The Use of Joint Models in Analysis of Aggregate Endpoints in RERF Cohort Studies
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ABSTRACT The three-year CO2 injection period at the Illinois Basin - Decatur Project site (Decatur, Illinois, United States) produced a number of microseismic events distributed in very distinct spatiotemporal clusters with different orientations. Further characterization of the microseismicity encompasses the determination of the event source mechanisms. Initially, the microseismic monitoring network consisted solely of borehole sensors, but has been extended with surface sensors, thereby significantly improving the data coverage over the focal sphere. This article focuses on 23 events from the northernmost microseismic cluster (about 2 km from the injection point) and takes advantage of both, surface and downhole, recordings. The resulting strike-slip east–west-oriented focal planes are all consistent with the east–west orientation of the cluster in map view. The injection-related increase of pore pressure is far below the formation fracture pressure; however, small stress-field changes associated with the pore-pressure increase may reach as far as to the investigated cluster location. Monte Carlo modeling of the slip reactivation potential within this cluster showed that the observed maximum stress-field orientation of N068° is the optimum orientation for fault reactivation of the east–west-oriented cluster. Our results suggest that the east–west orientation of the investigated cluster is the main reason for its activation, even though the cluster is about 2 km away from the low-pressure injection point.
Imagine being able to predict — with unprecedented accuracy and precision — the structure of the proton and neutron, and the forces between them, directly from the dynamics of quarks and gluons, and then using this information in calculations of the structure and reactions of atomic nuclei and of the properties of dense neutron stars (NSs). Also imagine discovering new and exotic states of matter, and new laws of nature, by being able to collect more experimental data than we dream possible today, analyzing it in real time to feed back into an experiment, and curating the data with full tracking capabilities and with fully distributed data mining capabilities. Making this vision a reality would improve basic scientific understanding, enabling us to precisely calculate, for example, the spectrum of gravity waves emitted during NS coalescence, and would have important societal applications in nuclear energy research, stockpile stewardship, and other areas. This review presents the components and characteristics of the exascale computing ecosystems necessary to realize this vision.
NETL and EMRE will focus on fundamental questions aimed at understanding the controlling factors on tight oil production flow paths and how those flow paths are impacted by the hydraulic fracturing fluids and processes. Key questions for the Parties to explore include the following: Are there geochemical reactions between hydrocarbon producing tight reservoir rocks and water from the hydraulic fracturing process? To what extent does this alteration impact oil production? By further characterizing the flow paths near the fracture-matrix interface, what is the relative impact of geochemical process compared to geomechanical changes on production? This research focuses on rock types found in the Permian Basin. The research drives along two main thrusts: 1) Inorganic geochemistry studies involving representative rock types, connate fluids (hydrocarbons and water), and injected fluids (fracturing water) will be conducted in order to bound the kinetics of key mineral reactions; 2) Computed tomography (CT) for characterization of flow paths as a function of geochemical and geomechanical processes associated with hydraulic fracture creation and reservoir production. The objective of this characterization is to ultimately develop new insights into the role geochemical and geomechanical effects play on production. The work will include studying mechanical damage near the rock-fracture interface and how it impacts flow properties.
Identification and characterization of underground events from surface or remote data requires a thorough understanding of the rock material properties. However, material properties usually come from borehole data, which is expensive and not always available. A potential alternative is to use topographic characteristics to approximate the strength, but this has never been done before quantitatively. Here we present the results from the first steps towards this goal. We have found that there are strong correlations between compressive and tensile strengths and slopes, but these correlations vary depending on data analysis details. Rugosity may be better correlated to strength than slope values. More comprehensive analyses are needed to fully understand the best method of predicting strength from topography for this area. We also found that misalignment of multiple GIS datasets can have a large influence on the ability to make interpretations. Lastly, these results will require further study in a variety of climatic conditions before being applicable to other sites.
We explore the use of multiple deep learning models for detecting flaws in software programs. Current, standard approaches for flaw detection rely on a single representation of a software program (e.g., source code or a program binary). We illustrate that, by using techniques from multimodal deep learning, we can simultaneously leverage multiple representations of software programs to improve flaw detection over single representation analyses. Specifically, we adapt three deep learning models from the multimodal learning literature for use in flaw detection and demonstrate how these models outperform traditional deep learning models. We present results on detecting software flaws using the Juliet Test Suite and Linux Kernel.
This document describes LANL Storage Program best practices when working with other User Sites to implement DOE M441.1-1 Manual requirements through the use of the SAVY nuclear material packaging system. It is a Manual directive for Field Element Managers to review and approve the SAVY-4000 container series design (with supporting technical basis) as a packaging system for use at their respective sites. This review and approval incorporates an evaluation of the User Site methodology for SAVY surveillance and the process for documenting its nuclear materials storage program. This document aims to assist the Field Element Mangers and User Sites in the processes necessary to credit LANL SAVY surveillance for key elements of the User Site surveillance plan.
