Search NASA⌕ Search

SEARCH · Search NASA

Results for “solar variability”

Search indexed NASA NTRS and DOE OSTI research on propulsion, heat transfer, battery materials and energy systems. Follow report and document links to the original sources.

Quote a phrase for an exact phrase match. Source license links do not imply unrestricted reuse.

At least 397 records · Page 22

Wolf-Rayet nebulae - Chemical enrichment and effective temperatures of the exciting stars

Extensive new spectrophotometric observations of five Wolf-Rayet nebulas are analyzed by means of models photoionized by plane-parallel and also WR atmosphere models. Abundance ratios O/H and Ne, S, Cl, and Ar relative to O are close to solar. N/H is enriched relative to solar and variable over the faces of the nebulas. He/H varies from one to three times solar. The O(+)/O - S(+)/S(2+) diagram is used in estimating T(eff) for the exciting stars. It indicates that S 308, NGC 3199, NGC 6888, and NGC 2359 are ionized by hot stars. RCW 58, RCW 104, MR 26, and MR 100 have such low-excitation spectra that their stellar T(eff) and nebular He/H cannot be reliably determined.

Rosa, Michael R.↗

Hydropower Role in a Power Grid with a High Proportion of Variable Renewables

The importance of hydropower increases as the power grid evolves with the higher variable renewable contribution. As conventional thermal power plants are retired, the importance of hydropower contribution increases to balance the variability of solar and wind generation. However, reservoir water resources are constrained by multiple constraints, and variability of water inflow to the reservoirs creates limitations to dam water releases for power grid needs. Coordination of multiple tools, including water resources modeling, ecological modeling, and technical and economic power grid modeling, informs dam water releases. Better representation of ecological constraints and other water use details in the suit of power grid models are required to identify the hydropower flexibility to provide multiple power grid services. Impacts of water planning and hydropower operation changes to a power grid are better understood by production cost model simulations with technical and economic data, including unserved energy, reserve failures, transmission congestion to serve load, and local marginal price increases. Similarly, PCM simulation of current and future projected power grid information, including LMP, and carbon emission rates, informs short-term water release plans and long-term investments for power plant upgrades for technical and ecological needs. Hydropower operations of several case studies are simulated to understand operation patterns, revenue, water release decisions in multiple time scales (month, day, minutes), hydropower contracts scheduling, and water variability impacts.

environmental↗

The SOHO project - Helioseismology investigations

The helioseismology instruments on the payload of the planned Solar and Heliospheric Observatory (SOHO) mission are discussed. The SOHO mission and the experiments planned for the mission are described. The plans include the global oscillations at low frequencies experiment to perform uninterrupted velocity oscillations measurements of the full solar disk, the variability of irradiance and gravity oscillations experiment to study solar irradiance variability and oscillations, and the Michelson Doppler imager, a flight version of the Fourier Tachometer. The possible use of data from these studies to examine the radial stratification and longitudinal variation of the physical characteristics of the sun is discussed.

Domingo, V.↗

A possible correlation between maxima of the far ultraviolet solar irradiance and central meridian passages of solar magnetic sector boundaries

A description is given of the relationship observed between enhancements in the far ultraviolet solar irradiance and the position of the solar magnetic sector boundaries. The ultraviolet observations were made with the monitor of ultraviolet solar energy (MUSE) experiments which were launched aboard Nimbus 3 in April 1969 and Nimbus 4 April 1970. A comparison between the positions of solar magnetic sector boundaries and ultraviolet enchancements of the sun seems to show, at least during the year of 1969, that the ultraviolet maxima tend to occur near the times when a solar sector boundary is near the central meridian. An estimate of the magnitude of the variable ultraviolet solar energy input into the atmosphere resulting from the rotation of active solar longitudes is that for wavelengths less that 175 nm and down to H Lyman alpha it exceeds the annual variation whereas at longer wavelengths it is less. The total observed peak to peak variation in the ultraviolet irradiance from 120 to 300 nm over a solar rotation is typically at least 230 ergs/sq cm sec.

