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All sourcesNASA NTRSDOE OSTI
DOE OSTI2025

Cold air quench control of local crystallization environment in fully air-processed carbon-based perovskite solar cells

Carbon-based perovskite solar cells (C-PSCs) present a low-cost route to efficient photovoltaic technology. Gas quenching is an essential process commonly used for solvent extraction in scalable module fabrication using solution processes, but film quality remains highly sensitive to the localized environmental processing temperature, especially during intermediate phase transitions before perovskite film high temperature annealing. In this study, we introduce a cold air quench strategy to precisely control the local crystallization temperature that simultaneously promotes uniform crystallization and facilitates strain relaxation in fully air-processed C-PSCs. It is found that implementing dry air at 10 °C as the quenching gas yields a champion power conversion efficiency (PCE) of 20.52 %, with preferential (110) orientation and reduced, homogenized in-plane strain. This newly developed technique of a cost-effective low temperature air quenching process also enhances carrier lifetime, reduces interface recombination, and improves charge extraction. Furthermore, this work presents cold air quenching as a scalable, economic method to control perovskite crystallization and strain in C-PSC fabrication, advancing the industrial viability of high-performance perovskite modules.

14 SOLAR ENERGY↗
DOE OSTI2022

Potential State Regulatory Pathways to Facilitate Low-Carbon Fuels

States and the federal government are increasingly engaged in the challenges around decarbonizing the electric grid. In particular, regulators, consumers, stakeholders, and utilities recognize the need to carefully consider the role natural gas will play in a decarbonized future. A variety of technology and policy options to reduce greenhouse gas emissions associated with natural gas use are available, including energy efficiency programs, demand reduction tools, strategic electrification, and strategies to reduce emissions from natural gas production, transportation, and consumption. Low-carbon fuels – mainly renewable natural gas (RNG) and clean hydrogen – are being considered an important component of decarbonization goals. RNG and hydrogen may be able to meaningfully reduce emissions from processes independent of geologic natural gas, displacing emissions of methane, a powerful greenhouse gas. Although RNG and hydrogen are not cost-competitive today with geologic natural gas and are smaller in scale and potential than other decarbonization options, they can be explored as potential critical tools to decarbonize sectors that are difficult to electrify or shift off of natural gas entirely, such as air travel, industrial processes, maritime transport, long-distance trucking, space heating on cold days, and railroads (Nadel, 2022). The role of this report is to provide informational context for state utility regulators to understand the impacts of and challenges associated with broader integration of low-carbon fuels, followed by examples of state regulatory actions taken to date to facilitate the development of low-carbon fuels. Setting clear guidance to calculate the environmental benefits of low-carbon fuels and continuing federal and state investments in research and development to reduce costs relative to fossil fuels will be important steps to take to signal the desire to grow the market for these fuels. State public utility commissions may play a key role in setting regulatory frameworks for low-carbon fuels and ensuring that ratepayer funds, if utilized, are done so to further the public interest. This report is intended to summarize decisions that states have made to date on low-carbon fuels. In the spirit of understanding the current market and sharing information, this report provides success stories, and lessons learned across states as regulators implement varying strategies to achieve decarbonization objectives while maintaining their focus on affordability, safety, and reliability of the energy system. The report begins with an introduction of the role of natural gas in the U.S. economy (Section I) and background information on natural gas use, decarbonization, and low-carbon fuels (Section II). Next, the report describes the current market by discussing the scale of current production, emissions intensity, resource potential, and costs of low-carbon fuels compared to geologic natural gas (Section III). Following these sections, the report describes four strategies states have employed to facilitate low-carbon fuels: opening exploratory dockets, approving voluntary tariffs for customers, approving interconnection tariffs for producers, and considering portfolio-wide procurement targets (Section IV). This section lists states that have taken actions in each category, citing utility filings, commission decisions, stakeholder comments, and other relevant sources. Finally, the report concludes with suggested questions regulators may wish to consider regarding low-carbon fuels, in the interest of preparing to make decisions in the future (Section V). These questions include: Are there existing regulatory or technical barriers to voluntary purchases of low-carbon fuels? Can customers work with utilities to procure low-carbon fuels; are producers able to interconnect projects without significant barriers to entry? Should the infrastructure and/or commodity costs of low-carbon fuels be socialized among all ratepayers, or borne solely by the large commercial and industrial (C&I) customers currently driving the market? Should regulated natural gas and/or electric utilities own and operate low-carbon fuel production? How should regulators consider the unique decarbonization potential of low-carbon fuels, particularly for hard-to-abate sectors, in decision-making? Is additional direction or clarity from state policymakers needed? What no-regrets approaches can help facilitate both near-term RNG development and long-term development of hydrogen and other zero-carbon fuels? We collectively wish to express our gratitude to the U.S. Department of Energy, Office of Fossil Energy and Carbon Management, for supporting this report and other technical assistance resources for state regulators on natural gas topics. State regulators operate under a variety of policy environments, and states have vastly different types of energy resources, infrastructure, and customers. While there is no optimal regulatory, policy, or technological solution that will be successful in every state, state regulators can benefit by exchanging lessons learned with their peers across the country. We look forward to continued engagement with our fellow commissioners, commission staff, NARUC, the U.S. Department of Energy, and other stakeholders to develop sound regulation in the public interest.

