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Search indexed NASA NTRS and DOE OSTI research on propulsion, heat transfer, battery materials and energy systems. Follow report and document links to the original sources.

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At least 397 records · Page 22

Wave-driven Equatorial Annual Oscillation Induced and Modulated by the Solar Cycle

Our model for the solar cycle (SC) modulation of the Quasi-Biennial Oscillation (QBO) produces a hemispherically symmetric 12-month Annual Oscillation (AO) in the zonal winds, which is confined to low latitudes. This Equatorial Annual Oscillation (EAO) is produced by interaction between the anti-symmetric component of SC forcing and the dominant anti-symmetric AO. The EA0 is amplified by the upward propagating small- scale gravity waves (GW), and the oscillation propagates down through the stratosphere like the QBO. The amplitude of the EA0 is relatively small, but its SC modulation contributes significantly to extend the effect to lower altitudes. Although the energy of the EA0 is concentrated at low latitudes, prominent signatures appear in the Polar Regions where the SC produces measurable temperature variations. At lower altitudes, the SC effects are significantly different in the two hemispheres because of the EAO, and due to its GW driven downward propagation the phase of the annual cycle is delayed.

Mayr, Hans G.↗

The solar cycle variation in the solar wind and the modulation of cosmic rays

Evidence for a solar cycle variation in the interplanetary plasma is presented based on direct observations of the solar wind by the Pioneer and Vela spacecraft. These data indicate that between 1965 and 1971 there were more days associated with high speed streams during solar maximum than during solar minimum. These observations provide the first observational explanation for the solar modulation of cosmic rays. At solar maximum the probability is highest that cosmic rays entering the solar system will encounter high speed streams. As a result, there is more modulation of cosmic rays at solar maximum than at other times.

Intriligator, D. S.↗

Towards Commercialization of Low-Cost, Crack-Tolerant, Screen-Printable Metallization by Full-Size Module Testing and Field Characterization

This project is motivated by the need to develop a materials engineering solution to reduce solar module degradation caused by cell cracks. The cell-crack-induced power loss is a long-term degradation mechanism and one of the main causes of solar panel field failures. Cell cracks can occur during module fabrication, transportation, installation, and long-term operation due to thermomechanical stressors. Our team’s internal estimation – based on the national weather pattern, frequency of severe weather, and 39- GW asset survey by Heliolytics – reveals that the cell-crack-induced module degradation translates to lost revenues >$17B over an average 5-year period for solar farm owners and to reduced reliability (<25 years panel lifetime) for solar energy consumers. In response to this challenge, the prime recipient offers a metal matrix composite (MMC) silver paste that is tailor-engineered for screen-printing gridlines and busbars, which serve as the electrical contacts on solar cells. We formulate our MMC paste by adding low-cost (∼0.02¢/WDC for research grade), surface-engineered carbon nanotubes to commercially available silver paste. The MMC paste offers a drop-in, cost-effective solution to cell cracks for solar cell and module manufacturers. The main goal of this project was to conduct field-relevant, module-level analysis and qualification of MMC metallization.

14 SOLAR ENERGY↗

Energy Yield Loss Due to LETID

This presentation presents an open-source LETID model part of the PVDegradationTools, which can calculate solar modules degradation due to Light and Elevated Temperature (LETID).

degradation↗

Trajectory Design for a Solar Necklace of Repurposed Gateway Logistics Modules

The Solar Necklace mission concept, initially formed from a study conducted by the Compass Team at NASA’s Glenn Research Center, aims to maximize the scientific potential of a spacecraft’s lifetime by redefining their proposed disposal trajectories. By repurposing logistics modules (LMs) initially designated for heliocentric disposal after servicing NASA’s Gateway, a constellation of spacecraft could be placed around the sun. This paper assesses the feasibility of reusing vehicles equipped with solar science packages, sending them into a heliocentric orbit to enhance solar science capabilities, and potentially provide early warning capabilities for future piloted spacecraft. A comprehensive analysis of the trajectory design aspects for the Solar Necklace mission was performed, highlighting key components of the study such as Earth-relative drift rates, ∆v requirements, Earth-flyby opportunities, number of lunar flybys, and final orbital state parameters. Additionally, the paper serves as a proof-of-concept for the repurposing of Gateway LMs using convenient, low-cost methods of advancing solar science, space weather understanding, and climate research.

