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At least 415 records · Page 23

Life Cycle Analysis of Natural Gas Supply Chain and End Use Applications in the United States

Natural gas (NG) plays a crucial role in current and future energy systems in the United States due to its abundance and affordability. In this study a life cycle analysis of the NG supply chain in the United States was conducted using Argonne's R&D GREET model, examining stages from recovery to distribution using reported field data processed and documented by National Energy Technology Laboratory. Supply chain emissions were evaluated across multiple spatial scales, including national average, overall regional production, region-to-region, and basin-to-region scenarios. The GHG intensity of the U.S. average NG supply chain was estimated at 10.3 kg CO 2 e/MMBtu (lower heating value), with a range across regions from 7.8 kg CO 2 e/MMBtu (Northeast) to 15.1 kg CO 2 e/MMBtu (Pacific). The analysis further assessed how upstream NG emissions influence the life cycle GHG emissions of key end-use applications, including electricity generation (0.044–0.086 kg CO 2 e/kWh from upstream NG in combined cycle facilities), hydrogen production (1.04–2.20 kg CO 2 e/kg H 2 for steam methane reforming [SMR] and 1.06–2.23 kg CO 2 e/kg for autothermal reforming [ATR]), and transit bus operation utilizing compressed natural gas fuel (0.19–0.37 kg CO 2 e/mile) and hydrogen fuel (0.12–0.25 kg CO 2 e/mile for hydrogen produced in SMR and ATR).

compression↗

Full-Shape analysis of the power spectrum and bispectrum of DESI DR1 LRG and QSO samples

We present the first joint analysis of the power spectrum and bispectrum using the Data Release 1 (DR1) of the Dark Energy Spectroscopic Instrument (DESI), focusing on Luminous Red Galaxies (LRGs) and quasars (QSOs) across a redshift range of 0.4 ≤ z ≤ 2.1. By combining the two- and three-point statistics, we are able to partially break the degeneracy between the logarithmic growth rate, f(z), and the amplitude of dark matter fluctuations, σ s8 (z), which cannot be measured separately in analyses that only involve the power spectrum. In comparison with the (fiducial) Planck ΛCDM cosmology we obtain f/f fid = {0.888 -0.089 +0.186 ,0.977 -0.220 +0.182 ,1.030 -0.085 +0.368 }, σ s8 /σ fid s8 = {1.224 -0.133 +0.091 ,1.071 -0.163 +0.278 ,1.00 0 -0.223 +0.088 } respectively for the three LRG redshift bins, corresponding to a cumulative 10.1% constraint on f, and of 8.4% on σ s8 , including the systematic error budget. Additionally, we obtain constraints for the ShapeFit compressed parameters describing the isotropic scaling parameter, α iso (z), the Alcock-Paczyński parameter, α AP (z), the combined growth of structure parameter fσ s8 (z), and the combined shape parameter m(z)+n(z). Their cumulative constraints from our joint power spectrum-bispectrum analysis are respectively σ αiso = 0.9% (9% improvement with respect to our power spectrum-only analysis); σ α AP = 2.3% (no improvement with respect to power spectrum-only analysis, which is expected given that the bispectrum monopole has no significant anisotropic signal); σ fσs8 = 5.1% (9% improvement); σ m+n = 2.3% (11% improvement). These results are fully consistent with the main DESI power spectrum analysis, demonstrating the robustness of the DESI cosmological constraints, and compatible with Planck ΛCDM cosmology.

79 ASTRONOMY AND ASTROPHYSICS↗

Multicycle large-eddy simulations of a direct-injection hydrogen-fueled optical engine

Hydrogen (H 2 ) is a carbon-free chemical energy carrier and one promising solution for achieving effective decarbonization of the transportation sector, particularly for internal combustion engines (ICEs). With a focus on ICEs, and compared to port-fuel injection, direct injection (DI) of gaseous H 2 during the compression stroke offers potential advantages, which include backfire avoidance and reduction of preignition occurrence. In these last two decades, much research, experimental and numerical, has been devoted to understanding H 2 's mixing and combustion processes in ICEs. Computational fluid dynamics modeling efforts commonly rely on unsteady Reynolds-averaged Navier Stokes (URANS) turbulence frameworks, mostly due to their computational affordability. However, many authors have pointed out the opportunity to perform large-eddy simulations (LESs) to investigate the cyclic variability of H 2 engines and assess potential advantages of using LES in place of URANS, especially for lean operation. This study addresses this knowledge gap and presents a computational fluid dynamics (CFD) study of the H 2 DI process in an optical engine operating at relatively low tumble conditions, using multicycle LESs. In conclusion, the manuscript presents a thorough validation of the results against experimental data available from the literature as well as direct comparison with URANS, demonstrating the feasibility of multicycle LESs for CFD modeling of DI H 2 -fueled ICEs.

