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Search indexed NASA NTRS and DOE OSTI research on propulsion, heat transfer, battery materials and energy systems. Follow report and document links to the original sources.

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At least 433 records · Page 24

Performance of Fire Danger Indices and Their Utility in Predicting Future Wildfire Danger Over the Conterminous United States

Abstract Predicting current and future wildfire frequency and size is central to wildfire control and management. Multiple fire danger indices (FDIs) that incorporate weather and fuel conditions have been developed and utilized to support wildfire predictions and risk assessment. However, the scale‐dependent performance of individual FDIs remains poorly understood, which leads to large uncertainty in the estimated fire sizes under climate change. Here, we calculate four commonly used FDIs over the conterminous United States using high‐resolution (4 km) climate and fuel data sets for the 1984–2019 period. The relationships of these four FDIs to the observed wildfire sizes show that higher values of FDIs correlate to larger total fire sizes; this correlation is more robust at larger spatial scales. Sensitivity analysis indicates that the daily minimum relative humidity and precipitation are the most important drivers of the annual mean fire danger. In the instances of extreme fire danger, wind speed becomes a critical factor and should be considered in the calculation of the FDI. To assess the impact of climate change on future fire size, we calculate the present‐day and end‐of‐century FDIs using the 12 km regional climate model simulations. The four FDIs generally predict consistent changes in future fire potential, suggesting an overall higher fire potential in conjunction with a prolonged wildfire season in future climate. Regionally, the four FDIs also reveal similar seasonal patterns as the enhancement arises mostly in spring and summer over the southwest US while in summer and fall over the northern and eastern US.

54 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES↗

Investigation of Altitude Starting and Acceleration Characteristics of J47 Turbojet Engine

An investigation was conducted on an axial-flow-compressor type turbojet engine in the NACA Lewis altitude wind tunnel to determine the operational characteristics of several ignition systems, cross-fire tube configurations and fuel systems over a range of simulated flight conditions. The opposite-polarity-type spark plug provided the most satisfactory ignition. Increasing the cross-fire-tube diameter improved intercombustor flame propagation. At high windmilling speeds, accelerations to approximately 6200 rpm could be made at a preset constant throttle position. The use of a variable-area nozzle reduced acceleration time.

IGNITION SYSTEMS↗

An Integrated Supercritical System for Efficient Produced Water Treatment and Power Generation

