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At least 433 records · Page 24

A Proposed Clock Synchronization Method for the Solar System Internet

Networked communications in space are necessary to achieve scalability in terms of the number of communicating nodes but also in terms of the overall system complexity. A key component to such a system is the ability to synchronize clocks, which is the focus of this paper. The so-called Solar System Internet (SSI) will be built upon Delay Tolerant Networking (DTN), which, in analogy to the Internet Protocol (IP), can be considered a suite of protocols necessary for networking in the space domain. Therefore, our goal is to extend this suite to include a DTN clock synchronization capability, analogous to the Network Time Protocol (NTP) used in the Internet. A motivating example of a network in space is NASA’s LunaNet, a vision for a multi-hop multi-path network extending to the moon wherein not all nodes will have direct connections to an authoritative reference clock. In this paper, we propose a general clock synchronization methodology and algorithm that could be used for LunaNet as well as more elaborate time-varying networks. In recent years, DTN has benefited from modeling efforts founded on the mathematical tool of sheaves. Here we continue this work to provide an approach to clock synchronization. Due to the time-varying nature of space networks, absolute consensus is not possible. However, the sheaf Laplacian provides a practical, distributed approach to approximating consensus by allowing data to diffuse through the network. In particular, the sheaf Laplacian is readily computable, lending our approach to implementation. Our approach is well suited to handle the difficulties of space networks. For instance, differences in clock accuracy mean certain nodes are more authoritative than others; we can account for these differences through hierarchies in the network, generalizing the strata in NTP. Furthermore, just as error estimation is an integral part of NTP, we are able to give concrete error bounds for our approach. Indeed, different applications (e.g., communications schedules, pointing, navigation, distributed science) will have different requirements, hence it is necessary to maintain clocks within a given tolerance. We outline some of the necessary steps to turn our approach into a practical network protocol that could be used in DTN, and we conclude the paper with suggestions for future research.

Michael Moy↗

Satellite Orbital Drag During Magnetic Storms

We investigate satellite orbital drag effects at lowEarth orbit associated with thermosphere heating during magnetic storms caused by coronal mass ejections. CHAllenge Minisatellite Payload (CHAMP) and Gravity Recovery And Climate Experiment (GRACE) neutral density data are used to compute orbital drag. Stormtoquiet density comparisons are performed with background densities obtained by the JacchiaBowman 2008 (JB2008) empirical model. Our storms are grouped in different categories regarding their intensities as indicated by minimum values of the SYMH index. We then perform superposed epoch analyses with storm main phase onset as zero epoch time. In general, we find that orbital drag effects are larger for CHAMP (lower altitudes) in comparison to GRACE (higher altitudes). Results show that storm time drag effects manifest first at high latitudes, but for extreme storms, particularly observed by GRACE, stronger orbital drag effects occur during early main phase at low/equatorial latitudes, probably due to heating propagation from high latitudes. We find that storm time orbital decay along the satellites' path generally increases with storm intensity, being stronger and faster for the most extreme events. For these events, orbital drag effects decrease faster probably due to elevated cooling effects caused by nitric oxide, which introduce modeled density uncertainties during storm recovery phase. Errors associated with total orbit decay introduced by JB2008 are generally the largest for the strongest storms and increase during storm times, particular during recovery phases. We discuss the implication of these uncertainties for the prediction of collision between space objects at lowEarth orbit during magnetic storms.

Oliveira, D. M.↗

Technical approaches for measurement of human errors

Human error is a significant contributing factor in a very high proportion of civil transport, general aviation, and rotorcraft accidents. The technical details of a variety of proven approaches for the measurement of human errors in the context of the national airspace system are presented. Unobtrusive measurements suitable for cockpit operations and procedures in part of full mission simulation are emphasized. Procedure, system performance, and human operator centered measurements are discussed as they apply to the manual control, communication, supervisory, and monitoring tasks which are relevant to aviation operations.