Direct injection↗

Multi-faceted framework for extrapolating early age flexural strength to facilitate rapid lifting/handling of high-volume fly ash precast members

Maintaining adequate early-age structural performance for precast concrete components has grown in importance as more sustainable mix designs become more widespread. Achieving high-early flexural strength is particularly crucial to facilitate rapid removal of hardened concrete components from formwork, often within 24 h after fresh concrete placement. Limited research has assessed the effectiveness of traditional design methods in correlating flexural strength with compressive strength for next-generation mix designs, or demonstrated extrapolation of such material performance to larger-scale structural tests. This paper presents a multi-faceted framework to reassess early-age flexural strength for concretes made with relatively high proportions of fly ash from both fresh and harvested sources. Here, the framework provides several pathways, from which the user can select based upon available resources and the specific application, to improve accuracy of early-age cracking moment calculations. Furthermore, the scope includes evaluation of strength performance under curing conditions emulative of those in a precast facility, recommending modulus of rupture equations which are more performance-driven than current design provisions, and experimental tests on prefabricated concrete beams to validate the proposed methodologies. Correlations of early-age strength with both concrete age and maturity measurements compare the effectiveness of utilizing in-situ data to further enhance the prediction methods. Ultimately, the proposed framework helped reduce errors when calculating cracking moment capacity at early ages by tailoring calculations to reflect mix-dependent behavior. Furthermore, most estimates of cracking moment were within 25 % of their corresponding experimental test results, thus promoting confidence for using these strategies with high-volume fly ash precast structures.

42 ENGINEERING↗

Data Science Enabled Enabled Discovery of Superconductors (Final Progress Report)

This Final Technical Report describes efforts by 4 PIs at the University of Florida (Peter Hirschfeld, Richard Hennig, Greg Stewart and James Hamlin), over the period September 2019-August 2023, to use data science and machine learning techniques to discover new conventional superconductors. The PIs constructed a discovery loop with two theorists and two experimentalists to: develop algorithms to machine learn descriptors correlating strongly with the critical temperature Tc (PI's Peter Hirschfeld, UF Physics and Richard Hennig, UF Materials Science and En), synthesize and measure properties of promising materials, and feed back the knowledge gained into the prediction algorithm. This work was motivated by the theoretical prediction and experimental discovery of high-pressure, high-pressure hydride superconductors, and to find ways to recreate the high critical temperatures in these systems at ambient pressure. Highlights from the grant include: 1) a new equation for Tc in terms of moments of the electron-phonon spectral function, improving on the so-called Allen-Dynes equation (1975); 2) study of the metastable A15 superconductor Nb3Si, formed under explosive compression at ~1000GPa to determine the kinetic barrier to the ground state structure; 3) the development of ultra-fast machine-learned atomic potentials for molecular dynamics, and 4) the discovery of superconductivity at 19K in WB2 arising from metastable defect structures in the crystal.

75 CONDENSED MATTER PHYSICS, SUPERCONDUCTIVITY AND↗

Understanding latent timescales in neural ordinary differential equation models of advection-dominated dynamical systems

The neural ordinary differential equation (ODE) framework has shown considerable promise in recent years in developing highly accelerated surrogate models for complex physical systems characterized by partial differential equations (PDEs). For PDE-based systems, state-of-the-art neural ODE strategies leverage a two-step procedure to achieve this acceleration: a nonlinear dimensionality reduction step provided by an autoencoder, and a time integration step provided by a neural-network based model for the resultant latent space dynamics (the neural ODE). This work explores the applicability of such autoencoder-based neural ODE strategies for PDEs in which advection terms play a critical role. More specifically, alongside predictive demonstrations, physical insight into the sources of model acceleration (i.e., how the neural ODE achieves its acceleration) is the scope of the current study. Such investigations are performed by quantifying the effects of both autoencoder and neural ODE components on latent system time-scales using eigenvalue analysis of dynamical system Jacobians. To this end, the sensitivity of various critical training parameters – de-coupled versus end-to-end training, latent space dimensionality, and the role of training trajectory length, for example – to both model accuracy and the discovered latent system timescales is quantified. Furthermore, this work specifically uncovers the key role played by the training trajectory length (the number of rollout steps in the loss function during training) on the latent system timescales: larger trajectory lengths correlate with an increase in limiting neural ODE time-scales, and optimal neural ODEs are found to recover the largest time-scales of the full-order (ground-truth) system. Demonstrations are performed across fundamentally different unsteady fluid dynamics configurations influenced by advection: (1) the Kuramoto–Sivashinsky equations (2) Hydrogen-Air channel detonations (the compressible reacting Navier–Stokes equations with detailed chemistry), and (3) 2D Atmospheric flow.

