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Search indexed NASA NTRS and DOE OSTI research on propulsion, heat transfer, battery materials and energy systems. Follow report and document links to the original sources.

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All sourcesNASA NTRSDOE OSTI
DOE OSTI2023

Predictive performance of multi-model ensemble forecasts of COVID-19 across European nations

Background: Short-term forecasts of infectious disease burden can contribute to situational awareness and aid capacity planning. Based on best practice in other fields and recent insights in infectious disease epidemiology, one can maximise the predictive performance of such forecasts if multiple models are combined into an ensemble. Here, we report on the performance of ensembles in predicting COVID-19 cases and deaths across Europe between 08 March 2021 and 07 March 2022. Methods: We used open-source tools to develop a public European COVID-19 Forecast Hub. We invited groups globally to contribute weekly forecasts for COVID-19 cases and deaths reported by a standardised source for 32 countries over the next 1–4 weeks. Teams submitted forecasts from March 2021 using standardised quantiles of the predictive distribution. Each week we created an ensemble forecast, where each predictive quantile was calculated as the equally-weighted average (initially the mean and then from 26th July the median) of all individual models’ predictive quantiles. We measured the performance of each model using the relative Weighted Interval Score (WIS), comparing models’ forecast accuracy relative to all other models. We retrospectively explored alternative methods for ensemble forecasts, including weighted averages based on models’ past predictive performance. Results: Over 52 weeks, we collected forecasts from 48 unique models. We evaluated 29 models’ forecast scores in comparison to the ensemble model. We found a weekly ensemble had a consistently strong performance across countries over time. Across all horizons and locations, the ensemble performed better on relative WIS than 83% of participating models’ forecasts of incident cases (with a total N=886 predictions from 23 unique models), and 91% of participating models’ forecasts of deaths (N=763 predictions from 20 models). Across a 1–4 week time horizon, ensemble performance declined with longer forecast periods when forecasting cases, but remained stable over 4 weeks for incident death forecasts. In every forecast across 32 countries, the ensemble outperformed most contributing models when forecasting either cases or deaths, frequently outperforming all of its individual component models. Among several choices of ensemble methods we found that the most influential and best choice was to use a median average of models instead of using the mean, regardless of methods of weighting component forecast models. Conclusions: Our results support the use of combining forecasts from individual models into an ensemble in order to improve predictive performance across epidemiological targets and populations during infectious disease epidemics. Our findings further suggest that median ensemble methods yield better predictive performance more than ones based on means. Our findings also highlight that forecast consumers should place more weight on incident death forecasts than incident case forecasts at forecast horizons greater than 2 weeks. Funding: AA, BH, BL, LWa, MMa, PP, SV funded by National Institutes of Health (NIH) Grant 1R01GM109718, NSF BIG DATA Grant IIS-1633028, NSF Grant No.: OAC-1916805, NSF Expeditions in Computing Grant CCF-1918656, CCF-1917819, NSF RAPID CNS-2028004, NSF RAPID OAC-2027541, US Centers for Disease Control and Prevention 75D30119C05935, a grant from Google, University of Virginia Strategic Investment Fund award number SIF160, Defense Threat Reduction Agency (DTRA) under Contract No. HDTRA1-19-D-0007, and respectively Virginia Dept of Health Grant VDH-21-501-0141, VDH-21-501-0143, VDH-21-501-0147, VDH-21-501-0145, VDH-21-501-0146, VDH-21-501-0142, VDH-21-501-0148. AF, AMa, GL funded by SMIGE - Modelli statistici inferenziali per governare l'epidemia, FISR 2020-Covid-19 I Fase, FISR2020IP-00156, Codice Progetto: PRJ-0695. AM, BK, FD, FR, JK, JN, JZ, KN, MG, MR, MS, RB funded by Ministry of Science and Higher Education of Poland with grant 28/WFSN/2021 to the University of Warsaw. BRe, CPe, JLAz funded by Ministerio de Sanidad/ISCIII. BT, PG funded by PERISCOPE European H2020 project, contract number 101016233. CP, DL, EA, MC, SA funded by European Commission - Directorate-General for Communications Networks, Content and Technology through the contract LC-01485746, and Ministerio de Ciencia, Innovacion y Universidades and FEDER, with the project PGC2018-095456-B-I00. DE., MGu funded by Spanish Ministry of Health / REACT-UE (FEDER). DO, GF, IMi, LC funded by Laboratory Directed Research and Development program of Los Alamos National Laboratory (LANL) under project number 20200700ER. DS, ELR, GG, NGR, NW, YW funded by National Institutes of General Medical Sciences (R35GM119582; the content is solely the responsibility of the authors and does not necessarily represent the official views of NIGMS or the National Institutes of Health). FB, FP funded by InPresa, Lombardy Region, Italy. HG, KS funded by European Centre for Disease Prevention and Control. IV funded by Agencia de Qualitat i Avaluacio Sanitaries de Catalunya (AQuAS) through contract 2021-021OE. JDe, SMo, VP funded by Netzwerk Universitatsmedizin (NUM) project egePan (01KX2021). JPB, SH, TH funded by Federal Ministry of Education and Research (BMBF; grant 05M18SIA). KH, MSc, YKh funded by Project SaxoCOV, funded by the German Free State of Saxony. Presentation of data, model results and simulations also funded by the NFDI4Health Task Force COVID-19 ( https://www.nfdi4health.de/task-force-covid-19-2 ) within the framework of a DFG-project (LO-342/17-1). LP, VE funded by Mathematical and Statistical modelling project (MUNI/A/1615/2020), Online platform for real-time monitoring, analysis and management of epidemic situations (MUNI/11/02202001/2020); VE also supported by RECETOX research infrastructure (Ministry of Education, Youth and Sports of the Czech Republic: LM2018121), the CETOCOEN EXCELLENCE (CZ.02.1.01/0.0/0.0/17-043/0009632), RECETOX RI project (CZ.02.1.01/0.0/0.0/16-013/0001761). NIB funded by Health Protection Research Unit (grant code NIHR200908). SAb, SF funded by Wellcome Trust (210758/Z/18/Z).

