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All sourcesNASA NTRSDOE OSTI
NASA NTRSDate not supplied

Chimeric Mouse Models for Space Radiation Risk Investigations

Assessment of human health risks associated with space radiation exposure is based largely on the knowledge learned from studies in which animals, mostly rodents, are exposed to high-LET radiation on the ground. It has been recognized that translation of animal results to meaningful implications for human disease can be challenging, particularly for certain risk categories such as the high-LET radiation effects in the central nervous system (CNS). Considering limitations in utilizing non-human primates and clinical studies in humans, chimeric animals can potentially bridge the knowledge gap between rodents and humans. In a chimeric animal, a specific organ or a cell type is replaced with respective human cells that are functional. A number of chimeric mouse models have been developed in the medical research community to study human diseases, and some of the models can potentially be used for NASA applications. For instance, mice engrafted with human hepatocytes, which have been used in studies of genotoxicity from carcinogen exposures, can be used for quantification of space radiation damage. A chimeric brain model, which was shown to perform superiorly in memory and cognitive tests, can also be a candidate for studying the CNS effects of radiation. It has also been reported that mice engrafted with human hematopoietic progenitor cells were exposed to X-rays and high-LET Si ions to investigate the radiation effects in the immune system. In a pilot study, we use PXB mice whose livers contain >90% human cells. These mice are exposed to gamma rays for investigations of DNA damage and transcriptomics changes in the humanized livers. Results obtained from PXB mice will be compared non-engrafted control animals from the same background strain that are exposed to identical conditions. The aim of the study is to determine whether chimeric mouse models are suitable for investigations of space radiation risks.

Honglu Wu↗
NASA NTRSDate not supplied

Chimeric Mouse Models for Space Radiation Risk Investigations

Assessment of human health risks associated with space radiation exposure is based largely on the knowledge learned from studies in which animals, mostly rodents, are exposed to high-LET radiation on the ground. It has been recognized that translation of animal results to meaningful implications for human disease can be challenging, particularly for certain risk categories such as the high-LET radiation effects in the central nervous system (CNS). Considering limitations in utilizing non-human primates and clinical studies in humans, chimeric animals can potentially bridge the knowledge gap between rodents and humans. In a chimeric animal, a specific organ or a cell type is replaced with respective human cells that are functional. A number of chimeric mouse models have been developed in the medical research community to study human diseases, and some of the models can potentially be used for NASA applications. For instance, mice engrafted with human hepatocytes, which have been used in studies of genotoxicity from carcinogen exposures, can be used for quantification of space radiation damage. A chimeric brain model, which was shown to perform superiorly in memory and cognitive tests, can also be a candidate for studying the CNS effects of radiation. It has also been reported that mice engrafted with human hematopoietic progenitor cells were exposed to X-rays and high-LET Si ions to investigate the radiation effects in the immune system. In a pilot study, we use PXB mice whose livers contain >90% human cells. These mice are exposed to gamma rays for investigations of DNA damage and transcriptomics changes in the humanized livers. Results obtained from PXB mice will be compared non-engrafted control animals from the same background strain that are exposed to identical conditions. The aim of the study is to determine whether chimeric mouse models are suitable for investigations of space radiation risks.

Honglu Wu↗
NASA NTRSDate not supplied

Chimeric Mouse Models for Space Radiation Risk Investigations

Assessment of human health risks associated with space radiation exposure is based largely on the knowledge learned from studies in which animals, mostly rodents, are exposed to high-LET radiation on the ground. It has been recognized that translation of animal results to meaningful implications for human disease can be challenging, particularly for certain risk categories such as the high-LET radiation effects in the central nervous system (CNS). Considering limitations in utilizing non-human primates and clinical studies in humans, chimeric animals can potentially bridge the knowledge gap between rodents and humans. In a chimeric animal, a specific organ or a cell type is replaced with respective human cells that are functional. A number of chimeric mouse models have been developed in the medical research community to study human diseases, and some of the models can potentially be used for NASA applications. Here we investigate use of mice engrafted with human hepatocytes, which have been used in studies of genotoxicity from carcinogen exposures, for assessment of space radiation damage. In a pilot study, we use PXB mice whose livers contain >90% human cells and have been found to function nearly identically to human liver tissues. These mice were exposed to gamma rays for investigations of DNA damage, transcriptomics, and histopathological changes in the humanized livers. Results obtained from PXB mice were compared non-engrafted control animals from the same background strain that are exposed to identical conditions. Preliminary data from histopathological analysis suggest chimeric mouse models are suitable for investigations of space radiation risks, as the humanized liver tissue exhibited changes induced by radiation and was markedly distinct from the liver tissue from the control animals (Fox Chase SCID mice).