03 NATURAL GAS↗
DOE OSTI2021

Geomechanical and flow implications with continued bioconversion of coal to methane: Experiments and modeling

Microbial conversion of coal to methane is a promising technology during transition of coal-based energy from conventional coal mining to natural gas recovery from coal. Significant research advances have been made towards engineering ideal microbial communities and nutrients for bio-stimulation of coal. However, actual field applications require geomechanical and flow behavior characterization of coal during the bioconversion process as well as gas production over the life of the created “biogenic gas reservoirs”. This work presents the results of an experimental investigation to estimate gas/methane production using bioconversion of coal and analyses of variations in bulk modulus, strain and permeability. Bulk modulus of coal demonstrated time-dependent behavior with continued bioconversion of solid coal. The phenomenon was modeled using mass balancing in a closed environment and the logistic equation based biogenic gas production with time. The modeled gas production and changes in modulus of coal showed excellent agreement with the corresponding experimental results. Next, numerical simulation of biogenic conversion of coal in a constant stress in-situ condition, replicating the Huff ‘n Puff method under field conditions, was carried out. The results showed that bioconversion can lead to decrease in effective stress, increase in permeability and decrease in the modulus of coal with time. Repeated recharge of coal with nutrients and recovering the produced gas, that is, sequential cycles of Huff n’ Puff, showed further increase in permeability and decrease in coal strength, potentially leading to coal failure in-situ, further increasing the permeability, thus enhancing the prospect of field application of the technology.

01 COAL, LIGNITE, AND PEAT↗
DOE OSTI2022

Semi-analytic spectral fitting: simultaneously modelling the mass accumulation and chemical evolution in MaNGA spiral galaxies

We develop a novel semi-analytic spectral fitting approach to quantify the star formation histories (SFHs) and chemical enrichment histories (ChEHs) of individual galaxies. We construct simple yet general chemical evolution models that account for gas inflow and outflow processes as well as star formation, to investigate the evolution of merger-free star-forming systems. These models are fitted directly to galaxies’ absorption-line spectra, while their emission lines are used to constrain current gas phase metallicity and star formation rate. We apply this method to spiral galaxies selected from the SDSS-IV Mapping Nearby Galaxies at Apache Point Observatory survey. By fitting the co-added absorption-line spectra for each galaxy, and using the emission-line constraints on present-day metallicity and star formation, we reconstruct both the SFHs and the ChEHs for all objects in the sample. We can use these reconstructions to obtain archaeological measures of derived correlations such as the mass–metallicity relation at any redshift, which compare favourably with direct observations. We find that both the SFHs and ChEHs have strong mass dependence: massive galaxies accumulate their stellar masses and become enriched earlier. This mass dependence causes the observed flattening of the mass–metallicity relation at lower redshifts. The model also reproduces the observed gas-to-stellar mass ratio and its mass dependence. Moreover, we are able to determine that more massive galaxies have earlier gas infall times and shorter infall time-scales, and that the early chemical enrichment of low-mass galaxies is suppressed by strong outflows, while outflows are not very significant in massive galaxies.