Mission Design↗

Galactic cosmic ray composition and energy spectra

Galactic cosmic ray nuclei represent a significant risk to long-duration spaceflight outside the magnetosphere. We review briefly existing measurements of the composition and energy spectra of heavy cosmic ray nuclei, pointing out which species and energy ranges are most critical to assessing cosmic ray risks for spaceflight. Key data sets are identified and a table of cosmic ray abundances is presented for elements from H to Ni (Z = 1 to 28). Because of the 22-year nature of the solar modulation cycle, data from the approaching 1998 solar minimum is especially important to reducing uncertainties in the cosmic ray radiation hazard. It is recommended that efforts to model this hazard take advantage of approaches that have been developed to model the astrophysical aspects of cosmic rays.

Mewaldt, R. A.↗

Perovskite Photovoltaic Devices with Carbon-Based Electrodes Withstanding Reverse-Bias Voltages up to –9 V and Surpassing IEC 61215:2016 International Standard

One of the key challenges of perovskite photovoltaics (PV) is the long-term stability. Although efforts are made to improve the lifetime of perovskite PV devices, their degradation under reverse-bias conditions is barely addressed. Herein, perovskite solar cells with carbon-based electrodes are presented which demonstrate superior resilience against reverse-bias-induced degradation. Although their breakdown voltage is identified to be at approximately -3.6 V, cells do not degrade until the applied reverse-bias exceeds -9 V. Two main degradation mechanisms are identified: 1) iodine loss due to hole tunneling into perovskite, which takes place even at low reverse-bias but decomposes the perovskite only after long time durations; and 2) rapid heating at large reverse-bias leading to formation of PbI2, which starts at shunts and then follows the path of the least resistance for the cell current, which is primarily influenced by the electrode sheet resistances. Finally, perovskite solar modules with carbon-based electrodes are demonstrated, which are subjected to a "hotspot" test described in the IEC 61215:2016 international standard at an accredited module testing laboratory. Passing this accelerated test for the first time confirms the superior stability of perovskite PV devices with carbon-based electrodes and highlights their large industrialization potential.

14 SOLAR ENERGY↗

A thruster sub-system module /TSSM/ for solar electric propulsion

The thruster subsystem module (TSSM) considered for solar electric propulsion (SEP) missions is to consist of a 30-cm ion thruster, a thruster gimbal system, a propellant storage and feed system, a power processing unit, a modular thermal control system, and a modular support structure. TSSM design requirements are considered along with a TSSM general design approach. It is pointed out that a TSSM for SEP missions can be designed and built based on existing technology.

Sharp, G. R.↗

Low-temperature sprayed SnO x nanocomposite films with enhanced hole blocking for efficient large area perovskite solar cells

Scalable fabrication of charge transport layers with high uniformity and compactness is essential for the commercialization of perovskite solar cells (PSCs). Cost-effective deposition of high-quality electron transport layers (ETLs) is a particularly important step to achieve low-cost, efficient and large-area PSCs. Here, an open-air (relative humidity of 40–50%) and low-temperature (≤100 °C) ultrasonic spray coating of tin oxide (SnO 2 ) nanocomposite films incorporating nanocrystalline SnO 2 nanoparticles in an amorphous SnO x matrix is demonstrated to fabricate large-area ETLs for planar PSCs. The optimized SnO 2 /SnO x nanocomposite exhibits significantly enhanced hole-blocking and high-power conversion efficiencies of 18% and 16% for planar PSCs with an active area of 0.2 cm 2 and 1 cm 2 , respectively. More importantly, the devices show little current–voltage hysteresis as well as good shelf-life stability by maintaining ~90% of the initial performance without encapsulation after 2500 hours storage under inert conditions. Additionally, high voltages of >6.0 V have been obtained for solar modules of 2.1 cm 2 aperture area comprising six sub-cells in series, suggesting that the low-temperature, open-air and fast spray coating is suitable and transferable to deposit large-area charge transport layers for scalable PSCs or other optoelectronic devices.

32 ENERGY CONSERVATION, CONSUMPTION, AND UTILIZATI↗

The galactic cosmic-ray radial intensity gradient and large-scale modulation in the heliosphere

Measurements of fluxes from 1 AU on the IMP 8 satellite to 11 AU on the Pioneer 11 and to greater than 24 AU on the Pioneer 10 spacecraft show that the nucleon integral gradient is a function of the level of the approximately 11-year solar modulation cycle. The gradient decreases from approximately 4.5% to 1.5% throughout the solar minimum of 1975-1977, and increases to approximately 2.5-3.0% per AU near maximum modulation. Pioneer 10 at greater than 24 AU is still deep in the modulation region, leading to estimates of 50-70 AU for the radial distance to the heliopause at both solar minimum and solar maximum modulation.