Radiation effects↗
NASA NTRSDate not supplied

Chimeric Mouse Models for Space Radiation Risk Investigations

Assessment of human health risks associated with space radiation exposure is based largely on the knowledge learned from studies in which animals, mostly rodents, are exposed to high-LET radiation on the ground. It has been recognized that translation of animal results to meaningful implications for human disease can be challenging, particularly for certain risk categories such as the high-LET radiation effects in the central nervous system (CNS). Considering limitations in utilizing non-human primates and clinical studies in humans, chimeric animals can potentially bridge the knowledge gap between rodents and humans. In a chimeric animal, a specific organ or a cell type is replaced with respective human cells that are functional. A number of chimeric mouse models have been developed in the medical research community to study human diseases, and some of the models can potentially be used for NASA applications. Here we investigate use of mice engrafted with human hepatocytes, which have been used in studies of genotoxicity from carcinogen exposures, for assessment of space radiation damage. In a pilot study, we use PXB mice whose livers contain >90% human cells and have been found to function nearly identically to human liver tissues. These mice were exposed to gamma rays for investigations of DNA damage, transcriptomics, and histopathological changes in the humanized livers. Results obtained from PXB mice were compared non-engrafted control animals from the same background strain that are exposed to identical conditions. Preliminary data from histopathological analysis suggest chimeric mouse models are suitable for investigations of space radiation risks, as the humanized liver tissue exhibited changes induced by radiation and was markedly distinct from the liver tissue from the control animals (Fox Chase SCID mice).

Radiation effects↗
NASA NTRS1997

Assessment of a remote sensing-based model for predicting malaria transmission risk in villages of Chiapas, Mexico

A blind test of two remote sensing-based models for predicting adult populations of Anopheles albimanus in villages, an indicator of malaria transmission risk, was conducted in southern Chiapas, Mexico. One model was developed using a discriminant analysis approach, while the other was based on regression analysis. The models were developed in 1992 for an area around Tapachula, Chiapas, using Landsat Thematic Mapper (TM) satellite data and geographic information system functions. Using two remotely sensed landscape elements, the discriminant model was able to successfully distinguish between villages with high and low An. albimanus abundance with an overall accuracy of 90%. To test the predictive capability of the models, multitemporal TM data were used to generate a landscape map of the Huixtla area, northwest of Tapachula, where the models were used to predict risk for 40 villages. The resulting predictions were not disclosed until the end of the test. Independently, An. albimanus abundance data were collected in the 40 randomly selected villages for which the predictions had been made. These data were subsequently used to assess the models' accuracies. The discriminant model accurately predicted 79% of the high-abundance villages and 50% of the low-abundance villages, for an overall accuracy of 70%. The regression model correctly identified seven of the 10 villages with the highest mosquito abundance. This test demonstrated that remote sensing-based models generated for one area can be used successfully in another, comparable area.

Insect Vectors/growth & development↗
NASA NTRS2017

Asteroid Impact Risk: Ground Hazard versus Impactor Size

We utilized a probabilistic asteroid impact risk (PAIR) model to stochastically assess the impact risk due to an ensemble population of Near-Earth Objects (NEOs). Concretely, we present the variation of risk with impactor size. Results suggest that large impactors dominate the average risk, even when only considering the subset of undiscovered NEOs.

