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At least 415 records · Page 23

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NASA NTRSDate not supplied

Attitude Reconstruction of Free-Flight CFD Generated Trajectories Using Non-Linear Pitch Damping Coefficient Curves

Attitude history reconstruction of Free-flight CFD generated trajectories with non-linear pitch damping coefficient curves is investigated. Free-flight CFD simulations of the capsule shape used for the Genesis sample return mission and the upcoming Dragonfly mission to Titan are conducted for 1-, 2-, and 3-degree-of-freedom cases. Two different data reduction methodologies are employed to derive a pitch damping curve as a function of instantaneous angle of attack. These curves are then used to reconstruct the attitude history of the body which is compared to the raw simulation results. While both data reduction methods produce pitch damping curves that can generally reconstruct the motion seen in the Free-flight simulations, it is found that optimization of the pitch damping curve using an inverse estimation process yields superior and more generalizable results. Further refinement of this technique could allow pitch damping curves derived using CFD to serve as a capability complementary to existing techniques for dynamic stability characterization.

entry↗

NASA NTRSDate not supplied

Attitude Reconstruction of Free-Flight CFD Generated Trajectories Using Non-Linear Pitch Damping Coefficient Curves

entry↗

DOE OSTI2023

Depth profiling and standardization from the back side of a sample for accurate analyses: Emphasis on quantifying low‐fluence, shallow implants in diamond‐like carbon

Rationale Back‐side thinning of wafers is used to eliminate issues with transient sputtering when analyzing near‐surface element distributions. Precise and accurate calibrated implants are created by including a standard reference material during the implantation. Combining these methods allows accurate analysis of low‐fluence, shallow features even if matrix effects are a concern. Methods Implanted Na (<2.0 × 10 11 ions/cm 2 , peaking <50 nm) in diamond‐like carbon (DLC) film on silicon (solar wind returned by NASA's Genesis mission) was prepared for measurement as follows. Implanted surfaces of samples were epoxied to wafers and back‐side‐thinned using physical or chemical methods. Thinned samples were then implanted with reference ions for accurate quantification of the solar wind implant. Analyses used a CAMECA IMS 7f‐GEO SIMS in depth‐profiling mode. Results Back‐side‐implanted reference ions reduced the need to change sample mounts or stage position and could be spatially separated from the solar wind implant even when measuring monoisotopic ions. Matrix effects in DLC were mitigated and the need to find an identical piece of DLC for a reference implant was eliminated. Accuracy was only limited by the back‐side technique itself. Conclusions Combining back‐side depth profiling with back‐side‐implanted internal standards aides quantification of shallow mono‐ and polyisotopic implants. This technique helps mitigate matrix effects and keeps measurement conditions consistent. Depth profile acquisition times are longer, but if sample matrices are homogeneous, procedural changes can decrease measurement times.

37 INORGANIC, ORGANIC, PHYSICAL, AND ANALYTICAL CH↗

DOE OSTI2023

On the relationship between eastern China aerosols and western North Pacific tropical cyclone activity

How aerosols affect the weather and climate system has received increasing attention. This study finds a significant negative correlation between March–May eastern China aerosol optical depth (AOD) and July–November western North Pacific (WNP) tropical cyclone (TC) frequency during 2003–2020. This time period spans when several aerosol reanalyses are available and both Terra and Aqua Moderate Resolution Imaging Spectroradiometer AOD retrievals are assimilated therein. Composite analyses and budget analyses of dynamical genesis potential indices indicate the importance of large-scale environmental factors, especially vertical velocity and vertical wind shear, associated with changes in AOD that in turn modulate changes in WNP TC frequency. Increased eastern China AOD may facilitate negative Pacific meridional mode development via modulation of the westerly jet, which then forces an anticyclonic circulation over the WNP basin. Increased AOD can also directly decrease the inter-hemispheric temperature differential and increases the intra-hemispheric temperature differential between the equator and the mid-latitudes, thus weakening ascending motion and enhancing vertical wind shear over the WNP, especially the southeastern portion of the basin. Further, all of these large-scale environment changes induced by increased eastern China AOD tend to suppress WNP TCs. This study highlights the potential influence of eastern China aerosol loadings on WNP TCs, thus improving our understanding of TC climate variability over the WNP.

