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At least 433 records · Page 24

Probability of Initiation in Neutron Transport

We discuss the numerical solution of the nonlinear integro-differential equation for the probability of a divergent neutron chain in a stationary system (i.e., the probability of initiation (POI)). We follow the development described in Bell’s classic paper on the stochastic theory of neutron transport. As noted by Bell, the linearized form of this equation resembles the linear adjoint neutron transport equation. A matrix formalism for the discretized steady state (or forward) neutron equation in slab geometry is first developed and is then used to derive the discrete adjoint equation. A main advantage of this discrete development is that the resulting discrete adjoint equation does not depend upon how the multigroup cross sections for the forward problem are obtained. That is, we derive the discrete adjoint directly from the discrete forward equations rather than discretizing directly the adjoint equation. This also guarantees that the discrete adjoint operator is consistent with the inner product used to define the adjoint operator. We discuss three approaches for the numerical solution of the POI equations, and present numerical results on several test problems. The three solution methods are a simple fixed-point iteration, a second approach that is akin to a nonlinear Power iteration, and a third approach which uses a Newton-Krylov nonlinear solver. We also give sufficient conditions to guarantee the existence and uniqueness of nontrivial solutions to our discrete POI equations when the discrete system is supercritical, and that only the trivial solution exists when the discrete system is subcritical. Our approach is modeled after the analysis presented for the continuous POI equations by Mokhtar-Kharroubi and Jarmouni-Idrissi, and by Pazy and Rabinowitz.

42 ENGINEERING↗

The Effect of Laser Cutting Heuristic Presentation Modality on Design Learning

Abstract The goal of this work is to study the way student designers use heuristics to effectively design for laser-cut manufacturing methods. With the recent advent of academic makerspaces, digital fabrication tools like laser cutters are relatively new additions to the classroom. Therefore, there is a gap in formal education or training on these tools, and students can find it challenging to design effectively for them. A study was performed to investigate the way students apply heuristics to redesign laser-cut assemblies when received in different modalities. All participants were given an identical lecture on laser cutting heuristics. Then, a redesign problem was presented to students, and three different experimental groups were given the heuristics in different modalities: Text-Only, text with Visual aids, and text with Tactile aids. The novelty and quality of each of the resulting redesigns were evaluated. It was hypothesized that participants would have more difficulty interpreting and applying the Text-Only heuristics, lowering the quality of their redesigned solutions relative to the other two conditions. It was also hypothesized that participants would experience fixation caused by interacting with the tactile aids, leading to the lower novelty of their redesigned solutions relative to the other two conditions. Results showed that modality played a significant role in participants’ feelings of self-efficacy after the intervention, as well as in their understanding of laser cutter design skills when responding to quiz-style questions. However, analysis of novelty and quality showed little significant impact of the intervention and varying modalities on participants’ designs.

Engineering↗

Beta-dependent Properties of Solar Wind Current Sheets at 1 au

We utilize plasma turbulence in interplanetary coronal mass ejections as a natural laboratory to analyze more than 4600 current sheets observed over a broad range of electron and proton beta values, 10 −2 ≲ β e ≲ 10 and 10 −3 ≲ β p ≲ 10. The analysis shows that the shear angle Δθ and the thickness λ CS of the current sheets depend on both electron and proton beta. Specifically, the dependencies on electron beta are Δθ ≈ 12.6° $β^{0.41}_{e}$ and, λ CS /λ p ≈ 1.9 $β^{0.26}_{e}$ where λ p is the local proton inertial length. We argue that the beta dependence of the shear angle is an intrinsic feature of solar wind turbulence arising from the natural correlation between turbulence intensity and plasma beta. In contrast, the beta dependence of current sheet scales is likely a general characteristic of plasma turbulence. According to recent theory, current sheets formed in turbulence are disrupted by the electron tearing instability once their thickness is smaller than a critical scale. We demonstrate that normalizing the thickness of current sheets by this critical scale eliminates the dependence on beta across the entire range of plasma beta. This observation not only supports the theory suggesting that current sheets mediate the transition from the inertial to the kinetic cascade through the electron tearing instability, but also demonstrates the plausibility of similar processes in astrophysical plasma. The presented results also indicate that the theory may be applicable beyond its formal limits, m e /m i ≪ β ≪ 1.