Advection-dominated dynamical systems↗

Beryllium–tungsten graded density inner shells in double shell capsules for improved hydrodynamic stability

The outer surface of the high-Z inner shell in the double shell configuration of inertial confinement fusion experiments experiences Rayleigh–Taylor instability growth during the implosion process due to inverted density and pressure gradients between a highly compressed foam interstitial layer and the accelerating dense inner shell. Graded density layers have long been known to reduce instability growth rates. In this study, we employ high-fidelity radiation hydrodynamic simulations to demonstrate this improved stability when grading beryllium into tungsten. We first characterize the response to L-band preheat of these layers using a newly calibrated radiation drive. While graded layer capsules suffer reduced performance (here, measured as DD neutron yield from a CD foam fuel) in 1D simulations due to reduced kinetic energy coupling and reduced fuel compression, they suffer less of a performance drop when 2D instabilities are accounted for. With the improved stability of graded layers, we explore the performance of capsules with larger fuel radii and thinner shells as a preliminary study to find new designs in which graded layers produce the highest yields.

70 PLASMA PHYSICS AND FUSION TECHNOLOGY↗

Microchannel-based Membrane-less Extraction of Li from Unconventional Lithium Sources & the Separation of REE

This final report provides an overview of the Project's entire duration, covering July 1, 2021 to December 31, 2023. It primarily focuses on the achievements, technological developments, and unique challenges the team faced while working on separating and extracting Lithium from produced waters. The project's primary aim was to create an integrated, high-throughput, membrane-less, and modular microfluidic platform that could extract Lithium from unconventional sources. We have successfully met all goals and milestones envisioned in the SOPO document. The most critical primary milestones, including the Go-No-Go milestone (refer to the Gantt chart in the Appendices), were successfully accomplished. We demonstrated phase separation (>90%) and extraction (>85%) performance in the MPSE using synthetic, and representative produced water composition feed at 50 ml/min total flow through MPSE 36. We have also performed a parametric study of the MPSE operations, beyond the scope of SOPO, exploring operating conditions of current and broader interest. The extended investigation of operational parameters is concurrent with our efforts to seek further development of the MPSE technology beyond the scope of the Project. Along these lines of development, we have made efforts to be responsive to DOE calls for technological developments of other types of resources (beyond PW) for the recovery of Critical Materials and higher TRL development (beyond TRL 4). During the work on this Project, we developed and implemented three innovative technical approaches that emerged from our efforts to successfully meet the Project milestones. The innovative & original technical approaches developed and implemented in this Project are now the contributions to process engineering that could be clearly credited to the Project. First, Convergent Design Approach is a comprehensive feedforward & feedback loop of four design phases: i) design for functionality, ii) design for manufacturing, iii) design for sustainability, and iv) design for market. Next was Process Intensification. A major aim of this Project was to create an innovative phase separation & extraction microscale-based technology for Li separation – thus the words microchannel-based in the Project title. A microscale-based technology is intrinsically in the center of the Process Intensification domain as defined by its unique principles. Therefore, Process Intensification was implicitly envisioned in the Project’s SOPO. Lastly, Time Scale Analysis is a novel tool for discovering the needs and directions of Process Intensification implementations in any process technology. This Project is fully credited for developing and implementing the three novel technical approaches mentioned above. These are general contributions to process engineering that emerged from this Project. Beyond the original SOPO scope, the OSU-U.Pitt research group utilized a Convergent Design methodology, integrating first-principles mathematical modeling with experimental validation on the Minimum Development Vehicle. By creating these Digital Twins, the team rapidly assessed manufacturing iterations to support TEA analysis. This framework further enabled the development of advanced Surface Modification Techniques, where hydrophobic and oleophobic coating strategies were optimized via Digital Twin tools and validated through rigorous 100-hour longevity testing. TEA Analysis: The closing efforts of this Project were focused on the TEA analysis. TEA analysis had two primary functions: i) enabling critical assessments of design variations withing 10 the Concurrent Design Approach, thus enabling evolution of the MPSE design to reach faster- better-cheaper alternatives; and ii) to create a bridge between the accomplishments of this Project and future projects of higher TRL, beyond TRL 6 level. It is important to note that the TEA model created