculated in accordance with current monitoring node values, and a detection model that includes a decision boundary. A model updater (e.g., a continuous learning model updater) may determine an update time-frame (e.g., short-term, mid-term, long-term, etc.) associated with the system based on trigger occurrence detection (e.g., associated with a time-based trigger, a performance-based trigger, an event-based trigger, etc.). The model updater may then update the detection model in accordance with the determined update time-frame (and, in some embodiments, continuous learning).

Xu, Rui↗