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NASA NTRS2010

Meeting Radiation Protection Requirements and Reducing Spacecraft Mass - A Multifunctional Materials Approach

Both crew and radio-sensitive systems, especially electronics must be protected from the effects of the space radiation environment. One method of mitigating this radiation exposure is to use passive-shielding materials. In previous vehicle designs such as the International Space Station (ISS), materials such as aluminum and polyethylene have been used as parasitic shielding to protect crew and electronics from exposure, but these designs add mass and decrease the amount of usable volume inside the vehicle. Thus, it is of interest to understand whether structural materials can also be designed to provide the radiation shielding capability needed for crew and electronics, while still providing weight savings and increased useable volume when compared against previous vehicle shielding designs. In this paper, we present calculations and analysis using the HZETRN (deterministic) and FLUKA (Monte Carlo) codes to investigate the radiation mitigation properties of these structural shielding materials, which includes graded-Z and composite materials. This work is also a follow-on to an earlier paper, that compared computational results for three radiation transport codes, HZETRN, HETC, and FLUKA, using the Feb. 1956 solar particle event (SPE) spectrum. In the following analysis, we consider the October 1989 Ground Level Enhanced (GLE) SPE as the input source term based on the Band function fitting method. Using HZETRN and FLUKA, parametric absorbed doses at the center of a hemispherical structure on the lunar surface are calculated for various thicknesses of graded-Z layups and an all-aluminum structure. HZETRN and FLUKA calculations are compared and are in reasonable (18% to 27%) agreement. Both codes are in agreement with respect to the predicted shielding material performance trends. The results from both HZETRN and FLUKA are analyzed and the radiation protection properties and potential weight savings of various materials and materials lay-ups are compared.

Atwell, William↗

NASA NTRS1976

Mission design implications of an inclined elliptical geosynchronous orbit /International Ultraviolet Explorer/

In order to maximize the weight capability, an inclined elliptical geosynchronous orbit rather than the initially conceived circular one was selected for the International Ultraviolet Explorer (IUE), a joint NASA/ESA effort to study the ultraviolet spectra of stars, galaxies and nebulae. The design of intermediate and mission orbits satisfying the numerous mission requirements and constraints is discussed. The other areas of mission analysis included in the paper are launch window analysis, and orbit evolution and stationkeeping analysis. A significant result of the study is the manner in which statistical data, generated by a Monte Carlo simulation, were incorporated into the pre-flight mission analysis.

Dial, O. L.↗

NASA NTRS2007

Particle Analysis Pitfalls

This viewgraph presentation reviews the use of particle analysis to assist in preparing for the 4th Hubble Space Telescope (HST) Servicing mission. During this mission the Space Telescope Imaging Spectrograph (STIS) will be repaired. The particle analysis consisted of Finite element mesh creation, Black-body viewfactors generated using I-DEAS TMG Thermal Analysis, Grey-body viewfactors calculated using Markov method, Particle distribution modeled using an iterative Monte Carlo process, (time-consuming); in house software called MASTRAM, Differential analysis performed in Excel, and Visualization provided by Tecplot and I-DEAS. Several tests were performed and are reviewed: Conformal Coat Particle Study, Card Extraction Study, Cover Fastener Removal Particle Generation Study, and E-Graf Vibration Particulate Study. The lessons learned during this analysis are also reviewed.

Hughes, David↗

NASA NTRS1986

Studies of radiative transfer in planetary atmospheres

Schloerb and Claussen continued their analysis of the very high quality data set obtained on the 18 centimeter OH line from the Comet P/Halley with the NRAO 43 meter antenna. The high spectral resolution (0.22 km/sec) and high signal-to-noise of the OH spectra make them ideal for the study of kinematics in the coma. Synthetic profiles were initiated for comparison with the data. A vectorial model was developed using the Monte Carlo techniques originated by Combi and Delsemme. Analysis of the millimeter wavelength observations of HCN emission from P/Halley obtained throughout much of the recent apparition were continued using the University of Massachusetts 14 millimeter-wavelength (FCRAO) antenna. A detailed analysis of the HCN lineshpaes was performed over the last six months. The excitation of HCN in the coma was studied to obtain a detailed match to the observed spectra. The passive millimeter wave radiometer was used to probe the physical and chemical nature of comets from spacecraft. Work was continued on an improved theory of radiative transfer for rough and porous surfaces, such as the regoliths of satellites, asteroids, and comets.