The main goal of this project was to evaluate the feasibility of an integrated supercritical (SC) water desalination and power generation system for treatment of produced waters from CO 2 sequestration, oil production, and coal-bed methane recovery. This system may offer a transformative approach to generating power from coal or natural gas (NG) and purifying saline water or produced water with high total dissolved solids (TDS) in a zero-liquid discharge plant. The closed-loop steam cycle of conventional power plants was replaced with an open-loop steam cycle that heated the pretreated produced water above the SC point of water (374 °C and 221 bar) to precipitate and separate the salts dissolved in the water. After separation of the precipitated salt, the SC steam required further treatment to reduce the salt content from ~100 mg/L (ppm) to <1 ppm to make it suitable for use in turbines for power generation. A SC membrane distillation unit was used to polish the SC steam, which could be sent through a series of turbines for power generation, and the steam exiting the low-pressure turbine could be condensed by cooling water to produce pure water. Project tasks included a process simulation and a techno-economic evaluation of the integrated system; design and assembly of SC salt precipitation and membrane distillation systems; development and characterization of advanced carbon membranes for SC membrane distillation; and pretreatment, desalination, and purification of different produced water samples with salt concentrations of 30,000–200,000 ppm to a high-purity (<1 ppm) level. Process simulations were performed for 550 MW SC coal-fired or NG baseline cases and various scenarios for the proposed integrated SC system using produced water as the water source and coal or NG as the fuel source. Simulation results indicated that the net plant efficiency loss of the proposed SC cogeneration process would be in the range of <1% to ~4%, in which NG and lower TDS produced water cases would have higher efficiencies. The proposed process for coal-fired cases could provide all water needs for the power generation process and generate additional pure water for beneficial use. A techno-economic analysis was performed to estimate the cost of produced water treatment (dollars /kgal of treated water) by conventional treatment processes compared with the proposed cogeneration process. The cost estimation for the proposed cogeneration system included the cost of pretreatment, the cost of power loss to integrate the water desalination process into the power generation system, and the cost of plant modification or retrofitting. The cost of produced water treatment was calculated by assuming three different scenarios in which converting a baseline power plant to the proposed cogeneration plant would increase the cost of the boiler and feed water system by 10%, 50%, and 100%. Results indicated that the cost of produced water treatment, even with a 100% cost increase, was in the range of $8.6–11.6 dollars per kgal, which is about half of the treatment cost by conventional methods. The cost of produced water treatment by the proposed cogeneration system could be further reduced or a considerable income could be generated if the values of saltwater and freshwater products are considered. Overall, the techno-economic analysis results indicated that the proposed integrated SC system could potentially treat produced water at a cost significantly lower than the cost of produced water treatment by conventional technologies. To evaluate the feasibility of the proposed treatment system at a laboratory scale, a SC salt precipitation and membrane distillation system was designed and fabricated to treat a simulated brine or pretreated produced water by precipitating salts and further polishing the SC steam containing ~100 ppm salts to a high-purity steam. Through baseline tests with NaCl solutions, with concentrations ranging from 30,000 to 200,000 ppm, it was demonstrated that concentrated feed solutions could be treated by precipitating salt at SC conditions to a TDS level of 130 ppm. Produced water samples were collected from a potential CO 2 sequestration site, a coal-bed methane site, and an oilfield in Illinois. Representative samples were characterized for various water quality parameters, including pH; turbidity; conductivity; and concentrations of selected anions, cations, alkalinity, dissolved organic carbon, total suspended solids, TDS, and total petroleum hydrocarbons. The produced water samples were first treated by conventional pretreatment methods to remove residual oil, dissolved organic matter, and scale-forming species. Pretreatment methods included coagulation, sedimentation, filtration, activated carbon adsorption, and ion-exchange adsorption. Pretreated produced waters were treated at SC conditions in which salts were precipitated. Analysis of treated samples revealed that the concentration of Na (the main cation) in produced waters was reduced dramatically from 14,000–47,400 ppm in the feed to 21–80 ppm in treated waters. Concentrations of other main cations (Ca, Mg, Sr, K) also decreased significantly from initial values of ~1,000–22,000 ppm to ~1 ppm or less. However, a significant increase in the concentrations of Fe, Ni, Cu, and Co was observed, mainly caused by leaching of these elements from the system (vessels, filters, tubing), which is manufactured from alloys containing Fe, Ni, Cu, and Co. To polish the SC steam containing a salt content of ~100 ppm to a high-purity level of <1 ppm, a SC membrane distillation treatment using carbon membranes was employed. Different types of self-standing or supported carbon membranes were developed from graphite, graphene, carbon nanotubes, carbon nanofibers, and pyrolytic carbon. Screening tests revealed that only a limited number of developed carbon membranes were suitable for the purification of steam at SC conditions. Membranes that were either fragile and lacked mechanical strength or had large pores and showed limited salt rejection (<20%) were found to be unsuitable for the purification of SC steam. Promising carbon membranes that were successfully tested for purifying SC steam included two graphite membranes (i.e., AF-5, a porous graphite material, and FGS, a flexible graphite sheet) and a carbon nanotube membrane grown on a Hastelloy substrate and then further modified using a proprietary method (i.e., membrane C). The AF-5 membrane exhibited a stable water flux of ~50 kg/m 2 ∙h and ~40% salt rejection. The FGS membrane had a high salt rejection of 95%–98% but a lower water flux of ~15 kg/m 2 ∙h. Membrane C showed an extremely high flux of 200-800 kg/m 2 ∙h, which is one order of magnitude higher than the water flux of conventional membranes. Membrane C also exhibited 87%–93% salt rejection. Overall, a two-stage or multistage polishing treatment by these membranes could lower the salt content of the SC steam from initial values of ~100–200 ppm to the steam quality of <1 ppm or to parts per billion levels required for the power cycle.

20 FOSSIL-FUELED POWER PLANTS↗

A systems approach to a DSMC calculation of a control jet interaction experiment

This study deals with the development of a methodology for numerically simulating the interaction of a reaction control system (RCS) jet with a low-density external flow. A European Space Agency (ESA) experiment was chosen as a test case since it provided experimental data that could validate some of the numerical results. The initial approach was to focus on several subproblems having direct relevance to the full interaction problem. This enabled different numerical methods to be separately investigated and validated for each part of the interaction problem. In this manner, the best methodology for solving the full interaction problem was developed. The subproblems considered in this study included typical RCS nozzle and plume flows, a flat plate at zero incidence, and the flow past the experimental test model without the control jet firing. Once these calculations were completed, a simulation was performed with a control jet operating at a relatively low density. The results from this latter simulation provided qualitative insight into the complex interaction process.