60 APPLIED LIFE SCIENCES↗
DOE OSTI2021

Challenge Solutions for a Significant Water Cut Reduction History Match on Heavy Oil Polymer EOR

Milne Point Field is conducting the first-ever active polymer flood pilot program designed to enhance oil recovery (EOR) of heavy oils on the Alaska North Slope (ANS). The experimental field program consists of two pairs of horizontal injection and production wells deployed in an isolated fault block in the Schrader Bluff reservoir. The EOR method combines polymer flooding and low salinity water flooding to improve recovery. Prior average water cut reduction in polymer EOR fields ordinarily ranges between 10% to 15% for most light oil and heavy oil reservoirs. When comparing other field applications, the long-lasting (24 months) and much lower water cut poses a challenge for numerical history matching when applying typical simulation methods. This abstract discusses two practical new approaches used for history matching of the long-lasting ultralow water cut. These new applications include 1) multiple relative permeability curves with J-function incorporation with low endpoints of relative permeability of water (Krw). This approach integrated the permeability differential adjustment in the geometries of horizontal and vertical directions based on geological review. 2) A specific permeability channel strips along with the horizontal or vertical planar assumption. The current history matching results indicate success in achieving an excellent agreement with the field observed low water-cut.

Namie, S.↗
DOE OSTI2023

Improving Protein–Ligand Interaction Modeling with cryo-EM Data, Templates, and Deep Learning in 2021 Ligand Model Challenge

Elucidating protein–ligand interaction is crucial for studying the function of proteins and compounds in an organism and critical for drug discovery and design. The problem of protein–ligand interaction is traditionally tackled by molecular docking and simulation, which is based on physical forces and statistical potentials and cannot effectively leverage cryo-EM data and existing protein structural information in the protein–ligand modeling process. In this work, we developed a deep learning bioinformatics pipeline (DeepProLigand) to predict protein–ligand interactions from cryo-EM density maps of proteins and ligands. DeepProLigand first uses a deep learning method to predict the structure of proteins from cryo-EM maps, which is averaged with a reference (template) structure of the proteins to produce a combined structure to add ligands. The ligands are then identified and added into the structure to generate a protein–ligand complex structure, which is further refined. The method based on the deep learning prediction and template-based modeling was blindly tested in the 2021 EMDataResource Ligand Challenge and was ranked first in fitting ligands to cryo-EM density maps. These results demonstrate that the deep learning bioinformatics approach is a promising direction for modeling protein–ligand interactions on cryo-EM data using prior structural information.

