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At least 415 records · Page 23

Max '91 Workshop 2: Developments in Observations and Theory for Solar Cycle 22

Papers and observatory reports presented at the second workshop of the Max '91 program are compiled along with discussion group summaries and invited reviews. The four discussion groups addressed the following subjects: high-energy flare physics; coordinated magnetograph observations; flare theory and modeling; and Max '91 communications and coordination. A special session also took place on observations of Active Region 5395 and the associated flares of March 1989. Other topics covered during the workshop include the scientific objectives of solar gamma ray observations, the solar capabilities of each of the four instruments on the Gamma Ray Observatory, and access to Max '91 information.

Winglee, Robert M.↗

Balloon measurements of cosmic ray protons and helium over half a solar cycle 1965-1969.

Evaluation of differential energy spectra for protons and helium covering the energy range from 100 to 260 MeV/nucleon obtained from balloon flights made each summer (1965 to 1969) at Churchill, Manitoba, with the aid of a Geiger-tube hodoscope operated in conjunction with two scintillation elements used to measure dE/dx and E. Supplementary data from balloon flights at Minneapolis, Minn., and Sioux Falls, S. Dak. and from calibration exposures to protons and electrons were used to define backgrounds and to verify the predicted detector response. The observed proton spectra are characterized over a wide range of energy (30 to 300 MeV) by a simple relationship between cosmic-ray intensity J and kinetic energy T: J = AT. The helium spectra also follow this law at solar maximum but rise less steeply near solar minimum. This characteristic behavior can be interpreted in terms of a simple model in which convection is balanced by adiabatic deceleration.-

Rygg, T. A.↗

Upper Thermosphere Winds and Temperatures in the Geomagnetic Polar Cap: Solar Cycle, Geomagnetic Activity, and Interplanetary Magnetic Field Dependencies

Ground-based Fabry-Perot interferometers located at Thule, Greenland (76.5 deg. N, 69.0 deg. W, lambda = 86 deg.) and at Sondre Stromfjord, Greenland (67.0 deg. N, 50.9 deg. W, lambda = 74 deg.) have monitored the upper thermospheric (approx. 240-km altitude) neutral wind and temperature over the northern hemisphere geomagnetic polar cap since 1983 and 1985, respectively. The thermospheric observations are obtained by determining the Doppler characteristics of the (OI) 15,867-K (630.0-nm) emission of atomic oxygen. The instruments operate on a routine, automatic, (mostly) untended basis during the winter observing seasons, with data coverage limited only by cloud cover and (occasional) instrument failures. This unique database of geomagnetic polar cap measurements now extends over the complete range of solar activity. We present an analysis of the measurements made between 1985 (near solar minimum) and 1991 (near solar maximum), as part of a long-term study of geomagnetic polar cap thermospheric climatology. The measurements from a total of 902 nights of observations are compared with the predictions of two semiempirical models: the Vector Spherical Harmonic (VSH) model of Killeen et al. (1987) and the Horizontal Wind Model (HWM) of Hedin et al. (1991). The results are also analyzed using calculations of thermospheric momentum forcing terms from the Thermosphere-ionosphere General Circulation Model TGCM) of the National Center for Atmospheric Research (NCAR). The experimental results show that upper thermospheric winds in the geomagnetic polar cap have a fundamental diurnal character, with typical wind speeds of about 200 m/s at solar minimum, rising to up to about 800 m/s at solar maximum, depending on geomagnetic activity level. These winds generally blow in the antisunward direction, but are interrupted by episodes of modified wind velocity and altered direction often associated with changes in the orientation of the Interplanetary Magnetic Field (IMF). The central polar cap (greater than approx. 80 magnetic latitude) antisunward wind speed is found to be a strong function of both solar and geomagnetic activity. The polar cap temperatures show variations in both solar and geomagnetic activity, with temperatures near 800 K for low K(sub p) and F(sub 10.7) and greater than about 2000 K for high K(sub p) and F(sub 10.7). The observed temperatures are significantly greater than those predicted by the mass spectrometer/incoherent scatter model for high activity conditions. Theoretical analysis based on the NCAR TIGCM indicates that the antisunward upper thermospheric winds, driven by upstream ion drag, basically 'coast' across the polar cap. The relatively small changes in wind velocity and direction within the polar cap are induced by a combination of forcing terms of commensurate magnitude, including the nonlinear advection term, the Coriolis term, and the pressure gradient force term. The polar cap thennospheric thermal balance is dominated by horizontal advection, and adiabatic and thermal conduction terms.

Killeen, T. L.↗

A comparison of Pioneer Venus and Venera bow shock observations - Evidence for a solar cycle variation

Observations by the Venera 9 and 10 orbiters in 1975-76 have been used in previous studies to determine the mean location and shape of the Cytherean bow shock. In addition it has also been reported that the shock is found to be more distant from the planet above regions of the ionosheath where draped IMF field lines are oriented perpendicular to the flow as opposed to parallel. An examination of the dependence of shock altitude in the terminator plane on upstream IMF direction using 86 Pioneer Venus orbiter bow shock crossings in 1978-79 sets an upper limit on this asymmetry of 12% or approximately half that derived earlier from the Venera data. More significantly, the mean distance to the bow shock observed by Pioneer Venus Orbiter is 35% greater than was the case in 1975-76 near solar minimum. As the growth in effective obstacle radius is an order of magnitude larger than can be accounted for in terms of varying ionopause altitude due to all causes, these results strongly suggest that Venus can absorb significantly more of the incident solar wind plasma during solar minimum when EUV flux is low than during the current epoch in which maximum is approaching.