Tartabini, Paul V.↗

Industry Level Feasibility of LiDAR Data into Fire Modeling Using Fire Risk Investigation in 3D (FRI3D)

Many evaluation, assessment, and modeling tasks at nuclear power plants require spatial information this often requires physical visits to locations within the facility because the 2D or 3D schematics and current models do not contain enough detail or do not capture as-built and real-world conditions. These visits require extensive manual labor for not only the requesting party, but support groups such as security. LIDAR mapping is trying to solve that problem by providing very detailed 3D models for low costs. However, the use of these models can be very limited because either component reference information is missing and too costly to add, or there is no way to extract specific spatial data needed for other tools. This report presents Idaho National Lab's work with Environmental Intellect (Ei) covering two main efforts. First, to reduce the effort of "tagging" data in large 3D models. By using both existing plant database information, and artificial intelligence (AI) to find and read equipment labels. This research explores the ability of to provide a simple way for the user to tag items and verify plant data, capturing both the speed of AI and human verification. The second part of the work is the development of an interface for importing pieces needed for Modeling & Simulation. Analysis work such as that for fire, flood, or physical security all require spatial or 3D models in various levels of detail. This interface will allow for the retrieval of item location or boundaries, enabling the auto generation of models for varying tools. The application program interface (API) of the fire risk investigation in 3D (FRI3D) was used to test feasibility of exporting the LiDAR tagged spatial information. Outcomes from this work provide preliminary data to determine if the tools and methods could provide substantial industry benefit if fully matured.

97 MATHEMATICS AND COMPUTING↗

Validation Assessment of Turbulent Reacting Flow Model Using The Area-Validation Metric on Medium-Scale Methanol Pool Fire Results

Accident analysis and ensuring power plant safety are pivotal in the nuclear energy sector. Significant strides have been achieved over the past few decades regarding fire protection and safety, primarily centered on design and regulatory compliance. Yet, after the Fukushima accident a decade ago, the imperative to enhance measures against fire, internal flooding, and power loss has intensified. Hence, a comprehensive, multilayered protection strategy against severe accidents is needed. Consequently, gaining a deeper insight into pool fires and their behavior through extensive validated data can greatly aid in improving these measures using advanced validation techniques. A model validation study was performed at Sandia National Laboratories in which a 30-cm diameter methanol pool fire was modeled using the SIERRA/Fuego turbulent reacting flow code. This validation study used a standard validation experiment to compare model results against, and conclusions have been published. The fire was modeled with a Large Eddy Simulation (LES) turbulence model with subgrid turbulent kinetic energy closure. Combustion was modeled using a strained laminar flamelet library approach. Radiative heat transfer was accounted for with a model utilizing the gray-gas approximation. In the present study, additional validation analysis is performed using the area validation metric (AVM). These activities are done on multiple datasets involving different variables and temporal/spatial ranges and intervals. In conclusion, the results provide insight into the use of the area validation metric on such temporally varying datasets and the importance of physics-aware use of the metric for proper analysis.

98 NUCLEAR DISARMAMENT, SAFEGUARDS, AND PHYSICAL P↗

Applications of Principled Search Methods in Climate Influences and Mechanisms

Forest and grass fires cause economic losses in the billions of dollars in the U.S. alone. In addition, boreal forests constitute a large carbon store; it has been estimated that, were no burning to occur, an additional 7 gigatons of carbon would be sequestered in boreal soils each century. Effective wildfire suppression requires anticipation of locales and times for which wildfire is most probable, preferably with a two to four week forecast, so that limited resources can be efficiently deployed. The United States Forest Service (USFS), and other experts and agencies have developed several measures of fire risk combining physical principles and expert judgment, and have used them in automated procedures for forecasting fire risk. Forecasting accuracies for some fire risk indices in combination with climate and other variables have been estimated for specific locations, with the value of fire risk index variables assessed by their statistical significance in regressions. In other cases, the MAPSS forecasts [23, 241 for example, forecasting accuracy has been estimated only by simulated data. We describe alternative forecasting methods that predict fire probability by locale and time using statistical or machine learning procedures trained on historical data, and we give comparative assessments of their forecasting accuracy for one fire season year, April- October, 2003, for all U.S. Forest Service lands. Aside from providing an accuracy baseline for other forecasting methods, the results illustrate the interdependence between the statistical significance of prediction variables and the forecasting method used.

Glymour, Clark↗

Return of Large Scale Upper Stage Rocket Thermal-Vacuum and Altitude Hot-Fire Test Capability to the U.S.

The National Aeronautics and Space Administration has undertaken a project to restore full-scale thermal-vacuum and altitude hot fire rocket testing capability within the United States by the end of 2020. The restoration of the In Space Propulsion (ISP) facility at the Glenn Research Center's Plum Brook Station in Sandusky Ohio will accommodate full-scale long duration cryogenic stage testing in a simulated space environment as well as hot-fire testing at altitudes up to 120,000 ft. The reference test article for the restoration is a 30,000lb thrust LOX/LH2 stage with a 300 second burn duration. This presentation will describe the scope and progress of the restoration, current capabilities, and planned and potential uses for the facility once fully restored.

