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Search indexed NASA NTRS and DOE OSTI research on propulsion, heat transfer, battery materials and energy systems. Follow report and document links to the original sources.

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At least 415 records · Page 23
All sourcesNASA NTRSDOE OSTI
DOE OSTI2022

The contribution of bioenergy to the decarbonization of transport: a multi-model assessment

The expected growth in the demand for passenger and freight services exacerbates the challenges of reducing transport GHG emissions, especially as commercial low-carbon alternatives to petroleum fuels are limited for shipping, air and long-distance road travel. Biofuels can offer a pathway to significantly reduce emissions from these sectors, as they can easily substitute for conventional liquid fuels in internal combustion engines. In this paper, we assess the potential of bioenergy to reduce transport GHG emissions through an analysis leveraging various integrated assessment models and scenarios, as part of the 33rd Energy Modeling Forum study (EMF-33). Furthermore, we find that bioenergy can contribute a significant, albeit not dominant, proportion of energy supply to the future transport sector: in scenarios aiming to keep the temperature increase below 2 °C by the end of the twenty-first century, models project that in 2100 bioenergy can provide on average 42 EJ/yr (ranging from 5 to 85 EJ/yr) for transport (compared to 3.7 EJ in 2018), mainly through lignocellulosic fuels. This makes up 9–62% of final transport energy use. Only a small amount of bioenergy is projected to be used in transport through electricity and hydrogen pathways, with a larger role for biofuels in road passenger transport than in freight. The association of carbon capture and storage (CCS) with bioenergy technologies (BECCS) is a key determinant in the role of biofuels in transport, because of the competition for biomass feedstock to provide other final energy carriers along with carbon removal. Among models that consider CCS in the biofuel conversion process the average market share of biofuels is 21% in 2100 (ranging from 2 to 44%), compared to 10% (0–30%) for models that do not. Cumulative direct emissions from the transport sector account for half of the emission budget (from 306 to 776 out of 1,000 GtCO 2 ). However, the carbon intensity of transport decreases as much as other energy sectors in 2100 when accounting for process emissions, including carbon removal from BECCS. Lignocellulosic fuels become more attractive for transport decarbonization if BECCS is not feasible for any energy sectors. Since global transport service demand increases and biomass supply is limited, its allocation to and within the transport sector is uncertain and sensitive to assumptions about political as well as technological and socioeconomic factors.

54 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES↗
DOE OSTI2022

First principles prediction of the Al-Li phase diagram including configurational and vibrational entropic contributions

The whole Al-Li phase diagram is predicted from first principles calculations and statistical mechanics including the effect of configurational and vibrational entropy. The formation enthalpy of different configurations at different temperatures was accurately predicted by means of cluster expansions that were fitted from first principles calculations. The vibrational entropic contribution of each configuration was determined from the bond length vs. bond stiffness relationships for each type of bond and the Gibbs free energy of the different phases was obtained as a function of temperature from Monte Carlo simulations. The predicted phase diagram was in excellent agreement with the currently accepted experimental one in terms of the stable (AlLi, Al 2 Li 3 , AlLi 2 , Al 4 Li 9 ) and metastable (Al 3 Li) phases, of the phase boundaries between them and of the maximum stability temperature of line compounds. In addition, it provided accurate information about the gap between Al 3 Li and AlLi solvus lines. Finally, the influence of the vibrational entropy on the correct prediction of the phase diagram is discussed. Overall, the methodology shows that accurate phase diagrams of alloys of technological interest can be predicted from first principles calculations.

36 MATERIALS SCIENCE↗
DOE OSTI2020

Contribution of decomposing plant roots to N 2 O emissions by water absorption

The “sponge effect”, or water absorption by incorporated plant leaf residues, was recently identified as one of the mechanisms that drives activity in microbial hotspots. We explored the presence of the sponge effect in plant root residues, and its role in root decomposition and associated N 2 O and CO 2 emissions. Young soybean (Glycine max) plants were grown in microcosms with two soil materials dominated by (i) large (>30 μm Ø) and (ii) small (<10 μm Ø) pores. After termination, the microcosms with the decomposing roots were incubated at 50% and 75% water-filled pore space (WFPS) soil moisture levels. Root decomposition, water absorption by the decomposing roots, and water redistribution were quantified using X-ray computed micro-tomography (μCT), including dual-energy scanning. The results demonstrated occurrence of the sponge effect in young, in-situ grown soybean roots and sharp gradients in the distribution of the added liquid within ~150 µm distance from the decomposing roots. At 50% WFPS the large pore soil emitted 185% more N 2 O than the small pore soil; and, during the first 5 days of incubation, more N 2 O than the large pore soil at 75% WFPS. This finding indicates that the decomposing roots acted as hotspots of N 2 O production, potentially due to sponge effect and associated anoxic conditions. This study suggests that the interactions between pore characteristics and soil moisture can play a significant role in defining the contribution of detritusphere, specifically, decomposing young roots, to soil biogeochemical processes, including microbial activity and denitrification dynamics.