59 BASIC BIOLOGICAL SCIENCES↗
DOE OSTI2020

Steering Molecular Dynamics Simulations of Membrane-Associated Proteins with Neutron Reflection Results

Herein, we present a novel method to incorporate structural results from surface-sensitive scattering, such as X-ray or neutron reflectometry, into molecular dynamics simulations. While reflectometry techniques generally provide a means to determine the molecular-scale structures of organized interfacial films, they were recently shown to offer the capability to characterize the structures of protein-membrane complexes supported by a solid substrate. One-dimensional information inherent in the experimental results is used in the form of component volume occupancy (CVO) profiles, which describe the distribution of molecular components within an interfacial architecture, to construct real-space constraints in the form of a biasing potential for the simulation that vanishes when the simulated and experimental profiles agree. This approach improves the correspondence between simulation and experiment, as shown in the re-evaluation of an neutron-reflection-derived structure which was approximated by an independent molecular dynamics simulation in earlier work, and it also leads to faster equilibration of ensemble structures. We further show that time averaging the CVO profile that develops in the simulation while biasing with this approach permits fluctuations about the average that are necessary for conformational exploration of the system. This method is particularly valuable for studies of proteins at interfaces that contain disordered regions since the conformation of such regions is difficult to judge from the analysis of one-dimensional experimental profiles and may take prohibitively long to equilibrate in simulations.

37 INORGANIC, ORGANIC, PHYSICAL, AND ANALYTICAL CH↗
DOE OSTI2024

On the measurement of shape: With applications to lunar regolith

With the renewed commitment from NASA and other commercial entities for a presence on the Moon, the importance of understanding the characteristics of lunar regolith and how to utilize it have become the target of increasing scrutiny. Much of what is known about lunar regolith was collected during and immediately after the Apollo program, however, analytical techniques and instrumentation have advanced in leaps and bounds in the subsequent decades. Specifically, dynamic image analysis systems have advanced to the point that millions of particles can have morphological characteristics automatically determined in relatively short time frames. Particle morphological data was collected on several lunar samples and a pair of widely used regolith simulants to ascertain the accuracy of these simulants and to explore statistical analysis methods of these large datasets. It is found that these morphology datasets can vary widely depending on the particle size of the particles, and simple averaging of the data skews the results heavily towards the numerically abundant size ranges, the fines. Different reporting methods are suggested to ameliorate these problems. When applied to the lunar regolith, the particles are noted to be less morphologically complex than initially suspected. Compared to the lunar material, the simulants are found to contain some more morphological variability and angular grains. Such difference is likely due to the wildly different comminution processes that these different powder systems are subjected to.

2D shape↗
DOE OSTI2021

BETO 2021 Peer Review - Analytical Development and Standardization for Biomass-Derived Thermochemical Liquids

This project began in FY14 to address the lack of standard chemical characterization analytical methods for bio-oils. Bio-oils are very complex and present numerous analytical challenges; yet reliable chemical information (quantification of both individual compounds and chemical functional groups) is needed to inform upgrading research and refinery co-processing. In this project, analysis needs are first determined from engaging the bioenergy community. Next, standard methods are developed to meet these needs, and then subsequently validated via inter-laboratory studies. Methods that are successfully validated (< 10% variability) are then shared as Laboratory Analytical Procedures (LAPs), which are free and publicly available. We have been tracking LAP use and have seen sustained usage as evidenced by an average of 500 pages views and 100 downloads per quarter, demonstrating the value of these methods to the bioenergy community. LAP methods that are particularly useful and reliable will be chosen for the next-level of standardization through ASTM. We have recently achieved approval by ASTM for our carbonyl titration method. This method (ASTM E3146) is the first example of an ASTM standard solely focused on the chemical characterization of bio-oils. Work in this project is meeting the analysis needs of the bioenergy community and will ultimately help enable the commoditization of bio-oils.