in the Project stirred the technological solutions for the recovery of critical materials toward a vision of a very profitable modular plant that has unique zero-waste water discharge signature. More importantly, thanks to our experimental performance data and conservative assumptions, the TEA model predicts minimal technological and investment risks. Low cost of a modular unit of a nominal capacity of [1000 tons of Li 2 CO 3 /year] positions the MPSE based technology within the reach of community investors, thus offering a paradigm shift in the development of critical technologies. The project successfully navigated two primary challenges: solvent selection and manufacturing adaptation. Restricted by the SOPO to existing literature for lithium recovery, the team identified a critical need for a "material excellence program" to develop next-generation solvents, eventually concluding with a preliminary investigation into promising Ionic Liquids (ILs). Simultaneously, COVID-19 supply chain disruptions forced a pivot from traditional manufacturing to advanced additive methods at ATAMI-OSU. By transitioning from stainless steel to 3D-printed polymer substrates, the team achieved a transformative three-order-of- magnitude reduction in manufacturing costs and compressed prototyping timelines from several months to just two days. The MPSE technology offers significant energy, environmental, and economic advantages by overcoming the traditional bottlenecks of phase-separation hardware and contactor size. Unlike conventional mixer-settlers or membrane-based systems, MPSE operates without moving parts or fouling-prone membranes, achieving robust performance even with challenging, viscous, or particulate-heavy feeds. Key performance metrics include an energy intensity reduction of 5–50x (3–40 kJ/m 3 ) compared to incumbent technologies and a dramatic reduction of processing time to under 60 seconds, which drastically reduces the physical plant footprint. These technical efficiencies translate into superior economic outcomes; for a 100 t/year Li 2 CO 3 facility, implementing MPSE is projected to nearly halve contactor CAPEX (from $\$$6.08M to $\$$3.01M) and significantly increase the project's Net Present Value (NPV), derisking new investment and enabling distributed critical-mineral processing configurations. The commercialization of MPSE technology is being spearheaded by Vigsur Dynamics Inc., which has adopted a structured, parallel approach to technical and business development since its formation in January 2026. Following extensive customer discovery and engagement with the Oregon State University accelerator, Vigsur Dynamics is working to establish a business model that transitions from pilot demonstrations to modular hardware sales, ultimately aiming for a "build-own-operate" service strategy. Current technical milestones—including 100 hours of continuous operation, superior energy efficiency, and successful 6-unit modular scale-up— provide a foundation for this transition. Backed by ongoing IP licensing and a growing network of industrial and venture advisors, the company is actively de-risking the platform to replace conventional mixer-settler systems in the critical minerals market.

37 INORGANIC, ORGANIC, PHYSICAL, AND ANALYTICAL CH↗

How does ion temperature gradient turbulence depend on magnetic geometry? Insights from data and machine learning

Magnetic geometry has a significant effect on the level of turbulent transport in fusion plasmas. Here, we model and analyse this dependence using multiple machine learning methods and a dataset of >200 000 nonlinear gyrokinetic simulations of ion-temperature-gradient turbulence in diverse non-axisymmetric geometries. The dataset is generated using a large collection of both optimised and randomly generated stellarator equilibria. At fixed gradients and other input parameters, the turbulent heat flux varies between geometries by several orders of magnitude. Trends are apparent among the configurations with particularly high or particularly low heat flux. Regression and classification techniques from machine learning are then applied to extract patterns in the dataset. Due to a symmetry of the gyrokinetic equation, the heat flux and regressions thereof should be invariant to translations of the raw features in the parallel coordinate, similar to translation invariance in computer vision applications. Multiple regression models including convolutional neural networks (CNNs) and decision trees can achieve reasonable predictive power for the heat flux in held-out test configurations, with highest accuracy for the CNNs. Using Spearman correlation, sequential feature selection and Shapley values to measure feature importance, it is consistently found that the most important geometric lever on the heat flux is the flux surface compression in regions of bad curvature. The second most important geometric feature relates to the magnitude of geodesic curvature. These two features align remarkably with surrogates that have been proposed based on theory, while the methods here allow a natural extension to more features for increased accuracy. The dataset, released with this publication, may also be used to test other proposed surrogates, and we find that many previously published proxies do correlate well with both the heat flux and stability boundary.