79 ASTRONOMY AND ASTROPHYSICS↗
DOE OSTI2025

Tracing the Cosmic Evolution of the Cool Circumgalactic Medium of Luminous Red Galaxies with DESI Year 1 Data

We investigate the properties of the cool circumgalactic medium (CGM) of massive galaxies and their cosmic evolution. By using the year 1 dataset of luminous red galaxies (LRGs) and QSOs from the Dark Energy Spectroscopic Instrument survey, we construct a sample of approximately 600,000 galaxy-quasar pairs and measure the radial distribution and kinematics of the cool gas traced by Mg II absorption lines as a function of galaxy properties from redshift 0.4 to redshift 1.2. Our results show that the covering fraction of the cool gas around LRGs increases with redshift, following a trend similar to the global evolution of galaxy star formation rate. At small radii (< 0.3rvir), the covering fraction anti-correlates with stellar mass, suggesting that mass-dependent processes suppress the cool gas content in the inner region. In addition, we measure the gas dispersion by modeling the velocity distribution of absorbers with a narrow and a broad components -- sigma_n ~ 160 and sigma_b ~ 380 km/s -- and quantify their relative contributions. The results show that the broad component becomes more prominent in the outer region, and its relative importance in the central region grows with increasing stellar mass. Finally, we discuss possible origins of the cool gas around massive galaxies, including the contribution of satellite galaxies and the precipitation scenario.

Chang, Yu-Ling [Taiwan, Natl. Taiwan U.] (ORCID:00↗
DOE OSTI2022

Failure analysis of solid oxide fuel cells nickel-yttria stabilized zirconia anode under siloxane contamination

In this study, the failure process of the solid oxide fuel cell (SOFC) Ni-yttria-stabilized zirconia (YSZ) anode is investigated with D4 siloxane (octamethylcyclotetrasiloxane) contamination. In order to evaluate the influence of the electrochemical reaction on the siloxane deposition process, the SOFC experiments were operated at open circuit voltage (OCV) and 50 mA cm -2 conditions at 800°C. During the failure process, electrochemical, morphology and exhaust gas component analysis testing are conducted at the critical points. An equivalent circuit model and corresponding microstructure parameter calculations for separated physicochemical processes were utilized for the quantitative analysis of the failure process. Further, the results confirm the siloxane chemical adsorption deposition mechanism proposed in previous work. As a result, the failure of the anode was attributed to the gas diffusion blockage by dense silicon dioxide layer formation. The anode failure process with siloxane contamination is faster when the anode is operated under polarization.

25 ENERGY STORAGE↗
DOE OSTI2023

Microbial sensitivity to temperature and sulfate deposition modulates greenhouse gas emissions from peat soils

Abstract Peatlands are among the largest natural sources of atmospheric methane (CH 4 ) worldwide. Microbial processes play a key role in regulating CH 4 emissions from peatland ecosystems, yet the complex interplay between soil substrates and microbial communities in controlling CH 4 emissions as a function of global change remains unclear. Herein, we performed an integrated analysis of multi‐omics data sets to provide a comprehensive understanding of the molecular processes driving changes in greenhouse gas (GHG) emissions in peatland ecosystems with increasing temperature and sulfate deposition in a laboratory incubation study. We sought to first investigate how increasing temperatures (4, 21, and 35°C) impact soil microbiome–metabolome interactions; then explore the competition between methanogens and sulfate‐reducing bacteria (SRBs) with increasing sulfate concentrations at the optimum temperature for methanogenesis. Our results revealed that peat soil organic matter degradation, mediated by biotic and potentially abiotic processes, is the main driver of the increase in CO 2 production with temperature. In contrast, the decrease in CH 4 production at 35°C was linked to the absence of syntrophic communities and the potential inhibitory effect of phenols on methanogens. Elevated temperatures further induced the microbial communities to develop high growth yield and stress tolerator trait‐based strategies leading to a shift in their composition and function. On the other hand, SRBs were able to outcompete methanogens in the presence of non‐limiting sulfate concentrations at 21°C, thereby reducing CH 4 emissions. At higher sulfate concentrations, however, the prevalence of communities capable of producing sufficient low‐molecular‐weight carbon substrates for the coexistence of SRBs and methanogens was translated into elevated CH 4 emissions. The use of omics in this study enhanced our understanding of the structure and interactions among microbes with the abiotic components of the system that can be useful for mitigating GHG emissions from peatland ecosystems in the face of global change.

AminiTabrizi, Roya↗
DOE OSTI2022

Economic analysis of precious metal recovery from electronic waste through gas-assisted microflow extraction

The recycling of end-of-life (EoL) electronic products is motivated by the enormous investment of resources in their creation and the environmental concerns associated with electronic waste (e-waste). Hydrometallurgical methods that utilize conventional leaching and solvent extraction are often applied to extract target materials from e-waste; however, these techniques have significant technical and economic limitations when extracting high-value, low concentration metals from complex waste streams. This study proposes and evaluates a novel process based on gas-assisted microflow extraction (GAME) that efficiently recovers precious metals from waste printed circuit boards (WPCBs). Further, an economic analysis is conducted to verify the economic feasibility of the GAME-based process at an industrial scale. The economic outputs are further investigated to identify the most cost-effective production strategies, particularly with respect to the plant feedstock rate. It is envisioned that this study may establish a paradigm for making economically-informed decisions for sustainable technologies.