54 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES↗
DOE OSTI2023

Ironing out the transition metal contribution to the magnetism of the n = 3 members of the homologous series Pr n +1 M n Ge 3 n +1 (M = Fe, Co): Pr 4 Fe 3 Ge 10 vs. Pr 4 Co 3 Ge 10

The Ln n+1 M n X 3n+1 (Ln = lanthanide, M = transition metal, and X = tetrel) homologous series provides a platform to study collective phenomena in quantum materials. Here, in this work, we compare the crystal growth, structure, and magnetic properties of the n = 3 members of the Pr n+1 M n Ge 3n+1 (M = Fe, Co) analogues, Pr 4 Fe 3 Ge 10 (a = 4.3207 (10) Å, b = 35.523 (8) Å, c = 4.2982 (15) Å, and V = 659.7 (3) Å 3 ) and Pr 4 Co 3 Ge 10 (a = 4.3091 (12) Å, b = 35.750 (9) Å, c = 4.2807 (11) Å, and V = 659.4 (3) Å 3 ). We determined that the ideal flux growth conditions for each compound are highly dependent on the concentration of Sn flux and quench temperature. Pr 4 Fe 3 Ge 10 orders ferromagnetically at 10 K along the c-direction while Pr 4 Co 3 Ge 10 orders antiferromagnetically at 16 K along the b-direction. For both compounds, we observed a magnetic moment higher than that expected for only Pr 3+ ions (3.58 µ B /Pr), implying that the transition metal ions contribute to magnetic ordering (3.91, 3.48, and 3.69 µ B /Pr for Pr 4 Fe 3 Ge 10 , and 3.76, 4.04, and 3.83 µ B /Pr for Pr 4 Co 3 Ge 10 measured along the a-, b-, and c-directions, respectively). Moreover, the zero-field Mössbauer spectrum obtained at 4.2 K for Pr 4 Fe 3 Ge 10 demonstrates that the iron sites participate in magnetic ordering.

36 MATERIALS SCIENCE↗
DOE OSTI2024

Old-Aged groundwater contributes to mountain hillslope hydrologic dynamics

Understanding connectivity between the soil and deeper bedrock groundwater is needed to accurately predict a watershed’s response to perturbation, such as drought. Yet, the bedrock groundwater dynamics in mountainous environments are typically under-constrained and excluded from watershed hydrologic models. Here, we investigate the role of groundwater characterized with decadal and longer water ages on the hydrologic and mass-transport processes within a steep snow-dominated mountain hillslope in the Central Rocky Mountains (USA). We quantify subsurface and surface water mass-balance, groundwater flowpaths, and age distributions using the ParFlow-CLM integrated hydrologic and EcoSLIM particle tracking models, which are compared to hydrometric and environmental tracer observations. An ensemble of models with varied soil and hydrogeologic parameters reproduces observed groundwater levels and century-scale mean ages inferred from environmental tracers. The numerical models suggest soil water near the toe of the hillslope contains considerable (>60 % of the mass-flux) contributions from bedrock flowpaths characterized with water ages >10 years. Flowpath connectivity between the deeper bedrock and soil systems is present throughout the year, highlighting the potentially critical role of groundwater with old ages on processes such as evapotranspiration and streamflow generation. The coupled numerical model and groundwater age observations show the bedrock groundwater system influences the hillslope hydrodynamics and should be considered in mountain watershed conceptual and numerical models.