Mathias, Donovan↗
NASA NTRSDate not supplied

Defining A Modelling Language to Support Functional Hazard Assessment

Functional Hazard Assessment (FHA) is a key early-stage engineering process that supports the incorporation of safety in design by identifying the high-level functional hazards the system may encounter. While many FHA-like methodologies have been proposed in the design engineering literature, many of these methodologies have had difficulty becoming accepted industry practice. Industry standards, on the other hand, either provide too little recommendation on how to represent the function of the system to perform FHA, or rely on existing design artefacts which insufficiently support the goals of the process. This paper presents some of the problems with current modeling languages (both proposed and used) for FHA which limit the scope, expressiveness, flexibility, and precision of the analysis. It then outlines desirable principles an FHA-supporting analysis language should embody, and introduces the Functional Reasoning Design Language (FRDL), a formal modeling language for describing the functional elements of a system and their interactions, which aims to satisfy these principles. To demonstrate the use of this language, the modeling and hazard analysis of a disaster response drone is presented. While this case study is limited in scope, it highlights how FRDL can represent system function while reducing the ambiguity present in typical FHA-supporting functional modeling languages

Hazard Assessment↗
DOE OSTI2024

Extreme Risk Mitigation in Reinforcement Learning using Extreme Value Theory

Risk-sensitive reinforcement learning (RL) has garnered significant attention in recent years due to the growing interest in deploying RL agents in real-world scenarios. A critical aspect of risk awareness involves modelling highly rare risk events (rewards) that could potentially lead to catastrophic outcomes. These infrequent occurrences present a formidable challenge for data-driven methods aiming to capture such risky events accurately. While risk-aware RL techniques do exist, they suffer from high variance estimation due to the inherent data scarcity. Our work proposes to enhance the resilience of RL agents when faced with very rare and risky events by focusing on refining the predictions of the extreme values predicted by the state-action value distribution. To achieve this, we formulate the extreme values of the state-action value function distribution as parameterized distributions, drawing inspiration from the principles of extreme value theory (EVT). We propose an extreme value theory based actor-critic approach, namely, Extreme Valued Actor-Critic (EVAC) which effectively addresses the issue of infrequent occurrence by leveraging EVT-based parameterization. Importantly, we theoretically demonstrate the advantages of employing these parameterized distributions in contrast to other risk-averse algorithms. Our evaluations show that the proposed method outperforms other risk averse RL algorithms on a diverse range of benchmark tasks, each encompassing distinct risk scenarios.

Wang, Yu↗
DOE OSTI2021

Modeling FLEX Human Actions Using the EMRALD Dynamic Risk Assessment Tool

Most current efforts have modified and applied existing human reliability analysis (HRA) methods to treat human actions related to beyond-design-basis external events in which diverse and flexible coping strategies (FLEX) equipment would be deployed. However, many questions remain regarding the suitability of legacy HRA methods to address FLEX human actions, sparking the need for a new method of reasonably evaluating them. In this context, Idaho National Laboratory (INL) researched a relatively new approach to treating FLEX human actions via Event Modeling Risk Assessment Using Linked Diagrams (EMRALD) software. EMRALD was developed to support the increasing need for dynamic probabilistic risk assessment (PRA) models that can respond to evolving plant conditions during simulations. A couple benefits were identified when analyzing FLEX human actions through this software. In general, it is especially useful for evaluating a strategy’s feasibility, including FLEX human actions that require a relatively long time to perform. In this paper, we suggest how FLEX human actions can be modeled using the EMRALD software. Two different HRA modeling approaches using EMRALD are introduced: (1) procedure-based modeling and (2) PRA/HRA-based modeling. The former approach was introduced in the authors’ previous paper, whereas this paper mainly discusses how the latter approach works for an extended loss of AC power (ELAP) scenario with relevant procedures and PRA models. A hybrid method combining the two modeling approaches is introduced at the paper’s conclusion.

99 GENERAL AND MISCELLANEOUS↗
DOE OSTI2020

Risk Assessment and Ventilation Modeling for Hydrogen Release in Vehicle Repair Garages

The availability of repair garage infrastructure for hydrogen fuel cell vehicles is becoming increasingly important for future industry growth. Ventilation requirements for hydrogen fuel cell vehicles can affect both retrofitted and purpose-built repair garages and the costs associated with these requirements can be significant. A hazard and operability study (HAZOP) was performed to identify key risk-significant scenarios related to hydrogen vehicles in a repair garage. Detailed simulations and modeling were performed using appropriate computational tools to estimate the location, behavior, and severity of hydrogen release based on key HAZOP scenarios. This work compares current fire code requirements to an alternate ventilation strategy to further reduce potentially hazardous conditions. Overall, the amount of flammable mass of hydrogen at any one time in the simulation is low compared to the total mass of hydrogen released, due to the low flow rate of a low pressure release. It is shown that position, direction, and velocity of ventilation have a significant impact on the amount of instantaneous flammable mass in the domain.