79 ASTRONOMY AND ASTROPHYSICS↗

Systematic Extraction of Pion Parton Distributions Using Threshold Resummation and Applications to Pion TMDs

Following our recent Monte Carlo determination of the pion?s PDFs from Drell-Yan (DY) and leading neutron electroproduction data from the Jefferson Lab Angular Momentum (JAM) collaboration, we extend the analysis by including effects from threshold resummation. At higher orders in the strong coupling, ?S, soft gluon emissions cause large logarithmic corrections, which become important in the qq¯ channel of the DY partonic cross section near threshold. These corrections can be summed over all orders of ?S. However, different prescriptions exist for how the threshold resummation is implemented, for instance, using varying levels of approximation in the Minimal Prescription with cosine, expansion, and double Mellin methods. We present the Monte Carlo results of the first simultaneous fit of the valence, sea, and gluon distributions in the pion taking into account the ambiguities in the resummation calculations. The wide ranges of valence distributions at large x and the effective behavior of the valence distribution as x approaches 1 is discussed. While the PDFs are extracted through collinear factorization, we additionally present a dedicated study to the low and large lepton pair transverse momentum distributions (TMDs) in the same DY experimental data. By adjusting the nonperturbative TMD components, we analyze the degree of compatibility between data and theory across all regions of transverse momentum dependence. We attempt to match the description of the low transverse momentum region using Collins-Soper-Sterman (CSS) formalism and the large transverse momentum region, which is best described using collinear factorization.

Sato, Nobuo↗

Modernization efforts for the R -Matrix code SAMMY [Abstract]

The R-Matrix code SAMMY is a widely used nuclear data evaluation code focused on the resolved range, which includes corrections for experimental effects. The code is still mostly written in Fortran 77, and uses a memory management system suitable for the time of its initial writing (1984). A modernization effort is under way to bring the code in-line with modern software development practices. A continuous-integration testing framework was added, automating the large existing set of test cases. It is run on every commit. The memory management was updated to current standard practices suitable for modern software analysis tools. The code can be obtained from https://code.ornl.gov/RNSD/SAMMY. The resonance parameters and covariance information are now stored in C++ objects shared by SAMMY and AMPX, the processing code that generates nuclear data libraries for SCALE. This allows for easier maintenance and access to the resonance parameters inside and outside of SAMMY. This feature is already used by accessing and changing parameters in memory in the Bayesian Monte Carlo Evaluation Framework for Cross Sections Nuclear Data and Integral Benchmark Experiments project, Further plans include the switch to the ENDF reading and writing routines in AMPX, as these routines are more robust, easier to maintain, and support more features. Of note here is support for the new GNDS format. Previously it wasn’t easy to share the full covariance matrix for evaluations containing more than one isotope due to limitations on the ENDF format; this is now supported in GNDS. The data are currently available in a binary SAMMY format and can be exported to GNDS to make them more widely available and sharable. The next step will be to use the same resonance processing code at 0K in AMPX and SAMMY as one of the available Reich-Moore R-Matrix formalism. The first step toward this goal is to isolate the reconstruction into a module that takes resonance parameters as its input and does not depend on SAMMY global parameters. This goal has been achieved and it should now be possible to more easily change the resonance formalism and add enhancements as the Phenomenological R-Matrix parameterization of direct, doorway, and compound nuclear reactions discussed elsewhere on this conference. This concerted modernization and enhancement effort provides multiple advantages to the nuclear data community. It will allow parameter optimization using enhanced formalisms, including experimental effects, that better match complex experimental data. Then those evaluated parameters can immediately be passed off to AMPX to be reconstructed with the exact same cross section model and be put into a data library for subsequent testing using SCALE and the Valid Benchmark suite or other suitable benchmark suites.