54 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES↗
DOE OSTI2022

S K-edge XAS of Cu Ⅱ , Cu Ⅰ , and Zn Ⅱ oxidized Dithiolene complexes: Covalent contributions to structure and the Jahn-Teller effect

We report reduced dithiolene ligands are bound to high valent Mo centers in the active site of the oxotransferase family of enzymes. Related model complexes have been studied with great insight by Prof. Holm and his colleagues. This study focuses on the other limit of dithiolene chemistry: an investigation of the 2-electron oxidized dithiolene bound to low-valent late transition metal (TM) ions (Zn II , Cu I , and Cu II ). The bonding descriptions of the oxidized dithiolene [N,N-dimethyl piperazine 2,3-dithione (Me 2 Dt 0 )] complexes are probed using S K-edge X-ray absorption spectroscopy (XAS) and the results are correlated to density functional theory (DFT) calculations. These experimentally supported calculations are then extended to explain the different geometric structures of the three complexes. The Zn II (Me 2 Dt 0 ) 2 complex has only ligand-ligand repulsion so it is stabilized at the D 2d symmetry limit. The Cu I (Me 2 Dt 0 ) 2 complex has additional weak backbonding thus distorts somewhat from D 2d toward D 2h symmetry. The Cu II (Me 2 Dt 0 ) 2 complex has a strong σ donor bond that leads to both a large Jahn-Teller stabilization to D 2h and an additional covalent contribution to the geometry. The combined strong stabilization results in the square planar, D 2h structure. This study quantifies the competition between the ligand-ligand repulsion and the change in electronic structures in determining the final geometric structures of the oxidized dithiolene complexes, and provides quantitative insights into the Jahn-Teller stabilization energy and its origin.

37 INORGANIC, ORGANIC, PHYSICAL, AND ANALYTICAL CH↗
DOE OSTI2024

Contribution of IAEA coordinated research projects to light water reactors advanced technology fuel testing and simulation

The Fukushima-Daiichi accident in 2011 highlighted the pressing need for enhanced design and safety analysis of nuclear fuels, especially under accident conditions in nuclear power plants (NPPs). To address this need, the international nuclear fuel community has developed several concepts of Accident Tolerant and Advanced Technology Fuels (ATFs) for light water reactors. The International Atomic Energy Agency (IAEA), at the request of its Member States, has initiated a series of three Coordinated Research Projects (CRPs) to aid in the development and testing of these ATFs. Further, these projects, known as FUMAC, ACTOF, and ATF-TS, focus on the experimentation and simulation of ATFs under various accident conditions, including design basis accidents and design extension conditions. This paper provides a comprehensive overview of the main activities, as well as the achieved or anticipated results of these three CRPs. The insights and advancements gained from these projects will enable IAEA Member States to further refine nuclear fission technology, thereby contributing to efforts aimed at mitigating climate change.

22 GENERAL STUDIES OF NUCLEAR REACTORS↗
DOE OSTI2021

Root exudates shift how N mineralization and N fixation contribute to the plant-available N supply in low fertility soils

Nitrogen (N) availability is a primary constraint to plant productivity, especially in marginal lands with inherently low fertility. Root exudates change with plant nutrient status, and are expected to affect the microbially-mediated N transformations (gross N mineralization vs N fixation) in low fertility soil (low soil organic matter). To explore this possibility, we sampled soils from two monoculture switchgrass (var. Cave-In-Rock) plot with and without N addition at two marginal land sites in Michigan, USA. In a two-week lab incubation, we quantified the effect of different root exudates on gross N mineralization and N fixation by adding simulated root exudates (carbohydrates, organic acids) at a rate of 100 μg C g –1 day –1 . On average, adding carbohydrates to low fertility soil increased the soil respiration by 254%, the dissolved organic carbon (DOC) by 366% and reduced dissolved organic N (DON) by 40%. In contrast, soils receiving organic acids had 159% more soil respiration, 163% higher DOC concentration and the DON concentration increased by 49%. Analysis of the C recovery in measured pools revealed that root exudates C inputs were nearly equivalent to the DOC, microbial biomass carbon (MBC), and soil respiration in sandy soil, but only 45–74% of the root exudate C was recovered in these pools in the sandy loam soil. This suggests that root exudate C may be adsorbed to mineral particles in the sandy loam soil. Soil treated with organic acids had higher gross N mineralization and N immobilization rates than soil with carbohydrates addition. Adding carbohydrates significantly increased the free-living N fixation rates, compared to organic acid addition. Changes in soil pH, and DON induced by root exudate addition had strong association with N transformation rates and N availability. Gross N mineralization produced more plant-available N than N fixation, as evidenced by higher inorganic N concentration in soils receiving organic acids than carbohydrates. Here, by quantifying how different root exudates affect the contribution of N mineralization and N fixation to the plant-available N pool in low fertility soils, this study enhances our understanding of the “C for N” exchange in the plant rhizosphere.