Mckibben, R. B.↗

The BESS Program

In nine flights between 1993 and 2002, the Balloon Borne Experiment with a Superconducting Spectrometer (BESS) has measured the energy spectrum of cosmic-ray antiprotons between 0.18 and 4.20 GeV, and the spectra of protons and helium to several hundred GeV. BESS has also placed stringent upper limits on the existence of antihelium and antiduterons. Above about 1 GeV, models in which antiprotons are secondary products of the interactions of primary cosmic rays with the ISM agree with the BESS spectrum. Below 1 GeV, BESS data suggest the presence of an additional source of antiprotons. The antiproton/proton ratios measured between 1993 and 1999, during the Sun's positive-polarity phase, are consistent with simple models of solar modulation. Results from the 2000 flight, following the solar magnetic field reversal, show a sudden increase in the antiproton/proton ratio and tend to favor a charge-sign-dependent drift model. To extend BESS measurements to lower energies, a new instrument, BESS-Polar, is under construction for a flight from Antarctica in 2004.

Mitchell, J. W.↗

The WRF-Solar Ensemble Prediction System: Development, Test, and Validation

Providing reliable probabilistic solar radiation information is needed to improve management of the uncertainty and variability of solar generation. Thus, guidance on how to develop skillful and accurate ensemble forecasts is essential and it will ultimately contribute to integration of high amounts of solar energy on the grid. A team from the National Renewable Energy Laboratory and the National Center for Atmospheric Research had been collaborating to develop the WRF-Solar ensemble prediction system (WRF-Solar EPS) in the past three years to produce probabilistic solar irradiance forecasts and better predict solar energy by quantifying forecast uncertainty. The WRF-Solar EPS basically generates ensemble members for solar irradiance based on stochastic perturbations to provide intraday and day-ahead probabilistic forecasts. This study will present main research steps in developing the WRF-Solar EPS including: (a) tangent linear analysis for identifying key input variables of six WRF-Solar modules significantly related to predicting of cloud and solar irradiance, (b) combining stochastic perturbation technique with the WRF-Solar model, and (c) ensemble calibration method to decrease error and uncertainty of ensemble-based solar forecasts. The capability of WRF-Solar EPS is now updated to the most recent version of standard WRF model. This presentation will summarize comprehensive results from the evaluation of forecasts against the National Solar Radiation Data Base as well as ground-measured observations. Moreover, we will introduce the user's guide for WRF-Solar EPS (e.g., parameters to configure stochastic perturbations) and future extension of this research.

day-ahead forecast↗

Encapsulation task of the low-cost silicon solar array project. Investigation of test methods, material properties, and processes for solar cell encapsulants

The results of an investigation of solar module encapsulation systems applicable to the Low-Cost Solar Array Project 1986 cost and performance goals are presented. Six basic construction elements were identified and their specific uses in module construction defined. A uniform coating basis was established for each element. The survey results were also useful in revealing price ranges for classes of materials and estimating the cost allocation for each element within the encapsulating cost goal. The six construction elements were considered to be substrates, superstrates, pottants, adhesives, outer covers and back covers.

Willis, P. B.↗

Time-dependent modulation of galactic cosmic rays by merged interaction regions

Models that solve the one-dimensional, solar modulation equation have reproduced the 11-year galactic cosmic ray using functional representations of global merged interaction regions (MIRs). This study extends those results to the solution of the modulation equation with explicit time dependence. The magnetometers on Voyagers 1 and 2 provide local magnetic field intensities at regular intervals, from which one calculates the ratio of the field intensity to the average local field. These ratios in turn are inverted to form diffusion coefficients. Strung together in radius and time, these coefficents then fall and rise with the strength of the interplanetary magnetic field, becoming representations of MIRs. These diffusion coefficients, calculated locally, propagate unchanged from approx. 10 AU to the outer boundary (120 AU). Inside 10 AU, all parameters, including the diffusion coefficient are assumed constant in time and space. The model reproduces the time-intensity profiles of Voyager 2 and Pioneer 10. Radial gradient data from 1982-1990 between Pioneer 10 and Voyager 2 are about the same magnitude as those calculated in the model. It is also shows agreement in rough magnitude with the radial gradient between Pioneer 10 and 1 AU. When coupled with enhanced, time-dependent solar wind speed at the probe's high latitude, as measured by independent observers, the model also follows Voyager 1's time-intensity profile reasonably well, providing a natural source the model also follows Voyager 1's time-intensity profile reasonably well, providing a natural source for the observed negative latitudinal gradients. The model exhibits the 11-year cyclical cosmic ray intensity behavior at all radii, including 1 AU, not just at the location of the spacecraft where the magnetic fields are measured. In addition, the model's point of cosmic ray maximum correctly travels at the solar wind speed, illustrating the well-known propagation of modulation. Finally, at least in the inner heliosphere this model accounts for the delay experienced by lower-rigidity protons in reaching their time-intensity peak. The actual delays in this model, however, are somewhat smaller than the data. In the outer heliosphere the models sees no delays, and the data are ambiguous as to their existence. It appears that strong magnetic field compression regions (merged interaction regions) that are 3-4 times the average field strength can, at least in a helioequatorial band, disrupt effects, such as drifts, that could dominate in quieter magnetic fields. The question remains: Is the heliosphere ever quiet enough to allow such effects to be unambiguously measured, at least in the midlatitudes?