54 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES↗

DOE OSTI2021

The Role of Energy Storage in the Uptake of Renewable Energy: A Model Comparison Approach

The power sector needs to ensure a rapid transition towards a low-carbon energy system to avoid the dangerous consequences of greenhouse gas emissions. Storage technologies are a promising option to provide the power system with the flexibility required when intermittent renewables are present in the electricity generation mix. This paper focuses on the role of electricity storage in energy systems with high shares of renewable sources. The study encompasses a model comparison approach where four models (GENeSYS-MOD, MUSE, NATEM, and urbs - MX) are used to analyse the storage uptake in North America. The analysis addresses the conditions affecting storage uptake in each country and its dependence on resource availability, technology costs, and public policies. Results show that storage may promote emissions reduction at lower costs when renewable mandates are in place whereas in presence of carbon taxes, renewables may compete with other low-carbon options. The study also highlights the main modelling approach shortcomings in the modelling of electricity storage in integrated assessment models.

electricity storage↗

DOE OSTI2020

Transport of coexisting Ni-Cu sulfide liquid and silicate melt in partially molten peridotite

Transport of coexisting sulfide and silicate melts in partially molten peridotite contributes to the redistribution of chalcophile elements within the upper mantle as well as the genesis of magmatic Ni-Cu sulfide deposits, but has not been investigated systematically. Using laboratory experiments, theoretical calculations, and X-ray synchrotron microtomography, this study documents the topology and considers controls on the extraction of two immiscible liquids during partial melting of mantle peridotite. Under hydrostatic conditions, the measured dihedral angle at silicate melt-mineral-mineral junctions is 13.7–21.3°. Silicate melt is distributed along grain edges forming incompletely interconnected melt channels that disconnected by some dead ends at melt fractions ~7–9 vol%. Application of theoretically predicted permeability (k ~10 -14 -10 -16 m 2 ) permits estimation of the extraction velocity of silicate melt of 0.7-11.1 μm/day within a single interconnected melt channel. In the absence of silicate melt, isolated sulfide droplets (3.77 vol%) show a sulfide-olivine-olivine dihedral angle of 91.5–101.3°. However, in the presence of silicate melt, sulfide droplets (average size ~2.53±2.14μm, 1σ) are partially surrounded by silicate melt and stranded in triple junctions or melt pockets due to the limitation of the smallest dimension (0.3μm) of melt channels. Thus, the extraction of sulfide liquid is highly restricted by these dead ends and the smallest dimension of melt channels during porous flow of silicate melt. In contrast, during large-strain shear deformation (strain ~1.6–2.5), initially stranded sulfide droplets were elongated and extracted with silicate melt into liquid-rich sheets with a length of several hundred microns, constantly oriented at 14.3±4.5°to the shear plane and antithetic to the shear direction. The angle is lower than that (18-30°) of those sheets containing sulfide liquid only, indicating that silicate melt dominates liquid-rich sheets. Driven by stress, silicate melt-dominated liquid-rich sheets open the appropriately oriented grain boundaries between silicate minerals, thus providing an efficient pathway for the extraction of sulfide liquid during deformation. When such sheet-like channels remain open, sulfide droplets (> millimeter-scale) can be potentially mobile through high strain domains of the upper mantle, contributing to the addition of chalcophile elements and the fertilization of the lithospheric mantle.