54 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES↗
DOE OSTI2021

Long noncoding RNA AK023096 interacts with hnRNP-K and contributes to the maintenance of self-renewal in bladder cancer stem-like cells

Highlights: • BCSLCs play a critical role for the high risk of recurrence and we identified that lncRNA-AK023096 was required for controls stemness of BCSLCs. • LncRNA-AK023096 recruits hnRNP-K and epigenetically upregulated SOX2 expression by modulating H3K4 trimethylation of SOX2 promoter. • Overexpression of lncRNA-AK023096 expression in the tumor tissue was significantly associated with high risk of recurrence following TUR-Bt. LncRNA contribution to self-renewal of bladder cancer stem-like cells (CSLCs) remains largely unknown. We investigated the expression profile and biological function of lncRNAs in urothelial CSLCs by microarray analysis. Among these, lncRNA-AK023096 was identified as potentially playing a role in maintaining self-renewal of CSLCs. Knockdown of this transcript inhibited spheroid formation and tumor formation. We found that AK023096 mediates recruitment of hnRNP-K to SOX2 promoter and increases H3K4 trimethylation status on SOX2 promoter, leading to a robust change in SOX2 mRNA and protein levels. Moreover, AK023096 expression in primary tumors was found to be a powerful predictor of recurrence following transurethral resection in patients with nonmuscle-invasive bladder cancer, highlighting the critical role of lncRNA in the bladder cancer regulatory network.

60 APPLIED LIFE SCIENCES↗
DOE OSTI2025

Sequential Dosing Strategies for Controlling Selectivity and Plasma-Phase Contributions in Plasma Catalysis

Plasma-assisted catalysis has advanced in recent years, particularly for transforming stable reactants at atmospheric pressure and ambient temperature. However, achieving a deeper understanding of the many plasma and catalytic contributions remains a significant goal, as improving product yield and selectivity in plasma catalysis depends on proper catalyst selection, which is often challenging due to the complex interplay between plasma-phase and plasma-surface reactions. A sequential methodology has emerged as a means to decouple the catalyst activity from plasma-phase reactions. In this approach, nonthermal plasma is used in one step to activate and/or convert a gas phase or surface bound reactant, while in a second step, the catalyst directs product formation under steady-state or temperature-programmed conditions. This review examines studies using this technique for reactions involving N 2 , CO 2 , and SO 2 , offering insights into reaction mechanisms and catalyst behavior/selection for these transformations. These systematic studies provide a framework that can be applied to other plasma-assisted reactions. We also highlight remaining questions, propose directions for future studies, and discuss the potential of applying this methodology to other reaction systems.

37 INORGANIC, ORGANIC, PHYSICAL, AND ANALYTICAL CH↗
DOE OSTI2020

Isolating the Contributions of Specific Network Sites to the Diffuse Vibrational Spectrum of Interfacial Water with Isotopomer-Selective Spectroscopy of Cold Clusters

Decoding the structural information contained in the interfacial vibrational spectrum of water requires understanding how the spectral signatures of individual water molecules respond to their local hydrogen bonding environments. In this study, we isolated the contributions for the five classes of sites that differ according to the number of donor (D) and acceptor (A) hydrogen bonds that characterize each site. These patterns were measured by exploiting the unique properties of the water cluster cage structures formed in the gas phase upon hydration of a series of cations M+·(H2O)n (M = Li, Na, Cs, NH4, CH3NH3, H3O, and n = 5, 20-22). This selection of ions was chosen to systematically express the A, AD, AAD, ADD, and AADD hydrogen bonding motifs. The spectral signatures of each site were measured using two-color, IR-IR isotopomer-selective photofragmentation vibrational spectroscopy of the cryogenically cooled, mass selected cluster ions in which a single intact H2O is introduced without isotopic scrambling, an important advantage afforded by the cluster regime. The resulting patterns provide an unprecedented picture of the intrinsic line shapes and spectral complexities associated with excitation of the individual OH groups, as well as the correlation between the frequencies of the two OH groups on the same water molecule, as a function of network site. The properties of the surrounding water network that govern this frequency map are evaluated by dissecting electronic structure calculations that explore how changes in the nearby network structures, both within and beyond the first hydration shell, affect the local frequency of an OH oscillator. The qualitative trends are recovered with a simple model that correlates the OH frequency with the network-modulated local electron density in the center of the OH bond.

