Plasma Signatures of Small Orbital Debris: LANL Theory and Modeling / Experimental effort Jan 13th, 2026
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70 PLASMA PHYSICS AND FUSION TECHNOLOGY↗
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Plasma Signatures of Small Orbital Debris: LANL Theory and Modeling / Experimental effort.
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Heliospheric and Magnetospheric Physics↗
Plasma Signatures of Small Orbital Debris: LANL Theory and Modeling / Experimental effort.
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Heliospheric and Magnetospheric Physics↗
Sources of orbital debris and the projected environment for future spacecraft
The major source of the nearly 5000 objects currently observed orbiting the earth is from rocket explosions. These explosions have almost certainly produced an even larger unobserved population. If the current trend continues, collisions between orbiting fragments and other space objects could be frequent. By the year 2000 satellite fragmentation by hypervelocity collisions could become the major source of earth orbiting objects, resulting in a self propagating debris belt. The flux within this belt could exceed the meteoroid flux, affecting future spacecraft design.
Kessler, D. J.↗
Spacecraft Orbital Debris Reentry: Aerothermal Analysis
In the past 40 years, thousands of objects have been placed in Earth orbit and are being tracked. Space hardware reentry survivability must be evaluated to assess risks to human life and property on the ground. The objective of this paper is to present results of a study to determine altitude of demise (burn-up) or survivability of reentering objects. Two NASA/JSC computer codes - Object Reentry Survival Analysis Tool (ORSAT) and Miniature ORSAT (MORSAT) were used to determine trajectories, aerodynamic aerothermal environment, and thermal response of selected spacecraft components. The methodology of the two codes is presented, along with results of a parametric study of reentering objects modeled as spheres and cylinders. Parameters varied included mass, diameter, wall thickness, ballistic coefficient, length, type of material, and mode of tumbling/spinning. Two fragments of a spent Delta second stage undergoing orbital decay, stainless steel cylindrical propellant tank and titanium pressurization sphere, were evaluated with ORSAT and found to survive entry, as did the actual objects. Also, orbital decay reentry predictions of the Japanese Advanced Earth Observing Satellite (ADEOS) aluminum and nickel box-type components and the Russian COSMOS 954 satellite beryllium cylinders were made with MORSAT. These objects were also shown to survive reentry.
Rochelle, Wm. C.↗
Cost estimates for removal of orbital debris
While there are currently no active measures for the removal of nonfunctional satellites or spent rocket stages from earth orbit, it has been deemed prudent to begin to identify and economically evaluate potential approaches for such orbital decluttering. The methods presently considered encompass retrieval with an OMV, forcible deorbiting via attached propulsive devices, and deorbiting via passive, drag-augmentation devices; the increases in payload-delivery costs they represent are respectively $15-20 million/object, $7.8 million/vehicle, and $5.5-15.5 million/unit. OMV removal appears the least economically feasible method.
Petro, Andrew↗
Assessing Terra Disposal Orbit Candidates from an Orbital Debris Perspective
The NASA Terra satellite is reaching the end of its mission life. Because the satellite resides in the 705 km Earth Science Constellation, disposal strategies need to be considered to remove it from this densely populated operational orbit. Of critical importance was the need to examine the future potential risk to other satellite residents of the 705 km constellation due to an unexpected breakup event of the Terra satellite post-disposal. This study quantifies the comparative risk of debris impacts associated with the two leading candidate disposal orbits (701 km vs. 686 km) and characterizes the suitability of each orbit for the purpose of long-term spacecraft disposal. The increase in collision risk to any member of the 705 km Earth Science Constellation is very modest. The long-term, average, total risk (including the ambient background risk) due to a Terra breakup at a disposal of -19 km (i.e., 686 km) relative to the 705 km constellation is 9.7 × 10(exp -6) impacts/day versus 1.0 × 10(exp -5) impacts/day for a disposal of only -4 km (i.e., 701 km). For perspective, note that the nominal space background risk to the 705 km constellation is 9.2 × 10(exp -6) impacts/day which implies a very modest increase in risk (approximately 3% difference between the two cases) due to a Terra breakup in either disposal orbit.