high P-T experiment↗

DOE OSTI2023

Dual origin of ferropericlase inclusions within super-deep diamonds

Ferropericlase [(Mg,Fe)O] is one of the major constituents of Earth's lower mantle and the most abundant mineral inclusion in sub-lithospheric diamonds. Although a lower mantle origin for ferropericlase inclusions has often been suggested, some studies have proposed that many of these inclusions may instead form at much shallower depths, in the deep upper mantle or transition zone. No straightforward method exists to discriminate ferropericlase of lower-mantle origin without characteristic mineral associations, such as co-existing former bridgmanite. To explore ferropericlase-diamond growth relationships, we have investigated the crystallographic orientation relationships (CORs), determined by single-crystal X-ray diffraction, between 57 ferropericlase inclusions and 37 diamonds from Juina (Brazil) and Kankan (Guinea). We show that ferropericlase inclusions can develop specific (16 inclusions in 12 diamonds), rotational statistical (9 inclusions in 7 diamonds) and random (32 inclusions in 25 diamond) CORs with respect to their diamond hosts. All measured inclusions showing a specific COR were found to be Fe-rich (X FeO > 0.30). Coexistence of non-randomly and randomly oriented ferropericlase inclusions within the same diamond indicates that their CORs may be variably affected by local growth conditions. However, the occurrence of specific CORs only for Fe-rich inclusions indicates that Fe-rich ferropericlases have a distinct genesis and are syngenetic with their host diamonds. In conclusion, this result provides strong support for a dual origin for ferropericlase in Earth's mantle, with Fe-rich compositions likely indicating redox growth in the upper mantle, while more Mg-rich compositions with random COR mostly representing ambient lower mantle trapped as protogenetic inclusions.

58 GEOSCIENCES↗

DOE OSTI2025

Osmotic control of the spacing of parallel shear cracks in shale growing subcritically in geologic past

The geological genesis of natural cracks in sedimentary rocks such as shale is a problem that needs to be understood to improve the technology of hydraulic fracturing as well as deep sequestration of harmful fluids. Why are the vertical natural cracks roughly parallel and equidistant, and why is the spacing roughly 10 cm rather than 1 cm or 100 cm? Fracture mechanics of critical cracks cannot answer this question. Neither can the material heterogeneity. The growth of critical parallel cracks is impossible because the relative crack face displacements would immediately localize into one crack, leading to an earthquake. The cracks must have formed, on the tectonic time scale, by a slow growth of subcritical shear cracks governed by the Charles-Evans law. The idea advanced here is that what controls the crack spacing is the balance between the reduction, due to shear dilatancy, of the concentration of ions such as Na + and Cl - in each fracture process zone (PFZ), which decelerates the cracks, and the restoration of ion concentration by diffusion of ions from the space between the cracks into the FPZ. This diffusion of water is driven mainly by the osmotic pressure gradient, which offsets the deceleration and depends strongly on the crack spacing. A simple analytical solution of the steady state is rendered possible by approximating the ion concentration profiles between adjacent cracks by parabolic arcs. Applying this theory to Woodford shale yields the approximate crack spacing of 10 cm, which is realistic. Furthermore, the stability of unlimited parallel mode II frictional crack growth is proven by examining the second variation of the free energy. Water concentration drop in the FPZ due to shear dilatancy and its restoration by water diffusion from the inter-crack space have similar effect, although probably much weaker.

42 ENGINEERING↗

DOE OSTI2020

Formation and energetics of amorphous rare earth (RE) carbonates in the RE 2 O 3 –CO 2 –H 2 O system