Heath, D. F.↗

The SMM UV observations of Active Region 5395

The Ultraviolet Spectrometer and Polarimeter (UVSP) on the Solar Maximum Mission (SMM) spacecraft was used extensively to study the spatial morphology and time variability of solar active regions in the far UV (at approx. wavelength of 1370 A) since July 1985. The normal spatial resolution of UVSP observations in this 2nd-order mode is 10 sec., and the highest temporal resolution is 64 milliseconds. To make a full-field, 4 min. by 4 min. image this wavelength using 5 sec. raster steps takes about 3 minutes. UVSP can also make observations of the Sun at approx. wavelength of 2790 with 3 sec. spatial resolution when operated in its 1st-order mode; a full-field image at this wavelength (a so-called SNEW image) takes about 8 minutes. UVSP made thousands of observations (mostly in 2nd-order) of AR 5395 during its transit across the visible solar hemisphere (from 7 to 19 March, inclusive). During this period, UVSP's duty cycle for observing AR 5395 was roughly 40 percent, with the remaining 60 percent of the time being fairly evenly divided between aeronomy studies of the Earth's atmosphere and dead time due to Earth occultation of the Sun. UVSP observed many of the flares tagged to AR 5395, including 26 GOES M-level flares and 3 X-level flares, one of which produced so much UV emission that the safety software of UVSP turned off the detector to avoid damage due to saturation. Images and light curves of some of the more spectacular of the AR 5395 events are presented.

Drake, Stephen A.↗

Integrating Variable Renewable Energy Into the Grid: Key Issues

To foster sustainable, low-emission development, many countries are establishing ambitious renewable energy targets for their electricity supply. The variability of solar and wind compared to traditional sources, coupled with growing demand for electricity, requires changes to power system planning and operations to meet these targets. Grid integration is the practice of developing efficient ways to deliver variable renewable energy (VRE), primarily wind and solar, to the grid. Good integration methods maximize the cost-effectiveness of incorporating VRE while maintaining or increasing system stability and reliability. To inform decarbonization strategies, policymakers, regulators, and system operators consider a variety of costs and opportunities associated with VRE integration, which can be organized into five topics: New renewable energy generation and transmission; Power system reliability; Transmission and distribution coordination; Cross-sectoral decarbonization opportunities; Energy equity and justice.

ENERGY PLANNING, POLICY, AND ECONOMY↗

The Effect of Inverter Loading Ratio on Energy Estimate Bias: Preprint

Subhourly effects, particularly variability in solar irradiance, can lead to underestimation of inverter clipping losses and overestimation of energy in hourly photovoltaic system performance models, particularly for systems with high inverter loading ratios. Direct simulation of this error can be complicated by factors such as the representation of spatial and temporal variability in hourly weather data and transient system conditions. In this work we take an alternative approach using real system power measurements to show that energy predictions from typical industry models suffer from a bias that increases with inverter loading ratio. We also show that this loading ratio-dependent bias is strongly correlated with an empirical subhourly inverter clipping bias derived from real power plant data. Finally, we show that this bias is not necessarily specific to any one model or weather dataset by recreating similar biases with alternatives of each.

clipping↗

Bias Correction and Statistical Downscaling of Solar Radiation Using NA-CORDEX and the NSRDB

The current state-of-art for estimating long-term PV production uses long-term estimates of solar radiation variables, such as global horizontal irradiance (GHI), from previous years. This data is used in models such as the System Advisor Model (SAM) or PYSyst to predict annual production for a PV plant. This information is then used to estimate the production over the next 20 years (a typical plant lifetime) under the assumption that the variability over the current period is representative of the future. As the PV industry moves to extend plant lifetimes to 50 years the current assumptions of representativeness of weather may not be appropriate. This is especially true as our climate changes rapidly. To assess long-term PV production, future projections for solar radiation based on projected carbon emissions are readily available in regional and global climate models. However, climate model projections contain inherent biases that may need to be corrected for accurate analysis of future projections of climate variables. Several studies have analyzed projections of solar radiation for future years, however the accuracy of the model output compared to current and historic data has not been widely studied. Chen (2021) showed that available climate models do not accurately represent solar radiation in some cases, over-projecting GHI at the surface while under-projecting its obstructions, such as clouds and aerosols. This works aims to (1) increase understanding of the accuracy of solar radiation currently available in global and regional climate models and (2) implement bias correction through linear models based on reanalysis data compared to observed solar radiation. The latter aim will be conducted using available observed solar radiation data and modeled data from several regional climate models (RCMs). The bias correction method will be applied to projections of solar radiation resulting in a more accurate representation of the future of solar production.

