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DOE OSTI2024

The importance of delayed neutron precursors in gamma dose calculations for activated primary heat exchanger components in the Molten Salt Breeder Reactor

The Molten Salt Reactor (MSR) Multiphysics Applications technical area in the Nuclear Energy Advanced Modeling and Simulation program has supported the development of 3D Monte Carlo models of the Molten Salt Breeder Reactor (MSBR) over the last couple of years. This MSBR model was previously run with the Shift Monte Carlo code to perform radiation shielding calculations in the reactor cell area. The MSBR is a 2250 MWth (1000 MWe) liquid-fueled molten salt reactor design developed at Oak Ridge National Laboratory in the 1970s. Determining the source terms from activated primary heat exchanger (HX) components is important because delayed and prompt neutron fluxes incident on these components affect the dose rate in the primary HX maintenance areas. This information can be used in the development of remote handling procedures required during shutdown for maintenance. A methodology has been developed and is proposed in this paper to quantify the activated source term from the primary HX components as a result of the movement of the delayed neutron precursors in flowing primary fuel salt through the primary HXs in the MSBR. The goal of this research is to evaluate the gamma dose rates in the maintenance hatches above the primary HX using the activated HX source terms. The study showed that the gamma dose rates are approximately two orders of magnitudes higher when accounting for the neutron activation from the movement of delayed neutron precursors through the HXs than when flowing fuel is not considered. Thus, the movement of delayed neutron precursors must be taken into account for accurately predicting the neutron activation of primary loop components.

22 GENERAL STUDIES OF NUCLEAR REACTORS↗

DOE OSTI2026

Integrating science for water security governance

Hydrological extremes are intensifying globally, increasing the complexity of decisions required to ensure water security. Advances in hydrological science, modeling, and data systems have expanded the technical frontier of water research, yet uptake of scientific insights in policy and management decisions remains limited. This persistent science–policy gap is not primarily a failure of knowledge generation or robustness, but an institutional challenge shaped by how scientific and governance systems are organized, coordinated, and connected to support the effective use of scientific knowledge. These challenges are particularly pronounced in multi-level and transboundary water governance, where decisions span jurisdictions and require coordination across institutional and political boundaries. We synthesize research at the science–policy interface and evidence from water security initiatives to show how institutional arrangements, scientific tool development, and research practices enable or constrain the sustained use of scientific knowledge in water-security governance processes. Building on these insights, we develop ‘shared decision infrastructure’ as a framing to describe how scientific knowledge is embedded within the institutional, relational, and procedural arrangements that connect science to decision-making processes over time. We translate this framing into a practical intervention roadmap centered on institutional design, tool translation, sustained co-production, and outcome-oriented evaluation to support the integration of science into ongoing governance processes. By positioning science as shared decision infrastructure, the roadmap clarifies how researchers can design scientific efforts that support more coordinated, accountable, and adaptive water security decisions amid deepening uncertainty.

M whitney, Kristen [NASA Goddard Space Flight Cent↗

DOE OSTI2024

A Review of the Lawrence Livermore Nuclear Accident Dosimeter 1980s-present

A Nuclear Accident Dosimetry program is a federal requirement for all facilities that have the potential to have a criticality accident. Personnel Nuclear Accident Dosimeter (PNAD) theory and analytical procedures are driven by various scientific needs and interacting regulations. A brief history of the status of USA Department of Energy (DOE) nuclear accident dosimetry regulations, recommendations, and performance testing criteria are given. Then, the history of the Lawrence Livermore National Laboratory (LLNL) PNAD is explored, including changes in the physical dosimeter and adjustments of the analysis method through the last four decades. Finally, the performance of LLNL’s PNAD at criticality accident intercomparison training exercises since 2009 is explored. In general, reported neutron doses have been within or close to DOE-STD-1098 performance criteria while reported gamma doses have been outside of DOE-STD-1098 performance criteria. Reported total absorbed doses have varied in meeting ANSI/HPS N13.3 and ANSI/HPS N13.3 (R2019) performance criteria. Dosimetry staff retirement and turnover have left historical knowledge gaps, yet provided opportunities within the NAD program at LLNL. This review paper serves as an overview of the history and status of the NAD program. Brief technical, procedural and programmatic recommendations to improve LLNL’s NAD program are given. Technical recommendations include investigating orientation factors through modeling or empirical experimentation, investigating gamma dosimetry methods for high-dose scenarios, and exploring other dosimetric methods for simpler, quicker NAD analysis. Procedural recommendations include better documentation of conversion factor (activity-to-fluence and fluence-to-dose) derivations and spectrum uses, and updated analysis spreadsheets or simple Graphic User Interfaces for dose calculations. In conclusion, programmatic recommendations include formalized training for NAD analysts, and having multiple SMEs trained on the NAD program.

