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Search indexed NASA NTRS and DOE OSTI research on propulsion, heat transfer, battery materials and energy systems. Follow report and document links to the original sources.

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At least 397 records · Page 22

Sensitivity of meteorological-forcing resolution on hydrologic variables

Projecting the spatiotemporal changes in water resources under a no-analog future climate requires physically based integrated hydrologic models which simulate the transfer of water and energy across the earth's surface. These models show promise in the context of unprecedented climate extremes given their reliance on the underlying physics of the system as opposed to empirical relationships. However, these techniques are plagued by several sources of uncertainty, including the inaccuracy of input datasets such as meteorological forcing. These datasets, usually derived from climate models or satellite-based products, are typically only resolved on the order of tens to hundreds of kilometers, while hydrologic variables of interest (e.g., discharge and groundwater levels) require a resolution at much smaller scales. In this work, a high-resolution hydrologic model is forced with various resolutions of meteorological forcing (0.5 to 40.5 km) generated by a dynamical downscaling analysis from the regional climate model Weather Research and Forecasting (WRF). The Cosumnes watershed, which spans the Sierra Nevada and Central Valley interface of California (USA), exhibits semi-natural flow conditions due to its rare undammed river basin and is used here as a test bed to illustrate potential impacts of various resolutions of meteorological forcing on snow accumulation and snowmelt, surface runoff, infiltration, evapotranspiration, and groundwater levels. Results show that the errors in spatial distribution patterns impact land surface processes and can be delayed in time. Localized biases in groundwater levels can be as large as 5–10 m and 3 m in surface water. Most hydrologic variables reveal that biases are seasonally and spatially dependent, which can have serious implications for model calibration and ultimately water management decisions.

54 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES↗

Higher-order modification of Steffensen’s method for solving system of nonlinear equations

In this work, we propose a higher-order derivative free family for solving non-linear systems. The local order of convergence of the constructed family is first determined using first-order divided difference operators for functions of several variables and direct computation by Taylor’s series expansion. Computational efficiencies of the developed scheme is considered and compared with their closest competitors. Moreover, numerical experiments are performed on several large and complex non-linear systems. The results are found to be effective and comparable to other existing methods which also support the theoretical results.

97 MATHEMATICS AND COMPUTING↗

Explicit solution for a two-phase fractional Stefan problem with a heat flux condition at the fixed face

A generalized Neumann solution for the two-phase fractional Lamé–Clapeyron–Stefan problem for a semi-infinite material with constant initial temperature and a particular heat flux condition at the fixed face is obtained, when a restriction on data is satisfied. The fractional derivative in the Caputo sense of order α∈(0,1) respect on the temporal variable is considered in two governing heat equations and in one of the conditions for the free boundary. Furthermore, we find a relationship between this fractional free boundary problem and another one with a constant temperature condition at the fixed face and based on that fact, we obtain an inequality for the coefficient which characterizes the fractional phase–change interface obtained in Roscani and Tarzia (Adv Math Sci Appl 24(2):237–249, 2014). We also recover the restriction on data and the classical Neumann solution, through the error function, for the classical two-phase Lamé–Clapeyron–Stefan problem for the case α=1.

97 MATHEMATICS AND COMPUTING↗

Identification of influencing municipal characteristics regarding household waste generation and their forecasting ability in Biscay

Highlights: • We have modelled household waste generation in Biscay municipalities. • We have identified relevant characteristics regarding household waste generation. • Factor models are used in order to identify the best subset of explicative variables. • Biscay’s municipalities are grouped by means of hierarchical clustering. - Abstract: The planning of waste management strategies needs tools to support decisions at all stages of the process. Accurate quantification of the waste to be generated is essential for both the daily management (short-term) and proper design of facilities (long-term). Designing without rigorous knowledge may have serious economic and environmental consequences. The present works aims at identifying relevant socio-economic features of municipalities regarding Household Waste (HW) generation by means of factor models. Factor models face two main drawbacks, data collection and identifying relevant explanatory variables within a heterogeneous group. Grouping similar characteristics observations within a group may favour the deduction of more robust models. The methodology followed has been tested with Biscay Province because it stands out for having very different municipalities ranging from very rural to urban ones. Two main models are developed, one for the overall province and a second one after clustering the municipalities. The results prove that relating municipalities with specific characteristics, improves the results in a very heterogeneous situation. The methodology has identified urban morphology, tourism activity, level of education and economic situation as the most influencing characteristics in HW generation.