Clement, W. F.↗

On the representation and estimation of spatial uncertainty

This paper describes a general method for estimating the nominal relationship and expected error (covariance) between coordinate frames representing the relative locations of objects. The frames may be known only indirectly through a series of spatial relationships, each with its associated error, arising from diverse causes, including positioning errors, measurement errors, or tolerances in part dimensions. This estimation method can be used to answer such questions as whether a camera attached to a robot is likely to have a particular reference object in its field of view. The calculated estimates agree well with those from an independent Monte Carlo simulation. The method makes it possible to decide in advance whether an uncertain relationship is known accurately enough for some task and, if not, how much of an improvement in locational knowledge a proposed sensor will provide. The method presented can be generalized to six degrees of freedom and provides a practical means of estimating the relationships (position and orientation) among objects, as well as estimating the uncertainty associated with the relationships.

Smith, Randall C.↗

Summary and Annotated Bibliography of Measurement Error Corrections with Potential Application in Future Quesst Mission Community Noise Studies

This document is motivated by likely needs of the Quesst mission community response tests, which will culminate in data collection and estimation of dose-response regression relationships for consideration by domestic and international aviation regulators. Furthermore, basic research questions evaluating interactions between rates of community annoyance, dose levels, and indicators of the presence of rattle, vibration, and startle hinge on hypothesis testing in the context of regression models. For a variety of reasons, noise doses may be known only imprecisely and may not reflect the actual level experienced by responding subjects. These differences between true dose and estimated dose, be they systematic or random, constitute covariate measurement error. Available statistics literature speaks to the impacts of measurement error on regression models, both in terms of bias in estimated coefficients and predicted values, and in terms of the loss of statistical power for hypothesis testing. Given the particulars of a categorical annoyance response variable and a continuous noise dose predictor variable subject to measurement error during testing, the emphasis of this report is on findings and methods pertinent to generalized linear (and mixed) models likely to be employed during the Quesst mission community tests. We reach the following conclusions: 1. Of four reviewed methods, structural Bayesian measurement error models and simulation extrapolation (SIMEX) may be the most readily applicable to Quesst mission community noise study objectives. 2. If warranted, a linear measurement model can help model systematic sources of measurement error that the classical measurement error does not. 3. For its ready implementation and small additional input requirements, simulation extrapolation may be ideally suited for addressing secondary research questions involving interactions between annoyance, noise dose, and other factors through hypothesis testing. 4. For their flexibility and ability to propagate uncertainty, structural Bayesian hierarchical models have great appeal for mission purposes; some care may be needed in developing appropriate probability models describing actual noise exposure during testing. An annotated bibliography logs additional papers and resources that may be of value to analysts in other projects and disciplines.

Dose-Response Model↗

A Complementary Note to 'A Lag-1 Smoother Approach to System-Error Estimation': The Intrinsic Limitations of Residual Diagnostics

Recently, this author studied an approach to the estimation of system error based on combining observation residuals derived from a sequential filter and fixed lag-1 smoother. While extending the methodology to a variational formulation, experimenting with simple models and making sure consistency was found between the sequential and variational formulations, the limitations of the residual-based approach came clearly to the surface. This note uses the sequential assimilation application to simple nonlinear dynamics to highlight the issue. Only when some of the underlying error statistics are assumed known is it possible to estimate the unknown component. In general, when considerable uncertainties exist in the underlying statistics as a whole, attempts to obtain separate estimates of the various error covariances are bound to lead to misrepresentation of errors. The conclusions are particularly relevant to present-day attempts to estimate observation-error correlations from observation residual statistics. A brief illustration of the issue is also provided by comparing estimates of error correlations derived from a quasi-operational assimilation system and a corresponding Observing System Simulation Experiments framework.