70 PLASMA PHYSICS AND FUSION TECHNOLOGY↗

Testing and Characterization to Develop a Mechanistic Explanation for Unsaturated Drift of Fiber Optic Sensors during High-Dose Irradiation

The primary limitation for any optical fiber-based sensor for nuclear reactor applications is radiation-induced attenuation (RIA) of the transmitted and/or reflected signals. Based on several recent studies, RIA is tolerable for some fused silica optical fibers with the proper choice of sensing wavelength and fiber dopants. For extreme temperature applications (> 1000°C), sapphire optical fibers have been proposed; however, recent optical transmission measurements performed on bulk sapphire samples showed prohibitively large RIA. For some sensors, radiation-induced dimensional changes in the fiber materials can also cause significant drift. Moreover, the drift that was observed in numerous experiments performed in the High Flux Isotope Reactor (HFIR), the Advanced Test Reactor, the Massachusetts Institute of Technology Reactor, and other international facilities far exceeded what would be expected based on compaction of fused silica glass. Clearly, additional work is needed to better understand the origins of both RIA and radiation-induced drift in both silica and sapphire optical fiber-based sensors before these sensors can be reliably deployed for nuclear applications. This work evaluated the underlying mechanisms that may be responsible for RIA and drift in silica and sapphire materials. First, detailed characterization was performed on bulk fused silica glass samples that were previously irradiated to different neutron fluences at different temperatures to better understand the structural changes that drive radiation-induced drift in the absence of coating effects that are discussed later. Results show that the non-monotonic compaction that occurs with increasing neutron fluence continues up to fast neutron fluences approaching 10 22 n/cm 2 , which has important implications for physics-based models that may be used to compensate for the sensor drift. Initial Raman spectroscopy and synchrotron x-ray diffraction provide insights into the nature of the structural changes. Next, detailed characterizations were performed on silica fibers with various coatings that were subjected to several different thermal treatments. The hypothesis is that the coatings convert to carbon-rich materials that compact under irradiation, putting a large compressive strain on the fiber. Out-of-pile testing confirms that both polyimide and acrylate fiber coatings convert to glassy carbon (GC) materials when heated under inert conditions, and the degree of order (i.e., graphitization) increases with increasing temperature. The results provide increasingly strong evidence that the combination of polymeric coatings and inert (or vacuum) conditions render fiber optic sensors susceptible to significant radiation-induced drift that would not otherwise exist in uncoated fibers. Finally, transmission electron microscopy was performed on bulk sapphire samples that were irradiated to two neutron fluences at different temperatures to gain insights into the potential mechanisms driving the prohibitive RIA at higher neutron fluences and temperatures. Contrary to previous hypotheses, results show that scattering from radiation-induced voids cannot explain the observed RIA. Similarly, models for scattering losses from dislocation loops also do not agree with the experimental results. Instead, fitting to the experimental data shows that increased absorption from aluminum vacancy centers is the most likely explanation for the the prohibitively large RIA that was observed at high irradiation temperature and dose. In addition, the voids that formed in these single-crystal samples were found to align along the basal plane (a-axis) as opposed to that seen in previous observations of c-axis alignment in polycrystalline samples, which could have important implications for anisotropic swelling and other phenomena that could affect sensor performance at high neutron fluence.

22 GENERAL STUDIES OF NUCLEAR REACTORS↗

Testing and Characterization to Develop a Mechanistic Explanation for Unsaturated Drift of Fiber Optic Sensors during High-Dose Irradiation