73 NUCLEAR PHYSICS AND RADIATION PHYSICS↗

Advances in Resin Management Using 3R-Scan - 20154

The most important factor underlying optimal waste management is developing a clear picture of the radioactivity content of the waste and its impact on waste disposal cost. For over 35 years since the publishing of 10CFR61, waste characterization has relied on sampling the final waste product after formation. In the days following 10CFR61, the cost of final disposal was marginal with only a small impact on the overall costs. Constraints were added by provisions of the Low Level Waste Policy Act of 1985 leading to increasingly limited access to those disposal sites that remained available. In addition, Nuclear Regulatory Commission (NRC) pressure promoting waste volume reduction led to disposal costs inevitably rising. Despite this, characterization practices in monitoring of waste generation for activity content still center on the same dated processes. This results in a disposal classification on the basis of endpoint sampling without consideration of the homogeneity of the waste mixture. It can also disregard consideration of the representativeness of the single or small sample base. As a minimum effort, a formalized sampling program of a fixed grouping of waste streams can be implemented that could account for more than 95% of all of the activity carried in solid waste products. The sample results for each radionuclide could then be trended as time passes to develop reasonable scaling factors for difficult to measure radionuclides. This process, identified in NRC guidance, has been rigorously followed by a relatively small number of facilities. The trended scaling factors serve to improve accuracy by identifying anomalous results that could otherwise go undetected. Direct monitoring of the accumulation of activity in process streams generating solid radwaste, including demineralizers and filter streams, is a more precise approach. Nearly all of these streams are monitored by plant chemistry on a regular schedule to maintain water quality. This paper discusses viable options for developing the basis for characterization through process monitoring of the accumulation of activity at the point of generation. Special focus is on resin bed tracking and how process knowledge of these streams can be brought together to form a consistent and precise solid waste radioactivity inventory. Some of the specific points covered in this paper include the merger of the fission product release computer program, 3R-STAT, with the radwaste sample analysis computer program, SCAN4 to create 3R-SCAN, the importance of individual waste stream influences on the overall source term, and the use of historic sample data to develop scaling factors using an automated process. (authors)

12 MANAGEMENT OF RADIOACTIVE AND NON-RADIOACTIVE W↗

High Field Transport in (Ultra) Wide Bandgap Semiconductors: Diamond Versus Cubic GaN

We provide an analysis of nonlinear transport in diamond and cubic GaN (c-GaN) with emphasis on the different types of optical phonon scattering [i.e., optical deformation potential (ODP) scattering versus polar optic phonon (POP) scattering] limiting the carrier velocity. Both types of carrier mobilities and carrier saturation (peak) velocities in diamond and c-GaN as functions of different doping types and concentrations are obtained by directly solving the Boltzmann equation. Our model indicates that the nonrandomizing nature of POP scattering causes carrier temperature cooling, resulting in higher carrier drift velocity than with ODP scattering. This effect, in addition to the small carrier effective masses and large optical phonon energies, is responsible for the higher peak velocities in c-GaN, compared to carrier drift velocity in diamond.

42 ENGINEERING↗

Low-Temperature Geothermal Geospatial Datasets: An Example from Alaska

This project is a component of a broader effort focused on geothermal heating and cooling (GHC) with the aim of illustrating the numerous benefits of incorporating GHC and geothermal heat exchange (GHX) into community energy planning and national decarbonization strategies. To better assist private sector investment, it is currently necessary to define and assess the potential of low-temperature geothermal resources. For shallow GHC/GHX fields, there is no formal compilation of subsurface characteristics shared among industry practitioners that can improve system design and operations. Alaska is specifically noted in this work, because heretofore, it has not received a similar focus in geothermal potential evaluations as the contiguous United States. The methodology consists of leveraging relevant data to generate a baseline geospatial dataset of low-temperature resources (less than 150 degrees C) to compare and analyze information accessible to anyone trying to understand the potential of GHC/GHX and small-scale low-temperature geothermal power in Alaska (e.g., energy modelers, communities, planners, and policymakers). Importantly, this project identifies data related to (1) the evaluation of GHC/GHX in the shallow subsurface, and (2) the evaluation of low-temperature geothermal resource availability. Additionally, data is being compiled to assess repurposing of oil and gas wells to contribute co-produced fluids toward the geothermal direct use and heating and cooling resource potential. In this work we identified new data from three different datasets of isolated geothermal systems in Alaska and bottom-hole temperature data from oil and gas wells that can be leveraged for evaluation of low-temperature geothermal resource potential. The goal of this project is to facilitate future deployment of GHC/GHX analysis and community-led programs and update the low-temperature geothermal resources assessment of Alaska. A better understanding of shallow potential for GHX will improve design and operations of highly efficient GHC systems. The deployment and impact that can be achieved for low-temperature geothermal resources will contribute to decarbonization goals and facilitate widespread electrification by shaving and shifting grid loads.