Amorphous materials are of interest in the genesis of crystalline solids. They are often the first to precipitate from supersaturated solutions and are in the nanometer size range, transforming into a nanocrystalline metastable phase, and then to thermodynamically stable phases. One must seek knowledge of the composition, structure, thermodynamics, kinetics, and reaction pathways that relate the amorphous and crystalline phases. The subject of this study is the amorphous phases in the system RE 2 O 3 -CO 2 –H 2 O (RE- La, Nd, Dy,Yb). They were synthesized via direct precipitation and urea hydrolysis, and characterized by powder XRD, DTA with mass spectrometric analysis of the evolved gases. Phases have the non-stoichiometric composition RE 2 O 3 ·xCO 2 ·yH 2 O (1 < x < 3, 3 < y <7), which is different from that of crystalline simple carbonates and hydroxycarbonates. Thus we consider them to be amorphous precursors, rather than amorphous carbonates. High temperature oxide melt solution calorimetry in molten sodium molybdate solvent was used to derive their enthalpies of formation from oxides and elements. Increase of energetic stability per mole of RE 2 O 3 compounds occurs in the order: RE 2 O 3 → 2RE(OH)3→ 2REO(OH) → RE 2 O 2 CO 3 → Amorphous precursor → 2(REOHCO 3 ) → RE 2 (CO 3 ) 3 ·yH 2 O. We calculated the enthalpies of possible transformations of amorphous precursors to crystalline phases and conclude that thermodynamics determines the dependence of the crystallizing products on the temperature and partial pressure of CO 2 and H 2 O. Amorphous precursors are clearly intermediate in the synthesis, and ternary phases containing both H 2 O and CO 2 compete with each other in terms of thermodynamic stability. The energy landscape obtained here will allow one to directly synthesize specific products and control their functionality.

37 INORGANIC, ORGANIC, PHYSICAL, AND ANALYTICAL CH↗

DOE OSTI2020

CHARMM-GUI Free Energy Calculator for Absolute and Relative Ligand Solvation and Binding Free Energy Simulations

Alchemical free energy simulations have long been utilized to predict free energy changes for binding affinity and solubility of small molecules. However, while the theoretical foundation of these methods is well established, seamlessly handling many of the practical aspects regarding the preparation of the different thermodynamic end states of complex molecular systems and the numerous processing scripts often remains a burden for successful applications. Here, we present CHARMM-GUI Free Energy Calculator (http://www.charmm-gui.org/input/fec) that provides various alchemical free energy perturbation molecular dynamics (FEP/MD) systems with input and post-processing scripts for NAMD and GENESIS. Four submodules are available: Absolute Ligand Binder (for absolute ligand binding FEP/MD), Relative Ligand Binder (for relative ligand binding FEP/MD), Absolute Ligand Solvator (for absolute ligand solvation FEP/MD), and Relative Ligand Solvator (for relative ligand solvation FEP/MD). Each module is designed to build multiple systems of a set of selected ligands at once for high-throughput FEP/MD simulations. The capability of Free Energy Calculator is illustrated by absolute and relative solvation FEP/MD of a set of ligands and absolute and relative binding FEP/MD of a set of ligands for T4-lysozyme in solution and the adenosine A 2A receptor in a membrane. The calculated free energy values are overall consistent with the experimental and published free energy results (within ~1 kcal/mol). We hope that Free Energy Calculator is useful to carry out high-throughput FEP/MD simulations in the field of biomolecular sciences and drug discovery.

37 INORGANIC, ORGANIC, PHYSICAL, AND ANALYTICAL CH↗

DOE OSTI2023

Birth of the Hydrated Electron via Charge-Transfer-to-Solvent Excitation of Aqueous Iodide

A primary means to generate hydrated electrons in laboratory experiments is excitation to the charge-transfer-to-solvent (CTTS) state of a solute such as I – (aq), but this initial step in the genesis of e – (aq) has never been simulated directly using ab initio molecular dynamics. Here, we report the first such simulations, combining ground- and excited-state simulations of I – (aq) with a detailed analysis of fluctuations in the Coulomb potential experienced by the nascent solvated electron. What emerges is a two-step picture of the evolution of e – (aq) starting from the CTTS state: I – (aq) + hν → I –* (aq) → I • (aq) + e – (aq). Notably, the equilibrated ground state of e – (aq) evolves from I –* (aq) without any nonadiabatic transitions, simply as a result of solvent reorganization. The methodology used here should be applicable to other photochemical electron transfer processes in solution, an important class of problems directly relevant to photocatalysis and energy transfer.