29 ENERGY PLANNING, POLICY, AND ECONOMY↗
DOE OSTI2020

The relation between lignin sequence and its 3D structure

Background: Lignin, the second most abundant biopolymer on earth, plays a major structural role in plants, conferring mechanical strength and regulating water conduction. Understanding the three-dimensional structure of lignin is important for fundamental reasons as well as engineering plants towards lignin valorization. Lignin lacks a specific primary sequence, making its average chemical composition the focus of most recent studies. However, it remains unclear whether the 3D structure of lignin molecules depends on their sequence. Methods: In this work, we performed all-atom molecular dynamics simulation of three S/G-lignin molecules with the same average composition but different sequence. Results: A detailed statistical analysis of the radius of gyration and relative shape anisotropy reveals that the lignin sequence has no statistically significant effect on the global three-dimensional structure. We found however, that homopolymers of C-lignin with the same molecular weight have smaller radii of gyration than S/G-lignin. We attribute this to lower hydroxyl content of C-lignin, which makes it more compact and rigid. Conclusions: The 3D structure of lignin is influenced by the overall content of monomeric units and interunit linkages and not by its precise primary sequence. General Significance: Lignin is assumed to not have a well-defined primary structure. The results presented here demonstrate there are no significant differences in the global 3D structure of lignin molecules with the same average composition but different primary sequence.

59 BASIC BIOLOGICAL SCIENCES↗
DOE OSTI2025

High average-flux laser-driven neutron source

Laser-driven neutron generation is an attractive alternative to more established methods for compact, short-pulse-duration neutron sources with applications in medical science, material science and imaging. Despite extensive investigation of various techniques, achieving performance comparable to nuclear reactors or conventional accelerators remains challenging. In this work, we generate a stable, high-repetition-rate laser-driven neutron source reaching a record average flux of 7.8 × 10 7 n/sr/s, improving on other existing laser-based sources by more than one order of magnitude. Our approach is based on a two-step process where electrons are accelerated to relativistic energies via laser wakefield acceleration (LWFA), and subsequently generate neutrons through Bremsstrahlung emission followed by photonuclear reactions in a tungsten converter. Experimental results, supported by Monte Carlo simulations, show a neutron flux of 3.0 × 10 7 n/cm 2 /s near the target, on par with some compact accelerator-based neutron sources. Additionally, a direct comparison with the target-normal sheath acceleration (TNSA) pitcher-catcher scheme, performed on the same laser system, reveals a significantly higher total neutron yield of 3.9 × 10 8 neutrons per shot, outperforming the TNSA scheme by several orders of magnitude. These findings represent a significant advancement towards the development of practical laser-driven neutron sources and highlight the advantages of LWFA-based neutron generation for future applications.

Vallières, Simon [Institut National de la Recherch↗
DOE OSTI2020

How Should Machine Learning Be Successfully Used for Wind Speed Vertical Extrapolation?

An accurate characterization of the wind resource available at hub-height is required for an efficient and bankable wind farm project. However, direct measurement of wind speed at the constantly increasing height of the hub of commercial wind turbines is oftentimes challenging and expensive, so that it is common practice to vertically extrapolate the wind resource from lower and more easily accessible levels. Conventional techniques for wind speed vertical extrapolation include the use of a power law and a logarithmic profile. While simple, the limits in accuracy of these methods have been shown in various studies. Recently, machine learning has been proposed as a new method to vertically extrapolate winds. All the published studies on the topic assess the performance of machine learning techniques in vertically extrapolating the wind resource at the same location where the algorithm has been trained. However, in real-world applications, the wind resource is measured at the instrument location, but it then needs to be extrapolated at hub height at the location of the wind turbines within the find farm. To be able to fully recommend the use of machine learning techniques over the simple power law and logarithmic law, the spatial variability of the performance improvements of the machine learning approaches needs to be assessed. Here, we propose a round-robin validation of a machine learning-based method for wind speed extrapolation. We use 20 months of observations at four locations spanning a 100 km wide region at the Southern Great Plains (SGP) atmospheric observatory, in north-central Oklahoma. At each location, we train a random forest to predict 30-min average wind speed at 143 m AGL. We use as input features lidar wind speed at 65 m AGL, time of day, sonic anemometer wind speed at 4 m AGL, turbulent kinetic energy, and Obukhov length. First, we perform a same-site comparison of the performance of the proposed random forest against the conventional techniques for wind speed extrapolation (namely power law and logarithmic profile, with widely accepted stability corrections). We find that the random forest outperforms the power law in vertically extrapolating wind speed in all the considered stability regimes, with a 33% reduction in MAE for stable conditions, and a 31% reduction in unstable conditions. Similar results are found when comparing predictions of extrapolated winds from the logarithmic profile and the random forest with the observed values. Next, we propose a round-robin validation, to use the random forest trained at each site to extrapolate wind speed at the remaining three sites. We find that the performance of the random forest approach degrades when the algorithm is tested at a site different than the training one. However, even under those circumstances, the machine learning-based approach still outperforms the conventional techniques for wind speed extrapolation, with, on average, a reduction in mean absolute error between 15 and 20% over the conventional methods, with the largest benefits obtained under stable conditions.