42 ENGINEERING↗
DOE OSTI2020

Electron beam injection from a hollow cathode plasma into a downstream reactive environment: Characterization of secondary plasma production and Si 3 N 4 and Si etching

A material etching system was developed by combining beam electron injection from a direct current (DC) hollow-cathode (HC) electron source with the downstream reactive environment of a remote CF 4 /O 2 low temperature plasma. The energy of the injected beam electrons is controlled using an acceleration electrode biased positively relative to the HC Argon discharge. For an acceleration voltage greater than the ionization potential of Ar, the extracted primary electrons can produce a secondary plasma in the process chamber. We characterized the properties of the secondary plasma by performing Langmuir probe measurements of the electron energy probability function (EEPF) 2.5 cm below the extraction ring. The data indicate the existence of two major groups of electrons, including electrons with a primary beam electron energy which varies as the acceleration voltage is varied, along with low energy electrons produced by ionization of the Ar gas atoms in the process chamber by the injected beam electrons. When combining the HC Ar beam electron with a remote CF 4 /O 2 electron cyclotron wave resonance (ECWR) plasma, the EEPF of both the low energy plasma electron and beam electron components decreases. Additionally, we studied surface etching of Si3N4 and poly-crystalline Si (poly-Si) thin films as a function of process parameters, including the acceleration voltage (0-70 V), discharge current of the HC discharge (1-2 A), pressure (2- 100 mTorr), source to substrate distance (2.5 to 5 cm), and feed gas composition (with or without CF 4 /O 2 ). The direction of the incident beam electrons was perpendicular to the surface. Si 3 N 4 and poly-crystalline silicon etching are seen and indicate an electronneutral synergy effect. No/little remote plasma spontaneous etching was observed for the conditions used in this study, and the etching is confined to the substrate area irradiated by the injected beam electrons. The electron etched Si 3 N 4 surface etching rate profile distribution is confined within a ~30 mm diameter circle, which is slightly broader than the area for which poly-Si etching is seen, and coincides closely with the spatial profile of beam electrons as determined by the Langmuir probe measurements. The magnitude of poly-Si etching rate is by a factor of two times smaller than the Si 3 N 4 etching rate. In this paper, we discuss possible explanations of the data and the role of surface charging.

70 PLASMA PHYSICS AND FUSION TECHNOLOGY↗
DOE OSTI2025

Machine learning for single-ended event reconstruction in PROSPECT experiment

The Precision Reactor Oscillation and Spectrum Experiment, PROSPECT, was a segmented antineutrino detector that successfully operated at the High Flux Isotope Reactor in Oak Ridge, TN, during its 2018 run. Despite challenges with photomultiplier tube base failures affecting some segments, innovative machine learning approaches were employed to perform position and energy reconstruction, and particle classification. This work highlights the effectiveness of convolutional neural networks and graph convolutional networks in enhancing data analysis. By leveraging these techniques, a 3.3% increase in effective statistics was achieved compared to traditional methods, showcasing their potential to improve analysis performance. Furthermore, these machine learning methodologies offer promising applications for other segmented particle detectors, underscoring their versatility and impact.

47 OTHER INSTRUMENTATION↗
DOE OSTI2023

Renewable Electrolysis System Development (Final Report)

Renewable hydrogen is becoming globally recognized as a key component required for de-carbonization of our energy system, both as a medium for capture of excess renewable energy sources, vehicle refueling, and as an intermediate for multiple industrial processes. Hydrogen production, via low-temperature electrolysis, is a flexible grid-friendly, clean energy carrying intermediate that enables fast ramp and de-ramp rates as naturally varying solar, wind, and storage systems become a larger percentage of the electricity mix. Analysis shows that by 2050, employing renewable hydrogen at scale can decrease total U.S. CO 2 emissions by about half relative to business as usual, critical to achieving >80% greenhouse gas reduction targets. Energy storage systems help commercial customers reduce their electric bills by storing energy from the grid or from renewable electricity sources when energy is inexpensive, then using that stored energy when demand and prices are high. Proton exchange membrane (PEM) electrolysis is one of the few technologies that can produce hydrogen with zero carbon emissions at relevant scale (hundreds of MWs) in the near term. NREL's research has shown that electrolyzers are fast and flexible enough to participate in energy and ancillary service markets that can help stabilize the grid. In 2015, Proton OnSite (now NEL Hydrogen) introduced the M-series electrolyzer platform, the world's first megawatt PEM electrolyzer for the global energy storage market, offering a carbon-free source of hydrogen fuel or process gas. In addition, the ability to sell the hydrogen into a high value application like vehicle (e.g., light- and heavy-duty and material handling) fueling allows for a layering of revenue streams that creates better business cases for hydrogen energy storage systems (HES). The ability to provide multiple value streams from the fast-responding controllable electrolyzer will have a direct impact on the net cost of hydrogen.