Carter-Fenk, Kevin↗

DOE OSTI2022

Understanding Hydrogenation Chemistry at MgB 2 Reactive Edges from Ab Initio Molecular Dynamics

Solid-state hydrogen storage materials often operate via transient, multistep chemical reactions at complex interfaces that are difficult to capture. Here, we use direct ab initio molecular dynamics simulations at accelerated temperatures and hydrogen pressures to probe the hydrogenation chemistry of the candidate material MgB 2 without a priori assumption of reaction pathways. Focusing on highly reactive ($10\overline{1}0$) edge planes where initial hydrogen attack is likely to occur, we track mechanistic steps toward the formation of hydrogen-saturated BH 4 – units and key chemical intermediates, involving H 2 dissociation, generation of functionalities and molecular complexes containing BH 2 and BH 3 motifs, and B–B bond breaking. Further, the genesis of higher-order boron clustering is also observed. Different charge states and chemical environments at the B-rich and Mg-rich edge planes are found to produce different chemical pathways and preferred speciation, with implications for overall hydrogenation kinetics. The reaction processes rely on B–H bond polarization and fluctuations between ionic and covalent character, which are critically enabled by the presence of Mg 2+ cations in the nearby interphase region. Our results provide guidance for devising kinetic improvement strategies for MgB 2 -based hydrogen storage materials, while also providing a template for exploring chemical pathways in other solid-state energy storage reactions.

08 HYDROGEN↗

DOE OSTI2021

Dioxygen Activation Kinetics over Distinct Cu Site Types in Cu-Chabazite Zeolites

Cu-exchanged zeolites activate dioxygen to form active sites for partial methane oxidation (PMO), nitrogen oxide decomposition, and carbon monoxide oxidation. Apparent rates of O 2 activation depend both on the intrinsic kinetics of distinct Cu site types and the distributions of such sites within a given zeolite, which depend on the density and arrangement of the framework Al atoms. In this work, we use hydrothermal synthesis methods to control the arrangement of framework Al sites in chabazite (CHA) zeolites and, in turn, the distinct Cu site types formed. Time-resolved in situ Raman spectroscopy reveals the kinetics of O 2 adsorption and activation within these well-defined Cu-CHA materials and the concomitant structural evolution of copper–oxygen (Cu x O y ) complexes, which are interpreted alongside Cu(I) oxidation kinetics extracted from in situ X-ray absorption spectroscopy (XAS). Raman spectra of several plausible Cu x O y species simulated using density functional theory suggest that experimental spectra (λ ex = 532 nm) capture the formation of mono(μ-oxo)dicopper species (ZCuOCuZ). Transient experiments show that the timescales required to form Cu x O y structures that no longer change in Raman spectra correspond to the durations of oxidative treatments that maximize CH 3 OH yields in stoichiometric PMO cycles (approximately 2 h). Yet, these periods extend well beyond the timescales for the complete conversion of the initial Cu(I) intermediates to their Cu(II) states (<0.3 h, reflected in X-ray absorption near edge spectroscopy spectra), which demonstrates that Cu x O y complexes continue to evolve structurally following rapid Cu(I) oxidation. The dependence of ZCuOCuZ formation rates on O 2 pressure, H 2 O pressure, and temperature is consistent with a mechanism in which ZCuOH reduces to form ZCu + sites that bind molecular oxygen and form ZCu-O 2 intermediates. Subsequent reaction with proximate ZCu + forms bridging peroxo dicopper complexes that cleave O–O bonds to form ZCuOCuZ in steps facilitated by water. These data and interpretations provide evidence for the chemical processes that link rapid and kinetically irrelevant Cu oxidation steps (frequently probed by XAS and UV–vis spectroscopy) to the relatively slow genesis of reactive Cu complexes that form CH 3 OH during PMO. In doing so, we reveal previously unrecognized complexities in the processes by which Cu ions in zeolites activate O 2 to form active Cu x O y complexes, which underscore the insight afforded by judicious combinations of experimental and theoretical techniques.