climate data↗

The abundances of elements and isotopes in the solar wind

Solar wind abundances have now been measured for eleven elements and the isotopes of the noble gases. Aside from solar wind protons and alpha particles, which have been studied extensively since the 1960's, information for heavier elements is limited. Nevertheless, two effects stand out. First is the enrichment of abundances of elements with low first ionization potential (FIP), most likely the combined result of an atom-ion separation process in the upper chromosphere, and a marginal coupling of low-charge-state heavy ions to protons and alphas during the acceleration of the solar wind. Second, there is variability in the solar wind composition over a whole range of time scales. Recent measurements carried out in the earth's magnetosheath during times that included high-speed coronal-hole-associated flows indicate a significantly lower overabundance of low FIP elements. Given the fact that the He/H ratio is remarkably constant in the coronal hole solar wind, this result suggests that both enrichment and variability are reduced in such flows.

Gloeckler, George↗

EUV fluxes in the solar spectrum below 2000 A

The list of EUV fluxes presented at the 1969 IAGA review in Madrid (Hinteregger, 1970) has served as a useful reference in many aeronomical studies, leading to a wide range of opinions regarding both the absolute values in that reference list and the question of estimating EUV fluxes from the only routinely obtained data, i.e., the solar 10.7 cm flux. Advances made since 1969 will be reviewed including previously unpublished observations of the variability of solar EUV for the period from January 1974 to May 1975 which were obtained from the EUV spectrophotometer experiment on the AE-C satellite. The review is concluded by a discussion of current and future needs of solar EUV flux measurements for aeronomical applications.

Hinteregger, H. E.↗

Solar irradiance - Total and spectral and its possible variations

The present status of our knowledge of the total and spectral irradiance of the sun is briefly reviewed. The currently accepted NASA/ASTM standard values of the solar constant and the extraterrestrial solar spectral irradiance are presented. The uncertainties in these values are relatively high. Data on the variability of the solar constant are conflicting and inconclusive. The variability of solar spectral irradiance is almost totally unknown and unexplored. Some alleged sun-weather relationships are cited in support of the need to know more precisely the variations in total and spectral solar irradiance. An overview of the solar monitoring program of NASA is presented, with special emphasis on the Solar Energy Monitor in Space (SEMIS) experiment which has been proposed for several spacecraft missions. The monitor is a combination of a solar-constant detector and a prism monochromator.

Thekaekara, M. P.↗

Dynamic optimization with flexible heat integration of a solar parabolic trough collector plant with thermal energy storage used for industrial process heat

There is an increasing need to reduce fossil fuel consumption used for industrial process heat to slow the effects of climate change. Using solar thermal heat is a viable way to replace fossil fuel use, but solar industrial process heat plants have limited implementation due to large upfront costs and inefficiencies from the inherent variability from solar energy. Having more flexible and optimized control over these plants can enable them to be more efficient. Here in this work, a solar industrial process heat plant with thermal energy storage that can flexibly collect and deliver heat to two industrial processes (flexible heat integration) is dynamically modeled with control setpoints found by a dynamic optimization method. The optimized case can increase the solar efficiency of the plant by 7.5% on average relative to a base case. The results show that it is best to collect heat at lower temperatures for all but ideal solar conditions, only medium to high quality heat should be stored in large quantities, and exchanging heat with a lower temperature heat sink is generally more efficient. The optimized case is able to reduce the levelized cost of heat of the plant to $31.83/MWh th compared to a base case value of $34.10/MWh th . The optimized case can reduce emissions by 22.2% compared to a plant which uses only natural gas. This work shows that dynamic optimization with flexible heat integration can be a cost-effective way to increase efficiency so that more of these types of plants can be implemented.