12 MANAGEMENT OF RADIOACTIVE AND NON-RADIOACTIVE W↗

Advancing Chemical Separations: Unraveling the Structure and Dynamics of Phase Splitting in Liquid–Liquid Extraction

Liquid-liquid extraction (LLE), the go-to process for a variety of chemical separations, is limited by spontaneous organic phase splitting upon sufficient solute loading, called third phase formation. In this study we explore the applicability of critical phenomena theory to gain insight into this deleterious phase behavior with the goal of improving separations efficiency and minimizing waste. Here, a series of samples representative of rare earth purification were constructed to include each of one light and one heavy lanthanide (cerium and lutetium) paired with one of two common malonamide extractants (DMDOHEMA and DMDBTDMA). The resulting postextraction organic phases are chemically complex and often form rich hierarchical structures whose statics and dynamics near the critical point were probed herein with small-angle X-ray scattering and high-speed X-ray photon correlation spectroscopy. Despite their different extraction behaviors, all samples show remarkably similar critical behavior with exponents well described by classical critical point theory consistent with the 3D Ising model, where the critical behavior is characterized by fluctuations with a single diverging length scale. This unexpected result indicates a significant reduction in relevant chemical parameters at the critical point, indicating that the underlying behavior of phase transitions in LLE rely on far fewer variables than are generally assumed. The obtained scalar order parameter is attributed to the extractant fraction of the extractant/diluent mixture, revealing that other solution components and their respective concentrations simply shift the critical temperature but do not affect the nature of the critical fluctuations. These findings point to an opportunity to drastically simplify studies of liquid-liquid phase separation and phase diagram development in general while providing insights into LLE process improvement.

37 INORGANIC, ORGANIC, PHYSICAL, AND ANALYTICAL CH↗

Impact of Disorder and Defects on Bond Energies in Highly Fluorinated Graphene

Fluorinated graphite materials are of interest for an assortment of applications and can be synthesized under a variety of synthetic conditions from many different types of carbon. Due to such variations, structural disorders in the form of defects and polymorphism are often present. Here, we investigate the impact of local structural variations on the C–F bond dissociation energies (BDEs) in carbon-based fluoride materials using density functional theory (DFT) computational methods. Employing fluorographene (FG) cluster models, we determine the impact of different C–F bonding configurations in the core of each platelet on the equilibrium BDEs for each C–F bond. The introduction of structural disorder decreases the first C–F BDE by approximately 1 eV compared to the canonical arrangement of axial C–F bonds ordered as in a network of cyclohexane “chairs”. Variability of calculated BDEs among the different polymorphs decreases upon subsequent F removal. Common structural tendencies of the adiabatic defluorination pathways for each polymorph are identified. In conclusion, our analysis suggests that at F/C ratios near 1.0, disorder in the local structure can play a significant role in the energetics of the initial carbon fluoride defluorination and that the influence of this configurational disorder diminishes with decreasing F/C ratios.