37 INORGANIC, ORGANIC, PHYSICAL, AND ANALYTICAL CH↗

DOE OSTI2025

Polyethylene Upcycling to Liquid Alkanes in Molten Salts under Neat and External Hydrogen Source-Free Conditions

Development of facile approaches to convert plastic waste into liquid fuels under neat conditions is highly desired but challenging, particularly without noble metal catalysts and an external hydrogen source. Herein, highly efficient and selective polyethylene-to-gasoline oil (branched C 6 –C 12 alkanes) conversion was achieved under mild conditions (<170 °C) using commercially available AlCl 3 -containing molten salts as reaction media and to provide catalytic sites (no extra solvents, additives, or hydrogen feeding). The high catalytic efficiency and selectivity was ensured by the abundant active Al sites with strong Lewis acidity (comparable to the Al type in acidic zeolite) and highly ionic nature of the molten salts to stabilize the carbenium intermediates. Dynamic genesis of the Al sites was elucidated via time-resolved Al K-edge soft X-ray and 27 Al NMR, confirming the tricoordinated Al 3+ as active sites and its coordination with the as-generated alkene/aromatic intermediates. Further, the carbenium formation and polyethylene chain variation was illustrated by inelastic neutron scattering (INS) and an isotope-labeling experiment. Theoretical simulations further demonstrated the successive hydride abstraction, β-scission, isomerization, and internal hydrogen transfer reaction pathway with AlCl 3 as active sites. This facile catalytic system can further achieve the conversion of robust, densely assembled, and high molecular weight plastic model compounds to liquid alkane products in the diesel range.

37 INORGANIC, ORGANIC, PHYSICAL, AND ANALYTICAL CH↗

DOE OSTI2021

An Improved Representation of Aerosol Wet Removal by Deep Convection and Impacts on Simulated Aerosol Vertical Profiles

Here, we introduce a physics-based aerosol wet removal scheme with unified treatments of aerosol transport and removal by convective clouds into the Community Atmosphere Model version 6. Since several important physical processes are still neglected or poorly represented in this new physics-based scheme, we develop secondary improvements to the parameterizations of aerosol activation, resuspension, and cloud-borne aerosol detrainment in this new scheme. Changes in the aerosol wet removal scheme cause tropospheric aerosol concentrations to decrease to different extents: compared to the control run, the physics-based scheme significantly decreases aerosol burdens by up to 60% over the southern Pacific Ocean, whereas the secondary improvements mitigate the decreasing tendency. The burden changes also depend on aerosol chemical components: the sulfate mass decrease is compensated by secondary production, black carbon (BC) is effectively removed via increasing the hygroscopicity of particulate organic matter from 0 to 0.2, and dust shows the most spatially heterogeneous changes. Simulated aerosol profiles are evaluated against aircraft-based observations over the Pacific and Atlantic Oceans. The secondary-improved scheme reduces the overestimations of upper tropospheric BC and sea salt concentrations by a factor of 10 and 1,000, respectively, and reproduces the dependence of BC mass decrease rates on cloud types. Consideration of convective cloud-borne aerosol detrainment plays the most important role in enhancing the aerosol wet removal and decreasing the positive biases of tropospheric BC and sea salt concentrations. We also summarize unresolved issues related to convective cloud genesis and microphysics, cloud-borne aerosol evolution, and BC and dust emissions.

54 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES↗

DOE OSTI2021

A Binomial Stochastic Framework for Efficiently Modeling Discrete Statistics of Convective Populations