73 NUCLEAR PHYSICS AND RADIATION PHYSICS↗

DOE OSTI2020

Development of high concentration photovoltaics (HCPV) power plants in the US Southwest: Economic assessment and sensitivity analysis

High concentration photovoltaic (HCPV) technologies offer several advantages over typical PV systems. In this study, a detailed economic assessment and sensitivity analysis of deploying HCPV plants in the US southwest is performed. To do this, a 20 MWdc HCPV power plant is designed using the System Advisor Model (SAM) and is evaluated from both technical and financial aspects. The sensitivity analysis shows that reducing the installed cost per capacity of the HCPV system can significantly improve the economics and reduce the levelized cost of electricity (LCOE) and levelized power purchase agreement (LPPA). Also, providing proper incentives including both investment tax credits (ITC) and production tax credit (PTC), loan debt ratio, and interest rate are among the most influential parameters. The analysis shows that with the 30% ITC, the LCOE, and LPPA of the designed HCPV projects are between $65.4/MWh and $69.3/MWh and between $71.0/MWh and $75.2/MWh, respectively. The estimated LCOE and LPPA values are almost 50% higher than the utility-scale PV projects. If proper funding is provided to continue the support of the HCPV system, they would become more economical and competitive with PV plants. Federal and state government policies must also be established to advocate HCPV systems.

14 SOLAR ENERGY↗

DOE OSTI2024

Comment on “Thermodynamic Models for the (HClO 4 + NaClO 4 ){aq} and (HBr + NaBr){aq} Systems at 298.15 K and 0.1 MPa” Authored by Oakes, C. S., Ward, A. L., Chugunov, N. Journal of Chemical & Engineering Data , 68 , 2554–2562

Oakes et al. (2023) published a review article in this journal. In that paper, Oakes et al. (2023) developed thermodynamic models to describe electrolyte solutions for HClO 4 –NaClO 4 –H 2 O and HBr–NaBr–H 2 O systems, based on literature data. In their paper, previously published work from researchers in the field was criticized; some of it is ours. Here, in this brief Comment, we first comment on their models, and then we briefly provide a technical response to that criticism.

37 INORGANIC, ORGANIC, PHYSICAL, AND ANALYTICAL CH↗

DOE OSTI2021

Subnetwork representation learning for discovering network biomarkers in predicting lymph node metastasis in early oral cancer

Cervical lymph node metastasis is the leading cause of poor prognosis in oral tongue squamous cell carcinoma and also occurs in the early stages. The current clinical diagnosis depends on a physical examination that is not enough to determine whether micrometastasis remains. The transcriptome profiling technique has shown great potential for predicting micrometastasis by capturing the dynamic activation state of genes. However, there are several technical challenges in using transcriptome data to model patient conditions: (1) An Insufficient number of samples compared to the number of genes, (2) Complex dependence between genes that govern the cancer phenotype, and (3) Heterogeneity between patients between cohorts that differ geographically and racially. We developed a computational framework to learn the subnetwork representation of the transcriptome to discover network biomarkers and determine the potential of metastasis in early oral tongue squamous cell carcinoma. Our method achieved high accuracy in predicting the potential of metastasis in two geographically and racially different groups of patients. The robustness of the model and the reproducibility of the discovered network biomarkers show great potential as a tool to diagnose lymph node metastasis in early oral cancer.

59 BASIC BIOLOGICAL SCIENCES↗

DOE OSTI2023

Quantitative Small-Signal Stability Analysis of Grid-Forming Inverters in Large-Scale Power Systems

In this paper, the challenges induced by the integration of inverter-based resources (IBRs) into existing power systems are discussed. Although the grid-forming (GFM) control has been used to enhance system performance in multiple sections of electric power systems (e.g., transmission and distribution systems, microgrids, among others), the coupling mechanism between GFM inverter and various types of other components in modern power systems should be clearly explored. Existing analyses mainly focus on qualitative investigations that verify the effectiveness of deploying GFM inverters for stability enhancement. A holistic system-level quantitative analysis is still missing to verify the detailed benefits of GFM inverters and their interactions with other generation units (e.g., synchronous generators [SGs], conventional grid-following [GFL] inverters, synchronous condensers, among others). To fill in the technical gaps, a holistic small-signal model of the entire system with both rotating generation units and IBRs is established along with the customized power flow analysis for varying steady-state operating points. Further, a quantitative method is proposed to identify the impacts of GFM inverters on system performance with an emphasis on a quantifiable stability margin and a complete modal analysis at the system level. Finally, a realistic test system is used to verify the proposed approach.

grid-following↗

DOE OSTI2024

Holistic Small-Signal Stability Analysis for Large-Scale Inverter-Intensive Power Systems with Coupled and Full-Order Dynamics from Control Systems and Power Networks