Fixed-lag smoothing↗

Determination of the ocean circulation using Geosat altimetry

A spherical harmonic model of the sea surface topography complete to degree and order 10 and a model of the earth's geopotential field complete to degree and order 50 have been obtained in a simultaneous solution using Geosat altimeter data and tracking data from 14 different satellites. The sea surface topography model compares well with oceanographic models computed using hydrographic data and ship drift data. Currently, errors in the estimated gravity field model limit the determination of the spherical harmonic coefficients of the general ocean circulation to degrees 10 and lower, corresponding to a minimum wavelength of 4000 km. Error analysis indicates that the correlation between the geoid and the sea surface topography model is less than 0.2, indicating good separation of the geoid and the sea surface topography at wavelengths of 4000 km or longer. Estimates of the scale factor for the significant wave height (H1/3), which is used to compute the electromagnetic bias correction and the bias for the Geosat altimeter, are obtained. The estimate of the H1/3 correction is 3.6 + or - 1.5 percent, and the height bias estimate is zero.

Nerem, R. S.↗

Map-based trigonometric parallaxes of open clusters. II - The Hyades: 51 Tauri

The trigonometric parallax, mass, and mass ratio of 51 Tauri, a binary member of the Hyades star cluster, are determined. The parallax solution, 19.4 mas with a standard error of 1.1 mas, is slightly greater than its generally accepted value and yields a cluster distance of 4.30 +/-2.0 pc or a distance modulus equivalent of 3.16 +/- 0.10 mag, in excellent agreement with recent photographic parallax results. The weighted mean of all trigonometric parallax determinations of the cluster is now 22.9 +/-0.6 mas or a modulus of 3.20 +/- 0.06 mag. The total mass of the 51 Tauri system was found to be 2.56 +/- 0.44 solar masses. Adopting a magnitude difference in line with the spectral types of the components yields individual masses of 1.61 +/- 0.28 and 0.95 +/- 0.18 solar masses. This result places the mass of both the A8 V primary and the G0 secondary stars within the errors of the measurement of the mass-luminosity relation established for solar-neighborhood main-sequence stars.

Gatewood, George↗

Assessment of Near-Angle Scatter on Exo-Earth Coronagraphy

A first order single surface analysis indicates that, to enable coronagraphic detection and characterization of exo-Earth planets, near angle scatter must be considered when specifying optical surfaces for a potential Habitable World Observatory. Based on arbitrary error budget allocations and using Rayleigh-Rice Vector Scatter Theory, Generalized Harvey-Shack Scalar Scatter Theory, and Greynolds Approximation, ‘placeholder’ specifications for the primary mirror are derived: Static Surface Roughness < 1 nm rms, and Dynamic Surface Roughness < 1 pm PV. These specifications will change once error budget allocations are defined. Analysis does not include scatter from more than just the primary mirror, coating structure, edges, contamination, micrometeoroid impacts, etc.

H. Philip Stahl↗

Sampling errors in the measurement of rain and hail parameters

Attention is given to a general derivation of the fractional standard deviation (FSD) of any integrated property X such that X(D) = cD to the n. This work extends that of Joss and Waldvogel (1969). The equation is applicable to measuring integrated properties of cloud, rain or hail populations (such as water content, precipitation rate, kinetic energy, or radar reflectivity) which are subject to statistical sampling errors due to the Poisson distributed fluctuations of particles sampled in each particle size interval and the weighted sum of the associated variances in proportion to their contribution to the integral parameter to be measured. Universal curves are presented which are applicable to the exponential size distribution permitting FSD estimation of any parameters from n = 0 to n = 6. The equations and curves also permit corrections for finite upper limits in the size spectrum and a realistic fall speed law.

Gertzman, H. S.↗

Error recovery in asynchronous systems

Techniques for structuring forward error recovery measures in asynchronous systems are proposed, and recent ideas of atomic actions are generalized so as to support fault-tolerant interactions between processes. In particular, the proposal generalizes the form of simple recovery facilities supported by nested atomic actions in which the exception mechanisms only permit backward error recovery. It allows for construction of systems employing both forward and backward error recovery and thus allows for exploitation of the complementary benefits of the two schemes. Backward recovery, forward recovery, and normal processing activities can occur concurrently within the organization proposed.