Abstract Understanding the coupling between convective clouds and the general circulation, as well as addressing the gray zone problem in convective parameterization, requires insight into the genesis and maintenance of spatial patterns in cumulus cloud populations. In this study, a simple toy model for recreating populations of interacting convective objects as distributed over a two‐dimensional Eulerian grid is formulated to this purpose. Key elements at the foundation of the model include i) a fully discrete formulation for capturing discrete behavior in convective properties at small population sample sizes, ii) object age‐dependence for representing life‐cycle effects, and iii) a prognostic number budget allowing for object interactions and co‐existence of multiple species. A primary goal is to optimize the computational efficiency of this system. To this purpose the object birth rate is represented stochastically through a spatially aware Bernoulli process. The same binomial stochastic operator is applied to horizontal advection of objects, conserving discreteness in object number. The applicability to atmospheric convection as well as behavior implied by the formulation is assessed. Various simple applications of the BiOMi model (Binomial Objects on Microgrids) are explored, suggesting that important convective behavior can be captured at low computational cost. This includes i) subsampling effects and associated powerlaw scaling in the convective gray zone, ii) stochastic predator‐prey behavior, iii) the downscale turbulent energy cascade, and iv) simple forms of spatial organization and convective memory. Consequences and opportunities for convective parameterization in next‐generation weather and climate models are discussed.

37 INORGANIC, ORGANIC, PHYSICAL, AND ANALYTICAL CH↗

DOE OSTI2021

Tropical Cyclone Precipitation Response to Surface Warming in Aquaplanet Simulations With Uniform Thermal Forcing

While many modeling studies have attempted to estimate how tropical cyclone (TC) precipitation is impacted by climate change, the multitude of analysis techniques and methodologies have resulted in varying conclusions. Simplified models may be able to help overcome this problem. Radiative-convective equilibrium (RCE) model simulations have been used in various configurations to study fundamental aspects of Earth's climate. While many RCE modeling studies have focused on TC genesis, intensification, and size, limited work has been done using RCE to study TC precipitation. Here, in this study, the response of TC precipitation to sea surface temperature (SST) change is analyzed in global Community Atmosphere Model (CAM) aquaplanet simulations run with Radiative-Convective Equilibrium Model Intercomparison Project protocols, with the addition of planetary rotation. We expect that the insight gained about how TC precipitation responds to SST warming will help predict how TCs in the real world respond to climate change. In the CAM RCE simulations, the warmer SST simulations have less TCs on average, but the TCs tend to be larger in outer size and more intense. As simulation SST increases, more extreme precipitation rates occur within TCs, and more of the TC precipitation comes from these extreme rates. For extreme (99th percentile) TC precipitation, SST, and TC intensity increases dominate the 8.6% per K increase, while TC outer size changes have little impact. For accumulated TC precipitation, SST, and TC intensity contributions are still the majority, but TC outer size changes also contribute to the 6.6% per K increase.

54 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES↗

DOE OSTI2022

Characteristics and Variability of Winter Northern Pacific Atmospheric River Flavors

Abstract Atmospheric rivers (ARs) are intensive poleward moisture transport events that are essential to the global hydrological cycle and are often linked to extreme weather events. We categorize the winter North Pacific ARs into two “flavors”: wind‐dominated (windy ARs) and moisture‐dominated (wet ARs) using 40 years of hourly data from fifth generation of the European Centre for Medium‐Range Weather Forecasts Interim Reanalysis. We compare the differences between windy ARs and wet ARs including the lifecycle characteristics (such as genesis locations and changes of meteorological elements through the lifecycle), overall AR frequency, landfall impacts, and variability. The windy ARs are more likely to occur in the midlatitudes, while wet ARs are more active in the subtropics. Windy ARs are associated with intensive surface pressure lows, where the strong pressure gradient can support the strong wind within ARs. Due to larger size and longer lifetime, wet ARs are more likely to produce more precipitation over a lifecycle. By scaling the landfalling ARs, we show that wet ARs dominate the high‐category ARs (Category 4 and 5) with higher spatial frequency and more precipitation, and windy ARs have higher contributions in the lower AR categories especially over British Columbia. Windy ARs are modulated by El Niño Southern Oscillation (ENSO) teleconnections via the anomalous geopotential height and extended subtropical jet. Wet ARs are affected by the anomalous sea surface temperature over the midlatitudes related to ENSO. Sensitivity analysis with an alternate AR detection algorithm shows consistent results on AR flavors but with disagreement on the amplitude.

54 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES↗