Plum Brook Station↗

Soil carbon storage capacity of drylands under altered fire regimes

The determinants of fire-driven changes in soil organic carbon (SOC) across broad environmental gradients remains unclear, especially in global drylands. Here we combined datasets and field sampling of fire-manipulation experiments to evaluate where and why fire changes SOC and compared our statistical model to simulations from ecosystem models. Drier ecosystems experienced larger relative changes in SOC than humid ecosystems—in some cases exceeding losses from plant biomass pools—primarily explained by high fire-driven declines in tree biomass inputs in dry ecosystems. Many ecosystem models underestimated the SOC changes in drier ecosystems. Upscaling our statistical model predicted that soils in savannah–grassland regions may have gained 0.64 PgC due to net-declines in burned area over the past approximately two decades. Consequently, ongoing declines in fire frequencies have probably created an extensive carbon sink in the soils of global drylands that may have been underestimated by ecosystem models.

54 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES↗

Experimental And Numerical Evaluation Of Gaseous Agents For Suppressing Cup-Burner Flames In Low Gravity

Longer duration missions to the moon, to Mars, and on the International Space Station (ISS) increase the likelihood of accidental fires. NASA's fire safety program for human-crewed space flight is based largely on removing ignition sources and controlling the flammability of the material on-board. There is ongoing research to improve the flammability characterization of materials in low gravity; however, very little research has been conducted on fire suppression in the low-gravity environment. Although the existing suppression systems aboard the Space Shuttle (halon 1301, CF3Br) and the ISS (CO2 or water-based form) may continue to be used, alternative effective agents or techniques are desirable for long-duration missions. The goal of the present investigation is to: (1) understand the physical and chemical processes of fire suppression in various gravity and O2 levels simulating spacecraft, Mars, and moon missions; (2) provide rigorous testing of analytical models, which include detailed combustion-suppression chemistry and radiation sub-models, so that the model can be used to interpret (and predict) the suppression behavior in low gravity; and (3) provide basic research results useful for advances in space fire safety technology, including new fire-extinguishing agents and approaches.

Takahashi, Fumiaki↗

A subcellular biochemical model for T6SS dynamics reveals winning competitive strategies

Abstract The type VI secretion system (T6SS) is a broadly distributed interbacterial weapon that can be used to eliminate competing bacterial populations. Although unarmed target populations are typically used to study T6SS function in vitro, bacteria most likely encounter other T6SS-armed competitors in nature. However, the connection between subcellular details of the T6SS and the outcomes of such mutually lethal battles is not well understood. Here, we incorporate biological data derived from natural competitors of Vibrio fischeri light organ symbionts to build a biochemical model for T6SS at the single-cell level, which we then integrate into an agent-based model (ABM). Using the ABM, we isolate and experiment with strain-specific physiological differences between competitors in ways not possible with biological samples to identify winning strategies for T6SS-armed populations. Through in vitro experiments, we discover that strain-specific differences exist in T6SS activation speed. ABM simulations corroborate that faster activation is dominant in determining survival during competition. Once competitors are fully activated, the energy required for T6SS creates a tipping point where increased weapon building and firing becomes too costly to be advantageous. Through ABM simulations, we identify the threshold where this transition occurs in the T6SS parameter space. We also find that competitive outcomes depend on the geometry of the battlefield: unarmed target cells survive at the edges of a range expansion where unlimited territory can be claimed. Alternatively, competitions within a confined space, much like the light organ crypts where natural V. fischeri compete, result in the rapid elimination of the unarmed population.

59 BASIC BIOLOGICAL SCIENCES↗

Temperature-Dependence of Corrosion of Ni-Based Superalloys in Hot CO 2 -Rich Gases Containing SO 2 Impurities

Future power plants will require Ni-based superalloys resistant to high-temperature corrosion in CO 2 -rich environments containing impurities. In this work, several commercially available Ni-based alloys (617, 230, 625, 263, 740H) were exposed at 600°C, 650°C, 750°C and 1 atm to 95% CO 2 , 4% H 2 O, 1% O 2 without/with 0.1% SO 2 to simulate compositions expected in a direct-fired supercritical CO 2 power cycle. The results indicate no effect of SO 2 at 750°C, a small negative effect at 650°C, and a large negative effect at 600°C. Alloys exposed at the higher temperatures (650–750°C) formed thin Cr-rich oxide scales, whereas the lowest temperature (600°C) resulted in thicker scales consisting of non-protective oxides and sulfates. Thermodynamic analysis indicates this increased corrosion is associated with a transition in the stable compounds in contact with the gas. Understanding the factors that affect this transition will aid in the selection or design of alloys for future CO 2 -based power systems.