Monte Carlo↗
DOE OSTI2020

Detection of analytes using porous mass spectrometry surface

The disclosure herein includes compositions and methods for ionizing targets and methods for making the compositions. In some embodiments, the compositions can include a porous substrate that has been etched for a desired average pore size, a desired porosity, or both for detection of one or more targets of interest. Also disclosed herein are methods for using the composition to ionize targets.

36 MATERIALS SCIENCE↗
DOE OSTI2023

Analysis and Compensation of Tx and Rx IQ Imbalances in Uplink IM-OFDMA Systems

Index modulation-based orthogonal division multiple access (IM-OFDMA) has recently been proposed as a potential technique for future wireless communication systems due to its superior spectral efficiency and error performance over conventional multiple access schemes. However, its performance is still under investigation by researchers in light of a variety of scenarios and assumptions. Following this direction, in this Article, the individual and joint effects of the transmitter (Tx) and receiver (Rx) in-phase and quadrature imbalances (IQI) on the bit-error-rate (BER) performance of the uplink IM-OFDMA scheme are investigated by considering whether each user's RF front-end is identical or not. Moreover, to reduce the detrimental effect of IQI, a preamble-based estimation and compensation method is proposed for IM-OFDMA. Closed-form expressions for the average BER of IM-OFDMA are obtained by considering the physical effect of the Tx and Rx IQI. Also, using Monte Carlo simulations, the derived expressions are verified under different system configurations. Furthermore, analytical and simulation results reveal that Tx and Rx IQI cause an error floor in the BER performance of IM-OFDMA schemes. However, the proposed estimation and compensation method not only reduces the impact of IQI but also leads to a better BER performance compared to the case of no IQI, which mainly refers to the frequency diversity caused by the IQI.

42 ENGINEERING↗
DOE OSTI2020

Automatic and rapid calibration of urban building energy models by learning from energy performance database

Urban building energy modeling (UBEM) is attracting increasing attention in the energy modeling filed. Unlike modeling a single building using detailed building systems information, UBEM generally uses limited high-level building stock data to infer default assumptions about building characteristics and operations. Additionally, this practice inherently brings uncertainty to UBEM. This study introduced a novel method of automatic and rapid calibration of UBEM based on the annual electricity and natural gas energy use data by learning the correlations between crucial model input parameters and the building energy use from the reference building models. A case study was presented to calibrate 72 large office buildings built before 1978 in San Francisco. Seventeen model parameters were selected and Monte Carlo sampling was used to create 1000 samples that reasonably represent the parameter space. Then 1000 simulations were performed for the reference building model to create an energy performance database. The results showed that by learning from the energy performance database, it took less than four simulation runs on average to calibrate a building model. After the calibration, the distributions of each parameter were obtained to replace their single predefined default values. For example, the default lighting power density of 21.39 W/m 2 was calibrated to be 7.50 W/m 2 on average. The case study successfully demonstrated the effectiveness of the novel calibration method for UBEM in the mild climate. The method will be further tested in future for other climate zones and other building types.