The primary limitation for any optical fiber-based sensor for nuclear reactor applications is radiation-induced attenuation (RIA) of the transmitted and/or reflected signals. Based on several recent studies, RIA is tolerable for some fused silica optical fibers with the proper choice of sensing wavelength and fiber dopants. For extreme temperature applications (> 1000°C), sapphire optical fibers have been proposed; however, recent optical transmission measurements performed on bulk sapphire samples showed prohibitively large RIA. For some sensors, radiation-induced dimensional changes in the fiber materials can also cause significant drift. Moreover, the drift that was observed in numerous experiments performed in the High Flux Isotope Reactor (HFIR), the Advanced Test Reactor, the Massachusetts Institute of Technology Reactor, and other international facilities far exceeded what would be expected based on compaction of fused silica glass. Clearly, additional work is needed to better understand the origins of both RIA and radiation-induced drift in both silica and sapphire optical fiber-based sensors before these sensors can be reliably deployed for nuclear applications. This work evaluated the underlying mechanisms that may be responsible for RIA and drift in silica and sapphire materials. First, detailed characterization was performed on bulk fused silica glass samples that were previously irradiated to different neutron fluences at different temperatures to better understand the structural changes that drive radiation-induced drift in the absence of coating effects that are discussed later. Results show that the non-monotonic compaction that occurs with increasing neutron fluence continues up to fast neutron fluences approaching 10 22 n/cm 2 , which has important implications for physics-based models that may be used to compensate for the sensor drift. Initial Raman spectroscopy and synchrotron x-ray diffraction provide insights into the nature of the structural changes. Next, detailed characterizations were performed on silica fibers with various coatings that were subjected to several different thermal treatments. The hypothesis is that the coatings convert to carbon-rich materials that compact under irradiation, putting a large compressive strain on the fiber. Out-of-pile testing confirms that both polyimide and acrylate fiber coatings convert to glassy carbon (GC) materials when heated under inert conditions, and the degree of order (i.e., graphitization) increases with increasing temperature. The results provide increasingly strong evidence that the combination of polymeric coatings and inert (or vacuum) conditions render fiber optic sensors susceptible to significant radiation-induced drift that would not otherwise exist in uncoated fibers. Finally, transmission electron microscopy was performed on bulk sapphire samples that were irradiated to two neutron fluences at different temperatures to gain insights into the potential mechanisms driving the prohibitive RIA at higher neutron fluences and temperatures. Contrary to previous hypotheses, results show that scattering from radiation-induced voids cannot explain the observed RIA. Similarly, models for scattering losses from dislocation loops also do not agree with the experimental results. Instead, fitting to the experimental data shows that increased absorption from aluminum vacancy centers is the most likely explanation for the the prohibitively large RIA that was observed at high irradiation temperature and dose. In addition, the voids that formed in these single-crystal samples were found to align along the basal plane (a-axis) as opposed to that seen in previous observations of c-axis alignment in polycrystalline samples, which could have important implications for anisotropic swelling and other phenomena that could affect sensor performance at high neutron fluence.

46 INSTRUMENTATION RELATED TO NUCLEAR SCIENCE AND ↗

Hot-spot model for inertial confinement fusion implosions with an applied magnetic field

Imposing a magnetic field on inertial confinement fusion implosions magnetizes the electrons in the compressed fuel; this suppresses thermal losses, which increases temperature and fusion yield. Indirect-drive experiments at the National Ignition Facility with 12 and 26 T applied magnetic fields demonstrate up to 40% increase in temperature, 3× increase in fusion yield, and indicate that magnetization alters the radial temperature profile [Moody et al., Phys. Rev. Lett. 129, 195002 (2022); Lahmann et al., APS DPP (2022)]. In this work, we develop a semi-analytic hot-spot model, which accounts for the two-dimensional (2D) Braginskii anisotropic heat flow due to an applied axial magnetic field. First, we show that hot-spot magnetization alters the radial temperature profile, increasing the central peakedness, which is most pronounced for moderately magnetized implosions (with 8–14 T applied field), compared to both unmagnetized (with no applied field) and highly magnetized (with 26 T or higher applied field) implosions. This model explains the trend in the experimental data, which finds a similarly altered temperature profile in the 12 T experiment. Next, we derive the hot-spot model for gas-filled (Symcap) implosions, accounting for the effects of magnetization on the thermal conduction and in changing the radial temperature (and density) profiles. Using this model, we compute predicted central temperature amplification and yield enhancement scaling with the applied magnetic field. The central temperature fits the experimental data accurately, and the discrepancy in the yield suggests a systematic (independent of applied field) degradation, such as mix, and additional degradation in the reference unmagnetized shot, such as reduced laser drive, increased implosion asymmetry, or the magnetic field suppressing ablator mixing into the hot-spot.