Funds are requested to support the attendance of junior scientists at two international conferences: the International Symposium on Phototrophic Prokaryotes (ISPP) and the International Conference on Microbial Photosynthesis (ICMP). Both will be held on the campus of the University of British Colombia in Vancouver in August of 2018. The primary goal of the ISPP is to provide a forum for students and senior investigators to gather in an informal setting to share new scientific findings on all aspects of bacterial phototrophs (both anoxygenic and oxygenic). The ICMP will appeal to those working on photosynthetic processes in these organisms as well as in eukaryotic phototrophs for other reasons (e.g. as major producers in the oceans, as models for marine phytoplankton, as biofuel-producing systems, etc.). The ICMP was designed to follow the ISPP such that students and postdocs could attend two conferences for the travel costs of one. The funds will be used to defray the registration costs of graduate student and postdoctoral attendees to make it even more affordable for junior scientists.
The ability to easily and cheaply transport carbon dioxide (CO 2 ) from coal-fired power plants equipped with capture facilities to multiple, potentially distant utilization sites of widely varying scales will enable wider use of CO 2 captured from flue gas. In the case of algal biomass cultivation, delivery of CO 2 in the form of carbonate-based materials may provide a more efficient and economical method of inorganic carbon delivery than CO 2 sparging, reducing the cost of algae cultivation and increasing the value of carbon capture. Lawrence Livermore National Laboratory (LLNL) has developed advanced manufactured materials that are well-suited for carbon capture, storage, transport, and delivery. These materials consist of aqueous sodium carbonate, which captures CO 2 as sodium bicarbonate, extruded or 3D printed in a CO 2 permeable polymer to increase the surface area and improve capture kinetics. By encapsulating carbonate solutions, LLNL has demonstrated order-of-magnitude enhancements in carbon capture rates compared with liquid carbonates, enabling the use of these (otherwise kinetically-limited) inexpensive, environmentally-benign solvents for carbon capture.
Identification and characterization of underground events from surface or remote data requires a thorough understanding of the rock material properties. However, material properties usually come from borehole data, which is expensive and not always available. A potential alternative is to use topographic characteristics to approximate the strength, but this has never been done before quantitatively. Here we present the results from the first steps towards this goal. We have found that there are strong correlations between compressive and tensile strengths and slopes, but these correlations vary depending on data analysis details. Rugosity may be better correlated to strength than slope values. More comprehensive analyses are needed to fully understand the best method of predicting strength from topography for this area. We also found that misalignment of multiple GIS datasets can have a large influence on the ability to make interpretations. Lastly, these results will require further study in a variety of climatic conditions before being applicable to other sites.
A new DOE/NREL industry collaboration called the Gearbox Reliability Collaborative 1.5 (GRC1.5) will undertake field testing on a commercial multi-megawatt wind turbine gearbox to collect loading data as installed in the turbine to thoroughly characterize gearbox loads and responses during actual in-field conditions. A chief outcome is to provide publicly available operational loading data to the industry. This will provide a greater understanding of steady-state, transient, and fault response for both the input and output of the gearbox; thus, facilitating improvements in the gearbox components, lubrication system, power converter or turbine controller.
A new Department of Energy (DOE)/NREL industry collaboration called the Drivetrain Reliability Collaborative 1.5 (DRC1.5) will undertake field testing on a commercial multi-megawatt wind turbine drivetrain to collect loading data as installed in the turbine to thoroughly characterize drivetrain loads and responses during actual in-field conditions. A chief outcome is to provide publicly available operational loading data to the industry. This will provide a greater understanding of steady-state, transient, and fault response for both the input and output of the drivetrain; thus, facilitating improvements in the drivetrain components, lubrication system, power converter or turbine controller.
The fundamental goal of the W80-4 Life Extension Program (LEP) is the design and production of a safe and reliable system. Ensuring long-term viability and chemical compatibility of the materials in the warhead is paramount to its success. To that end, the material and aging compatibility team, which includes researchers from Lawrence Livermore and Sandia National Laboratories (SNL), has launched the LEP’s most comprehensive compatibility test to date.
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Interconnect, solder, and metallization-related failures are the primary reason for premature Si-based photovoltaic panel failure [1, 2] and can lead to a cascade of other failures, including thermal events. This combination of high severity and high occurrence means that understanding interconnect-related failures is key to the long-term health of the photovoltaic industry, and it is crucial that the industry adopt efficient and effective tests that aid in design-for-reliability and manufacturing quality control.
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