32 ENERGY CONSERVATION, CONSUMPTION, AND UTILIZATI↗
DOE OSTI2023

Linearized Pair-Density Functional Theory for Vertical Excitation Energies

Multiconfiguration pair-density functional theory (MC-PDFT) is a computationally efficient method that computes the energies of electronic states in a state specific or state average framework via an on-top functional. However, MC-PDFT does not include state interaction among these states since the final energies do not come from the diagonalization of an effective model-space Hamiltonian. Recently, multistate extensions such as linearized PDFT (L-PDFT) have been developed to accurately model the potentials near conical intersections and avoided crossings. However, there has not been any systematic study evaluating their performance for predicting vertical excitations at the equilibrium geometry of a molecule, when the excited states are generally well separated. In this paper, we report the performance of L-PDFT on the extensive QUESTDB data set of vertical excitations using a database of automatically selected active spaces. We show that L-PDFT performs well on all these excitations and successfully reproduces the performance of MC-PDFT. These results further demonstrate the potential of L-PDFT, as its scaling is constant with the number of states included in the state-average manifold, whereas MC-PDFT scales linearly in this regard.

37 INORGANIC, ORGANIC, PHYSICAL, AND ANALYTICAL CH↗
DOE OSTI2024

Leveraging neural control variates for enhanced precision in lattice field theory

Results obtained with stochastic methods have an inherent uncertainty due to the finite number of samples that can be achieved in practice. In lattice QCD this problem is particularly salient in some observables like, for instance, observables involving one or more baryons and it is the main problem preventing the calculation of nuclear forces from first principles. The method of control variables has been used extensively in statistics and it amounts to computing the expectation value of the difference between the observable of interest and another observable whose average is known to be zero but is correlated with the observable of interest. Recently, control variates methods emerged as a promising solution in the context of lattice field theories. In our current study, instead of relying on an educated guess to determine the control variate, we utilize a neural network to parametrize this function. Using 1 + 1 dimensional scalar field theory as a testbed, we demonstrate that this neural network approach yields substantial improvements. Notably, our findings indicate that the neural network ansatz is particularly effective in the strong coupling regime. Published by the American Physical Society 2024

Astronomy & Astrophysics↗
DOE OSTI2021

Design and calibration of an optically segmented single volume scatter camera for neutron imaging

The Optically Segmented Single Volume Scatter Camera (OS-SVSC) aims to image neutron sources for non-proliferation applications using the kinematic reconstruction of elastic double-scatter events. Our prototype system consists of 64 EJ-204 organic plastic scintillator bars, each measuring 5mm &#x00d7; 5mm &#x00d7; 200mm and individually wrapped in Teflon tape. The scintillator array is optically coupled to two silicon photomultiplier ArrayJ-60035 64P-PCB arrays, each comprised of 64 individual 6x6mm J-Series sensors arranged in an 8 &#x00d7; 8 array. We report on the design details, including component selections, mechanical design and assembly, and the electronics system. The described design leveraged existing off-the-shelf solutions to support the rapid development of a phase 1 prototype. Several valuable lessons were learned from component and system testing, including those related to the detector's mechanical structure and electrical crosstalk that we conclude originates in the commercial photodetector arrays and the associated custom breakout cards. We detail our calibration efforts, beginning with calibrations for the electronics, based on the IRS3D application-specific integrated circuits, and their associated timing resolutions, ranging from 3090ps. With electronics calibrations applied, energy and position calibrations were performed for a set of edge bars using 22 Na and 90 Sr, respectively, reporting an average resolution of 12.07±0.03mm for energy depositions between 900keVee and 1000keVee. We further demonstrate a position calibration method for the internal bars of the matrix using cosmic-ray muons as an alternative to emission sources that cannot easily access these bars, with an average measured resolution of 14.86+-0.29mm for depositions between 900keVee and 1000keVee. The coincident time resolution reported between pairs of bars measured up to 400ps from muon acquisitions. Energy and position calibration values measured with muons are consistent with those obtained using particle emission sources.

47 OTHER INSTRUMENTATION↗
DOE OSTI2020

Anisotropic index of refraction and structural properties of hexagonal boron nitride epilayers probed by spectroscopic ellipsometry

The anisotropic index of refraction of 200 μm thick boron-10 enriched hexagonal boron nitride (h-BN) freestanding epilayers grown by metalorganic chemical vapor deposition has been measured using spectroscopic ellipsometry in the UV (4.0–5.1 eV) spectral range. It was found that the index of refraction for the polarization mode with an electric field perpendicular to the c-axis (ordinary, n o ) is much higher than that with an electric field parallel to the c-axis (extraordinary, n e ). By inclusion of turbostratic- (t-) phase layers within h-BN having an average inclination angle (θ) with respect to the ideal c-plane, a simple method for quantifying θ has been deduced. Our results revealed that the presence of t-phase layers decreases the optical anisotropy of h-BN and that a signature of improved crystalline quality is an increase in the ordinary index of refraction (n o ) as a result of the average incline angle θ approaching 0° and predicted that n o = 2.7 and n e = 1.5 at 280 nm for single crystalline h-BN epilayers. More importantly, our results demonstrated that spectroscopic ellipsometry is an effective technique for characterizing the crystalline quality of h-BN epilayers with the advantages of being noninvasive and highly sensitive.