Abraham, Andrew J.↗
NASA Orbital Debris Engineering Model ORDEM2008 (Beta Version)
This is an interim document intended to accompany the beta-release of the ORDEM2008 model. As such it provides the user with a guide for its use, a list of its capabilities, a brief summary of model development, and appendices included to educate the user as to typical runtimes for different orbit configurations. More detailed documentation will be delivered with the final product. ORDEM2008 supersedes NASA's previous model - ORDEM2000. The availability of new sensor and in situ data, the re-analysis of older data, and the development of new analytical techniques, has enabled the construction of this more comprehensive and sophisticated model. Integrated with the software is an upgraded graphical user interface (GUI), which uses project-oriented organization and provides the user with graphical representations of numerous output data products. These range from the conventional average debris size vs. flux magnitude for chosen analysis orbits, to the more complex color-contoured two-dimensional (2-D) directional flux diagrams in terms of local spacecraft pitch and yaw.
Stansbery, Eugene G.↗
Measurements of micron-scale meteoroids and orbital debris with the Space Dust (SPADUS) instrument on the upcoming ARGOS P91-1 mission
The space dust (SPADUS) experiment, to be launched into a sun-synchronous polar orbit at an altitude of 833 km onboard the USAF ARGOS P91-1 mission, will provide time-resolved measurements of the intensity, size spectrum and geocentric trajectories of dust particles encountered during the nominal three year mission. The experiment uses polyvinylidene fluoride dust sensors with a total detector area of 576 sq cm. The SPADUS will measure particle sizes between 2 and 200 microns, particle velocities between 1 and 10 km/s to better than 4 percent, and the direction of incidence with a mean error of 7 percent. These data will identify the particles as being debris or of natural origin.
McKibben, R. B.↗
Analytical model for orbital debris environmental management
A differential equation, also referred to as the PIB (particle-in-a-box) model, expressing the time rate of change of the number of objects in orbit, is developed, and its applicability is illustrated. The model can be used as a tool for the assessment of LEO environment stability, and as a starting point for the development of numerical evolutionary models. Within the context of the model, evolutionary scenarios are examined, and found to be sensitive to the growth rate. It is determined that the present environment is slightly unstable to catastrophic growth, and that the number of particles on orbit will continue to increase until approximately 2250-2350 AD, with a maximum of 2,000,000. The model is expandable to the more realistic (complex) case of multiple species in a multiple-tier system.
Talent, David L.↗
NASA/JSC orbital debris study: Debris model
The possibility of the creation of a debris belt around the Earth is discussed. A computer model which describes the near-Earth space environment created by the existing spacecraft and fragments from the associated spent launching vehicle attachments and explosions was developed. The present debris model adopts the mathematical formulations published in a paper by Kessler. Thus, the model uses more rigorous mathematical formulation in calculating the collision rate between two orbiting objects than the one published by Kessler and Cour-Palais (1978). The present model contains many general but detailed analyses on the debris environment such as manipulating and/or sorting the existing debris objects, the physical dimensions of the objects and extrapolating the number density describing to include the unobservable small objects.
Roberts, J. B.↗
Meteoroid and orbital debris record of the Long Duration Exposure Facility
The Long Duration Exposure Facility (LDEF) was recovered in January 1990 following 5.7 years exposure of approx. 130 square meters of surface area in low-Earth orbit (250-179 miles). Kennedy Space Center acquired data are currently being reduced to yield accurate impact crater depths and diameters. Presented here is a preliminary accounting of the impact record based on the approx. 15.4 square meter surface area of LDEF's 6061-T6 aluminum frame, which was exposed in 26 different directions.