Irvine, W. M.↗

NASA NTRS2013

Simple Sensitivity Analysis for Orion GNC

The performance of Orion flight software, especially its GNC software, is being analyzed by running Monte Carlo simulations of Orion spacecraft flights. The simulated performance is analyzed for conformance with flight requirements, expressed as performance constraints. Flight requirements include guidance (e.g. touchdown distance from target) and control (e.g., control saturation) as well as performance (e.g., heat load constraints). The Monte Carlo simulations disperse hundreds of simulation input variables, for everything from mass properties to date of launch.We describe in this paper a sensitivity analysis tool (Critical Factors Tool or CFT) developed to find the input variables or pairs of variables which by themselves significantly influence satisfaction of requirements or significantly affect key performance metrics (e.g., touchdown distance from target). Knowing these factors can inform robustness analysis, can inform where engineering resources are most needed, and could even affect operations. The contributions of this paper include the introduction of novel sensitivity measures, such as estimating success probability, and a technique for determining whether pairs of factors are interacting dependently or independently. The tool found that input variables such as moments, mass, thrust dispersions, and date of launch were found to be significant factors for success of various requirements. Examples are shown in this paper as well as a summary and physics discussion of EFT-1 driving factors that the tool found.

Monte Carlo Simulation↗

NASA NTRSDate not supplied

Aerothermal Effects of Hypersonic Shock Impingement on a Highly Swept Leading Edge

A numerical study is conducted to investigate aerothermal implications of oblique shock impingement on a highly swept leading edge in hypersonic flow, with flow conditions and geometry relevant to non-propulsive leading edge heating on hypersonic cruise vehicles. In contrast to propulsive inlet leading edge shock impingement, which has been subject to extensive historical study, bow shock impingement on a highly swept wing leading edge has received comparatively little attention in the literature. Distinguishing characteristics of this type of flow include a potentially dominant surface heating contribution from crossflow-induced viscous dissipation, possible wall velocity slip and temperature jump effects, and various modes of shock layer thermal nonequilibrium that can interact with shock impingement flowfield structures. One overall goal of this work is to assess the impact of bow shock impingement and related nonequilibrium phenomena for wing leading edge design, materials selection and thermal management. Another goal is to improve understanding – and thereby reduce associated design margins – for the physical processes and mechanisms that may influence wing leading edge heating in the presence of an impinging shock. A combination of direct simulation Monte Carlo and Reynolds-averaged Navier-Stokes analysis is used to assess surface and flowfield characteristics for a series of hypersonic shock impingement problems, based on historical ground tests and related flight conditions. Favorable comparisons are performed with experimental data, and various thermal nonequilibrium effects are quantified.

direct simulation Monte Carlo↗

NASA NTRS2007

A Risk-Based Approach for Aerothermal/TPS Analysis and Testing

The current status of aerothermal and thermal protection system modeling for civilian entry missions is reviewed. For most such missions, the accuracy of our simulations is limited not by the tools and processes currently employed, but rather by reducible deficiencies in the underlying physical models. Improving the accuracy of and reducing the uncertainties in these models will enable a greater understanding of the system level impacts of a particular thermal protection system and of the system operation and risk over the operational life of the system. A strategic plan will be laid out by which key modeling deficiencies can be identified via mission-specific gap analysis. Once these gaps have been identified, the driving component uncertainties are determined via sensitivity analyses. A Monte-Carlo based methodology is presented for physics-based probabilistic uncertainty analysis of aerothermodynamics and thermal protection system material response modeling. These data are then used to advocate for and plan focused testing aimed at reducing key uncertainties. The results of these tests are used to validate or modify existing physical models. Concurrently, a testing methodology is outlined for thermal protection materials. The proposed approach is based on using the results of uncertainty/sensitivity analyses discussed above to tailor ground testing so as to best identify and quantify system performance and risk drivers. A key component of this testing is understanding the relationship between the test and flight environments. No existing ground test facility can simultaneously replicate all aspects of the flight environment, and therefore good models for traceability to flight are critical to ensure a low risk, high reliability thermal protection system design. Finally, the role of flight testing in the overall thermal protection system development strategy is discussed.