14 SOLAR ENERGY↗

Studies of humid continental haze during SPACE

A concept for a solar radiometer network to provide supporting data during the Satellite Preciptiation and Cloud Experiment (SPACE) was developed. Each of the 9 prime and 10 supplementary SPACE ground sites will be equipped with an upward pointing global solar pyranometer. About half of the sites will also be equipped with upward pointing diffuse (shade ring) solar pyranometers, and a downward pointing global albedo pyranometer. These radiometers will be used to monitor the spatial and temporal variability of solar insolation and haze optical depth. The insolation data will ultimately be input to numerical models of the pre-storm and near-storm boundary layer. The optical depth data will be compared with simultaneous measurements from airborne and satellite-based passive visible radiometers and airborne lidars.

Bowdle, D. A.↗

Photometry as a Proxy for Stellar Activity in Radial Velocity Analyses

Stellar activity remains a limiting factor in measuring precise planet parameters from radial velocity spectroscopy, not least in the search for Earth-mass planets orbiting in the habitable zones of Sun-like stars. One approach to mitigate stellar activity is to use combined analyses of both radial velocity and time-series photometry. We present an analysis of simultaneous disk-integrated photometry and radial velocity data of the Sun in order to determine the useful limits of a combined analysis. We find that simple periodogram or autocorrelation analysis of solar photometry give the correct rotation period <50% of the time. We therefore use a Gaussian process to investigate the time variability of solar photometry and to directly compare simultaneous photometry with radial velocity data. We find that the hyperparameter posteriors are relatively stable over 70 yr of solar photometry and the amplitude tracks the solar cycle. We observe good agreement between the hyperparameter posteriors for the simultaneous photometry and radial velocity data. Our primary conclusion is a recommendation to include an additional prior in Gaussian process fits to constrain the evolutionary timescale to be greater than the recurrence timescale (i.e., the rotation period) to recover more physically plausible and useful results. Our results indicate that such simultaneous monitoring may be a useful tool in enhancing the precision of radial velocity surveys.

79 ASTRONOMY AND ASTROPHYSICS↗

Solar wind and high energy particle effects in the middle atmosphere

The solar wind variability and high energy particle effects in the neutral middle atmosphere are not much known. These factors are important in the high latitude upper mesosphere, lower thermosphere energy budget. They influence temperature, composition (minor constituents of nitric oxide, ozone), circulation (wind system) and airflow. The vertical and latitudinal structures of such effects, mechanisms of downward penetration of energy and questions of energy abundance are largely to be solved. The most important recent finding seems to be the discovery of the role of highly relativistic electrons in the middle atmosphere at L = 3 - 8 (Baker et al., 1987). The solar wind and high energy particle flux variability appear to form a part of the chain of possible Sun-weather (climate) relationships. The importance of such studies in the nineties is emphasized by their role in big international programs STEP and IGBP - Global Change.

Lastovicka, Jan↗

Ground-Based Correlates of Solar Irradiance Variation

Ground-based instruments cannot directly measure solar irradiance variability at the 0.1% level at which it occurs because of the earth's atmosphere. However, many forms of ground-based solar observations correlate well with solar irradiance variations, and this fact has been used to construct facular-sunspot models which can explain about 90% of the variance of total solar irradiance as observed by spacecraft radiometers. It is not yet clear whether remaining discrepancies are observational or require additional sources in the model. This paper is a selective review of the current status of the use of ground-based data to understand spacecraft observations of solar irradiance and to apply this understanding to periods before space-based measurements were available. New results from the extension of the histogram analysis of NASA/NSO spectromagnetograph observations (Jones et al., 2000, ApJ529, 1070) to the period from Nov. 1992 to Sep. 2000 are reported which confirm that strong mixed polarity magnetic regions (quiet network) are not significantly correlated with total solar irradiance and which show an unexplained linear trend in the residuals of a multiple regression.

Jones, Harrison P.↗