Zolensky, Mike↗
Space debris: Orbital microparticulates impacting LDEF experiments favour a natural extraterrestrial origin
The results of work carried out at the Unit for Space Sciences at the University of Kent at Canterbury, United Kingdom, on the micrometeoroid and space debris environment of near Earth space are described. The primary data for the research program is supplied by an examination of several types of exposed surface from the NASA Long Duration Exposure Facility (LDEF), including an experiment dedicated to the detection of micrometeoroids and space debris provided by the University.
Mcdonnell, Tony↗
Toward Realistic Dynamics of Rotating Orbital Debris, and Implications for Lightcurve Interpretation
Optical observations of rotating space debris near GEO contain important information on size, shape, composition, and rotational states, but these aspects are difficult to extract due to data limitations and the high number of degrees of freedom in the modeling process. For tri-axial rigid debris objects created by satellite fragmentations, the most likely initial rotation state has a large component of initial angular velocity directed along the intermediate axis of inertia, leading to large angular reorientations of the body on the timescale of the rotation period. This lends some support to the simplest possible interpretation of light curves -- that they represent sets of random orientations of the objects of study. However, effects of internal friction and solar radiation are likely to cause significant modification of rotation states within a time as short as a few orbital periods. In order to examine the rotational dynamics of debris objects under the influences of these effects, a set of seven first-order coupled equations of motion were assembled in state form: three are Euler equations describing the rates of change of the components of angular velocity in the body frame, and four describe the rates of change of the components of the unit quaternion. Quaternions are a four-dimensional extension of complex numbers that form a seamless, singularity-free representation of body orientation on S3. The Euler equations contain explicit terms describing torque from solar radiation in terms of spherical harmonics, and terms representing effects of a prescribed rate of internal friction. Numerical integrations of these equations of motion are being performed, and results will be presented. Initial tests show that internal friction without solar radiation torque leads to rotation about the maximum principal axis of inertia, as required, and solar radiation torque is expected to lead to spin-up of objects. Because the axis of maximum rotational inertia tends to be roughly coincident with the normal to the largest projected cross-sectional area, internal friction is expected to lead to reduced variation of light curve amplitudes at a given phase angle, but a large dependence of the same on phase angle. At a given phase angle, databases are generated which contain reflected intensities for comprehensive sets of equally-likely orientations, represented as unit quaternions. When projected onto three dimensions (S2) and color-coded by intensity, the set is depicted as points within a solid, semi-transparent unit sphere, within which all possible reflected intensities for an object at a given phase angle may be inspected simultaneously. Rotational sequences are represented by trajectories through the sphere. Databases are generated for each of a set of phase angles separately, forming a comprehensive dataset of reflected intensities spanning all object orientations and solar phase angles. Symmetries in the problem suggest that preferred rotation states are likely, defined relative to the object-sun direction in inertial space and relative to the maximum principal axis of inertia in the body coordinate system. Such rotation states may greatly simplify the problem of light curve interpretation by reducing the number of degrees of freedom in the problem.
Ojakangas, Gregory W.↗
Analysis of IRAS data for orbital debris
The Infrared Astronomical Satellite (IRAS) was launched in 1983 for the purpose of surveying the sky in a broad area of the infrared portion of the spectrum. While the primary objects of interest of IRAS were stars and nebulae, other types of space-related objects could also be observed. These include comets, asteroids, and earth orbiting objects. Theoretical analysis indicates that IRAS could observe objects with a diameter of 1-mm at a range of 100-km and objects with a diameter of 1-cm at a range of 1000-km, while current ground-based observations of particles in low earth orbit are limited to objects larger than 1-cm. Thus, these data offer a unique opportunity to ascertain the number density of particles below the present observable limit. At NASA/JSC a preliminary analysis of an IRAS data set has been performed to detect and describe this population, and the results of this study are presented.