Wright, Michael J.↗

NASA NTRS1976

Cost estimation: An expert-opinion approach

A methodology is outlined which can be used to estimate the costs of research and development projects. The approach uses the Delphi technique a method developed by the Rand Corporation for systematically eliciting and evaluating group judgments in an objective manner. The use of the Delphi allows for the integration of expert opinion into the cost-estimating process in a consistent and rigorous fashion. This approach can also signal potential cost-problem areas. This result can be a useful tool in planning additional cost analysis or in estimating contingency funds. A Monte Carlo approach is also examined.

Buffalano, C.↗

NASA NTRS1978

Performance and economic risk evaluation of dispersed solar thermal power systems by Monte Carlo simulation

A preliminary comparative evaluation of dispersed solar thermal power plants utilizing advanced technologies available in 1985-2000 time frame is under way at JPL. The solar power plants of 50 KWe to 10 MWe size are equipped with two axis tracking parabolic dish concentrator systems operating at temperatures in excess of 1000 F. The energy conversion schemes under consideration include advanced steam, open and closed cycle gas turbines, stirling, and combined cycle. The energy storage systems include advanced batteries, liquid metal, and chemical. This paper outlines a simple methodology for a probabilistic assessment of such systems. Sources of uncertainty in the development of advanced systems are identified, and a computer Monte Carlo simulation is exercised to permit an analysis of the tradeoffs of the risk of failure versus the potential for large gains. Frequency distribution of energy cost for several alternatives are presented.

Manvi, R.↗

NASA NTRS1982

Sensitivity analysis as an aid in modelling and control of (poorly-defined) ecological systems

A literature review of the use of sensitivity analyses in modelling nonlinear, ill-defined systems, such as ecological interactions is presented. Discussions of previous work, and a proposed scheme for generalized sensitivity analysis applicable to ill-defined systems are included. This scheme considers classes of mathematical models, problem-defining behavior, analysis procedures (especially the use of Monte-Carlo methods), sensitivity ranking of parameters, and extension to control system design.

Hornberger, G. M.↗

NASA NTRS1985

Vector computer memory bank contention

A number of vector supercomputers feature very large memories. Unfortunately the large capacity memory chips that are used in these computers are much slower than the fast central processing unit (CPU) circuitry. As a result, memory bank reservation times (in CPU ticks) are much longer than on previous generations of computers. A consequence of these long reservation times is that memory bank contention is sharply increased, resulting in significantly lowered performance rates. The phenomenon of memory bank contention in vector computers is analyzed using both a Markov chain model and a Monte Carlo simulation program. The results of this analysis indicate that future generations of supercomputers must either employ much faster memory chips or else feature very large numbers of independent memory banks.

Bailey, D. H.↗

NASA NTRS1985

Cometary atmospheres: Modeling the spatial distribution of observed neutral radicals

An algorithm for the random walk problem of multiple elastic collisions between newly formed non-thermal neutral cometary radicals and the outflowing cometary molecules was incorporated into the Monte Carlo particle-trajectory model. Preliminary model analysis has shown that the effects of collision on the observed spatial distribution of cometary radicals becomes important for the larger bright comets, especially at smaller values of the helicocentric distance. The model and early results are discussed herein.