15 GEOTHERMAL ENERGY↗

Electron Redistribution within the Nitrogenase Active Site FeMo-cofactor During Reductive Elimination of H2 to Achieve N=N Triple-Bond Activation

Nitrogen fixation by nitrogenase begins with accumulation of four reducing equivalents at the active-site FeMo-cofactor (FeMo-co), generating a state (denoted E4(4H)) with two [Fe-H-Fe] bridging hydrides. Recently, photolytic reductive elimination (re) of the E4(4H) hydrides showed that enzymatic re of E4(4H) hydride yields an H2-bound complex (E4(H2,2H)), in a process corresponding to a formal 2-electron reduction of the metal-ion core of FeMo-co. The resulting electron-density redistribution from Fe-H bonds to the metal ions themselves enables N2 to bind with concomitant H2 release, a process illuminated here by QM/MM molecular dynamics simulations. What is the nature of this redistribution? Although E4(H2,2H) hasn’t been trapped, cryogenic photolysis of E4(4H) provides a means to address this question. Photolysis of E4(4H) causes hydride-re with release of H2, generating doubly-reduced FeMo-co (denoted E4(2H)*), the extreme limit of the electron-density redistribution upon formation of E4(H2,2H). Here we examine the doubly-reduced FeMo-co core of the E4(2H)* limiting-state by 1H, 57Fe, and 95Mo ENDOR to illuminate the partial electron-density redistribution upon E4(H2,2H) formation during catalysis, complementing these results with corresponding DFT computations. Inferences from the E4(2H)* ENDOR results as extended by DFT computations include: (i) the Mo-site participates negligibly, and overall it is unlikely that Mo changes valency throughout the catalytic cycle; (ii) two distinctive E4(4H) 57Fe signals are suggested as associated with ‘anchors’ of one bridging hydride, two others with anchors of the second, with NBO-analysis identifying one anchor of each hydride as a major recipient of electrons released upon breaking Fe-H bonds.

Lukoyanov, Dmitriy↗

Nuclear-level effective theory of 𝜇→𝑒 conversion: Formalism and applications

Over the next decade new 𝜇→𝑒 conversion searches at Fermilab (Mu2e) and J-PARC (COMET, DeeMe) are expected to advance limits on charged lepton flavor violation (CLFV) by more than four orders of magnitude. Here, by considering the consequence of 𝑃 and 𝐶⁢𝑃 on elastic 𝜇→𝑒 conversion and the structure of possible charge and current densities, we show that rates are governed by six nuclear responses and a single scale, 𝑞/𝑚 𝑁 , where 𝑞 ≈ 𝑚 𝜇 is the momentum transferred from the leptons to the nucleus. To relate this result to microscopic formulations of CLFV, we construct in nonrelativistic effective theory (NRET) the CLFV nucleon-level interaction, pointing out the relevance of the dimensionless scales 𝑦=($^{𝑞⁢𝑏}_2$) 2 ⁢ > |$\overrightarrow{𝑣}_N$⁢|>|$\overrightarrow{𝑣}_μ$⁢|>|$\overrightarrow{𝑣}_T$| , where 𝑏 is the nuclear size, $\overrightarrow{𝑣}_N$ and $\overrightarrow{𝑣}_μ$ are the nucleon and muon intrinsic velocities, and $\overrightarrow{𝑣}_T$ is the target recoil velocity. We discuss previous work, noting the lack of a systematic treatment of the various small parameters. Because the parameter 𝑦 is not small, a proper calculation of 𝜇→𝑒 conversion requires a full multipole expansion of the nuclear response functions, an apparently daunting task with Coulomb-distorted electron partial waves. We demonstrate that the multipole expansion can be carried out to high precision by introducing a simplifying local momentum 𝑞 eff for the electron. Previous work has been limited to simple charge or spin interactions, thereby treating the nucleus effectively as a point particle. We show that such formulations are not compatible with the general form of the 𝜇→𝑒 conversion rate, failing to generate three of the six allowed nuclear response functions. The inclusion of the nucleon velocity $\overrightarrow{𝑣}_N$ yields an NRET with 16 operators and a rate of the general form. Consequently, in the current discovery era for CLFV, it provides the most sensible starting point for experimental analysis, defining what can and cannot be determined about CLFV from the highly exclusive process of 𝜇→𝑒 conversion. Finally, we expand the NRET operator basis to account for the effects of $\overrightarrow{𝑣}_μ$, associated with the muon's lower component, generating corrections to the CLFV coefficients of the point-nucleus response functions. Using advanced shell-model methods, we compute 𝜇→𝑒 conversion rates for a series of experimental targets, deriving bounds on the coefficients of the CLFV operators. These calculations are the first to include a general basis of CLFV operators, full evaluation of the associated nuclear response functions, and an accurate treatment of electron and muon Coulomb effects. We discuss target selection as an experimental “knob” that can be turned to probe the microscopic origins of CLFV. We describe two types of coherence that enhance certain CLFV operators and selection rules that blind elastic 𝜇→𝑒 conversion to others. We discuss the matching of the NRET onto higher level effective field theories, such as those constructed at the light quark level, noting opportunities to build on existing work in direct detection of dark matter. We discuss the relation of 𝜇→𝑒 conversion to 𝜇→𝑒+𝛾 and 𝜇→3⁢𝑒, showing how MEG II and Mu3e results will complement those of Mu2e and COMET. Finally we describe a accompanying script—in Mathematica and Python versions—that can be used to compute 𝜇→𝑒 conversion rates in various nuclear targets for the full set of NRET operators.