33 ADVANCED PROPULSION SYSTEMS↗
NASA NTRSDate not supplied

Sensorimotor Application of Proposed Methods to Combine the Effects of Multiple Countermeasures for PRisM

Risk associated with human systems is challenging to quantify but is critical for the mission planning and decision making required to enable future Lunar and Martian missions. To address this gap, the Crew Health and Performance-Probabilistic Risk Assessment (CHP-PRA) project is developing an integrated computational model for CHP mission risk. Much like how MEDPRAT is designed to allow medical resource trades informed by medical risk, CHP-PRA will enable analogous trades in human system risks across multiple CHP functions and capabilities. Human performance is one component of the risk intended to be captured by CHP-PRA through the Performance Risk Model (PRisM). The sensorimotor risk area provides a good frame of reference for investigating the structure of a performance model because most tasks that astronauts are expected to perform require input from the sensory system and/or movement/motor control. Additionally, sensorimotor countermeasures are an area of particular concern for NASA’s Human Research Program because of the increased sensorimotor risk associated with surface operations in Lunar and Martian missions. Thus, a tool that can quickly compare risk reductions of potential countermeasures would be beneficial in guiding research and development of effective countermeasures. In this proof of concept, we present a systematic way to combine multiple performance data sets for humans subjected to different countermeasures such that we can predict the countermeasure(s) that optimize astronaut performance on relevant tasks. PRisM assumes that both the tests that are used to measure countermeasure effectiveness (input data) and the tasks we use to represent astronaut performance, can be broken down and represented as a function/vector of the human systems required to perform that test/task. Through mathematical combination, test data are used to predict performance on astronaut tasks that use similar systems. We propose that when combining countermeasures evaluated using the same test, that only one value should be used to represent their combined effectiveness. We start our analysis with the assumption that two countermeasures together will perform better than each countermeasure individually. Our initial implementation of this framework compares various space motion sickness countermeasures and the most up to date analysis will be demonstrated at the IWS.

Caroline R Austin↗
DOE OSTI2020

Risk assessment and ventilation modeling for hydrogen releases in vehicle repair garages

The availability of repair garage infrastructure for hydrogen fuel cell vehicles is becoming increasingly important for future industry growth. Ventilation requirements for hydrogen fuel cell vehicles can affect both retrofitted and purpose-built repair garages and the costs associated with these requirements can be significant. A hazard and operability (HAZOP) study was performed to identify risk-significant scenarios related to light-duty hydrogen vehicles in a repair garage. Detailed simulations and modeling were performed using appropriate computational tools to estimate the location, behavior, and severity of hydrogen release based on key HAZOP scenarios. Here, this work compares current fire code requirements to an alternate ventilation strategy to further reduce potential hazardous conditions. Modeling shows that position, direction, and velocity of ventilation have a significant impact on the amount of instantaneous flammable mass in the domain.

08 HYDROGEN↗
DOE OSTI2023

Simulation-Based Recovery Action Analysis Using the EMRALD Dynamic Risk Assessment Tool

Recovery human action is defined as the action that prevents deviant conditions from producing unwanted effects. Analyzing recovery actions has been a critical part in human reliability analysis (HRA). However, there are a couple of limitations to treating recovery actions using only the current HRA methods available. Representatively, the existing recovery analysis does not specifically consider recovery actions as they have occurred in actual nuclear power plants (NPPs). To handle the challenges in the existing recovery analyses, this study suggests a way to analyze recovery actions under a dynamic HRA method, the Procedure-based Risk Investigation MEthod-Human Reliability Analysis (PRIME-HRA) method. The PRIME-HRA method suggests a way on how to develop dynamic simulation models using dynamic risk assessment tools such as the Event Modeling Risk Assessment Using Linked Diagram (EMRALD) [1] and the Human Unimodel for Nuclear Technology to Enhance Reliability (HUNTER) [2]. EMRALD and HUNTER are the dynamic probabilistic risk assessment and HRA tools developed at Idaho National Laboratory. In this paper, differences on analyzing recovery actions in the Technique for Human Error-Rate Prediction (THERP), the Cause-Based Decision Tree (CBDT) and the Korean Standard HRA (K-HRA) and challenges of these approaches are introduced. How we have developed the PRIME-HRA is also introduced in this paper. Then, the proposed approach to analyzing recovery human actions in dynamic context is partially discussed with an example.