Perko, J. S.↗

Radial gradients of galactic cosmic rays measured by Pioneer 10 from 1-29 AU through the period of solar maximum

During the approach to maximum solar modulation in 1982, the radial gradient of high energy galactic cosmic rays gradually increased to about 2.5 percent/AU from the solar minimum value of about 1.5 percent/AU. In the same period, at energies lower than 70 MeV/n, the radial gradients for protons decreased from about 8 percent/AU to about 1 percent/AU. It is found that at solar maximum, in contrast to solar minimum, essentially all of the modulation of low energy cosmic rays occurs outside R = 29 AU. The combined effects of solar flare shocks coalescing in the far outer heliosphere may account for this dramatic change in the radial dependence of modulation.

Mckibben, R. B.↗

Worldwide Physics-Based Lifetime Prediction of c-Si Modules Due to Solder-Bond Failure

Lifetime prediction of the fielded c-Si solar modules due to location-specific weather conditions has been an important topic of photovoltaic research and the economic viability of solar energy. Data analytic techniques such as the performance ratio method, Statistical clear sky model, and Suns-Vmp methods quantify the degradation from measured data of a solar farm, however, the nonlinear time-dependence and correlated degradations make it difficult to use the empirical degradation rates for ultimate lifetime projection. In this article, we propose a complementary physics-based model to predict the solder bond failure caused by mechanical stress associated with the variations of the temperature. Integrating the worldwide weather information from NASA/NSRDB databases, the model predicts the location-specific output-power degradation and the lifetime of a module due to solder bond failure. The model parameters are calibrated against qualification tests involving thermal cycling of specific batches of modules from a specific technology/manufacturer. The results may be summarized as: 1) Modules installed at higher latitudes show a longer lifetime due to reduced damage accumulation. 2) The reduction of temperature fluctuation close to large bodies of water, such as seashores, increases solder bond lifetime significantly. 3) Relatively speaking, modules installed close to the Tropic of Cancer/Capricorn (23.5 degrees North/South) suffer from a higher solder bond damage and have a shorter lifetime, suggesting a conservative design. This model should serve as a building block of a comprehensive reliability framework that can predict the lifetime of a module that experiences simultaneous and correlated degradation mechanisms involving yellowing, corrosion, and potential-induced degradation.

14 SOLAR ENERGY↗

The ancient sun: Fossil record in the earth, moon and meteorites; Proceedings of the Conference, Boulder, CO, October 16-19, 1979

Papers are presented concerning theories of solar variability and their consequences for luminosity, particle emission and magnetic field changes within the past 4.5 billion years, and on the records of such solar behavior in lunar, meteoritic and terrestrial materials. Specific topics include the neutrino luminosity of the sun, the relation of sunspots to the terrestrial climate of the past 100 years, solar modulation of galactic cosmic rays, the historical record of solar activity, C-14 variations in terrestrial and marine reservoirs, and solar particle fluxes as indicated by track, thermoluminescence and solar wind measurements in lunar rocks. Attention is also given to the spin-down of the solar interior through circulation currents and fluid instabilities, grain surface exposure models in planetary regoliths, rare gases in the solar wind, nitrogen isotopic variations in the lunar regolith, the influence of solar UV radiation on climate, and the pre-main sequence evolution of the sun and evidence of the primordial solar wind in the electromagnetic induction heating of the asteroids and moon.

Pepin, R. O.↗