72 PHYSICS OF ELEMENTARY PARTICLES AND FIELDS↗

Derivation of A Representative Elementary Volume (REV) for Upscaled Two-Phase Flow in Porous Media

Relative permeability plays an important role in the upscaling of multiphase flow in porous media from the pore scale to the Darcy scale. The entire concept of relative permeability is contingent on the existence of a representative elementary volume (REV). As we move to smaller samples to measure relative permeability, such as with digital core analysis, the concept of a classical REV has become increasingly unlikely when using the conventional approach to defining a representative volume. The “‘conventional”’ understanding of an REV is that a large enough volume must be considered such that spatial variability averages out. In digital rock methods, such as pore-scale simulations based on micro-computed tomography (CT) images, the domain size is typically 2 to 4 mm. This is approximately the length scale of a single-phase flow REV using the classic REV approach. However, the single-phase perspective does not consider the complex dynamics and fluctuations often observed in multiphase flow systems, even at centimeter-scale experiments and/or simulations. A fundamental question is, therefore, whether the domain size commonly used in digital rock simulations can provide a consistent energy budget such that the concept of relative permeability exists. Based on first principles, relative permeability accounts for the rate of energy dissipated in a stationary process. If the dynamics are fluctuating, the energy dissipated can vary but will average out over a long enough timescale. The key to determining the validity of the relative permeability is the timescale of the measurement, not the spatial scale. The conventional REV theory assumes that spatial, temporal, and ensemble averages are equivalent in an ergodic system, but it does not provide a way to test this assumption. We provide a formal way to identify the timescale where the relative permeability accurately captures energy dissipation as a way to validate relative permeability measurements and quantitatively assess their accuracy. This result will be tested for a practical SCAL test, determining how long a flow experiment needs to be run to accurately characterize the rate of energy dissipation by the flow. The outcome will be a best practice guide for the determination of relative permeability from core-scale experiments and/or digital core simulations that ensure the energy budget is fully accounted for in the relative permeability coefficient.

Mcclure, James [Virginia Tech, Blacksburg]↗

Probing New Physics with Tau Leptons using the CMS Detector

The Standard Model (SM) of particle physics is a thoroughly well-tested theory of all electroweak scale phenomena to date—the most recent test being the discovery of the long-predicted Higgs boson. However, there is much evidence to suggest that it is incomplete. On the formal side, the mass of the Higgs particle itself is perplexingly small, while the largest theoretical energy scale of the SM is 17 orders of magnitude larger, a puzzle known as the hierarchy problem. On the experimental side, among other things, the SM lacks a candidate for dark matter, which is now known to play an indispensable role in astrophysical large scale structure formation. Many theories that address the fundamental puzzles of the SM predict the existence of multiple Higgs bosons, including a very light boson that couples preferentially to third-generation fermions. Observation of this new light boson, either directly produced or in the decay of the recently discovered SM Higgs, would provide an unmistakable sign of new dynamics in nature. The research supported by this award used data collected by the Compact Muon Solenoid (CMS) detector at the Large Hadron Collider (LHC) to explore boosted di-tau signatures of a new light boson as a tool in the quest to understand the shortcomings of the SM. With a proton-proton collision energy of 13 trillion electron-volts (TeV) and peak instantaneous proton luminosity of over 10^34 collisions per square centimeter per second (cm –2 s –1 ), the LHC is the only facility in the world that could enable this line of research. The research sought to address the hierarchy problem and other shortcomings of the SM through a mixture of LHC data analysis, maintenance of the CMS detector to ensure high quality data, and contributions to the Phase 2 upgrade detector for the upcoming High Luminosity phase of the LHC (HL-LHC).