Slavin, J. A.↗

Wave Driven Non-Linear Flow Oscillator for the 22-Year Solar Cycle

We propose that waves generate an oscillation in the Sun to account for the 22-year magnetic cycle. The mechanism we envision is analogous to that driving the Quasi Biennial Oscillation (QBO) observed in the terrestrial atmosphere, which is well understood in principal. Planetary waves and gravity waves deposit momentum in the background atmosphere and accelerate the flow under viscous dissipation. Analysis shows that such a momentum source represents a non-linearity of third or generally odd order, which generates also the fundamental frequency/period so that an oscillation is maintained without external time dependent forcing. For the Sun, we propose that the wave driven oscillation would occur just below the convection region, where the buoyancy frequency or convective stability becomes small to favor wave breaking and wave mean flow interaction. Using scale analysis to extrapolate from terrestrial to solar conditions, we present results from a simplified analytical model, applied to the equator, that incorporates Hines'Doppler Spread Parameterization for gravity waves (GW). Based on a parametric study, we conclude: (1) Depending on the adopted horizontal wavelengths of GW's, wave amplitudes < 10 m/s can be made to produce oscillating zonal winds of about 25 m/s that should be large enough to generate a corresponding oscillation in the main poloidal magnetic field; (2) The oscillation period can be made to be 22 years provided the buoyancy frequency (stability) is sufficiently small, which would place the oscillating wind field near the base of the convection region; (3) In this region, the turbulence associated with wave processes would be enhanced by low stability, and this also helps to produce the desired oscillation period and generate the dynamo currents that would produce the reversing magnetic field. We suggest that the above mechanism may also drive other long-period metronomes in planetary and stellar interiors.

Mayr, H. G.↗

Model of Wave Driven Flow Oscillation for Solar Cycle

At low latitudes in the Earth's atmosphere, the observed zonal flow velocities are dominated by the semi-annual and quasi-biennial oscillations with periods of 6 months and 20 to 32 months respectively. These terrestrial oscillations, the SAO and QBO respectively, are driven by wave-mean flow interactions due to upward propagating planetary-scale waves (periods of days) and small-scale gravity waves (periods of hours). We are proposing (see also Mayr et al., GRL, 2001) that such a mechanism may drive long period oscillations (reversing flows) in stellar and planetary interiors, and we apply it to the Sun. The reversing flows would occur below the convective envelope where waves can propagate. We apply a simplified, one dimensional, analytical flow model that incorporates a gravity wave parameterization due to Hines (1997). Based on this analysis, our estimates show that relatively small wave amplitudes less than 10 m/s can produce zonal flow amplitudes of 20 m/s, which should be sufficient to generate the observed variations in the magnetic field. To produce the 22-year period of oscillation, a low buoyancy frequency must be chosen, and this places the proposed flow in a region that is close to (and below) the base of the convective envelope. Enhanced turbulence associated with this low stability should help to generate the dynamo currents. With larger stability at deeper levels in the solar interior, the model can readily produce also oscillations with much longer periods. To provide an understanding of the fluid dynamics involved, we present numerical results from a 2D model for the terrestrial atmosphere that exemplify the non-linear nature of the wave interaction for which a mechanical analog is the escapement mechanism of the clock.

Mayr, Hans G.↗

On climatic changes related to the 22-year solar cycle

The 22-year or double sunspot cycle as a cause for longitudinal displacements of atmospheric semi-permanent centers of action is studied. A difference in frequency of occurence of Icelandic lows between the two halves of the double sunspot cycle during winter seasons is found.

Schuurmans, C. J. E.↗

The phase lag effect in the cosmic ray modulation during solar cycle twenty

In this analysis of the phase-lag effect we utilize more extensive primary proton and helium spectral data from balloon studies of the University of New Hampshire group, from the Pioneer 8 and 9 spacecraft, and from ground-level monitors during 1965-72. If the rigidity dependence of the diffusion coefficient at earth did not change from 1968-72, then the data imply the nonseparability of the radial and rigidity parts of the diffusion coefficient.

Lockwood, J. A.↗

Variations including possible solar cycle variations of stratospheric ozone over central Switzerland

The annual variation of the total amount of ozone over central Switzerland and the partial pressures in each of 7 layers from the surface to 7.8 m zeta shows the pattern representative of mid-latitude ozone: summer maximum in the troposphere, spring maximum in the lower stratosphere up to 30 mb and summer maximum in the middle stratosphere up to approx. mb. It was also shown that at the level of the ozone maximum the ozone partial pressure has a pronounced period of about 26 months. Total ozone and the ozone concentration in the different layers have marginally significant (at plus or minus sigma) correlations with relative sunspot number. The time lag for these correlations is long in the troposphere (about 36 months) but decreases with height to the level of ozone maximum (to about 2 months). A similar analysis of the data derived from the ozonesonde program at Hohenpeissenberg, Germany (GFR) gave completely consistent results with those discussed above.

London, J.↗