37 INORGANIC, ORGANIC, PHYSICAL, AND ANALYTICAL CH↗

Outer Radiation Belt Dynamics During the October 2012 Storm Revisited: Rapid Inward Radial Transport From a Dynamic Outer Boundary

Earth's outer radiation belt electron flux is highly variable and can be enhanced by over an order of magnitude over timescales less than one day, as observed during the October 2012 storm. Previous studies of this storm (e.g., Reeves et al., 2013, https://doi.org/10.1126/science.1237743) have invoked local acceleration to explain this. However, here, we argue that the observations can instead be explained by fast inward radial transport. One method often invoked to distinguish between these two acceleration processes is the existence of local peaks in electron phase space density (PSD) as a function of L* at fixed first, M, and second, K, adiabatic invariants. However, this method relies on the assumption that the evolution of the PSD as a function of L* occurs over timescales slower than the satellite orbital period. Here, high spatiotemporal resolution data from the Global Positioning System (GPS) spacecraft constellation is used to show that enhancements in the PSD occur during the October 2012 storm over short timescales not resolvable by the Van Allen Probes. In addition, Geostationary Operational Environmental Satellite spacecraft data also indicate that these enhancements are consistent with relativistic electron injections. A radial diffusion model is shown to reproduce the PSD dynamics observed by the Van Allen Probes, once rapid variations at the simulation outer boundary are included, consistent with GPS data. This verifies that apparently “locally growing” peaks in PSD along high apogee satellite orbits can be produced by fast inward radial transport without requiring the action of any local acceleration processes.

99 GENERAL AND MISCELLANEOUS↗

Satellite remote sensing data can be used to model marine microbial metabolite turnover

Sampling ecosystems, even at a local scale, at the temporal and spatial resolution necessary to capture natural variability in microbial communities are prohibitively expensive. We extrapolated marine surface microbial community structure and metabolic potential from 72 16S rRNA amplicon and 8 metagenomic observations using remotely sensed environmental parameters to create a system-scale model of marine microbial metabolism for 5904 grid cells (49 km2) in the Western English Chanel, across 3 years of weekly averages. Thirteen environmental variables predicted the relative abundance of 24 bacterial Orders and 1715 unique enzyme-encoding genes that encode turnover of 2893 metabolites. The genes’ predicted relative abundance was highly correlated (Pearson Correlation 0.72, P-value <10-6) with their observed relative abundance in sequenced metagenomes. Predictions of the relative turnover (synthesis or consumption) of CO2 were significantly correlated with observed surface CO2 fugacity. The spatial and temporal variation in the predicted relative abundances of genes coding for cyanase, carbon monoxide and malate dehydrogenase were investigated along with the predicted inter-annual variation in relative consumption or production of ~3000 metabolites forming six significant temporal clusters. These spatiotemporal distributions could possibly be explained by the co-occurrence of anaerobic and aerobic metabolisms associated with localized plankton blooms or sediment resuspension, which facilitate the presence of anaerobic micro-niches. This predictive model provides a general framework for focusing future sampling and experimental design to relate biogeochemical turnover to microbial ecology.

54 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES↗

A NEW UNDERSTANDING OF THE EUROPA ATMOSPHERE AND LIMITS ON GEOPHYSICAL ACTIVITY

Deep extreme ultraviolet spectrograph exposures of the plasma sheet at the orbit of Europa, obtained in 2001 using the Cassini Ultraviolet Imaging Spectrograph experiment, have been analyzed to determine the state of the gas. The results are in basic agreement with earlier results, in particular with Voyager encounter measurements of electron density and temperature. Mass loading rates and lack of detectable neutrals in the plasma sheet, however, are in conflict with earlier determinations of atmospheric composition and density at Europa. A substantial fraction of the plasma species at the Europa orbit are long-lived sulfur ions originating at Io, with ∼25% derived from Europa. During the outward radial diffusion process to the Europa orbit, heat deposition forces a significant rise in plasma electron temperature and latitudinal size accompanied with conversion to higher order ions, a clear indication that mass loading from Europa is very low. Analysis of far ultraviolet spectra from exposures on Europa leads to the conclusion that earlier reported atmospheric measurements have been misinterpreted. The results in the present work are also in conflict with a report that energetic neutral particles imaged by the Cassini ion and neutral camera experiment originate at the Europa orbit. An interpretation of persistent energetic proton pitch angle distributions near the Europa orbit as an effect of a significant population of neutral gas is also in conflict with the results of the present work. The general conclusion drawn here is that Europa is geophysically far less active than inferred in previous research, with mass loading of the plasma sheet ≤4.5 × 10{sup 25} atoms s{sup –1} two orders of magnitude below earlier published calculations. Temporal variability in the region joining the Io and Europa orbits, based on the accumulated evidence, is forced by the response of the system to geophysical activity at Io. No evidence for the direct injection of H{sub 2}O into the Europa atmosphere or from Europa into the magnetosphere system, as has been observed at Enceladus in the Saturn system, is obtained in the present investigation.