72 PHYSICS OF ELEMENTARY PARTICLES AND FIELDS↗

Approximating the linear response of physical chaos

Abstract Parametric derivatives of statistics are highly desired quantities in prediction, design optimization and uncertainty quantification. In the presence of chaos, the rigorous computation of these quantities is certainly possible, but mathematically complicated and computationally expensive. Based on Ruelle’s formalism, this paper shows that the sophisticated linear response algorithm can be dramatically simplified in higher-dimensional systems featuring statistical homogeneity in the physical space. We argue that the contribution of the SRB (Sinai–Ruelle–Bowen) measure gradient, which is an integral yet the most cumbersome part of the full algorithm, is negligible if the objective function is appropriately aligned with unstable manifolds. This abstract condition could potentially be satisfied by a vast family of real-world chaotic systems, regardless of the physical meaning and mathematical form of the objective function and perturbed parameter. We demonstrate several numerical examples that support these conclusions and that present the use and performance of a simplified linear response algorithm. In the numerical experiments, we consider physical models described by differential equations, including Lorenz 96 and Kuramoto–Sivashinsky.

71 CLASSICAL AND QUANTUM MECHANICS, GENERAL PHYSIC↗

Shock Hugoniot calculations using on-the-fly machine learned force fields with ab initio accuracy

We present a framework for computing the shock Hugoniot using on-the-fly machine learned force field (MLFF) molecular dynamics simulations. In particular, we employ an MLFF model based on the kernel method and Bayesian linear regression to compute the free energy, atomic forces, and pressure, in conjunction with a linear regression model between the internal and free energies to compute the internal energy, with all training data generated from Kohn–Sham density functional theory (DFT). We verify the accuracy of the formalism by comparing the Hugoniot for carbon with recent Kohn–Sham DFT results in the literature. In so doing, we demonstrate that Kohn–Sham calculations for the Hugoniot can be accelerated by up to two orders of magnitude, while retaining ab initio accuracy. We apply this framework to calculate the Hugoniots of 14 materials in the FPEOS database, comprising 9 single elements and 5 compounds, between temperatures of 10 kK and 2 MK. We find good agreement with first principles results in the literature while providing tighter error bars. In addition, we confirm that the inter-element interaction in compounds decreases with temperature.

70 PLASMA PHYSICS AND FUSION TECHNOLOGY↗

Symmetry-resolved entanglement entropy, spectra & boundary conformal field theory

We perform a comprehensive analysis of the symmetry-resolved (SR) entanglement entropy (EE) for one single interval in the ground state of a 1 + 1D conformal field theory (CFT), that is invariant under an arbitrary finite or compact Lie group, G. We utilize the boundary CFT approach to study the total EE, which enables us to find the universal leading order behavior of the SREE and its first correction, which explicitly depends on the irreducible representation under consideration and breaks the equipartition of entanglement. We present two distinct schemes to carry out these computations. The first relies on the evaluation of the charged moments of the reduced density matrix. This involves studying the action of the defect-line, that generates the symmetry, on the boundary states of the theory. This perspective also paves the way for discussing the infeasibility of studying symmetry resolution when an anomalous symmetry is present. The second scheme draws a parallel between the SREE and the partition function of an orbifold CFT. This approach allows for the direct computation of the SREE without the need to use charged moments. From this standpoint, the infeasibility of defining the symmetry-resolved EE for an anomalous symmetry arises from the obstruction to gauging. Finally, we derive the symmetry-resolved entanglement spectra for a CFT invariant under a finite symmetry group. We revisit a similar problem for CFT with compact Lie group, explicitly deriving an improved formula for U(1) resolved entanglement spectra. Using the Tauberian formalism, we can estimate the aforementioned EE spectra rigorously by proving an optimal lower and upper bound on the same. In the abelian case, we perform numerical checks on the bound and find perfect agreement.