99 GENERAL AND MISCELLANEOUS↗
DOE OSTI2021

Modeling airborne pathogen transport and transmission risks of SARS-CoV-2

An integrated modeling approach has been developed to better understand the relative impacts of different expiratory and environmental factors on airborne pathogen transport and transmission, motivated by the recent COVID-19 pandemic. Computational fluid dynamics (CFD) modeling was used to simulate spatial-temporal aerosol concentrations and quantified risks of exposure as a function of separation distance, exposure duration, environmental conditions (e.g., airflow/ventilation), and face coverings. The CFD results were combined with infectivity models to determine probability of infection, which is a function of the spatial-temporal aerosol concentrations, viral load, infectivity rate, viral viability, lung-deposition probability, and inhalation rate. Uncertainty distributions were determined for these parameters from the literature. Probabilistic analyses were performed to determine cumulative distributions of infection probabilities and to determine the most important parameters impacting transmission. This modeling approach has relevance to both pathogen and pollutant dispersion from expelled aerosol plumes.

60 APPLIED LIFE SCIENCES↗
DOE OSTI2021

NRAP-open-IAM: A flexible open-source integrated-assessment-model for geologic carbon storage risk assessment and management

Large-scale implementation of geologic carbon storage (GCS) to help reduce atmospheric greenhouse gas emissions requires stakeholder confidence that injected CO2 will remain contained and that potential subsurface environmental risks are acceptably small and manageable. The U.S. Department of Energy’s National Risk Assessment Partnership (NRAP) has developed an open-source integrated assessment model (NRAP-Open-IAM) to help address questions about a potential GCS site’s ability to effectively contain injected CO 2 and protect groundwater and other overlying environmentally sensitive receptors. NRAP-Open-IAM allows a user to: (1) incorporate relevant site geologic and injection scenario data; (2) characterize important site features and events;(3) couple fast prediction models of various system components of the engineered geologic system; and (4) execute stochastic, dynamic simulation of whole GCS system performance, leakage risk assessment, and uncertainty quantification. NRAP-Open-IAM is available on GitLab (https://gitlab.com/NRAP/OpenIAM), and is accompanied by multiple application examples and detailed user and developer guides.

54 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES↗
NASA NTRS2007

Finding Uncertainties that Cause the Age Dependence of Dose Limits to Be Immature

Space radiation permissible exposure limits (PEL) are intended to set acceptable levels of cancer risks, and avoid any clinical significant non-cancer effects. The 1989 recommendation of the National Council of Radiation Protection and Measurements (NCRP) recommended a strong age dependence of dose limits that departed drastically from the then mature 1970 dose limits recommendations from the National Academy of Science, which were independent of age. In 2000, the NCRP recommended revised limits that showed a similar trend of risk with age to the 1989 report. In this model, the cancer risk per Sv varies by more than 2-fold for ages between 30- and 50-yr. Therefore for galactic cosmic rays exposure, astronaut age has a larger influence on risk then radiation shielding mass or material composition, vehicle propulsion method, or position in the solar cycle. For considering the control of mission costs and resources, the possibility of using astronaut age as a trade variable in mission design could be considered. However, the uncertainties in describing the age dependence on risk have not been fully explored. We discuss biological factors that influence the age dependence of radiation risks, including susceptibility, expression and latency, and radiation quality. These factors depend not only on the individual s age, but also their genetic sensitivity and interaction with other environmental factors. Epidemiological data is limited in describing the age dependence on risk. The 2005, BEIR VII report recommends an age dependence for cancer risk attributable solely to the life-table disagreeing strongly with the NCRP model. However, BEIR VII also noted the limited power of human data for concomitantly describing both age and age after exposure dependences of cancer risks. Many experimental studies have shown that high LET radiation (e.g., high charge and energy (HZE) nuclei and neutrons) display reduced latency compared to low LET radiation, suggesting distinct biological factors are important. We discuss potential molecular mechanisms that would influence the age dependence of radiation risks. A probability distribution function for the uncertainties in age-dependence of risk models is described and predictions for Mars missions discussed. Our report suggests that theoretical considerations based on new experimental studies are needed to ensure the correct age dependence in space radiation risk models and the resulting Astronaut PEL.

Cucinotta, Francis A.↗