79 ASTRONOMY AND ASTROPHYSICS↗

Nonlinear dynamics of quadratic gravity in spherical symmetry

We present the first numerically stable nonlinear evolution for the leading-order gravitational effective field theory (quadratic gravity) in the spherically-symmetric sector. The formulation relies on (i) the harmonic gauge to cast the evolution system into quasilinear form (ii) the Cartoon method to reduce to spherical symmetry in keeping with the harmonic gauge, and (iii) order reduction to first order (in time) by means of introducing auxiliary variables. The well posedness of the respective initial-value problem is numerically confirmed by evolving randomly perturbed flat-space and black-hole initial data. In conclusion, our study serves as a proof-of-principle for the possibility of stable numerical evolution in the presence of higher derivatives.

79 ASTRONOMY AND ASTROPHYSICS↗

Joint Seasonal ARMA Approach for Modeling of Load Forecast Errors in Planning Studies

To make informed and robust decisions in the probabilistic power system operation and planning process, it is critical to conduct multiple simulations of the generated combinations of wind and load parameters and their forecast errors to handle the variability and uncertainty of these time series. In order for the simulation results to be trustworthy, the simulated series must preserve the salient statistical characteristics of the real series. In this paper, we analyze day-ahead load forecast error data from multiple balancing authority locations and characterize statistical properties such as mean, standard deviation, autocorrelation, correlation between series, time-of-day bias, and time-of-day autocorrelation. We then construct and validate a seasonal autoregressive moving average (ARMA) model to model these characteristics, and use the model to jointly simulate day-ahead load forecast error series for all BAs.

Power system planning, Operations, Probabilistic m↗

JGCRI/hydro-emulator

The hydrological emulator (HE) was built to mimic complex global hydrological models (GHMs) at a range of spatial scales. The HE was written in MATLAB and utilizes a genetic algorithm to calibrate the a, b, c, d, m parameters from the ABCD runoff algorithm to observed runoff from GHMs when forced by the same climate data. The HE employs two methods to choose from when processing basin data: lumped (by basin) and distributed (gridded). Both methods can be evaluated using the built-in Kling-Gupta efficiency as a measure of model performance when compared to the outputs from the more complex GHM. Testing shows that the HE is 7 orders of magnitude faster then the widely used Variable Infiltration Capacity (VIC) GHM.

Vernon, Chris↗

Uncertainty quantification for incident helium flux in plasma-exposed tungsten

In this work, the surface response of a tungsten plasma-facing component was simulated by a cluster-dynamics code, Xolotl, with a focus on quantifying the impact of uncertainty in one of the input parameters to Xolotl, namely, the incident helium flux. The simulated conditions involve a tungsten surface exposed to 100 eV helium ion implantations with a flux of either 4 × 10 22 or 4 × 10 25 He m -2 s -1 . Furthermore, two sources were used to describe the implanted helium depth distribution in tungsten, either molecular dynamics (MD) or a binary collision approximation code, the stopping and range of ions in matter (SRIM). The aim of this work is to evaluate and examine uncertain predictions on the helium retention based on these two different modeling methodologies that either neglect electronic energy loss or the crystalline structure of the solid, respectively. An embedded model-form error approach was pursued here in order to arrive at predictions that account for variability due to the two different data sources, and the impact of this model-form uncertainty in incident helium flux on Xolotl output was presented for the two implantation fluxes.