Yang, Nan↗
DOE OSTI2025

Models and Measurements Quantify Photon Recycling, Charge-Carrier Diffusion and Photon Scattering Contributions to Photoluminescence in InP Nanowire Arrays

Nanowire arrays present many unique advantages for solar-to-chemical energy conversion. One possible advantage is that photon recycling between neighboring nanowires has the potential to increase solar energy conversion efficiencies. Here, in this work, we explore three underlying mechanisms of optical and electronic coupling between neighboring nanowires─incident photon scattering, photon recycling, and charge-carrier transport from the photoexcited nanowire to the neighboring nanowire via the underlying substrate─using single nanowire-level microscopy and spectroscopy measurements. We present a comprehensive analysis of light absorption and emission of a single nanowire at open circuit, and subsequent re-absorption and re-emission by a neighboring nanowire. We developed a novel correlated single nanowire microspectroscopy and widefield imaging methodology to spatially resolve photon communication pathways between neighboring nanowires and selectively image re-emitted and reflected photons. We developed unique multiphysics models to couple wave optics and semiconductor photophysics to especially isolate contributions from photon recycling and electronic transport to photon emission from neighboring nanowires. By systematically varying the morphologies of the nanowires modeled, we identified pathways to maximize photon recycling between neighboring nanowires. We concluded that the measured photoluminescence is more strongly influenced by the diffusion of charge carriers as compared to photon recycling in materials with moderate-to-large charge-carrier mobilities (>10 cm 2 V –1 s –1 ), and that photon recycling dictates photoluminescence intensity only when the charge-carrier mobility is low (<1 cm 2 V –1 s –1 ). The experimental and simulation platforms developed herein for photon management strategies can be leveraged by the semiconductor photocatalysis community to enhance solar-to-chemical conversion efficiencies in semiconductor nanowire arrays.

25 ENERGY STORAGE↗
DOE OSTI2025

Heterogeneous and Framework-Bound Copper Species Contribute to Catalytic Partial Methane Oxidation in Cu–Chabazite Zeolites

The relationship between continuous partial methane oxidation (PMO) rates and Cu site speciation in Cu-CHA zeolite catalysts is explored through differential rate measurements across a series of samples of varying compositions combined with density functional theory, first-principles thermodynamics, and statistical models that characterize Cu speciation. Under continuous PMO conditions (573 K, 0.07 kPa O 2 , 3 kPa H 2 O), Cu ions are shown to anchor to the CHA framework in both monomeric (Z 2 Cu and Z 2 CuH 2 O) and dimeric (O- and OH-bridged Cu) forms that are sensitive to the identity of the local framework anchoring site. Consequently, across the studied compositional range, Cu-CHA catalysts are predicted to contain a mixture of monomeric and dimeric Cu sites. Cu-normalized CH 3 OH formation rates extrapolated to zero conversion reflect contributions from multiple site types. Predicted CH 3 OH formation rates indicate that the Cu site reactivity toward CH 4 is influenced by zeolite composition and is likely limited by the reduction half-cycle.

03 NATURAL GAS↗
DOE OSTI2025

Photochemical and Cloud and Aerosol Aqueous Contributions to Regionally-Emitted Shipping and Biogenic Non-Sea-Salt Sulfate Aerosol in Coastal California

Aerosol nonsea-salt sulfate (NSS sulfate) forms in the atmosphere by secondary reactions of emissions from marine phytoplankton and shipping, with gas-phase as well as cloud and aerosol aqueous reactions controlling production. Twelve months of Atmospheric Radiation Measurements (ARM) during the Eastern Pacific Cloud Aerosol Precipitation Experiment (EPCAPE) at Scripps Pier in La Jolla, California, showed the highest NSS sulfate mass concentrations occurred for the northwesterly back-trajectories over 64% of the year, with an average of 0.90 μg/m 3 that contributed 76% of annual NSS sulfate concentration. Multiple Linear Regression (MLR) and a refractory black carbon tracer method attributed 76–80% of the regionally emitted sulfur dioxide (SO 2 ) sources of submicron NSS sulfate to marine biogenic emissions and 20–24% to shipping emissions. MLR for oxidation processes explained 21% of the variability with Downwelling Shortwave Radiation (DSW) driving photochemical reactions to account for 34% of annual regional sulfate production, Upwind Cloud Vertical Fraction (UCVF) controlling cloud-associated oxidation to account for 29%, and relative humidity (RH) describing aerosol-phase oxidation to account for 36%. NSS sulfate was correlated moderately to UCVF during April-June and August but to RH in October-January. These findings show the apportionment of SO 2 emissions to biogenic and shipping sources and provide observational constraints for the mechanisms for sulfate production from SO 2 in the atmosphere.