72 PHYSICS OF ELEMENTARY PARTICLES AND FIELDS↗

Normal stability of slow manifolds in nearly periodic Hamiltonian systems

Kruskal [J. Math. Phys. 3, 806 (1962)] showed that each nearly periodic dynamical system admits a formal U(1) symmetry, generated by the so-called roto-rate. We prove that such systems also admit nearly invariant manifolds of each order, near which rapid oscillations are suppressed. We study the nonlinear normal stability of these slow manifolds for nearly periodic Hamiltonian systems on barely symplectic manifolds—manifolds equipped with closed, non-degenerate 2-forms that may be degenerate to leading order. In particular, we establish a sufficient condition for long-term normal stability based on second derivatives of the well-known adiabatic invariant. We use these results to investigate the problem of embedding guiding center dynamics of a magnetized charged particle as a slow manifold in a nearly periodic system. Here, we prove that one previous embedding and two new embeddings enjoy long-term normal stability and thereby strengthen the theoretical justification for these models.

97 MATHEMATICS AND COMPUTING↗

Uncertainty quantification of optical models in fission fragment deexcitation

Here, we take the first step towards incorporating compound nuclear observables at astrophysically relevant energies into the experimental evidence used to constrain optical models, by propagating the uncertainty in two global optical potentials, one phenomenological and one microscopic, to correlated fission observables using the Monte Carlo Hauser-Feshbach formalism. We compare to a wide range of historic and recent experimental fission measurements, and discuss in detail regions of disagreement. We find that the parametric optical model uncertainty in neutron-fragment correlated observables involving neutron energy is significant. On the other hand, we observe that other experimental features, particularly neutron-fragment correlations near the 132 Sn shell closure and the high energy component of neutron spectra, are unlikely to be explained by the optical potential, and will require further experimental and theoretical effort to explain.

73 NUCLEAR PHYSICS AND RADIATION PHYSICS↗

Reassessing long-standing meteorological records: an example using the national hottest day in Ireland

This analysis highlights the potential value in reanalysing early national meteorological records from around the world. These were oftentimes measured via techniques that preceded standardisation of instrumentation and methods of observation and thus could be subject to considerable biases and uncertainties. This analysis uses the techniques pioneered by WMO record assessment teams. The highest currently recognised air temperature (33.3 °C) ever recorded in the Republic of Ireland was logged at Kilkenny Castle in 1887. The original observational record however no longer exists. Given that Ireland is now the only country in Europe to have a national heat record that was set in the 19th century, a reassessment of the verity of this record is both timely and valuable. The present analysis undertakes a fundamental reassessment of the plausibility of the 1887 temperature record using methods similar to those used to assess various weather extremes under WMO auspices over recent years. Specifically, we undertake an inter-station reassessment using sparse available records and make recourse to the new and improved 20CRv3 sparse-input reanalysis product. Neither surrounding available stations nor the reanalysis offer substantive support for the Kilkenny record of 33.3 °C being correct. Moreover, recent data rescue efforts have uncovered several earlier extreme values, one of which exceeds the Kilkenny value (33.5 °C on 16 July 1876 recorded at the Phoenix Park). However, the sparsity of early observational networks, a distinct lack of synoptic support from 20CRv3 for many of the extreme heat values, and the fact that these measurements were obtained using non-standard exposures lead us to conclude that there is grossly insufficient evidence to support any of these 19th century extremes as robust national heat record candidates. Data from the early 20th century onwards benefit from a denser network of stations undertaking measurements in a more standardised manner, many under the direct auspices of Met Éireann and its predecessors, adhering to WMO guidance and protocols. This enables more robust cross-checking of records. We argue that the Met Éireann-recognised 20th century heat record from Boora in 1976 is verified as the most plausible robust national temperature record based upon the synoptic situation and comparisons with nearby neighbouring stations. This measurement of 32.5°C thus likely constitutes the highest reliably recorded temperature measurement in the Republic of Ireland. Ultimately, the formal decision on any reassessment and reassignment of the national record rests with the national meteorological service, Met Éireann.

15 GEOTHERMAL ENERGY↗