70 PLASMA PHYSICS AND FUSION TECHNOLOGY↗

Parallel scaling analysis for explicit solid dynamics in ALEGRA

Weak scaling studies were performed for the explicit solid dynamics component of the ALEGRA code on two Cray supercomputer platforms during the period 2012-2015, involving a production-oriented hypervelocity impact problem. Results from these studies are presented, with analysis of the performance, scaling, and throughput of the code on these machines. The analysis demonstrates logarithmic scaling of the average CPU time per cycle up to core counts on the order of 10,000. At higher core counts, variable performance is observed, with significant upward excursions in compute time from the logarithmic trend. However, for core counts less than 10,000, the results show a 3 × improvement in simulation throughput, and a 2 × improvement in logarithmic scaling. This improvement is linked to improved memory performance on the Cray platforms, and to significant improvements made over this period to the data layout used by ALEGRA.

97 MATHEMATICS AND COMPUTING↗

Results of the Photometric LSST Astronomical Time-series Classification Challenge (PLAsTiCC)

Abstract Next-generation surveys like the Legacy Survey of Space and Time (LSST) on the Vera C. Rubin Observatory (Rubin) will generate orders of magnitude more discoveries of transients and variable stars than previous surveys. To prepare for this data deluge, we developed the Photometric LSST Astronomical Time-series Classification Challenge (PLAsTiCC), a competition that aimed to catalyze the development of robust classifiers under LSST-like conditions of a nonrepresentative training set for a large photometric test set of imbalanced classes. Over 1000 teams participated in PLAsTiCC, which was hosted in the Kaggle data science competition platform between 2018 September 28 and 2018 December 17, ultimately identifying three winners in 2019 February. Participants produced classifiers employing a diverse set of machine-learning techniques including hybrid combinations and ensemble averages of a range of approaches, among them boosted decision trees, neural networks, and multilayer perceptrons. The strong performance of the top three classifiers on Type Ia supernovae and kilonovae represent a major improvement over the current state of the art within astronomy. This paper summarizes the most promising methods and evaluates their results in detail, highlighting future directions both for classifier development and simulation needs for a next-generation PLAsTiCC data set.

79 ASTRONOMY AND ASTROPHYSICS↗

Coupled Neutron and Gamma Heating Calculation Based on VARIANT Nodal Transport Method