Campbell, R. H.↗

Asymptotic boundary conditions for dissipative waves - General theory

An outstanding issue in computational analysis of time dependent problems is the imposition of appropriate radiation boundary conditions at artificial boundaries. Accurate conditions are developed which are based on the asymptotic analysis of wave propagation over long ranges. Employing the method of steepest descents, dominant wave groups are identified and simple approximations to the dispersion relation are considered in order to derive local boundary operators. The existence of a small number of dominant wave groups may be expected for systems with dissipation. Estimates of the error as a function of domain size are derived under general hypotheses, leading to convergence results. Some practical aspects of the numerical construction of the asymptotic boundary operators are also discussed.

Hagstrom, Thomas↗

Asymptotic boundary conditions for dissipative waves: General theory

An outstanding issue in the computational analysis of time dependent problems is the imposition of appropriate radiation boundary conditions at artificial boundaries. Accurate conditions are developed which are based on the asymptotic analysis of wave propagation over long ranges. Employing the method of steepest descents, dominant wave groups are identified and simple approximations to the dispersion relation are considered in order to derive local boundary operators. The existence of a small number of dominant wave groups may be expected for systems with dissipation. Estimates of the error as a function of domain size are derived under general hypotheses, leading to convergence results. Some practical aspects of the numerical construction of the asymptotic boundary operators are also discussed.

Hagstrom, Thomas↗

Trellises and Trellis-Based Decoding Algorithms for Linear Block Codes

A code trellis is a graphical representation of a code, block or convolutional, in which every path represents a codeword (or a code sequence for a convolutional code). This representation makes it possible to implement Maximum Likelihood Decoding (MLD) of a code with reduced decoding complexity. The most well known trellis-based MLD algorithm is the Viterbi algorithm. The trellis representation was first introduced and used for convolutional codes [23]. This representation, together with the Viterbi decoding algorithm, has resulted in a wide range of applications of convolutional codes for error control in digital communications over the last two decades. There are two major reasons for this inactive period of research in this area. First, most coding theorists at that time believed that block codes did not have simple trellis structure like convolutional codes and maximum likelihood decoding of linear block codes using the Viterbi algorithm was practically impossible, except for very short block codes. Second, since almost all of the linear block codes are constructed algebraically or based on finite geometries, it was the belief of many coding theorists that algebraic decoding was the only way to decode these codes. These two reasons seriously hindered the development of efficient soft-decision decoding methods for linear block codes and their applications to error control in digital communications. This led to a general belief that block codes are inferior to convolutional codes and hence, that they were not useful. Chapter 2 gives a brief review of linear block codes. The goal is to provide the essential background material for the development of trellis structure and trellis-based decoding algorithms for linear block codes in the later chapters. Chapters 3 through 6 present the fundamental concepts, finite-state machine model, state space formulation, basic structural properties, state labeling, construction procedures, complexity, minimality, and sectionalization of trellises. Chapter 7 discusses trellis decomposition and subtrellises for low-weight codewords. Chapter 8 first presents well known methods for constructing long powerful codes from short component codes or component codes of smaller dimensions, and then provides methods for constructing their trellises which include Shannon and Cartesian product techniques. Chapter 9 deals with convolutional codes, puncturing, zero-tail termination and tail-biting.Chapters 10 through 13 present various trellis-based decoding algorithms, old and new. Chapter 10 first discusses the application of the well known Viterbi decoding algorithm to linear block codes, optimum sectionalization of a code trellis to minimize computation complexity, and design issues for IC (integrated circuit) implementation of a Viterbi decoder. Then it presents a new decoding algorithm for convolutional codes, named Differential Trellis Decoding (DTD) algorithm. Chapter 12 presents a suboptimum reliability-based iterative decoding algorithm with a low-weight trellis search for the most likely codeword. This decoding algorithm provides a good trade-off between error performance and decoding complexity. All the decoding algorithms presented in Chapters 10 through 12 are devised to minimize word error probability. Chapter 13 presents decoding algorithms that minimize bit error probability and provide the corresponding soft (reliability) information at the output of the decoder. Decoding algorithms presented are the MAP (maximum a posteriori probability) decoding algorithm and the Soft-Output Viterbi Algorithm (SOVA) algorithm. Finally, the minimization of bit error probability in trellis-based MLD is discussed.