The increasing penetration of inverter-based resources (IBRs) into the existing power systems introduces tremendous benefits for enhanced sustainability but also poses inevitable challenges in terms of insufficient inertia, potential instability, and complex network dynamics, among others. However, the additional coupling introduced by the interactions among gridfollowing (GFL) and grid-forming (GFM) IBRs and the other components (i.e., synchronous generators [SGs], loads, and network, etc.) has not been clearly explored. A holistic, scalable, and quantitative stability analysis framework with the control systems and power networks is still missing. Here, in this paper, to fill in the technical gaps, a holistic small-signal model of the entire system with both rotating generation units and IBRs is established. An extended power flow model with operation dynamics from both generator control schemes and power networks is proposed to provide the varying steady-state operating points for small-signal modeling. The proposed method is compared with MATLAB solvers, and the results show that the proposed approach has a minimum calculation time, which can be less than 12 seconds for a large-scale power system with up to 2,000 buses. Furthermore, a quantitative method is developed to identify the impacts of IBRs on system performance with emphases on the potential stability issues with GFL IBRs, additional benefits of employing GFM IBRs, the feasibility of replacing SGs with GFM IBRs, and the impact of penetration level of different kinds of generation units. Finally, a field island power system is used to verify the proposed approach, and hardware-in-the-loop (HIL) tests are provided to further demonstrate the effectiveness of the proposed analysis.

14 SOLAR ENERGY↗

DOE OSTI2021

A Minimum Creep Rate for 2-1/4Cr-1Mo Steel Consistent With the ASME Section III, Division 5 Rules

This technical note describes a minimum creep rate model for 2-1/4Cr-1Mo steel that is consistent with the current creep strain equation embedded in the ASME Boiler & Pressure Vessel Code Section III, Division 5, Subsection HB, Subpart B isochronous stress–strain curves. Minimum creep rate models for all the Section III, Division 5 Class A materials are required for the development of improved high temperature design methods. Of all the Class A materials, only 2-1/4Cr-1Mo does not have a readily identifying minimum creep rate term in the current isochronous stress–strain curve model.

36 MATERIALS SCIENCE↗

DOE OSTI2024

OReole-FM: successes and challenges toward billion-parameter foundation models for high-resolution satellite imagery

While the pretraining of Foundation Models (FMs) for remote sensing (RS) imagery is on the rise, models remain restricted to a few hundred million parameters. Scaling models to billions of parameters has been shown to yield unprecedented benefits including emergent abilities, but requires data scaling and computing resources typically not available outside industry R&D labs. In this work, we pair high-performance computing resources including Frontier supercomputer, America's first exascale system, and high-resolution optical RS data to pretrain billion-scale FMs. Our study assesses performance of different pretrained variants of vision Transformers across image classification, semantic segmentation and object detection benchmarks, which highlight the importance of data scaling for effective model scaling. Moreover, we discuss construction of a novel TIU pretraining dataset, model initialization, with data and pretrained models intended for public release. By discussing technical challenges and details often lacking in the related literature, this work is intended to offer best practices to the geospatial community toward efficient training and benchmarking of larger FMs.

Ambrozio Dias, Philipe↗

DOE OSTI2020

GET-Solar (Generation forecasting and parameter Estimation Tool for Solar) [SWR-20-115]

GET-Solar (Generation forecasting and parameter Estimation Tool for Solar) can be used to estimate behind the meter (BTM) solar generation from limited datasets. Using distributed sets of diverse solar sites, but with close spatial proximity, and/or limited historical PV generation information can be used to generate of solar profiles. This is useful for applications where partial solar generation data is available, and on-site irradiance data is not available. GET-Solar calculates PV technical data parameters and calculates output by modeling shading and cloud cover impacts. Clear sky irradiance profiles are used to calculate base generation profiles on which the local shading and cloud cover layers are added. In order to arrive at clear sky generation data, PV mounting information like panel tilt and and angle is needed. For cases where PV mounting information is missing, panel tilt and azimuth angle can be estimated using a non-linear optimization algorithm. GET-Solar can also be used for forecasting applications where historical PV data is available to estimate local shading at various solar positions. This overall framework can be used for estimation of solar parameters, and assisting in analyzing and modeling diverse sets of DER where solar generation is also present in utility meter data. GET-Solar has been developed in Python and uses the Pyomo optimization language.

Abraham, Sherin Ann↗

DOE OSTI2020

Optimizing Bifacial PV Systems (Q3 FY2020 Project Report)

This project has four main technical objectives. Develop and improve bifacial performance models by adding the capability to evaluate electrical behavior and performance of bifacial modules and arrays under realistic field conditions including irradiance variability caused by racking, module frame, and position in the array. Instrument and monitor performance of fielded bifacial systems to validate performance models and to measure, analyze and publish on bifacial energy gain. These should include both research and commercial bifacial systems and cover a variety of deployment applications. Evaluate optimal bifacial system designs using simulations leveraging high performance computing, and also using full sized and miniaturized experimental field deployments. Establish and contribute to international test standards for bifacial system performance, testing, and safety, and work with the community to establish installation and siting best practices.