36 MATERIALS SCIENCE↗

Source of released carbon fibers

The potential for the release of carbon fibers from aircraft crashes/fires is addressed. Simulation of the conditions of aircraft crash fires in order to predict the quantities and forms of fibrous materials which might be released from civilian aircraft crashes/fires is considered. Figures are presented which describe some typical fiber release test activities together with some very preliminary results of those activities. The state of the art of carbon fiber release is summarized as well as some of the uncertainties concerning accidental fiber release.

Bell, V. L.↗

Effect of impact damage on the compression strength of filamentary-composite hat-stiffened panels

An experimental investigation was conducted to evaluate the effect of low-velocity impact damage on the compression strength of filamentary-composite hat-stiffened panels. Twenty-four specimens of three design configurations fabricated from graphite-epoxy and boron-epoxy materials were tested. All three design configurations met the design buckling requirements in the undamaged condition. The impact damage was caused by firing aluminum spheres at the panels to simulate impact on aircraft from runway stones. Panels were damaged by impact in the hat cap or in the skin beneath the hat cap (regions of high axial stiffness) and in the skin between stiffeners (region of low axial stiffness). The panels were relatively insensitive to impact damage in the regions of low axial stiffness but were very sensitive to impact damage in the regions of high axial stiffness. Test results suggest that impact damage may be more dependent on the matrix properties than on the fiber properties of the composite materials considered.

Rhodes, M. D.↗

Hybridized polymer matrix composites

The extent to which graphite fibers are released from resin matrix composites that are exposed to fire and impact conditions was determined. Laboratory simulations of those conditions that could exist in the event of an aircraft crash and burn situation were evaluated. The effectiveness of various hybridizing concepts in preventing this release of graphite fibers were also evaluated. The baseline (i.e., unhybridized) laminates examined were prepared from commercially available graphite/epoxy, graphite/polyimide, and graphite/phenolic materials. Hybridizing concepts investigated included resin fillers, laminate coatings, resin blending, and mechanical interlocking of the graphite reinforcement. The baseline and hybridized laminates' mechanical properties, before and after isothermal and humidity aging, were also compared. It was found that a small amount of graphite fiber was released from the graphite/epoxy laminates during the burn and impact conditions used in this program. However, the extent to which the fibers were released is not considered a severe enough problem to preclude the use of graphite reinforced composites in civil aircraft structure. It also was found that several hybrid concepts eliminated this fiber release. Isothermal and humidity aging did not appear to alter the fiber release tendencies.

House, E. E.↗

Validation and verification of expert systems using evidence flow graphs

This paper describes an ongoing investigation into the use of evidence flow graph techniques for performing V&V of expert systems. This method involves translating a rule-base into an evidence flow graph, a representation originally developed for real-time intelligent systems in distributed environments, and then running simulations of the evidence flow graph. Certain errors can be found during the translation process. The simulations can detect output sensitivity to rule firing order, to order of presentation of inputs, and to small changes in input values.

Becker, Lee A.↗

System for Anomaly and Failure Detection (SAFD) system development

This task specified developing the hardware and software necessary to implement the System for Anomaly and Failure Detection (SAFD) algorithm, developed under Technology Test Bed (TTB) Task 21, on the TTB engine stand. This effort involved building two units; one unit to be installed in the Block II Space Shuttle Main Engine (SSME) Hardware Simulation Lab (HSL) at Marshall Space Flight Center (MSFC), and one unit to be installed at the TTB engine stand. Rocketdyne personnel from the HSL performed the task. The SAFD algorithm was developed as an improvement over the current redline system used in the Space Shuttle Main Engine Controller (SSMEC). Simulation tests and execution against previous hot fire tests demonstrated that the SAFD algorithm can detect engine failure as much as tens of seconds before the redline system recognized the failure. Although the current algorithm only operates during steady state conditions (engine not throttling), work is underway to expand the algorithm to work during transient condition.

Oreilly, D.↗

Cirrus cloud retrievals from HIS observations during FIRE 2

This paper presents retrieval methods applied to HIS observations during FIRE II and doubling/adding model developed to simulate high-spectral resolution infrared radiances in a cloudy atmosphere. The capabilities of the retrieval methods and sensitivity studies of high-altitude aircraft based observations to cloud microphysical structure are conducted with the model.

Ackerman, S. A.↗