Lin, Shu↗

Retransmission error control with memory

In this paper, an error control technique that is a basic improvement over automatic-repeat-request ARQ is presented. Erroneously received blocks in an ARQ system are used for error control. The technique is termed ARQ-with-memory (MRQ). The general MRQ system is described, and simple upper and lower bounds are derived on the throughput achievable by MRQ. The performance of MRQ with respect to throughput, message delay and probability of error is compared to that of ARQ by simulating both systems using error data from a VHF satellite channel being operated in the ALOHA packet broadcasting mode.

Sindhu, P. S.↗

Reducing On-Board Computer Propagation Errors Due to Omitted Geopotential Terms by Judicious Selection of Uploaded State Vector

Several future, and some current missions, use an on-board computer (OBC) force model that is very limited. The OBC geopotential force model typically includes only the J(2), J(3), J(4), C(2,2) and S(2,2) terms to model non-spherical Earth gravitational effects. The Tropical Rainfall Measuring Mission (TRMM), Wide-field Infrared Explorer (WIRE), Transition Region and Coronal Explorer (TRACE), Submillimeter Wave Astronomy Satellite (SWAS), and X-ray Timing Explorer (XTE) all plan to use this geopotential force model on-board. The Solar, Anomalous, and Magnetospheric Particle Explorer (SAMPEX) is already flying this geopotential force model. Past analysis has shown that one of the leading sources of error in the OBC propagated ephemeris is the omission of the higher order geopotential terms. However, these same analyses have shown a wide range of accuracies for the OBC ephemerides. Analysis was performed using EUVE state vectors that showed the EUVE four day OBC propagated ephemerides varied in accuracy from 200 m. to 45 km. depending on the initial vector used to start the propagation. The vectors used in the study were from a single EUVE orbit at one minute intervals in the ephemeris. Since each vector propagated practically the same path as the others, the differences seen had to be due to differences in the inital state vector only. An algorithm was developed that will optimize the epoch of the uploaded state vector. Proper selection can reduce the previous errors of anywhere from 200 m. to 45 km. to generally less than one km. over four days of propagation. This would enable flight projects to minimize state vector uploads to the spacecraft. Additionally, this method is superior to other methods in that no additional orbit estimates need be done. The definitive ephemeris generated on the ground can be used as long as the proper epoch is chosen. This algorithm can be easily coded in software that would pick the epoch within a specified time range that would minimize the OBC propagation error. This techniques should greatly improve the accuracy of the OBC propagation on-board future spacecraft such as TRMM, WIRE, SWAS, and XTE without increasing complexity in the ground processing.

Greatorex, Scott↗

Manned simulations of the SRMS in SIMFAC

SIMFAC is a general purpose real-time simulation facility currently configured with an Orbiter-like Crew Compartment and a Displays and Controls (D and C) Subsystem to support the engineering developments of the Space Shuttle Remote Manipulator (SRMS). The simulation consists of a software model of the anthropomorphic SRMS manipulator arm including the characteristics of its control system and joint drive modules. The following are discussed: (1) simulation and scene generation subsystems; (2) the SRMS task in SIMFAC; (3) operator tactics and options; (4) workload; (5) operator errors and sources; (6) areas for further work; and (7) general observations.

Lippay, A. L.↗

Mercury's perihelion advance - Determination by radar.

Measurement of echo delays of radar signals transmitted from earth to Mercury, yielding an accurate value for the advance of the latter's perihelion position. Given that the sun's gravitational quadrupole moment is negligible, the result in terms of the Eddington-Robertson parameters is (2 + 2 gamma-beta)/3 approximately equal to 1.005 plus or minus 0.007, where gamma = beta = 1 in general relativity, and where 0.007 represents the statistical standard error. Inclusion of the probable contribution of systematic errors raises the uncertainty to about 0.02.

Shapiro, I. I.↗