Alpha particles↗

Shock compression of additively manufactured high solids loaded polymer composites with aligned porosity

The effects of aligned porosity on the shock-compression response of additively manufactured (AM) composite structures with collinear and log-cabin geometries are investigated. The composites contain two inorganic and two organic particle populations and a UV-curable polymer binder. X-ray phase contrast imaging (X-PCI) is used as an in-material diagnostic in plate-impact experiments performed at the Dynamic Compression Sector of the Advanced Photon Source at the Argonne National Laboratory. Macroscale shock and particle velocities and microscale pore collapse velocities are measured from X-PCI images obtained from samples impacted in various orientations relative to the AM build directions. The linear shock and particle velocity relation for the structures with collinear build geometry shows directional differences, with the build direction exhibiting the highest slope and the filament print direction having the shallowest slope. Composites with log-cabin geometry, due to their slightly lower porosity and smaller sized pores, show higher shock velocities than the collinear structures at the same particle velocity. Microscale directionality effects are also observed, with the pore collapse velocity dependent on the pore configuration. Specifically, the pore collapse velocity is highest for pores elongated along the impact direction which is the case for the colinear structures impacted in the filament print direction, which is consistent with the directionality trend observed in the data for the shock and particle velocity equation of state. The pore collapse velocity approaches ∼80 % of the shock velocity and is several times the average bulk particle velocity, suggesting a highly hydrodynamic mechanism of pore collapse. Overall, both the macroscale response as measured by the shock and particle velocity relationship, and the microscale response as measured by the pore collapse velocity, are found to be anisotropic and dependent on the AM composite structure.

Wagner, K. B. [Georgia Institute of Technology, At↗

Feasibility of an Accelerometer-Based Structural Health Monitoring System for the LANL Blast Tube

A modeling- and simulation-based study was conducted on the feasibility of implementing an accelerometer-based SHM system on the Los Alamos National Laboratory blast tube. A blast tube experiment was modeled using the Abaqus explicit finite element solver. A custom user subroutine was written to apply test-like pressure loading to the inside surface of the blast tube. The subroutine applies analytically defined pressure loads derived from tracer output taken from a Compressible Flow Computational Fluid Dynamics Solver model of the blast tube. Five unique versions of the model were created: an undamaged reference model at 65°F was used as the baseline and compared to equivalent models at 10°F and 100°F. These three models were compared to models with small damage at the reference temperature. The two types of damage considered were a radial (circumferential) crack in the main tube body and a longitudinal crack in the supports. Acceleration outputs were extracted from accelerometer bodies included in the model and were post processed using a variety of standard SHM techniques. Different potential features signaling failure were extracted and compared using statistical methods in the time and frequency domains. A method was identified that clearly shows that differences in structural response resulting from the modeled damage can be differentiated from the structural response resulting from changing environmental conditions. However, the amount of damage applied to create observable differences in the accelerometer data was so large that simpler methods of damage detection would be more cost effective in locating damage.

42 ENGINEERING↗

Identifying Outliers in AI-based Image Compression

Image compression using artificial intelligence (AI) is becoming increasingly prevalent across various fields, including scientific research. Scientific instruments can generate hundreds of images per second, and effectively compressing these images with high compression ratios is crucial for facilitating scientific discoveries. However, automatically detecting outlier cases, where compression may not have succeeded or where interesting scientific phenomena are present, poses a significant challenge. To address this, we have developed a methodology based on unsupervised machine learning techniques for detecting outlier compressed images. This methodology utilizes metrics such as peak signal-to-noise ratio (PSNR), structural similarity index measure (SSIM), structural texture similarity index measure (STSIM), and deep image and structural texture similarity index (DISTS). We have evaluated our methodology on several unlabeled datasets, including microscopy and x-ray images, and have successfully identified multiple outlier images using our proposed approach. Furthermore, our approach has enabled us to identify image semantics that are valuable for post-experiment analysis by scientists.

Data Analysis↗

Scaling Up: Demonstrating Risk Reduction and Cost Compression for Commercial Heat Pump Water Heaters - CRADA 625 (Abstract)