Anz-Meador, P. D.↗
Fastener Capture Plate Technology to Contain On-Orbit Debris
The Fastener Capture Plate technology was developed to solve the problem of capturing loose hardware and small fasteners, items that were not originally intended to be disengaged in microgravity, thus preventing them from becoming space debris. This technology was incorporated into astronaut tools designed and successfully used on NASA s Hubble Space Telescope Servicing Mission #4. The technology s ultimate benefit is that it allows a very time-efficient method for disengaging fasteners and removing hardware while minimizing the chances of losing parts or generating debris. The technology aims to simplify the manual labor required of the operator. It does so by optimizing visibility and access to the work site and minimizing the operator's need to be concerned with debris while performing the operations. It has a range of unique features that were developed to minimize task time, as well as maximize the ease and confidence of the astronaut operator. This paper describes the technology and the astronaut tools developed specifically for a complicated on-orbit repair, and it includes photographs of the hardware being used in outer space.
Eisenhower, Kevin↗
Survey and Chase: A New Method of Observations For The Michigan Orbital Debris Survey Telescope (MODEST)
For more than 40 years astronauts have been observing Earth, taking photographs or digital images from their spacecraft. Today, a robust program of observation from the International Space Station (ISS) has yielded hundreds of thousands of images of the Earth s surface collected since 2001. Seeing Earth through the eyes of an astronaut is exciting to the general public, and the images are popular in classrooms. Because the ISS has an orbital inclination of 51.6 degrees (the north-south limits of the orbit are at 51.6 degrees latitude), high latitude observations are common. Some of the most striking images collected include views of polar phenomena. Astronauts routinely pass above brilliant red and green aurora; view high, wispy clouds at the top of the atmosphere; or look down on glaciers and floating ice rafts. These images, framed and captured by humans, are easily interpreted by students and teachers. Astronaut observations provide a way to visualize complicated polar phenomena and communicate about them to students of all ages. Over the next two years, astronauts aboard the ISS will formally focus their observations on polar phenomena as participants in the International Polar Year (IPY). Imagery acquisition from the ISS will be coordinated with other IPY scientists staging studies and field campaigns on the ground. The imagery collected from the ISS will be cataloged and served on NASA s web-based database of images, http://eol.jsc.nasa.gov . The website allows investigators, students and teachers to search through the imagery, assemble image datasets, and download the imagery and the metadata. We display some of the most spectacular examples of polar imagery and demonstrate NASA s database of astronaut images of Earth.
Abercromby, Kira J.↗
NASA’s Orbital Debris Optical Program: ES-MCAT Nearing Full Operational Capability (FOC)
The NASA JAO/ES-MCAT (Eugene Stansbery Meter Class Autonomous Telescope) Facility is nearing Full Operational Capability, or FOC. ES-MCAT is now fully capable of autonomously running all observations, including: (a) monitoring weather and closing when conditions are not safe, as well as halting observations when conditions are not suitable (e.g. too cloudy) for operations, (b) start-up/shut-down nightly tasking, (c) collecting calibration data and survey or TLE-tracked data, and (d) processing all collected data, including on-chip photometry and astrometry calibrations using the GAIA star catalogue. The processed data are then further analyzed at NASA Johnson Space Center to correlate detections with known objects in the Space Surveillance Network (SSN) catalogue. MCAT can collect data of specific objects with known orbits or can search for objects with orbits similar to those of spacecraft or rocket bodies that have recently broken up. However, the primary goal for ES-MCAT is to survey the geosynchronous (GEO) belt to provide a statistical sample of the GEO debris environment for both engineering models for spacecraft designers and long-term environment evolutionary purposes. The approach for sweeping the sky to statistically survey GEO has been investigated and updated from past surveys taken by NASA and will be reported, herein referred to as the Candy Cane method. ES-MCAT’s optical performance and the limiting magnitude for the full optical system will be discussed. An analysis used to determine which filter to use for GEO surveys (SDSS r′) includes combining the reflectivity of the primary and secondary mirrors, transmission of the field corrector and CCD window, and the quantum efficiency of the CCD detector, resulting in throughput of the full optical path. This throughput is then combined with the expected typical transparency of the atmosphere at ES-MCAT’s altitude/location for the Sloan Digital Sky Survey (SDSS) g′r′i′z′ and Johnson/Kron-Cousins BVRI filters to yield expected relative throughput.
S. M. Lederer↗