54 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES↗
DOE OSTI2019

Contributions of extreme and non-extreme precipitation to California precipitation seasonality changes under warming

Changes in seasonality of extreme precipitation have important implications for flood and fire hazards and water resources. Here we explore the contributions of extreme and non-extreme precipitation in the sharpened wet season in California under warming and the underlying mechanisms. Modeling evidence shows that increased extreme precipitation due to enhanced extreme intensity and more extreme days dominates the wetter winter, while decreased non-extreme precipitation due to fewer wet days induces the dryer spring and fall. Moisture budget analysis indicates that increased moisture dominates the extreme precipitation increase in winter, while weakened circulation offsets the moisture increase, resulting in no changes in spring and fall. The sharpened seasonal cycle of extreme precipitation via both dynamic and thermodynamic effects is consistent with the seasonality changes in atmospheric river days and is mainly attributed to the seasonality changes in the number of extreme days rather than the intensity during extreme days.

Dong, Lu↗
DOE OSTI2020

The Contributions of Shear and Turbulence to Cloud Overlap for Cumulus Clouds

The causes of vertical cloud overlap, the ratio between the cloud fraction by area and the cloud fraction by volume, are studied for fields of cumulus convection. Using large-eddy simulations, the structure of individual clouds within the cloud field is inspected and connected to the overall cloud cover of the entire cloud field. First, it is shown that the cloud overlap of the entire field can be well approximated by the total cloud overlap of the individual clouds. It is then shown that a simple maximum overlap assumption, which is commonly used for cloud fields with small layer depth, can only account for roughly half of the overlap inefficiency. This is due to the fact that maximum overlap only represents variations in cloud width as a function of depth but does not take other factors into account, most notably shear or turbulence. The effects of turbulence and wind shear on the overlap of individual clouds are first estimated as a function of cloud depth, which closes the discrepancy between observed cloud overlap and the maximum overlap assumption. Then, an empirical model is developed for the shear and turbulence contributions on overlap as a function of cloud depth and of synoptic conditions. Finally, it is shown that our model is capable of accurately predicting overlap for a large number of cloud fields and under a variety of meteorological conditions.

54 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES↗
DOE OSTI2021

Winter precipitation changes in California under global warming: Contributions of CO2, uniform SST warming, and SST change patterns

Climate models project a wetting winter over California, distinct from the drying in all other Mediterranean climate regions under warming. Dynamic effect via an eastward extension of the westerly jet stream over the North Pacific is the root cause for the wetting California. Utilizing four sets of prescribed-SST (sea surface temperature) simulations, the relative effects of direct CO2 radiative forcing, uniform SST warming, and SST change pattern are investigated. The wetting winter is dominated by uniform SST warming mainly through its effect on the jet extension. As a fundamental response to the enhanced upper-tropospheric warming in the tropics, the jet extension in coupled simulations is well reproduced under uniform SST warming and robust among models. An El Niño-like SST warming pattern has a secondary contribution to the jet extension via atmospheric teleconnection, but with large inter-model spread. Relative to the SST forcing, the direct CO2 radiative effect is negligible.

Dong, Lu↗
DOE OSTI2021

The dominant contribution of Southern Ocean heat uptake to time - evolving radiative feedback in CESM

Radiative feedbacks are found to vary with time in both historical records and future warming projections. Previous studies proposed two factors that determine the variation of radiative feedbacks: (i) the evolution of tropical sea surface warming patterns and (ii) the tropical-extratropical contrast of ocean heat uptake. Our results bridge the two factors by evaluating the remote impact from the extratropical ocean on tropical temperature patterns, accounting for the changes in radiative feedbacks. Based on the Green’s Function approach that quantifies the non-local contributions of regional ocean heat uptake, we show that the net radiative feedback evolution in CESM can be mostly attributed to the heat uptake variations in the Southern Ocean. The enhanced surface warming associated with the weakened heat uptake decades after quadrupling CO2 is not confined over the Southern Ocean, but extends to tropical Southeastern Pacific, which leads to decreasing tropospheric stability and more positive cloud feedbacks.

Lin, Yuan-Jen↗