Commercial heat pump water heater (CHPWH) systems significantly decarbonize the commercial and multifamily sectors by eliminating the reliance on gas-fired water heating. CHPWH systems are also well suited to include load shift controls that enable load-up and shed commands for supporting grid reliability and time-of-use pricing structure. However, they have not had wide adoption due to factors including price, complexity, and perceived risk. Although CHPWHs have been available in the US for decades, they have not made significant market gains in part because the systems have required significant and costly engineering design expertise and proved lackluster performance. Successful widespread market adoption requires a different approach; a shift from the current custom specialized expertise project design and installation to a repeatable approach that requires little specialized knowledge or expertise and can deliver persistent performance. Using this type of holistic systems approach requires effectively integrating four CHPWH system key components: primary air-to-water heat pumps; primary thermal storage tanks, a temperature maintenance system, and a control system which has capabilities to manage the primary heat pump cycles, any back-up, supplemental, or temperature maintenance heating, alarms, and grid connectivity allowing for demand response (DR), and/or load shifting. The project team has developed and will implement a suite of tools to support faster, less expensive, and more reliable field installations of CHPWH technology and with the resulting data used to further improve the tool set. These tools include: (1) A tool for optimizing system size and costs. (2) A tool that predicts annual energy use and overall system efficiency. (3) The Advanced Water Heater Specification (AWHS 8.0) defining the components of a full CHPWH system addressing performance requirements by climate zone. (4) The Qualified Products List: (QPL) of approved products that meet the specifications requirements. (5) Training materials including online on-demand modules, instructor-led training, and virtual interactive video tours of CHPWH installations in multifamily buildings. Demonstration site identification in low-income buildings in underserved communities is currently underway. Preliminarily, the team anticipates having three demonstrations in the Pacific Northwest and three in the Northeast for a total of six sites. After the demonstration sites are finalized, and M&V instrumentation installations are complete, the team will gather performance data and confirm whether the CHPWH systems perform as predicted and use the data to improve the existing tools.

32 ENERGY CONSERVATION, CONSUMPTION, AND UTILIZATI↗

Detailed simulations of the first deuterium-tritium-filled double shell implosions on the National Ignition Facility

The first indirectly driven, liquid DT-filled double shell inertial confinement fusion (ICF) implosions have recently been successfully performed on the National Ignition Facility (NIF). Double shells are a class of alternative designs that use a low-Z outer shell to compress a foam cushion that accelerates a high-Z inner shell to efficiently compress a liquid DT core. Double shells are challenging to fabricate, field, and model. Important engineering features enabling double shell fabrication include a fill-tube penetrating all shells and a carefully designed and very narrow (few μm) step-joint in the ablator. Due to the higher density materials involved, high Atwood number instabilities are also important at many material interfaces. In this paper, numerical simulations of double shell implosions using the Los Alamos National Laboratory multi-physics radiation-hydrodynamics code xRAGE will be discussed. An extensive effort has been under way for several years to develop the code capabilities for ICF simulations in a common modeling framework to allow ease of simulation setup and standardization of the computational methodology. This paper will present a wide range of simulation results capturing, quantifying, and comparing the impact of all these degradation mechanisms on implosion performance. Brief comparisons with recent experimental results and suggestions for future improvements will also be discussed. Our results suggest that capsule surface roughness and the step-joint gap have the largest impact on implosion performance. Initial experimental data may suggest that the sensitivity to the step-joint gap could provide the dominant explanation for DT-filled double shell experiments that have been fielded on NIF thus far.

70 PLASMA PHYSICS AND FUSION TECHNOLOGY↗

Quantum-Inspired Bayesian Sampling for Uncertainty Quantification and Machine Learning (Final Technical Report)

With increasing simulation and measurement data, machine learning and artificial intelligence have been widely used in computational decision-making of complex engineering systems. The resulting tools, such as uncertainty quantification solvers, reinforcement learning, and physics-informed machine learning, have achieved great success in critical DOE tasks such as material discovery and design, energy system modeling and control, and numerical weather and climate prediction. A core topic in scientific machine learning and artificial intelligence is Bayesian inference: given an observed data set, people want to estimate the posterior distribution of a (possibly large) number of hidden parameters. Due to the flexibility and weak assumptions, Bayesian sampling has been the mainstream Bayesian inference solvers despite the rapid progress of approximate Bayesian inference. Classical Bayesian sampling methods such as Markov-chain Monte Carlo suffer from a low-acceptance rate due to the random walk nature, therefore state-of-the-art techniques use Hamiltonian Monte Carlo and its variants to efficiently draw posterior samples in a high dimension. The key idea of Hamiltonian Monte Carlo and its variants is to simulate the Hamiltonian dynamics of a classical particle with a fixed mass, and their performance significantly degrades when the posterior distribution is highly spiky or has multiple modes. Leveraging the idea of quantum physics, this project has investigated new theory, algorithms and applications of Bayesian inference (especially Bayesian sampling). The main results include: (1) novel quantum-inspired Bayesian sampling methods that can lead to better accuracy for challenging multi-modal or spiky distributions, (2) more scalable machine learning framework leveraging tensor-compressed Bayesian inference, and (3) Bayesian and sampling approaches for verifying the robustness of continuous and binary neural networks.

97 MATHEMATICS AND COMPUTING↗