08 HYDROGEN↗
DOE OSTI2022

Oxidative coupling of methane (OCM) conversion into C 2 products through a CO 2 /O 2 co-transport membrane reactor

Oxidative coupling of methane (OCM), which transforms CH 4 into C 2 products (C 2 H 6 and C 2 H 4 ) with molecular O 2 as the oxidant, is one of the most studied direct methane conversions (DMCs). However, a major technical hurdle to the OCM process is to achieve high CH 4 conversion at high C 2 (C 2 H 6 and C 2 H 4 ) selectivity. One rudimentary cause for this “tradeoff” behavior is the high chemical reactivity of the products (C 2 H 6 or C 2 H 4 ), which can be re-oxidized by O 2 . To overcome this thermodynamic challenge, minimizing the oxidizing power of the oxidant and lowering the local oxygen partial pressure are keys. Here, In this work, we demonstrate a new membrane reactor that capture CO 2 /O 2 from a flue gas and uses it for OCM conversion. The results show that the co-captured CO 2 /O 2 mixture converts CH 4 into C 2 H 6 in the presence of a 2%Mn–5%Na 2 WO 4 /SiO 2 catalyst, followed by thermal cracking of C 2 H 6 into C 2 H 4 and H 2 . The presence of CO 2 decreases the local partial pressure of O 2 , thus reducing the propensity of C 2 -products re-oxidation and leading to a higher C 2 selectivity. We show that a small button-type membrane reactor can achieve 12% C 2 yield with ~57% C 2 -selectivity using a diluted CH 4 -Ar mixture as the feedstock. We expect higher C 2 yield with tubular plug-flow membrane reactors in the future. We also highlight the unique advantage of the membrane reactor in intensifying CO 2 capture from both flue gas and OCM purification process into one single step.

42 ENGINEERING↗
DOE OSTI2024

Catalytic Hydrogenolysis of Polyethylene Under Reactive Separation

Deconstruction of polyolefins by catalytic hydrogenolysis is typically accompanied by the generation of undesired light gases. At reaction temperatures, the desired liquid products also tend to be volatile. Secondary cleavage of these liquid products contributes to light gas formation. The latter process was mitigated by reactive separation, continuously separating the liquid products from the catalyst throughout the experiment. At equivalent conversion, the yield and selectivity for oligomeric liquid species are increased under reactive separation, even though the carbon–carbon bond cleavage rate is slower than that in sealed experiments. More light gas is formed in the sealed reactor. Under 1 atm H 2 partial pressure, alkenes accompany the typical alkane hydrogenolysis products. Further, the alkene yield is higher, with greater selectivity for valuable α-olefins under reactive separation. These results provide the mechanistic insight that terminal alkenes are primary products of carbon–carbon bond cleavage during hydrogenolysis under experimental conditions, and secondary deconstruction of these species produces light gases.

37 INORGANIC, ORGANIC, PHYSICAL, AND ANALYTICAL CH↗
DOE OSTI2026

Data for An End-to-End Pipeline for Succinic Acid Production at an Industrially Relevant Scale Using Issatchenkia orientalis

Microbial production of succinic acid (SA) at an industrially relevant scale has been hindered by high downstream processing costs arising from neutral pH fermentation for over three decades. Here, we metabolically engineer the acid-tolerant yeast Issatchenkia orientalis for SA production, attaining the highest titers in sugar-based media at low pH (pH 3) in fed-batch fermentations, i.e. 109.5 g/L in minimal medium and 104.6 g/L in sugarcane juice medium. We further perform batch fermentation using sugarcane juice medium in a pilot-scale fermenter (300×) and achieve 63.1 g/L of SA, which can be directly crystallized with a yield of 64.0%. Finally, we simulate an end-to-end low-pH SA production pipeline, and techno-economic analysis and life cycle assessment indicate our process is financially viable and can reduce greenhouse gas emissions by 34–90% relative to fossil-based production processes. We expect I. orientalis can serve as a general industrial platform for production of organic acids.