14 SOLAR ENERGY↗

DOE OSTI2020

AGGREGATE: dAta-driven modelinG preservinG contRollable dEr for outaGe mAnagemenT and rEsiliency (Report for Task 14: Model Verification/Validation Test Plan (Deliverable D10))

This report summarizes the technical progress and validation plan for each of AGGREGATE project modules, and integrated modules. The overall validation plan can be divided into two major parts. Firstly, it provides offline validation results of each module using the IEEE-123 node distribution system with certain modifications to support individual module results verification. The offline validation plan tentatively validated the usability and practicability of developed AGGREGATE tools. Secondly, the realworld test system - Seattle City Light (SCL) test feeder for verifying each module and the integrated modules using GE advanced distribution management system (ADMS) software.

42 ENGINEERING↗

DOE OSTI2021

Fission Product Transport in TRISO Particles and Pebbles

This document demonstrates completion of the goals described in the technical narrative of the FOA project titled: ”Modeling and Simulation Development Pathways to Accelerating KP-FHR Licensing” regarding fission product transport in the Kairos-proposed fuel pebble by INL and Kairos Power. Showcased in this report are code developments and simulations in BISON that extend the state of the art in computation and understanding of fission product transport in a TRISO fuel particle and pebble. These enhancements lay the foundation for making predictions of fission product transport that can be used as input in the fuel licensing process. This was achieved by installing existing fuel material models originally used in PARFUME, developing a new failure probability method that is efficient and multi-dimensional, employing material homogenization, and expanding verification and validation simulations to demonstrate the efficacy of the work. All this work is leveraged to spotlight the main deliverable; a three-dimensional model and corresponding demonstration simulation of a pebble, which will serve as the starting point for models used to predict fission product release.

11 NUCLEAR FUEL CYCLE AND FUEL MATERIALS↗

DOE OSTI2022

Large Scale MD to Predict Epitope Regions in HIV Env [Slides]

Highly dense carbohydrates located on the surface of the HIV Env protein play a key role in immune evasion. Such evolutionary adaptation hampers any attempt to obtain a full mechanistic understanding of the role played by the glycans in protecting the virus against an effective immune response. Moreover, and due to their chemical variability, an accurate molecular understanding of the so called “glycan shield” is still limited by the lack of effective resolution of state-of-the-art experimental technics. Here, we have used extensive computational modelling in order to fill this gap, addressing the presence of a large glycan variability as observed experimentally. Based on an automated pipeline, we were able to assemble, set-up and simulate via Molecular dynamics hundreds of different glycosylated Env variants at nearly atomic resolution, recapitulating the glycosylation distributions observed experimentally. Results from these simulations were subjected to machine learning and very accurate prediction of simulation derived glycan shielding areas of each glycan as a function of static sequence features. Such predictive models of per-glycan shielding, incorporating both glycan dynamics and heterogeneity, were used to develop a novel sequence-based glycan shield mapping strategy. Parallel to these studies, we also developed an accurate machine learning approach to predict glycan heterogeneity data using sequence features and found good prediction accuracy.

59 BASIC BIOLOGICAL SCIENCES↗

DOE OSTI2022

Distributed Wind Energy Futures Study

To better understand distributed wind opportunities in the United States, researchers at the U.S. Department of Energy's (DOE's) National Renewable Energy Laboratory explored cost, performance, and valuation benchmarks necessary for distributed wind to achieve widespread commercial viability in the United States by 2035. Building on DOE's prior benchmark report "Assessing the Future of Distributed Wind: Opportunities for Behind-the-Meter Projects", the new Distributed Wind Futures Study employs higher-resolution data and new modeling techniques to highlight geographic trends in technical and economic potential and to compare the cost and performance of distribution-connected, megawatt-scale wind applications (referred to as "front-of-the-meter" applications) and behind-the-meter systems, thereby informing the case for investment. The report identifies the best locations and sectors for behind-the-meter and front-of-the-meter applications and provides data to inform the trade-offs consumers face when deciding between distributed wind and solar photovoltaic (PV).

17 WIND ENERGY↗

DOE OSTI2022

Distributed Wind Energy Futures Study [Slides]

17 WIND ENERGY↗

DOE OSTI2023

Parametric Study for Glovebox Limit for Puck Pressing

This document aims to demonstrate the results of various parametric studies which may be applied for gloveboxes whose primary purpose is puck pressing and metal cutting. It is the responsibility of any criticality safety analyst utilizing this study to ensure the applicability of the models presented to the scenario analyzed. This technical document is written according to the requirements of NCS-AP-005.

42 ENGINEERING↗