Combi, M. R.↗

NASA NTRS1987

Vector computer memory bank contention

Bailey, David H.↗

NASA NTRS1988

Imaging and spectroscopy of Comet P/Halley

The goals of this investigation are the analysis of a large set of high-resolution echelle/reticon spectra, and the reduction and analysis of a set of narrow-band-filtered charge coupled device (CCD) images of Comet Halley taken during the preperihelion period at Oak Ridge Observatory by Dr. R. E. McCrosky. The scientific objectives associated with these goals are the determination of the spatial distributions of several important radicals, atoms and ions in the coma. These include C2, CN, C3, H2O(+) and CO(+) from the image data. The analysis of the neutral species distribution with Monte Carlo models will aid in the understanding of their production and decay mechanisms as well as serve as an important indicator of the physical conditions in the inner coma. The spatial distributions of the ions will serve as a guide to constrain the complex model necessary for understanding the interaction of the solar wind and the cometary ions. Work during this past year has been devoted largely to the reduction of the standard star photometry for the CCD image data set, as well as the re-flat-fielding of a number of the comet images. We are pleased to report that despite a number of setbacks and the small effort devoted to this work (2 1/2 months for the PI and a generous share of completely unsupported time by Dr. McCrosky) that this portion of the work has been successfully completed. The goals for the upcoming final year of this project (under a new project number) are to complete the calibration of the CCD image data for inclusion in the IHW archive, to analyze a select portion of the neutral radical images with our Monte Carlo models, and to present the results of the 6300/region spectra as a guide to low-resolution spectral observers in order to yield the unambiguous separation of the contributions of cometary O(1D), airglow O(1D), and the numerous NH2 lines in that region of the spectrum.

Combi, Michael R.↗

NASA NTRS1989

Tolerancing the LITE optical system

This paper describes the optical system used in the Lidar In-Space Technology Experiment (LITE) and presents the results of a study designed to generate a tolerance budget for the LITE, using the combination of manual and Monte Carlo tolerancing techniques utilizing the SYNOPSYS optical analysis program. The tolerance budget derived for LITE, including the contributions of both the fabrication and the alignment of the optical-path elements, are presented. It is shown that the nature of the design allows for typical optical shop tolerances of about 5 mils of despace and decenter, 0.1 deg of tilt, and about 5 fringes of surface figure error.

Wilson, Mark E.↗

NASA NTRS1990

Numerical simulation of rarefied gas flow through a slit

Two different approaches, the finite-difference method coupled with the discrete-ordinate method (FDDO), and the direct-simulation Monte Carlo (DSMC) method, are used in the analysis of the flow of a rarefied gas from one reservoir to another through a two-dimensional slit. The cases considered are for hard vacuum downstream pressure, finite pressure ratios, and isobaric pressure with thermal diffusion, which are not well established in spite of the simplicity of the flow field. In the FDDO analysis, by employing the discrete-ordinate method, the Boltzmann equation simplified by a model collision integral is transformed to a set of partial differential equations which are continuous in physical space but are point functions in molecular velocity space. The set of partial differential equations are solved by means of a finite-difference approximation. In the DSMC analysis, three kinds of collision sampling techniques, the time counter (TC) method, the null collision (NC) method, and the no time counter (NTC) method, are used.

Keith, Theo G., Jr.↗

NASA NTRS1992

FDDO and DSMC analyses of rarefied gas flow through 2D nozzles

Two different approaches, the finite-difference method coupled with the discrete-ordinate method (FDDO), and the direct-simulation Monte Carlo (DSMC) method, are used in the analysis of the flow of a rarefied gas expanding through a two-dimensional nozzle and into a surrounding low-density environment. In the FDDO analysis, by employing the discrete-ordinate method, the Boltzmann equation simplified by a model collision integral is transformed to a set of partial differential equations which are continuous in physical space but are point functions in molecular velocity space. The set of partial differential equations are solved by means of a finite-difference approximation. In the DSMC analysis, the variable hard sphere model is used as a molecular model and the no time counter method is employed as a collision sampling technique. The results of both the FDDO and the DSMC methods show good agreement. The FDDO method requires less computational effort than the DSMC method by factors of 10 to 40 in CPU time, depending on the degree of rarefaction.

Chung, Chan-Hong↗

NASA NTRS1994

Simulation of Low-density Nozzle Plumes in Non-zero Ambient Pressures

The direct simulation Monte-Carlo (DSMC) method was applied to the analysis of low-density nitrogen plumes exhausting from a small converging-diverging nozzle into finite ambient pressures. Two cases were considered that simulated actual test conditions in a vacuum facility. The numerical simulations readily captured the complicated flow structure of the overexpanded plumes adjusting to the finite ambient pressures, including Mach disks and barrel shaped shocks. The numerical simulations compared well to experimental data of Rothe.

Chung, Chan-Hong↗