Metabolomics↗
DOE OSTI2022

Characterization of DWPF Melter Primary Off-Gas Line Pluggage Deposits

This report details results from characterization of the Defense Waste Processing Facility (DWPF) melter off-gas pluggage deposits collected in late calendar year 2021 from the outlet of the jumper immediately preceding the quencher. DWPF requested through a technical assistance request characterization of the melter off-gas deposits by X-Ray diffraction (XRD), Scanning Electron Microscopy (SEM), Energy Dispersive X-ray Analysis (EDAX), chemical analysis and both aqueous and organic leaching of the solids.

12 MANAGEMENT OF RADIOACTIVE AND NON-RADIOACTIVE W↗
DOE OSTI2022

Development of an innovative process for post-combustion CO 2 capture to produce high-value NaHCO 3 nanomaterials

An innovative post-combustion process using aqueous sodium glycinates solutions (SGS) for CO 2 capture from a split flue gas stream emitted from the 600 MWe coal power plant, used in the Wolverine Clean Energy Venture (WCEV) project, was developed in Aspen Plus v.10. The flue gas flow rate used in the process was 12.43 kg/s (at 353.15 K and 101.33 kPa) and contained 0.0023 and 13.33 mol% of SO 2 and CO 2 , respectively. The overall process includes 5 main units designed to remove all SO 2 and capture more than 90 mol% of CO 2 in the flue gas stream, while producing high-value, salable sodium bicarbonate (NaHCO 3 ) nanomaterials to offset the total process costs. The hydraulics, mass transfer characteristics, and process performance obtained using Aspen Plus were discussed. Also, the capital expenditure (CAPEX), operating expenditure (OPEX), and Levelized cost of CO 2 capture (LCOC) were calculated to assess the feasibility of this process. Further, the hydraulics in the SO 2 washing and CO 2 capture units showed a pressure drop of 12 and 1 kPa, respectively, and the behaviors of the liquid holdup and normalized packing specific wetted surface area were similar in both units. The gas-side mass transfer coefficients were orders of magnitude greater than the liquid-side mass transfer coefficients. The process was able to capture 2.352 kg/s of CO 2 and produce 4.486 kg/s of valuable NaHCO 3 nanomaterials. Also, the calculated CAPEX, OPEX, and LCOC of the process for a 30-year plant lifetime were ($\$ $4,450,552), (233.00 $\$ $/h) and (35.49 $\$ $/ton of CO 2 captured), respectively.

37 INORGANIC, ORGANIC, PHYSICAL, AND ANALYTICAL CH↗
DOE OSTI2022

Exploring New Ways to Classify Industries for Energy Analysis and Modeling

As the US moves closer to embracing a net zero greenhouse gas emissions position, combustion processes outside the power sector are becoming urgent concerns. Industry is an important end user of energy and relies on fossil fuels used directly for process heating and as feedstocks for a diverse range of applications. Fuel and energy use by industry is heterogeneous, meaning that even a single product group can vary broadly in its production routes and associated energy usage. In the US, the North American Industry Classification System (NAICS) serves as the basis for data collection and reporting. In turn, data based on NAICS is the foundation of most US energy modeling. Thus, the effectiveness of NAICS at representing energy use is a limiting condition for plans to improve energy efficiency and alternatives to fossil fuels in industry. Facility-level data to build more detail into heterogeneous sectors is scarce. This work explores alternative classification schemes for industry based on energy use characteristics, and provides a validation of an approach to make facility-level energy use estimates based on publicly available data from the greenhouse gas reporting program. First, several approaches to industrial taxonomies and their usefulness for industrial energy modeling are summarized. Data from Industrial Assessment Centers is analyzed using unsupervised machine learning techniques to detect clusters. Cladistics, an approach from biology, is adapted to energy and process characteristics of industries. A cladogram is presented for evolutionary directions in the iron and steel sector. Cladograms are a promising tool for constructing scenarios and summarizing directions of sectoral innovation. Finally, validation is performed for facility-level energy estimates from the US EPA Greenhouse Gas Reporting Program. This validation assists in making this data source available for use in energy modeling. Together, this work explores alternative approaches for categorizing industries in a way that aids understanding energy use, and presenting pathways for the future.

29 ENERGY PLANNING, POLICY, AND ECONOMY↗