Accurate determination of temperature distributions in fuel pins and duct walls is essential for fuel-pin performance and assembly bowing analyses. Currently, the multi-assembly, sub-channel analysis code SE2-ANL is used in thermalhydraulic analysis of sodium cooled fast reactors (SFR). SE2- ANL is interfaced with the DIF3D/GAMSOR/DIF3D procedure for coupled neutron and gamma heating calculations, developed at Argonne National Laboratory (ANL). In this procedure, the neutron flux distribution is first calculated using the finite-difference diffusion theory option of the DIF3D code. Using the neutron flux solution, the GAMSOR code computes the gamma source distribution for the subsequent gamma flux calculation with DIF3D. However, in the current heating calculation scheme, the neutron and gamma flux calculations are limited to six triangular meshes per hexagonal assembly. In addition, the pin power distributions are estimated by assuming that the power distribution within an assembly is separable in the radial and axial directions. In each assembly, the axial power profile is obtained by averaging the power densities of six triangular meshes at each axial mesh interval. The radial power profile is evaluated at a single axial mesh (e.g., at the core mid-plane) by approximating the neutron and gamma flux distributions by a linear or quadratic polynomial of two variables x and y, depending on the polynomial order specified by the user. The coefficients of the linear and quadratic polynomials are determined by the least squares fit of six and 24 triangular mesh fluxes, respectively. Furthermore, the total heat generation rate in an assembly duct wall is simply determined by a user-specified fraction of the total gamma heating within that assembly. With the advancement of computer technology, the nodal transport theory code VARIANT is routinely used in core design analyses of SFR instead of DIF3D. It is therefore necessary to develop a new heating calculation procedure based on VARIANT neutron and gamma transport calculations. In this study, a new, coupled neutron and gamma heating calculation scheme has been developed to determine the pin power distributions more accurately by eliminating the aforementioned limitations of the current procedure. For this, the GAMSOR code has been extended to generate the intra-nodal gamma source distribution to be consistent with the trial functions of VARIANT. In the new heating calculation procedure, the neutron flux distribution is determined first by solving an eigenvalue transport problem using VARIANT. The obtained neutron flux is then used in GAMSOR to calculate the gamma source distribution. Using this gamma source distribution, the gamma flux distribution is determined by solving a fixed-source transport problem using VARIANT again. Using the computed neutron and gamma flux distributions, the power distribution in each fuel pin and duct wall is determined using a new utility code CURVE, which has been developed to evaluate the VARIANT flux solution at each fuel pin position and along the duct mid-wall. For each pin segment contained in a VARIANT node, the axial power shape is represented as a quadratic profile. The performance of the new heating calculation scheme based on VARIANT transport solutions has been tested against the existing method of SE2-ANL, using the ABR-1000 metal core design. The gamma source distribution and the assembly, fuel pin and duct wall power distributions were calculated and compared. (authors)

11 NUCLEAR FUEL CYCLE AND FUEL MATERIALS↗

Are Baby Boomers' Non-Work Trip-Making Behavior Different than Millennials? Lessons Learned from NHTS Data

This paper presents a comparison between Millennials' and Baby Boomers' non-work travel behaviors using data from the 2017 National Household Travel Survey. Bootstrapped segmented ordered logit models are employed to capture the variability in travel preferences and trip frequency across these generational groups, providing more robust insights into their non-work travel. Millennials, particularly those who work from home, are found to have a negative association with higher non-work trip frequency, whereas Baby Boomers have a positive association with higher non-work trip frequency. The model results show that female Millennials who are heads of households are more likely to make non-work trips but less likely when living in urban areas. Ride sharing among Baby Boomers shows a higher association with non-work travel compared to Millennials. These insights could have implications for travel demand management, as shifting travel patterns necessitate adjustments in infrastructure investments and management strategies to support effective long-term transportation planning.

Patwary, Latif [ORNL] (ORCID:0000000189174928)↗

Navigation and Meteorological Data from Multiple Sensors on Airborne Platform (NAVMET-AIR) Value-Added Product Report

The Navigation and Meteorological Data from Multiple Sensors on Airborne Platform (NAVMET-AIR) value-added product encompasses the aafnaviwg data set in the ARM Data Center (ADC), known as the IWG file, named for the Inter-Agency Working Group for Airborne Data and Telemetry Systems (IWGADTS). Its purpose is to produce a suite of tools to promote standardization of instrument interface, data format, and data processing. This data set’s contents are navigational and meteorological state variables at 1 Hz. It also contains higher-order data flags created by ARM Aerial Facility (AAF) scientists to aid analysis such as periods when the aircraft is flying level, operating in maneuvers, or flying through cloud. Due to the nature of research flights, the payload of the aircraft consists of many duplicate and overlapping instruments to ensure, in case of instrument failure, there is a backup to record the data. Measurements from multiple instruments are consolidated into a single file. Each variable of this data set is carefully chosen from the onboard instrumentation and quality checked by AAF scientists to create this wholistic and most accurate data set for airborne research. This document is intended to be a hub towards the individual “read me” files produced for each campaign. For reference about what instrument was used for calculations on specific days, the read me files are located in the ARM IOP archive at the addresses listed, or access the IOP (intensive operational period) database at https://www.archive.arm.gov/.

54 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES↗