71 CLASSICAL AND QUANTUM MECHANICS, GENERAL PHYSIC↗
DOE OSTI2025

Genetic Identification of Lamprey Genera and Anadromous Ecotypes in Watersheds of the Northeastern Pacific Ocean

ABSTRACT Nonparasitic, nonmigratory Western Brook Lamprey (WBL; Lampetra ayresii ), and parasitic, anadromous Western River Lamprey (WRL; L. ayresii ) are sympatric lampreys that likely represent different life history variations of a single species. Novel genetic tools are critical for differentiating WBL and WRL, whose larvae preclude morphological identification (ID) and will enable comprehensive assessment of imperiled native lampreys of the Northeastern Pacific (including WBL, WRL, and Pacific Lamprey, Entosphenus tridentatus ). We developed 47 candidate single nucleotide polymorphism (SNP) markers using whole genome resequencing of WBL ( N = 24) and WRL ( N = 15) from Ksi Ts'oohl Ts'ap Creek (Nass River, British Columbia, Canada) which are likely ecotypes distinguished by few divergent SNPs across multiple chromosomes. We used five novel candidate SNPs to perform genetic ID of WBL and WRL ecotypes in collections of mixed native lampreys from lower Columbia River tributaries ( N = 1474), Ksi Ts'oohl Ts'ap Creek ( N = 352), and ocean phase WRL from the Georgia Basin (Salish Sea, British Columbia, Canada; N = 91). Two previously published SNPs were used to ID genera, Entosphenus versus Lampetra . Morphological ID utilized photographs collected from a subset of genotyped lampreys, and high concordance was demonstrated between ID methods for genera (99%) and Lampetra ecotypes (> 98%). We characterized spatial and temporal composition of lamprey genera and ecotypes surveyed across NE Pacific tributaries under the expectation these compositions would be similar across nearby sites and across years at the same site. Proportions of lamprey genera were highly variable within regions and across years; however, Lampetra ecotypic proportions were spatially and temporally stable. WRL were rare in lower Columbia tributaries (~1% average rate among Lampetra ) and common further north (> 40% of Lampetra ). Genetic ID methods are powerful monitoring tools that create the novel ability to ascertain genera and ecotypes regardless of life stage, while increasing the efficiency of surveys by eliminating time‐intensive morphological data collection.

Silver, G. S. [Columbia River Inter‐Tribal Fish Co↗
DOE OSTI2026

Predicting critical heat flux using localized sensing at invisible vapor-liquid interfaces

Predicting critical heat flux (CHF) in two-phase electronics cooling systems remains a significant challenge due to the sudden onset of boiling crisis and the difficulty in directly visualizing vapor-liquid interfaces. Existing sensing methods rely on lagging temperature measurements, optically accessible systems, or spatially averaged signals that cannot pinpoint CHF initiation at localized high-heat-flux regions. Here, we report a planar capacitive sensing approach that enables real-time, localized detection of vapor-liquid interface dynamics for CHF prediction in boiling heat transfer. The capacitive sensor exploits the dielectric constant difference between liquid and vapor phases to capture bubble nucleation, growth, and departure dynamics with a temporal resolution down to 2 ms. The capacitive sensing reveals distinct signals across boiling regimes: from high-frequency fluctuations during strong nucleate boiling to low-frequency fluctuations with increased amplitudes when approaching CHF. The multi-sensor array experiments demonstrate real-time localized sensing, where each sensor responds exclusively to boiling in its immediate vicinity without crosstalk from neighboring regions. This non-intrusive sensing approach provides predictive rather than lagging sensing signals of CHF occurrence, offering predictive diagnosis of two-phase liquid cooling for the thermal management of high-power-density electronics.

CHF↗